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OSU

Ohio State 23 at Indiana 3

IU
2023 · Week 1 · Sep 2, 2023 · Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN)
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Win probability · IU
modelIU aheadOSU aheadconfidence bandkey playIU scoreOSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGFGTDTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 3:58 · Jesse Mirco punt for 55 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the IU 42 , Jaylin Lucas returns for 29 yds to the IU 42
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+54.5+27.30−27.3−54.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 60Pregame prior−39.4Home team on offense−3.5Score differential−1.9Garbage-time factor−0.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.0
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 6:15: Chris Freeman 42 yd FG GOOD — IU win probability +2.3 pts (now 11%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 0:03: Jayden Fielding 40 yd FG GOOD — OSU win probability +3.0 pts (now 91%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 6:42: Jayden Fielding 22 yd FG GOOD — IU win probability +1.0 pts (now 11%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 1:51: Miyan Williams run for 3 yds for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK) — OSU win probability +5.7 pts (now 96%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 4:26: Jayden Fielding 22 yd FG GOOD — OSU win probability +1.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
IU made the numbers' call on 8 of 10OSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 10
  1. Q1 12:50IU 4th & 3 at IU 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.0%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:50OSU 4th & 2 at IU 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 94.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    94.0%−0.1
    47% to make
    Punt
    93.9%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:24IU 4th & 10 at IU 8, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.3%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.4%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:00OSU 4th & 8 at OSU 40, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.1%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.2%
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:40IU 4th & 6 at IU 34, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.6%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:18OSU 4th & 2 at IU 29, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 89.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    89.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    89.5%−0.4
    58% to make
    Punt
    88.3%−1.7
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:15IU 4th & 7 at OSU 24, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 11.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.5%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    11.6%
    68% to make
    Punt
    9.1%−2.6
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:58OSU 4th & 4 at OSU 32, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.6%−0.2
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.8%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:38IU 4th & 4 at OSU 39, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 17.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    17.4%−0.1
    36% to make
    Punt
    16.7%−0.8
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:03OSU 4th & 10 at IU 22, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 84.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.0%−0.8
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    83.8%
    72% to make
    Punt
    79.7%−4.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 13:40OSU 4th & 3 at OSU 32, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.9%−0.3
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.2%
    average punt
  12. Q3 12:06IU 4th & 3 at IU 41, down 7
    Close callPunted · 14.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.6%−0.2
    average punt
  13. Q3 6:42OSU 4th & 4 at IU 4, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 85.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    85.0%−0.5
    93% to make
    Punt
    79.5%−6.0
    average punt
  14. Q3 5:15IU 4th & 7 at IU 28, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.7%−0.7
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.3%
    average punt
  15. Q4 13:04IU 4th & 2 at IU 29, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.3%−0.6
    average punt
  16. Q4 10:07IU 4th & 13 at OSU 42, down 17
    Close callWent for it · 4.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.7%−0.4
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    3.8%−0.3
    30% to make
    Punt
    4.1%
    average punt
  17. Q4 6:24OSU 4th & 9 at IU 17, up 17
    Close callWent for it · 96.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.0%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    96.3%
    80% to make
    Punt
    94.3%−2.0
    average punt
  18. Q4 4:26OSU 4th & 4 at IU 4, up 17
    Close callKicked a field goal · 97.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.0%−0.2
    93% to make
    Punt
    95.1%−2.1
    average punt
  19. Q4 1:44IU 4th & 14 at IU 21, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  20. Q4 0:50OSU 4th & 17 at OSU 27, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.8%−0.4
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 7:16OSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 1:51OSU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
IUDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 2:104% → 4%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
3.5%
Brendan Sorsby run for 2 yds to the IU 23Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+11
3.5%
Brendan Sorsby run for 11 yds to the IU 34Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-5
3.5%
PENALTY IND False Start (Archer,Bradley) 5 yards from IND34 to IND29. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+3
3.5%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Josh Henderson for 3 yds to the IU 32Similar
Q1 12:50
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+8
4.0%
James Evans punt for 56 yds , Emeka Egbuka returns for 8 yds to the OSU 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 2TD
12 plays · 80 yds · 5:3496% → 95%
Q1 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
4.0%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 2 yds to the OSU 18Similar
Q1 12:50
2ND & 12
OWN 18
+9
4.0%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 9 yds to the OSU 27Similar
Q1 12:50
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+19
4.0%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 19 yds to the OSU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
3.9%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 3 yds to the OSU 49Similar
Q1 12:50
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+9
3.9%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Cade Stover for 9 yds to the IU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
3.9%
Kyle McCord pass incomplete to TreVeyon HendersonSimilar
Q1 12:50
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+8
3.9%
Kyle McCord run for 8 yds to the IU 34Similar
Q1 12:50
3RD & 2
OPP 34
0
3.9%
TreVeyon Henderson run for no gain to the IU 34Similar
Q1 12:50
4TH & 2
OPP 34
+10
4.0%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Gee Scott Jr. for 10 yds to the IU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+17
3.9%
Chip Trayanum run for 17 yds to the IU 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
4.7%
Miyan Williams run for 7 yds for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:465% → 5%
Q1 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
4.9%
Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete to E.J. WilliamsSimilar
Q1 7:10
2ND & 10
OWN 8
+1
4.9%
Jaylin Lucas run for 1 yd to the IU 7Similar
Q1 7:10
3RD & 11
OWN 7
+1
4.9%
Brendan Sorsby run for 1 yd to the IU 8Similar
Q1 5:24
4TH & 10
OWN 8
+6
5.2%
James Evans punt for 60 yds , Emeka Egbuka returns for 6 yds to the OSU 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:2495% → 94%
Q1 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
5.1%
TreVeyon Henderson run for no gain to the OSU 38Similar
Q1 5:24
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
5.1%
Kyle McCord pass incomplete to Julian FlemingSimilar
Q1 5:24
3RD & 10
OWN 38
+2
5.2%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 2 yds to the OSU 40Similar
Q1 4:00
4TH & 8
OWN 40
+41
5.6%
Jesse Mirco punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the IU 29 for a 1ST down Indiana Penalty, Defensive Holding (Nic Toomer) to the IU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 3:206% → 6%
Q1 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
5.6%
Jaylin Lucas run for 4 yds to the IU 23Similar
Q1 4:00
2ND & 6
OWN 23
+3
5.7%
Jaylin Lucas run for 3 yds to the IU 26Similar
Q1 4:00
3RD & 3
OWN 26
+4
5.6%
Jaylin Lucas run for 4 yds to the IU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
5.7%
Tayven Jackson pass incomplete to Cam CamperSimilar
Q1 4:00
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
5.6%
Josh Henderson run for no gain to the IU 30Similar
Q1 4:00
3RD & 10
OWN 30
+4
5.6%
Josh Henderson run for 4 yds to the IU 34Similar
Q1 0:40
4TH & 6
OWN 34
0
6.3%
James Evans punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Emeka Egbuka at the OSU 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 6INT
13 plays · 50 yds · 5:2294% → 92%
Q1 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+9
6.3%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 9 yds to the OSU 30Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 1
OWN 30
+4
6.3%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 4 yds to the OSU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+9
6.4%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 9 yds to the OSU 43Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 43
+7
6.2%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Julian Fleming for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
50
-10
6.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun Henderson,TreVeyon rush right for 4 yards gain to the IND46 (Moore,Louis), out of bounds PENALTY OSU Holding (Stover,Cade) 10 yards from OSU50 to OSU40. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 20
OWN 40
+10
6.4%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Julian Fleming for 10 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
50
+13
6.2%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 13 yds to the IU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
6.2%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 5 yds to the IU 32Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 32
+3
6.1%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 3 yds to the IU 29Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 29
0
6.2%
Miyan Williams run for no gain to the IU 29Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 29
0
6.2%
Miyan Williams run for no gain to the IU 29Similar
Q2 10:18
4TH & 2
OPP 29
0
7.8%
Kyle McCord pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 7FG
9 plays · 43 yds · 4:038% → 11%
Q2 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
8.3%
Jaylin Lucas run for 4 yds to the IU 37Similar
Q2 10:18
2ND & 6
OWN 37
+24
8.6%
Tayven Jackson pass complete to Cam Camper for 24 yds to the OSU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:18
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
8.9%
DeQuece Carter run for 1 yd to the OSU 38Similar
Q2 10:18
2ND & 9
OPP 38
+11
8.9%
Christian Turner run for 11 yds to the OSU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:18
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+1
9.3%
Christian Turner run for 1 yd to the OSU 26Similar
Q2 10:18
2ND & 9
OPP 26
+4
9.3%
Jaylin Lucas run for 4 yds to the OSU 22Similar
Q2 10:18
3RD & 5
OPP 22
+2
8.9%
Jaylin Lucas run for 2 yds to the OSU 24Similar
Q2 6:15
4TH & 7
OPP 24
+42
11.4%
Chris Freeman 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 2:1189% → 88%
Q2 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
10.6%
Miyan Williams run for 3 yds to the OSU 29Similar
Q2 6:09
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+6
10.4%
Miyan Williams run for 6 yds to the OSU 35Similar
Q2 6:09
3RD & 1
OWN 35
+3
10.4%
Devin Brown run for 3 yds to the OSU 32Similar
Q2 3:58
4TH & 4
OWN 32
+29
12.1%
Jesse Mirco punt for 55 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the IU 42 , Jaylin Lucas returns for 29 yds to the IU 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 9DOWNS
8 plays · 19 yds · 3:2013% → 15%
Q2 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
13.1%
Tayven Jackson run for 6 yds to the IU 48Similar
Q2 3:58
2ND & 4
OWN 48
+1
13.3%
Jaylin Lucas run for 1 yd to the IU 49Similar
Q2 3:58
3RD & 3
OWN 49
+6
13.0%
Christian Turner run for 6 yds to the OSU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:58
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
13.5%
Jaylin Lucas run for 2 yds to the OSU 43Similar
Q2 3:58
2ND & 8
OPP 43
+3
13.5%
Christian Turner run for 3 yds to the OSU 40Similar
Q2 3:58
3RD & 5
OPP 40
+1
13.3%
Josh Henderson run for 1 yd to the OSU 39Similar
Q2 0:38
4TH & 4
OPP 39
0
15.3%
Tayven Jackson pass incomplete to DeQuece CarterSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 10FG
9 plays · 39 yds · 0:3588% → 91%
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+15
12.5%
Kyle McCord pass incomplete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for a 1ST down Indiana Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Jamari Sharpe) to the IU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+24
11.6%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Cade Stover for 24 yds to the IU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
11.2%
Kyle McCord pass incomplete to Carnell TateSimilar
Q2 0:38
2ND & 10
OPP 22
0
11.3%
Kyle McCord pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:38
2ND & 10
OPP 22
0
11.3%
Kyle McCord pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:11
3RD & 10
OPP 22
0
11.5%
Kyle McCord pass incomplete to Carnell TateSimilar
Q2 0:03
4TH & 10
OPP 22
+40
9.1%
Jayden Fielding 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 11END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
10.8%
T. Jackson takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:2090% → 89%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
10.2%
Emeka Egbuka run for 9 yds to the OSU 34Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+2
9.7%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 2 yds to the OSU 32Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
10.1%
Kyle McCord pass incomplete to Emeka EgbukaSimilar
Q3 13:40
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+22
11.1%
Jesse Mirco punt for 56 yds , Jaylin Lucas returns for 22 yds to the IU 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:3412% → 12%
Q3 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
11.8%
Christian Turner run for 2 yds to the IU 36Similar
Q3 13:40
2ND & 8
OWN 36
0
11.9%
Tayven Jackson pass incomplete to Donaven McCulleySimilar
Q3 13:40
3RD & 8
OWN 36
+5
11.4%
Tayven Jackson run for 5 yds to the IU 41Similar
Q3 12:06
4TH & 3
OWN 41
0
12.0%
James Evans punt for 59 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 14FG
13 plays · 76 yds · 5:2489% → 89%
Q3 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
11.4%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Julian Fleming for 5 yds to the OSU 25Similar
Q3 12:06
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+7
11.0%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Cade Stover for 7 yds to the OSU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
11.0%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 1 yd to the OSU 33Similar
Q3 12:06
2ND & 9
OWN 33
+4
11.1%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Julian Fleming for 4 yds to the OSU 37Similar
Q3 12:06
3RD & 5
OWN 37
+15
10.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun McCord,Kyle pass incomplete deep left to Harrison Jr.,Marvin PENALTY IND Pass Interference (Minor,Kobee) 15 yards from OSU37 to IND48, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:06
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+27
10.2%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Julian Fleming for 27 yds to the IU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:06
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+2
9.9%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 2 yds to the IU 19Similar
Q3 12:06
2ND & 8
OPP 19
+9
9.9%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Cade Stover for 9 yds to the IU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
9.9%
Kyle McCord pass incomplete to Marvin Harrison Jr.Similar
Q3 12:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+6
9.9%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 6 yds to the IU 4Similar
Q3 12:06
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
10.2%
Kyle McCord run for no gain to the IU 4Similar
Q3 12:06
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
10.2%
Kyle McCord run for no gain to the IU 4Similar
Q3 6:42
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+22
11.2%
Jayden Fielding 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:2711% → 10%
Q3 6:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
11.3%
Christian Turner run for 3 yds to the IU 28Similar
Q3 6:42
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
11.5%
Tayven Jackson run for no gain to the IU 28Similar
Q3 6:42
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
10.7%
Tayven Jackson pass incomplete to Kamryn PerrySimilar
Q3 5:15
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
10.1%
James Evans punt for 60 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OSU 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 16TD
9 plays · 88 yds · 3:2489% → 96%
Q3 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+14
11.0%
Chip Trayanum run for 14 yds to the OSU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
10.8%
Chip Trayanum run for 1 yd to the OSU 27Similar
Q3 5:15
2ND & 9
OWN 27
+49
10.9%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Cade Stover for 49 yds to the IU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:25
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
9.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun McCord,Kyle pass complete deep right to Harrison Jr.,Marvin for 24 yards to the IND00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 03:25 PENALTY OSU Illegal Touch-Pass (Harrison Jr.,Marvin). NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:25
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+12
9.7%
Chip Trayanum run for 12 yds to the IU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:25
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+9
9.6%
Chip Trayanum run for 9 yds to the IU 3Similar
Q3 3:25
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+9
9.6%
Chip Trayanum run for 9 yds to the IU 3Similar
Q3 1:51
2ND & 1
OPP 3
+3
3.9%
Miyan Williams run for 3 yds for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 17DOWNS
18 plays · 51 yds · 6:356% → 4%
Q3 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+3
6.1%
Christian Turner run for 3 yds to the IU 10Similar
Q3 1:42
2ND & 7
OWN 10
+5
6.2%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Cam Camper for 5 yds to the IU 15Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 2
OWN 15
+6
5.8%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Donaven McCulley for 6 yds to the IU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
5.8%
Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete to Aaron SteinfeldtSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 21
-10
5.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun Sorsby,Brendan pass complete short middle to McCulley,Donaven for 16 yards to the IND37, End Of Play PENALTY IND Holding (Steinfeldt,Aaron) 10 yards from IND21 to IND11. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 20
OWN 11
+16
5.7%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to DeQuece Carter for 16 yds to the IU 27Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 27
+2
5.9%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Andison Coby for 2 yds to the IU 29Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 20
OWN 11
+16
5.7%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to DeQuece Carter for 16 yds to the IU 27Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 27
+2
5.9%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Andison Coby for 2 yds to the IU 29Similar
Q4 13:04
4TH & 2
OWN 29
0
4.8%
Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete to Cam Camper for a 1ST down Ohio State Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Davison Igbinosun) to the IU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:04
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
5.0%
Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete to E.J. WilliamsSimilar
Q4 13:04
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+2
4.9%
Jaylin Lucas run for 2 yds to the IU 42Similar
Q4 13:04
3RD & 8
OWN 42
+19
5.0%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to E.J. Williams for 19 yds to the OSU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:04
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
5.4%
Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete to E.J. WilliamsSimilar
Q4 13:04
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+3
5.3%
Jaylin Lucas run for 3 yds to the OSU 36Similar
Q4 13:04
3RD & 7
OPP 36
+6
5.4%
Brendan Sorsby run for 6 yds to the OSU 42Similar
Q4 10:07
4TH & 13
OPP 42
0
3.8%
Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete to Andison CobySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 18FG
16 plays · 54 yds · 5:4197% → 99%
Q4 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
3.2%
Kyle McCord pass incomplete to Marvin Harrison Jr.Similar
Q4 10:07
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+2
3.3%
Chip Trayanum run for 2 yds to the OSU 44Similar
Q4 10:07
3RD & 8
OWN 44
+12
3.2%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Chip Trayanum for 12 yds to the IU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:07
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+15
3.1%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Carnell Tate for 15 yds to the IU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:07
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
3.0%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Julian Fleming for 5 yds to the IU 24Similar
Q4 10:07
2ND & 5
OPP 24
+6
3.0%
Chip Trayanum run for 6 yds to the IU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:07
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
3.0%
Kyle McCord pass incomplete to Cade StoverSimilar
Q4 10:07
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+5
3.1%
Miyan Williams run for 5 yds to the IU 13Similar
Q4 6:24
3RD & 5
OPP 13
+4
2.1%
Chip Trayanum run for 4 yds to the IU 17Similar
Q4 6:24
4TH & 9
OPP 17
+12
2.4%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Miyan Williams for 12 yds to the IU 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
2.1%
Miyan Williams run for 1 yd to the IU 4Similar
Q4 6:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
2.1%
Kyle McCord pass incomplete to Marvin Harrison Jr.Similar
Q4 6:24
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
2.1%
Kyle McCord pass incomplete to Julian FlemingSimilar
Q4 4:26
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+22
0.8%
Jayden Fielding 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 2:331% → 1%
Q4 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+6
0.8%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Cam Camper for 6 yds to the IU 11Similar
Q4 4:17
2ND & 4
OWN 11
+1
0.8%
Brendan Sorsby run for 1 yd to the IU 10Similar
Q4 4:17
3RD & 5
OWN 10
+15
0.8%
Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete to Cam Camper for a 1ST down Ohio State Penalty, UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (Lathan Ransom) to the IU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
0.9%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Jaylin Lucas for 1 yd to the IU 26Similar
Q4 4:17
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-5
0.9%
Brendan Sorsby sacked by Hero Kanu for a loss of 5 yards to the IU 21Similar
Q4 4:17
3RD & 14
OWN 21
0
0.8%
Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete to DeQuece CarterSimilar
Q4 1:44
4TH & 14
OWN 21
0
0.7%
James Evans punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Emeka Egbuka at the OSU 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · -7 yds · 0:54100% → 99%
Q4 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
0.4%
Devin Brown pass incomplete to Joe RoyerSimilar
Q4 1:44
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+2
0.4%
Devin Brown pass complete to Dallan Hayden for 2 yds to the OSU 32Similar
Q4 1:44
3RD & 12
OWN 32
0
0.4%
Devin Brown pass incomplete to David AdolphSimilar
Q4 1:44
4TH & 12
OWN 32
-5
0.4%
PENALTY OSU Delay Of Game 5 yards from OSU32 to OSU27. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:50
4TH & 17
OWN 27
0
0.8%
Jesse Mirco punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Camden Jordan at the IU 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 21END OF GAME
1 play · 4 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
0.7%
Trent Howland run for 4 yds to the IU 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 1:51
Miyan Williams run for 3 yds for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK)
-5.7
FG · Q2 0:03
Jayden Fielding 40 yd FG GOOD
-3
FG · Q2 6:15
Chris Freeman 42 yd FG GOOD
+2.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com