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SELA

SE Louisiana 7 at Mississippi State 48

MSST
2023 · Week 1 · Sep 2, 2023 · Davis Wade Stadium
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Win probability · MSST
modelMSST aheadSELA aheadconfidence bandkey playMSST scoreSELA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of GameFG+2.1MSST 95.7%Kyle Ferrie 49 yd FG GOODAWAY 7 - HOME 20 · Q2 0:00
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 0:00 · Kyle Ferrie 49 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+47.0+23.50−23.5−47.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 81Pregame prior+31.7Home team on offense+14.0Score differential+6.2Blowout margin−0.6Garbage-time factor+3.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.8
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 4:02: Kyle Ferrie 47 yd FG GOOD — SELA win probability +1.2 pts (now 5%) (top driver: MSST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 5:32: Zachary Clement pass complete to Jacob Logan for 2 yds for a TD (Riley Callaghan KICK) — SELA win probability +4.7 pts (now 10%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  3. TD · Q2 1:29: Will Rogers pass complete to Creed Whittemore for 33 yds for a TD (Kyle Ferrie KICK) — MSST win probability +1.9 pts (now 94%) (top driver: MSST has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 0:00: Kyle Ferrie 49 yd FG GOOD — MSST win probability +2.1 pts (now 96%) (top driver: MSST has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 1:30: Will Rogers pass complete to Jaden Walley for 5 yds for a TD (Kyle Ferrie KICK) — MSST win probability +2.5 pts (now 99%) (top driver: MSST has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MSST made the numbers' call on 4 of 6SELA made the numbers' call on 9 of 10
  1. Q1 12:51MSST 4th & 7 at MSST 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.5%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:09SELA 4th & 10 at SELA 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.1%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:02MSST 4th & 15 at SELA 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 94.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.4%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.5%
    58% to make
    Punt
    94.2%−0.3
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:11SELA 4th & 4 at SELA 31, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.1%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.2%
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:00MSST 4th & 1 at MSST 33, up 3
    Close callPunted · 93.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.6%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:41SELA 4th & 1 at MSST 21, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    5.1%−0.3
    74% to make
    Punt
    4.2%−1.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:32MSST 4th & 1 at SELA 38, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 91.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    91.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    90.3%−0.9
    38% to make
    Punt
    90.2%−0.9
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:44SELA 4th & 6 at SELA 29, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.1%−0.4
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.6%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:00MSST 4th & 2 at SELA 31, up 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 93.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    92.8%−0.5
    54% to make
    Punt
    92.6%−0.8
    average punt
  10. Q3 13:12SELA 4th & 18 at SELA 33, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.1%−0.7
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.8%
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:22MSST 4th & 4 at SELA 23, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 94.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.6%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    94.4%−0.1
    70% to make
    Punt
    92.2%−2.4
    average punt
  12. Q3 4:59SELA 4th & 13 at SELA 39, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.1%−0.7
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.8%
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:53SELA 4th & 10 at SELA 22, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−0.4
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.3%
    average punt
  14. Q4 12:25SELA 4th & 4 at SELA 31, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  15. Q4 7:29SELA 4th & 6 at SELA 24, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:17SELA 4th & 7 at SELA 48, down 41
    Close callWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MSST made the numbers' call on 6 of 6SELA made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q2 13:46MSST Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 5:32SELA Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    9.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    9.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:29MSST Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 1:30MSST Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 14:53MSST Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 9:20MSST Touchdown, up 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 5:19MSST Touchdown, up 40 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MSSTDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 2:0997% → 97%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
96.9%
Jo'Quavious Marks run for 5 yds to the MSST 30Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+13
96.9%
Will Rogers pass complete to Lideatrick Griffin for 13 yds to the MSST 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
96.9%
Will Rogers pass complete to Lideatrick Griffin for 3 yds to the MSST 46Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 46
0
96.9%
Jo'Quavious Marks run for no gain to the MSST 46Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 46
0
96.9%
Will Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:51
4TH & 7
OWN 46
0
96.6%
Keelan Crimmins punt for 35 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SELADrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 30 yds · 3:423% → 4%
Q1 12:51
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+14
96.6%
Harlan Dixon run for 14 yds to the SELA 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:51
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+16
96.6%
Zachary Clement pass complete to Bauer Sharp for 16 yds to the SELA 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:51
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-9
96.5%
Zachary Clement run for a loss of 9 yards to the SELA 40 Zachary Clement fumbled, recovered by SELA Zachary ClementSimilar
Q1 12:51
2ND & 19
OWN 40
+6
96.6%
Harlan Dixon run for 6 yds to the SELA 46Similar
Q1 12:51
3RD & 13
OWN 46
+8
96.6%
Zachary Clement pass complete to Harlan Dixon for 8 yds Harlan Dixon fumbled, recovered by SELA Harlan DixonSimilar
Q1 12:51
4TH & 5
OPP 46
-5
96.6%
SE Louisiana Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the SELA 49Similar
Q1 9:09
4TH & 10
OWN 49
0
95.9%
Austin Dunlap punt for 36 yds, downed at the MSST 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSSTDrive 3FG
12 plays · 56 yds · 5:0796% → 95%
Q1 9:09
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+16
95.9%
Mike Wright run for 16 yds to the MSST 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:09
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
95.9%
Jo'Quavious Marks run for 4 yds to the MSST 35Similar
Q1 9:09
2ND & 6
OWN 35
0
95.9%
Will Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:09
3RD & 6
OWN 35
+10
95.9%
Will Rogers pass complete to Jo'Quavious Marks for 10 yds to the MSST 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:09
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
96.0%
Jo'Quavious Marks run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 9:09
2ND & 5
50
+15
96.0%
Will Rogers pass complete to Jo'Quavious Marks for 15 yds to the SELA 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:09
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
96.0%
Lideatrick Griffin run for no gain to the SELA 35Similar
Q1 9:09
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+11
96.0%
Will Rogers pass complete to Jordan Mosley for 11 yds to the SELA 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:09
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
96.1%
Will Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:09
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+4
96.0%
Creed Whittemore run for 4 yds to the SELA 20Similar
Q1 9:09
3RD & 6
OPP 20
-9
96.0%
Will Rogers sacked by Khamron Ford for a loss of 9 yards to the SELA 29Similar
Q1 4:02
4TH & 15
OPP 29
+47
94.8%
Kyle Ferrie 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SELADrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:505% → 5%
Q1 4:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
95.0%
Zachary Clement pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:01
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
95.0%
Zachary Clement pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:01
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-5
95.1%
SE Louisiana Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SELA 20Similar
Q1 4:01
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+11
95.1%
Zachary Clement pass complete to Darius Lewis for 11 yds to the SELA 31Similar
Q1 3:11
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
95.0%
Austin Dunlap punt for 56 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSSTDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 3:1195% → 94%
Q1 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+9
94.7%
Will Rogers pass complete to Justin Robinson for 9 yds to the MSST 22Similar
Q1 3:11
2ND & 1
OWN 22
+2
94.8%
Seth Davis run for 2 yds to the MSST 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
94.8%
Jo'Quavious Marks run for 5 yds to the MSST 29Similar
Q1 3:11
2ND & 5
OWN 29
+2
94.8%
Will Rogers pass complete to Jo'Quavious Marks for 2 yds to the MSST 31Similar
Q1 0:05
3RD & 3
OWN 31
+2
94.0%
Jo'Quavious Marks run for 2 yds to the MSST 33Similar
Q1 0:00
4TH & 1
OWN 33
0
93.9%
Keelan Crimmins punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Darius Lewis at the SELA 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SELADrive 6FUMBLE
1 play · 9 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+9
94.0%
Eli Sawyer pass complete to Jacob Logan for 9 yds fumbled, forced by Nathaniel Watson, recovered by MSST Nathaniel WatsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSSTDrive 7TD
3 plays · 36 yds · 1:0694% → 95%
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
94.3%
Jo'Quavious Marks run for 3 yds to the SELA 33Similar
Q2 14:52
2ND & 7
OPP 33
+32
94.5%
Will Rogers pass complete to Jo'Quavious Marks for 32 yds to the SELA 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
95.3%
Jo'Quavious Marks run for 1 yd for a TD (Kyle Ferrie KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SELADrive 8TD
18 plays · 79 yds · 8:095% → 10%
Q2 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-5
95.1%
SE Louisiana Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SELA 16Similar
Q2 13:41
1ST & 15
OWN 16
0
95.1%
Harlan Dixon run for no gain to the SELA 16Similar
Q2 13:41
2ND & 15
OWN 16
0
95.1%
Eli Sawyer pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:41
3RD & 15
OWN 16
-5
95.2%
SE Louisiana Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SELA 11Similar
Q2 13:41
3RD & 20
OWN 11
+28
95.2%
Eli Sawyer pass complete to Harlan Dixon for 28 yds to the SELA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
94.9%
Eli Sawyer pass complete to Xavier Hill for 5 yds to the SELA 44Similar
Q2 13:41
2ND & 5
OWN 44
0
94.8%
Harlan Dixon run for no gain to the SELA 44Similar
Q2 13:41
3RD & 5
OWN 44
+12
94.9%
Eli Sawyer pass complete to Darius Lewis for 12 yds to the MSST 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:41
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+14
94.8%
Harlan Dixon run for 14 yds to the MSST 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:41
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+6
94.6%
Eli Sawyer pass complete to Jaylon Domingeaux for 6 yds to the MSST 24Similar
Q2 13:41
2ND & 4
OPP 24
+3
94.6%
Harlan Dixon run for 3 yds to the MSST 21Similar
Q2 13:41
3RD & 1
OPP 21
0
94.7%
Eli Sawyer pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:41
4TH & 1
OPP 21
+8
94.9%
Deantre Jackson run for 8 yds to the MSST 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:41
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
94.6%
Deantre Jackson run for 3 yds to the MSST 10Similar
Q2 13:41
2ND & 7
OPP 10
0
94.6%
Eli Sawyer pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:41
3RD & 7
OPP 10
+7
94.7%
Eli Sawyer pass complete to Da'shun Hugley for 7 yds to the MSST 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
94.6%
Rodeo Graham Jr. run for 1 yd to the MSST 2Similar
Q2 5:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
89.9%
Zachary Clement pass complete to Jacob Logan for 2 yds for a TD (Riley Callaghan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSSTDrive 9TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:0391% → 94%
Q2 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
91.4%
Will Rogers pass complete to Creed Whittemore for 14 yds to the MSST 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
91.7%
Jo'Quavious Marks run for 1 yd to the MSST 40Similar
Q2 5:32
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+4
91.6%
Jo'Quavious Marks run for 4 yds to the MSST 44Similar
Q2 5:32
3RD & 5
OWN 44
+9
91.7%
Will Rogers pass complete to Creed Whittemore for 9 yds to the SELA 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:32
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
92.1%
Will Rogers pass complete to Creed Whittemore for 3 yds to the SELA 44Similar
Q2 5:32
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+6
92.1%
Jo'Quavious Marks run for 6 yds to the SELA 38Similar
Q2 5:32
3RD & 1
OPP 38
0
92.0%
Will Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:32
4TH & 1
OPP 38
+5
91.7%
Jeffery Pittman run for 5 yds to the SELA 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:32
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
92.4%
Will Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:29
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+33
94.3%
Will Rogers pass complete to Creed Whittemore for 33 yds for a TD (Kyle Ferrie KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SELADrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:407% → 6%
Q2 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
93.5%
Eli Sawyer pass complete to Jaylon Domingeaux for 4 yds to the SELA 29Similar
Q2 1:24
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
93.4%
Eli Sawyer pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:24
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
93.6%
Eli Sawyer pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:44
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
93.8%
Austin Dunlap punt for 31 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSSTDrive 11FG
8 plays · 29 yds · 0:4494% → 96%
Q2 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
94.1%
Will Rogers pass complete to Jaden Walley for 4 yds to the MSST 44Similar
Q2 0:44
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+17
94.1%
Will Rogers pass complete to Antonio Harmon for 17 yds to the SELA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:44
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
94.2%
Will Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:14
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+6
93.5%
Jo'Quavious Marks run for 6 yds to the SELA 33Similar
Q2 0:14
3RD & 4
OPP 33
+2
93.4%
Will Rogers run for 2 yds to the SELA 31Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 2
OPP 31
+49
95.7%
Kyle Ferrie 49 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SELADrive 12PUNT
4 plays · -8 yds · 1:426% → 6%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
94.2%
Zachary Clement pass complete to Harlan Dixon for 3 yds to the SELA 44Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 7
OWN 44
0
94.1%
Zachary Clement pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 7
OWN 44
-11
94.2%
Zachary Clement sacked by Nathaniel Watson for a loss of 11 yards to the SELA 33Similar
Q3 13:12
4TH & 18
OWN 33
0
94.5%
Austin Dunlap punt for 53 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSSTDrive 13DOWNS
11 plays · 51 yds · 4:5095% → 95%
Q3 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
95.1%
Jo'Quavious Marks run for 3 yds to the MSST 29Similar
Q3 13:12
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+9
95.1%
Will Rogers pass complete to Justin Robinson for 9 yds to the MSST 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
95.3%
Jo'Quavious Marks run for 4 yds to the MSST 42Similar
Q3 13:12
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+13
95.3%
Will Rogers pass complete to Jacoby Bellazar for 13 yds to the SELA 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:12
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
95.4%
Will Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:12
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+6
95.3%
Mike Wright run for 6 yds to the SELA 39Similar
Q3 13:12
3RD & 4
OPP 39
+10
95.2%
Jo'Quavious Marks run for 10 yds to the SELA 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:12
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-2
95.4%
Lideatrick Griffin run for a loss of 2 yards to the SELA 31Similar
Q3 13:12
2ND & 12
OPP 31
0
95.3%
Will Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:12
3RD & 12
OPP 31
+8
95.1%
Will Rogers pass complete to Justin Robinson for 8 yds to the SELA 23Similar
Q3 8:22
4TH & 4
OPP 23
0
94.7%
Will Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SELADrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 3:236% → 5%
Q3 8:22
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
94.5%
Rodeo Graham Jr. run for 4 yds to the SELA 27Similar
Q3 8:22
2ND & 6
OWN 27
+4
94.2%
Eli Sawyer pass complete to Bauer Sharp for 4 yds to the SELA 31Similar
Q3 8:22
3RD & 2
OWN 31
+11
94.1%
Harlan Dixon run for 11 yds to the SELA 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:22
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
94.0%
Rodeo Graham Jr. run for 2 yds to the SELA 44Similar
Q3 8:22
2ND & 8
OWN 44
0
93.9%
Eli Sawyer pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:22
3RD & 8
OWN 44
-5
94.1%
Eli Sawyer sacked by Nathaniel Watson and Jaden Crumedy for a loss of 5 yards to the SELA 39Similar
Q3 4:59
4TH & 13
OWN 39
0
94.6%
Austin Dunlap punt for 43 yds, downed at the MSST 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSSTDrive 15TD
7 plays · 82 yds · 3:2995% → 99%
Q3 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
95.1%
Seth Davis run for 4 yds to the MSST 22Similar
Q3 4:59
2ND & 6
OWN 22
+11
95.1%
Mike Wright run for 11 yds to the MSST 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+53
95.2%
Mike Wright run for 53 yds to the SELA 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+9
96.0%
Jeffery Pittman run for 9 yds to the SELA 5Similar
Q3 2:15
2ND & 1
OPP 5
0
96.0%
Jeffery Pittman run for no gain to the SELA 5Similar
Q3 1:30
3RD & 1
OPP 5
+5
98.5%
Will Rogers pass complete to Jaden Walley for 5 yds for a TD (Kyle Ferrie KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SELADrive 16PUNT TD
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:311% → 0%
Q3 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-3
98.8%
Eli Sawyer sacked for a loss of 3 yards to the SELA 19Similar
Q3 1:24
2ND & 13
OWN 19
0
98.8%
Eli Sawyer pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 13
OWN 19
+3
98.9%
Eli Sawyer pass complete to Harlan Dixon for 3 yds to the SELA 22Similar
Q4 14:53
4TH & 10
OWN 22
+11
99.9%
Avery Sledge 11 Yd Return of Blocked Punt (Kyle Ferrie Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SELADrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 2:160% → 0%
Q4 14:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.9%
Cyrus Zuell run for 5 yds to the SELA 30Similar
Q4 14:41
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+1
99.9%
Cyrus Zuell run for 1 yd to the SELA 31Similar
Q4 14:41
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
99.9%
Zachary Clement run for no gain to the SELA 31Similar
Q4 12:25
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
99.9%
Austin Dunlap punt for 54 yds, downed at the MSST 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSSTDrive 18TD
6 plays · 85 yds · 3:05100% → 100%
Q4 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+37
99.9%
Jo'Quavious Marks run for 37 yds to the SELA 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:25
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
99.9%
Jo'Quavious Marks run for 2 yds to the SELA 46Similar
Q4 12:25
2ND & 8
OPP 46
+5
99.9%
Will Rogers pass complete to Lideatrick Griffin for 5 yds to the SELA 41Similar
Q4 12:25
3RD & 3
OPP 41
+23
99.9%
Jo'Quavious Marks run for 23 yds to the SELA 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:25
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+12
99.9%
Will Rogers pass complete to Lideatrick Griffin for 12 yds to the SELA 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
99.9%
Jo'Quavious Marks run for 6 yds for a TD (Kyle Ferrie KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SELADrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:420% → 0%
Q4 9:11
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
99.9%
Harlan Dixon run for 3 yds to the SELA 23Similar
Q4 9:11
2ND & 7
OWN 23
0
99.9%
Zachary Clement pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:11
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+1
99.9%
Mike Williams run for 1 yd to the SELA 24Similar
Q4 7:29
4TH & 6
OWN 24
0
100.0%
Austin Dunlap punt for 51 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSSTDrive 20TD
4 plays · 72 yds · 2:10100% → 100%
Q4 7:29
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+6
99.9%
Simeon Price run for 6 yds to the MSST 34Similar
Q4 7:29
2ND & 4
OWN 34
+9
99.9%
Mike Wright run for 9 yds to the MSST 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:29
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
99.9%
Keyvone Lee run for 4 yds to the MSST 47Similar
Q4 5:19
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+53
100.0%
Creed Whittemore run for 53 yds for a TD (Kyle Ferrie KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SELADrive 21DOWNS
10 plays · 37 yds · 3:570% → 0%
Q4 5:14
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+12
100.0%
Rodeo Graham Jr. run for 12 yds to the SELA 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:14
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
100.0%
Rodeo Graham Jr. run for 4 yds to the SELA 32Similar
Q4 5:14
2ND & 6
OWN 32
0
100.0%
Eli Sawyer pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:14
3RD & 6
OWN 32
+13
100.0%
Bauer Sharp run for 13 yds to the SELA 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:14
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
100.0%
Cyrus Zuell run for 2 yds to the SELA 47Similar
Q4 5:14
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+4
100.0%
Cyrus Zuell run for 4 yds to the MSST 49Similar
Q4 5:14
3RD & 4
OPP 49
+2
100.0%
Eli Sawyer pass complete to Darius Lewis for 2 yds to the MSST 47Similar
Q4 1:17
4TH & 2
OPP 47
-5
100.0%
SE Louisiana Penalty, False Start (Brennan Lanclos) to the SELA 48Similar
Q4 1:17
4TH & 7
OWN 48
+5
100.0%
Eli Sawyer pass complete to Rodeo Graham Jr. for 5 yds to the MSST 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSSTDrive 22END OF GAME
2 plays · -2 yds · 1:08100% → 100%
Q4 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
100.0%
(01:08) [NH] Kneel down by WRIGHT, Mike at MSU46 (team loss of 1).Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 11
OWN 46
0
100.0%
[NH] Kneel down by WRIGHT, Mike at MSU45 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 5:32
Zachary Clement pass complete to Jacob Logan for 2 yds for a TD (Riley Callaghan KICK)
-4.7
TD · Q3 1:30
Will Rogers pass complete to Jaden Walley for 5 yds for a TD (Kyle Ferrie KICK)
+2.5
FG · Q2 0:00
Kyle Ferrie 49 yd FG GOOD
+2.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com