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ECU

East Carolina 3 at Michigan 30

MICH
2023 · Week 1 · Sep 2, 2023 · Michigan Stadium
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Win probability · MICH
modelMICH aheadECU aheadconfidence bandkey playMICH scoreECU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 9:48 · Archer Trafford punt for 41 yds , Jake Thaw returns for 6 yds to the MICH 24
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+48.5+24.30−24.3−48.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 48Pregame prior+40.8Home team on offense+7.6Score differential+2.3Garbage-time factor+0.7Blowout margin+0.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 5:43: J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Roman Wilson for 14 yds for a TD (James Turner KICK) — MICH win probability +0.2 pts (now 98%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 14:13: Blake Corum run for 2 yds for a TD (James Turner KICK) — MICH win probability +0.7 pts (now 98%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 5:32: J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Roman Wilson for 10 yds for a TD (James Turner PAT MISSED) — MICH win probability +1.6 pts (now 99%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q3 15:00: Laith Marjan kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback — ECU win probability +0.6 pts (now 2%) (top driver: ECU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 9:13: J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Roman Wilson for 15 yds for a TD (James Turner KICK) — MICH win probability +1.0 pts (now 100%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MICH made the numbers' call on 3 of 4ECU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 13:19ECU 4th & 4 at ECU 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.5%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:14MICH 4th & 10 at MICH 2, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.0%−0.2
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:56ECU 4th & 6 at ECU 41, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.7%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.7%
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:48ECU 4th & 5 at ECU 41, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.7%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.8%
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:48ECU 4th & 8 at MICH 33, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.9%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    1.9%
    49% to make
    Punt
    1.6%−0.4
    average punt
  6. Q3 7:31ECU 4th & 8 at ECU 27, down 30
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  7. Q3 0:19MICH 4th & 1 at ECU 1, up 30
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    99.6%−0.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    99.1%−0.7
    average punt
  8. Q4 14:34ECU 4th & 10 at ECU 3, down 30
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.2
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  9. Q4 12:41MICH 4th & 6 at ECU 34, up 30
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    47% to make
    Punt
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q4 6:16ECU 4th & 6 at MICH 14, down 30
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%
    84% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.2
    average punt
  11. Q4 3:04MICH 4th & 12 at MICH 28, up 30
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MICH made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 5:43MICH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:13MICH Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 5:32MICH Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    98.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 9:13MICH Touchdown, up 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ECUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:312% → 2%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
98.4%
Rahjai Harris run for 1 yd to the ECU 26Similar
Q1 14:05
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+5
98.3%
Mason Garcia pass complete to Jsi Hatfield for 5 yds to the ECU 31Similar
Q1 13:33
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
98.3%
Mason Garcia pass incomplete to Shane CalhounSimilar
Q1 13:19
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
98.3%
Archer Trafford punt for 67 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:5598% → 98%
Q1 13:09
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+1
98.2%
Blake Corum run for 1 yd to the MICH 1Similar
Q1 12:26
2ND & 11
OWN 1
0
98.2%
Blake Corum run for no gain to the MICH 1Similar
Q1 11:47
3RD & 11
OWN 1
+1
98.1%
Donovan Edwards run for 1 yd to the MICH 2Similar
Q1 11:14
4TH & 10
OWN 2
0
98.0%
Tommy Doman punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Josh Murphy at the MICH 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 3INT
3 plays · 1 yds · 0:502% → 2%
Q1 11:03
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+1
98.0%
Rahjai Harris run for 1 yd to the MICH 48Similar
Q1 10:27
2ND & 11
OPP 48
+2
97.9%
Mason Garcia run for 2 yds to the MICH 46Similar
Q1 10:13
3RD & 9
OPP 46
0
97.9%
Mason Garcia pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 4TD
8 plays · 57 yds · 3:5898% → 98%
Q1 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
97.9%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Donovan Edwards for 3 yds to the MICH 46Similar
Q1 9:25
2ND & 7
OWN 46
0
97.9%
J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete to Roman WilsonSimilar
Q1 9:11
3RD & 7
OWN 46
+16
97.8%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Roman Wilson for 16 yds to the ECU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:25
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
97.7%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Blake Corum for 2 yds to the ECU 36Similar
Q1 7:53
2ND & 8
OPP 36
+21
97.7%
Blake Corum run for 21 yds to the ECU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:17
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+4
97.6%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Colston Loveland for 4 yds to the ECU 11Similar
Q1 6:41
2ND & 6
OPP 11
+3
97.5%
Blake Corum run for 3 yds to the ECU 14Similar
Q1 5:43
3RD & 9
OPP 14
+14
97.7%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Roman Wilson for 14 yds for a TD (James Turner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 5PUNT
9 plays · 16 yds · 2:382% → 3%
Q1 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.6%
Marlon Gunn Jr. run for no gain to the ECU 25Similar
Q1 4:48
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
97.5%
Mason Garcia pass complete to Jaylen Johnson for 9 yds to the ECU 34Similar
Q1 4:30
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
97.4%
Mason Garcia run for 3 yds to the ECU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
97.4%
Mason Garcia pass incomplete to Jsi HatfieldSimilar
Q1 4:05
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+1
97.4%
Marlon Gunn Jr. run for 1 yd to the ECU 36Similar
Q1 3:20
3RD & 11
OWN 36
+5
97.3%
Mason Garcia run for 5 yds to the ECU 41Similar
Q1 2:56
4TH & 6
OWN 41
0
97.3%
Archer Trafford punt for 49 yds , Jake Thaw returns for no gain to the MICH 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 6TD
9 plays · 90 yds · 3:2497% → 98%
Q1 2:37
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+20
97.3%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Cornelius Johnson for 20 yds to the MICH 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
97.2%
Donovan Edwards run for 1 yd to the MICH 31Similar
Q1 1:31
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+2
97.2%
Donovan Edwards run for 2 yds to the MICH 33Similar
Q1 0:47
3RD & 7
OWN 33
+11
97.0%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Roman Wilson for 11 yds to the MICH 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:12
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+15
97.1%
(00:15) No Huddle McCarthy,J.J. pass incomplete deep middle to Wilson,Roman PENALTY ECU Pass Interference (Wood,Julius) 15 yards from MICH44 to ECU41, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
97.1%
Donovan Edwards run for 2 yds to the ECU 39Similar
Q2 14:50
2ND & 8
OPP 39
+37
97.1%
Blake Corum run for 37 yds to the ECU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
97.8%
Blake Corum run for 2 yds for a TD (James Turner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 7PUNT
10 plays · 32 yds · 4:032% → 3%
Q2 13:51
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+1
97.6%
Alex Flinn pass complete to Jhari Patterson for 1 yd to the ECU 10Similar
Q2 13:15
2ND & 9
OWN 10
+14
97.5%
Alex Flinn pass complete to Jhari Patterson for 14 yds to the ECU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-10
97.4%
(12:54) No Huddle-Shotgun Flinn,Alex pass incomplete deep left to Hatfield,Jsi PENALTY ECU Holding (Moorer,Parker) 10 yards from ECU24 to ECU14. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:44
1ST & 20
OWN 14
+16
97.4%
Rahjai Harris run for 16 yds to the ECU 30Similar
Q2 11:58
2ND & 4
OWN 30
+3
97.3%
Javious Bond run for 3 yds to the ECU 33Similar
Q2 11:22
3RD & 1
OWN 33
+3
97.3%
Alex Flinn run for 3 yds to the ECU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
97.2%
Alex Flinn pass incomplete to Ryan KingSimilar
Q2 9:58
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+5
97.2%
Alex Flinn pass complete to Jhari Patterson for 5 yds to the ECU 41Similar
Q2 9:58
3RD & 5
OWN 41
0
97.2%
Alex Flinn pass incomplete to Jhari PattersonSimilar
Q2 9:48
4TH & 5
OWN 41
+6
97.2%
Archer Trafford punt for 41 yds , Jake Thaw returns for 6 yds to the MICH 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 8TD
8 plays · 76 yds · 4:0397% → 99%
Q2 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+12
97.4%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Donovan Edwards for 12 yds to the MICH 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
97.4%
Kalel Mullings run for no gain to the MICH 36Similar
Q2 8:23
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+1
97.3%
Donovan Edwards run for 1 yd to the MICH 35Similar
Q2 7:35
3RD & 11
OWN 35
+16
97.1%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Cornelius Johnson for 16 yds to the ECU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:55
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+24
97.1%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Colston Loveland for 24 yds to the ECU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:10
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+15
97.0%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Colston Loveland for 15 yds to the ECU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
98.6%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Roman Wilson for 10 yds for a TD (James Turner PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 9MISSED FG
13 plays · 42 yds · 4:262% → 2%
Q2 5:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
98.4%
Alex Flinn run for 3 yds to the ECU 28Similar
Q2 4:40
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+5
98.4%
Alex Flinn pass complete to Jarett Garner for 5 yds to the ECU 33Similar
Q2 3:58
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+19
98.4%
Alex Flinn pass complete to Javious Bond for 19 yds to the MICH 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:24
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
98.3%
Rahjai Harris run for 3 yds to the MICH 45Similar
Q2 3:13
2ND & 7
OPP 45
-6
98.3%
East Carolina Penalty, False Start (Brock Spalding) to the ECU 49Similar
Q2 2:47
2ND & 13
OWN 49
+8
98.4%
Alex Flinn pass complete to Jaylen Johnson for 8 yds to the MICH 43Similar
Q2 2:15
3RD & 5
OPP 43
+8
98.3%
Alex Flinn run for 8 yds to the MICH 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:43
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
98.0%
Javious Bond run for 2 yds to the MICH 33Similar
Q2 0:56
2ND & 8
OPP 33
0
98.1%
Alex Flinn pass incomplete to Javious BondSimilar
Q2 0:53
3RD & 8
OPP 33
+18
98.3%
Alex Flinn pass complete to for 18 yds to the MICH 33Similar
Q2 0:48
4TH & 8
OPP 33
+51
98.4%
Andrew Conrad 51 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 10FG
8 plays · 34 yds · 0:3399% → 99%
Q2 0:33
1ST & 9
OWN 34
+4
98.9%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Cornelius Johnson for 4 yds to the MICH 38Similar
Q2 0:23
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+9
98.9%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Fredrick Moore for 9 yds to the MICH 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:14
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+12
98.9%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Roman Wilson for 12 yds to the ECU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:08
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+9
99.0%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Fredrick Moore for 9 yds to the ECU 32Similar
Q2 0:05
2ND & 1
OPP 32
0
99.0%
J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete to Cornelius JohnsonSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 1
OPP 32
+50
99.0%
James Turner 50 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 11TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 5:3699% → 100%
Q3 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
98.7%
Blake Corum run for 2 yds to the MICH 27Similar
Q3 14:05
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+14
98.7%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Max Bredeson for 14 yds to the MICH 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+8
98.7%
Blake Corum run for 8 yds to the MICH 49Similar
Q3 12:46
2ND & 2
OWN 49
+16
98.7%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Cornelius Johnson for 16 yds to the ECU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:54
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
98.8%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Blake Corum for 3 yds to the ECU 32Similar
Q3 11:29
2ND & 7
OPP 32
+4
98.8%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Darrius Clemons for 4 yds to the ECU 28Similar
Q3 11:03
3RD & 3
OPP 28
+3
98.8%
Blake Corum run for 3 yds to the ECU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:24
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
98.8%
J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete to AJ BarnerSimilar
Q3 10:19
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+11
98.8%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Donovan Edwards for 11 yds to the ECU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:55
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
98.8%
Donovan Edwards run for 1 yd to the ECU 15Similar
Q3 9:16
2ND & 11
OPP 15
0
98.8%
J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete to Roman WilsonSimilar
Q3 9:13
3RD & 11
OPP 15
+15
99.8%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Roman Wilson for 15 yds for a TD (James Turner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 1:290% → 0%
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.8%
Jhari Patterson run for 1 yd to the ECU 24Similar
Q3 8:20
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+3
99.8%
Rahjai Harris run for 3 yds to the ECU 27Similar
Q3 7:40
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
99.8%
Alex Flinn pass incomplete to Jaylen JohnsonSimilar
Q3 7:31
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+5
99.8%
Archer Trafford punt for 45 yds , Jake Thaw returns for 5 yds to the MICH 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 13DOWNS
16 plays · 79 yds · 7:12100% → 100%
Q3 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
99.8%
Blake Corum run for 4 yds to the MICH 22Similar
Q3 6:40
2ND & 6
OWN 22
+7
99.8%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Donovan Edwards for 7 yds to the MICH 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
99.8%
Donovan Edwards run for 5 yds to the MICH 34Similar
Q3 5:18
2ND & 5
OWN 34
+14
99.8%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Colston Loveland for 14 yds to the MICH 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:41
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+14
99.8%
Donovan Edwards run for 14 yds to the ECU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:05
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
99.8%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Blake Corum for no gain to the ECU 38Similar
Q3 3:30
2ND & 10
OPP 38
-10
99.8%
(03:36) No Huddle-Shotgun Corum,Blake rush left for 4 yards gain to the ECU34 (Nash,Dontavius) PENALTY MICH Holding (Nugent,Drake) 10 yards from ECU38 to ECU48. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:02
2ND & 20
OPP 48
+15
99.8%
(03:07) No Huddle-Shotgun McCarthy,J.J. pass incomplete deep right to Moore,Frederick PENALTY ECU Targeting (Powers,Jack) 15 yards from ECU48 to ECU33, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:51
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+15
99.8%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Cornelius Johnson for 15 yds to the ECU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:17
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-5
99.8%
PENALTY MICH False Start (Barner,AJ) 5 yards from ECU18 to ECU23. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:56
1ST & 15
OPP 23
+17
99.8%
Donovan Edwards run for 10 yds to the ECU 13 for a 1ST down East Carolina Penalty, UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (Julius Wood) to the ECU 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
99.8%
Donovan Edwards run for 4 yds to the ECU 2Similar
Q3 1:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
99.9%
Donovan Edwards run for no gain to the ECU 2Similar
Q3 0:56
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun Edwards,Donovan rush middle for 1 yard gain to the ECU01 (Edwards III,Michael) PENALTY ECU Offside (Edwards III,Michael) 1 yard from ECU02 to ECU01. NO PLAY. The previous play is under review. The ruling on the field has been overturned. The player didn't cross the goalline (OVERTURNED PLAY: (00:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 D.Edwards rush middle for 2 yards gain to the ECU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:56 PENALTY ECU Offside declined).Similar
Q3 0:39
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.9%
Donovan Edwards run for no gain to the ECU 1Similar
Q3 0:19
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+2
99.9%
J.J. McCarthy run for 2 yds to the ECU 3 J.J. McCarthy fumbled, recovered by J.J. MccarthySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 0:370% → 0%
Q3 0:11
1ST & 10
OWN 3
-27
99.9%
(00:15) No Huddle-Shotgun Garcia,Mason pass complete deep left to Garner,Jarett for 27 yards to the ECU30, End Of Play PENALTY ECU Pass Interference (Garner,Jarett) 1 yard from ECU03 to ECU02. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 11
OWN 2
+1
99.9%
Marlon Gunn Jr. run for 1 yd to the ECU 3Similar
Q4 14:51
2ND & 10
OWN 3
0
99.9%
Mason Garcia pass incomplete to Jaylen JohnsonSimilar
Q4 14:46
3RD & 10
OWN 3
0
99.9%
Mason Garcia pass incomplete to Marlon Gunn Jr.Similar
Q4 14:34
4TH & 10
OWN 3
+8
99.9%
Archer Trafford punt for 43 yds , Karmello English returns for 8 yds to the ECU 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 15MISSED FG
7 plays · 4 yds · 1:41100% → 100%
Q4 14:22
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
99.9%
Kalel Mullings run for 2 yds to the ECU 36Similar
Q4 13:34
2ND & 8
OPP 36
-5
99.9%
(13:54) PENALTY MICH Encroachment 5 yards from ECU36 to ECU41. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:34
2ND & 13
OPP 41
0
99.9%
Davis Warren pass incomplete to Max BredesonSimilar
Q4 13:18
3RD & 13
OPP 41
+12
99.9%
Kalel Mullings run for 12 yds to the ECU 29Similar
Q4 12:49
4TH & 1
OPP 29
-5
99.9%
PENALTY MICH False Start (El-Hadi,Giovanni) 5 yards from ECU29 to ECU34. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:41
4TH & 6
OPP 34
+52
99.9%
James Turner 52 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 16DOWNS
13 plays · 53 yds · 6:110% → 0%
Q4 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
99.9%
Mason Garcia run for 5 yds to the ECU 39Similar
Q4 11:45
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+12
99.9%
Javious Bond run for 12 yds to the MICH 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:09
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
99.9%
Mason Garcia pass complete to Javious Bond for 7 yds to the MICH 42Similar
Q4 10:40
2ND & 3
OPP 42
+1
99.9%
Javious Bond run for 1 yd to the MICH 43Similar
Q4 10:01
3RD & 4
OPP 43
+5
99.9%
Mason Garcia pass complete to Jarett Garner for 5 yds to the MICH 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+7
99.9%
Mason Garcia pass complete to Jarett Garner for 7 yds to the MICH 31Similar
Q4 8:43
2ND & 3
OPP 31
+13
99.9%
Marlon Gunn Jr. run for 13 yds to the MICH 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:10
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
99.9%
Marlon Gunn Jr. run for 3 yds to the MICH 15Similar
Q4 7:36
2ND & 7
OPP 15
-10
99.9%
(07:38) No Huddle-Shotgun Garcia,Mason pass complete short middle to Calhoun,Shane for 2 yards to the MICH13 (Graham,Mason) PENALTY ECU Holding (Pearce,Richard) 10 yards from MICH15 to MICH25. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:04
2ND & 17
OPP 25
0
99.9%
Mason Garcia pass incomplete to Antonio FergusonSimilar
Q4 6:55
3RD & 17
OPP 25
+11
99.9%
Mason Garcia run for 11 yds to the MICH 14Similar
Q4 6:16
4TH & 6
OPP 14
+1
99.9%
Mason Garcia run for 1 yd to the MICH 13Similar
Q4 6:16
4TH & 6
OPP 14
0
99.9%
East Carolina Penalty, Defensive Holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 3:01100% → 100%
Q4 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+1
99.9%
Benjamin Hall run for 1 yd to the MICH 14Similar
Q4 5:35
2ND & 9
OWN 14
+1
99.9%
Benjamin Hall run for 1 yd to the MICH 15Similar
Q4 4:56
3RD & 8
OWN 15
+15
99.9%
(05:03) No Huddle-Shotgun Warren,Davis pass incomplete short middle to Moore,Frederick broken up by King,Devon PENALTY ECU UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (King,Devon) 15 yards from MICH15 to MICH30, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+8
99.9%
Davis Warren run for 8 yds to the MICH 22Similar
Q4 4:10
2ND & 18
OWN 22
+7
99.9%
CJ Stokes run for 7 yds to the MICH 29Similar
Q4 3:37
3RD & 11
OWN 29
+1
99.9%
CJ Stokes run for 1 yd to the MICH 28Similar
Q4 3:04
4TH & 12
OWN 28
0
99.9%
Tommy Doman punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Josh Murphy at the ECU 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 18FG
11 plays · 56 yds · 2:530% → 0%
Q4 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+13
100.0%
Mason Garcia pass complete to Jaylen Johnson for 13 yds to the ECU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:23
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
100.0%
Mason Garcia pass complete to Javious Bond for 5 yds to the ECU 46Similar
Q4 1:49
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+5
100.0%
Mason Garcia run for 5 yds to the MICH 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:14
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+8
100.0%
Mason Garcia pass complete to Gerald Green for 8 yds to the MICH 41Similar
Q4 0:46
2ND & 2
OPP 41
+4
100.0%
Mason Garcia run for 4 yds to the MICH 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:34
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
100.0%
Mason Garcia pass complete to Jarett Garner for 5 yds to the MICH 32Similar
Q4 0:18
2ND & 5
OPP 32
+7
100.0%
Mason Garcia pass complete to Jsi Hatfield for 7 yds to the MICH 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:08
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
100.0%
Mason Garcia pass incomplete to Shane CalhounSimilar
Q4 0:05
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+9
100.0%
Mason Garcia pass complete to Gerald Green for 9 yds to the MICH 16Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 1
OPP 16
+33
100.0%
Andrew Conrad 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 5:32
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Roman Wilson for 10 yds for a TD (James Turner PAT MISSED)
+1.6
TD · Q3 9:13
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Roman Wilson for 15 yds for a TD (James Turner KICK)
+1
TD · Q2 14:13
Blake Corum run for 2 yds for a TD (James Turner KICK)
+0.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com