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2023 · Week 1 · Sep 2, 2023 · FIU Stadium
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Win probability · FIU
modelFIU aheadME aheadconfidence bandkey playFIU scoreME score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGTDTDEnd of GameFUMBLE-12.7FIU 31.2%John Bock II run for 7 yds to the ME11 John Bock II fumbled, recovered byME Tristen KenanAWAY 7 - HOME 0 · Q4 6:05
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 6:05 · John Bock II run for 7 yds to the ME 11 John Bock II fumbled, recovered by ME Tristen Kenan
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+35.5+17.80−17.8−35.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 165Pregame prior+4.1Home team on offense−12.5Garbage-time factor−9.0Score differential−3.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−3.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.9
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 2:04: Cody Williams 28 yd FG GOOD — ME win probability +2.3 pts (now 41%) (top driver: ME has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 8:59: Tristen Kenan 5 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed) — ME win probability +7.3 pts (now 52%) (top driver: ME has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q4 11:09: Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Kris Mitchell for 16 yds to the ME 12 for a 1ST down — FIU win probability +9.1 pts (now 47%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  4. FUMBLE · Q4 6:05: John Bock II run for 7 yds to the ME 11 John Bock II fumbled, recovered by ME Tristen Kenan — ME win probability +12.7 pts (now 69%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 6:05: Tristen Kenan run for 2 yds to the ME 13 — ME win probability +10.5 pts (now 79%) (top driver: ME has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FIU made the numbers' call on 7 of 8ME made the numbers' call on 6 of 10
  1. Q1 13:02FIU 4th & 10 at FIU 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.5%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:58ME 4th & 6 at ME 29, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.2%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:37FIU 4th & 4 at ME 34, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 79.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    79.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    79.1%−0.2
    47% to make
    Punt
    78.9%−0.4
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:48ME 4th & 7 at FIU 29, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 22.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.6%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    22.7%
    58% to make
    Punt
    21.4%−1.2
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:48FIU 4th & 4 at ME 27, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 76.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    75.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    75.7%−0.3
    62% to make
    Punt
    73.2%−2.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:07ME 4th & 3 at ME 48, up 7
    Close callPunted · 28.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.8%−0.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:44FIU 4th & 15 at FIU 15, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.0%−1.7
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.7%
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:51ME 4th & 11 at FIU 32, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 32.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.2%−0.5
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    32.7%
    51% to make
    Punt
    31.8%−0.8
    average punt
  9. Q2 5:46FIU 4th & 3 at FIU 39, down 7
    Close callPunted · 66.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.9%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q2 4:03ME 4th & 2 at ME 16, up 7
    Close callPunted · 34.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.6%−0.2
    average punt
  11. Q2 2:04ME 4th & 9 at FIU 10, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 40.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.1%−0.6
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    39.7%
    88% to make
    Punt
    34.8%−4.9
    average punt
  12. Q3 8:40FIU 4th & 10 at FIU 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.9%−3.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.0%
    average punt
  13. Q3 4:37ME 4th & 3 at FIU 6, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 56.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    56.8%
    46% to convert
    Field goal
    55.4%−1.3
    91% to make
    Punt
    43.5%−13.3
    average punt
  14. Q3 1:39FIU 4th & 8 at ME 46, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.4%−0.4
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    43.0%−2.8
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    45.8%
    average punt
  15. Q4 15:00ME 4th & 3 at FIU 34, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 62.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    63.3%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    61.4%−1.9
    47% to make
    Punt
    60.2%−3.0
    average punt
  16. Q4 11:09ME 4th & 16 at FIU 34, up 7
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.5 ptsPunted · 66.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.7%−2.7
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    66.5%
    47% to make
    PuntTheir call
    64.9%−1.5
    average punt
  17. Q4 6:05FIU 4th & 2 at ME 4, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 30.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    28.2%
    50% to convert
    Field goal
    27.4%−0.8
    93% to make
    Punt
    13.0%−15.2
    average punt
  18. Q4 0:55ME 4th & 15 at FIU 42, up 7
    Close callWent for it · 89.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    88.9%−0.6
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    89.5%
    30% to make
    Punt
    89.1%−0.3
    average punt
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FIUDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 1:5885% → 85%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
85.1%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Dean Patterson for 9 yds to the FIU 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+6
85.1%
Shomari Lawrence run for 6 yds to the FIU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
85.1%
Shomari Lawrence run for no gain to the FIU 35Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
85.1%
Keyone Jenkins pass incomplete to Jalen BraceySimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 35
0
85.1%
Keyone Jenkins pass incomplete to Kris MitchellSimilar
Q1 13:02
4TH & 10
OWN 35
0
84.5%
Daton Montiel punt for 25 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ME 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEDrive 2FUMBLE
14 plays · 35 yds · 13:1815% → 20%
Q1 13:18
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
84.7%
Keyone Jenkins pass incomplete to Jalen Bracey, broken up by Shakur SmallsSimilar
Q1 13:14
3RD & 10
OWN 35
0
84.6%
pass incomplete to Kris MitchellSimilar
Q1 13:09
4TH & 10
OWN 35
0
84.6%
Daton Montiel punt for 25 ydsSimilar
Q1 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+15
84.5%
(13:02) Shotgun Robertson,Derek pass incomplete short middle to Gillette,Joe PENALTY FIU Pass Interference (Paulk,Ladarian) 15 yards from UMaine40 to FIU45, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:02
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+15
84.5%
Derek Robertson pass complete to Jamie Lamson for 15 yds to the FIU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:02
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
84.4%
Derek Robertson pass incomplete to Montigo MossSimilar
Q1 13:02
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+10
84.4%
Tristen Kenan run for 10 yds to the FIU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:02
1ST & 25
OPP 35
+15
84.5%
Florida International Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the FIU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:02
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
84.4%
Derek Robertson pass incomplete to Cooper HeiseySimilar
Q1 10:56
2ND & 15
OPP 24
+1
83.7%
Tristen Kenan run for 1 yd to the FIU 25 Tristen Kenan fumbled, recovered by FIU Brian BladesSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
80.4%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Dean Patterson for 9 yds to the FIU 29Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+6
81.0%
Shomari Lawrence run for 6 yds to the FIU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
80.5%
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEDrive 3TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 4:1216% → 18%
Q1 12:56
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+15
84.4%
Derek Robertson pass complete to Jamie Lamson for 15 yds to the FIU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:56
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
84.4%
Derek Robertson pass incomplete to Montigo Moss, broken up by D'Verick DanielSimilar
Q1 12:28
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+10
84.2%
Tristen Kenan run for 10 yds to the FIU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:05
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-15
84.1%
Derek Robertson pass complete to Jamie Lamson Maine Penalty, Offensive pass interference (Tristen Kenan) to the FIU 35Similar
Q1 12:05
1ST & 25
OPP 35
+16
84.1%
Tristen Kenan run for 1 yd to the FIU 34 for a 1ST down Florida International Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Jamal Potts) to the FIU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:05
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
84.1%
pass incomplete to Cooper HeiseySimilar
Q1 11:17
2ND & 10
OPP 19
-5
83.8%
Maine Penalty, false start (Nick Cruji) to the FIU 24Similar
Q1 11:17
2ND & 15
OPP 24
-1
83.8%
Tristen Kenan run for a loss of 1 yard to the FIU 25 Tristen Kenan fumbled, recovered by FIU Brian BladesSimilar
Q1 10:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
84.0%
Keyone Jenkins pass incomplete to Kris MitchellSimilar
Q1 10:56
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
84.0%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Dean Patterson for 7 yds to the FIU 32Similar
Q1 10:56
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+14
83.9%
Keyone Jenkins run for 14 yds to the FIU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:56
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-5
84.2%
Keyone Jenkins sacked by Vince Thomas for a loss of 5 yards to the FIU 41Similar
Q1 10:56
2ND & 15
OWN 41
+31
84.0%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Kris Mitchell for 31 yds TEAM fumbled, recovered by FIU for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:44
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+18
83.7%
Keyone Jenkins run for 28 yds Florida International Penalty, Offensive Holding (Eric Rivers) to the ME 21Similar
Q1 8:44
1ST & 3
OPP 21
+2
82.4%
Shomari Lawrence run for 2 yds to the ME 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEDrive 4PUNT
8 plays · 4 yds · 3:5217% → 19%
Q1 10:50
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
83.1%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Dean Patterson for 7 yds to the FIU 32Similar
Q1 10:20
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+14
82.8%
Keyone Jenkins run for 14 yds to the FIU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-5
82.9%
Keyone Jenkins sacked for a loss of 5 yards to the FIU 46Similar
Q1 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
81.3%
Derek Robertson pass incomplete to Michael MoniosSimilar
Q1 8:01
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
81.3%
John Gay run for 4 yds to the ME 29Similar
Q1 8:01
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
81.3%
Derek Robertson pass incomplete to Montigo MossSimilar
Q1 6:58
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+34
80.9%
Aidan Cadogan punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ME 40 , Dean Patterson returns for 34 yds to the ME 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 5DOWNS
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:2181% → 80%
Q1 6:58
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
81.4%
Antonio Patterson run for 3 yds to the ME 37Similar
Q1 6:58
2ND & 7
OPP 37
0
81.4%
Keyone Jenkins pass incomplete to Eric RiversSimilar
Q1 6:58
3RD & 7
OPP 37
+3
81.4%
Antonio Patterson run for 3 yds to the ME 34Similar
Q1 5:37
4TH & 4
OPP 34
-9
80.0%
Keyone Jenkins sacked by John Costanza for a loss of 9 yards to the ME 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEDrive 6FG
6 plays · 28 yds · 1:4921% → 22%
Q1 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+25
79.1%
Derek Robertson pass complete to Montigo Moss for 25 yds to the FIU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:37
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
78.9%
Derek Robertson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:42
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+3
78.5%
Tristen Kenan run for 3 yds to the FIU 29Similar
Q1 4:42
3RD & 7
OPP 29
0
78.6%
Derek Robertson pass incomplete to Montigo MossSimilar
Q1 3:48
4TH & 7
OPP 29
+48
78.4%
Cody Williams 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 7INT
8 plays · 48 yds · 3:0079% → 77%
Q1 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
78.5%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Jalen Bracey for 5 yds to the FIU 30Similar
Q1 3:48
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+10
78.7%
Shomari Lawrence run for 10 yds to the FIU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+27
79.1%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Dean Patterson for 27 yds to the ME 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:48
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
79.8%
Shomari Lawrence run for 4 yds to the ME 29Similar
Q1 3:48
2ND & 6
OPP 29
+2
79.8%
Antonio Patterson run for 2 yds to the ME 27Similar
Q1 3:48
3RD & 4
OPP 27
0
79.4%
Keyone Jenkins run for no gain to the ME 27Similar
Q1 0:48
4TH & 4
OPP 27
0
76.8%
Keyone Jenkins pass intercepted, touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEDrive 8PUNT
10 plays · 28 yds · 3:4124% → 27%
Q1 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
76.3%
Derek Robertson pass incomplete to John GaySimilar
Q1 0:48
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+6
76.4%
John Gay run for 6 yds to the ME 26Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+5
75.7%
Derek Robertson pass complete to Jamie Lamson for 5 yds to the ME 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
75.4%
John Gay run for 1 yd to the ME 32Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 32
0
75.5%
Derek Robertson pass incomplete to Montigo MossSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 32
+9
76.0%
(14:17) No Huddle-Shotgun Robertson,Derek pass incomplete short right to Lamson,Jamie, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY FIU Pass Interference (Masses,Hezekiah) 9 yards from UMaine32 to UMaine41, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
74.8%
Tristen Kenan run for 5 yds to the ME 46Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 46
0
74.9%
Tristen Kenan run for no gain to the ME 46Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 46
+2
75.0%
Derek Robertson pass complete to Michael Monios for 2 yds to the ME 48Similar
Q2 12:07
4TH & 3
OWN 48
0
73.2%
Aidan Cadogan punt for 52 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 1:2373% → 71%
Q2 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
73.4%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Kris Mitchell for 3 yds to the FIU 23Similar
Q2 12:07
2ND & 7
OWN 23
0
73.4%
Keyone Jenkins pass incomplete to Jalen BraceySimilar
Q2 12:07
3RD & 7
OWN 23
-8
72.8%
Keyone Jenkins sacked by Izaiah Henderson for a loss of 8 yards to the FIU 15Similar
Q2 10:44
4TH & 15
OWN 15
0
71.2%
Daton Montiel punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Joe Gillette at the ME 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEDrive 10MISSED FG
8 plays · 30 yds · 2:5329% → 33%
Q2 10:44
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+21
71.3%
Derek Robertson pass complete to Cooper Heisey for 21 yds to the FIU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:44
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
70.8%
John Gay run for 4 yds to the FIU 37Similar
Q2 10:44
2ND & 6
OPP 37
+6
70.7%
Derek Robertson pass complete to John Gay for 6 yds to the FIU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:44
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+1
70.6%
Tristen Kenan run for 1 yd to the FIU 32Similar
Q2 10:44
2ND & 11
OPP 32
0
70.7%
Derek Robertson pass incomplete to Montigo MossSimilar
Q2 8:06
3RD & 11
OPP 32
0
66.5%
Derek Robertson pass incomplete to Montigo MossSimilar
Q2 7:51
4TH & 11
OPP 32
+42
67.4%
Cody Williams 42 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 2:0569% → 67%
Q2 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
69.0%
Keyone Jenkins run for no gain to the FIU 32Similar
Q2 7:51
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+1
68.8%
Shomari Lawrence run for 1 yd to the FIU 33Similar
Q2 7:51
3RD & 9
OWN 33
+6
68.1%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Kris Mitchell for 6 yds to the FIU 39Similar
Q2 5:46
4TH & 3
OWN 39
0
66.8%
Daton Montiel punt for 53 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:4334% → 34%
Q2 5:46
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+6
66.4%
Tristen Kenan run for 6 yds to the ME 14Similar
Q2 5:46
2ND & 4
OWN 14
+2
66.3%
Derek Robertson pass complete to Jamie Lamson for 2 yds to the ME 16Similar
Q2 5:46
3RD & 2
OWN 16
0
66.7%
Derek Robertson pass incomplete to Jamie LamsonSimilar
Q2 4:03
4TH & 2
OWN 16
0
65.8%
Aidan Cadogan punt for 47 yds , Dean Patterson returns for no gain to the FIU 37 Dean Patterson fumbled, recovered by ME Vince ThomasSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEDrive 13FG
6 plays · 27 yds · 1:5939% → 41%
Q2 4:03
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+7
61.4%
Tristen Kenan run for 7 yds to the FIU 30Similar
Q2 4:03
2ND & 3
OPP 30
+19
60.9%
Tristen Kenan run for 19 yds to the FIU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:03
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+1
60.9%
John Gay run for 1 yd to the FIU 10Similar
Q2 4:03
2ND & 9
OPP 10
0
60.9%
Derek Robertson pass incomplete to Trevin EwingSimilar
Q2 4:03
3RD & 9
OPP 10
0
61.6%
Anthony Harris pass incomplete to Derek RobertsonSimilar
Q2 2:04
4TH & 9
OPP 10
+28
59.4%
Cody Williams 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 14TD
4 plays · 69 yds · 0:1663% → 64%
Q2 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+7
62.9%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Kris Mitchell for 7 yds to the FIU 38Similar
Q2 1:53
2ND & 3
OWN 38
0
64.8%
Keyone Jenkins pass incomplete to Artez HookerSimilar
Q2 1:37
3RD & 3
OWN 38
+62
63.5%
Kris Mitchell 62 Yd pass from Keyone Jenkins (Chase Gabriel Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEDrive 15END OF HALF
9 plays · 35 yds · 1:3740% → 46%
Q2 1:37
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+3
60.5%
Derek Robertson pass complete to Rohan Jones for 3 yds to the ME 23Similar
Q2 1:37
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+4
60.7%
Derek Robertson run for 4 yds to the ME 27Similar
Q2 1:37
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+9
61.2%
Tristen Kenan run for 9 yds to the ME 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
58.9%
Derek Robertson pass incomplete to Jamie LamsonSimilar
Q2 1:37
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+12
59.4%
Tristen Kenan run for 12 yds to the ME 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+12
57.7%
John Gay run for 12 yds to the FIU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
54.0%
Derek Robertson pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEDrive 16TD
13 plays · 81 yds · 5:4841% → 52%
Q3 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
58.9%
Tristen Kenan run for 3 yds to the ME 22Similar
Q3 14:47
2ND & 7
OWN 22
+4
58.8%
Tristen Kenan run for 4 yds to the ME 26Similar
Q3 14:47
3RD & 3
OWN 26
+14
58.8%
Derek Robertson pass complete to Jamie Lamson for 14 yds to the ME 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
56.5%
Derek Robertson run for 3 yds to the ME 37Similar
Q3 14:47
2ND & 13
OWN 37
+7
58.8%
Derek Robertson pass complete to Cooper Heisey for 7 yds to the ME 44Similar
Q3 14:47
3RD & 6
OWN 44
+11
56.9%
Derek Robertson pass complete to Cooper Heisey for 11 yds to the FIU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:47
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+13
56.0%
Derek Robertson pass complete to Montigo Moss for 13 yds to the FIU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:47
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
55.7%
Derek Robertson pass incomplete to Cooper HeiseySimilar
Q3 14:47
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+12
55.8%
Derek Robertson pass complete to Montigo Moss for 12 yds to the FIU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:47
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+8
55.6%
Derek Robertson pass complete to Tristen Kenan for 8 yds to the FIU 12Similar
Q3 14:47
2ND & 2
OPP 12
+7
55.6%
Tristen Kenan run for 7 yds to the FIU 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
48.2%
Tristen Kenan 5 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:1954% → 51%
Q3 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
54.2%
Keyone Jenkins pass incomplete to Jalen BraceySimilar
Q3 8:59
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
54.0%
Keyone Jenkins pass incomplete to Jackson McDonaldSimilar
Q3 8:59
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
52.6%
Keyone Jenkins pass incomplete to Jackson McDonaldSimilar
Q3 8:40
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
51.3%
Daton Montiel punt for 27 yds, fair catch by Joe Gillette at the ME 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEDrive 18DOWNS
7 plays · 47 yds · 4:0351% → 56%
Q3 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
49.0%
John Gay run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 8:40
2ND & 8
50
+13
48.6%
Derek Robertson pass complete to Braeden Heald for 13 yds to the FIU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:40
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+24
48.6%
John Gay run for 24 yds to the FIU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:40
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+1
47.8%
John Gay run for 1 yd to the FIU 12Similar
Q3 8:40
2ND & 9
OPP 12
+5
47.8%
Tristen Kenan run for 5 yds to the FIU 7Similar
Q3 8:40
3RD & 4
OPP 7
+1
48.7%
Tristen Kenan run for 1 yd to the FIU 6Similar
Q3 4:37
4TH & 3
OPP 6
+1
44.1%
Tristen Kenan run for 1 yd to the FIU 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 19PUNT
8 plays · 49 yds · 2:5848% → 46%
Q3 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+3
48.4%
Shomari Lawrence run for 3 yds to the FIU 8Similar
Q3 4:37
2ND & 7
OWN 8
+2
48.3%
Keyone Jenkins run for 2 yds to the FIU 6Similar
Q3 4:37
3RD & 11
OWN 6
+46
46.8%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Kris Mitchell for 46 yds to the ME 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:37
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-5
53.9%
(03:12) PENALTY FIU Delay Of Game (Jenkins,Keyone) 5 yards from UMaine48 to FIU47. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:37
1ST & 15
OWN 47
+7
51.0%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Dean Patterson for 7 yds to the ME 46Similar
Q3 4:37
2ND & 8
OPP 46
0
54.0%
Keyone Jenkins pass incomplete to Jackson McDonaldSimilar
Q3 4:37
3RD & 8
OPP 46
0
52.2%
Keyone Jenkins pass incomplete to Shomari LawrenceSimilar
Q3 1:39
4TH & 8
OPP 46
0
45.5%
Daton Montiel punt for 27 yds, fair catch by Joe Gillette at the ME 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEDrive 20PUNT
12 plays · 47 yds · 5:3059% → 66%
Q3 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+14
41.3%
Derek Robertson pass complete to Tristen Kenan for 14 yds to the ME 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+6
39.8%
Tristen Kenan run for 6 yds to the ME 39Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 4
OWN 39
+4
35.7%
Derek Robertson run for 4 yds to the FIU 41 Derek Robertson fumbled, recovered by ME John Gay for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
34.6%
Derek Robertson pass incomplete to Montigo MossSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+6
34.7%
Derek Robertson pass complete to Jamie Lamson for 6 yds to the FIU 35Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 35
+1
34.6%
Tristen Kenan run for 1 yd to the FIU 34Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 3
OPP 34
+6
37.7%
Derek Robertson pass complete to Jamie Lamson for 6 yds to the FIU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+1
33.7%
Tristen Kenan run for 1 yd to the FIU 27Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 27
-7
33.9%
Derek Robertson sacked by Alex Nobles for a loss of 7 yards to the FIU 34Similar
Q4 11:14
3RD & 16
OPP 34
0
30.0%
Derek Robertson pass incomplete to Montigo MossSimilar
Q4 11:09
4TH & 16
OPP 34
0
33.9%
Bailey Timms punt for 24 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 21FUMBLE
8 plays · 79 yds · 5:0437% → 31%
Q4 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+11
37.3%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Kris Mitchell for 11 yds to the FIU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
37.6%
Keyone Jenkins pass incomplete to Jalen BraceySimilar
Q4 11:09
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+36
37.6%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Dean Patterson for 36 yds to the ME 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:09
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+16
46.6%
Keyone Jenkins pass complete to Kris Mitchell for 16 yds to the ME 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:09
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+5
46.6%
Antonio Patterson run for 5 yds to the ME 7Similar
Q4 11:09
2ND & 5
OPP 7
0
46.6%
Keyone Jenkins pass incomplete to Jackson McDonaldSimilar
Q4 11:09
3RD & 5
OPP 7
+3
43.9%
Antonio Patterson run for 3 yds to the ME 4Similar
Q4 6:05
4TH & 2
OPP 4
+7
31.2%
John Bock II run for 7 yds to the ME 11 John Bock II fumbled, recovered by ME Tristen KenanSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEDrive 22DOWNS
16 plays · 47 yds · 5:1079% → 89%
Q4 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+2
20.7%
Tristen Kenan run for 2 yds to the ME 13Similar
Q4 6:05
2ND & 8
OWN 13
-6
20.9%
Derek Robertson sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the ME 7Similar
Q4 6:05
3RD & 14
OWN 7
+15
23.1%
Florida International Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Larry Preston) to the ME 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
20.5%
Tristen Kenan run for 2 yds to the ME 24 Tristen Kenan fumbled, recovered by ME Tristen KenanSimilar
Q4 6:05
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+14
20.5%
Derek Robertson pass complete to Trevin Ewing for 14 yds to the ME 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
18.6%
Derek Robertson pass incomplete to Joe GilletteSimilar
Q4 6:05
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+5
18.8%
(04:42) PENALTY FIU Offside (Davis,Keegan) 5 yards from UMaine38 to UMaine43. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:05
2ND & 5
OWN 43
0
18.4%
Derek Robertson pass incomplete to Joe GilletteSimilar
Q4 6:05
3RD & 5
OWN 43
+12
18.8%
Derek Robertson pass complete to Michael Monios for 12 yds to the FIU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:05
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
17.2%
John Gay run for 3 yds to the FIU 42Similar
Q4 6:05
2ND & 7
OPP 42
0
17.3%
Derek Robertson pass incomplete to Trevin EwingSimilar
Q4 6:05
3RD & 7
OPP 42
+5
17.7%
(03:07) No Huddle-Shotgun Robertson,Derek pass incomplete short left to Heisey,Cooper broken up by Anderson-Taylor,Elijah PENALTY FIU Pass Interference (Preston,Larry) 5 yards from FIU42 to FIU37, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:05
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+1
17.2%
John Gay run for 1 yd to the FIU 38Similar
Q4 6:05
2ND & 11
OPP 38
+4
17.3%
Derek Robertson pass complete to Tristen Kenan for 4 yds to the FIU 34Similar
Q4 6:05
3RD & 7
OPP 34
-8
17.5%
Derek Robertson sacked by Jordan Guerad for a loss of 8 yards to the FIU 42Similar
Q4 0:55
4TH & 15
OPP 42
0
10.6%
Derek Robertson pass incomplete to Jamie LamsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 23Uncategorized
3 plays · -29 yds · 0:0016% → 13%
Q4 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-5
16.2%
K. Jenkins takes a kneeSimilar
Q4 0:55
2ND & 15
OWN 37
-17
13.8%
K. Jenkins takes a kneeSimilar
Q4 0:55
3RD & 32
OWN 20
-7
12.7%
K. Jenkins takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+87.3
FUMBLE · Q4 6:05
John Bock II run for 7 yds to the ME 11 John Bock II fumbled, recovered by ME Tristen Kenan
-12.7
KEY PLAY · Q4 6:05
Tristen Kenan run for 2 yds to the ME 13
-10.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com