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UTM

UT Martin 7 at Georgia 48

UGA
2023 · Week 1 · Sep 2, 2023 · Sanford Stadium
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Win probability · UGA
modelUGA aheadUTM aheadconfidence bandkey playUGA scoreUTM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of GameFG—UGA 100.0%Peyton Woodring 33 yd FG GOODAWAY 7 - HOME 41 · Q4 2:09
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 2:09 · Peyton Woodring 33 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorBlowout margin
+50.0+25.00−25.0−50.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 177Pregame prior+4.5Home team on offense+36.1Score differential+27.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+13.2Garbage-time factor+15.6Blowout margin+12.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 3:40: Brock Bowers run for 3 yds for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK) — UGA win probability +0.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 4:29: Carson Beck run for 4 yds for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK) — UGA win probability +0.5 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 0:03: Peyton Woodring 23 yd FG GOOD — UGA win probability +0.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 8:29: Carson Beck pass complete to Mekhi Mews for 54 yds for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK) — UGA win probability +0.5 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 5:35: Roderick Robinson II run for 2 yds for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK) — UGA win probability +0.4 pts (now 100%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UGA made the numbers' call on 4 of 7UTM made the numbers' call on 6 of 11
  1. Q1 11:51UTM 4th & 5 at UTM 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:26UGA 4th & 8 at UGA 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.4%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:19UTM 4th & 1 at UTM 38, tied
    Close callPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:19UTM 4th & 13 at UTM 22, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.1%
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:22UGA 4th & 4 at UGA 37, up 7
    Close callPunted · 98.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:37UTM 4th & 8 at UGA 36, down 7
    Close callPunted · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.3%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    1.3%−<0.1
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    1.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:12UGA 4th & 6 at UTM 46, up 7
    Close callPunted · 98.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    98.1%−0.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    98.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:12UTM 4th & 3 at UTM 19, down 7
    Close callPunted · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.9%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:17UTM 4th & 1 at UTM 34, down 14
    Close callPunted · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.7%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:03UGA 4th & 5 at UTM 5, up 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 98.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.2%
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.1%−<0.1
    92% to make
    Punt
    97.6%−0.6
    average punt
  11. Q3 12:43UGA 4th & 6 at UGA 35, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.3%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.4%
    average punt
  12. Q3 11:01UTM 4th & 16 at UGA 44, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.5%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    1.5%−0.2
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    1.7%
    average punt
  13. Q3 7:29UTM 4th & 5 at UTM 30, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%
    average punt
  14. Q3 3:27UTM 4th & 3 at UTM 45, down 31
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  15. Q3 1:15UGA 4th & 14 at UGA 11, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    100.0%
    average punt
  16. Q4 12:13UTM 4th & 7 at UGA 23, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.1%
    70% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.3
    average punt
  17. Q4 9:27UTM 4th & 1 at UGA 49, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    -0.0%−0.1
    average punt
  18. Q4 2:09UGA 4th & 6 at UTM 15, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%
    83% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UGA made the numbers' call on 6 of 6UTM made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 3:40UGA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 4:29UGA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 8:29UGA Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 5:35UGA Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 11:36UGA Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 6:39UTM Touchdown, down 32 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 1:59UGA Touchdown, up 40 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UTMDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 3:040% → 1%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
99.6%
Kinkead Dent pass complete to Sam Franklin for 2 yds to the UTM 12Similar
Q1 14:07
2ND & 8
OWN 12
+8
99.6%
Sam Franklin run for 8 yds to the UTM 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
99.5%
Sam Franklin run for no gain to the UTM 20Similar
Q1 12:42
2ND & 10
OWN 20
-5
99.5%
UT Martin Penalty, False Start (Drake Carroll) to the UTM 15Similar
Q1 12:13
2ND & 15
OWN 15
0
99.5%
Kinkead Dent pass incomplete to Sam FranklinSimilar
Q1 12:07
3RD & 15
OWN 15
+10
99.5%
Sam Franklin run for 10 yds to the UTM 25 UT Martin Penalty, Illegal Motion ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 11:51
4TH & 5
OWN 25
+6
99.5%
Aidan Laros punt for 57 yds , Mekhi Mews returns for 6 yds to the UGA 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:5699% → 99%
Q1 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-4
99.4%
Carson Beck pass complete to Mekhi Mews for a loss of 4 yards to the UGA 20Similar
Q1 11:04
2ND & 14
OWN 20
+6
99.4%
Carson Beck pass complete to Dillon Bell for 6 yds to the UGA 26Similar
Q1 10:34
3RD & 8
OWN 26
0
99.4%
Carson Beck pass incomplete to Arian SmithSimilar
Q1 10:26
4TH & 8
OWN 26
0
99.4%
Brett Thorson punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Oshae Baker at the UTM 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTMDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:541% → 1%
Q1 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
99.4%
Narkel Leflore run for 6 yds to the UTM 35Similar
Q1 9:52
2ND & 4
OWN 35
+1
99.3%
Narkel Leflore run for 1 yd to the UTM 36Similar
Q1 9:02
3RD & 3
OWN 36
+2
99.3%
Kinkead Dent pass complete to DeVonte Tanksley for 2 yds to the UTM 38Similar
Q1 8:19
4TH & 1
OWN 38
0
99.3%
Aidan Laros punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Mekhi Mews at the UGA 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 4TD
11 plays · 76 yds · 4:3199% → 99%
Q1 8:11
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
99.3%
Kendall Milton run for 4 yds to the UGA 28Similar
Q1 7:27
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+1
99.2%
Kendall Milton run for 1 yd to the UGA 29Similar
Q1 7:15
3RD & 5
OWN 29
+10
99.2%
Beck, Carson pass incomplete to Lovett, Dominic, PENALTY TENNMARTIN holding (McGoy Jr., JaMichael) 10 yards to the GEORGIA39, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN GEORGIA.Similar
Q1 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
99.2%
Carson Beck pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:22
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+38
99.1%
Carson Beck pass complete to Brock Bowers for 23 yds to the UTM 38 for a 1ST down UT Martin Penalty, Personal Foul (JaMichael McGoy Jr.) to the UTM 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:03
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+7
99.2%
Roderick Robinson II run for 7 yds to the UTM 16Similar
Q1 5:44
2ND & 3
OPP 16
-4
99.1%
Carson Beck pass complete to Dominic Lovett for a loss of 4 yards to the UTM 20Similar
Q1 5:15
3RD & 7
OPP 20
+9
99.1%
Carson Beck pass complete to Dillon Bell for 9 yds to the UTM 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+6
99.1%
Kendall Milton run for 6 yds to the UTM 5Similar
Q1 4:17
2ND & 4
OPP 5
+2
99.0%
Kendall Milton run for 2 yds to the UTM 3Similar
Q1 3:40
3RD & 2
OPP 3
+3
99.1%
Brock Bowers run for 3 yds for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTMDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · -3 yds · 1:101% → 1%
Q1 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.1%
Sam Franklin run for 1 yd to the UTM 26Similar
Q1 3:13
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
99.1%
Kinkead Dent pass incomplete to DeVonte Tanksley UT Martin Penalty, Illegal Formation ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 3:01
3RD & 9
OWN 26
-4
99.1%
Kinkead Dent sacked by Mykel Williams for a loss of 4 yards to the UTM 22Similar
Q1 2:19
4TH & 13
OWN 22
+13
99.0%
Aidan Laros punt for 60 yds , Mekhi Mews returns for 13 yds to the UGA 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:5299% → 99%
Q1 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
99.0%
Carson Beck pass incomplete to C.J. SmithSimilar
Q1 2:00
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+6
99.0%
Roderick Robinson II run for 6 yds to the UGA 37Similar
Q1 1:34
3RD & 4
OWN 37
0
99.0%
Carson Beck pass incomplete to Dominic LovettSimilar
Q1 1:22
4TH & 4
OWN 37
0
98.9%
Brett Thorson punt for 48 yds, downed at the UTM 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTMDrive 7PUNT
9 plays · 49 yds · 2:391% → 1%
Q1 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+10
98.9%
Dent, Kinkead pass incomplete to Rucker, Trevonte, PENALTY GEORGIA holding (Lassiter, Kamari) 10 yards to the TENNMARTIN25, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TENNMARTIN.Similar
Q1 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.9%
Kinkead Dent pass incomplete to Max DowlingSimilar
Q1 1:01
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+11
99.0%
Jordan Castleberry run for 11 yds to the UTM 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+26
98.9%
Kinkead Dent run for 26 yds to the UGA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-4
98.8%
Kinkead Dent pass complete to Jordan Castleberry for a loss of 4 yards to the UGA 42Similar
Q2 14:11
2ND & 14
OPP 42
+6
98.8%
Kinkead Dent pass complete to Zoe Roberts for 6 yds to the UGA 36Similar
Q2 13:46
3RD & 8
OPP 36
0
98.7%
Kinkead Dent pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:37
4TH & 8
OPP 36
0
98.8%
Kinkead Dent punt for 29 yds, downed at the UGA 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 8PUNT
9 plays · 47 yds · 4:1299% → 98%
Q2 13:24
1ST & 10
OWN 7
0
98.7%
Kendall Milton run for no gain to the UGA 7Similar
Q2 12:40
2ND & 10
OWN 7
+10
98.7%
Carson Beck pass complete to Brock Bowers for 10 yds Brock Bowers fumbled, forced by Oshae Baker, recovered by UGA Arian Smith for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:09
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+8
98.6%
Carson Beck pass complete to Cash Jones for 8 yds to the UGA 25Similar
Q2 11:49
2ND & 2
OWN 25
+2
98.6%
Roderick Robinson II run for 2 yds to the UGA 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:24
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+23
98.6%
Roderick Robinson II run for 23 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:57
1ST & 10
50
+3
98.6%
Carson Beck pass complete to Oscar Delp for 3 yds to the UTM 47Similar
Q2 10:24
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+2
98.6%
Kendall Milton run for 2 yds to the UTM 45Similar
Q2 9:47
3RD & 5
OPP 45
-1
98.5%
Kendall Milton run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTM 46Similar
Q2 9:12
4TH & 6
OPP 46
0
98.4%
Brett Thorson punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Oshae Baker at the UTM 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTMDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 1:522% → 2%
Q2 9:04
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
98.4%
Kinkead Dent pass incomplete to DeVonte TanksleySimilar
Q2 8:53
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+2
98.3%
Sam Franklin run for 2 yds to the UTM 14Similar
Q2 8:16
3RD & 8
OWN 14
-5
98.3%
UT Martin Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the UTM 9Similar
Q2 7:54
3RD & 13
OWN 9
+10
98.3%
Kinkead Dent run for 10 yds to the UTM 19Similar
Q2 7:12
4TH & 3
OWN 19
0
98.2%
Aidan Laros punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Mekhi Mews at the UGA 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 10TD
8 plays · 68 yds · 2:2398% → 99%
Q2 6:52
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+37
98.2%
Kendall Milton run for 37 yds to the UTM 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:37
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
98.3%
Kendall Milton run for 2 yds to the UTM 29Similar
Q2 5:58
2ND & 8
OPP 29
+16
98.2%
Carson Beck pass complete to Brock Bowers for 16 yds to the UTM 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:39
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
98.2%
Carson Beck pass incomplete to Arian SmithSimilar
Q2 5:19
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+7
98.2%
Beck, Carson pass complete to Lovett, Dominic for 6 yards to the TENNMARTIN7, PENALTY TENNMARTIN holding (Baker, Oshae) 7 yards to the TENNMARTIN6, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN GEORGIA.Similar
Q2 5:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
98.1%
Carson Beck pass incomplete to Dominic LovettSimilar
Q2 5:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
98.1%
Roderick Robinson II run for 2 yds to the UTM 4Similar
Q2 4:29
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
98.6%
Carson Beck run for 4 yds for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTMDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 9 yds · 2:012% → 2%
Q2 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
98.5%
Kinkead Dent pass complete to Ygenio Booker for 2 yds to the UTM 27Similar
Q2 3:22
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+6
98.4%
Kinkead Dent pass complete to DJ Nelson for 6 yds to the UTM 33Similar
Q2 2:54
3RD & 2
OWN 33
-5
98.4%
UT Martin Penalty, False Start (Trevonte Rucker) to the UTM 28Similar
Q2 2:25
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+6
98.4%
Sam Franklin run for 6 yds to the UTM 34Similar
Q2 2:17
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
98.4%
Aidan Laros punt for 66 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 12FG
13 plays · 75 yds · 2:0799% → 99%
Q2 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
98.6%
Carson Beck pass complete to Brock Bowers for 8 yds to the UGA 28Similar
Q2 1:48
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+2
98.6%
Cash Jones run for 2 yds to the UGA 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+20
98.7%
Carson Beck pass complete to Brock Bowers for 20 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:07
1ST & 10
50
+6
98.7%
Carson Beck run for 6 yds to the UTM 44Similar
Q2 0:49
2ND & 4
OPP 44
+2
98.7%
Carson Beck pass complete to Cash Jones for 2 yds to the UTM 42Similar
Q2 0:42
3RD & 2
OPP 42
+2
98.6%
Carson Beck run for 2 yds to the UTM 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:33
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+12
98.7%
Carson Beck pass complete to Cash Jones for 12 yds to the UTM 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:27
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+25
98.7%
Carson Beck pass complete to Dominic Lovett for 25 yds to the UTM 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-2
98.4%
Cash Jones run for a loss of 2 yards to the UTM 5Similar
Q2 0:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
98.4%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:06
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
98.3%
Carson Beck pass incomplete to Arian SmithSimilar
Q2 0:03
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+23
98.5%
Peyton Woodring 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTMDrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
98.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the UTM 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 2:0299% → 98%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
98.5%
Carson Beck pass complete to Dominic Lovett for 4 yds to the UGA 35Similar
Q3 14:11
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+2
98.5%
Andrew Paul run for 2 yds to the UGA 37Similar
Q3 13:39
3RD & 4
OWN 37
+3
98.4%
Carson Beck pass complete to Cash Jones for 3 yds to the UGA 40Similar
Q3 13:05
4TH & 1
OWN 40
-5
98.3%
Georgia Penalty, False Start (Oscar Delp) to the UGA 35Similar
Q3 12:43
4TH & 6
OWN 35
0
98.3%
Brett Thorson punt for 43 yds, downed at the UTM 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTMDrive 15PUNT
10 plays · 34 yds · 1:382% → 2%
Q3 12:39
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
98.4%
Kinkead Dent pass incomplete to DeVonte TanksleySimilar
Q3 12:27
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+9
98.5%
Kinkead Dent pass complete to Marlon Cook Jr. for 9 yds to the UTM 31Similar
Q3 12:08
3RD & 1
OWN 31
+15
98.4%
Dent, Kinkead pass incomplete to Cook Jr., Marlon, PENALTY GEORGIA pass interference (Everette, Daylen) 15 yards to the TENNMARTIN46, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TENNMARTIN.Similar
Q3 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+16
98.3%
Kinkead Dent pass complete to Sam Franklin for 16 yds to the UGA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:33
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-1
98.2%
Sam Franklin run for a loss of 1 yard to the UGA 39Similar
Q3 11:15
2ND & 11
OPP 39
0
98.3%
Kinkead Dent pass incomplete to Trevonte RuckerSimilar
Q3 11:10
3RD & 11
OPP 39
0
98.3%
Kinkead Dent pass incomplete to Marlon Cook Jr.Similar
Q3 11:08
4TH & 11
OPP 39
-5
98.3%
UT Martin Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the UGA 44Similar
Q3 11:01
4TH & 16
OPP 44
0
98.4%
Aidan Laros punt for 42 yds, downed at the UGA 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 16TD
8 plays · 98 yds · 2:2699% → 99%
Q3 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 2
0
98.7%
Carson Beck pass incomplete to Arian SmithSimilar
Q3 10:45
2ND & 10
OWN 2
+2
98.7%
Roderick Robinson II run for 2 yds to the UGA 4Similar
Q3 10:07
3RD & 8
OWN 4
+5
98.6%
Beck, Carson pass incomplete to Thomas, Rara, PENALTY TENNMARTIN offside (Dowell, Christian) 5 yards to the GEORGIA9, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:54
3RD & 3
OWN 9
+10
98.6%
Carson Beck pass complete to C.J. Smith for 10 yds to the UGA 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+17
98.7%
Carson Beck pass complete to Dillon Bell for 17 yds to the UGA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+10
98.8%
Beck, Carson pass complete to Paul, Andrew for 6 yards to the GEORGIA42, PENALTY TENNMARTIN holding (Almo, Kaleb) 10 yards to the GEORGIA46, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN GEORGIA.Similar
Q3 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
98.8%
Carson Beck pass incomplete to Brock BowersSimilar
Q3 8:29
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+54
99.4%
Carson Beck pass complete to Mekhi Mews for 54 yds for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTMDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 0:531% → 1%
Q3 8:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.3%
Kinkead Dent pass incomplete to Zoe RobertsSimilar
Q3 8:18
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
99.3%
Kinkead Dent pass incomplete to DeVonte TanksleySimilar
Q3 8:10
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.3%
Kinkead Dent run for 5 yds to the UTM 30Similar
Q3 7:29
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
99.3%
Aidan Laros punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Mekhi Mews at the UGA 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 18TD
5 plays · 80 yds · 1:4199% → 100%
Q3 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+47
99.4%
Carson Beck pass complete to C.J. Smith for 47 yds to the UTM 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:40
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
99.5%
Carson Beck pass incomplete to Dominic LovettSimilar
Q3 6:29
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+25
99.5%
Carson Beck pass complete to Mekhi Mews for 25 yds to the UTM 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+6
99.5%
Roderick Robinson II run for 6 yds to the UTM 2Similar
Q3 5:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.9%
Roderick Robinson II run for 2 yds for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTMDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 1:570% → 0%
Q3 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
99.9%
Kinkead Dent pass complete to Jordan Castleberry for 13 yds to the UTM 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
99.9%
Kinkead Dent pass complete to DeVonte Tanksley for 1 yd to the UTM 39Similar
Q3 4:20
2ND & 9
OWN 39
0
99.9%
Kinkead Dent pass incomplete to DJ NelsonSimilar
Q3 4:09
3RD & 9
OWN 39
+6
99.9%
Jordan Castleberry run for 6 yds to the UTM 45Similar
Q3 3:27
4TH & 3
OWN 45
0
99.9%
Aidan Laros punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Mekhi Mews at the UGA 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 20PUNT
6 plays · -4 yds · 2:00100% → 100%
Q3 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-7
99.9%
Vandagriff, Brock pass complete to Delp, Oscar for 20 yards to the GEORGIA35, PENALTY GEORGIA holding (Blaske, Austin) 7 yards to the GEORGIA8, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:00
1ST & 17
OWN 8
+3
99.9%
Andrew Paul run for 3 yds to the UGA 11Similar
Q3 2:25
2ND & 14
OWN 11
-5
99.9%
Vandagriff, Brock rush for 24 yards to the GEORGIA35, PENALTY GEORGIA holding (Morris, Micah) 5 yards to the GEORGIA6, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:00
2ND & 19
OWN 6
+5
99.9%
Cash Jones run for 5 yds to the UGA 11Similar
Q3 1:23
3RD & 14
OWN 11
0
99.9%
Brock Vandagriff pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:15
4TH & 14
OWN 11
0
99.9%
Brett Thorson punt for 53 yds, fair catch by Oshae Baker at the UTM 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTMDrive 21MISSED FG
12 plays · 41 yds · 3:560% → 0%
Q3 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
99.9%
Sam Franklin run for 5 yds to the UTM 41Similar
Q3 0:47
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+8
99.9%
Kinkead Dent pass complete to Trevonte Rucker for 8 yds to the UTM 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
99.9%
Sam Franklin run for 4 yds to the UGA 47Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+10
99.9%
Kinkead Dent pass complete to Asa Wondeh for 10 yds to the UGA 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
99.9%
Kinkead Dent pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:44
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+4
99.9%
Sam Franklin run for 4 yds to the UGA 33Similar
Q4 14:23
3RD & 6
OPP 33
+7
99.9%
Sam Franklin run for 7 yds to the UGA 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:46
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
99.9%
Sam Franklin run for no gain to the UGA 26Similar
Q4 12:55
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+3
99.9%
Narkel Leflore run for 3 yds to the UGA 23Similar
Q4 12:17
3RD & 7
OPP 23
0
100.0%
Kinkead Dent pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:13
4TH & 7
OPP 23
+41
100.0%
Aidan Laros 41 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 22TD
2 plays · 77 yds · 0:25100% → 100%
Q4 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+56
99.9%
Brock Vandagriff pass complete to Rara Thomas for 56 yds to the UTM 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:36
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
99.9%
Brock Vandagriff pass complete to Oscar Delp for 21 yds for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTMDrive 23TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 4:530% → 0%
Q4 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
100.0%
Kinkead Dent pass incomplete to Trevonte RuckerSimilar
Q4 11:25
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+17
100.0%
Kinkead Dent pass complete to Asa Wondeh for 17 yds to the UTM 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
100.0%
Kinkead Dent pass complete to Trevonte Rucker for no gain to the UTM 42Similar
Q4 10:21
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+4
100.0%
Jordan Castleberry run for 4 yds to the UTM 46Similar
Q4 10:00
3RD & 6
OWN 46
+5
100.0%
Kinkead Dent pass complete to Asa Wondeh for 5 yds to the UGA 49Similar
Q4 9:27
4TH & 1
OPP 49
+1
100.0%
Jordan Castleberry run for 1 yd to the UGA 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:59
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+10
100.0%
Kinkead Dent run for 10 yds to the UGA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+10
100.0%
Kinkead Dent pass complete to Asa Wondeh for 10 yds to the UGA 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:56
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
100.0%
Jordan Castleberry run for 3 yds to the UGA 25Similar
Q4 7:15
2ND & 7
OPP 25
0
100.0%
Kinkead Dent run for no gain to the UGA 25Similar
Q4 7:02
3RD & 7
OPP 25
+16
100.0%
Kinkead Dent pass complete to Jordan Castleberry for 16 yds to the UGA 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
100.0%
Kinkead Dent pass complete to Trevonte Rucker for 9 yds for a TD (Aidan Laros KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 24FG
11 plays · 60 yds · 3:51100% → 100%
Q4 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
100.0%
Gunner Stockton run for 14 yds to the UGA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+9
100.0%
Andrew Paul run for 9 yds to the UGA 48Similar
Q4 5:12
2ND & 1
OWN 48
+2
100.0%
Gunner Stockton pass complete to Anthony Evans III for 2 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:35
1ST & 10
50
+20
100.0%
Gunner Stockton pass complete to Zeed Haynes for 20 yds to the UTM 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:07
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
100.0%
Gunner Stockton run for 4 yds to the UTM 26Similar
Q4 3:23
2ND & 6
OPP 26
+7
100.0%
Gunner Stockton pass complete to Cole Speer for 7 yds to the UTM 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:53
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
100.0%
Gunner Stockton pass incomplete to Zeed HaynesSimilar
Q4 2:41
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+4
100.0%
Andrew Paul run for 4 yds to the UTM 15Similar
Q4 2:14
3RD & 6
OPP 15
0
100.0%
Gunner Stockton pass incomplete to Zeed HaynesSimilar
Q4 2:09
4TH & 6
OPP 15
+33
100.0%
Peyton Woodring 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTMDrive 25INT TD
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-26
100.0%
Kody Sparks pass intercepted for a TD Kyron Jones return for 26 yds for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTMDrive 26END OF GAME
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:450% → 0%
Q4 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
100.0%
Jordan Castleberry run for 2 yds to the UTM 27Similar
Q4 1:11
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-5
100.0%
UT Martin Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the UTM 22Similar
Q4 0:50
2ND & 13
OWN 22
-4
100.0%
Jordan Castleberry run for a loss of 4 yards to the UTM 18Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 17
OWN 18
+8
100.0%
Jordan Castleberry run for 8 yds to the UTM 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 4:29
Carson Beck run for 4 yds for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK)
+0.5
TD · Q3 8:29
Carson Beck pass complete to Mekhi Mews for 54 yds for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK)
+0.5
TD · Q3 5:35
Roderick Robinson II run for 2 yds for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK)
+0.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com