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AKR

Akron 22 at Buffalo 23

BUF
2022 · Week 14 · Dec 2, 2022 · UB Stadium
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Win probability · BUF
modelBUF aheadAKR aheadconfidence bandkey playBUF scoreAKR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 8:25 · A.Venneri punts 35 yards to AKR 11, Center-E.Davie. Fair catch by B.Golden.
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+31.0+15.50−15.5−31.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 91Pregame prior+13.2Home team on offense−7.1Garbage-time factor−3.7Score differential−2.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 7:44: J.Undercuffler pass complete to BUF 16. Catch made by D.George at BUF 16. Gain of 16 yards. D.George for 16 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — AKR win probability +2.0 pts (now 23%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 12:26: J.Undercuffler pass complete to BUF 1. Catch made by A.Adams at BUF 1. Gain of 1 yards. A.Adams for 1 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — AKR win probability +0.9 pts (now 32%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 9:26: A.McNulty 43 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-E.Davie, Holder-J.Baltar. — AKR win probability +1.5 pts (now 32%) (top driver: BUF has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 9:29: M.Washington rushed to AKR 29 for -5 yards. Tackled by K.Martin; V.Jones at AKR 29. — BUF win probability +19.2 pts (now 40%) (top driver: BUF has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:21: C.Snyder pass complete to AKR 16. Catch made by Q.Williams at AKR 16. Gain of 16 yards. Q.Williams for 16 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the runner broke the plane and the play was upheld. — AKR win probability +4.4 pts (now 82%) (top driver: BUF has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BUF made the numbers' call on 9 of 10AKR made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 11:40BUF 4th & 2 at AKR 4, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 78.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    78.7%
    50% to convert
    Field goal
    78.6%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    78.1%−0.6
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:02AKR 4th & 9 at AKR 45, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.7%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:25BUF 4th & 9 at BUF 22, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.6%−0.4
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.0%
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:54AKR 4th & 4 at BUF 44, up 7
    Close callPunted · 29.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    28.6%−0.8
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    29.1%−0.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:58AKR 4th & 9 at AKR 44, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.5%−0.5
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:13BUF 4th & 3 at AKR 33, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 67.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    67.7%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    66.5%−1.2
    49% to make
    Punt
    65.9%−1.8
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:26BUF 4th & 10 at AKR 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 66.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.7%−0.6
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    66.3%
    66% to make
    Punt
    61.3%−4.9
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:19AKR 4th & 8 at BUF 43, up 7
    Close callPunted · 39.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.6%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    38.7%−0.9
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    39.1%−0.5
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:07BUF 4th & 4 at BUF 13, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.9%−0.7
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.6%
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:22AKR 4th & 6 at BUF 24, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 46.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.3%−0.4
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    45.7%
    68% to make
    Punt
    41.3%−4.4
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:21AKR 4th & 18 at AKR 48, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.1%−3.5
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.6%
    average punt
  12. Q3 8:25BUF 4th & 7 at AKR 46, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.5%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    47.9%−2.8
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    50.7%
    average punt
  13. Q3 7:04AKR 4th & 10 at AKR 11, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.6%−3.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.7%
    average punt
  14. Q3 4:47BUF 4th & 1 at AKR 21, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 48.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    48.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    44.2%−4.0
    74% to make
    Punt
    31.9%−16.3
    average punt
  15. Q3 2:22AKR 4th & 20 at AKR 25, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.7%−5.1
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.8%
    average punt
  16. Q3 1:05BUF 4th & 2 at AKR 46, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.0 ptsPunted · 44.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    39.8%−6.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    42.8%−3.0
    average punt
  17. Q4 7:13BUF 4th & 21 at AKR 35, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 27.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.4%−3.6
    9% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    27.0%
    45% to make
    Punt
    24.3%−2.7
    average punt
  18. Q4 4:55AKR 4th & 9 at BUF 45, up 7
    Close callPunted · 83.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.1%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    81.4%−1.6
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    83.0%−0.1
    average punt
  19. Q4 1:21BUF 4th & 10 at AKR 16, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 17.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.7%
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    11.7%−2.9
    81% to make
    Punt
    8.6%−6.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
AKR made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 7:44AKR Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    24.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    24.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BUFDrive 1DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 2:0681% → 81%
Q1 13:46
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+1
81.3%
M.Washington rushed to AKR 11 for 1 yards. Tackled by R.Holt at AKR 11.Similar
Q1 13:25
2ND & 9
OPP 11
+5
81.2%
C.Snyder rushed to AKR 6 for 5 yards. Tackled by K.Martin; B.Arslanian at AKR 6.Similar
Q1 12:38
3RD & 4
OPP 6
+2
81.0%
M.Washington rushed to AKR 4 for 2 yards. Tackled by R.Hence; B.Arslanian at AKR 4.Similar
Q1 11:40
4TH & 2
OPP 4
+1
80.7%
C.Snyder rushed to AKR 3 for 1 yards. Tackled by N.Thompson; R.Holt at AKR 3.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 2TD
12 plays · 97 yds · 3:3020% → 23%
Q1 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 3
0
80.4%
J.Undercuffler pass complete to AKR 3. Catch made by S.Jacques-Louis at AKR 3. Gain of yards. Tackled by C.Offord at AKR 26. PENALTY on AKR-A.Whigan, Ineligible Downfield Pass, 1 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q1 11:11
1ST & 11
OWN 2
+17
80.4%
J.Undercuffler pass complete to AKR 2. Catch made by D.George at AKR 2. Gain of 17 yards. Pushed out of bounds by I.King at AKR 19.Similar
Q1 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
80.4%
J.Undercuffler steps back to pass. J.Undercuffler pass incomplete intended for S.Jacques-Louis.Similar
Q1 11:04
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+4
80.4%
C.Price rushed to AKR 23 for 4 yards. Tackled by G.Wolo at AKR 23.Similar
Q1 10:28
3RD & 6
OWN 23
+12
80.3%
J.Undercuffler pass complete to AKR 23. Catch made by S.Jacques-Louis at AKR 23. Gain of 12 yards. Tackled by C.Offord at AKR 35.Similar
Q1 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+29
79.9%
J.Undercuffler pass complete to AKR 35. Catch made by D.George at AKR 35. Gain of 29 yards. Pushed out of bounds by J.Muse at BUF 36.Similar
Q1 9:28
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-5
79.5%
J.Undercuffler pass complete to BUF 36. Catch made by C.Price at BUF 36. Gain of -5 yards. Tackled by K.Cobb at BUF 41.Similar
Q1 8:54
2ND & 15
OPP 41
+8
79.4%
J.Undercuffler pass complete to BUF 41. Catch made by T.Brank at BUF 41. Gain of 8 yards. Tackled by S.Dolac; K.Cobb at BUF 33.Similar
Q1 8:18
3RD & 7
OPP 33
+17
79.1%
J.Undercuffler pass complete to BUF 33. Catch made by S.Jacques-Louis at BUF 33. Gain of 17 yards. Tackled by D.Jackson at BUF 16.Similar
Q1 7:53
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
78.7%
J.Undercuffler steps back to pass. J.Undercuffler pass incomplete intended for AKR.Similar
Q1 7:44
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+16
76.7%
J.Undercuffler pass complete to BUF 16. Catch made by D.George at BUF 16. Gain of 16 yards. D.George for 16 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:1124% → 24%
Q1 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
76.5%
J.Undercuffler steps back to pass. J.Undercuffler pass incomplete intended for S.Jacques-Louis.Similar
Q1 7:02
2ND & 10
OWN 44
-7
76.4%
J.Undercuffler pass complete to AKR 44. Catch made by A.Adams at AKR 44. Gain of -7 yards. Tackled by J.Patterson at AKR 37.Similar
Q1 6:39
3RD & 17
OWN 37
+8
76.7%
J.Undercuffler pass complete to AKR 37. Catch made by C.Anderson at AKR 37. Gain of 8 yards. Tackled by K.Cobb; M.Fuqua at AKR 45.Similar
Q1 6:02
4TH & 9
OWN 45
+34
76.3%
N.Gettman punts 34 yards to BUF 21, Center-K.Bauman. Fair catch by C.Baker.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:2976% → 75%
Q1 5:54
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
76.3%
C.Snyder steps back to pass. C.Snyder pass incomplete intended for M.Johnson.Similar
Q1 5:48
2ND & 10
OWN 21
-1
76.2%
C.Snyder pass complete to BUF 21. Catch made by J.Gassett at BUF 21. Gain of -1 yards. Tackled by N.Thompson; K.Martin at BUF 20.Similar
Q1 5:08
3RD & 11
OWN 20
+5
75.5%
PENALTY on BUF-M.Washington, False Start, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q1 4:58
3RD & 16
OWN 15
+7
75.4%
C.Snyder pass complete to BUF 15. Catch made by M.Washington at BUF 15. Gain of 7 yards. Tackled by B.Arslanian at BUF 22.Similar
Q1 4:25
4TH & 9
OWN 22
+50
74.9%
A.Venneri punts 50 yards to AKR 28, Center-E.Davie. B.Golden returned punt from the AKR 28. Tackled by C.Harrity at AKR 28.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 28 yds · 2:2225% → 27%
Q1 4:16
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
74.9%
C.Price rushed to AKR 31 for 3 yards. Tackled by J.Muse at AKR 31.Similar
Q1 3:35
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+19
74.3%
C.Price rushed to AKR 50 for 19 yards. Tackled by I.King; M.Fuqua at AKR 50.Similar
Q1 3:09
1ST & 10
OPP 0
+5
73.3%
J.Undercuffler pass complete to AKR 50. Catch made by D.George at AKR 50. Gain of 5 yards. Tackled by M.Fuqua at BUF 45.Similar
Q1 2:34
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+1
72.8%
C.Price rushed to BUF 44 for 1 yards. Tackled by J.Patterson; I.Kante at BUF 44.Similar
Q1 2:00
3RD & 4
OPP 44
0
72.6%
J.Undercuffler steps back to pass. J.Undercuffler pass incomplete intended for C.Anderson.Similar
Q1 1:54
4TH & 4
OPP 44
+44
72.8%
N.Gettman punts 44 yards to BUF End Zone, Center-K.Bauman. Touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:0229% → 29%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
70.8%
C.Price rushed to AKR 46 for 3 yards. Tackled by D.Folsom at AKR 46.Similar
Q2 14:39
2ND & 7
OWN 46
0
70.5%
J.Undercuffler steps back to pass. J.Undercuffler pass incomplete intended for T.Banks.Similar
Q2 14:38
3RD & 7
OWN 46
-2
70.7%
J.Undercuffler steps back to pass. J.Undercuffler sacked at AKR 44 for -2 yards (C.Bazile)Similar
Q2 13:58
4TH & 9
OWN 44
+33
71.3%
N.Gettman punts 33 yards to BUF 23, Center-K.Bauman. Downed by AKR.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 7FUMBLE
1 play · 3 yds · 0:0071% → 71%
Q2 13:48
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
71.3%
M.Washington rushed to BUF 26 for 3 yards. M.Washington FUMBLES, forced by A.Behm. Fumble RECOVERED by AKR-D.Lewis at BUF 26.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 8TD
4 plays · 26 yds · 1:1331% → 32%
Q2 13:39
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
69.3%
J.Undercuffler steps back to pass. J.Undercuffler pass incomplete intended for T.Brank.Similar
Q2 13:34
2ND & 10
OPP 26
0
69.3%
C.Price rushed to BUF 26 for 0 yards. Tackled by S.Dolac; J.Patterson at BUF 26.Similar
Q2 12:56
3RD & 10
OPP 26
+25
69.1%
J.Undercuffler pass complete to BUF 26. Catch made by S.Jacques-Louis at BUF 26. Gain of 25 yards. Pushed out of bounds by M.Fuqua at BUF 1.Similar
Q2 12:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
68.2%
J.Undercuffler pass complete to BUF 1. Catch made by A.Adams at BUF 1. Gain of 1 yards. A.Adams for 1 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 9FG
9 plays · 48 yds · 2:4270% → 68%
Q2 12:08
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+33
70.2%
C.Snyder pass complete to BUF 27. Catch made by C.Harrity at BUF 27. Gain of 33 yards. Tackled by R.Hence at AKR 40.Similar
Q2 11:57
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+7
71.7%
C.Snyder rushed to AKR 33 for 7 yards. Tackled by R.Holt; A.Behm at AKR 33.Similar
Q2 11:17
2ND & 3
OPP 33
0
72.0%
M.Scott rushed to AKR 33 for 0 yards. Tackled by B.Arslanian at AKR 33.Similar
Q2 10:28
3RD & 3
OPP 33
0
70.7%
B.Plummer steps back to pass. B.Plummer pass incomplete intended for T.Ahmed.Similar
Q2 10:13
4TH & 3
OPP 33
+8
69.5%
C.Snyder pass complete to AKR 33. Catch made by J.Ruiz-Navarro at AKR 33. Gain of 8 yards. Tackled by K.Martin at AKR 25.Similar
Q2 9:40
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
70.7%
C.Snyder steps back to pass. C.Snyder pass incomplete intended for BUF.Similar
Q2 9:34
2ND & 10
OPP 25
0
70.6%
C.Snyder steps back to pass. C.Snyder pass incomplete intended for BUF.Similar
Q2 9:31
3RD & 10
OPP 25
0
69.5%
C.Snyder steps back to pass. C.Snyder pass incomplete intended for J.Ruiz-Navarro.Similar
Q2 9:26
4TH & 10
OPP 25
+43
68.0%
A.McNulty 43 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-E.Davie, Holder-J.Baltar.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 10PUNT
9 plays · 25 yds · 3:5734% → 38%
Q2 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+11
66.5%
C.Price rushed to AKR 43 for 11 yards. Tackled by M.Fuqua; K.Cobb at AKR 43.Similar
Q2 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
65.3%
C.Price rushed to AKR 43 for 0 yards. Tackled by J.Patterson at AKR 43.Similar
Q2 8:04
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+6
63.8%
J.Undercuffler rushed to AKR 49 for 6 yards. Tackled by S.Dolac at AKR 49.Similar
Q2 7:14
3RD & 4
OWN 49
+6
62.7%
J.Undercuffler pass complete to AKR 49. Catch made by C.Price at AKR 49. Gain of 6 yards. Tackled by J.Patterson at BUF 45.Similar
Q2 6:51
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-5
61.8%
J.Undercuffler pass complete to BUF 45. Catch made by A.Adams at BUF 45. Gain of -5 yards. Tackled by C.Bazile at BUF 50.Similar
Q2 6:11
2ND & 15
OPP 0
0
61.0%
J.Undercuffler steps back to pass. J.Undercuffler pass incomplete intended for S.Jacques-Louis.Similar
Q2 6:00
3RD & 15
OPP 0
+7
61.3%
J.Undercuffler pass complete to BUF 50. Catch made by C.Price at BUF 50. Gain of 7 yards. Tackled by S.Dolac; I.Kante at BUF 43.Similar
Q2 5:19
4TH & 8
OPP 43
+36
62.0%
N.Gettman punts 36 yards to BUF 7, Center-K.Bauman. Fair catch by C.Baker.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 2:0363% → 60%
Q2 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+3
62.8%
M.Scott rushed to BUF 10 for 3 yards. Tackled by B.Arslanian at BUF 10.Similar
Q2 4:32
2ND & 7
OWN 10
+5
62.3%
C.Snyder pass complete to BUF 10. Catch made by J.Ruiz-Navarro at BUF 10. Gain of 5 yards. Tackled by R.Hence at BUF 15.Similar
Q2 3:49
3RD & 2
OWN 15
-2
60.9%
B.Plummer rushed to BUF 13 for -2 yards. Tackled by B.Arslanian at BUF 13.Similar
Q2 3:07
4TH & 4
OWN 13
+41
59.6%
A.Venneri punts 41 yards to AKR 46, Center-E.Davie. B.Golden returned punt from the AKR 46. Tackled by R.Mangas at BUF 28.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 12MISSED FG
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:3144% → 44%
Q2 2:53
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-2
55.8%
C.Price rushed to BUF 30 for -2 yards. Tackled by J.Bass at BUF 30.Similar
Q2 2:15
2ND & 12
OPP 30
+6
55.3%
J.Undercuffler pass complete to BUF 30. Catch made by C.Price at BUF 30. Gain of 6 yards. Tackled by K.Cobb; J.Patterson at BUF 24.Similar
Q2 1:30
3RD & 6
OPP 24
0
54.0%
J.Undercuffler steps back to pass. J.Undercuffler pass incomplete intended for S.Jacques-Louis.Similar
Q2 1:22
4TH & 6
OPP 24
0
55.7%
C.Smigel 42 yard field goal attempt is no good, Center-K.Bauman, Holder-N.Gettman.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 13TD
6 plays · 76 yds · 0:3459% → 62%
Q2 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+17
59.2%
C.Snyder pass complete to BUF 24. Catch made by M.Washington at BUF 24. Gain of 17 yards. Tackled by T.Durant at BUF 41.Similar
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
61.1%
B.Plummer steps back to pass. C.Snyder pass incomplete intended for Q.Williams.Similar
Q2 1:06
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
60.1%
C.Snyder steps back to pass. C.Snyder pass incomplete intended for Q.Williams. PENALTY on AKR-V.Jones, Unnecessary Roughness / Defense, 15 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q2 1:03
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
62.5%
C.Snyder steps back to pass. C.Snyder pass incomplete intended for C.Harrity.Similar
Q2 0:57
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+6
62.0%
C.Snyder pass complete to AKR 44. Catch made by M.Washington at AKR 44. Gain of 6 yards. Tackled by AKR at AKR 38.Similar
Q2 0:42
3RD & 4
OPP 38
+38
61.9%
C.Snyder pass complete to AKR 38. Catch made by J.Marshall at AKR 38. Gain of 38 yards. J.Marshall for 38 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 14END OF HALF
5 plays · 26 yds · 0:1544% → 47%
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
55.9%
J.Undercuffler steps back to pass. J.Undercuffler pass incomplete intended for C.Price.Similar
Q2 0:27
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
56.3%
J.Undercuffler pass complete to AKR 25. Catch made by D.George at AKR 25. Gain of 8 yards. Pushed out of bounds by I.King at AKR 33.Similar
Q2 0:22
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+16
55.2%
C.Price rushed to AKR 49 for 16 yards. Tackled by S.Dolac at AKR 49.Similar
Q2 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
53.2%
J.Undercuffler pass complete to AKR 49. Catch made by T.Banks at AKR 49. Gain of 2 yards. Tackled by J.Patterson at BUF 49.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 28 yds · 2:5546% → 48%
Q3 13:16
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+25
54.1%
J.Undercuffler pass complete to AKR 20. Catch made by D.George at AKR 20. Gain of 25 yards. Tackled by C.Offord at AKR 45.Similar
Q3 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
51.1%
C.Price rushed to AKR 49 for 4 yards. Tackled by J.Muse; S.Dolac at AKR 49.Similar
Q3 12:13
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+7
50.6%
J.Undercuffler pass complete to AKR 49. Catch made by S.Jacques-Louis at AKR 49. Gain of 7 yards. Tackled by BUF at BUF 44.Similar
Q3 11:52
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
49.5%
J.Undercuffler pass complete to BUF 44. Catch made by D.George at BUF 44. Gain of 0 yards. Tackled by K.Cobb at BUF 44.Similar
Q3 11:12
2ND & 10
OPP 44
0
48.8%
C.Price rushed to BUF 44 for 0 yards. Tackled by J.Patterson at BUF 44.Similar
Q3 10:21
3RD & 10
OPP 44
-8
48.5%
J.Undercuffler steps back to pass. J.Undercuffler sacked at AKR 48 for -8 yards (S.Dolac) PENALTY on AKR-J.Undercuffler, Intentional Grounding, 0 yards, accepted.Similar
Q3 10:21
4TH & 18
OWN 48
+30
52.1%
N.Gettman punts 30 yards to BUF 22, Center-K.Bauman. Fair catch by C.Baker.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 32 yds · 1:4953% → 51%
Q3 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
52.6%
C.Snyder steps back to pass. C.Snyder pass incomplete intended for Q.Williams.Similar
Q3 10:08
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+16
52.4%
C.Snyder pass complete to BUF 22. Catch made by M.Washington at BUF 22. Gain of 16 yards. Pushed out of bounds by K.Martin at BUF 38.Similar
Q3 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+13
53.5%
M.Scott rushed to AKR 49 for 13 yards. Tackled by N.Thompson at AKR 49.Similar
Q3 9:10
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
55.8%
M.Scott rushed to AKR 46 for 3 yards. Tackled by B.Arslanian; N.Thompson at AKR 46.Similar
Q3 8:37
2ND & 7
OPP 46
0
55.5%
C.Snyder steps back to pass. C.Snyder pass incomplete intended for T.Borland.Similar
Q3 8:32
3RD & 7
OPP 46
0
54.3%
C.Snyder steps back to pass. C.Snyder pass incomplete intended for M.Johnson.Similar
Q3 8:25
4TH & 7
OPP 46
+35
50.9%
A.Venneri punts 35 yards to AKR 11, Center-E.Davie. Fair catch by B.Golden.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:1551% → 51%
Q3 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
49.4%
C.Price rushed to AKR 11 for 0 yards. Tackled by J.Muse at AKR 11.Similar
Q3 7:46
2ND & 10
OWN 11
0
48.0%
C.Price rushed to AKR 11 for 0 yards. Tackled by C.Bazile at AKR 11.Similar
Q3 7:09
3RD & 10
OWN 11
0
48.3%
J.Undercuffler steps back to pass. J.Undercuffler pass incomplete intended for D.George.Similar
Q3 7:04
4TH & 10
OWN 11
+31
49.3%
N.Gettman punts 31 yards to AKR 42, Center-K.Bauman. Fair catch by C.Baker.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 18TD
9 plays · 42 yds · 3:2454% → 53%
Q3 6:58
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
54.1%
M.Washington rushed to AKR 40 for 2 yards. Tackled by Z.Morton; B.Arslanian at AKR 40.Similar
Q3 6:23
2ND & 8
OPP 40
+10
53.6%
C.Snyder pass complete to AKR 40. Catch made by J.Marshall at AKR 40. Gain of 10 yards. Tackled by T.Durant at AKR 30.Similar
Q3 5:56
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
55.0%
C.Snyder steps back to pass. C.Snyder pass incomplete intended for J.Marshall. PENALTY on BUF-T.Doty, Ineligible Downfield Pass, 5 yards, declined.Similar
Q3 5:49
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+9
54.7%
C.Snyder pass complete to AKR 30. Catch made by M.Washington at AKR 30. Gain of 9 yards. Pushed out of bounds by V.Jones at AKR 21.Similar
Q3 5:16
3RD & 1
OPP 21
0
52.6%
M.Washington rushed to AKR 21 for 0 yards. Tackled by T.Terry; Z.Morton at AKR 21.Similar
Q3 4:47
4TH & 1
OPP 21
+2
49.8%
C.Snyder rushed to AKR 19 for 2 yards. Tackled by R.Holt at AKR 19.Similar
Q3 4:19
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
53.4%
C.Snyder steps back to pass. C.Snyder pass incomplete intended for J.Marshall. PENALTY on AKR-T.Durant, Defensive Pass Interference, 10 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q3 4:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
53.3%
M.Washington rushed to AKR 6 for 3 yards. M.Washington FUMBLES. Fumble RECOVERED by BUF-M.Washington at AKR 6. Tackled by AKR at AKR 6.Similar
Q3 3:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
52.7%
C.Snyder pass complete to AKR 6. Catch made by J.Marshall at AKR 6. Gain of 6 yards. J.Marshall for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 0 yds · 1:0959% → 57%
Q3 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
41.0%
J.Undercuffler steps back to pass. J.Undercuffler pass incomplete intended for D.George.Similar
Q3 3:27
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
41.7%
J.Undercuffler steps back to pass. J.Undercuffler pass incomplete intended for A.Adams. PENALTY on BUF-C.Offord, Defensive Holding, 10 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q3 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
39.9%
C.Price rushed to AKR 35 for 0 yards. Tackled by J.Patterson; S.Dolac at AKR 35.Similar
Q3 2:50
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-10
39.9%
J.Undercuffler steps back to pass. J.Undercuffler sacked at AKR 25 for -10 yards (D.Williams)Similar
Q3 2:29
3RD & 20
OWN 25
0
41.9%
R.Jankowski steps back to pass. R.Jankowski pass incomplete intended for S.Jacques-Louis.Similar
Q3 2:22
4TH & 20
OWN 25
+29
43.0%
N.Gettman punts 29 yards to BUF 46, Center-K.Bauman. Fair catch by C.Baker.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:1048% → 46%
Q3 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
48.2%
M.Washington rushed to BUF 49 for 3 yards. Tackled by B.Arslanian; T.Terry at BUF 49.Similar
Q3 1:45
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+5
48.6%
M.Washington rushed to AKR 46 for 5 yards. Tackled by B.Arslanian; V.Jones at AKR 46.Similar
Q3 1:11
3RD & 2
OPP 46
0
48.3%
C.Snyder steps back to pass. C.Snyder pass incomplete intended for BUF.Similar
Q3 1:05
4TH & 2
OPP 46
+39
45.7%
A.Venneri punts 39 yards to AKR 7, Center-E.Davie. Fair catch by B.Golden.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 21TD
12 plays · 93 yds · 4:1561% → 74%
Q3 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+33
39.5%
J.Undercuffler pass complete to AKR 7. Catch made by S.Jacques-Louis at AKR 7. Gain of 33 yards. Tackled by J.Muse at AKR 40. PENALTY on BUF-I.King, Defensive Pass Interference, 15 yards, declined.Similar
Q3 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
35.3%
J.Undercuffler pass complete to AKR 40. Catch made by T.Georges at AKR 40. Gain of 0 yards. Tackled by BUF at AKR 40.Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+7
34.6%
R.Jankowski pass complete to AKR 40. Catch made by A.Adams at AKR 40. Gain of 7 yards. Tackled by K.Cobb at AKR 47.Similar
Q4 14:21
3RD & 3
OWN 47
+4
31.6%
J.Undercuffler pass complete to AKR 47. Catch made by T.Banks at AKR 47. Gain of 4 yards. Tackled by J.Muse at BUF 49.Similar
Q4 14:07
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
29.7%
J.Undercuffler steps back to pass. J.Undercuffler pass incomplete intended for A.Adams.Similar
Q4 14:01
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+6
29.7%
J.Undercuffler pass complete to BUF 49. Catch made by T.Banks at BUF 49. Gain of 6 yards. Tackled by K.Cobb at BUF 43.Similar
Q4 13:21
3RD & 4
OPP 43
+19
29.5%
J.Undercuffler pass complete to BUF 43. Catch made by A.Adams at BUF 43. Gain of 19 yards. Pushed out of bounds by I.King at BUF 24.Similar
Q4 12:36
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-8
27.2%
J.Undercuffler steps back to pass. J.Undercuffler sacked at BUF 32 for -8 yards (S.Dolac)Similar
Q4 11:50
2ND & 18
OPP 32
0
27.2%
J.Undercuffler steps back to pass. J.Undercuffler pass incomplete intended for A.Adams. PENALTY on BUF-M.Fuqua, Defensive Pass Interference, 15 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q4 11:43
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
26.4%
C.Price rushed to BUF End Zone for 17 yards. C.Price for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 22MISSED FG
10 plays · 38 yds · 4:1836% → 27%
Q4 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
36.0%
C.Snyder pass complete to BUF 27. Catch made by M.Washington at BUF 27. Gain of 0 yards. Tackled by T.Terry at BUF 27.Similar
Q4 10:54
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+2
34.8%
M.Washington rushed to BUF 29 for 2 yards. Tackled by Z.Morton; K.Martin at BUF 29.Similar
Q4 10:12
3RD & 8
OWN 29
0
30.8%
C.Snyder steps back to pass. C.Snyder pass incomplete intended for J.Ruiz-Navarro. PENALTY on AKR-T.Durant, Defensive Pass Interference, 13 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q4 10:09
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
35.5%
C.Snyder steps back to pass. C.Snyder pass incomplete intended for J.Marshall. PENALTY on AKR-T.Durant, Defensive Pass Interference, 15 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q4 10:03
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
38.0%
T.Ahmed rushed to AKR 39 for 4 yards. Tackled by T.Terry at AKR 39.Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 6
OPP 39
0
21.0%
C.Snyder steps back to pass. C.Snyder pass incomplete intended for J.Marshall. PENALTY on AKR-K.Martin, Unsportsmanlike Conduct / Defense, 15 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q4 9:29
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-5
40.2%
M.Washington rushed to AKR 29 for -5 yards. Tackled by K.Martin; V.Jones at AKR 29.Similar
Q4 8:42
2ND & 15
OPP 29
0
36.7%
C.Snyder pass complete to AKR 29. Catch made by M.Washington at AKR 29. Gain of 0 yards. Tackled by J.Woods; R.Hence at AKR 29.Similar
Q4 7:55
3RD & 15
OPP 29
-6
32.4%
C.Snyder steps back to pass. C.Snyder sacked at AKR 35 for -6 yards (Z.Morton)Similar
Q4 7:13
4TH & 21
OPP 35
0
27.4%
A.McNulty 53 yard field goal attempt is no good, Center-E.Davie, Holder-J.Baltar.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 23PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 2:1378% → 83%
Q4 7:08
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
21.9%
C.Price rushed to AKR 39 for 4 yards. Tackled by M.Fuqua; S.Dolac at AKR 39.Similar
Q4 6:27
2ND & 6
OWN 39
0
19.1%
J.Undercuffler steps back to pass. J.Undercuffler pass incomplete intended for D.George.Similar
Q4 6:23
3RD & 6
OWN 39
0
19.6%
J.Undercuffler steps back to pass. J.Undercuffler sacked at AKR 37 for yards (D.Folsom) PENALTY on BUF-D.Folsom, Personal Foul / Defense, 15 yards, declined. PENALTY on BUF-D.Folsom, Personal Foul / Defense, 15 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q4 5:58
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
16.3%
C.Price rushed to BUF 45 for 1 yards. C.Price FUMBLES, forced by M.Michel. Fumble RECOVERED by AKR-C.Price at BUF 45. Tackled by D.Williams at BUF 45.Similar
Q4 5:16
2ND & 9
OPP 45
0
13.9%
J.Undercuffler steps back to pass. J.Undercuffler pass incomplete intended for S.Jacques-Louis.Similar
Q4 5:08
3RD & 9
OPP 45
0
14.5%
J.Undercuffler steps back to pass. J.Undercuffler pass incomplete intended for AKR.Similar
Q4 4:55
4TH & 9
OPP 45
+45
16.6%
N.Gettman punts 45 yards to BUF End Zone, Center-K.Bauman. Touchback. PENALTY on BUF-T.Ahmed, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, accepted. The Replay Official reviewed the touchback and the play was upheld.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 24INT
5 plays · 26 yds · 1:2524% → 25%
Q4 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
23.5%
C.Snyder steps back to pass. C.Snyder pass incomplete intended for M.Washington.Similar
Q4 4:51
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+3
22.9%
C.Snyder pass complete to BUF 10. Catch made by M.Washington at BUF 10. Gain of 3 yards. Tackled by T.Terry at BUF 13.Similar
Q4 4:19
3RD & 7
OWN 13
+5
21.8%
PENALTY on BUF-D.Bessent, False Start, 5 yards, accepted.Similar
Q4 4:02
3RD & 12
OWN 8
+28
21.0%
C.Snyder pass complete to BUF 8. Catch made by R.Embry at BUF 8. Gain of 28 yards. Tackled by J.Woods at BUF 36.Similar
Q4 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-8
24.7%
C.Snyder pass INTERCEPTED at AKR 30. Intercepted by T.Durant at AKR 30. Tackled by BUF at BUF 38.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 25TD
8 plays · 55 yds · 1:4626% → 18%
Q4 3:07
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+14
26.0%
C.Snyder pass complete to BUF 40. Catch made by Q.Williams at BUF 40. Gain of 14 yards. Q.Williams ran out of bounds.Similar
Q4 2:34
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
26.7%
C.Snyder pass complete to AKR 46. Catch made by M.Johnson at AKR 46. Gain of 6 yards. Pushed out of bounds by J.Woods at AKR 40.Similar
Q4 2:07
2ND & 4
OPP 40
+14
24.6%
C.Snyder pass complete to AKR 40. Catch made by T.Borland at AKR 40. Gain of 14 yards. Pushed out of bounds by T.Durant at AKR 26.Similar
Q4 1:38
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+10
28.2%
C.Snyder pass complete to AKR 26. Catch made by J.Marshall at AKR 26. Gain of 10 yards. Pushed out of bounds by D.Lewis at AKR 16.Similar
Q4 1:34
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
28.1%
C.Snyder steps back to pass. C.Snyder pass incomplete intended for M.Washington.Similar
Q4 1:30
2ND & 10
OPP 16
0
27.7%
C.Snyder steps back to pass. C.Snyder pass incomplete intended for M.Johnson.Similar
Q4 1:26
3RD & 10
OPP 16
0
22.3%
C.Snyder steps back to pass. C.Snyder pass incomplete intended for Q.Williams.Similar
Q4 1:21
4TH & 10
OPP 16
+16
17.9%
C.Snyder pass complete to AKR 16. Catch made by Q.Williams at AKR 16. Gain of 16 yards. Q.Williams for 16 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the runner broke the plane and the play was upheld.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+82.1
KEY PLAY · Q4 9:29
M.Washington rushed to AKR 29 for -5 yards. Tackled by K.Martin; V.Jones at AKR 29.
+19.2
TD · Q4 1:21
C.Snyder pass complete to AKR 16. Catch made by Q.Williams at AKR 16. Gain of 16 yards. Q.Williams for 16 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the runner broke the plane and the play was upheld.
-4.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com