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TOW

Towson 6 at Maryland 38

MD
2023 · Week 1 · Sep 2, 2023 · SECU Stadium
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Win probability · MD
modelMD aheadTOW aheadconfidence bandkey playMD scoreTOW score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 0:42 · Antwain Littleton II run for 3 yds to the TOW 20 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+49.0+24.50−24.5−49.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 88Pregame prior+36.1Home team on offense+16.6Score differential+6.5Blowout margin−0.4Garbage-time factor+4.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 12:06: Taulia Tagovailoa run for 23 yds for a TD (Jack Howes KICK) — TOW win probability +0.2 pts (now 2%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 0:17: Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Jeshaun Jones for 24 yds for a TD (Jack Howes KICK) — MD win probability +0.4 pts (now 99%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 11:57: Keegan Vaughan 36 yd FG GOOD — TOW win probability +0.5 pts (now 2%) (top driver: TOW has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:14: Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Kaden Prather for 13 yds for a TD (Jack Howes KICK) — MD win probability +1.6 pts (now 99%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 9:26: Roman Hemby run for 9 yds for a TD (Jack Howes KICK) — MD win probability +0.5 pts (now 100%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MD made the numbers' call on 6 of 7TOW made the numbers' call on 9 of 10
  1. Q1 9:34TOW 4th & 12 at TOW 33, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.8%−0.2
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:57MD 4th & 3 at MD 33, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.9%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:07TOW 4th & 8 at TOW 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.1%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.2%
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:00TOW 4th & 9 at TOW 26, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.1%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:57TOW 4th & 12 at MD 18, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.4%−0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    1.5%
    79% to make
    Punt
    1.1%−0.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:40MD 4th & 15 at TOW 27, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.3%−0.3
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.6%
    62% to make
    Punt
    96.8%−0.8
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:01TOW 4th & 12 at MD 45, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.5%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    2.4%−0.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    2.6%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:42MD 4th & 2 at TOW 23, up 18
    Close callWent for it · 97.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.2%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    97.2%
    70% to make
    Punt
    96.3%−0.9
    average punt
  9. Q3 13:34TOW 4th & 2 at TOW 33, down 25
    Close callPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:26TOW 4th & 4 at MD 32, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    0.4%−0.1
    51% to make
    Punt
    0.4%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 1:33TOW 4th & 5 at MD 22, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.1%
    72% to make
    Punt
    -0.3%−0.4
    average punt
  12. Q3 0:42MD 4th & 9 at MD 26, up 29
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  13. Q4 13:01TOW 4th & 2 at MD 32, down 29
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−0.1
    51% to make
    Punt
    -0.0%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 13:01MD 4th & 3 at TOW 39, up 29
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.1
    36% to make
    Punt
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 5:38MD 4th & 6 at TOW 6, up 29
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%
    91% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.4
    average punt
  16. Q4 3:11TOW 4th & 4 at MD 20, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−<0.1
    75% to make
    Punt
    -0.0%−0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 0:21MD 4th & 25 at MD 34, up 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MD made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 12:06MD Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:29MD Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:17MD Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:14MD Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 9:26MD Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MDDrive 1TD
7 plays · 87 yds · 2:5499% → 99%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+5
98.6%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Kaden Prather for 5 yds to the MD 18Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 18
+4
98.6%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Tai Felton for 4 yds to the MD 22Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 22
+3
98.6%
Antwain Littleton II run for 3 yds to the MD 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
98.6%
Antwain Littleton II run for 8 yds to the MD 33Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+44
98.6%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Corey Dyches for 44 yds to the TOW 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
98.6%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:06
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+23
98.5%
Taulia Tagovailoa run for 23 yds for a TD (Jack Howes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOWDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 8 yds · 2:322% → 2%
Q1 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.4%
Nathan Kent pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:06
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
98.4%
D'Ago Hunter run for 5 yds to the TOW 30Similar
Q1 12:06
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+5
98.4%
D'Ago Hunter run for 5 yds to the TOW 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
98.4%
D'Ago Hunter run for 4 yds to the TOW 39Similar
Q1 12:06
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+2
98.4%
Nathan Kent run for 2 yds to the TOW 41Similar
Q1 12:06
3RD & 4
OWN 41
-8
98.4%
Nathan Kent sacked by Isaac Bunyun for a loss of 8 yards to the TOW 33Similar
Q1 9:34
4TH & 12
OWN 33
0
98.2%
Justin Ritter punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Tarheeb Still at the MD 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:3798% → 98%
Q1 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
98.2%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:34
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+7
98.2%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Roman Hemby for 7 yds to the MD 33Similar
Q1 9:34
3RD & 3
OWN 33
0
98.2%
Antwain Littleton II run for no gain to the MD 33Similar
Q1 7:57
4TH & 3
OWN 33
0
98.1%
Colton Spangler punt for 54 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOWDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:502% → 2%
Q1 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
98.1%
Devin Matthews run for 2 yds to the TOW 25Similar
Q1 7:57
2ND & 8
OWN 25
0
98.1%
Nathan Kent pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:57
3RD & 8
OWN 25
0
98.1%
Nathan Kent pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:07
4TH & 8
OWN 25
0
98.0%
Justin Ritter punt for 29 yds, downed at the MD 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 5TD
5 plays · 54 yds · 2:3898% → 98%
Q1 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+8
98.1%
Antwain Littleton II run for 8 yds to the TOW 46Similar
Q1 7:07
2ND & 2
OPP 46
+3
98.1%
Roman Hemby run for 3 yds to the TOW 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:07
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+8
98.1%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Jeshaun Jones for 8 yds to the TOW 35Similar
Q1 7:07
2ND & 2
OPP 35
+12
98.1%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Corey Dyches for 12 yds to the TOW 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:29
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+23
98.2%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Corey Dyches for 23 yds for a TD (Jack Howes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOWDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:292% → 2%
Q1 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
98.0%
Towson Penalty, Delay Of Game (Nathan Kent) to the TOW 20Similar
Q1 4:29
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+2
98.0%
Devin Matthews run for 2 yds to the TOW 22Similar
Q1 4:29
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+4
98.1%
Devin Matthews run for 4 yds to the TOW 26Similar
Q1 4:29
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
98.1%
Nathan Kent pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:00
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
98.0%
Justin Ritter punt for 26 yds, downed at the MD 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 7TD
7 plays · 52 yds · 2:4398% → 99%
Q1 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+6
98.1%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Tyrese Chambers for 6 yds to the TOW 46Similar
Q1 3:00
2ND & 4
OPP 46
+7
98.1%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Octavian Smith Jr. for 7 yds to the TOW 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
98.1%
Roman Hemby run for 3 yds to the TOW 36Similar
Q1 3:00
2ND & 7
OPP 36
0
98.1%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:00
3RD & 7
OPP 36
+12
98.1%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Octavian Smith Jr. for 12 yds to the TOW 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
98.1%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:17
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+24
98.5%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Jeshaun Jones for 24 yds for a TD (Jack Howes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOWDrive 8FG
11 plays · 57 yds · 3:032% → 2%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
98.5%
Nathan Kent run for 17 yds to the TOW 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
98.5%
Nathan Kent pass complete to D'Ago Hunter for 6 yds to the TOW 48Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 48
+4
98.5%
D'Ago Hunter run for 4 yds to the MD 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+7
98.5%
Nathan Kent run for 7 yds to the MD 41Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 41
+11
98.4%
Nathan Kent pass complete to Da'Kendall James for 11 yds to the MD 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+14
98.4%
KENT, Nathan pass to the left incomplete intended for PERKINS, Zay thrown to the UMD18. PENALTY UMD Pass Interference on SHEPPARD, Jaquan enforced at the spot of the foul for 14 yards to the UMD16 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
98.4%
Nathan Kent pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+3
98.4%
Nathan Kent pass complete to D'Ago Hunter for 3 yds to the MD 13Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 13
-5
98.5%
Towson Penalty, False Start (Mathias Adjingbaruk) to the MD 18Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 12
OPP 18
0
98.5%
Nathan Kent pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:57
4TH & 12
OPP 18
+36
98.0%
Keegan Vaughan 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 9MISSED FG
13 plays · 39 yds · 4:1098% → 98%
Q2 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
98.1%
Antwain Littleton II run for 1 yd to the MD 35Similar
Q2 11:50
2ND & 9
OWN 35
+14
98.1%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Corey Dyches for 14 yds to the MD 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
98.1%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:50
2ND & 10
OWN 49
0
98.1%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:50
3RD & 10
OWN 49
+15
98.1%
TAGOVAILOA, Taulia pass deep to the right incomplete intended for DYCHES, Corey thrown to the TOW5. PENALTY TOW Roughing the Passer on GAY, Jamal enforced 15 yards from the UMD49 to the TOW36 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 10:06
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+14
98.1%
Roman Hemby run for 14 yds to the TOW 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:06
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-15
98.2%
SMITH JR., Octavian rush to the left for a gain of 9 yards to the TOW13 (GIBBS, Jesus). PENALTY UMD Personal Foul on PURCELL, Mike enforced 15 yards from the TOW22 to the TOW37 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 10:06
1ST & 25
OPP 37
0
98.2%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:06
2ND & 25
OPP 37
+16
98.2%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Jeshaun Jones for 16 yds to the TOW 21Similar
Q2 10:06
3RD & 9
OPP 21
-10
98.2%
TAGOVAILOA, Taulia pass short to the left complete for 11 yards to JONES, Jeshaun caught at the TOW18 and advanced to the TOW10 (RAYMOND, Daniel;SMITH, Shafeek). PENALTY UMD Holding on HEMBY, Roman enforced 10 yards from the TOW21 to the TOW31 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 10:06
3RD & 19
OPP 31
+4
98.1%
Roman Hemby run for 4 yds to the TOW 27Similar
Q2 7:40
4TH & 15
OPP 27
+45
97.9%
Jack Howes 45 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOWDrive 10PUNT
10 plays · 28 yds · 3:392% → 2%
Q2 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
97.7%
Nathan Kent pass complete to Lukkas Londono for 4 yds to the TOW 31Similar
Q2 7:40
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+5
97.7%
Devin Matthews run for 5 yds to the TOW 36Similar
Q2 7:40
3RD & 1
OWN 36
+1
97.6%
Nathan Kent run for 1 yd to the TOW 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
97.7%
Nathan Kent run for 5 yds to the TOW 42Similar
Q2 7:40
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+15
97.6%
Nathan Kent pass complete to Zay Perkins for 15 yds to the MD 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:40
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
97.6%
D'Ago Hunter run for 3 yds to the MD 40Similar
Q2 7:40
2ND & 7
OPP 40
-5
97.6%
Towson Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MD 45Similar
Q2 4:14
2ND & 12
OPP 45
0
97.4%
Nathan Kent pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:14
3RD & 12
OPP 45
0
97.5%
Nathan Kent pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:01
4TH & 12
OPP 45
0
97.6%
Justin Ritter punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Tarheeb Still at the MD 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 11TD
18 plays · 91 yds · 3:4798% → 99%
Q2 4:01
1ST & 10
OWN 9
-1
97.9%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Jeshaun Jones for a loss of 1 yard to the MD 8Similar
Q2 4:01
2ND & 11
OWN 8
+4
97.7%
Antwain Littleton II run for 4 yds to the MD 12Similar
Q2 4:01
3RD & 7
OWN 12
+10
97.7%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Jeshaun Jones for 10 yds to the MD 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:01
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
97.8%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:01
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+5
97.8%
Taulia Tagovailoa run for 5 yds to the MD 27Similar
Q2 4:01
3RD & 5
OWN 27
+16
97.8%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Octavian Smith Jr. for 16 yds to the MD 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:01
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
97.9%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:01
2ND & 10
OWN 43
0
97.9%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:01
3RD & 10
OWN 43
+15
97.8%
TAGOVAILOA, Taulia pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for FELTON, Tai thrown to the TOW39. PENALTY TOW Pass Interference on TOLER, Justin enforced at the spot of the foul for 15 yards to the TOW42 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 4:01
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+11
97.9%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Tai Felton for 11 yds to the TOW 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:01
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+1
97.9%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Corey Dyches for 1 yd to the TOW 30Similar
Q2 4:01
2ND & 9
OPP 30
0
97.9%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:42
3RD & 9
OPP 30
+7
97.7%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Roman Hemby for 7 yds to the TOW 23Similar
Q2 0:42
4TH & 2
OPP 23
+3
97.6%
Antwain Littleton II run for 3 yds to the TOW 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+7
97.7%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Octavian Smith Jr. for 7 yds to the TOW 13Similar
Q2 0:14
2ND & 3
OPP 13
+13
99.3%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Kaden Prather for 13 yds for a TD (Jack Howes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOWDrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · 8 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+8
98.9%
Devin Matthews run for 8 yds to the TOW 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOWDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:261% → 1%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.0%
D'Ago Hunter run for 4 yds to the TOW 29Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
98.9%
Nathan Kent pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+4
99.0%
Nathan Kent pass complete to Malik Jackson for 4 yds to the TOW 33Similar
Q3 13:34
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
99.0%
Justin Ritter punt for 39 yds, downed at the MD 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 14TD
11 plays · 72 yds · 4:0899% → 100%
Q3 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
99.2%
Roman Hemby run for 4 yds to the MD 32Similar
Q3 13:34
2ND & 6
OWN 32
+2
99.2%
Roman Hemby run for 2 yds to the MD 34Similar
Q3 13:34
3RD & 4
OWN 34
+7
99.2%
Roman Hemby run for 7 yds to the MD 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+15
99.2%
TAGOVAILOA, Taulia pass deep to the right incomplete intended for FELTON, Tai thrown to the TOW20. PENALTY TOW Pass Interference on JAVIER, Robert enforced 15 yards to the TOW44 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 13:34
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-5
99.2%
Maryland Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TOW 49Similar
Q3 13:34
1ST & 15
OPP 49
+15
99.2%
TAGOVAILOA, Taulia pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for PRATHER, Kaden thrown to the TOW5. PENALTY TOW Pass Interference on SMITH, Shafeek enforced 15 yards to the TOW34 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 13:34
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
99.2%
Roman Hemby run for 4 yds to the TOW 30Similar
Q3 13:34
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+2
99.3%
Roman Hemby run for 2 yds to the TOW 28Similar
Q3 13:34
3RD & 4
OPP 28
+5
99.2%
Roman Hemby run for 5 yds to the TOW 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:34
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+14
99.2%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Corey Dyches for 14 yds to the TOW 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
99.8%
Roman Hemby run for 9 yds for a TD (Jack Howes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOWDrive 15FG
18 plays · 53 yds · 7:530% → 0%
Q3 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.7%
Nathan Kent run for 3 yds to the TOW 28Similar
Q3 9:26
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
99.7%
Devin Matthews run for 6 yds to the TOW 34Similar
Q3 9:26
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
99.6%
Devin Matthews run for 3 yds to the TOW 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
99.7%
Devin Matthews run for no gain to the TOW 37Similar
Q3 9:26
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+12
99.7%
Nathan Kent run for 12 yds to the TOW 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
99.6%
Nathan Kent pass complete to Zay Perkins for 4 yds to the MD 47Similar
Q3 9:26
2ND & 6
OPP 47
0
99.6%
Nathan Kent pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:26
3RD & 6
OPP 47
+9
99.6%
Nathan Kent pass complete to D'Ago Hunter for 9 yds to the MD 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:26
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-5
99.6%
Nathan Kent pass complete to D'Ago Hunter for a loss of 5 yards to the MD 43Similar
Q3 9:26
2ND & 15
OPP 43
+6
99.7%
Devin Matthews run for 6 yds to the MD 37Similar
Q3 9:26
3RD & 9
OPP 37
+5
99.6%
Nathan Kent pass complete to Matthew Akuchie for 5 yds to the MD 32Similar
Q3 9:26
4TH & 4
OPP 32
+5
99.5%
Nathan Kent run for 5 yds to the MD 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:26
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
99.6%
Devin Matthews run for 3 yds to the MD 24Similar
Q3 2:21
2ND & 7
OPP 24
+5
99.8%
Nathan Kent pass complete to Malik Jackson for 5 yds to the MD 19Similar
Q3 2:21
3RD & 2
OPP 19
-5
99.9%
Towson Penalty, False Start (Jean Germain) to the MD 24Similar
Q3 2:21
3RD & 7
OPP 24
+2
99.9%
Devin Matthews run for 2 yds to the MD 22Similar
Q3 1:33
4TH & 5
OPP 22
+38
99.9%
Keegan Vaughan 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:51100% → 100%
Q3 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.9%
Roman Hemby run for 1 yd to the MD 26Similar
Q3 1:33
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
99.9%
Billy Edwards Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:33
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
99.9%
Billy Edwards Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:42
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
99.9%
Colton Spangler punt for 45 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOWDrive 17DOWNS
9 plays · 37 yds · 2:410% → 0%
Q3 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+8
99.9%
Nathan Kent pass complete to Da'Kendall James for 8 yds to the TOW 39Similar
Q3 0:42
2ND & 2
OWN 39
+7
99.9%
Devin Matthews run for 7 yds to the TOW 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
99.9%
Nathan Kent pass complete to Da'Kendall James for 6 yds to the MD 48Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 48
-3
99.9%
Nathan Kent sacked by Riyad Wilmot for a loss of 3 yards to the TOW 49Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 49
+11
99.9%
Nathan Kent pass complete to Zay Perkins for 11 yds to the MD 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
99.9%
D'Ago Hunter run for 4 yds to the MD 36Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 36
+4
99.9%
D'Ago Hunter run for 4 yds to the MD 32Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 32
0
99.9%
Nathan Kent pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:01
4TH & 2
OPP 32
0
99.9%
Nathan Kent pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 18FG
19 plays · 62 yds · 7:23100% → 100%
Q4 13:01
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
99.9%
Billy Edwards Jr. pass complete to Tyrese Chambers for 3 yds to the MD 35Similar
Q4 13:01
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+6
99.9%
Antwain Littleton II run for 6 yds to the MD 41Similar
Q4 13:01
3RD & 1
OWN 41
+1
99.9%
Antwain Littleton II run for 1 yd to the MD 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:01
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
99.9%
Antwain Littleton II run for 3 yds to the MD 45Similar
Q4 13:01
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+9
99.9%
Billy Edwards Jr. run for 9 yds to the TOW 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:01
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
99.9%
Colby McDonald run for no gain to the TOW 46Similar
Q4 13:01
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
99.9%
Billy Edwards Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:01
3RD & 10
OPP 46
+5
99.9%
EDWARDS JR., Billy pass deep to the right incomplete intended for KNOTTS, Shaleak thrown to the TOW15. PENALTY TOW Offsides on WALLACE, Brockman enforced 5 yards from the TOW46 to the TOW41 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 13:01
3RD & 5
OPP 41
+2
99.9%
Colby McDonald run for 2 yds to the TOW 39Similar
Q4 13:01
4TH & 3
OPP 39
+9
99.9%
Billy Edwards Jr. run for 9 yds to the TOW 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:01
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
99.9%
Billy Edwards Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:01
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+16
99.9%
Colby McDonald run for 16 yds to the TOW 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:01
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+9
99.9%
Billy Edwards Jr. run for 9 yds to the TOW 5Similar
Q4 13:01
2ND & 1
OPP 5
+2
99.9%
Eli Mason run for 2 yds to the TOW 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
99.9%
Eli Mason run for no gain to the TOW 3Similar
Q4 6:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
99.9%
EDWARDS JR., Billy pass short to the right complete for 3 yards to WALKER, Rico caught at the TOW0 and advanced to the TOW0, TOUCHDOWN UMD, score nullified by penalty, clock 06:22 (Play was confirmed after review). PENALTY UMD Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on DUMERVIL, Marcus enforced 5 yards from the TOW3 to the TOW8 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 6:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
99.9%
Billy Edwards Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:22
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
99.9%
Billy Edwards Jr. pass complete to Rico Walker for 2 yds to the TOW 6Similar
Q4 5:38
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+24
99.9%
Evan Johnson 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOWDrive 19DOWNS
9 plays · 55 yds · 2:270% → 0%
Q4 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+24
100.0%
Nathan Kent pass complete to Da'Kendall James for 24 yds to the TOW 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+8
100.0%
Chris Watkins run for 8 yds to the MD 43Similar
Q4 5:38
2ND & 2
OPP 43
+4
100.0%
Chris Watkins run for 4 yds to the MD 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:38
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-5
100.0%
Towson Penalty, Illegal Snap on PAIGE JR., Ralph enforced (Ralph Paige Jr.) to the MD 44Similar
Q4 5:38
1ST & 15
OPP 44
+18
100.0%
Nathan Kent pass complete to Lukkas Londono for 18 yds to the MD 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:38
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
99.9%
Nathan Kent pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:38
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+6
99.9%
Chris Watkins run for 6 yds to the MD 20Similar
Q4 5:38
3RD & 4
OPP 20
0
99.9%
Nathan Kent pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:11
4TH & 4
OPP 20
0
99.9%
Nathan Kent pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 20PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 2:50100% → 100%
Q4 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
100.0%
Cameron Edge pass complete to Ryan Manning for 7 yds to the MD 27Similar
Q4 3:11
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+11
100.0%
Cameron Edge pass complete to Ryan Manning for 11 yds to the MD 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
100.0%
Nolan Ray run for 6 yds to the MD 44Similar
Q4 3:11
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+5
100.0%
Nolan Ray run for 5 yds to the MD 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
100.0%
Cameron Edge pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:11
2ND & 10
OWN 49
-4
100.0%
Nolan Ray run for a loss of 4 yards to the MD 45Similar
Q4 3:11
3RD & 14
OWN 45
-11
100.0%
Cameron Edge sacked by Rodney Roane Jr. for a loss of 11 yards to the MD 34Similar
Q4 0:21
4TH & 25
OWN 34
0
100.0%
Colton Spangler punt for 49 yds, fair catch by D'Ago Hunter at the TOW 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOWDrive 21END OF 4TH QUARTER
1 play · 8 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+8
100.0%
Evan Rutkowski run for 8 yds to the TOW 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:14
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Kaden Prather for 13 yds for a TD (Jack Howes KICK)
+1.6
FG · Q2 11:57
Keegan Vaughan 36 yd FG GOOD
-0.5
TD · Q3 9:26
Roman Hemby run for 9 yds for a TD (Jack Howes KICK)
+0.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com