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NEB

Nebraska 10 at Minnesota 13

MINN
2023 · Week 1 · Aug 31, 2023 · Huntington Bank Stadium
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Win probability · MINN
modelMINN aheadNEB aheadconfidence bandkey playMINN scoreNEB score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDFGEnd of GameFG+34.1MINN 95.9%Dragan Kesich 47 yd FG GOODAWAY 10 - HOME 13 · Q4 0:00
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · Dragan Kesich 47 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+26.0+13.00−13.0−26.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 152Pregame prior+0.0Home team on offense+24.9Garbage-time factor+17.1Score differential+1.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+3.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 14:03: Alex Bullock 34 Yd pass from Jeff Sims (Tristan Alvano Kick) — NEB win probability +12.5 pts (now 49%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q4 4:53: Darius Taylor run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line — MINN win probability +12.1 pts (now 27%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 2:32: Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 13 yds for a TD (Dragan Kesich KICK) — MINN win probability +35.3 pts (now 61%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 0:58: Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Brevyn Spann-Ford for 9 yds to the NEB 42 — MINN win probability +20.2 pts (now 63%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 0:00: Dragan Kesich 47 yd FG GOOD — MINN win probability +34.1 pts (now 96%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MINN made the numbers' call on 6 of 8NEB made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 9:45MINN 4th & 10 at MINN 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.3%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:12NEB 4th & 9 at NEB 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.8%−0.4
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.2%
    average punt
  3. Q2 12:31MINN 4th & 2 at NEB 16, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 67.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.2%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    66.8%−0.3
    81% to make
    Punt
    64.6%−2.6
    average punt
  4. Q2 3:39MINN 4th & 9 at NEB 36, up 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 67.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.2%
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    67.1%−0.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    66.6%−0.7
    average punt
  5. Q3 12:34MINN 4th & 6 at MINN 23, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.9%−1.5
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.4%
    average punt
  6. Q3 8:37NEB 4th & 11 at NEB 44, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.0%−2.6
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.6%
    average punt
  7. Q4 12:42NEB 4th & 9 at MINN 9, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 60.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.2%−2.4
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    59.6%
    89% to make
    Punt
    43.4%−16.2
    average punt
  8. Q4 12:16MINN 4th & 10 at MINN 19, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.9%−1.9
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.8%
    average punt
  9. Q4 11:21NEB 4th & 10 at NEB 38, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.8%−1.8
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.6%
    average punt
  10. Q4 7:17MINN 4th & 18 at MINN 31, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.1%−4.8
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.9%
    average punt
  11. Q4 2:32MINN 4th & 10 at NEB 13, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 21.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.2%
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    17.1%−0.2
    85% to make
    Punt
    9.6%−7.7
    average punt
  12. Q4 0:00MINN 4th & 2 at NEB 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 60.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.3%−11.1
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    66.4%
    58% to make
    Punt
    43.0%−23.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MINN made the numbers' call on 1 of 1NEB made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q3 14:03NEB Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q4 2:32MINN Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.3%−1.7
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MINNDrive 1PUNT
10 plays · 28 yds · 5:1069% → 68%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+7
68.5%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Brevyn Spann-Ford for 7 yds to the MINN 26Similar
Q1 14:55
2ND & 3
OWN 26
+1
68.5%
Sean Tyler run for 1 yd to the MINN 27Similar
Q1 14:55
3RD & 2
OWN 27
+9
68.5%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Corey Crooms Jr. for 9 yds to the MINN 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
68.5%
Sean Tyler run for 2 yds to the MINN 38Similar
Q1 14:55
2ND & 8
OWN 38
0
68.5%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:55
3RD & 8
OWN 38
+9
68.5%
Athan Kaliakmanis run for 9 yds to the MINN 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
68.5%
Bryce Williams run for 2 yds to the MINN 49Similar
Q1 14:55
2ND & 8
OWN 49
-2
68.5%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Corey Crooms Jr. for a loss of 2 yards to the MINN 47Similar
Q1 14:55
3RD & 10
OWN 47
0
68.5%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:45
4TH & 10
OWN 47
0
67.7%
Mark Crawford punt for 52 yds, downed at the NEB 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 2PUNT
9 plays · 32 yds · 4:3332% → 33%
Q1 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+4
67.9%
Jeff Sims run for 4 yds to the NEB 5Similar
Q1 9:45
2ND & 6
OWN 5
+6
67.9%
Jeff Sims run for 6 yds to the NEB 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 11
-5
67.8%
Nebraska Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the NEB 6Similar
Q1 9:45
1ST & 15
OWN 6
+26
67.9%
Jeff Sims run for 26 yds to the NEB 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-1
67.7%
Rahmir Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the NEB 31Similar
Q1 9:45
2ND & 11
OWN 31
0
67.8%
Anthony Grant run for no gain to the NEB 31Similar
Q1 9:45
3RD & 11
OWN 31
-5
68.0%
Nebraska Penalty, Illegal Substitution (Nash Hutmacher) to the NEB 26Similar
Q1 9:45
3RD & 16
OWN 26
+7
68.0%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Alex Bullock for 7 yds to the NEB 33Similar
Q1 5:12
4TH & 9
OWN 33
0
67.4%
Brian Buschini punt for 60 yds , returns for no gain to the MINN 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 3FG
13 plays · 67 yds · 7:4167% → 68%
Q1 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+2
67.0%
Bryce Williams run for 2 yds to the MINN 19Similar
Q1 5:12
2ND & 8
OWN 19
+20
67.0%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Corey Crooms Jr. for 20 yds to the MINN 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
67.5%
Sean Tyler run for 7 yds to the MINN 46Similar
Q1 5:12
2ND & 3
OWN 46
0
67.9%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Corey Crooms Jr. for no gain to the MINN 46Similar
Q1 5:12
3RD & 3
OWN 46
+6
67.7%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 6 yds to the NEB 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:12
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
68.0%
Bryce Williams run for 4 yds to the NEB 44Similar
Q1 5:12
2ND & 6
OPP 44
0
68.1%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 6
OPP 44
+10
67.7%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Corey Crooms Jr. for 10 yds to the NEB 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+10
68.3%
Sean Tyler run for 10 yds to the NEB 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+6
68.3%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Corey Crooms Jr. for 6 yds to the NEB 18Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 18
-5
68.3%
Daniel Jackson run for a loss of 5 yards to the NEB 23Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 23
+7
67.8%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 7 yds to the NEB 16Similar
Q2 12:31
4TH & 2
OPP 16
+34
67.7%
Dragan Kesich 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 4INT
8 plays · 33 yds · 3:4332% → 34%
Q2 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+12
67.6%
Jeff Sims run for 12 yds to the NEB 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
67.4%
Jeff Sims run for 7 yds to the NEB 37Similar
Q2 12:25
2ND & 3
OWN 37
0
66.6%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Rahmir Johnson for no gain to the NEB 37Similar
Q2 9:39
3RD & 3
OWN 37
+10
67.1%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Heinrich Haarberg for 10 yds to the NEB 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
66.0%
Jeff Sims pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:39
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+4
66.3%
Jeff Sims run for 4 yds to the MINN 49Similar
Q2 8:42
3RD & 6
OPP 49
0
65.9%
Jeff Sims pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 5MISSED FG
13 plays · 38 yds · 5:0368% → 68%
Q2 8:42
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
68.1%
Bryce Williams run for 4 yds to the MINN 30Similar
Q2 8:42
2ND & 6
OWN 30
+5
68.0%
Nebraska Penalty, Disconcerting Signals on REIMER, Luke enforced (Luke Reimer) to the MINN 35Similar
Q2 8:42
2ND & 1
OWN 35
+2
69.0%
Athan Kaliakmanis run for 2 yds to the MINN 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:42
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
68.5%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:42
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+1
68.2%
Sean Tyler run for 1 yd to the MINN 38Similar
Q2 8:42
3RD & 9
OWN 38
+9
67.9%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 9 yds to the MINN 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:42
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
69.5%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:42
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+2
69.1%
Sean Tyler run for 2 yds to the MINN 49Similar
Q2 8:42
3RD & 8
OWN 49
+14
68.5%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 14 yds to the NEB 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:42
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
69.8%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:42
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+1
69.7%
Bryce Williams run for 1 yd to the NEB 36Similar
Q2 8:42
3RD & 9
OPP 36
0
69.4%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:39
4TH & 9
OPP 36
+54
68.4%
Dragan Kesich 54 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 6INT
15 plays · 58 yds · 3:3233% → 34%
Q2 3:39
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
67.3%
Anthony Grant run for 8 yds to the NEB 44Similar
Q2 3:39
2ND & 2
OWN 44
+1
65.9%
Anthony Grant run for 1 yd to the NEB 45Similar
Q2 3:39
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+5
66.1%
Jeff Sims run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
64.6%
Nebraska Penalty, False Start (Ethan Piper) to the MINN 6Similar
Q2 1:18
1ST & 10
50
+7
66.3%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Isaiah Garcia-Castaneda for 7 yds to the MINN 43Similar
Q2 1:18
2ND & 3
OPP 43
+8
65.6%
Jeff Sims run for 8 yds to the MINN 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:18
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+15
64.3%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Alex Bullock for 15 yds to the MINN 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:44
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
66.3%
Jeff Sims pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:44
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+9
66.5%
Jeff Sims run for 9 yds to the MINN 11Similar
Q2 0:44
3RD & 1
OPP 11
+7
67.2%
Gabe Ervin Jr. run for 7 yds to the MINN 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
66.3%
Gabe Ervin Jr. run for 3 yds to the MINN 1Similar
Q2 0:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
66.2%
Jeff Sims pass intercepted, touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 7END OF HALF
1 play · -3 yds · 0:0068% → 68%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
67.9%
[NH] Kneel down by KALIAKMANIS, Athan at UMN17 (team loss of 3), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 8TD
2 plays · 35 yds · 0:4837% → 49%
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
63.3%
Anthony Grant run for 1 yd to the MINN 34Similar
Q3 14:03
2ND & 9
OPP 34
+34
50.9%
Alex Bullock 34 Yd pass from Jeff Sims (Tristan Alvano Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:2956% → 53%
Q3 14:03
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
55.8%
Sean Tyler run for 4 yds to the MINN 23Similar
Q3 14:03
2ND & 6
OWN 23
0
56.1%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:03
3RD & 6
OWN 23
0
54.5%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Daniel Jackson for no gain to the MINN 23Similar
Q3 12:34
4TH & 6
OWN 23
0
52.7%
Mark Crawford punt for 43 yds , returns for no gain to the NEB 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 10PUNT
8 plays · 2 yds · 3:5749% → 46%
Q3 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-5
51.5%
Jeff Sims sacked by Jalen Logan-Redding and Danny Striggow for a loss of 5 yards to the NEB 37Similar
Q3 12:34
2ND & 15
OWN 37
+6
53.8%
Jeff Sims run for 6 yds to the NEB 43Similar
Q3 12:34
3RD & 9
OWN 43
-13
52.9%
Jeff Sims sacked by Jah Joyner for a loss of 13 yards to the NEB 30Similar
Q3 12:34
4TH & 22
OWN 30
+15
56.3%
BUSCHINI, Brian punt 41 yards to the UMN29, fair catch by REDDING, Quentin. PENALTY UMN Personal Foul on GERLACH, Joey enforced 15 yards from the NEB30 to the NEB45 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
51.4%
Anthony Grant run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 12:34
2ND & 5
50
+2
50.9%
Anthony Grant run for 2 yds to the MINN 48Similar
Q3 12:34
3RD & 3
OPP 48
-8
51.5%
Jeff Sims sacked by Danny Striggow for a loss of 8 yards to the NEB 44Similar
Q3 8:37
4TH & 11
OWN 44
0
53.7%
Brian Buschini punt for 38 yds, downed at the MINN 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 11INT
7 plays · 58 yds · 3:1853% → 57%
Q3 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+11
53.0%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 11 yds to the MINN 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
53.4%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:37
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+2
53.0%
Sean Tyler run for 2 yds to the MINN 31Similar
Q3 8:37
3RD & 8
OWN 31
+15
52.2%
Nebraska Penalty, Targeting on ROBINSON, Ty enforced (Ty Robinson) to the NEB 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:37
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+20
57.5%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Corey Crooms Jr. for 20 yds to the NEB 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:37
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
59.4%
Sean Tyler run for 1 yd to the NEB 24Similar
Q3 5:19
2ND & 9
OPP 24
0
57.4%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 12FG
15 plays · 80 yds · 7:3751% → 71%
Q3 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+27
48.8%
Gabe Ervin Jr. run for 27 yds to the NEB 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
46.3%
Gabe Ervin Jr. run for 4 yds to the NEB 42Similar
Q3 5:19
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+9
45.7%
Jaylen Lloyd run for 9 yds to the MINN 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:19
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+17
45.0%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Marcus Washington for 17 yds to the MINN 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:19
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-1
43.7%
Anthony Grant run for a loss of 1 yard to the MINN 33Similar
Q3 5:19
2ND & 11
OPP 33
+8
43.8%
Jeff Sims run for 8 yds to the MINN 25Similar
Q3 5:19
3RD & 3
OPP 25
+4
44.9%
Jeff Sims run for 4 yds to the MINN 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+7
35.3%
Jeff Sims run for 7 yds to the MINN 14Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 14
+6
35.3%
Gabe Ervin Jr. run for 6 yds to the MINN 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
35.3%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Nate Boerkircher for 4 yds to the MINN 4Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-5
35.3%
Nebraska Penalty, False Start (Nate Boerkircher) to the MINN 9Similar
Q4 13:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
35.3%
Jeff Sims pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:23
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
0
36.7%
Jeff Sims run for no gain to the MINN 9Similar
Q4 12:42
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+27
29.2%
Tristan Alvano 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:2635% → 32%
Q4 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
34.9%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:42
2ND & 10
OWN 19
0
34.8%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:42
3RD & 10
OWN 19
0
33.0%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:16
4TH & 10
OWN 19
0
31.6%
Mark Crawford punt for 48 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:5573% → 70%
Q4 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
27.2%
Jeff Sims pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:16
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
27.4%
Jeff Sims pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:16
3RD & 10
OWN 38
0
28.6%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Marcus Washington for no gain to the NEB 38Similar
Q4 11:21
4TH & 10
OWN 38
0
30.3%
Brian Buschini punt for 45 yds, downed at the MINN 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 15PUNT
9 plays · 14 yds · 4:0434% → 26%
Q4 11:21
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+5
33.6%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Brevyn Spann-Ford for 5 yds to the MINN 22Similar
Q4 11:21
2ND & 5
OWN 22
+6
34.5%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Bryce Williams for 6 yds to the MINN 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:21
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-1
34.6%
Athan Kaliakmanis sacked by Blaise Gunnerson for a loss of 1 yard to the MINN 27Similar
Q4 11:21
2ND & 11
OWN 27
+6
33.6%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 6 yds to the MINN 33Similar
Q4 11:21
3RD & 5
OWN 33
+6
33.3%
Athan Kaliakmanis run for 6 yds to the MINN 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:21
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
35.6%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:21
2ND & 10
OWN 39
0
35.3%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:21
3RD & 10
OWN 39
-8
33.9%
Athan Kaliakmanis sacked by Nash Hutmacher for a loss of 8 yards to the MINN 31Similar
Q4 7:17
4TH & 18
OWN 31
0
25.5%
Mark Crawford punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Billy Kemp IV at the NEB 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 16FUMBLE
5 plays · 21 yds · 2:2479% → 85%
Q4 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
21.5%
Anthony Grant run for 2 yds to the NEB 34Similar
Q4 7:17
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+4
21.6%
Gabe Ervin Jr. run for 4 yds to the NEB 38Similar
Q4 5:03
3RD & 4
OWN 38
+6
16.2%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Rahmir Johnson for 6 yds to the NEB 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:53
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+9
15.1%
Anthony Grant run for 9 yds to the MINN 47 Anthony Grant fumbled, recovered by MINN Aidan GousbySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 17TD
12 plays · 53 yds · 2:2127% → 61%
Q4 4:53
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
27.2%
Darius Taylor run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 4:53
2ND & 7
50
0
28.2%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:59
3RD & 7
50
+6
25.8%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 6 yds to the NEB 44Similar
Q4 3:59
4TH & 1
OPP 44
+15
27.0%
Nebraska Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Cameron Lenhardt) to the NEB 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:59
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
32.5%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:59
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+15
31.4%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Brevyn Spann-Ford for 15 yds to the NEB 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:59
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
32.4%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:59
2ND & 10
OPP 13
0
32.4%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:38
3RD & 10
OPP 13
0
25.6%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:32
4TH & 10
OPP 13
+13
60.9%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 13 yds for a TD (Dragan Kesich KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 18INT
5 plays · 29 yds · 1:3448% → 57%
Q4 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
52.1%
Jeff Sims run for 1 yd to the NEB 26Similar
Q4 2:32
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+10
52.4%
Jeff Sims run for 10 yds to the NEB 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+14
50.0%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Marcus Washington for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:32
1ST & 10
50
+4
45.0%
Gabe Ervin Jr. run for 4 yds to the MINN 46Similar
Q4 0:58
2ND & 6
OPP 46
0
42.9%
Jeff Sims pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 19FG
8 plays · 22 yds · 0:5863% → 96%
Q4 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+9
63.1%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Brevyn Spann-Ford for 9 yds to the NEB 42Similar
Q4 0:58
2ND & 1
OPP 42
+5
64.2%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 5 yds to the NEB 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:58
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
64.1%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Bryce Williams for 5 yds to the NEB 32Similar
Q4 0:58
2ND & 5
OPP 32
-3
67.3%
Athan Kaliakmanis sacked by Luke Reimer for a loss of 3 yards to the NEB 35Similar
Q4 0:58
3RD & 8
OPP 35
-5
64.3%
Minnesota Penalty, False Start (Aireontae Ersery) to the NEB 40Similar
Q4 0:03
3RD & 13
OPP 40
+11
61.7%
Sean Tyler run for 11 yds to the NEB 29Similar
Q4 0:00
4TH & 2
OPP 29
+47
95.9%
Dragan Kesich 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 2:32
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 13 yds for a TD (Dragan Kesich KICK)
+35.3
FG · Q4 0:00
Dragan Kesich 47 yd FG GOOD
+34.1
KEY PLAY · Q4 0:58
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Brevyn Spann-Ford for 9 yds to the NEB 42
+20.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com