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UTEP

UTEP 14 at Jacksonville State 17

JXST
2023 · Week 1 · Aug 26, 2023 · AmFirst Stadium
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Win probability · JXST
modelJXST aheadUTEP aheadconfidence bandkey playJXST scoreUTEP score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDEnd of GameTD-22.8JXST 58.8%Gavin Hardison pass complete to KellyAkharaiyi for 32 yds for a TD, (BuzzFlabiano KICK)AWAY 14 - HOME 17 · Q4 12:19
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 12:19 · Gavin Hardison pass complete to Kelly Akharaiyi for 32 yds for a TD, (Buzz Flabiano KICK)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialBlowout margin
+24.0+12.00−12.0−24.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 128Home team on offense+0.4Pregame prior−1.3Garbage-time factor+0.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.5Score differential+0.8Blowout margin+0.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:00: Deion Hankins run for 1 yd for a TD, (Buzz Flabiano KICK) — UTEP win probability +11.9 pts (now 48%) (top driver: Scoring-chance index: 80%).
  2. TD · Q3 7:47: Malik Jackson run for 7 yds for a TD, (Alen Karajic KICK) — JXST win probability +14.8 pts (now 77%) (top driver: JXST has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 12:19: Gavin Hardison pass complete to Kelly Akharaiyi for 32 yds for a TD, (Buzz Flabiano KICK) — UTEP win probability +22.8 pts (now 41%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 12:19: Ron Wiggins run for 3 yds to the JVST 28 — JXST win probability +10.0 pts (now 69%) (top driver: JXST has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 1:21: Timeout UTEP, clock 01:21 — JXST win probability +11.6 pts (now 73%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
JXST made the numbers' call on 5 of 9UTEP made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 12:37JXST 4th & 12 at JXST 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.7%−0.2
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:00UTEP 4th & 3 at JXST 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 50.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    50.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    50.6%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:57JXST 4th & 7 at UTEP 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 50.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.5%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    50.6%
    70% to make
    Punt
    49.1%−1.5
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:06UTEP 4th & 7 at UTEP 42, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.5%−0.4
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.9%
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:06JXST 4th & 1 at JXST 40, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 51.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    52.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    51.2%−0.8
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:26UTEP 4th & 5 at JXST 26, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 36.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.6%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    35.6%
    64% to make
    Punt
    30.8%−4.8
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:24JXST 4th & 9 at JXST 27, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.1%−1.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.3%
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:31JXST 4th & 3 at JXST 46, up 10
    Close callPunted · 67.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.1%−0.6
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:34JXST 4th & 1 at UTEP 30, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 61.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    60.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    57.9%−3.1
    56% to make
    Punt
    56.2%−4.7
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:00UTEP 4th & 7 at UTEP 33, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.6%−2.0
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.6%
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:44UTEP 4th & 4 at UTEP 31, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.4%−1.0
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.5%
    average punt
  12. Q3 1:21JXST 4th & 2 at UTEP 26, up 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.0 ptsKicked a field goal · 80.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    79.9%−1.0
    64% to make
    Punt
    74.9%−6.0
    average punt
  13. Q4 13:35UTEP 4th & 1 at JXST 38, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 18.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    18.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    15.0%−3.4
    38% to make
    Punt
    15.0%−3.4
    average punt
  14. Q4 10:04JXST 4th & 3 at JXST 46, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.9 ptsPunted · 70.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.8%−1.9
    average punt
  15. Q4 6:35UTEP 4th & 3 at UTEP 31, down 3
    Close callPunted · 31.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.1%−0.7
    average punt
  16. Q4 4:41JXST 4th & 4 at JXST 38, up 3
    Close callPunted · 73.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.0%−0.6
    average punt
  17. Q4 1:15UTEP 4th & 1 at JXST 24, down 3
    Numbers favored field goal by 4.4 ptsWent for it · 30.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    27.7%−4.4
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    32.0%
    68% to make
    Punt
    9.9%−22.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
JXST made the numbers' call on 2 of 2UTEP made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q2 13:26JXST Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:00UTEP Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 7:47JXST Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 12:19UTEP Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    33.7%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    33.7%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
JXSTDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 2:2343% → 44%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
43.3%
Zion Webb pass complete to Michael Pettway for 5 yds to the JVST 30Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+5
43.3%
Zion Webb pass complete to Sterling Galban for 5 yds to the JVST 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
43.3%
Ron Wiggins run for 4 yds to the JVST 39Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 39
-1
43.3%
Zion Webb run for a loss of 1 yard to the JVST 38Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 38
-5
43.3%
Zion Webb sacked by Praise Amaewhule for a loss of 5 yards to the JVST 33Similar
Q1 12:37
4TH & 12
OWN 33
0
43.8%
Jack Dawson punt for 62 yds, downed at the UTEP 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 2DOWNS
10 plays · 42 yds · 4:3756% → 55%
Q1 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+1
44.0%
Deion Hankins run for 1 yd to the UTEP 6Similar
Q1 12:37
2ND & 9
OWN 6
+1
44.0%
Deion Hankins run for 1 yd to the UTEP 7Similar
Q1 12:37
3RD & 8
OWN 7
+10
44.1%
HARDISON, Gavin pass to the left incomplete intended for BALLARD, Jeremiah broken up by CARTER, Derek at the UTE17. PENALTY JSU Holding enforced 10 yards from the UTE7 to the UTE17 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+2
44.0%
Deion Hankins run for 2 yds to the UTEP 19Similar
Q1 12:37
2ND & 8
OWN 19
+4
44.0%
Mike Franklin run for 4 yds to the UTEP 23Similar
Q1 12:37
3RD & 4
OWN 23
+23
44.0%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Kelly Akharaiyi for 23 yds to the UTEP 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
43.7%
Deion Hankins run for 5 yds to the JVST 49Similar
Q1 8:50
2ND & 5
OPP 49
0
44.2%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:50
3RD & 5
OPP 49
+2
44.3%
Deion Hankins run for 2 yds to the JVST 47Similar
Q1 8:00
4TH & 3
OPP 47
-6
44.8%
Gavin Hardison sacked by Larry Worth and Curley Young Jr. for a loss of 6 yards to the UTEP 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 3FG
10 plays · 24 yds · 3:0346% → 47%
Q1 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
46.0%
Malik Jackson run for 3 yds to the UTEP 44Similar
Q1 8:00
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+6
46.0%
Zion Webb pass complete to Quinton Lane for 6 yds to the UTEP 38Similar
Q1 8:00
3RD & 1
OPP 38
+2
45.9%
Malik Jackson run for 2 yds to the UTEP 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
46.0%
Zion Webb pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:00
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+8
46.0%
Zion Webb run for 8 yds to the UTEP 28Similar
Q1 8:00
3RD & 2
OPP 28
+2
45.9%
Malik Jackson run for 2 yds to the UTEP 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+5
46.2%
Malik Jackson run for 5 yds to the UTEP 21Similar
Q1 8:00
2ND & 5
OPP 21
0
46.2%
Zion Webb pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:00
3RD & 5
OPP 21
-2
45.9%
Zion Webb pass complete to Jamarye Joiner for a loss of 2 yards to the UTEP 23Similar
Q1 4:57
4TH & 7
OPP 23
+41
47.3%
Alen Karajic 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 2:5153% → 52%
Q1 4:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
47.4%
Deion Hankins run for 7 yds to the UTEP 32Similar
Q1 4:57
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+7
46.8%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Marcus Bellon for 7 yds to the UTEP 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:57
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-10
46.8%
HANKINS, Deion rush up the middle for a loss of 2 yards to the UTE37 (HALE, Laletia;SWAIN, J-Rock). PENALTY UTE Holding on HENRY, Zuri enforced 10 yards from the UTE39 to the UTE29 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 4:57
1ST & 20
OWN 29
+11
47.4%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Mike Franklin for 11 yds to the UTEP 40Similar
Q1 4:57
2ND & 9
OWN 40
0
46.9%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:57
3RD & 9
OWN 40
+2
47.3%
Gavin Hardison run for 2 yds to the UTEP 42Similar
Q1 2:06
4TH & 7
OWN 42
0
48.4%
Joshua Sloan punt for 38 yds, downed at the JVST 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 5TD
13 plays · 80 yds · 3:4048% → 57%
Q1 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
47.8%
Ron Wiggins run for 11 yds to the JVST 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
48.0%
Zion Webb pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:06
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+5
47.8%
Sterling Galban run for 5 yds to the JVST 36Similar
Q1 2:06
3RD & 5
OWN 36
+4
47.8%
Zion Webb pass complete to Michael Pettway for 4 yds to the JVST 40Similar
Q1 2:06
4TH & 1
OWN 40
+4
47.7%
Ron Wiggins run for 4 yds to the JVST 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
48.9%
Zion Webb pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+5
49.3%
Zion Webb pass complete to Sterling Galban for 5 yds to the JVST 49Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 49
+17
49.3%
Zion Webb pass complete to Ron Wiggins for 17 yds to the UTEP 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
50.5%
Ron Wiggins run for 5 yds to the UTEP 29Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 29
0
50.5%
Zion Webb pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 29
+10
49.9%
WEBB, Zion pass deep to the right incomplete intended for CARTER, Perry thrown to the UTE5. PENALTY UTE Holding on RICHARDSON, Torey enforced 10 yards from the UTE29 to the UTE19 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+15
50.5%
Ron Wiggins run for 15 yds to the UTEP 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
56.6%
Ron Wiggins run for 4 yds for a TD, (Alen Karajic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 6MISSED FG
12 plays · 49 yds · 7:0045% → 39%
Q2 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
55.4%
Torrance Burgess Jr. run for 11 yds to the UTEP 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
54.8%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Tyrin Smith for 7 yds to the UTEP 43Similar
Q2 13:26
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+4
54.2%
Mike Franklin run for 4 yds to the UTEP 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
54.2%
Mike Franklin run for 6 yds to the JVST 47Similar
Q2 13:26
2ND & 4
OPP 47
+4
53.6%
Torrance Burgess Jr. run for 4 yds to the JVST 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:26
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
53.9%
Mike Franklin run for 2 yds to the JVST 41Similar
Q2 13:26
2ND & 8
OPP 41
+3
53.9%
Torrance Burgess Jr. run for 3 yds to the JVST 38Similar
Q2 13:26
3RD & 5
OPP 38
+7
54.1%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Jeremiah Ballard for 7 yds to the JVST 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:26
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
53.2%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:26
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+4
53.2%
Mike Franklin run for 4 yds to the JVST 27Similar
Q2 13:26
3RD & 6
OPP 27
+1
53.7%
Torrance Burgess Jr. run for 1 yd to the JVST 26Similar
Q2 6:26
4TH & 5
OPP 26
+43
60.6%
Justin Duff 43 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:0261% → 60%
Q2 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
61.3%
Jarod Bowie run for 1 yd to the JVST 27Similar
Q2 6:26
2ND & 9
OWN 27
0
61.1%
Malik Jackson run for no gain to the JVST 27Similar
Q2 6:26
3RD & 9
OWN 27
0
60.2%
Zion Webb pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:24
4TH & 9
OWN 27
0
60.4%
Jack Dawson punt for 49 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 8FUMBLE
5 plays · 32 yds · 3:0038% → 38%
Q2 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+11
61.7%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Tyrin Smith for 11 yds to the UTEP 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+26
60.7%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Kelly Akharaiyi for 26 yds to the JVST 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:24
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
58.8%
Torrance Burgess Jr. run for 5 yds to the JVST 29Similar
Q2 5:24
2ND & 5
OPP 29
+1
58.4%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Marcus Bellon for 1 yd to the JVST 28Similar
Q2 2:24
3RD & 4
OPP 28
-11
62.4%
Gavin Hardison sacked for a loss of 11 yards to the JVST 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:5367% → 66%
Q2 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
66.8%
Ron Wiggins run for 3 yds to the JVST 42Similar
Q2 2:24
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+4
67.2%
Zion Webb run for 4 yds to the JVST 46Similar
Q2 2:24
3RD & 3
OWN 46
0
66.3%
Zion Webb pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:31
4TH & 3
OWN 46
0
65.5%
Jack Dawson punt for 28 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 10TD
13 plays · 74 yds · 1:3135% → 48%
Q2 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
65.5%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:31
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+11
65.8%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Jostein Clarke for 11 yds to the UTEP 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+15
64.8%
Jacksonville State Penalty, Targeting on WORTH, Larry enforced (Larry Worth) to the JVST 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:31
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+9
61.0%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Tyrin Smith for 9 yds to the JVST 20Similar
Q2 0:27
2ND & 1
OPP 20
+5
62.9%
Deion Hankins run for 5 yds to the JVST 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:27
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-5
62.9%
UTEP Penalty, Delay Of Game (Jeremiah Ballard) to the JVST 20Similar
Q2 0:27
1ST & 15
OPP 20
0
63.5%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:27
2ND & 15
OPP 20
+6
64.2%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Torrance Burgess Jr. for 6 yds to the JVST 14Similar
Q2 0:27
3RD & 9
OPP 14
+12
64.3%
HARDISON, Gavin pass to the left incomplete intended for AKHARAIYI, Kelly broken up by MACK, Jabari at the JSU0. PENALTY JSU Pass Interference on MACK, Jabari enforced 12 yards to the JSU2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 0:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
64.3%
Deion Hankins run for 1 yd to the JVST 1Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
52.4%
Deion Hankins run for 1 yd for a TD, (Buzz Flabiano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 11INT
4 plays · 23 yds · 2:0545% → 46%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
54.7%
Deion Hankins run for 4 yds to the UTEP 29Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+20
54.0%
Deion Hankins run for 20 yds to the UTEP 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-1
51.6%
Torrance Burgess Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 48Similar
Q3 12:55
2ND & 11
OWN 48
0
53.6%
Gavin Hardison pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 12DOWNS
6 plays · 29 yds · 2:2159% → 59%
Q3 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
58.9%
Ron Wiggins run for 5 yds to the JVST 46Similar
Q3 12:55
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+15
59.5%
Zion Webb run for 15 yds to the UTEP 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:55
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
60.1%
Ron Wiggins run for 3 yds to the UTEP 36Similar
Q3 12:55
2ND & 7
OPP 36
+4
60.0%
Ron Wiggins run for 4 yds to the UTEP 32Similar
Q3 12:55
3RD & 3
OPP 32
+2
59.5%
Ron Wiggins run for 2 yds to the UTEP 30Similar
Q3 10:34
4TH & 1
OPP 30
0
58.9%
Ron Wiggins run for no gain to the UTEP 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:3444% → 41%
Q3 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
56.0%
Deion Hankins run for no gain to the UTEP 30Similar
Q3 10:34
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
56.6%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:34
3RD & 10
OWN 30
+3
57.8%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Tyrin Smith for 3 yds to the UTEP 33Similar
Q3 9:00
4TH & 7
OWN 33
0
59.3%
Joshua Sloan punt for 33 yds, downed at the JVST 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 14TD
4 plays · 66 yds · 1:1359% → 77%
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
59.1%
Malik Jackson run for no gain to the JVST 34Similar
Q3 9:00
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+15
58.8%
WEBB, Zion pass up the middle incomplete intended for JOINER, Jamarye thrown to the JSU47. PENALTY UTE Roughing the Passer on WESTMORELAND, Maurice enforced 15 yards from the JSU34 to the JSU49 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+44
61.7%
Malik Jackson run for 44 yds to the UTEP 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
76.6%
Malik Jackson run for 7 yds for a TD, (Alen Karajic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:0326% → 24%
Q3 7:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
73.7%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:47
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
73.8%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:47
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+6
74.9%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Zach Fryar for 6 yds to the UTEP 31Similar
Q3 6:44
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
75.8%
Joshua Sloan punt for 56 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 16MISSED FG
13 plays · 60 yds · 5:2376% → 80%
Q3 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+2
75.6%
Malik Jackson run for 2 yds to the JVST 16Similar
Q3 6:44
2ND & 8
OWN 16
0
75.6%
Zion Webb pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:44
3RD & 8
OWN 16
+18
74.4%
Zion Webb run for 18 yds to the JVST 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
76.1%
Malik Jackson run for 2 yds to the JVST 36Similar
Q3 6:44
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+3
76.5%
Zion Webb run for 3 yds to the JVST 39Similar
Q3 6:44
3RD & 5
OWN 39
+16
76.2%
Zion Webb pass complete to Malik Jackson for 16 yds to the UTEP 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:44
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
77.7%
Malik Jackson run for 5 yds to the UTEP 40Similar
Q3 6:44
2ND & 5
OPP 40
+1
77.7%
Malik Jackson run for 1 yd to the UTEP 39Similar
Q3 6:44
3RD & 4
OPP 39
+5
76.9%
Zion Webb run for 5 yds to the UTEP 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:44
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-2
78.0%
Zion Webb run for a loss of 2 yards to the UTEP 36Similar
Q3 6:44
2ND & 12
OPP 36
0
77.4%
Zion Webb pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:44
3RD & 12
OPP 36
+10
76.1%
Zion Webb run for 10 yds to the UTEP 26Similar
Q3 1:21
4TH & 2
OPP 26
+44
80.1%
Alen Karajic 44 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 17TD
9 plays · 74 yds · 4:0221% → 41%
Q3 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+8
79.0%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Tyrin Smith for 8 yds to the UTEP 34Similar
Q3 1:21
2ND & 2
OWN 34
+19
77.4%
Torrance Burgess Jr. run for 19 yds to the JVST 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+6
78.2%
Gavin Hardison run for 6 yds to the JVST 41Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 41
0
77.7%
Deion Hankins run for no gain to the JVST 41Similar
Q4 13:35
3RD & 4
OPP 41
+3
82.0%
Deion Hankins run for 3 yds to the JVST 38Similar
Q4 13:35
4TH & 1
OPP 38
+2
83.0%
Deion Hankins run for 2 yds to the JVST 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:35
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
81.6%
Gavin Hardison run for 4 yds to the JVST 32Similar
Q4 12:19
2ND & 6
OPP 32
+32
58.8%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Kelly Akharaiyi for 32 yds for a TD, (Buzz Flabiano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 2:1569% → 72%
Q4 12:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
68.8%
Ron Wiggins run for 3 yds to the JVST 28Similar
Q4 12:19
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+4
69.1%
Zion Webb pass complete to Michael Pettway for 4 yds to the JVST 32Similar
Q4 12:19
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+7
68.3%
Zion Webb pass complete to Ron Wiggins for 7 yds to the JVST 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:19
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
70.5%
Sterling Galban run for 4 yds to the JVST 43Similar
Q4 12:19
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+3
71.6%
Malik Jackson run for 3 yds to the JVST 46Similar
Q4 12:19
3RD & 3
OWN 46
0
70.7%
Zion Webb pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:04
4TH & 3
OWN 46
0
71.9%
Jack Dawson punt for 40 yds, fair catch by AJ Odums at the UTEP 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 3:2933% → 30%
Q4 10:04
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
67.3%
Mike Franklin run for no gain to the UTEP 14Similar
Q4 10:04
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+9
67.6%
Gavin Hardison run for 9 yds to the UTEP 23Similar
Q4 10:04
3RD & 1
OWN 23
+1
67.3%
Gavin Hardison run for 1 yd to the UTEP 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:04
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
66.9%
Torrance Burgess Jr. run for 3 yds to the UTEP 27Similar
Q4 10:04
2ND & 7
OWN 27
+4
66.5%
Torrance Burgess Jr. run for 4 yds to the UTEP 31Similar
Q4 10:04
3RD & 3
OWN 31
0
66.7%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:35
4TH & 3
OWN 31
0
69.8%
Joshua Sloan punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:5475% → 76%
Q4 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
74.6%
Logan Smothers run for 3 yds to the JVST 35Similar
Q4 6:35
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+1
74.8%
Logan Smothers run for 1 yd to the JVST 36Similar
Q4 6:35
3RD & 6
OWN 36
+2
73.7%
Logan Smothers run for 2 yds to the JVST 38Similar
Q4 4:41
4TH & 4
OWN 38
0
75.6%
Jack Dawson punt for 50 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 21DOWNS
11 plays · 66 yds · 3:2630% → 19%
Q4 4:41
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+4
70.0%
Mike Franklin run for 4 yds to the UTEP 16Similar
Q4 4:41
2ND & 6
OWN 16
+15
70.0%
Jacksonville State Penalty, Personal Foul (Chris Hardie) to the UTEP 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:41
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+21
68.1%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Kelly Akharaiyi for 21 yds to the JVST 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:41
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
62.7%
Torrance Burgess Jr. run for no gain to the JVST 44Similar
Q4 4:41
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+11
63.1%
Gavin Hardison run for 11 yds to the JVST 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:41
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+6
61.0%
Torrance Burgess Jr. run for 6 yds to the JVST 27Similar
Q4 1:21
2ND & 4
OPP 27
+3
70.4%
Torrance Burgess Jr. run for 3 yds to the JVST 24Similar
Q4 1:21
3RD & 1
OPP 24
0
72.6%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:15
4TH & 1
OPP 24
0
81.5%
Gavin Hardison pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 22END OF GAME
2 plays · -2 yds · 1:1591% → 96%
Q4 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
90.7%
[NH] Kneel down by WEBB, Zion at JSU21 (team loss of 1).Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 11
OWN 21
0
95.6%
[NH] Kneel down by WEBB, Zion at JSU20 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 12:19
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Kelly Akharaiyi for 32 yds for a TD, (Buzz Flabiano KICK)
-22.8
TD · Q3 7:47
Malik Jackson run for 7 yds for a TD, (Alen Karajic KICK)
+14.8
TD · Q2 0:00
Deion Hankins run for 1 yd for a TD, (Buzz Flabiano KICK)
-11.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com