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WCU

Western Carolina 13 at Arkansas 56

ARK
2023 · Week 1 · Sep 2, 2023 · War Memorial Stadium (AR)
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Win probability · ARK
modelARK aheadWCU aheadconfidence bandkey playARK scoreWCU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 6:00 · Max Fletcher punt for 52 yds, fair catch by AJ Colombo at the WCU 38
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+49.0+24.50−24.5−49.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 68Pregame prior+39.9Home team on offense+11.8Score differential+5.0Blowout margin−0.3Garbage-time factor+4.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 3:03: KJ Jefferson pass complete to Isaac TeSlaa for 31 yds for a TD (Cam Little KICK) — ARK win probability +0.4 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ARK has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 2:56: KJ Jefferson run for 17 yds for a TD (Cam Little KICK) — ARK win probability +1.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ARK has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:00: Raheim Sanders run for 1 yd for a TD (Cam Little KICK) — ARK win probability +0.6 pts (now 100%) (top driver: ARK has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 10:59: Desmond Reid run for 2 yds for a TD (Richard McCollum KICK) — WCU win probability +0.4 pts (now 1%) (top driver: WCU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 6:13: KJ Jefferson pass complete to Andrew Armstrong for 16 yds for a TD (Cam Little KICK) — ARK win probability +0.4 pts (now 100%) (top driver: ARK has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ARK made the numbers' call on 7 of 7WCU made the numbers' call on 9 of 9
  1. Q1 13:39WCU 4th & 4 at WCU 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.7%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:06WCU 4th & 14 at WCU 21, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.7%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:49WCU 4th & 4 at WCU 31, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.1%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.1%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:21ARK 4th & 13 at ARK 27, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.8%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.9%
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:15WCU 4th & 12 at ARK 17, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.5%−0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    1.6%
    80% to make
    Punt
    1.2%−0.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:59ARK 4th & 30 at ARK 39, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.5%−0.3
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:30WCU 4th & 15 at ARK 39, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.4%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    2.5%−<0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    2.5%
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:00ARK 4th & 6 at ARK 10, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.9%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.1%
    average punt
  9. Q2 5:14ARK 4th & 1 at WCU 23, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    97.0%−0.3
    70% to make
    Punt
    96.1%−1.2
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:00ARK 4th & 1 at WCU 1, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.4%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    99.0%−0.3
    94% to make
    Punt
    98.4%−1.0
    average punt
  11. Q3 13:11ARK 4th & 17 at ARK 2, up 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.4%−0.3
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%
    average punt
  12. Q3 13:11WCU 4th & 1 at ARK 44, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%−0.3
    27% to make
    Punt
    0.3%−0.2
    average punt
  13. Q3 1:34WCU 4th & 6 at ARK 46, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−0.1
    23% to make
    Punt
    0.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:08ARK 4th & 5 at ARK 41, up 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  15. Q4 11:46WCU 4th & 8 at WCU 35, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:00WCU 4th & 8 at ARK 15, down 46
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.0%
    83% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ARK made the numbers' call on 8 of 8WCU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 13:03ARK Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:40ARK Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 3:03ARK Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 2:56ARK Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:00ARK Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 10:59WCU Touchdown, down 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 6:13ARK Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 7:55ARK Touchdown, up 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 4:19ARK Touchdown, up 45 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WCUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:211% → 1%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
98.9%
Cole Gonzales run for 2 yds to the WCU 23Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+8
98.9%
Desmond Reid run for 8 yds to the WCU 31Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
98.9%
Cole Gonzales pass incomplete to Desmond ReidSimilar
Q1 13:39
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
98.8%
Stephen Brantley punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ARK 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 2TD
2 plays · 79 yds · 0:3699% → 99%
Q1 13:39
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+14
98.8%
KJ Jefferson pass complete to Luke Hasz for 14 yds to the ARK 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+65
98.8%
KJ Jefferson pass complete to Jaedon Wilson for 65 yds for a TD (Cam Little KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WCUDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · -4 yds · 0:571% → 1%
Q1 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
98.8%
Desmond Reid run for 1 yd to the WCU 26Similar
Q1 13:03
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
98.8%
Cole Gonzales pass incomplete to Calvin JonesSimilar
Q1 13:03
3RD & 9
OWN 26
-5
98.8%
PENALTY WCU Delay Of Game 5 yards from WCU26 to WCU21. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:03
3RD & 14
OWN 21
0
98.8%
Cole Gonzales pass incomplete to Censere LeeSimilar
Q1 12:06
4TH & 14
OWN 21
+12
98.7%
Stephen Brantley punt for 38 yds , Isaiah Sategna returns for 12 yds to the WCU 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 4TD
7 plays · 47 yds · 3:2699% → 99%
Q1 12:06
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
98.7%
Raheim Sanders run for no gain to the WCU 47Similar
Q1 12:06
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+3
98.7%
KJ Jefferson pass complete to Raheim Sanders for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 12:06
3RD & 13
50
+25
98.7%
KJ Jefferson pass complete to Isaac TeSlaa for 25 yds to the WCU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:06
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+13
98.7%
KJ Jefferson pass complete to Isaiah Sategna for 13 yds to the WCU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:06
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+5
98.7%
Raheim Sanders run for 5 yds to the WCU 7Similar
Q1 12:06
2ND & 5
OPP 7
+4
98.7%
Raheim Sanders run for 4 yds to the WCU 3Similar
Q1 8:40
3RD & 1
OPP 3
+3
98.6%
Raheim Sanders run for 3 yds for a TD (Cam Little KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WCUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:511% → 2%
Q1 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
98.6%
run for 12 yds to the WCU 13Similar
Q1 8:40
2ND & 22
OWN 13
+9
98.6%
Cole Gonzales pass complete to Calvin Jones for 9 yds to the WCU 22Similar
Q1 8:40
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+9
98.6%
Cole Gonzales pass complete to Ajay Belanger for 9 yds to the WCU 31Similar
Q1 6:49
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
98.5%
Stephen Brantley punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Sategna at the ARK 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 2:2899% → 98%
Q1 6:49
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+12
98.6%
KJ Jefferson pass complete to Andrew Armstrong for 12 yds to the ARK 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:49
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
98.6%
KJ Jefferson pass complete to Tyrone Broden for 3 yds to the ARK 33Similar
Q1 6:49
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+11
98.6%
Raheim Sanders run for 11 yds to the ARK 22Similar
Q1 6:49
3RD & 18
OWN 22
+5
98.5%
KJ Jefferson pass complete to Andrew Armstrong for 5 yds to the ARK 27Similar
Q1 4:21
4TH & 13
OWN 27
0
98.4%
Max Fletcher punt for 51 yds , AJ Colombo returns for no gain to the WCU 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WCUDrive 7INT
3 plays · -2 yds · 1:112% → 2%
Q1 4:21
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
98.3%
Branson Adams run for 3 yds to the WCU 25Similar
Q1 4:21
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+5
98.3%
Charlie Dean pass complete to Branson Adams for 5 yds to the WCU 20Similar
Q1 3:10
3RD & 12
OWN 20
0
98.3%
Charlie Dean pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 8TD
1 play · 31 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q1 3:03
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+31
98.7%
KJ Jefferson pass complete to Isaac TeSlaa for 31 yds for a TD (Cam Little KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WCUDrive 9FG
10 plays · 59 yds · 2:411% → 2%
Q1 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
98.7%
Charlie Dean pass incomplete to Branson AdamsSimilar
Q1 2:56
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+23
98.8%
Branson Adams run for 8 yds to the WCU 32 for a 1ST down Arkansas Penalty, Personal Foul (Jordan Crook) to the WCU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
98.7%
Branson Adams run for 5 yds to the ARK 48Similar
Q1 2:56
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+21
98.7%
Charlie Dean pass complete to De'Andre Tamarez for 21 yds to the ARK 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:56
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+12
98.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun Dean,Charlie pass incomplete deep left to White,David, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY ARK Pass Interference (Johnson,Lorando) 12 yards from ARK27 to ARK15, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:56
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+6
98.7%
Charlie Dean pass complete to Branson Adams for 6 yds to the ARK 21Similar
Q1 2:56
2ND & 16
OPP 21
+4
98.7%
Charlie Dean pass complete to Calvin Jones for 4 yds to the ARK 17Similar
Q1 2:56
3RD & 12
OPP 17
0
98.7%
Charlie Dean pass incomplete to Zion BookerSimilar
Q1 0:15
4TH & 12
OPP 17
+34
98.4%
Richard McCollum 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 10PUNT
9 plays · 14 yds · 3:0198% → 98%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
98.4%
AJ Green run for 4 yds to the ARK 29Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+10
98.4%
KJ Jefferson pass complete to Isaac TeSlaa for 10 yds to the ARK 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+20
98.5%
KJ Jefferson pass complete to Luke Hasz for 5 yds to the WCU 44 for a 1ST down Western Carolina Penalty, Personal Foul (Hayward McQueen Jr.) to the WCU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
98.5%
KJ Jefferson run for 3 yds to the WCU 38Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 38
+19
98.5%
run for 19 yds to the ARK 43Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 26
OWN 43
+1
98.4%
KJ Jefferson pass complete to Rashod Dubinion for 1 yd to the ARK 44Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 25
OWN 44
-5
98.4%
PENALTY ARK False Start 5 yards from ARK44 to ARK39. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:59
4TH & 30
OWN 39
0
98.2%
Max Fletcher punt for 46 yds, fair catch by AJ Colombo at the WCU 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WCUDrive 11PUNT
11 plays · 46 yds · 4:292% → 2%
Q2 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+4
98.3%
Charlie Dean pass complete to Calvin Jones for 4 yds to the WCU 19Similar
Q2 11:59
2ND & 6
OWN 19
+15
98.3%
Charlie Dean pass complete to Calvin Jones for 15 yds to the WCU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
98.2%
Charlie Dean pass complete to Censere Lee for 5 yds to the WCU 39Similar
Q2 11:59
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+15
98.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun Dean,Charlie pass incomplete deep left to White,David broken up by Clark,Hudson PENALTY ARK Roughing The Passer (Thomas,Jaheim) 15 yards from WCU39 to ARK46, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:59
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
98.2%
Charlie Dean pass incomplete to Corey WashingtonSimilar
Q2 11:59
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+12
98.2%
Charlie Dean pass complete to Desmond Reid for 12 yds to the ARK 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:59
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
98.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun Dean,Charlie pass incomplete deep right to Lee,Censere PENALTY WCU Pass Interference offsetting ARK Pass Interference offsetting. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:59
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
98.1%
Desmond Reid run for 1 yd to the ARK 35Similar
Q2 11:59
2ND & 11
OPP 35
+4
98.1%
Charlie Dean pass complete to Censere Lee for 4 yds to the ARK 39Similar
Q2 11:59
3RD & 15
OPP 39
0
98.3%
Charlie Dean pass complete to Desmond Reid for no gain to the ARK 39Similar
Q2 7:30
4TH & 15
OPP 39
0
98.0%
Stephen Brantley punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Sategna at the ARK 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:3098% → 98%
Q2 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+1
97.9%
Raheim Sanders run for 1 yd to the ARK 7Similar
Q2 7:30
2ND & 9
OWN 7
+3
97.9%
Raheim Sanders run for 3 yds to the ARK 10Similar
Q2 7:30
3RD & 6
OWN 10
0
97.9%
KJ Jefferson pass incomplete to Andrew ArmstrongSimilar
Q2 6:00
4TH & 6
OWN 10
0
97.7%
Max Fletcher punt for 52 yds, fair catch by AJ Colombo at the WCU 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WCUDrive 13INT
2 plays · -7 yds · 0:462% → 2%
Q2 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
97.8%
Desmond Reid run for 7 yds to the WCU 31Similar
Q2 5:14
2ND & 17
OWN 31
0
97.9%
Charlie Dean pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 14TD
5 plays · 32 yds · 2:1898% → 99%
Q2 5:14
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
98.0%
KJ Jefferson pass incomplete to Andrew ArmstrongSimilar
Q2 5:14
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+2
98.0%
Rashod Dubinion run for 2 yds to the WCU 30Similar
Q2 5:14
3RD & 8
OPP 30
+7
98.0%
Rashod Dubinion run for 7 yds to the WCU 23Similar
Q2 5:14
4TH & 1
OPP 23
+6
97.8%
Rashod Dubinion run for 6 yds to the WCU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:56
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
99.1%
KJ Jefferson run for 17 yds for a TD (Cam Little KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WCUDrive 15FUMBLE
2 plays · 22 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 2:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+22
98.2%
Branson Adams run for 22 yds to the WCU 47 Branson Adams fumbled, recovered by ARK TJ MetcalfSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 16TD
11 plays · 47 yds · 2:4499% → 100%
Q2 2:44
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
99.1%
KJ Jefferson pass complete to Jaedon Wilson for 4 yds to the WCU 43Similar
Q2 2:44
2ND & 6
OPP 43
+2
99.1%
Raheim Sanders run for 2 yds to the WCU 41Similar
Q2 2:44
3RD & 4
OPP 41
+5
99.1%
Raheim Sanders run for 5 yds to the WCU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:44
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+29
99.1%
KJ Jefferson pass complete to Andrew Armstrong for 29 yds to the WCU 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
98.8%
Raheim Sanders run for 2 yds to the WCU 5Similar
Q2 2:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
98.8%
KJ Jefferson run for 4 yds to the WCU 1Similar
Q2 0:28
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
98.9%
KJ Jefferson run for no gain to the WCU 1Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.6%
Raheim Sanders run for 1 yd for a TD (Cam Little KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · -7 yds · 1:39100% → 100%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
99.6%
KJ Jefferson pass incomplete to Luke HaszSimilar
Q3 14:50
2ND & 10
OWN 9
+6
99.6%
Raheim Sanders run for 6 yds to the ARK 15Similar
Q3 14:50
3RD & 4
OWN 15
-13
99.6%
KJ Jefferson sacked by Ed Jones IV for a loss of 13 yards to the ARK 2 KJ Jefferson fumbled, recovered by ARK KJ Jefferson , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 13:11
4TH & 17
OWN 2
+1
99.6%
Max Fletcher punt for 52 yds , AJ Colombo returns for 1 yd to the WCU 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WCUDrive 18TD
6 plays · 53 yds · 2:120% → 1%
Q3 13:11
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
99.6%
Desmond Reid run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 13:11
2ND & 7
50
+6
99.6%
Cole Gonzales pass complete to Ajay Belanger for 6 yds to the ARK 44Similar
Q3 13:11
3RD & 1
OPP 44
0
99.6%
Desmond Reid run for no gain to the ARK 44Similar
Q3 13:11
4TH & 1
OPP 44
+2
99.6%
Desmond Reid run for 2 yds to the ARK 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:11
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+40
99.6%
Cole Gonzales pass complete to Censere Lee for 40 yds to the ARK 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.2%
Desmond Reid run for 2 yds for a TD (Richard McCollum KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 19TD
14 plays · 69 yds · 4:3999% → 100%
Q3 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+9
99.4%
AJ Green run for 9 yds to the ARK 40Similar
Q3 10:52
2ND & 1
OWN 40
+8
99.4%
AJ Green run for 8 yds to the ARK 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+18
99.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun Jefferson,KJ pass complete short left to Wilson,Jaedon for 18 yards to the WCU34 (Dukes,Samaurie) PENALTY ARK Holding offsetting WCU Personal Foul offsetting. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
99.4%
Raheim Sanders run for 5 yds to the WCU 47Similar
Q3 10:52
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+14
99.4%
Raheim Sanders run for 14 yds to the WCU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:52
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
99.4%
KJ Jefferson pass incomplete to Isaac TeSlaaSimilar
Q3 10:52
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+1
99.4%
KJ Jefferson pass complete to Raheim Sanders for 1 yd to the WCU 34Similar
Q3 10:52
3RD & 11
OPP 34
+16
99.4%
KJ Jefferson pass complete to Andrew Armstrong for 16 yds to the WCU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:52
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
99.4%
Raheim Sanders run for 2 yds to the WCU 16Similar
Q3 6:13
2ND & 8
OPP 16
+16
99.8%
KJ Jefferson pass complete to Andrew Armstrong for 16 yds for a TD (Cam Little KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WCUDrive 20INT
9 plays · 44 yds · 4:300% → 0%
Q3 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
99.6%
Desmond Reid run for 2 yds to the WCU 8Similar
Q3 6:04
2ND & 12
OWN 8
+3
99.6%
Cole Gonzales pass complete to David White Jr. for 3 yds to the WCU 11Similar
Q3 6:04
3RD & 9
OWN 11
+23
99.6%
Cole Gonzales pass complete to Desmond Reid for 23 yds to the WCU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
99.5%
Desmond Reid run for 1 yd to the WCU 35Similar
Q3 6:04
2ND & 9
OWN 35
+15
99.5%
Cole Gonzales pass complete to David White Jr. for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:04
1ST & 10
50
+4
99.4%
Desmond Reid run for 4 yds to the ARK 46Similar
Q3 6:04
2ND & 6
OPP 46
-7
99.4%
Cole Gonzales sacked by Keivie Rose for a loss of 7 yards to the WCU 47Similar
Q3 6:04
3RD & 13
OWN 47
+7
99.6%
Cole Gonzales pass complete to Branson Adams for 7 yds to the ARK 46Similar
Q3 1:34
4TH & 6
OPP 46
0
99.9%
Cole Gonzales pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 2:26100% → 100%
Q3 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.9%
Dominique Johnson run for 3 yds to the ARK 28Similar
Q3 1:34
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+1
99.9%
KJ Jefferson pass complete to Isaiah Sategna for 1 yd to the ARK 29Similar
Q3 1:34
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+7
99.9%
Dominique Johnson run for 7 yds to the ARK 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
99.9%
Dominique Johnson run for 4 yds to the ARK 40Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+1
99.9%
AJ Green run for 1 yd to the ARK 41Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 41
0
99.9%
KJ Jefferson pass incomplete to Isaiah SategnaSimilar
Q4 14:08
4TH & 5
OWN 41
0
99.9%
Max Fletcher punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WCU 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WCUDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 2:220% → 0%
Q4 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
99.9%
Camury Reid run for 3 yds to the WCU 18Similar
Q4 14:08
2ND & 7
OWN 18
+15
99.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun Gonzales,Cole pass incomplete short right to Reid,Camury PENALTY ARK Targeting (Paul Jr.,Chris) 15 yards from WCU18 to WCU33, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY. The previous play is under review. The ruling on the field is confirmed.Similar
Q4 13:28
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-4
99.9%
Cole Gonzales sacked by Taurean Carter for a loss of 4 yards to the WCU 29Similar
Q4 13:28
2ND & 14
OWN 29
+6
99.9%
Cole Gonzales pass complete to Camury Reid for 6 yds to the WCU 35Similar
Q4 13:28
3RD & 8
OWN 35
0
99.9%
Cole Gonzales pass incomplete to AJ ColomboSimilar
Q4 11:46
4TH & 8
OWN 35
+39
99.9%
Stephen Brantley punt for 52 yds , Isaiah Sategna returns for 39 yds to the WCU 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 23TD
9 plays · 48 yds · 3:51100% → 100%
Q4 11:46
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
99.9%
Jacolby Criswell run for no gain to the WCU 48Similar
Q4 11:46
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+14
99.9%
Jacolby Criswell pass complete to Jaedon Wilson for 14 yds to the WCU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:46
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
99.9%
Isaiah Augustave run for 5 yds to the WCU 29Similar
Q4 11:46
2ND & 5
OPP 29
+4
99.9%
Isaiah Augustave run for 4 yds to the WCU 25Similar
Q4 11:46
3RD & 1
OPP 25
+8
99.9%
Isaiah Augustave run for 8 yds to the WCU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:46
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
99.9%
Isaiah Augustave run for 3 yds to the WCU 14Similar
Q4 7:55
2ND & 7
OPP 14
+14
99.9%
Jacolby Criswell pass complete to Davion Dozier for 14 yds for a TD (Cam Little KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WCUDrive 24INT TD
11 plays · 55 yds · 3:360% → 0%
Q4 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.9%
Marlin Cochran run for 3 yds to the WCU 28Similar
Q4 7:55
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
100.0%
Charlie Dean pass incomplete to Ajay BelangerSimilar
Q4 7:55
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+8
100.0%
Charlie Dean pass complete to Corey Washington for 8 yds to the WCU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+13
99.9%
Charlie Dean pass complete to Zion Booker for 13 yds to the WCU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+7
99.9%
Charlie Dean pass complete to Corey Washington for 7 yds to the ARK 44Similar
Q4 7:55
2ND & 3
OPP 44
+24
99.9%
Charlie Dean pass complete to Corey Washington for 24 yds to the ARK 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:55
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
99.9%
Charlie Dean pass complete to Marlin Cochran for no gain to the ARK 20Similar
Q4 7:55
2ND & 10
OPP 20
0
99.9%
Charlie Dean pass incomplete to Corey WashingtonSimilar
Q4 4:19
3RD & 10
OPP 20
-85
100.0%
Brad Spence 85 Yd Interception Return (Cam Little Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WCUDrive 25FG
15 plays · 60 yds · 4:190% → 0%
Q4 4:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
100.0%
Markel Townsend run for 3 yds to the WCU 28Similar
Q4 4:19
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+3
100.0%
Markel Townsend run for 3 yds to the WCU 31Similar
Q4 4:19
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+11
100.0%
Brody Palhegyi pass complete to Markel Townsend for 11 yds to the WCU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:19
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+7
100.0%
Markel Townsend run for 7 yds to the WCU 49Similar
Q4 4:19
2ND & 3
OWN 49
+2
100.0%
Markel Townsend run for 2 yds to the ARK 49Similar
Q4 4:19
3RD & 1
OPP 49
+3
100.0%
Markel Townsend run for 3 yds to the ARK 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:19
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
100.0%
Brody Palhegyi pass incomplete to Zion BookerSimilar
Q4 4:19
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+15
100.0%
Arkansas Penalty, Targeting (15 Yards) to the ARK 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:19
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+10
100.0%
Brody Palhegyi run for 10 yds to the ARK 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:19
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
100.0%
Brody Palhegyi pass incomplete to Corey WashingtonSimilar
Q4 4:19
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+2
100.0%
Markel Townsend run for 2 yds to the ARK 15Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 8
OPP 15
0
100.0%
Brody Palhegyi run for no gain to the ARK 15Similar
Q4 0:00
4TH & 8
OPP 15
+33
100.0%
Richard McCollum 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 2:56
KJ Jefferson run for 17 yds for a TD (Cam Little KICK)
+1.3
TD · Q2 0:00
Raheim Sanders run for 1 yd for a TD (Cam Little KICK)
+0.6
TD · Q1 3:03
KJ Jefferson pass complete to Isaac TeSlaa for 31 yds for a TD (Cam Little KICK)
+0.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com