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SC

South Carolina 17 at North Carolina 31

UNC
2023 · Week 1 · Sep 2, 2023 · Bank of America Stadium
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Win probability · UNC
modelUNC aheadSC aheadconfidence bandkey playUNC scoreSC score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 4:37 · Kai Kroeger punt for 60 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingPregame priorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 114Home team on offense−28.6Score differential−13.0Garbage-time factor−7.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.7Pregame prior−1.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−3.4
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 7:05: Ryan Coe 37 yd FG GOOD — SC win probability +5.5 pts (now 55%) (top driver: UNC has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 5:16: Juju McDowell run for 1 yd for a TD (Mitch Jeter KICK) — UNC win probability +12.4 pts (now 58%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 2:50: Drake Maye pass complete to Kobe Paysour for 34 yds for a TD (Ryan Coe KICK) — SC win probability +10.1 pts (now 52%) (top driver: One-score game).
  4. TD · Q3 11:35: Omarion Hampton run for 1 yd for a TD (Ryan Coe KICK) — SC win probability +17.5 pts (now 73%) (top driver: UNC has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 6:29: Drake Maye pass complete to John Copenhaver for 18 yds for a TD (Ryan Coe KICK) — SC win probability +10.3 pts (now 83%) (top driver: UNC has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UNC made the numbers' call on 1 of 4SC made the numbers' call on 2 of 9
  1. Q1 13:45SC 4th & 12 at UNC 23, tied
    Close callPunted · 54.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.6%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    54.7%
    70% to make
    PuntTheir call
    54.3%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q2 14:58UNC 4th & 3 at UNC 23, tied
    Close callWent for it · 47.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    47.7%−<0.1
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    47.7%
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:25SC 4th & 11 at UNC 22, tied
    Numbers favored field goal by 2.9 ptsPunted · 51.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.0%−0.7
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    51.7%
    72% to make
    PuntTheir call
    48.8%−2.9
    average punt
  4. Q2 0:18SC 4th & 13 at UNC 42, up 3
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.1 ptsPunted · 55.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.2%−1.0
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    56.2%
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    55.1%−1.1
    average punt
  5. Q3 14:18SC 4th & 4 at SC 47, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 56.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    56.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    56.1%−0.8
    average punt
  6. Q3 12:23UNC 4th & 1 at UNC 44, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 46.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    46.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    44.3%−2.6
    average punt
  7. Q3 9:54SC 4th & 17 at UNC 18, up 10
    Numbers favored field goal by 7.6 ptsPunted · 69.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.1%−2.9
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    68.9%
    79% to make
    PuntTheir call
    61.3%−7.6
    average punt
  8. Q3 4:37SC 4th & 12 at UNC 40, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.8%−0.5
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    86.0%−0.3
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    86.3%
    average punt
  9. Q4 8:40SC 4th & 19 at SC 25, up 14
    Numbers favored punt by 2.8 ptsWent for it · 92.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    90.3%−2.8
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    93.1%
    average punt
  10. Q4 6:35UNC 4th & 7 at SC 31, down 14
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.8 ptsPunted · 7.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.8%−0.8
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    7.6%
    54% to make
    PuntTheir call
    5.7%−1.8
    average punt
  11. Q4 3:23SC 4th & 21 at SC 22, up 14
    Numbers favored punt by 1.7 ptsWent for it · 96.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.0%−1.7
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    96.7%
    average punt
  12. Q4 2:22UNC 4th & 2 at SC 46, down 14
    Close callPunted · 4.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    3.6%−0.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    3.3%−0.4
    average punt
  13. Q4 0:45SC 4th & 10 at UNC 37, up 14
    Close callWent for it · 97.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.5%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    97.7%
    40% to make
    Punt
    97.3%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UNC made the numbers' call on 2 of 2SC made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 9:50SC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:29UNC Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 5:16UNC Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 2:50SC Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 11:35SC Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 6:29SC Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SCDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:1055% → 55%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-2
44.6%
Xavier Legette run for a loss of 2 yards to the SC 23Similar
Q1 14:32
2ND & 12
OPP 23
0
44.6%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Trey Knox for no gain to the SC 23Similar
Q1 13:53
3RD & 12
OPP 23
0
44.8%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Antwane Wells Jr.Similar
Q1 13:45
4TH & 12
OPP 23
0
44.9%
Kai Kroeger punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Alijah Huzzie at the UNC 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 2TD
10 plays · 70 yds · 3:5045% → 44%
Q1 13:40
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+8
45.2%
Drake Maye pass complete to British Brooks for 8 yds to the UNC 38Similar
Q1 13:10
2ND & 2
OPP 38
+5
45.3%
British Brooks run for 5 yds to the UNC 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:36
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+8
45.6%
Drake Maye pass complete to Kobe Paysour for 8 yds to the SC 49Similar
Q1 12:13
2ND & 2
OWN 49
+15
45.7%
British Brooks run for 15 yds to the SC 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+7
45.6%
Tychaun Chapman run for 7 yds to the SC 27Similar
Q1 11:17
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+18
45.6%
Drake Maye pass complete to John Copenhaver for 18 yds to the SC 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:00
1ST & 0
OWN 9
+3
45.5%
Omarion Hampton run for 3 yds to the SC 6Similar
Q1 10:32
2ND & 0
OWN 6
+5
45.6%
Omarion Hampton run for 5 yds to the SC 1Similar
Q1 9:50
3RD & 0
OWN 1
+1
43.8%
Omarion Hampton run for 1 yd for a TD South Carolina Penalty, 12 Men on the Field ( Yards) declined (Ryan Coe KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 3TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:1657% → 53%
Q1 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
43.5%
Dakereon Joyner run for 3 yds to the SC 28Similar
Q1 9:22
2ND & 7
OPP 28
-2
43.4%
Dakereon Joyner run for a loss of 2 yards to the SC 26Similar
Q1 8:50
3RD & 9
OPP 26
+16
42.9%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Xavier Legette for 16 yds to the SC 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:22
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+37
43.0%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Xavier Legette for 37 yds to the UNC 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
43.7%
Spencer Rattler run for 1 yd to the UNC 20Similar
Q1 7:31
2ND & 9
OWN 20
+2
43.5%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Dakereon Joyner for 2 yds to the UNC 18Similar
Q1 6:59
3RD & 7
OWN 18
+14
43.6%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Trey Knox for 14 yds to the UNC 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:29
1ST & 0
OWN 4
+4
47.4%
Dakereon Joyner run for 4 yds for a TD (Mitch Jeter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 4DOWNS
14 plays · 54 yds · 6:2048% → 48%
Q1 6:18
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+1
48.3%
Drake Maye run for 1 yd to the UNC 24Similar
Q1 5:37
2ND & 9
OPP 24
+13
48.6%
Drake Maye pass complete to Kamari Morales for 13 yds to the UNC 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:59
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
48.6%
Drake Maye pass complete to Tychaun Chapman for 4 yds to the UNC 41Similar
Q1 4:25
2ND & 6
OPP 41
+2
48.8%
British Brooks run for 2 yds to the UNC 43Similar
Q1 3:55
3RD & 4
OPP 43
+6
48.8%
Drake Maye pass complete to British Brooks for 6 yds to the UNC 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:22
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
49.1%
Drake Maye pass complete to J.J. Jones for 6 yds to the SC 45Similar
Q1 2:56
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+4
49.2%
Drake Maye pass complete to Kobe Paysour for 4 yds to the SC 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:21
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-5
49.3%
Omarion Hampton run for a loss of 5 yards to the SC 46Similar
Q1 1:42
2ND & 15
OWN 46
+16
49.0%
Drake Maye run for 16 yds to the SC 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
49.0%
Omarion Hampton run for 1 yd to the SC 29Similar
Q1 0:41
2ND & 9
OWN 29
0
49.1%
Drake Maye pass complete to George Pettaway for no gain to the SC 29Similar
Q1 0:04
3RD & 9
OWN 29
+6
48.4%
Drake Maye pass complete to Kobe Paysour for 6 yds to the SC 23Similar
Q2 14:58
4TH & 3
OWN 23
0
48.0%
Drake Maye pass incomplete to Gavin BlackwellSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:3054% → 52%
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-3
45.7%
Dakereon Joyner run for a loss of 3 yards to the SC 20Similar
Q2 14:31
2ND & 13
OPP 20
+6
45.8%
Dakereon Joyner run for 6 yds to the SC 26Similar
Q2 14:08
3RD & 7
OPP 26
-4
46.4%
Spencer Rattler sacked by Cedric Gray for a loss of 4 yards to the SC 22Similar
Q2 13:25
4TH & 11
OPP 22
0
48.0%
Kai Kroeger punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Alijah Huzzie at the UNC 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 6FG
16 plays · 42 yds · 6:1452% → 45%
Q2 13:19
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
51.5%
British Brooks run for 3 yds to the UNC 41Similar
Q2 12:45
2ND & 7
OPP 41
+3
51.7%
Drake Maye run for 3 yds to the UNC 44Similar
Q2 12:00
3RD & 4
OPP 44
+13
51.8%
Drake Maye pass complete to Bryson Nesbit for 13 yds to the SC 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
51.7%
Drake Maye run for 5 yds to the SC 38Similar
Q2 10:48
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+4
51.9%
Omarion Hampton run for 4 yds to the SC 34Similar
Q2 10:30
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
50.9%
Omarion Hampton run for 2 yds to the SC 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
51.1%
Drake Maye pass incomplete to Kobe PaysourSimilar
Q2 9:53
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+3
51.0%
Omarion Hampton run for 3 yds to the SC 29Similar
Q2 9:26
3RD & 7
OWN 29
-5
50.4%
North Carolina Penalty, False Start (Corey Gaynor) to the SC 34Similar
Q2 8:56
3RD & 12
OWN 34
+18
50.2%
Drake Maye pass complete to J.J. Jones for 18 yds to the SC 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-5
51.1%
North Carolina Penalty, False Start (J.J. Jones) to the SC 21Similar
Q2 8:06
1ST & 15
OWN 21
-5
51.0%
North Carolina Penalty, Delay of Game (TEAM) to the SC 26Similar
Q2 7:46
1ST & 20
OWN 26
+6
51.2%
Drake Maye pass complete to Kobe Paysour for 6 yds to the SC 20Similar
Q2 7:14
2ND & 14
OWN 20
0
51.1%
Drake Maye pass incomplete to Andre Greene Jr.Similar
Q2 7:09
3RD & 14
OWN 20
0
50.2%
Drake Maye pass incomplete to Gavin BlackwellSimilar
Q2 7:05
4TH & 14
OWN 20
+37
44.7%
Ryan Coe 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 7TD
7 plays · 72 yds · 1:3258% → 42%
Q2 6:48
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+29
42.5%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Xavier Legette for 29 yds to the UNC 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:28
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+20
43.6%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Ahmarean Brown for 20 yds to the UNC 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
45.4%
Juju McDowell run for no gain to the UNC 23Similar
Q2 5:59
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+22
45.5%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Juju McDowell for 22 yds to the UNC 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:16
1ST & 0
OWN 1
+1
57.9%
Juju McDowell run for 1 yd for a TD (Mitch Jeter KICK)Similar
Q2 5:16
1ST & 0
OWN 3
+1
57.9%
North Carolina Penalty, Defensive Offside (1 Yards) to the UNC 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 8TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:1959% → 48%
Q2 5:09
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
59.1%
Drake Maye pass complete to Kamari Morales for 5 yds to the UNC 30Similar
Q2 4:45
2ND & 5
OPP 30
+2
59.3%
British Brooks run for 2 yds to the UNC 32Similar
Q2 4:05
3RD & 3
OPP 32
+28
58.6%
Drake Maye pass complete to Kamari Morales for 28 yds to the SC 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
58.3%
British Brooks run for 6 yds to the SC 34Similar
Q2 2:50
2ND & 4
OWN 34
+34
48.2%
Drake Maye pass complete to Kobe Paysour for 34 yds for a TD (Ryan Coe KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 9PUNT
10 plays · 17 yds · 2:2858% → 55%
Q2 2:46
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
41.9%
Dakereon Joyner run for 1 yd to the SC 26Similar
Q2 2:28
2ND & 9
OPP 26
+19
42.0%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Ahmarean Brown for 19 yds to the SC 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:20
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-2
42.7%
Dakereon Joyner run for a loss of 2 yards to the SC 43Similar
Q2 1:45
2ND & 12
OPP 43
-5
42.0%
South Carolina Penalty, False Start (Antwane Wells Jr.) to the SC 38Similar
Q2 1:40
2ND & 17
OPP 38
-4
42.3%
Dakereon Joyner run for 6 yds to the SC 44 South Carolina Penalty, Offensive Holding (O'Mega Blake) to the SC 34Similar
Q2 1:10
2ND & 21
OPP 34
+12
41.3%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Luke Doty for 12 yds to the SC 46Similar
Q2 0:50
3RD & 9
OPP 46
-4
42.0%
Spencer Rattler sacked by Cedric Gray and Beau Atkinson for a loss of 4 yards to the SC 42Similar
Q2 0:18
4TH & 13
OPP 42
0
44.8%
Kai Kroeger punt for 58 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 10END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0052% → 52%
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-1
51.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNC 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 11DOWNS
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:3459% → 56%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
41.1%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Trey KnoxSimilar
Q3 14:47
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+6
41.2%
Dakereon Joyner run for 6 yds to the UNC 47Similar
Q3 14:23
3RD & 4
OWN 47
0
41.9%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Ahmarean BrownSimilar
Q3 14:18
4TH & 4
OWN 47
0
43.6%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Ahmarean BrownSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 12TD
7 plays · 53 yds · 2:3549% → 28%
Q3 14:10
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
48.8%
Drake Maye pass complete to Bryson Nesbit for 5 yds to the SC 48Similar
Q3 13:45
2ND & 5
OWN 48
+1
48.5%
British Brooks run for 1 yd to the SC 47Similar
Q3 12:59
3RD & 4
OWN 47
+3
45.7%
British Brooks run for 3 yds to the SC 44Similar
Q3 12:23
4TH & 1
OWN 44
+6
44.5%
British Brooks run for 6 yds to the SC 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+37
45.0%
Drake Maye pass complete to Gavin Blackwell for 37 yds to the SC 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:35
1ST & 0
OWN 1
+1
27.5%
Omarion Hampton run for 1 yd for a TD (Ryan Coe KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 1:3773% → 70%
Q3 11:31
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
27.2%
Dakereon Joyner run for no gain to the SC 25Similar
Q3 11:04
2ND & 10
OPP 25
0
27.4%
Dakereon Joyner run for no gain to the SC 25Similar
Q3 10:33
3RD & 10
OPP 25
-7
27.9%
Spencer Rattler sacked by Amari Gainer for a loss of 7 yards to the SC 18Similar
Q3 9:54
4TH & 17
OPP 18
0
29.7%
Kai Kroeger punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Alijah Huzzie at the UNC 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 14TD
9 plays · 55 yds · 3:1731% → 19%
Q3 9:46
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+16
31.3%
Drake Maye pass complete to John Copenhaver for 16 yds to the SC 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
29.5%
Drake Maye pass complete to Bryson Nesbit for 4 yds to the SC 35Similar
Q3 8:41
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+6
28.6%
Omarion Hampton run for 6 yds to the SC 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
28.0%
Omarion Hampton run for 5 yds to the SC 24Similar
Q3 7:39
2ND & 5
OWN 24
+1
27.7%
Omarion Hampton run for 1 yd to the SC 23Similar
Q3 7:04
3RD & 4
OWN 23
+5
26.2%
Drake Maye pass complete to Kobe Paysour for 5 yds to the SC 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:34
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
26.8%
Drake Maye pass incomplete to Andre Greene Jr.Similar
Q3 6:29
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+18
16.6%
Drake Maye pass complete to John Copenhaver for 18 yds for a TD (Ryan Coe KICK)Similar
Q3 6:29
2ND & 10
OPP 35
-15
19.1%
North Carolina Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (John Copenhaver) to the UNC 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 1:3988% → 87%
Q3 6:16
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+15
12.5%
Spencer Rattler run for 15 yds to the SC 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:51
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
13.0%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Dakereon JoynerSimilar
Q3 5:43
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+4
13.0%
Dakereon Joyner run for 4 yds to the SC 46Similar
Q3 5:00
3RD & 6
OPP 46
-6
12.3%
Spencer Rattler sacked by Beau Atkinson for a loss of 6 yards to the SC 40Similar
Q3 4:37
4TH & 12
OPP 40
0
13.3%
Kai Kroeger punt for 60 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 16INT
5 plays · 40 yds · 2:1818% → 15%
Q3 4:32
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
18.3%
Omarion Hampton run for 5 yds to the UNC 25Similar
Q3 4:03
2ND & 5
OPP 25
+4
17.9%
Drake Maye pass complete to British Brooks for 4 yds to the UNC 29Similar
Q3 3:33
3RD & 1
OPP 29
+29
17.4%
British Brooks run for 29 yds to the SC 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
15.9%
British Brooks run for 2 yds to the SC 40Similar
Q3 2:14
2ND & 8
OWN 40
-5
15.2%
Drake Maye pass intercepted O'Donnell Fortune return for 5 yds to the SC 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 17FG
14 plays · 61 yds · 4:5092% → 89%
Q3 2:09
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+6
8.5%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Xavier Legette for 6 yds to the SC 36Similar
Q3 1:58
2ND & 4
OPP 36
-5
8.3%
Juju McDowell run for a loss of 5 yards to the SC 31Similar
Q3 1:16
3RD & 9
OPP 31
+12
8.5%
Spencer Rattler run for 12 yds to the SC 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:52
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
8.3%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to O'Mega BlakeSimilar
Q3 0:35
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+10
8.2%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Juju McDowell for 10 yds to the UNC 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-9
8.0%
Spencer Rattler sacked by Desmond Evans for a loss of 9 yards to the SC 44Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 19
OPP 44
-5
8.0%
South Carolina Penalty, False Start (Jakai Moore) to the SC 39Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 24
OPP 39
+10
8.0%
Rattler, Spencer pass incomplete, PENALTY UNC holding (Holloway, Tayon) 10 yards to the SOCAROLINA49, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN SOCAROLINA.Similar
Q4 14:47
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+33
7.8%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Xavier Legette for 33 yds to the UNC 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+11
8.0%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Ahmarean Brown for 5 yds to the UNC 13 for a 1ST down North Carolina Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Don Chapman) to the UNC 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:01
1ST & 0
OWN 6
-1
8.2%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Juju McDowell for a loss of 1 yard to the UNC 7Similar
Q4 13:40
2ND & 11
OWN 7
+2
7.7%
Juju McDowell run for 2 yds to the UNC 5Similar
Q4 13:02
3RD & 9
OWN 5
-3
7.9%
Spencer Rattler sacked by Tomari Fox for a loss of 3 yards to the UNC 8Similar
Q4 12:19
4TH & 0
OWN 8
+26
10.8%
Mitch Jeter 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 18INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:3816% → 15%
Q4 12:13
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
15.5%
Omarion Hampton run for no gain to the UNC 25Similar
Q4 11:35
2ND & 10
OPP 25
-17
14.8%
Drake Maye pass intercepted Kajuan Banks return for 17 yds to the UNC 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 19DOWNS
9 plays · 20 yds · 2:4992% → 93%
Q4 11:29
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-5
7.8%
Rattler, Spencer pass incomplete to Legette, Xavier, PENALTY SOCAROLINA illegal formation 5 yards to the UNC43, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:24
1ST & 15
OWN 43
0
8.2%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Juju McDowellSimilar
Q4 11:19
2ND & 15
OWN 43
+14
7.9%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Xavier Legette for 14 yds to the UNC 29Similar
Q4 10:56
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+1
8.2%
Juju McDowell run for 1 yd to the UNC 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+12
7.3%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Payton Mangrum for 12 yds to the UNC 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+3
7.3%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Dakereon Joyner for 3 yds to the UNC 13Similar
Q4 9:17
2ND & 7
OWN 13
0
6.9%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Dakereon Joyner for no gain to the UNC 13Similar
Q4 9:00
3RD & 7
OWN 13
-12
7.2%
Spencer Rattler sacked by Kaimon Rucker for a loss of 12 yards to the UNC 25 South Carolina Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Spencer Rattler) to the UNC 25Similar
Q4 8:40
4TH & 19
OWN 25
+7
7.0%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Xavier Legette for 7 yds to the UNC 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 13 yds · 1:599% → 7%
Q4 8:34
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+10
9.2%
British Brooks run for 10 yds to the UNC 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:01
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
8.4%
British Brooks run for no gain to the UNC 28Similar
Q4 7:26
2ND & 10
OPP 28
0
7.9%
Drake Maye pass incomplete to Gavin BlackwellSimilar
Q4 7:20
3RD & 10
OPP 28
+3
6.9%
Drake Maye pass complete to Kobe Paysour for 3 yds to the UNC 31Similar
Q4 6:35
4TH & 7
OPP 31
0
6.5%
Ben Kiernan punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Eddie Lewis at the SC 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 21DOWNS
9 plays · 48 yds · 3:0195% → 97%
Q4 6:24
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-10
4.6%
Rattler, Spencer pass complete to Legette, Xavier for 12 yards to the SOCAROLINA42, PENALTY SOCAROLINA holding (Fugar, Sidney) 10 yards to the SOCAROLINA20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 20
+9
4.7%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Dakereon Joyner for 9 yds to the SC 29Similar
Q4 5:47
2ND & 11
OPP 29
+24
4.6%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Xavier Legette for 24 yds to the UNC 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+12
4.5%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Xavier Legette for 12 yds to the UNC 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+24
4.7%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Luke Doty for 24 yds to the UNC 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:41
1ST & 10
OWN 11
-10
4.6%
Spencer Rattler sacked by Amari Gainer for a loss of 10 yards to the UNC 21Similar
Q4 4:07
2ND & 20
OWN 21
0
4.4%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Xavier LegetteSimilar
Q4 4:01
3RD & 20
OWN 21
-1
4.5%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Dakereon Joyner for a loss of 1 yard to the UNC 22Similar
Q4 3:23
4TH & 21
OWN 22
0
3.3%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Xavier LegetteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 22PUNT
8 plays · 24 yds · 0:534% → 3%
Q4 3:15
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+16
4.2%
British Brooks run for 16 yds to the UNC 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:35
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
3.5%
British Brooks run for 3 yds to the UNC 41Similar
Q4 2:32
2ND & 7
OPP 41
+3
3.4%
Omarion Hampton run for 3 yds to the UNC 44Similar
Q4 2:28
3RD & 4
OPP 44
+2
3.2%
Omarion Hampton run for 2 yds to the UNC 46Similar
Q4 2:22
4TH & 2
OPP 46
0
3.1%
Ben Kiernan punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Eddie Lewis at the SC 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 23DOWNS
7 plays · 30 yds · 1:3199% → 99%
Q4 2:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
1.3%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Luke Doty for 5 yds to the SC 13Similar
Q4 1:58
2ND & 5
OPP 13
+9
1.0%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Joshua Simon for 9 yds to the SC 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:50
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+15
1.1%
Spencer Rattler run for 15 yds to the SC 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:41
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-10
1.1%
Spencer Rattler sacked by Kaimon Rucker for a loss of 10 yards to the SC 27Similar
Q4 1:14
2ND & 20
OPP 27
+5
1.0%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Joshua Simon for 5 yds to the SC 32Similar
Q4 1:05
3RD & 15
OPP 32
+5
1.1%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Joshua Simon for 5 yds to the SC 37Similar
Q4 0:45
4TH & 10
OPP 37
+1
1.2%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Joshua Simon for 1 yd to the SC 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 24END OF GAME
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:372% → 2%
Q4 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-2
2.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the SC 40Similar
Q4 0:03
2ND & 12
OWN 40
-1
2.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the SC 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+97.7
TD · Q3 11:35
Omarion Hampton run for 1 yd for a TD (Ryan Coe KICK)
-17.5
TD · Q2 5:16
Juju McDowell run for 1 yd for a TD (Mitch Jeter KICK)
+12.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com