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BALL

Ball State 14 at Kentucky 44

UK
2023 · Week 1 · Sep 2, 2023 · Kroger Field
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Win probability · UK
modelUK aheadBALL aheadconfidence bandkey playUK scoreBALL score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFUMBLEFGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 4:35 · Lucas Borrow punt for 50 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+46.0+23.00−23.0−46.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 56Pregame prior+33.0Home team on offense+6.4Score differential+2.1Garbage-time factor−0.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.1Time remaining+0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 1:35: Layne Hatcher run for 2 yds for a TD (Jackson Courville KICK) — BALL win probability +1.8 pts (now 9%) (top driver: BALL has the ball).
  2. FUMBLE · Q2 6:58: Layne Hatcher pass complete to Tanner Koziol for 9 yds for a TD Tanner Koziol fumbled, recovered by UK Jalen Geiger for a TD (Alex Raynor KICK) — UK win probability +1.7 pts (now 92%) (top driver: BALL has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 1:08: Alex Raynor 46 yd FG GOOD — UK win probability +1.6 pts (now 94%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 6:43: Dane Key 5 Yd pass from Devin Leary (Alex Raynor Kick) — UK win probability +2.7 pts (now 98%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 0:42: Kadin Semonza pass complete to Ty Robinson for 5 yds for a TD (Jackson Courville KICK) — BALL win probability +3.8 pts (now 5%) (top driver: BALL has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UK made the numbers' call on 4 of 5BALL made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 13:17UK 4th & 3 at BALL 24, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 94.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.0%−0.1
    68% to make
    Punt
    93.6%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:09BALL 4th & 1 at BALL 34, down 3
    Close callPunted · 6.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.3%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:40UK 4th & 14 at UK 30, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.9%−0.1
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.0%
    average punt
  4. Q2 4:35BALL 4th & 20 at BALL 15, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.6%−1.0
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 1:37UK 4th & 2 at BALL 33, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 90.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    90.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    90.5%−0.4
    49% to make
    Punt
    89.9%−1.0
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:08UK 4th & 8 at BALL 29, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 90.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.5%−0.4
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    90.9%
    58% to make
    Punt
    89.0%−1.9
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:31BALL 4th & 11 at BALL 24, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.2%−0.7
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.9%
    average punt
  8. Q3 15:00BALL 4th & 1 at BALL 48, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.4%−0.6
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:20BALL 4th & 13 at UK 47, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.7%−0.5
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.1%
    average punt
  10. Q4 9:57BALL 4th & 2 at UK 2, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    0.9%−0.4
    94% to make
    Punt
    0.4%−0.8
    average punt
  11. Q4 7:05UK 4th & 12 at UK 19, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.0%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.1%
    average punt
  12. Q4 3:22BALL 4th & 7 at UK 34, down 24
    Close callKicked a field goal · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.6%−<0.1
    47% to make
    Punt
    0.5%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UK made the numbers' call on 3 of 3BALL made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 1:35BALL Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    10.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    10.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 11:31UK Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 6:43UK Touchdown, up 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 0:42BALL Touchdown, down 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 0:06UK Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UKDrive 1FG
5 plays · 51 yds · 1:4396% → 95%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+44
95.7%
Devin Leary pass complete to Dane Key for 44 yds to the BALL 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+7
95.7%
Devin Leary pass complete to Barion Brown for 7 yds to the BALL 24Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 24
0
95.7%
Devin Leary pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 24
0
95.7%
Devin Leary pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:17
4TH & 3
OPP 24
+41
95.4%
Alex Raynor 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 2:085% → 5%
Q1 13:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
95.4%
Marquez Cooper run for 7 yds to the BALL 32Similar
Q1 13:17
2ND & 3
OWN 32
-2
95.4%
Marquez Cooper run for a loss of 2 yards to the BALL 30Similar
Q1 13:17
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+4
95.4%
Layne Hatcher run for 4 yds to the BALL 34Similar
Q1 11:09
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
95.1%
Lucas Borrow punt for 60 yds, downed at the UK 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 24 yds · 2:2995% → 95%
Q1 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+2
95.0%
Ray Davis run for 2 yds to the UK 8Similar
Q1 11:09
2ND & 8
OWN 8
+26
95.0%
Ray Davis run for 26 yds to the UK 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
95.0%
Devin Leary pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:09
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+1
95.0%
Ray Davis run for 1 yd to the UK 35Similar
Q1 11:09
3RD & 9
OWN 35
-5
95.0%
Kentucky Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UK 30Similar
Q1 11:09
3RD & 14
OWN 30
0
95.0%
Devin Leary pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:40
4TH & 14
OWN 30
0
94.4%
Hayden Dawahare punt for 51 yds , returns for no gain to the BALL 27Similar
Q1 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+10
94.5%
HATCHER, Layne pass to the right complete for 3 yards to MAGWOOD, Qian caught at the BSU27 and advanced to the BSU30 (HAYES, Josaih). PENALTY UKY Holding on SAUNDERS, Kahlil enforced 10 yards from the BSU27 to the BSU37 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 4TD
15 plays · 73 yds · 7:056% → 9%
Q1 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
94.5%
Layne Hatcher pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:40
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+7
94.5%
Marquez Cooper run for 7 yds to the BALL 44Similar
Q1 8:40
3RD & 3
OWN 44
+5
94.4%
Layne Hatcher pass complete to Tanner Koziol for 5 yds to the BALL 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:40
3RD & 2
OPP 32
+13
94.4%
Kiael Kelly run for 13 yds to the UK 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:40
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
94.3%
Marquez Cooper run for no gain to the UK 19Similar
Q1 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+9
94.4%
Layne Hatcher pass complete to Qian Magwood for 9 yds to the UK 42Similar
Q1 8:40
2ND & 1
OPP 42
+2
94.4%
Marquez Cooper run for 2 yds to the UK 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:40
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
94.4%
Kiael Kelly run for 2 yds to the UK 38Similar
Q1 8:40
2ND & 8
OPP 38
+6
94.4%
Kiael Kelly run for 6 yds to the UK 32Similar
Q1 3:26
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+5
92.9%
Kentucky Penalty, Offsides (Josaih Hayes) to the UK 14Similar
Q1 3:26
2ND & 5
OPP 14
+11
92.8%
Layne Hatcher pass complete to Tanner Koziol for 11 yds to the UK 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
92.8%
Layne Hatcher run for 1 yd to the UK 2Similar
Q1 3:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
92.8%
Marquez Cooper run for no gain to the UK 2Similar
Q1 1:35
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
91.1%
Layne Hatcher run for 2 yds for a TD (Jackson Courville KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 5TD
12 plays · 70 yds · 4:5892% → 92%
Q1 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
91.6%
Ray Davis run for 3 yds to the UK 33Similar
Q1 1:29
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+6
91.6%
Ray Davis run for 6 yds to the UK 39Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+3
91.2%
Ray Davis run for 3 yds to the UK 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
91.3%
Ray Davis run for 3 yds to the UK 45Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+8
91.4%
Devin Leary pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 8 yds to the BALL 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+27
91.5%
Devin Leary pass complete to Dane Key for 27 yds to the BALL 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+16
91.7%
Devin Leary pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 16 yds to the BALL 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
91.7%
Ray Davis run for 1 yd to the BALL 3Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
91.7%
Devin Leary pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
91.4%
LEARY, Devin pass short to the right incomplete intended for KEY, Dane thrown to the BSU0. PENALTY BSU Pass Interference on RILEY, Jordan enforced 1 yards to the BSU2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
91.7%
Devin Leary pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
91.8%
Ray Davis run for 2 yds for a TD (Alex Raynor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 6FUMBLE TD
8 plays · 44 yds · 4:339% → 8%
Q2 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
91.1%
Layne Hatcher pass complete to Vaughn Pemberton for a loss of 1 yard to the BALL 24Similar
Q2 11:31
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+2
91.2%
Vaughn Pemberton run for 2 yds to the BALL 26Similar
Q2 11:31
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+15
91.4%
HATCHER, Layne pass up the middle incomplete intended for ROBINSON, Ty thrown to the BSU40. PENALTY UKY Roughing the Passer on WEAVER, J.J. enforced 15 yards from the BSU26 to the BSU41 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
90.6%
Kiael Kelly run for no gain to the BALL 41Similar
Q2 11:31
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+22
90.8%
Kiael Kelly pass complete to Qian Magwood for 22 yds to the UK 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:31
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+1
90.4%
Vaughn Pemberton run for 1 yd to the UK 36Similar
Q2 11:31
2ND & 9
OPP 36
-4
90.4%
Kiael Kelly run for a loss of 4 yards to the UK 40Similar
Q2 6:58
3RD & 13
OPP 40
0
92.1%
Layne Hatcher pass complete to Tanner Koziol for 9 yds for a TD Tanner Koziol fumbled, recovered by UK Jalen Geiger for a TD (Alex Raynor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · -10 yds · 2:238% → 8%
Q2 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
92.3%
Kiael Kelly run for 1 yd to the BALL 26Similar
Q2 6:58
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-1
92.3%
Marquez Cooper run for a loss of 1 yard to the BALL 25Similar
Q2 6:58
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-10
92.6%
Layne Hatcher sacked by J.J. Weaver for a loss of 10 yards to the BALL 15Similar
Q2 4:35
4TH & 20
OWN 15
0
92.4%
Lucas Borrow punt for 50 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 8DOWNS
7 plays · 27 yds · 2:5892% → 91%
Q2 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
92.2%
JuTahn McClain run for 3 yds to the UK 48Similar
Q2 4:35
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+6
92.1%
Devin Leary pass complete to Barion Brown for 6 yds to the BALL 46Similar
Q2 4:35
3RD & 1
OPP 46
+5
91.9%
JuTahn McClain run for 5 yds to the BALL 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:35
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-2
92.3%
JuTahn McClain run for a loss of 2 yards to the BALL 43Similar
Q2 4:35
2ND & 12
OPP 43
0
92.1%
Devin Leary pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:35
3RD & 12
OPP 43
+10
91.8%
Devin Leary pass complete to JuTahn McClain for 10 yds to the BALL 33Similar
Q2 1:37
4TH & 2
OPP 33
0
91.4%
Devin Leary pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 9FUMBLE
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:159% → 8%
Q2 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
91.4%
Layne Hatcher pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:22
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+3
91.6%
Layne Hatcher pass complete to Malcolm Gillie for 3 yds Malcolm Gillie fumbled, recovered by UK Jordan LovettSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 10FG
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:1492% → 94%
Q2 1:22
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
92.3%
Devin Leary pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:22
2ND & 10
OPP 31
0
92.3%
Devin Leary pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:22
3RD & 10
OPP 31
+2
91.9%
Ray Davis run for 2 yds to the BALL 29Similar
Q2 1:08
4TH & 8
OPP 29
+46
93.5%
Alex Raynor 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:206% → 6%
Q2 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
93.7%
Layne Hatcher sacked by Kahlil Saunders for a loss of 10 yards to the BALL 15Similar
Q2 0:51
2ND & 20
OWN 15
+11
93.8%
Vaughn Pemberton run for 11 yds to the BALL 26Similar
Q2 0:51
3RD & 9
OWN 26
-2
93.9%
Vaughn Pemberton run for a loss of 2 yards to the BALL 24Similar
Q2 0:31
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
93.9%
Lucas Borrow punt for 48 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 12FG
6 plays · 26 yds · 0:3195% → 95%
Q2 0:31
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
94.9%
LEARY, Devin pass to the right incomplete intended for KEY, Dane thrown to the BSU42. PENALTY UKY Illegal Touch-Pass on BROWN-STEPHENS, Anthony enforced 0 yards from the UKY45 to the UKY45, penalty results in a loss of down [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 0:31
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+26
94.8%
Devin Leary pass complete to Barion Brown for 26 yds to the BALL 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:31
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
95.0%
Devin Leary pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:04
2ND & 10
OPP 29
0
94.6%
Devin Leary pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 10
OPP 29
+46
95.2%
Alex Raynor 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 13PUNT
10 plays · 28 yds · 5:406% → 5%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
94.3%
Kadin Semonza pass complete to Marquez Cooper for 8 yds to the BALL 33Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+6
93.8%
Kadin Semonza pass complete to Tanner Koziol for 6 yds to the BALL 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
94.0%
Marquez Cooper run for 3 yds to the BALL 42Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+4
93.9%
Kadin Semonza pass complete to Qian Magwood for 4 yds to the BALL 46Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 46
-5
93.8%
Kadin Semonza run for a loss of 5 yards to the BALL 48 Kadin Semonza fumbled, recovered by BALL Kadin SemonzaSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 48
+8
94.0%
Marquez Cooper run for 8 yds to the UK 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
93.7%
Kadin Semonza pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+5
93.8%
Rico Barfield run for 5 yds to the UK 39Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 39
-8
93.8%
Kadin Semonza sacked by Kahlil Saunders and Trevin Wallace for a loss of 8 yards to the UK 47Similar
Q3 9:20
4TH & 13
OPP 47
0
94.8%
Lucas Borrow punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Tayvion Robinson at the UK 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 14TD
8 plays · 89 yds · 2:3795% → 98%
Q3 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+4
95.2%
Ray Davis run for 4 yds to the UK 15Similar
Q3 9:20
2ND & 6
OWN 15
0
95.2%
Devin Leary pass complete to Demie Sumo-Karngbaye for no gain to the UK 15Similar
Q3 9:20
3RD & 6
OWN 15
+15
94.9%
Devin Leary pass complete to Ray Davis for 15 yds to the UK 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-3
95.2%
Devin Leary pass complete to Ray Davis for a loss of 3 yards to the UK 27Similar
Q3 9:20
2ND & 13
OWN 27
+23
95.2%
Ray Davis run for 23 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:20
1ST & 10
50
+15
95.5%
LEARY, Devin pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for BROWN, Barion thrown to the BSU0. PENALTY BSU Pass Interference on MALRY, Aljareek enforced 15 yards to the BSU35 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 9:20
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+30
95.6%
Devin Leary pass complete to Brenden Bates for 30 yds to the BALL 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
98.3%
Dane Key 5 Yd pass from Devin Leary (Alex Raynor Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 15TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 6:012% → 5%
Q3 6:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
98.3%
Marquez Cooper run for 2 yds to the BALL 27Similar
Q3 6:43
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+3
98.2%
Kadin Semonza pass complete to Tanner Koziol for 3 yds to the BALL 30Similar
Q3 6:43
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+24
98.2%
Kadin Semonza pass complete to Ty Robinson for 24 yds to the UK 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:43
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
98.2%
Marquez Cooper run for 1 yd to the UK 45Similar
Q3 6:43
2ND & 9
OPP 45
+5
98.2%
Marquez Cooper run for 5 yds to the UK 40Similar
Q3 6:43
3RD & 4
OPP 40
+20
98.2%
Kadin Semonza pass complete to Ty Robinson for 20 yds to the UK 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
98.5%
Kadin Semonza run for no gain to the UK 20Similar
Q3 2:15
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+3
98.5%
Kadin Semonza run for 3 yds to the UK 17Similar
Q3 2:15
3RD & 7
OPP 17
+12
98.6%
Kadin Semonza pass complete to Rico Barfield for 12 yds to the UK 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
94.9%
Kadin Semonza pass complete to Ty Robinson for 5 yds for a TD (Jackson Courville KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 16DOWNS
13 plays · 74 yds · 5:311% → 1%
Q3 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.0%
Kadin Semonza pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.1%
Kadin Semonza pass complete to Qian Magwood for 3 yds to the BALL 28Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+10
99.1%
Kadin Semonza pass complete to Tanner Koziol for 10 yds to the BALL 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
99.0%
Marquez Cooper run for 1 yd to the BALL 39Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+17
99.0%
Kadin Semonza pass complete to Tanner Koziol for 17 yds to the UK 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
99.0%
Rico Barfield run for 4 yds to the UK 40Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+27
99.0%
Kadin Semonza pass complete to Ty Robinson for 27 yds to the UK 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+11
98.8%
KELLY, Kiael pass to the right intercepted by HAMM, Shane at the UKY0 intended for ROBINSON, Ty. Hamm return for 0 yards to the UKY0, End of Play. PENALTY UKY Pass Interference on CHILDRESS, Zion enforced 11 yards to the UKY2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
98.8%
Marquez Cooper run for no gain to the UK 2Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
98.8%
Marquez Cooper run for no gain to the UK 2Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
-5
98.9%
Ball State Penalty, False Start (Jon Mucciolo) to the UK 7Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
98.9%
Kadin Semonza pass complete to Tanner Koziol for 5 yds to the UK 2Similar
Q4 9:57
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
99.1%
Kadin Semonza run for 1 yd to the UK 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 2:5299% → 99%
Q4 9:57
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+3
99.2%
Devin Leary pass complete to Dane Key for 3 yds to the UK 4Similar
Q4 9:57
2ND & 7
OWN 4
+17
99.2%
Devin Leary pass complete to Dane Key for 17 yds to the UK 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:57
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-5
99.3%
Devin Leary sacked by Sidney Houston Jr. for a loss of 5 yards to the UK 16Similar
Q4 9:57
2ND & 15
OWN 16
+3
99.2%
JuTahn McClain run for 3 yds to the UK 19Similar
Q4 9:57
3RD & 12
OWN 19
0
99.2%
Devin Leary run for no gain to the UK 19Similar
Q4 7:05
4TH & 12
OWN 19
0
99.3%
Wilson Berry punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Nick Munson at the BALL 38Similar
Q4 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-5
99.4%
Ball State Penalty, False Start (Ahmad Edwards) to the BALL 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 18MISSED FG
10 plays · 28 yds · 3:431% → 1%
Q4 7:05
1ST & 15
OWN 33
0
99.5%
Kadin Semonza pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:05
2ND & 15
OWN 33
+4
99.5%
Kadin Semonza run for 4 yds to the BALL 37Similar
Q4 7:05
3RD & 11
OWN 37
+14
99.5%
Kadin Semonza pass complete to Ty Robinson for 14 yds to the UK 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:05
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
99.4%
Rico Barfield run for 5 yds to the UK 44Similar
Q4 7:05
2ND & 5
OPP 44
0
99.4%
Kadin Semonza pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:05
3RD & 5
OPP 44
+7
99.5%
Kadin Semonza pass complete to Nick Presley for 7 yds to the UK 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:05
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
99.4%
Kiael Kelly run for 3 yds to the UK 34Similar
Q4 7:05
2ND & 7
OPP 34
0
99.3%
Kadin Semonza pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:05
3RD & 7
OPP 34
0
99.4%
Kadin Semonza pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:22
4TH & 7
OPP 34
+51
99.5%
Jackson Courville 51 yd FG BLOCKED blocked bySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 19TD
6 plays · 66 yds · 3:16100% → 100%
Q4 3:22
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+18
99.6%
Devin Leary pass complete to Demie Sumo-Karngbaye for 18 yds to the BALL 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:22
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
99.6%
Devin Leary pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:22
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+6
99.6%
Ray Davis run for 6 yds to the BALL 42Similar
Q4 3:22
3RD & 4
OPP 42
+14
99.6%
Devin Leary pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 14 yds to the BALL 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:22
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-2
99.6%
Devin Leary pass complete to Ray Davis for a loss of 2 yards to the BALL 30Similar
Q4 0:06
2ND & 12
OPP 30
+30
100.0%
Ray Davis 30 Yd Run (Alex Raynor Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 20END OF GAME
1 play · 3 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
100.0%
Charlie Spegal run for 3 yds to the BALL 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 0:42
Kadin Semonza pass complete to Ty Robinson for 5 yds for a TD (Jackson Courville KICK)
-3.8
TD · Q3 6:43
Dane Key 5 Yd pass from Devin Leary (Alex Raynor Kick)
+2.7
TD · Q1 1:35
Layne Hatcher run for 2 yds for a TD (Jackson Courville KICK)
-1.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com