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ETSU

East Tennessee State 3 at Jacksonville State 49

JXST
2023 · Week 1 · Sep 2, 2023 · AmFirst Stadium
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Win probability · JXST
modelJXST aheadETSU aheadconfidence bandkey playJXST scoreETSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 10:03 · Jack Dawson punt for 54 yds, downed at the ETSU 11
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+40.5+20.30−20.3−40.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 62Pregame prior+29.7Home team on offense+5.7Score differential+1.4Blowout margin−0.5Garbage-time factor+2.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.2
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 9:18: Ewan Johnson 27 yd FG GOOD — ETSU win probability +1.2 pts (now 12%) (top driver: ETSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 1:49: Ron Wiggins run for 10 yds for a TD (Alen Karajic KICK) — JXST win probability +1.7 pts (now 89%) (top driver: JXST has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 4:06: Logan Smothers run for 2 yds for a TD (Alen Karajic KICK) — JXST win probability +3.4 pts (now 93%) (top driver: JXST has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 13:35: Malik Jackson run for 42 yds for a TD (Alen Karajic KICK) — JXST win probability +4.7 pts (now 98%) (top driver: JXST has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 11:54: Logan Smothers run for 3 yds for a TD (Alen Karajic KICK) — JXST win probability +0.9 pts (now 99%) (top driver: JXST has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
JXST made the numbers' call on 5 of 6ETSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 13:37ETSU 4th & 9 at ETSU 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.0%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:43JXST 4th & 8 at JXST 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.6%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:18ETSU 4th & 5 at JXST 5, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 11.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.4%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    11.4%
    92% to make
    Punt
    10.9%−0.5
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:41JXST 4th & 6 at JXST 29, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.6%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.6%
    average punt
  5. Q1 5:21ETSU 4th & 6 at ETSU 14, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.6%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:38ETSU 4th & 16 at JXST 35, down 11
    Close callPunted · 11.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.9%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    11.1%
    45% to make
    PuntTheir call
    11.0%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:03JXST 4th & 25 at JXST 35, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.5%−1.4
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.9%
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:04ETSU 4th & 2 at ETSU 34, down 11
    Close callPunted · 11.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.4%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:27ETSU 4th & 12 at ETSU 34, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.1%−0.7
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.8%
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:33JXST 4th & 2 at JXST 21, up 39
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−<0.1
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  11. Q4 12:05ETSU 4th & 5 at ETSU 30, down 46
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  12. Q4 8:08JXST 4th & 4 at ETSU 45, up 46
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 6:08ETSU 4th & 7 at ETSU 12, down 46
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:59JXST 4th & 29 at JXST 39, up 46
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
JXST made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 3:20JXST Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:49JXST Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 4:06JXST Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 13:35JXST Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 11:54JXST Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 7:12JXST Touchdown, up 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 13:54JXST Touchdown, up 45 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ETSUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 18 yds · 1:2310% → 10%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
90.1%
Tyler Riddell pass complete to Einaj Carter for 17 yds to the ETSU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
90.1%
Tyler Riddell pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+1
90.1%
Jawan Martin run for 1 yd to the ETSU 43Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 43
0
90.1%
Tyler Riddell pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:37
4TH & 9
OWN 43
0
89.7%
Nate Brackett punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:5490% → 89%
Q1 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
89.7%
Malik Jackson run for 2 yds to the JVST 22Similar
Q1 13:37
2ND & 8
OWN 22
0
89.7%
Sterling Galban run for no gain to the JVST 22Similar
Q1 13:37
3RD & 8
OWN 22
0
89.7%
Logan Smothers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:43
4TH & 8
OWN 22
0
89.4%
Jack Dawson punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETSUDrive 3FG
7 plays · 56 yds · 3:2511% → 12%
Q1 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+38
89.4%
Tyler Riddell pass complete to Xavier Gaillardetz for 38 yds to the JVST 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:43
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+9
89.3%
Tyler Riddell pass complete to Noah West for 9 yds to the JVST 14Similar
Q1 12:43
2ND & 1
OPP 14
+6
89.3%
Bryson Irby run for 6 yds to the JVST 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
89.3%
Tyler Riddell pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
89.3%
Bryson Irby run for 1 yd to the JVST 7Similar
Q1 12:43
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
89.4%
Tyler Riddell run for 2 yds to the JVST 5Similar
Q1 9:18
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+27
88.2%
Ewan Johnson 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 4PUNT
8 plays · 4 yds · 1:3788% → 88%
Q1 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
88.2%
SMOTHERS, Logan scrambles to the right for no gain to the JSU25 (JENKINS, JR. , Mike), out of bounds. PENALTY JSU Holding on WIGGINS, Ron enforced 10 yards from the JSU25 to the JSU15 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 9:18
1ST & 20
OWN 15
0
88.2%
Logan Smothers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:18
2ND & 20
OWN 15
+5
88.2%
Logan Smothers pass complete to Perry Carter for 5 yds to the JVST 20Similar
Q1 9:18
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+9
88.1%
Logan Smothers pass complete to Ron Wiggins for 9 yds to the JVST 29Similar
Q1 9:18
2ND & 20
OWN 15
+5
88.2%
Logan Smothers pass complete to Perry Carter for 5 yds to the JVST 20Similar
Q1 9:18
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+9
88.1%
Logan Smothers pass complete to Ron Wiggins for 9 yds to the JVST 29Similar
Q1 7:41
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
87.3%
Jack Dawson punt for 50 yds , Einaj Carter returns for no gain to the ETSU 10Similar
Q1 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-5
87.6%
East Tennessee State Penalty, False Start (Braxton Shipp) to the ETSU 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETSUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 2:2012% → 13%
Q1 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-5
87.6%
East Tennessee State Penalty, False Start (Braxton Shipp) to the ETSU 5Similar
Q1 7:41
1ST & 15
OWN 5
+2
87.7%
Einaj Carter run for 2 yds to the ETSU 7Similar
Q1 7:41
2ND & 13
OWN 7
+2
87.7%
Trey Foster run for 2 yds to the ETSU 9Similar
Q1 7:41
3RD & 11
OWN 9
+5
87.8%
Tyler Riddell run for 5 yds to the ETSU 14Similar
Q1 5:21
4TH & 6
OWN 14
0
87.1%
Nate Brackett punt for 47 yds, downed at the JVST 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 6TD
6 plays · 61 yds · 2:0187% → 88%
Q1 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
86.7%
Malik Jackson run for 1 yd to the JVST 40Similar
Q1 5:21
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+22
86.7%
Logan Smothers pass complete to Jamarye Joiner for 22 yds to the ETSU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:21
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+6
87.1%
Malik Jackson run for 6 yds to the ETSU 32Similar
Q1 5:21
2ND & 4
OPP 32
+6
87.2%
Malik Jackson run for 6 yds to the ETSU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:21
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
87.2%
Malik Jackson run for 3 yds to the ETSU 23Similar
Q1 3:20
2ND & 7
OPP 23
+23
87.9%
Logan Smothers pass complete to Sterling Galban for 23 yds for a TD (Alen Karajic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETSUDrive 7INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 2:1113% → 13%
Q1 3:14
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
87.3%
Bryson Irby run for no gain to the ETSU 14Similar
Q1 2:22
2ND & 10
OWN 14
0
87.0%
Tyler Riddell pass interceptedSimilar
Q1 1:03
2ND & 10
OWN 14
0
86.6%
Tyler Riddell pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 8TD
2 plays · 10 yds · 0:3388% → 89%
Q1 2:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
87.5%
Logan Smothers run for no gain to the ETSU 10Similar
Q1 1:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
89.2%
Ron Wiggins run for 10 yds for a TD (Alen Karajic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETSUDrive 9PUNT
9 plays · 49 yds · 2:0611% → 11%
Q1 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+15
88.8%
Tyler Riddell pass complete to Xavier Gaillardetz for 15 yds to the ETSU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
88.6%
Tyler Riddell pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:44
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+16
88.7%
Tyler Riddell pass complete to Xavier Gaillardetz for 16 yds to the ETSU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+15
88.4%
Jacksonville State Penalty, Targeting on BALDWIN, Devin enforced (15 Yards) to the JVST 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-1
87.6%
Baron May run for a loss of 1 yard to the JVST 30Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 30
0
87.7%
Tyler Riddell pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 30
0
88.2%
Tyler Riddell pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 11
OPP 30
-5
88.7%
East Tennessee State Penalty, Delay Of Game (-5 Yards) to the JVST 35Similar
Q2 14:38
4TH & 16
OPP 35
0
88.8%
Nate Brackett punt for 30 yds, downed at the JVST 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 10PUNT
13 plays · 30 yds · 4:3589% → 89%
Q2 14:38
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+6
88.6%
Ron Wiggins run for 6 yds to the JVST 11Similar
Q2 14:38
2ND & 4
OWN 11
+1
88.7%
Ron Wiggins run for 1 yd to the JVST 12Similar
Q2 14:38
3RD & 3
OWN 12
+5
88.4%
Logan Smothers pass complete to Brock Rechsteiner for 5 yds to the JVST 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:38
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+5
88.7%
Ron Wiggins run for 5 yds to the JVST 22Similar
Q2 14:38
2ND & 5
OWN 22
+7
88.7%
Logan Smothers pass complete to Quinton Lane for 7 yds to the JVST 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:38
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+10
88.7%
Malik Jackson run for 10 yds to the JVST 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:38
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
89.0%
Malik Jackson run for 2 yds to the JVST 41Similar
Q2 14:38
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+9
89.1%
Logan Smothers run for 9 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:38
1ST & 10
50
+2
89.1%
Malik Jackson run for 2 yds to the ETSU 48Similar
Q2 14:38
2ND & 8
OPP 48
-10
89.1%
QB Keeper SMOTHERS, Logan rush up the middle for a gain of 18 yards to the ETS30 (HOPE, Chris). PENALTY JSU Holding on BROWN, Treylen enforced 10 yards from the ETS48 to the JSU42 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 14:38
2ND & 18
OWN 42
0
88.9%
Logan Smothers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:38
3RD & 18
OWN 42
-7
88.6%
Logan Smothers sacked by Hot Rod Fitten and Ray Coney for a loss of 7 yards to the JVST 35Similar
Q2 10:03
4TH & 25
OWN 35
0
88.5%
Jack Dawson punt for 54 yds, downed at the ETSU 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETSUDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 23 yds · 2:5912% → 11%
Q2 10:03
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+9
88.4%
Tyler Riddell pass complete to Einaj Carter for 9 yds to the ETSU 20Similar
Q2 10:03
2ND & 1
OWN 20
+6
88.1%
Tyler Riddell run for 6 yds to the ETSU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:03
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+6
88.3%
Bryson Irby run for 6 yds to the ETSU 32Similar
Q2 10:03
2ND & 4
OWN 32
+2
88.0%
Bryson Irby run for 2 yds to the ETSU 34Similar
Q2 10:03
3RD & 2
OWN 34
0
88.2%
Tyler Riddell pass complete to Einaj Carter for no gain to the ETSU 34Similar
Q2 7:04
4TH & 2
OWN 34
0
88.5%
Nate Brackett punt for 27 yds, downed at the JVST 39Similar
Q2 7:04
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-5
89.4%
Jacksonville State Penalty, False Start (Will O'Steen) to the JVST 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 12TD
10 plays · 61 yds · 2:5889% → 93%
Q2 7:04
1ST & 15
OWN 34
0
88.9%
Zion Webb pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:04
2ND & 15
OWN 34
-1
88.9%
Malik Jackson run for a loss of 1 yard to the JVST 33Similar
Q2 7:04
3RD & 16
OWN 33
+15
88.5%
WEBB, Zion pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for CARTER, Perry thrown to the ETS43. PENALTY ETS Roughing the Passer on HOSKINS, Jordan enforced 15 yards from the JSU33 to the JSU48 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 7:04
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
89.5%
Ron Wiggins run for 3 yds to the ETSU 49Similar
Q2 7:04
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+9
89.5%
Logan Smothers run for 9 yds to the ETSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:04
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
89.5%
Ron Wiggins run for 4 yds to the ETSU 36Similar
Q2 7:04
2ND & 6
OPP 36
+5
89.5%
Logan Smothers pass complete to Ron Wiggins for 5 yds to the ETSU 31Similar
Q2 7:04
3RD & 1
OPP 31
+8
89.2%
Logan Smothers run for 8 yds to the ETSU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:04
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+18
89.5%
East Tennessee State Penalty, Face mask (18 yards) (Jr. Mike Jenkins) to the ETSU 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
92.9%
Logan Smothers run for 2 yds for a TD (Alen Karajic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETSUDrive 13PUNT
11 plays · 9 yds · 2:398% → 7%
Q2 4:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
92.4%
Bryson Irby run for 2 yds to the ETSU 27Similar
Q2 4:06
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+1
92.4%
Bryson Irby run for 1 yd to the ETSU 28Similar
Q2 4:06
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+8
92.5%
Tyler Riddell pass complete to Will Huzzie for 8 yds to the ETSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:06
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-10
92.1%
IRBY, Bryson rush to the left for no gain to the ETS36 (DRAKE, Quae). PENALTY ETS Illegal Block in the Back enforced 10 yards from the ETS36 to the ETS26 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 1:48
1ST & 20
OWN 26
-4
92.3%
Tyler Riddell pass complete to Trey Foster for a loss of 4 yards to the ETSU 22Similar
Q2 1:39
2ND & 24
OWN 22
+7
92.5%
Trey Foster run for 7 yds to the ETSU 29Similar
Q2 1:32
3RD & 17
OWN 29
+5
92.8%
Baron May run for 5 yds to the ETSU 34 Baron May fumbled, recovered by ETSU Baron MaySimilar
Q2 1:27
4TH & 12
OWN 34
0
92.8%
Nate Brackett punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 14MISSED FG
8 plays · 35 yds · 1:2793% → 94%
Q2 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
93.3%
Logan Smothers run for 7 yds to the JVST 37Similar
Q2 1:27
2ND & 3
OWN 37
+1
93.2%
Logan Smothers run for 1 yd to the JVST 38Similar
Q2 1:27
3RD & 2
OWN 38
+5
93.0%
Logan Smothers run for 5 yds to the JVST 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
93.5%
Logan Smothers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:27
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+22
93.4%
Malik Jackson run for 22 yds to the ETSU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:03
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
93.6%
Logan Smothers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+54
93.6%
Alen Karajic 54 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 15TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:2593% → 98%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
93.0%
Logan Smothers run for 1 yd to the JVST 26Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
93.0%
Logan Smothers run for no gain to the JVST 26Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+15
92.7%
East Tennessee State Penalty, Roughing the Passer on EVANS, Max enforced (Max Evans) to the ETSU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
93.3%
Malik Jackson run for 5 yds to the ETSU 42Similar
Q3 13:35
2ND & 5
OPP 42
+42
98.0%
Malik Jackson run for 42 yds for a TD (Alen Karajic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETSUDrive 16FUMBLE
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:412% → 2%
Q3 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
97.6%
Baron May run for 3 yds to the ETSU 26Similar
Q3 12:48
2ND & 7
OWN 26
-3
97.9%
Baron May sacked for a loss of 3 yards to the ETSU 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 17TD
3 plays · 23 yds · 0:5498% → 99%
Q3 12:48
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+5
98.3%
Logan Smothers pass complete to Perry Carter for 5 yds to the ETSU 18Similar
Q3 12:48
2ND & 5
OPP 18
+15
98.3%
Logan Smothers pass complete to Michael Pettway for 15 yds to the ETSU 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.2%
Logan Smothers run for 3 yds for a TD (Alen Karajic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETSUDrive 18FUMBLE
4 plays · 7 yds · 2:041% → 1%
Q3 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
99.2%
Bryson Irby run for 12 yds to the ETSU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
99.1%
Bryson Irby run for 3 yds to the ETSU 40Similar
Q3 11:54
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+3
99.0%
Baron May run for 3 yds to the ETSU 43Similar
Q3 9:50
3RD & 4
OWN 43
-11
99.1%
Baron May sacked for a loss of 11 yards to the ETSU 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 19TD
7 plays · 32 yds · 2:38100% → 100%
Q3 9:50
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
99.5%
Ron Wiggins run for no gain to the ETSU 32Similar
Q3 9:50
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+15
99.5%
Logan Smothers pass complete to Jamarye Joiner for 15 yds to the ETSU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:50
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+7
99.5%
Ron Wiggins run for 7 yds to the ETSU 10Similar
Q3 9:50
2ND & 3
OPP 10
0
99.5%
Ron Wiggins run for no gain to the ETSU 10Similar
Q3 9:50
3RD & 3
OPP 10
+4
99.5%
Ron Wiggins run for 4 yds to the ETSU 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
99.4%
J'Wan Evans run for 4 yds to the ETSU 2Similar
Q3 7:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.7%
J'Wan Evans run for 2 yds for a TD (Alen Karajic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETSUDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 25 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
99.7%
MAY, Baron pass short to the right incomplete intended for CARTER, Einaj thrown to the ETS30; QB hurried by STEPHENS, Kamari. PENALTY JSU Face mask on BAKER, Marco enforced 15 yards from the ETS25 to the ETS40 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
99.7%
Bryson Irby run for 5 yds to the ETSU 45Similar
Q3 7:12
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+11
99.7%
Baron May run for 11 yds to the JVST 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:12
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
99.7%
Zach Borisch run for 2 yds to the JVST 42Similar
Q3 7:12
2ND & 8
OPP 42
+1
99.7%
Baron May run for 1 yd to the JVST 41Similar
Q3 7:12
3RD & 7
OPP 41
-9
99.7%
Baron May sacked by Jibreel Al-Amin for a loss of 9 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:41100% → 100%
Q3 4:14
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
99.7%
J'Wan Evans run for no gain to the JVST 13Similar
Q3 4:14
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+5
99.7%
Logan Smothers pass complete to Quinton Lane for 5 yds to the JVST 18Similar
Q3 4:14
3RD & 5
OWN 18
+3
99.7%
Logan Smothers run for 3 yds to the JVST 21Similar
Q3 2:33
4TH & 2
OWN 21
0
99.7%
Jack Dawson punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Einaj Carter at the ETSU 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETSUDrive 22INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:450% → 0%
Q3 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
99.8%
Zach Borisch run for no gain to the ETSU 39Similar
Q3 1:48
2ND & 10
OWN 39
0
99.8%
Baron May pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 23TD
6 plays · 24 yds · 2:54100% → 100%
Q3 1:48
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-1
99.8%
Logan Smothers pass complete to Carter Lambert for a loss of 1 yard to the ETSU 25Similar
Q3 1:48
2ND & 11
OPP 25
+12
99.8%
J'Wan Evans run for 12 yds to the ETSU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
99.8%
J'Wan Evans run for 3 yds to the ETSU 10Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 10
-1
99.8%
Logan Smothers run for a loss of 1 yard to the ETSU 11Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 11
+9
99.8%
J'Wan Evans run for 9 yds to the ETSU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.9%
J'Wan Evans run for 2 yds for a TD (Alen Karajic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETSUDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:490% → 0%
Q4 13:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.9%
Bryson Irby run for 1 yd to the ETSU 26Similar
Q4 13:54
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+2
99.9%
Bryson Irby run for 2 yds to the ETSU 28Similar
Q4 13:54
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+2
99.9%
Bryson Irby run for 2 yds to the ETSU 30Similar
Q4 12:05
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
99.9%
Nate Brackett punt for 46 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 25PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 3:57100% → 100%
Q4 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
99.9%
Kenyon Sims run for 4 yds to the JVST 42Similar
Q4 12:05
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+5
99.9%
Jayson Jones run for 5 yds to the JVST 47Similar
Q4 12:05
3RD & 1
OWN 47
+2
99.9%
Kenyon Sims run for 2 yds to the JVST 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
99.9%
Te'Sean Smoot run for 4 yds to the ETSU 47Similar
Q4 12:05
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+2
99.9%
Kenyon Sims run for 2 yds to the ETSU 45Similar
Q4 8:16
3RD & 4
OPP 45
0
99.9%
Kenyon Sims run for no gain to the ETSU 45Similar
Q4 8:08
4TH & 4
OPP 45
0
99.9%
Jack Dawson punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Hot Rod Fitten at the ETSU 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETSUDrive 26PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 2:000% → 0%
Q4 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+3
99.9%
Bryson Irby run for 3 yds to the ETSU 12Similar
Q4 8:08
2ND & 7
OWN 12
+1
99.9%
Bryson Irby run for 1 yd to the ETSU 13Similar
Q4 8:08
3RD & 6
OWN 13
-1
99.9%
Bryson Irby run for a loss of 1 yard to the ETSU 12Similar
Q4 6:08
4TH & 7
OWN 12
0
100.0%
Nate Brackett punt for 49 yds, downed at the JVST 39Similar
Q4 6:08
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-5
99.9%
Jacksonville State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the JVST 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 27PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 3:09100% → 100%
Q4 6:08
1ST & 15
OWN 34
+5
99.9%
Te'Sean Smoot run for 5 yds to the JVST 39Similar
Q4 6:08
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+15
99.9%
East Tennessee State Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Chris Hope) to the ETSU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:08
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
99.9%
Reggion Bennett run for no gain to the ETSU 42Similar
Q4 6:08
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+5
99.9%
Te'Sean Smoot run for 5 yds to the ETSU 37Similar
Q4 6:08
3RD & 5
OPP 37
-24
99.9%
Will Pieroni run for a loss of 24 yards to the JVST 39 Will Pieroni fumbled, recovered by JVST Te'Sean SmootSimilar
Q4 2:59
4TH & 29
OWN 39
0
99.9%
Jack Dawson punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Einaj Carter at the ETSU 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETSUDrive 28END OF GAME
5 plays · 20 yds · 2:590% → 0%
Q4 2:59
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
100.0%
Zach Borisch run for a loss of 1 yard to the ETSU 19Similar
Q4 2:59
2ND & 11
OWN 19
+5
100.0%
BORISCH, Zach rush to the right for a gain of 3 yards to the ETS22 (O'STEEN, Walker;COLLIER, Travis). PENALTY JSU Offsides on LARRY, Jumarion enforced 5 yards from the ETS19 to the ETS24 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 2:59
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+17
100.0%
Zach Borisch run for 17 yds to the ETSU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:59
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-2
100.0%
Zach Borisch run for a loss of 2 yards to the ETSU 39Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 12
OWN 39
+1
100.0%
Zach Borisch run for 1 yd to the ETSU 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 13:35
Malik Jackson run for 42 yds for a TD (Alen Karajic KICK)
+4.7
TD · Q2 4:06
Logan Smothers run for 2 yds for a TD (Alen Karajic KICK)
+3.4
TD · Q1 1:49
Ron Wiggins run for 10 yds for a TD (Alen Karajic KICK)
+1.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com