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USU

Utah State 14 at Iowa 24

IOWA
2023 · Week 1 · Sep 2, 2023 · Kinnick Stadium
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Win probability · IOWA
modelIOWA aheadUSU aheadconfidence bandkey playIOWA scoreUSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 2:17 · Tory Taylor punt for 50 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+44.0+22.00−22.0−44.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 159Pregame prior+2.4Home team on offense+29.4Garbage-time factor+15.4Score differential+15.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+6.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+5.5
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 0:07: Drew Stevens 20 yd FG GOOD — IOWA win probability +1.4 pts (now 92%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  2. FG · Q3 12:02: Elliott Nimrod 45 yd FG GOOD — USU win probability +2.0 pts (now 9%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 10:17: Kaleb Johnson 3 Yd Run (Drew Stevens Kick) — IOWA win probability +4.6 pts (now 98%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 1:36: Cooper Legas pass complete to Terrell Vaughn for 16 yds for a TD (Cooper Legas pass to Rahsul Faison for Two-Point Conversion) — USU win probability +5.7 pts (now 8%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 1:34: Jaziun Patterson run for a loss of 4 yards to the IOWA 46 — IOWA win probability +4.3 pts (now 96%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
IOWA made the numbers' call on 8 of 10USU made the numbers' call on 8 of 11
  1. Q1 12:20USU 4th & 7 at USU 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.3%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:44IOWA 4th & 3 at USU 3, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 92.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    92.1%
    44% to convert
    Field goal
    92.0%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    91.5%−0.6
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:57USU 4th & 7 at USU 28, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.2%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.3%
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:07IOWA 4th & 1 at USU 29, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 92.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    92.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    92.3%−0.6
    58% to make
    Punt
    91.2%−1.7
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:10USU 4th & 1 at IOWA 38, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    7.2%−0.8
    38% to make
    Punt
    7.2%−0.8
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:03USU 4th & 12 at IOWA 15, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 7.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.3%−0.5
    21% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    7.8%
    83% to make
    Punt
    5.8%−2.0
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:48IOWA 4th & 5 at IOWA 30, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.7%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.8%
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:06USU 4th & 5 at IOWA 46, down 11
    Close callPunted · 9.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.6%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    9.2%−0.4
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    9.5%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 4:53IOWA 4th & 18 at IOWA 24, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.3%−1.0
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.3%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:07IOWA 4th & 2 at USU 2, up 11
    Close callKicked a field goal · 91.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    90.8%−0.4
    94% to make
    Punt
    89.4%−1.8
    average punt
  11. Q3 12:02USU 4th & 6 at IOWA 28, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 7.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.6%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    7.7%
    60% to make
    Punt
    5.4%−2.3
    average punt
  12. Q3 10:15IOWA 4th & 11 at IOWA 37, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.7%−0.8
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.5%
    average punt
  13. Q3 6:08USU 4th & 9 at IOWA 43, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.2%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    9.8%−0.4
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    10.2%
    average punt
  14. Q3 2:33IOWA 4th & 14 at IOWA 49, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.5%−1.0
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.5%
    average punt
  15. Q3 0:01USU 4th & 3 at USU 28, down 11
    Close callPunted · 8.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.8%−0.2
    average punt
  16. Q4 8:48USU 4th & 5 at USU 17, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.1%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.1%
    average punt
  17. Q4 7:09IOWA 4th & 5 at IOWA 34, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.1%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.3%
    average punt
  18. Q4 3:42USU 4th & 11 at IOWA 25, down 18
    Close callWent for it · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.6%−0.3
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    1.9%
    66% to make
    Punt
    1.1%−0.8
    average punt
  19. Q4 2:17IOWA 4th & 5 at IOWA 30, up 18
    Close callPunted · 98.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.6%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  20. Q4 1:14IOWA 4th & 17 at IOWA 43, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.2%−0.6
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.8%
    average punt
  21. Q4 0:11USU 4th & 3 at USU 26, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.5%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
IOWA made the numbers' call on 3 of 3USU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 14:18IOWA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:44IOWA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 10:17IOWA Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 1:36USU Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · converted
    Kick
    3.6%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    3.7%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
IOWADrive 1TD
2 plays · 39 yds · 0:3294% → 94%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
93.8%
Kaleb Johnson run for 3 yds to the USU 36Similar
Q1 14:18
2ND & 7
OPP 36
+36
93.7%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Seth Anderson for 36 yds for a TD (Drew Stevens KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 1:576% → 7%
Q1 14:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
93.7%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Terrell Vaughn for 4 yds to the USU 29Similar
Q1 13:53
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
93.6%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Jalen Royals for 2 yds to the USU 31Similar
Q1 13:09
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-5
93.5%
Utah State Penalty, False Start (Ralph Frias III) to the USU 26Similar
Q1 13:01
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+2
93.5%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Robert Briggs Jr. for 2 yds to the USU 28Similar
Q1 12:20
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
93.5%
Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Cooper DeJean at the IOWA 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 3TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 4:3094% → 94%
Q1 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
93.5%
Cade McNamara pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:08
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
93.4%
Cade McNamara pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:03
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-5
93.4%
Iowa Penalty, False Start (Mason Richman) to the IOWA 20Similar
Q1 12:02
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+18
93.4%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Jaziun Patterson for 18 yds to the IOWA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
93.4%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Nico Ragaini for 7 yds to the IOWA 45Similar
Q1 10:41
2ND & 3
OWN 45
+14
93.4%
Kaden Wetjen run for 14 yds to the USU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:06
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+7
93.3%
Kaleb Johnson run for 7 yds to the USU 34Similar
Q1 9:30
2ND & 3
OPP 34
+21
93.3%
Kaleb Johnson run for 21 yds to the USU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
93.2%
Cade McNamara pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
93.2%
Leshon Williams run for 4 yds to the USU 2Similar
Q1 8:23
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
93.4%
Kaleb Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the USU 3Similar
Q1 7:44
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
94.1%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Erick All for 3 yds for a TD (Drew Stevens KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:456% → 6%
Q1 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
93.7%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Terrell Vaughn for no gain to the USU 25Similar
Q1 7:11
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
93.7%
Robert Briggs Jr. run for 3 yds to the USU 28Similar
Q1 6:59
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
93.7%
Cooper Legas pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:57
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
93.7%
Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 5DOWNS
9 plays · 42 yds · 4:4194% → 94%
Q1 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
94.1%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Luke Lachey for 2 yds to the IOWA 31Similar
Q1 6:09
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+4
94.0%
Leshon Williams run for 4 yds to the IOWA 35Similar
Q1 5:31
3RD & 4
OWN 35
+10
94.0%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Leshon Williams for 10 yds to the IOWA 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+15
94.2%
Utah State Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Jaiden Francois) to the USU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:23
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+6
94.1%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Luke Lachey for 6 yds to the USU 32Similar
Q1 3:38
2ND & 4
OPP 32
-1
94.2%
Kaleb Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the USU 33 Kaleb Johnson fumbled, recovered by IOWA Gennings DunkerSimilar
Q1 2:51
3RD & 5
OPP 33
+4
94.1%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Luke Lachey for 4 yds to the USU 29Similar
Q1 2:07
4TH & 1
OPP 29
0
93.9%
Leshon Williams run for no gain to the USU 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 6FG
17 plays · 56 yds · 5:597% → 8%
Q1 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
93.3%
Cooper Legas run for 5 yds to the USU 34Similar
Q1 1:42
2ND & 5
OWN 34
+3
93.2%
Davon Booth run for 3 yds to the USU 37Similar
Q1 1:06
3RD & 2
OWN 37
+4
93.1%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Otto Tia for 4 yds to the USU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+7
93.1%
Davon Booth run for 7 yds to the USU 48Similar
Q1 0:18
2ND & 3
OWN 48
0
92.9%
Cooper Legas pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:13
3RD & 3
OWN 48
+5
92.9%
Iowa Penalty, Offsides (Max Llewellyn) to the IOWA 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
92.9%
Cooper Legas pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:56
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+2
93.1%
Davon Booth run for 2 yds to the IOWA 45Similar
Q2 14:32
3RD & 8
OPP 45
+7
92.9%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Micah Davis for 7 yds to the IOWA 38Similar
Q2 14:10
4TH & 1
OPP 38
+4
92.8%
Cooper Legas run for 4 yds to the IOWA 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:44
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
92.5%
Cooper Legas pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:41
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+11
92.6%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Colby Bowman for 11 yds to the IOWA 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:16
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+10
92.5%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Micah Davis for 10 yds to the IOWA 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:47
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-10
92.4%
Cooper Legas sacked by Deontae Craig for a loss of 10 yards to the IOWA 23Similar
Q2 12:08
2ND & 20
OPP 23
+3
92.7%
Davon Booth run for 3 yds to the IOWA 20Similar
Q2 11:03
3RD & 17
OPP 20
+5
92.9%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Micah Davis for 5 yds to the IOWA 15Similar
Q2 11:03
4TH & 12
OPP 15
+32
92.4%
William Testa 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 2:1492% → 92%
Q2 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
92.4%
Kaleb Johnson run for 2 yds to the IOWA 27Similar
Q2 10:23
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+2
92.5%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Leshon Williams for 2 yds to the IOWA 29Similar
Q2 9:32
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+1
92.2%
Cade McNamara run for 1 yd to the IOWA 30Similar
Q2 8:48
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
92.0%
Tory Taylor punt blocked by Ike LarsenSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 1:318% → 8%
Q2 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
92.2%
Cooper Legas pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:28
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+1
92.3%
Davon Booth run for 1 yd to the USU 34Similar
Q2 8:02
3RD & 9
OWN 34
+15
92.4%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Jalen Royals for 15 yds to the USU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
91.7%
Cooper Legas pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:38
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+5
91.8%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Jalen Royals for 5 yds to the IOWA 46Similar
Q2 7:13
3RD & 5
OPP 46
0
91.4%
Cooper Legas pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:06
4TH & 5
OPP 46
0
91.9%
Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 46 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 2:0692% → 92%
Q2 6:59
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+12
92.2%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Luke Lachey for 12 yds to the IOWA 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
92.2%
Cade McNamara pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:10
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+2
92.1%
Leshon Williams run for 2 yds to the IOWA 34Similar
Q2 5:37
3RD & 8
OWN 34
-10
91.9%
Cade McNamara sacked by Gavin Barthiel for a loss of 10 yards to the IOWA 24Similar
Q2 4:53
4TH & 18
OWN 24
0
91.5%
Tory Taylor punt for 53 yds, fair catch by Micah Davis at the USU 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 10INT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:558% → 7%
Q2 4:49
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
92.5%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Terrell Vaughn for 2 yds to the USU 25Similar
Q2 4:25
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+3
92.5%
Cooper Legas run for 3 yds to the USU 28Similar
Q2 4:00
3RD & 5
OWN 28
0
92.5%
Cooper Legas pass interceptedSimilar
Q2 3:54
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-5
92.6%
Iowa Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the IOWA 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 11FG
14 plays · 47 yds · 3:4692% → 92%
Q2 3:53
1ST & 15
OWN 46
+15
92.4%
Utah State Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the USU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:30
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
92.6%
Kaleb Johnson run for 4 yds to the USU 32Similar
Q2 3:01
2ND & 6
OPP 32
+3
92.7%
Kaleb Johnson run for 3 yds to the USU 29Similar
Q2 2:16
3RD & 3
OPP 29
+7
92.7%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Erick All for 7 yds to the USU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:35
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+5
93.0%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Erick All for 5 yds to the USU 17Similar
Q2 0:51
2ND & 5
OPP 17
0
93.0%
Cade McNamara pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:47
3RD & 5
OPP 17
0
92.7%
Cade McNamara pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:41
4TH & 5
OPP 17
0
92.4%
(00:41) STEVENS, Drew field goal attempt from 35 yards GOOD [kick was spotted at USU25], score nullified by penalty, clock 00:36. PENALTY USU Personal Foul on LARSEN, Ike enforced half the distance from the goal, 8 yards from the USU17 to the USU9 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 0:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
93.0%
Leshon Williams run for 5 yds to the USU 3Similar
Q2 0:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
92.5%
Leshon Williams run for 1 yd to the USU 2Similar
Q2 0:15
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
91.0%
Cade McNamara pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:07
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+20
92.4%
Drew Stevens 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · 4 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q2 0:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
92.9%
Rahsul Faison run for 4 yds to the USU 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 13FG
8 plays · 47 yds · 2:577% → 9%
Q3 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
93.0%
Cooper Legas pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:49
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
93.1%
Robert Briggs Jr. run for 4 yds to the USU 29Similar
Q3 14:31
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+39
92.9%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Terrell Vaughn for 39 yds to the IOWA 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:02
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
91.8%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Robert Briggs Jr. for 3 yds to the IOWA 29Similar
Q3 13:37
2ND & 7
OPP 29
-5
91.5%
Utah State Penalty, False Start (William Testa) to the IOWA 34Similar
Q3 13:32
2ND & 12
OPP 34
-1
92.0%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Colby Bowman for a loss of 1 yard to the IOWA 35Similar
Q3 12:50
3RD & 13
OPP 35
+7
92.6%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Jalen Royals for 7 yds to the IOWA 28Similar
Q3 12:02
4TH & 6
OPP 28
+45
90.6%
Elliott Nimrod 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 12 yds · 1:4691% → 91%
Q3 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
91.4%
Kaleb Johnson run for 9 yds to the IOWA 34Similar
Q3 11:38
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+4
91.6%
Kaleb Johnson run for 4 yds to the IOWA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-1
91.8%
Kaleb Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the IOWA 37Similar
Q3 10:34
2ND & 11
OWN 37
0
91.3%
Cade McNamara pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:23
3RD & 11
OWN 37
0
91.0%
Cade McNamara pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:15
4TH & 11
OWN 37
0
90.6%
Tory Taylor punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Micah Davis at the USU 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 15PUNT
10 plays · 40 yds · 4:0110% → 10%
Q3 10:09
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+7
90.5%
Cooper Legas run for 7 yds to the USU 24Similar
Q3 9:50
2ND & 3
OWN 24
+8
90.4%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Terrell Vaughn for 8 yds to the USU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
90.3%
Cooper Legas run for 6 yds to the USU 38Similar
Q3 8:55
2ND & 4
OWN 38
+3
89.7%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Terrell Vaughn for 3 yds to the USU 41Similar
Q3 8:34
3RD & 1
OWN 41
+3
89.8%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Terrell Vaughn for 3 yds to the USU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+12
89.7%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Terrell Vaughn for 12 yds to the IOWA 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:20
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
89.1%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Terrell Vaughn for no gain to the IOWA 44Similar
Q3 6:53
2ND & 10
OPP 44
0
89.1%
Cooper Legas pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:51
3RD & 10
OPP 44
+1
89.6%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Robert Briggs Jr. for 1 yd to the IOWA 43Similar
Q3 6:08
4TH & 9
OPP 43
0
90.3%
Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 43 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 16PUNT
9 plays · 29 yds · 3:2891% → 91%
Q3 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
91.2%
Cade McNamara pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:57
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+4
91.1%
Kaleb Johnson run for 4 yds to the IOWA 24Similar
Q3 5:19
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+29
91.1%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Nico Ragaini for 29 yds to the USU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:36
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
92.3%
Cade McNamara pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:17
2ND & 10
OPP 47
0
91.3%
Kaleb Johnson run for no gain to the USU 47Similar
Q3 3:43
3RD & 10
OPP 47
-5
90.6%
Iowa Penalty, False Start (Diante Vines) to the IOWA 48Similar
Q3 3:20
3RD & 15
OWN 48
+1
90.6%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Jaziun Patterson for 1 yd to the IOWA 49Similar
Q3 2:33
4TH & 14
OWN 49
0
90.5%
Tory Taylor punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Micah Davis at the USU 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 2:249% → 9%
Q3 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
91.0%
Cooper Legas pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:20
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+9
91.2%
Davon Booth run for 9 yds to the USU 19Similar
Q3 1:54
3RD & 1
OWN 19
+2
91.3%
Cooper Legas run for 2 yds to the USU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
90.8%
Davon Booth run for 3 yds to the USU 24Similar
Q3 1:17
2ND & 7
OWN 24
+6
90.6%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Davon Booth for 6 yds to the USU 30Similar
Q3 0:47
3RD & 1
OWN 30
-2
89.8%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Terrell Vaughn for a loss of 2 yards to the USU 28Similar
Q3 0:01
4TH & 3
OWN 28
0
91.3%
Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 40 yds , returns for no gain to the IOWA 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 18TD
11 plays · 68 yds · 4:4192% → 98%
Q4 14:58
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-2
91.5%
Kaleb Johnson run for a loss of 2 yards to the IOWA 30Similar
Q4 14:22
2ND & 12
OWN 30
0
91.2%
Cade McNamara pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:14
3RD & 12
OWN 30
+31
90.8%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Luke Lachey for 31 yds to the USU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:33
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
92.4%
Kaleb Johnson run for 4 yds to the USU 35Similar
Q4 12:55
2ND & 6
OPP 35
-5
92.4%
Kaden Wetjen run for a loss of 5 yards to the USU 40Similar
Q4 12:05
3RD & 11
OPP 40
+15
91.7%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Luke Lachey for 15 yds to the USU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:49
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
92.2%
Kaleb Johnson run for 2 yds to the USU 23Similar
Q4 11:05
2ND & 8
OPP 23
0
92.3%
Utah State Penalty, Personal Foul (Enoka Migao) to the USU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:57
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-5
93.4%
Iowa Penalty, False Start (Erick All) to the USU 16Similar
Q4 10:51
1ST & 15
OPP 16
+13
93.4%
Kaden Wetjen run for 13 yds to the USU 3Similar
Q4 10:17
2ND & 2
OPP 3
+3
98.0%
Kaleb Johnson 3 Yd Run (Drew Stevens Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:263% → 3%
Q4 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+5
97.2%
Davon Booth run for 5 yds to the USU 17Similar
Q4 9:34
2ND & 5
OWN 17
0
97.1%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Davon Booth for no gain to the USU 17Similar
Q4 8:52
3RD & 5
OWN 17
0
97.2%
Cooper Legas pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:48
4TH & 5
OWN 17
0
97.2%
Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 47 yds, Cooper DeJean return for 3 yds to the IOW 39. Penalty IOW Illegal Block in the Back on Jaxon Rexroth enforced 10 yds after the change of possession from the end of the play at the IOW 39 to the IOW 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:2798% → 98%
Q4 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
97.9%
Kaleb Johnson run for no gain to the IOWA 29Similar
Q4 7:57
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+5
97.9%
Deacon Hill pass complete to Seth Anderson for 5 yds to the IOWA 34Similar
Q4 7:19
3RD & 5
OWN 34
0
98.1%
Deacon Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:09
4TH & 5
OWN 34
0
98.0%
Tory Taylor punt for 53 yds, Micah Davis return 12 yds to the USU25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 21DOWNS
10 plays · 50 yds · 3:133% → 2%
Q4 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
97.2%
Rahsul Faison run for 17 yds to the USU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+18
97.0%
Rahsul Faison run for 18 yds to the IOWA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+6
97.2%
Rahsul Faison run for 6 yds to the IOWA 34Similar
Q4 5:53
2ND & 4
OPP 34
+10
96.6%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Jalen Royals for 10 yds to the IOWA 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:33
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
97.2%
Rahsul Faison run for 1 yd to the IOWA 23Similar
Q4 5:11
2ND & 9
OPP 23
+8
97.2%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Terrell Vaughn for 8 yds to the IOWA 15Similar
Q4 4:41
3RD & 1
OPP 15
-5
97.4%
Utah State Penalty, False Start (Hale Motu'apuaka) to the IOWA 20Similar
Q4 4:24
3RD & 6
OPP 20
-5
97.5%
Utah State Penalty, False Start (Hale Motu'apuaka) to the IOWA 25Similar
Q4 4:06
3RD & 11
OPP 25
0
97.7%
Rahsul Faison run for no gain to the IOWA 25Similar
Q4 3:42
4TH & 11
OPP 25
0
97.7%
Cooper Legas pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:1999% → 99%
Q4 3:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
98.5%
Jaziun Patterson run for 6 yds to the IOWA 31Similar
Q4 3:04
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-1
98.7%
Jaziun Patterson run for a loss of 1 yard to the IOWA 30Similar
Q4 2:20
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
98.8%
Deacon Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:17
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
98.6%
Tory Taylor punt for 50 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 23TD
3 plays · 70 yds · 0:302% → 8%
Q4 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+41
97.9%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Rahsul Faison for 26 yds to the IOWA 44 for a 1ST down Iowa Penalty, Personal Foul (Jaden Harrell) to the IOWA 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+13
97.4%
Rahsul Faison run for 13 yds to the IOWA 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:36
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
91.7%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Terrell Vaughn for 16 yds for a TD (Cooper Legas pass to Rahsul Faison for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 24PUNT
7 plays · -7 yds · 0:2096% → 96%
Q4 1:34
1ST & 10
50
-4
96.0%
Jaziun Patterson run for a loss of 4 yards to the IOWA 46Similar
Q4 1:24
2ND & 14
OWN 46
+1
96.6%
Jaziun Patterson run for 1 yd to the IOWA 47Similar
Q4 1:23
3RD & 13
OWN 47
-4
96.6%
Jaziun Patterson run for a loss of 4 yards to the IOWA 43Similar
Q4 1:14
4TH & 17
OWN 43
0
96.4%
Tory Taylor punt for 49 yds, downed at the USU 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 25DOWNS
6 plays · 7 yds · 0:553% → 3%
Q4 1:06
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
97.2%
Cooper Legas pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:01
2ND & 10
OWN 8
+11
97.2%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Otto Tia for 11 yds to the USU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
97.0%
Cooper Legas pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:42
2ND & 10
OWN 19
0
97.0%
Cooper Legas pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:38
3RD & 10
OWN 19
+7
97.2%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Rahsul Faison for 7 yds to the USU 26Similar
Q4 0:11
4TH & 3
OWN 26
-11
97.2%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Rahsul Faison for a loss of 11 yards to the USU 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 26END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q4 0:03
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
97.2%
(00:03) Kneel down by HILL, Deacon at USU17 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 1:36
Cooper Legas pass complete to Terrell Vaughn for 16 yds for a TD (Cooper Legas pass to Rahsul Faison for Two-Point Conversion)
-5.7
TD · Q4 10:17
Kaleb Johnson 3 Yd Run (Drew Stevens Kick)
+4.6
KEY PLAY · Q4 1:34
Jaziun Patterson run for a loss of 4 yards to the IOWA 46
+4.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com