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SDAK

South Dakota 10 at Missouri 35

MIZ
2023 · Week 1 · Aug 31, 2023 · Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · MIZ
modelMIZ aheadSDAK aheadconfidence bandkey playMIZ scoreSDAK score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 13:51 · Harrison Mevis 48 yd FG MISSED
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+47.0+23.50−23.5−47.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 37Pregame prior+40.0Home team on offense+7.0Score differential+3.4Garbage-time factor+2.4Blowout margin−0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 1:48: Cody Schrader run for 2 yds for a TD (Harrison Mevis KICK) — MIZ win probability +1.6 pts (now 97%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:33: Brady Cook run for 15 yds for a TD (Harrison Mevis KICK) — MIZ win probability +1.9 pts (now 99%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 12:14: Aidan Bouman pass complete to Mike Mansaray for 6 yds for a TD (Jack Martens KICK) — SDAK win probability +2.5 pts (now 4%) (top driver: SDAK has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 12:09: Cody Schrader run for 5 yds to the MIZ 37 — MIZ win probability +2.2 pts (now 98%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:42: Sam Horn pass complete to Luther Burden III for 15 yds for a TD (Harrison Mevis KICK) — MIZ win probability +1.3 pts (now 100%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MIZ made the numbers' call on 1 of 4SDAK made the numbers' call on 9 of 9
  1. Q1 12:20MIZ 4th & 1 at MIZ 45, tied
    Close callPunted · 94.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.6%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:16SDAK 4th & 8 at SDAK 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.7%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:05SDAK 4th & 11 at SDAK 24, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.5%−0.3
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.8%
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:51MIZ 4th & 5 at SDAK 30, up 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 94.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.5%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.5%−<0.1
    56% to make
    Punt
    94.1%−0.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:06SDAK 4th & 23 at MIZ 23, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 6.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.6%−0.6
    7% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    6.3%
    70% to make
    Punt
    4.9%−1.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:25SDAK 4th & 3 at SDAK 32, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.6%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.7%
    average punt
  7. Q3 14:54SDAK 4th & 1 at SDAK 48, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.8%−0.2
    average punt
  8. Q3 14:54SDAK 4th & 1 at MIZ 39, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    1.8%−0.2
    36% to make
    Punt
    1.8%−0.2
    average punt
  9. Q3 6:35SDAK 4th & 7 at MIZ 33, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.1%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    1.0%−<0.1
    49% to make
    Punt
    0.9%−0.2
    average punt
  10. Q3 3:15MIZ 4th & 7 at SDAK 17, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.2%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.3%
    80% to make
    Punt
    98.4%−1.0
    average punt
  11. Q3 0:07SDAK 4th & 9 at SDAK 43, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  12. Q4 9:30MIZ 4th & 2 at MIZ 40, up 18
    Close callPunted · 98.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.8%−0.3
    average punt
  13. Q4 6:29SDAK 4th & 23 at SDAK 22, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.3%−0.5
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.8%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MIZ made the numbers' call on 5 of 5SDAK made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 7:47MIZ Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:19MIZ Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:48MIZ Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:33MIZ Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 12:14SDAK Touchdown, down 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 1:42MIZ Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MIZDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 22 yds · 2:3597% → 96%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+7
96.7%
Cody Schrader run for 7 yds to the MIZ 30Similar
Q1 14:55
2ND & 3
OWN 30
+6
96.7%
Brady Cook pass complete to Cody Schrader for 6 yds to the MIZ 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
96.7%
Brady Cook pass complete to Cody Schrader for a loss of 1 yard to the MIZ 35Similar
Q1 14:55
2ND & 11
OWN 35
+5
96.7%
Brady Cook pass complete to Mookie Cooper for 5 yds to the MIZ 40Similar
Q1 14:55
3RD & 6
OWN 40
+5
96.7%
Brady Cook pass complete to Theo Wease Jr. for 5 yds to the MIZ 45Similar
Q1 12:20
4TH & 1
OWN 45
0
96.3%
Riley Williams punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDAKDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 2:044% → 4%
Q1 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
96.3%
Travis Theis run for no gain to the SDAK 15Similar
Q1 12:20
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+2
96.3%
Travis Theis run for 2 yds to the SDAK 17Similar
Q1 12:20
3RD & 8
OWN 17
0
96.3%
Aidan Bouman pass complete to Jack Martens for no gain to the SDAK 17Similar
Q1 10:16
4TH & 8
OWN 17
0
96.0%
Tyler Ebel punt for 35 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 3TD
6 plays · 52 yds · 2:2996% → 96%
Q1 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+13
96.0%
Cody Schrader run for 13 yds to the SDAK 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:16
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
96.0%
Brady Cook pass complete to Theo Wease Jr. for 3 yds to the SDAK 36Similar
Q1 10:16
2ND & 7
OPP 36
+13
96.0%
Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 13 yds to the SDAK 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:16
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+2
96.1%
Luther Burden III run for 2 yds to the SDAK 21Similar
Q1 10:16
2ND & 8
OPP 21
+3
96.1%
Cody Schrader run for 3 yds to the SDAK 18Similar
Q1 7:47
3RD & 5
OPP 18
+18
96.0%
Mekhi Miller 18 Yd pass from Brady Cook (Harrison Mevis Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDAKDrive 4PUNT
3 plays · 4 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q1 7:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
95.9%
Travis Theis run for 1 yd to the SDAK 26Similar
Q1 7:47
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+3
95.9%
Travis Theis run for 3 yds to the SDAK 29Similar
Q1 7:47
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
95.9%
Aidan Bouman pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 5TD
8 plays · 38 yds · 2:5396% → 96%
Q1 6:12
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+6
95.8%
Nathaniel Peat run for 6 yds to the SDAK 32Similar
Q1 6:12
2ND & 4
OPP 32
+14
95.8%
Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 14 yds to the SDAK 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:12
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+5
95.8%
COOK, Brady pass up the middle complete for 0 yards to BURDEN, Luther caught at the USD21 and advanced to the USD18 (HILLIS, Stephen). PENALTY Before the snap, USD Illegal Substitution on FRYAR, Parker enforced 5 yards from the USD18 to the USD13. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 5:01
1ST & 5
OPP 13
+3
95.7%
Nathaniel Peat run for 13 yds Missouri Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the SDAK 21Similar
Q1 5:01
1ST & 13
OPP 21
+7
95.7%
Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 7 yds to the SDAK 14Similar
Q1 5:01
2ND & 6
OPP 14
+8
95.7%
Nathaniel Peat run for 8 yds to the SDAK 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
95.7%
Nathaniel Peat run for 5 yds to the SDAK 1Similar
Q1 3:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
96.3%
Nathaniel Peat run for 1 yd for a TD (Harrison Mevis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDAKDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 2:144% → 4%
Q1 3:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
96.0%
Travis Theis run for no gain to the SDAK 25Similar
Q1 3:19
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-7
96.0%
Aidan Bouman sacked by Johnny Walker Jr. and Nyles Gaddy for a loss of 7 yards to the SDAK 18Similar
Q1 3:19
3RD & 17
OWN 18
+6
96.1%
Travis Theis run for 6 yds to the SDAK 24Similar
Q1 1:05
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
95.8%
Tyler Ebel punt for 45 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 7MISSED FG
6 plays · 24 yds · 2:1496% → 96%
Q1 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+9
96.2%
Brady Cook pass complete to Theo Wease Jr. for 9 yds to the SDAK 45Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 1
OPP 45
+10
96.1%
Nathaniel Peat run for 10 yds to the SDAK 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-3
96.1%
Nathaniel Peat run for a loss of 3 yards to the SDAK 38Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 13
OPP 38
+8
96.1%
Brady Cook pass complete to Cody Schrader for 8 yds to the SDAK 30Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 30
0
96.1%
Brady Cook pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:51
4TH & 5
OPP 30
+48
95.9%
Harrison Mevis 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDAKDrive 8FG
14 plays · 47 yds · 6:455% → 5%
Q2 13:51
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
95.5%
Travis Theis run for 2 yds to the SDAK 32Similar
Q2 13:51
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+6
95.5%
Aidan Bouman pass complete to Jack Martens for 6 yds to the SDAK 38Similar
Q2 13:51
3RD & 2
OWN 38
+8
95.4%
Travis Theis run for 8 yds to the SDAK 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:51
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+19
95.4%
Aidan Bouman pass complete to Jack Martens for 19 yds to the MIZ 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:51
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+10
95.2%
Aidan Bouman pass complete to Travis Theis for 10 yds to the MIZ 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:51
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
95.2%
Travis Theis run for 2 yds to the MIZ 23Similar
Q2 13:51
2ND & 8
OPP 23
+11
95.2%
Aidan Bouman pass complete to Jack Martens for 11 yds to the MIZ 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:51
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
95.2%
run for no gain to the MIZ 12Similar
Q2 9:10
2ND & 10
OPP 12
0
94.6%
BOUMAN, Aidan pass to the right incomplete intended for BELL, Carter thrown to the MIZ0. PENALTY MIZ Holding on ABRAMS-DRAINE, Kris enforced half the distance from the goal, 6 yards from the MIZ12 to the MIZ6 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 9:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-4
95.0%
Travis Theis run for a loss of 4 yards to the MIZ 10Similar
Q2 9:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
-14
95.0%
Travis Theis run for a loss of 14 yards to the MIZ 24 Travis Theis fumbled, recovered by SDAKSimilar
Q2 9:10
3RD & GOAL
OPP 24
+1
95.5%
Aidan Bouman run for 1 yd to the MIZ 23Similar
Q2 7:06
4TH & GOAL
OPP 23
+40
94.6%
Will Leyland 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 9TD
16 plays · 81 yds · 5:1195% → 97%
Q2 6:59
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
94.7%
Brady Cook pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:59
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+8
94.6%
Brady Cook run for 8 yds to the MIZ 27Similar
Q2 6:59
3RD & 2
OWN 27
+4
94.5%
Brady Cook pass complete to Tyler Stephens for 4 yds to the MIZ 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:59
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
94.7%
Cody Schrader run for 6 yds to the MIZ 37Similar
Q2 6:59
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+12
94.8%
Cody Schrader run for 12 yds to the MIZ 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:59
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-10
94.9%
SCHRADER, Cody rush to the left for a gain of 10 yards to the USD41 (TILLMON, Roman;SHORTER, Dennis). PENALTY MIZ Holding on FOSTER, Javon enforced 10 yards from the MIZ49 to the MIZ39 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 6:59
1ST & 20
OWN 39
-5
94.8%
Missouri Penalty, False Start (Tre'Vez Johnson) to the MIZ 34Similar
Q2 6:59
1ST & 25
OWN 34
0
94.7%
Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for no gain to the MIZ 34Similar
Q2 6:59
2ND & 25
OWN 34
+15
94.6%
South Dakota Penalty, Targeting on SHORTER, Dennis enforced (Dennis Shorter) to the SDAK 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:59
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
94.9%
Brady Cook pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:59
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+13
94.9%
Cody Schrader run for 13 yds to the SDAK 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:59
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
95.0%
Cody Schrader run for 3 yds to the SDAK 18Similar
Q2 6:59
2ND & 7
OPP 18
+6
95.0%
Cody Schrader run for 6 yds to the SDAK 12Similar
Q2 6:59
3RD & 1
OPP 12
+5
94.9%
Cody Schrader run for 5 yds to the SDAK 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
95.0%
Cody Schrader run for 5 yds to the SDAK 2Similar
Q2 1:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
96.6%
Cody Schrader run for 2 yds for a TD (Harrison Mevis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDAKDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 0:194% → 4%
Q2 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
95.9%
Travis Theis run for 3 yds to the SDAK 28Similar
Q2 1:39
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+4
95.7%
Travis Theis run for 4 yds to the SDAK 32Similar
Q2 1:39
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
95.7%
Aidan Bouman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:25
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
95.9%
Tyler Ebel punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Luther Burden III at the MIZ 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 11TD
8 plays · 83 yds · 0:5297% → 99%
Q2 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+15
96.5%
Brady Cook pass complete to Nathaniel Peat for 15 yds to the MIZ 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
96.5%
Brady Cook pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:25
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+30
96.5%
Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 30 yds to the SDAK 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:52
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-6
96.7%
Brady Cook sacked by Brendan Webb and Micah Roane for a loss of 6 yards to the SDAK 44Similar
Q2 0:52
2ND & 16
OPP 44
+19
96.6%
Brady Cook pass complete to Nathaniel Peat for 19 yds to the SDAK 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:52
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+10
96.7%
COOK, Brady pass to the left incomplete intended for MILLER, Mekhi thrown to the USD10. PENALTY USD Holding on REAVES, Dominic enforced 10 yards from the USD25 to the USD15 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 0:33
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
98.6%
Brady Cook run for 15 yds for a TD (Harrison Mevis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDAKDrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · 9 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
97.3%
Travis Theis run for 9 yds to the SDAK 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDAKDrive 13DOWNS
18 plays · 41 yds · 8:192% → 2%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-4
98.5%
Mike Mansaray run for a loss of 4 yards to the SDAK 13Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 14
OWN 13
+14
98.3%
Aidan Bouman pass complete to Carter Bell for 14 yds to the SDAK 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
98.5%
Aidan Bouman pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 10
OWN 27
0
98.5%
Mike Mansaray run for no gain to the SDAK 27Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 10
OWN 27
+12
98.5%
Aidan Bouman pass complete to Jack Martens for 12 yds to the SDAK 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
98.4%
Mike Mansaray run for no gain to the SDAK 39Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+7
98.4%
Aidan Bouman pass complete to Carter Bell for 7 yds to the SDAK 46Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 3
OWN 46
+2
98.4%
run for 2 yds to the SDAK 48Similar
Q3 14:54
4TH & 1
OWN 48
+4
98.4%
Mike Mansaray run for 4 yds to the MIZ 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
98.4%
Aidan Bouman pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+3
98.4%
Aidan Bouman pass complete to Jack Martens for 3 yds to the MIZ 45Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 7
OPP 45
+6
98.4%
Aidan Bouman pass complete to Carter Bell for 6 yds to the MIZ 39Similar
Q3 14:54
4TH & 1
OPP 39
+3
98.4%
Mike Mansaray run for 3 yds to the MIZ 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
98.3%
Travis Theis run for 3 yds to the MIZ 33Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 7
OPP 33
0
98.2%
Travis Theis run for no gain to the MIZ 33Similar
Q3 6:38
3RD & 7
OPP 33
0
97.9%
Aidan Bouman pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:35
4TH & 7
OPP 33
-9
97.9%
Aidan Bouman sacked by Marvin Burks Jr. for a loss of 9 yards to the MIZ 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 14MISSED FG
7 plays · 41 yds · 3:2099% → 100%
Q3 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
99.3%
Cody Schrader run for 1 yd to the MIZ 43Similar
Q3 6:35
2ND & 9
OWN 43
+6
99.3%
Sam Horn run for 6 yds to the MIZ 49Similar
Q3 6:35
3RD & 3
OWN 49
+31
99.3%
Sam Horn pass complete to Mekhi Miller for 31 yds to the SDAK 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:35
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
99.3%
Sam Horn run for no gain to the SDAK 20Similar
Q3 6:35
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+3
99.3%
Mookie Cooper run for 3 yds to the SDAK 17Similar
Q3 6:35
3RD & 7
OPP 17
0
99.3%
Sam Horn pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:15
4TH & 7
OPP 17
+34
99.5%
Harrison Mevis 34 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDAKDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 23 yds · 3:082% → 1%
Q3 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
98.4%
Mike Mansaray run for 6 yds to the SDAK 26Similar
Q3 3:15
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+4
98.3%
Mike Mansaray run for 4 yds to the SDAK 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+12
98.3%
Aidan Bouman pass complete to Carter Bell for 12 yds to the SDAK 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
98.3%
Aidan Bouman pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:15
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+1
98.3%
Aidan Bouman run for 1 yd to the SDAK 43Similar
Q3 3:15
3RD & 9
OWN 43
0
98.3%
Aidan Bouman pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:07
4TH & 9
OWN 43
0
98.6%
Tyler Ebel punt for 35 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 16INT
5 plays · 10 yds · 1:38100% → 100%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 8
OWN 22
+6
99.5%
Cody Schrader run for 6 yds to the MIZ 28Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+6
99.4%
Nathaniel Peat run for 6 yds to the MIZ 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
99.4%
Nathaniel Peat run for 3 yds to the MIZ 37Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 37
-5
99.4%
Missouri Penalty, False Start (Armand Membou) to the MIZ 32Similar
Q4 13:22
2ND & 12
OWN 32
+10
99.6%
South Dakota Penalty, Illegal Block (Shahid Barros) to the SDAK 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDAKDrive 17TD
3 plays · 29 yds · 1:082% → 4%
Q4 13:22
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+23
98.2%
Aidan Bouman pass complete to Jack Martens for 23 yds to the MIZ 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
98.4%
Mike Mansaray run for no gain to the MIZ 6Similar
Q4 12:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
95.9%
Aidan Bouman pass complete to Mike Mansaray for 6 yds for a TD (Jack Martens KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 2:3998% → 98%
Q4 12:09
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
98.1%
Cody Schrader run for 5 yds to the MIZ 37Similar
Q4 12:09
2ND & 3
OWN 39
-7
98.2%
Sam Horn run for a loss of 7 yards to the MIZ 32Similar
Q4 12:09
2ND & 5
OWN 37
-8
98.2%
Cody Schrader run for 2 yds to the MIZ 39 Missouri Penalty, Offensive Holding (Mookie Cooper) to the MIZ 39Similar
Q4 12:09
3RD & 10
OWN 32
+8
98.0%
Sam Horn pass complete to Tyler Stephens for 8 yds to the MIZ 40Similar
Q4 9:30
4TH & 2
OWN 40
0
98.1%
Riley Williams punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDAKDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 2 yds · 3:013% → 2%
Q4 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
97.4%
Aidan Bouman pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:30
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+15
97.4%
Aidan Bouman pass complete to Jack Martens for 15 yds to the SDAK 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
97.2%
Travis Theis run for 1 yd to the SDAK 36Similar
Q4 9:30
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+1
97.2%
Aidan Bouman run for 1 yd to the SDAK 37Similar
Q4 9:30
3RD & 8
OWN 37
-15
97.2%
BOUMAN, Aidan pass short up the middle complete for 5 yards to BELL, Carter caught at the USD42 and advanced to the USD42 (NORWOOD, Dreyden). PENALTY USD Face mask on ELLINGSON, Caden enforced 15 yards from the USD37 to the USD22 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 9:30
3RD & 23
OWN 22
0
97.5%
Aidan Bouman pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:29
4TH & 23
OWN 22
0
97.7%
Tyler Ebel punt for 49 yds , Luther Burden III returns for no gain to the MIZ 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 20TD
9 plays · 78 yds · 4:4798% → 100%
Q4 6:29
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
98.4%
Nathaniel Peat run for 4 yds to the MIZ 26Similar
Q4 6:29
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+4
98.4%
Nathaniel Peat run for 4 yds to the MIZ 30Similar
Q4 6:29
3RD & 2
OWN 30
+7
98.4%
Cody Schrader run for 7 yds to the MIZ 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:29
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+42
98.5%
Cody Schrader run for 42 yds to the SDAK 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:29
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
98.6%
Cody Schrader run for no gain to the SDAK 21Similar
Q4 6:29
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+13
98.6%
Nathaniel Peat run for 13 yds to the SDAK 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-4
98.6%
Nathaniel Peat run for a loss of 4 yards to the SDAK 12Similar
Q4 6:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
-3
98.6%
Nathaniel Peat run for a loss of 3 yards to the SDAK 15Similar
Q4 1:42
3RD & GOAL
OPP 15
+15
99.9%
Sam Horn pass complete to Luther Burden III for 15 yds for a TD (Harrison Mevis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDAKDrive 21END OF 4TH QUARTER
6 plays · 22 yds · 1:421% → 0%
Q4 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.5%
Aidan Bouman run for 3 yds to the SDAK 28Similar
Q4 1:42
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+12
99.5%
Aidan Bouman pass complete to JJ Galbreath for 12 yds to the SDAK 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
99.8%
Aidan Bouman pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:12
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+2
99.8%
Nate Thomas run for 2 yds to the SDAK 42Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 8
OWN 42
+5
99.8%
Nate Thomas run for 5 yds to the SDAK 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 12:14
Aidan Bouman pass complete to Mike Mansaray for 6 yds for a TD (Jack Martens KICK)
-2.5
KEY PLAY · Q4 12:09
Cody Schrader run for 5 yds to the MIZ 37
+2.2
TD · Q2 0:33
Brady Cook run for 15 yds for a TD (Harrison Mevis KICK)
+1.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com