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FIU

Florida International 17 at Louisiana Tech 22

LT
2023 · Week 1 · Aug 26, 2023 · Joe Aillet Stadium
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Win probability · LT
modelLT aheadFIU aheadconfidence bandkey playLT scoreFIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGTDFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 2:22 · Daton Montiel punt for 58 yds, downed at the LT 11
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+26.5+13.30−13.3−26.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 63Pregame prior+12.4Home team on offense−6.8Score differential−2.6Garbage-time factor−2.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 4:42: Antonio Patterson run for 6 yds for a TD, (Chase Gabriel KICK) — FIU win probability +5.2 pts (now 38%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 10:06: Chase Gabriel 45 yd FG GOOD — FIU win probability +8.7 pts (now 49%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 3:48: Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Smoke Harris for 64 yds for a TD, (Jacob Barnes KICK) — LT win probability +10.1 pts (now 56%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 0:00: Jacob Barnes 32 yd FG GOOD — LT win probability +4.9 pts (now 59%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:01: Jacob Fields 30 Yd Run (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed) — LT win probability +46.5 pts (now 94%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
LT made the numbers' call on 8 of 8FIU made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 10:25LT 4th & 18 at LT 41, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.8%−0.4
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:07FIU 4th & 2 at FIU 23, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.9%−<0.1
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.0%
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:04LT 4th & 7 at FIU 23, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 61.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.3%−0.3
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    61.6%
    70% to make
    Punt
    57.8%−3.8
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:06FIU 4th & 5 at LT 26, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 41.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.9%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    40.9%
    64% to make
    Punt
    36.8%−4.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 4:21LT 4th & 6 at FIU 20, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 48.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.1%−0.3
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    48.3%
    75% to make
    Punt
    44.2%−4.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:06FIU 4th & 10 at FIU 20, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.0%−1.6
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:22FIU 4th & 4 at FIU 31, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.4%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.5%
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:06FIU 4th & 20 at FIU 35, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.0%−4.7
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.7%
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:21LT 4th & 15 at LT 20, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.8%−3.3
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.1%
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:56FIU 4th & 3 at FIU 42, up 4
    Close callPunted · 44.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.4%−0.3
    average punt
  11. Q3 2:59LT 4th & 18 at FIU 44, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.9%−3.4
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    47.1%−2.2
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    49.3%
    average punt
  12. Q3 0:33FIU 4th & 16 at FIU 14, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.7%−6.7
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.3%
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:34LT 4th & 7 at FIU 29, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 47.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.3%−0.7
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    47.1%
    58% to make
    Punt
    37.1%−10.0
    average punt
  14. Q4 8:34FIU 4th & 11 at FIU 34, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.7%−6.8
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.5%
    average punt
  15. Q4 3:30LT 4th & 3 at FIU 26, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 52.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.5%−6.3
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    55.8%
    64% to make
    Punt
    33.8%−22.0
    average punt
  16. Q4 2:28FIU 4th & 2 at FIU 34, up 1
    Numbers favored go for it by 4.5 ptsPunted · 61.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.9%−4.5
    average punt
  17. Q4 1:59LT 4th & 5 at LT 36, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 46.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    38.6%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    33.9%−4.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
LT made the numbers' call on 2 of 2FIU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 14:06FIU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    24.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    24.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:42FIU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    32.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 3:48LT Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 1:01LT Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    82.8%−1.3
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    84.1%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FIUDrive 1TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:5427% → 28%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
72.7%
Grayson James pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
72.7%
Shomari Lawrence run for 8 yds to the FIU 33Similar
Q1 14:06
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+67
72.3%
Shomari Lawrence run for 67 yds for a TD, (Chase Gabriel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 2PUNT
9 plays · 16 yds · 3:4172% → 70%
Q1 14:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
72.3%
Hank Bachmeier run for 8 yds to the LT 33Similar
Q1 14:06
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+3
72.4%
Charvis Thornton run for 3 yds to the LT 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:06
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
72.4%
Hank Bachmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:06
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+6
72.3%
Smoke Harris run for 6 yds to the LT 42Similar
Q1 14:06
3RD & 4
OWN 42
+7
72.4%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Cyrus Allen for 7 yds to the LT 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:06
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
72.4%
Hank Bachmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:06
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+4
72.4%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Nate Jones for 4 yds to the FIU 47Similar
Q1 14:06
3RD & 6
OPP 47
-12
72.4%
Smoke Harris run for a loss of 12 yards to the LT 41 Smoke Harris fumbled, recovered by LT Nate JonesSimilar
Q1 10:25
4TH & 18
OWN 41
0
70.2%
Blake Ochsendorf punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Dean Patterson at the FIU 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 2:1830% → 31%
Q1 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
70.4%
Shomari Lawrence run for 2 yds to the FIU 17Similar
Q1 10:25
2ND & 8
OWN 17
+4
70.4%
Grayson James run for 4 yds to the FIU 21Similar
Q1 10:25
3RD & 4
OWN 21
+2
70.5%
Grayson James pass complete to Kris Mitchell for 2 yds to the FIU 23Similar
Q1 8:07
4TH & 2
OWN 23
0
69.3%
Daton Montiel punt for 50 yds , Smoke Harris returns for no gain to the LT 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 4INT
3 plays · 13 yds · 0:5570% → 69%
Q1 8:07
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
69.6%
Hank Bachmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:07
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+13
69.4%
Charvis Thornton run for 13 yds to the FIU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:12
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
69.4%
Hank Bachmeier pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 5TD
6 plays · 56 yds · 2:3032% → 38%
Q1 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+15
67.8%
Louisiana Tech Penalty, Personal Foul (Brevin Randle) to the LT 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:12
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+7
67.7%
Jalen Bracey run for 7 yds to the LT 30Similar
Q1 7:12
2ND & 3
OPP 30
+2
67.6%
Antonio Patterson run for 2 yds to the LT 28Similar
Q1 7:12
3RD & 1
OPP 28
+7
67.7%
Grayson James run for 7 yds to the LT 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:12
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
67.6%
JAMES, Grayson pass deep to the right incomplete intended for PATTERSON, Dean thrown to the LAT0. PENALTY LAT Pass Interference on WOODS, Cedric enforced half the distance from the goal, 14 yards to the LAT7 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NH]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 4:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
62.4%
Antonio Patterson run for 6 yds for a TD, (Chase Gabriel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 6FG
10 plays · 51 yds · 5:3164% → 61%
Q1 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+9
64.0%
Charvis Thornton run for 9 yds to the LT 35Similar
Q1 4:35
2ND & 1
OWN 35
+2
64.2%
Charvis Thornton run for 2 yds to the LT 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
64.2%
Charvis Thornton run for 2 yds to the LT 39Similar
Q1 4:35
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+19
64.4%
Charvis Thornton run for 19 yds to the FIU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:35
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+16
64.8%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Ryan Rivera for 16 yds to the FIU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:35
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+1
65.1%
Charvis Thornton run for 1 yd to the FIU 25Similar
Q1 4:35
2ND & 9
OPP 25
-5
65.1%
Louisiana Tech Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the FIU 30Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 14
OPP 30
0
60.2%
Keldric Moody run for no gain to the FIU 30Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 14
OPP 30
+2
59.4%
Charvis Thornton run for 2 yds to the FIU 28Similar
Q2 14:04
4TH & 7
OPP 23
+40
61.3%
Jacob Barnes 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 7FG
8 plays · 49 yds · 3:5839% → 49%
Q2 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
61.0%
Grayson James run for 18 yds to the FIU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
60.1%
Grayson James run for 4 yds to the FIU 47Similar
Q2 14:04
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+6
60.1%
Shomari Lawrence run for 6 yds to the LT 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:04
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+16
60.1%
Shomari Lawrence run for 16 yds to the LT 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:04
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
60.0%
Grayson James pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:04
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+4
60.1%
Shomari Lawrence run for 4 yds to the LT 27Similar
Q2 14:04
3RD & 6
OPP 27
+1
60.1%
Antonio Patterson run for 1 yd to the LT 26Similar
Q2 10:06
4TH & 5
OPP 26
+45
51.4%
Chase Gabriel 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 8MISSED FG
11 plays · 55 yds · 5:4552% → 46%
Q2 10:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
52.3%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Smoke Harris for 12 yds to the LT 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:06
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-2
53.0%
Smoke Harris run for a loss of 2 yards to the LT 35Similar
Q2 10:06
2ND & 12
OWN 35
+11
52.3%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Nate Jones for 11 yds to the LT 46Similar
Q2 10:06
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+5
53.8%
Keith Willis Jr. run for 5 yds to the FIU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:06
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
54.2%
Keith Willis Jr. run for no gain to the FIU 49Similar
Q2 10:06
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+2
54.1%
Keldric Moody run for 2 yds to the FIU 47Similar
Q2 10:06
3RD & 8
OPP 47
+15
54.0%
Florida International Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the FIU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:06
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+2
54.7%
Keldric Moody run for 2 yds to the FIU 22Similar
Q2 10:06
2ND & 8
OPP 22
+2
54.7%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Kyle Maxwell for 2 yds to the FIU 20Similar
Q2 10:06
3RD & 6
OPP 20
0
54.1%
Hank Bachmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:21
4TH & 6
OPP 20
+37
46.4%
Jacob Barnes 37 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:1555% → 54%
Q2 4:21
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
44.7%
Grayson James pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:16
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
44.7%
Grayson James pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:11
3RD & 10
OWN 20
0
45.4%
Grayson James pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:06
4TH & 10
OWN 20
0
45.7%
Daton Montiel punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 10TD
1 play · 64 yds · 0:0056% → 56%
Q2 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+64
55.9%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Smoke Harris for 64 yds for a TD, (Jacob Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:1346% → 48%
Q2 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
53.8%
Shomari Lawrence run for 9 yds to the FIU 34Similar
Q2 3:35
2ND & 1
OWN 34
-3
52.8%
Antonio Patterson run for a loss of 3 yards to the FIU 31Similar
Q2 2:59
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
52.2%
Grayson James pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:22
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
52.4%
Daton Montiel punt for 58 yds, downed at the LT 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 12FG
14 plays · 74 yds · 2:2254% → 59%
Q2 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+7
53.5%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Keldric Moody for 7 yds to the LT 18Similar
Q2 2:22
2ND & 3
OWN 18
+1
54.0%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Smoke Harris for 1 yd to the LT 19Similar
Q2 2:22
3RD & 2
OWN 19
+2
52.8%
Keldric Moody run for 2 yds to the LT 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
52.6%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Keldric Moody for 5 yds to the LT 26Similar
Q2 0:49
2ND & 5
OWN 26
+14
51.8%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Kyle Maxwell for 14 yds to the LT 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+13
53.4%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Cyrus Allen for 13 yds to the FIU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+28
54.7%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Smoke Harris for 28 yds to the FIU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-3
56.4%
Hank Bachmeier run for a loss of 3 yards to the FIU 22Similar
Q2 0:10
2ND & 13
OPP 22
+7
55.8%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Keldric Moody for 7 yds to the FIU 15Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 6
OPP 15
+32
58.8%
Jacob Barnes 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 13FUMBLE
7 plays · 20 yds · 2:2459% → 61%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
59.2%
Keith Willis Jr. run for 3 yds to the LT 38Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+8
61.0%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Cyrus Allen for 8 yds to the LT 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:28
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
61.2%
Keldric Moody run for 2 yds to the LT 48Similar
Q3 14:28
2ND & 8
OWN 48
0
61.4%
Hank Bachmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:49
3RD & 8
OWN 48
+12
60.0%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Smoke Harris for 12 yds to the FIU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:49
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
61.8%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Smoke Harris for no gain to the FIU 40Similar
Q3 12:36
2ND & 10
OPP 40
-5
60.8%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Nate Jones for a loss of 5 yards fumbled, forced by Jamal Potts, recovered by FIU Keegan DavisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · -10 yds · 1:3046% → 42%
Q3 12:36
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-10
53.8%
Grayson James sacked by Deshon Hall Jr. for a loss of 10 yards to the FIU 35Similar
Q3 12:08
2ND & 20
OWN 35
0
56.5%
Grayson James pass complete to Shomari Lawrence for no gain to the FIU 35Similar
Q3 12:08
3RD & 20
OWN 35
0
57.7%
Grayson James pass complete to Antonio Patterson for no gain to the FIU 35Similar
Q3 11:06
4TH & 20
OWN 35
0
57.6%
Daton Montiel punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Smoke Harris at the LT 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:4556% → 54%
Q3 11:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
56.4%
Louisiana Tech Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Hank Bachmeier) to the LT 26Similar
Q3 11:06
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
56.1%
Louisiana Tech Penalty, Personal Foul (Keldric Moody) to the LT 13Similar
Q3 11:06
2ND & 22
OWN 13
+7
55.9%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Smoke Harris for 7 yds to the LT 20Similar
Q3 11:06
3RD & 15
OWN 20
0
54.6%
Hank Bachmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:21
4TH & 15
OWN 20
0
53.5%
Blake Ochsendorf punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Dean Patterson at the FIU 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:1846% → 46%
Q3 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
53.9%
Shomari Lawrence run for 5 yds to the FIU 40Similar
Q3 9:54
2ND & 5
OWN 40
0
52.2%
Grayson James pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:54
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+2
52.8%
Grayson James run for 2 yds to the FIU 42Similar
Q3 8:56
4TH & 3
OWN 42
0
54.2%
Daton Montiel punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Matthew McCallister at the LT 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 17PUNT
12 plays · 34 yds · 5:5755% → 47%
Q3 8:56
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
55.2%
Keith Willis Jr. run for 5 yds to the LT 27Similar
Q3 8:56
2ND & 5
OWN 27
+10
55.7%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Matthew McCallister for 10 yds to the LT 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:56
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
56.2%
Hank Bachmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:56
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+6
55.9%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Nate Jones for 6 yds to the LT 43Similar
Q3 8:56
3RD & 4
OWN 43
+7
57.4%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Nate Jones for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:56
1ST & 10
50
+2
59.2%
Keith Willis Jr. run for 2 yds to the FIU 48Similar
Q3 5:55
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+4
56.8%
Keith Willis Jr. run for 4 yds to the FIU 44Similar
Q3 5:55
3RD & 4
OPP 44
+8
56.5%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Cyrus Allen for 8 yds to the FIU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:55
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-2
57.0%
Hank Bachmeier run for a loss of 2 yards to the FIU 38Similar
Q3 5:55
2ND & 12
OPP 38
+1
56.3%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Nate Jones for 1 yd to the FIU 37Similar
Q3 5:55
3RD & 11
OPP 37
-7
55.5%
Hank Bachmeier sacked by Marquez Tatum for a loss of 7 yards to the FIU 44Similar
Q3 2:59
4TH & 18
OPP 44
0
46.5%
Blake Ochsendorf punt for 44 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 1:5556% → 53%
Q3 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-4
44.4%
Shomari Lawrence run for a loss of 4 yards to the FIU 16Similar
Q3 2:28
2ND & 14
OWN 16
+6
45.0%
Shomari Lawrence run for 6 yds to the FIU 22Similar
Q3 2:28
3RD & 8
OWN 22
-8
46.2%
Grayson James sacked by J'Dan Burnett and Zion Nason for a loss of 8 yards to the FIU 14Similar
Q3 0:33
4TH & 16
OWN 14
0
46.6%
Daton Montiel punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Matthew McCallister at the FIU 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 19FG
7 plays · 16 yds · 2:5952% → 55%
Q3 0:33
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
51.9%
Hank Bachmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+1
51.3%
Keldric Moody run for 1 yd to the FIU 44Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 44
+12
49.9%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Smoke Harris for 12 yds to the FIU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
53.6%
Keldric Moody run for 2 yds to the FIU 30Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 30
-2
53.6%
Keith Willis Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the FIU 32Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 32
+3
50.5%
Hank Bachmeier run for 3 yds to the FIU 29Similar
Q4 12:34
4TH & 7
OPP 29
+46
55.1%
Jacob Barnes 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 20PUNT
8 plays · 9 yds · 4:0048% → 48%
Q4 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
51.9%
Shomari Lawrence run for 6 yds to the FIU 31Similar
Q4 12:34
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
49.9%
Shomari Lawrence run for 3 yds to the FIU 34Similar
Q4 12:34
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+1
50.7%
Grayson James run for 1 yd to the FIU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
50.7%
Shomari Lawrence run for 3 yds to the FIU 38Similar
Q4 12:34
2ND & 7
OWN 38
-10
48.7%
JAMES, Grayson pass to the left incomplete intended for MITCHELL, Kris thrown to the FIU46. PENALTY FIU Holding on MCDONALD, Jackson enforced 10 yards from the FIU38 to the FIU28 [NH]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 12:34
2ND & 17
OWN 28
-2
52.6%
Grayson James pass complete to Dean Patterson for a loss of 2 yards to the FIU 26Similar
Q4 12:34
3RD & 19
OWN 26
+8
54.1%
Shomari Lawrence run for 8 yds to the FIU 34Similar
Q4 8:34
4TH & 11
OWN 34
0
52.0%
Daton Montiel punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Smoke Harris at the LT 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 21MISSED FG
11 plays · 46 yds · 4:4952% → 52%
Q4 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+6
52.3%
Keith Willis Jr. run for 6 yds to the LT 34Similar
Q4 8:19
2ND & 4
OWN 34
+4
55.6%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Keith Willis Jr. for 4 yds to the LT 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
53.3%
Keith Willis Jr. run for 4 yds to the LT 42Similar
Q4 6:02
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+9
55.1%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Tru Edwards for 9 yds to the FIU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:02
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+16
56.2%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Smoke Harris for 16 yds to the FIU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:16
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
58.3%
Keith Willis Jr. run for 3 yds to the FIU 30Similar
Q4 5:16
2ND & 7
OPP 30
+2
58.3%
Keith Willis Jr. run for 2 yds to the FIU 28Similar
Q4 3:35
3RD & 5
OPP 28
+2
56.2%
Keldric Moody run for 2 yds to the FIU 26Similar
Q4 3:30
4TH & 3
OPP 26
+43
52.4%
Jacob Barnes 43 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 1:0261% → 64%
Q4 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-3
38.7%
Grayson James run for a loss of 3 yards to the FIU 23Similar
Q4 2:39
2ND & 13
OWN 23
+11
35.8%
Antonio Patterson run for 11 yds to the FIU 34Similar
Q4 2:34
3RD & 2
OWN 34
0
33.7%
Shomari Lawrence run for no gain to the FIU 34Similar
Q4 2:28
4TH & 2
OWN 34
0
35.9%
Daton Montiel punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Smoke Harris at the LT 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 23TD
8 plays · 69 yds · 1:2748% → 94%
Q4 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
47.8%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Smoke Harris for 1 yd to the LT 32Similar
Q4 2:28
2ND & 9
OWN 32
0
47.2%
Hank Bachmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:28
3RD & 9
OWN 32
+4
44.0%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Nate Jones for 4 yds to the LT 36Similar
Q4 1:59
4TH & 5
OWN 36
+12
39.0%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Cyrus Allen for 12 yds to the LT 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+20
47.1%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Jacob Fields for 20 yds to the FIU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:08
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
47.8%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Smoke Harris for 2 yds to the FIU 30Similar
Q4 1:01
2ND & 8
OPP 30
+30
94.3%
Jacob Fields 30 Yd Run (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 24INT
3 plays · -5 yds · 0:1213% → 12%
Q4 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
87.4%
Grayson James pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:01
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-5
87.6%
Florida International Penalty, False Start (Jack Daly) to the FIU 20Similar
Q4 0:49
2ND & 15
OWN 20
0
88.3%
Grayson James pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 25END OF GAME
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:4994% → 95%
Q4 0:49
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
94.2%
[SG] Kneel down by BACHMEIER, Hank at FIU41 (team loss of 2).Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 12
OPP 41
0
94.9%
[SG] Kneel down by BACHMEIER, Hank at FIU42 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 1:01
Jacob Fields 30 Yd Run (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)
+46.5
TD · Q2 3:48
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Smoke Harris for 64 yds for a TD, (Jacob Barnes KICK)
+10.1
FG · Q2 10:06
Chase Gabriel 45 yd FG GOOD
-8.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com