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BGSU

Bowling Green 24 at Liberty 34

LIB
2023 · Week 1 · Sep 2, 2023 · Williams Stadium (VA)
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Win probability · LIB
modelLIB aheadBGSU aheadconfidence bandkey playLIB scoreBGSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDFGTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · [NH] Kneel down by SALTER, Kaidon at BG3 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+30.5+15.30−15.3−30.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 6:51: Kobe Singleton 36 Yd Interception Return (Teagen Lenderink Kick) — LIB win probability +8.4 pts (now 90%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 3:36: Ta'ron Keith run for 14 yds for a TD (Alan Anaya KICK) — BGSU win probability +6.5 pts (now 16%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:20: Trent Simms 76 Yd Return of Blocked Field Goal (Alan Anaya Kick) — BGSU win probability +8.4 pts (now 18%) (top driver: LIB has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 8:35: Kaidon Salter pass complete to Bentley Hanshaw for 17 yds for a TD (Teagen Lenderink KICK) — LIB win probability +9.2 pts (now 90%) (top driver: LIB has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 4:04: Camden Orth pass complete to Odieu Hiliare for 32 yds for a TD (Alan Anaya KICK) — BGSU win probability +9.1 pts (now 24%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
LIB made the numbers' call on 6 of 7BGSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 6:19LIB 4th & 6 at BGSU 30, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 75.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    75.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    75.1%−<0.1
    56% to make
    Punt
    74.8%−0.3
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:19BGSU 4th & 1 at BGSU 45, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 25.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    25.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    25.2%−0.3
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:56BGSU 4th & 26 at BGSU 45, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.0%−1.1
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.0%
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:38LIB 4th & 4 at LIB 31, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.9%−0.4
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:10BGSU 4th & 5 at BGSU 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.3%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:48LIB 4th & 4 at BGSU 19, up 21
    Close callKicked a field goal · 91.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.2%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.0%−0.2
    77% to make
    Punt
    87.1%−4.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:20LIB 4th & 4 at BGSU 11, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 87.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.9%−0.8
    45% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    87.7%
    87% to make
    Punt
    82.8%−5.0
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:36BGSU 4th & 16 at LIB 16, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 18.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.7%−2.0
    14% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    17.7%
    81% to make
    Punt
    12.0%−5.8
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:10BGSU 4th & 1 at BGSU 34, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 12.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    12.5%−1.0
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:04BGSU 4th & 8 at LIB 32, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 11.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.8%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    10.9%
    51% to make
    Punt
    10.0%−1.0
    average punt
  11. Q3 2:40LIB 4th & 6 at LIB 29, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.2%−0.8
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.0%
    average punt
  12. Q4 8:30LIB 4th & 8 at BGSU 47, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.5%−0.9
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.4%
    average punt
  13. Q4 2:52LIB 4th & 6 at BGSU 19, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 93.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.5%−0.2
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    92.6%
    77% to make
    Punt
    88.5%−4.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:29BGSU 4th & 26 at BGSU 2, down 10
    Close callWent for it · 4.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.1%−0.3
    5% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.4%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
LIB made the numbers' call on 4 of 4BGSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 10:34LIB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 8:18LIB Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 6:51LIB Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 3:36BGSU Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    13.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    13.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:20BGSU Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 8:35LIB Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 4:04BGSU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    17.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    16.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
LIBDrive 1TD
10 plays · 71 yds · 4:2075% → 76%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
75.1%
Quinton Cooley run for no gain to the LIB 29Similar
Q1 14:54
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+3
75.1%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Elijah Smoot for 3 yds to the LIB 32Similar
Q1 14:54
3RD & 7
OWN 32
+30
75.1%
Kaidon Salter run for 30 yds to the BGSU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
75.1%
Quinton Cooley run for 3 yds to the BGSU 35Similar
Q1 14:54
2ND & 7
OPP 35
+12
75.1%
Vaughn Blue run for 12 yds to the BGSU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:01
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+11
74.8%
Kaidon Salter run for 11 yds to the BGSU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:01
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-6
74.8%
Kaidon Salter run for 4 yds to the BGSU 8 Liberty Penalty, Offensive Holding (Xavior Gray) to the BGSU 20Similar
Q1 12:01
1ST & 18
OPP 20
+18
74.8%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Treon Sibley for 18 yds to the BGSU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
75.8%
Billy Lucas run for 2 yds for a TD (Teagen Lenderink KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 19 yds · 0:0025% → 25%
Q1 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+17
75.3%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Abdul-Fatai Ibrahim for 17 yds to the BGSU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
75.2%
Jaison Patterson run for 2 yds to the BGSU 30Similar
Q1 10:30
2ND & 8
OWN 30
0
75.2%
Connor Bazelak pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:30
3RD & 8
OWN 30
0
75.4%
Connor Bazelak pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 3DOWNS
7 plays · 14 yds · 2:4776% → 75%
Q1 9:06
1ST & 10
50
+7
75.9%
Quinton Cooley run for 7 yds to the BGSU 43Similar
Q1 9:06
2ND & 3
OPP 43
+9
76.0%
Kaidon Salter run for 9 yds to the BGSU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:06
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
76.0%
Kaidon Salter pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:06
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+3
76.0%
Kaidon Salter run for 3 yds to the BGSU 31Similar
Q1 9:06
3RD & 7
OPP 31
+1
75.8%
Kaidon Salter run for 1 yd to the BGSU 30Similar
Q1 6:19
4TH & 6
OPP 30
-6
75.7%
Kaidon Salter sacked by Anthony Hawkins for a loss of 6 yards to the BGSU 36Similar
Q1 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-10
75.2%
QB Keeper BAZELAK, Connor rush to the right for a gain of 14 yards to the LIB50, End of Play. PENALTY BG Holding on PADGETT, Alex enforced 10 yards from the BG36 to the BG26 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 4PUNT
13 plays · 9 yds · 4:2324% → 24%
Q1 6:19
1ST & 20
OWN 26
0
75.6%
Terion Stewart run for no gain to the BGSU 26Similar
Q1 6:19
2ND & 20
OWN 26
+18
75.7%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Odieu Hiliare for 18 yds to the BGSU 44Similar
Q1 6:19
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+1
75.0%
Jaison Patterson run for 1 yd to the BGSU 45Similar
Q1 6:19
4TH & 1
OWN 45
+1
75.2%
Harold Fannin Jr. run for 1 yd to the BGSU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
74.9%
Connor Bazelak pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:19
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+15
75.1%
Ta'ron Keith run for 15 yds to the LIB 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:20
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
74.8%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Abdul-Fatai Ibrahim for 4 yds to the LIB 35Similar
Q1 2:20
2ND & 6
OPP 35
0
74.2%
Connor Bazelak pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:20
3RD & 6
OPP 35
-15
74.9%
BAZELAK, Connor pass up the middle incomplete intended for FANNIN JR., Harold broken up by BOTI, Chris at the LIB35; QB hurried by . PENALTY BG Face mask on FATUKASI, Tunde enforced 15 yards from the LIB35 to the BG50 [NH]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 2:20
3RD & 21
50
0
75.9%
Connor Bazelak pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:20
4TH & 21
50
-5
76.3%
Bowling Green Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the BGSU 45Similar
Q1 1:56
4TH & 26
OWN 45
0
76.5%
Sami Sir punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 3:1876% → 75%
Q1 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
75.8%
Kaidon Salter pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:56
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+9
75.7%
Kaidon Salter run for 9 yds to the LIB 22Similar
Q1 1:56
3RD & 1
OWN 22
+3
75.5%
Kaidon Salter run for 3 yds to the LIB 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
76.0%
Vaughn Blue run for a loss of 2 yards to the LIB 23Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+5
75.9%
Kaidon Salter run for 5 yds to the LIB 28Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+3
75.6%
Kaidon Salter run for 3 yds to the LIB 31Similar
Q2 13:38
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
75.4%
Max Morgan punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Jhaylin Embry at the BGSU 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:2824% → 23%
Q2 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
76.1%
Terion Stewart run for 2 yds to the BGSU 27Similar
Q2 13:38
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+3
76.0%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Austin Osborne for 3 yds to the BGSU 30Similar
Q2 13:38
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
76.1%
Connor Bazelak pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:10
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
76.9%
Sami Sir punt for 50 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 7TD
9 plays · 66 yds · 3:5276% → 84%
Q2 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+11
76.3%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to CJ Daniels for 11 yds to the LIB 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+19
77.2%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Aaron Bedgood for 19 yds to the BGSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:10
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+13
77.4%
Quinton Cooley run for 13 yds to the BGSU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:53
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+2
77.5%
Quinton Cooley run for 2 yds to the BGSU 21Similar
Q2 9:53
2ND & 8
OPP 21
0
77.5%
Kaidon Salter pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:53
3RD & 8
OPP 21
+8
77.0%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Vaughn Blue for 8 yds to the BGSU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:53
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+1
77.5%
Quinton Cooley run for 1 yd to the BGSU 12Similar
Q2 8:18
2ND & 9
OPP 12
+12
83.8%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Vaughn Blue for 12 yds for a TD (Teagen Lenderink KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 8INT TD
3 plays · 2 yds · 1:2218% → 10%
Q2 8:13
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
81.8%
Jaison Patterson run for 3 yds to the BGSU 24Similar
Q2 8:13
2ND & 7
OWN 24
-1
81.8%
Jaison Patterson run for a loss of 1 yard to the BGSU 23Similar
Q2 6:51
3RD & 8
OWN 23
-36
90.3%
Kobe Singleton 36 Yd Interception Return (Teagen Lenderink Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 9INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q2 6:42
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
90.5%
Connor Bazelak pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 10FG
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:5493% → 93%
Q2 6:42
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
92.9%
Billy Lucas run for 1 yd to the BGSU 24Similar
Q2 6:42
2ND & 9
OPP 24
0
92.9%
Kaidon Salter pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:42
3RD & 9
OPP 24
+5
92.7%
Bowling Green Penalty, Offsides (Chace Davis) to the BGSU 19Similar
Q2 6:42
3RD & 4
OPP 19
0
92.6%
Kaidon Salter pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:48
4TH & 4
OPP 19
+36
93.0%
Teagen Lenderink 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 11TD
6 plays · 65 yds · 2:129% → 16%
Q2 5:48
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
90.6%
Terion Stewart run for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:48
1ST & 10
50
+20
90.2%
Terion Stewart run for 20 yds to the LIB 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:48
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+6
89.6%
Terion Stewart run for 6 yds to the LIB 24Similar
Q2 3:44
2ND & 4
OPP 24
+10
90.2%
PaSean Wimberly run for 10 yds to the LIB 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:36
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
83.7%
Ta'ron Keith run for 14 yds for a TD (Alan Anaya KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 12FUMBLE
6 plays · 36 yds · 1:2893% → 91%
Q2 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
92.6%
Quinton Cooley run for 3 yds to the LIB 38Similar
Q2 3:13
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+15
92.7%
Bowling Green Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Dierre Kelly) to the BGSU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:13
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
92.9%
Quinton Cooley run for 4 yds to the BGSU 44Similar
Q2 3:13
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+11
92.9%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Aaron Bedgood for 11 yds to the BGSU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
90.7%
Quinton Cooley run for 4 yds to the BGSU 29 Quinton Cooley fumbled, recovered by BGSU Jalen HuskeySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 13INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q2 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
86.6%
Connor Bazelak pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 14MISSED FG TD
6 plays · 27 yds · 1:1891% → 82%
Q2 1:38
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+21
90.6%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Treon Sibley for 21 yds to the BGSU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:38
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
90.6%
Kaidon Salter pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:38
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+4
90.8%
Kaidon Salter run for 4 yds to the BGSU 13Similar
Q2 0:33
3RD & 6
OPP 13
+2
90.7%
Kaidon Salter run for 2 yds to the BGSU 11Similar
Q2 0:20
4TH & 4
OPP 11
+76
82.3%
Trent Simms 76 Yd Return of Blocked Field Goal (Alan Anaya Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 15END OF HALF
1 play · 9 yds · 0:0083% → 83%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+9
82.8%
Billy Lucas run for 9 yds to the LIB 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 16FG
12 plays · 72 yds · 3:2020% → 22%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+20
79.9%
Jaison Patterson run for 20 yds to the BGSU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+27
79.3%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 27 yds to the LIB 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+15
77.9%
Liberty Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Quinton Reese) to the LIB 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
76.8%
Connor Bazelak pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 10
OPP 24
-2
77.1%
Terion Stewart run for a loss of 2 yards to the LIB 26Similar
Q3 14:56
3RD & 12
OPP 26
+11
78.7%
BAZELAK, Connor pass deep to the right incomplete intended for OSBORNE, Austin thrown to the LIB5. PENALTY LIB Pass Interference on BISHOP, Brandon enforced at the spot of the foul for 11 yards to the LIB15 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+14
76.7%
Connor Bazelak run for 14 yds to the LIB 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-15
76.8%
BAZELAK, Connor pass short to the right complete for 1 yard to BENCH, Andrew caught at the LIB0 and advanced to the LIB0, TOUCHDOWN BG, score nullified by penalty (Play was confirmed after review). PENALTY BG Block below the waist on PATTERSON, Jaison enforced 15 yards from the LIB1 to the LIB16 [NH]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 14:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 16
0
77.1%
Connor Bazelak pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 16
0
77.6%
Connor Bazelak pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:56
3RD & GOAL
OPP 16
0
79.0%
Connor Bazelak pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:36
4TH & GOAL
OPP 16
+34
77.9%
Alan Anaya 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 17TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 3:0178% → 90%
Q3 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
78.1%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Treon Sibley for 17 yds to the LIB 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+21
79.7%
Vaughn Blue run for 21 yds to the BGSU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:36
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
80.2%
Kaidon Salter pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:36
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+3
80.1%
Billy Lucas run for 3 yds to the BGSU 34Similar
Q3 11:36
3RD & 7
OPP 34
+13
79.5%
Kaidon Salter run for 13 yds to the BGSU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:36
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+4
80.5%
Billy Lucas run for 4 yds to the BGSU 17Similar
Q3 8:35
2ND & 6
OPP 17
+17
89.7%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Bentley Hanshaw for 17 yds for a TD (Teagen Lenderink KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 18TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 4:3113% → 24%
Q3 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
87.5%
PaSean Wimberly run for a loss of 2 yards to the BGSU 23Similar
Q3 8:35
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+10
87.6%
PaSean Wimberly run for 10 yds to the BGSU 33Similar
Q3 7:10
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
87.2%
Camden Orth run for 1 yd to the BGSU 34Similar
Q3 7:10
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+5
86.5%
Abdul-Fatai Ibrahim run for 5 yds to the BGSU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+13
85.6%
Camden Orth pass complete to Abdul-Fatai Ibrahim for 13 yds to the LIB 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:10
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
84.7%
Camden Orth pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:10
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+14
85.2%
Camden Orth run for 14 yds to the LIB 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:01
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
84.7%
Camden Orth run for 4 yds to the LIB 30Similar
Q3 5:01
2ND & 6
OPP 30
0
84.3%
Camden Orth pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:01
3RD & 6
OPP 30
-2
85.5%
Camden Orth run for a loss of 2 yards to the LIB 32Similar
Q3 4:04
4TH & 8
OPP 32
+32
76.4%
Camden Orth pass complete to Odieu Hiliare for 32 yds for a TD (Alan Anaya KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:2480% → 78%
Q3 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
79.8%
Kaidon Salter run for 1 yd to the LIB 26Similar
Q3 4:04
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+3
79.5%
Quinton Cooley run for 3 yds to the LIB 29Similar
Q3 4:04
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
79.1%
Kaidon Salter pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:40
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
78.0%
Max Morgan punt for 33 yds, downed at the BGSU 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 20INT
4 plays · 45 yds · 2:1924% → 26%
Q3 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+40
75.6%
Ta'ron Keith run for 40 yds to the LIB 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:40
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+3
71.2%
Camden Orth pass complete to Odieu Hiliare for 3 yds to the LIB 19Similar
Q3 2:40
2ND & 7
OPP 19
+2
71.2%
Jaison Patterson run for 2 yds to the LIB 17Similar
Q3 0:21
3RD & 5
OPP 17
0
74.4%
Camden Orth pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 21PUNT
14 plays · 51 yds · 6:3084% → 86%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+1
83.5%
Quinton Cooley run for 1 yd to the LIB 3Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 3
+11
83.3%
Quinton Cooley run for 11 yds to the LIB 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+7
84.1%
Quinton Cooley run for 7 yds to the LIB 21Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 21
+19
84.1%
Vaughn Blue run for 19 yds to the LIB 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
85.7%
Quinton Cooley run for 5 yds to the LIB 45Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+2
85.9%
Billy Lucas run for 2 yds to the LIB 47Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 47
+4
85.2%
Kaidon Salter run for 4 yds to the BGSU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-6
86.3%
Kaidon Salter run for a loss of 6 yards to the LIB 45Similar
Q4 10:19
2ND & 16
OWN 45
+6
86.6%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to CJ Daniels for 6 yds to the BGSU 49Similar
Q4 10:19
3RD & 10
OPP 49
+5
86.2%
Bowling Green Penalty, Offsides (Anthony Hawkins) to the BGSU 44Similar
Q4 10:19
3RD & 5
OPP 44
-15
87.0%
SALTER, Kaidon pass up the middle complete for 12 yards to FRITH, Noah caught at the BG32 and advanced to the BG32, End of Play. PENALTY LIB Pass Interference on SIBLEY, Treon enforced 15 yards to the LIB41 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 10:19
3RD & 20
OWN 41
+12
85.6%
Billy Lucas run for 12 yds to the BGSU 47Similar
Q4 8:30
4TH & 8
OPP 47
0
86.0%
Max Morgan punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Jhaylin Embry at the BGSU 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 22INT
9 plays · 33 yds · 4:1419% → 18%
Q4 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
81.0%
Camden Orth run for 2 yds to the BGSU 17Similar
Q4 8:30
2ND & 8
OWN 17
+6
81.2%
Camden Orth pass complete to Odieu Hiliare for 6 yds to the BGSU 23Similar
Q4 8:30
3RD & 2
OWN 23
+14
80.8%
Terion Stewart run for 14 yds to the BGSU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
79.1%
Camden Orth pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:30
2ND & 10
OWN 37
-2
79.4%
Camden Orth run for a loss of 2 yards to the BGSU 35Similar
Q4 8:30
3RD & 12
OWN 35
+12
82.0%
Camden Orth pass complete to Austin Osborne for 12 yds to the BGSU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
77.3%
PaSean Wimberly run for 1 yd to the BGSU 48Similar
Q4 4:16
2ND & 9
OWN 48
0
82.3%
Camden Orth pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 23FG
9 plays · 14 yds · 1:2496% → 98%
Q4 4:16
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
95.6%
Kaidon Salter pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:16
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+10
95.6%
Quinton Cooley run for 10 yds to the BGSU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:02
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+4
97.4%
Quinton Cooley run for 4 yds to the BGSU 19Similar
Q4 2:59
2ND & 6
OPP 19
-5
97.6%
Kaidon Salter run for a loss of 5 yards to the BGSU 24Similar
Q4 2:55
3RD & 11
OPP 24
+5
97.5%
Billy Lucas run for 5 yds to the BGSU 19Similar
Q4 2:52
4TH & 6
OPP 19
+36
98.3%
Teagen Lenderink 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 24DOWNS
5 plays · -16 yds · 1:143% → 2%
Q4 2:43
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-6
96.9%
Connor Bazelak sacked by Chris Boti for a loss of 6 yards to the BGSU 12Similar
Q4 2:43
2ND & 16
OWN 12
0
97.0%
Connor Bazelak pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:43
3RD & 16
OWN 12
-10
97.2%
Connor Bazelak sacked by Bryan Whitehead II and Chris Boti for a loss of 10 yards to the BGSU 2Similar
Q4 1:29
4TH & 26
OWN 2
0
97.3%
Connor Bazelak pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
98.1%
Kneel down by SALTER, Kaidon at BG1 (team loss of 1). PENALTY Before the snap, BG Illegal Substitution enforced half the distance from the goal, 1 yards from the BG2 to the BG1. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 25END OF GAME
2 plays · -1 yds · 1:2998% → 98%
Q4 1:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
98.1%
[NH] Kneel down by SALTER, Kaidon at BG2 (team loss of 1).Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
98.2%
[NH] Kneel down by SALTER, Kaidon at BG3 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 8:35
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Bentley Hanshaw for 17 yds for a TD (Teagen Lenderink KICK)
+9.2
TD · Q3 4:04
Camden Orth pass complete to Odieu Hiliare for 32 yds for a TD (Alan Anaya KICK)
-9.1
TD · Q2 6:51
Kobe Singleton 36 Yd Interception Return (Teagen Lenderink Kick)
+8.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com