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ND

Notre Dame 45 at South Carolina 38

SC
2022 · TaxSlayer Gator Bowl · Dec 30, 2022 · EverBank Stadium
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Win probability · SC
modelSC aheadND aheadconfidence bandkey playSC scoreND score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:43 · Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Xavier Legette
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 8:31: Spencer Rattler pass complete to Xavier Legette for 42 yds for a TD (Mitch Jeter KICK) — SC win probability +16.0 pts (now 70%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 0:31: Tyler Buchner pass complete to Braden Lenzy for 44 yds for a TD (Blake Grupe KICK) — ND win probability +31.3 pts (now 57%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 12:41: Logan Diggs run for 39 yds for a TD (Blake Grupe KICK) — ND win probability +23.9 pts (now 80%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 7:42: Tyler Buchner pass intercepted for a TD O'Donnell Fortune return for 100 yds for a TD (Mitch Jeter KICK) — SC win probability +26.4 pts (now 43%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:38: Tyler Buchner pass complete to Mitchell Evans for 16 yds for a TD (Blake Grupe KICK) — ND win probability +35.2 pts (now 95%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SC made the numbers' call on 5 of 8ND made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 10:47ND 4th & 8 at ND 27, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.3%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 2:27SC 4th & 8 at ND 23, tied
    Close callWent for it · 43.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    43.0%−0.2
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    43.2%
    70% to make
    Punt
    41.5%−1.7
    average punt
  3. Q2 8:36ND 4th & 19 at SC 19, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 37.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.6%−2.8
    10% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    39.3%
    77% to make
    Punt
    32.6%−6.7
    average punt
  4. Q2 5:18SC 4th & 4 at ND 27, up 11
    Close callKicked a field goal · 61.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    60.9%−0.5
    62% to make
    Punt
    57.1%−4.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 2:33SC 4th & 4 at SC 42, up 7
    Close callPunted · 58.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.9%−0.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:25ND 4th & 18 at ND 4, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.7%−5.1
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.8%
    average punt
  7. Q3 14:02ND 4th & 10 at ND 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.1%−2.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.1%
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:49SC 4th & 5 at SC 30, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.7%−0.7
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.4%
    average punt
  9. Q3 6:14SC 4th & 15 at ND 46, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.3%−2.4
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    68.5%−2.2
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    70.7%
    average punt
  10. Q3 1:36ND 4th & 3 at ND 45, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 28.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.6%−1.2
    average punt
  11. Q3 0:39SC 4th & 15 at SC 15, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.7%−4.9
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.6%
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:54SC 4th & 14 at SC 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.6%−6.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.7%
    average punt
  13. Q4 13:15ND 4th & 4 at ND 33, tied
    Numbers favored punt by 1.1 ptsWent for it · 48.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    49.7%−1.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    50.8%
    average punt
  14. Q4 11:09SC 4th & 10 at SC 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.3%−2.4
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.8%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SC made the numbers' call on 5 of 5ND made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 11:48SC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:54ND Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 2:27SC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 0:44SC Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 5:06ND Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 10:28ND Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 8:31SC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 0:31ND Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 12:41ND Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.5%−0.4
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 7:42SC Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.0%−0.8
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 1:38ND Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.7%−0.9
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.6%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SCDrive 1TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:0936% → 39%
Q1 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
36.2%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Antwane Wells Jr.Similar
Q1 14:49
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+13
36.3%
Juju McDowell run for 13 yds to the SCaro 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:21
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
36.5%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Xavier LegetteSimilar
Q1 14:12
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+10
36.6%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Nate Adkins for 10 yds to the SCaro 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:48
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+7
36.8%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Xavier Legette for 7 yds to the NDame 45Similar
Q1 13:28
2ND & 3
OPP 45
+6
37.0%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Antwane Wells Jr. for 6 yds to the NDame 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:04
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
37.2%
Juju McDowell run for 3 yds to the NDame 36Similar
Q1 12:15
2ND & 7
OPP 36
-1
37.7%
Spencer Rattler sacked by Jordan Botelho for a loss of 1 yard to the NDame 37Similar
Q1 12:03
3RD & 8
OPP 37
+24
37.7%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Nate Adkins for 24 yds to the NDame 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:48
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
39.0%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Xavier Legette for 13 yds for a TD (Mitch Jeter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:5761% → 61%
Q1 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
38.6%
Tyler Buchner pass incomplete to Lorenzo StylesSimilar
Q1 11:38
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
38.7%
Logan Diggs run for 2 yds to the NDame 27Similar
Q1 10:56
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
39.3%
Tyler Buchner pass incomplete to Jayden ThomasSimilar
Q1 10:47
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+5
39.5%
Jon Sot punt for 47 yds , Ahmarean Brown returns for 5 yds to the SCaro 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 3FUMBLE
4 plays · 19 yds · 1:0640% → 41%
Q1 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
39.6%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 2 yds to the SCaro 33Similar
Q1 10:11
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+10
40.0%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Antwane Wells Jr. for 10 yds to the SCaro 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
40.5%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Ahmarean Brown for 3 yds to the SCaro 46Similar
Q1 9:31
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+4
41.0%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Ahmarean Brown for 4 yds Ahmarean Brown fumbled, forced by TaRiq Bracy, recovered by NDame Ramon Henderson , return to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 4TD
11 plays · 50 yds · 3:0860% → 61%
Q1 9:02
1ST & 10
50
+7
40.1%
Logan Diggs run for 7 yds to the SCaro 43Similar
Q1 8:36
2ND & 3
OPP 43
+2
40.2%
Tyler Buchner pass complete to Chris Tyree for 2 yds to the SCaro 41Similar
Q1 8:28
3RD & 1
OPP 41
+1
40.4%
Tyler Buchner run for 1 yd to the SCaro 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:05
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
40.7%
Tyler Buchner pass incomplete to Deion ColzieSimilar
Q1 7:49
2ND & 10
OPP 40
-5
40.8%
NOTRE DAME Penalty, Illegal Motion (-5 Yards) to the SCaro 45Similar
Q1 7:43
2ND & 15
OPP 45
0
41.3%
Tyler Buchner pass incomplete to Holden StaesSimilar
Q1 7:35
3RD & 15
OPP 45
+18
41.7%
Tyler Buchner pass complete to Mitchell Evans for 18 yds to the SCaro 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:09
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+11
40.8%
Tyler Buchner pass complete to Jayden Thomas for 11 yds to the SCaro 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:28
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+1
41.2%
Logan Diggs run for 1 yd to the SCaro 15Similar
Q1 5:58
2ND & 9
OPP 15
0
41.5%
Tyler Buchner pass incomplete to Tobias MerriweatherSimilar
Q1 5:54
3RD & 9
OPP 15
+15
38.7%
Tyler Buchner run for 15 yds for a TD (Blake Grupe KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 5TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:1940% → 46%
Q1 5:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
39.6%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Juju McDowell for a loss of 2 yards to the SCaro 23Similar
Q1 5:08
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+17
39.8%
Juju McDowell run for 2 yds to the SCaro 25 for a 1ST down NOTRE DAME Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the SCaro 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+18
40.5%
Dakereon Joyner pass complete to Nate Adkins for 18 yds to the NDame 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+9
41.3%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Nate Adkins for 9 yds to the NDame 33Similar
Q1 4:21
2ND & 1
OPP 33
+8
41.6%
Dakereon Joyner run for 8 yds to the NDame 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:45
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-2
41.9%
Rashad Amos run for a loss of 2 yards to the NDame 27Similar
Q1 2:48
2ND & 12
OPP 27
+4
42.4%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Juju McDowell for 4 yds to the NDame 23Similar
Q1 2:31
3RD & 8
OPP 23
0
42.2%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Xavier LegetteSimilar
Q1 2:27
4TH & 8
OPP 23
+23
45.6%
Kai Kroeger pass complete to Hunter Rogers for 23 yds for a TD (Mitch Jeter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 6INT TD
6 plays · 19 yds · 1:3855% → 49%
Q1 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
45.2%
Tyler Buchner pass incomplete to Jayden ThomasSimilar
Q1 2:16
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+13
45.4%
Tyler Buchner pass complete to Braden Lenzy for 13 yds to the NDame 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
45.0%
Audric Estime run for 5 yds to the NDame 43Similar
Q1 1:25
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+1
44.8%
Audric Estime run for 1 yd to the NDame 44Similar
Q1 0:44
3RD & 4
OWN 44
-47
51.2%
Tyler Buchner pass intercepted for a TD DQ Smith return for 47 yds for a TD (Mitch Jeter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 7FG
14 plays · 56 yds · 6:4848% → 43%
Q1 0:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
52.4%
Logan Diggs run for 2 yds to the NDame 27Similar
Q2 14:45
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+4
52.8%
Logan Diggs run for 4 yds to the NDame 31Similar
Q2 13:59
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+15
54.0%
Tyler Buchner pass complete to Jayden Thomas for 15 yds to the NDame 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+12
53.7%
Chris Tyree run for 12 yds to the SCaro 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:08
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
54.0%
Chris Tyree run for 2 yds to the SCaro 40Similar
Q2 12:28
2ND & 8
OPP 40
-5
54.5%
NOTRE DAME Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the SCaro 45Similar
Q2 12:15
2ND & 13
OPP 45
+1
55.4%
Tyler Buchner run for 1 yd to the SCaro 44Similar
Q2 11:22
3RD & 12
OPP 44
+14
56.5%
Tyler Buchner pass complete to Jayden Thomas for 14 yds to the SCaro 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:52
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+21
55.3%
Tyler Buchner run for 21 yds to the SCaro 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
55.7%
Audric Estime run for 2 yds to the SCaro 7Similar
Q2 9:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
56.7%
Tyler Buchner pass incomplete to Deion ColzieSimilar
Q2 9:02
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
-12
58.0%
Tyler Buchner sacked by Alex Huntley for a loss of 12 yards to the SCaro 19Similar
Q2 8:36
4TH & GOAL
OPP 19
+37
56.9%
Blake Grupe 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 8FG
11 plays · 48 yds · 2:5457% → 65%
Q2 8:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
57.3%
Christian Beal-Smith run for a loss of 3 yards to the SCaro 22Similar
Q2 7:56
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+9
57.4%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 9 yds to the SCaro 31Similar
Q2 7:26
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+5
58.3%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Ahmarean Brown for 5 yds to the SCaro 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
59.9%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Christian Beal-Smith for 5 yds to the SCaro 41Similar
Q2 6:32
2ND & 5
OWN 41
0
61.0%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Xavier Legette for no gain to the SCaro 41Similar
Q2 5:58
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+26
60.5%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Dakereon Joyner for 26 yds to the NDame 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:35
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+6
62.2%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Antwane Wells Jr. for 6 yds to the NDame 27Similar
Q2 5:28
2ND & 4
OPP 27
0
62.3%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Jordan BurchSimilar
Q2 5:22
3RD & 4
OPP 27
0
61.6%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Antwane Wells Jr.Similar
Q2 5:18
4TH & 4
OPP 27
+45
64.9%
Mitch Jeter 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 9TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:0045% → 45%
Q2 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
55.2%
Tyler Buchner pass complete to Logan Diggs for 75 yds for a TD (Blake Grupe KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 2:1957% → 57%
Q2 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
56.5%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Xavier Legette for 7 yds to the SCaro 32Similar
Q2 4:14
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+4
58.2%
Juju McDowell run for 4 yds to the SCaro 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:54
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-3
58.2%
Xavier Legette run for a loss of 3 yards to the SCaro 33Similar
Q2 3:14
2ND & 13
OWN 33
+8
57.6%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Antwane Wells Jr. for 8 yds to the SCaro 41Similar
Q2 2:40
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+1
58.7%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to O'Mega Blake for 1 yd to the SCaro 42Similar
Q2 2:33
4TH & 4
OWN 42
0
57.2%
Kai Kroeger punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NDame 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · -8 yds · 1:0443% → 40%
Q2 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-7
57.2%
Tyler Buchner pass complete to Chris Tyree for a loss of 7 yards to the NDame 5Similar
Q2 1:41
2ND & 17
OWN 5
+8
58.3%
Tyler Buchner pass complete to Audric Estime for 8 yds to the NDame 13Similar
Q2 1:36
3RD & 9
OWN 13
-9
58.7%
Tyler Buchner sacked by Sherrod Greene for a loss of 9 yards to the NDame 4Similar
Q2 1:25
4TH & 18
OWN 4
+7
59.7%
Jon Sot punt for 53 yds , Ahmarean Brown returns for 7 yds to the SCaro 11 SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Illegal Block (15 Yards) to the SCaro 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 12INT
9 plays · 18 yds · 1:2158% → 61%
Q2 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-15
57.5%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the SCaro 20Similar
Q2 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
57.5%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Christian Beal-Smith for 2 yds to the SCaro 22Similar
Q2 0:51
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+6
57.5%
Spencer Rattler run for 6 yds to the SCaro 28Similar
Q2 0:35
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+10
57.2%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Ahmarean Brown for 10 yds to the SCaro 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:18
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+12
59.6%
Spencer Rattler run for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:16
1ST & 10
50
0
61.0%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:11
2ND & 10
50
+3
60.6%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Xavier Legette for 3 yds to the NDame 47Similar
Q2 0:04
3RD & 7
OPP 47
0
60.9%
Spencer Rattler pass intercepted Benjamin Morrison return for no gain to the NDame 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 13END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0042% → 42%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-1
57.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the NDame 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:4941% → 38%
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
59.2%
Logan Diggs run for no gain to the NDame 25Similar
Q3 14:16
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
59.8%
Tyler Buchner pass incomplete to Tobias MerriweatherSimilar
Q3 14:09
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
61.0%
Tyler Buchner pass incomplete to Tobias MerriweatherSimilar
Q3 14:02
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
62.0%
Jon Sot punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Ahmarean Brown at the SCaro 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:5661% → 59%
Q3 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
61.3%
Ahmarean Brown run for 2 yds to the SCaro 27Similar
Q3 13:24
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+3
61.5%
Juju McDowell run for 3 yds to the SCaro 30Similar
Q3 12:55
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
60.8%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Nate AdkinsSimilar
Q3 12:49
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
59.4%
Kai Kroeger punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Matt Salerno at the NDame 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 16TD
5 plays · 68 yds · 2:0040% → 59%
Q3 12:28
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
60.1%
Audric Estime run for 1 yd to the NDame 33Similar
Q3 12:01
2ND & 9
OWN 33
+19
60.9%
Audric Estime run for 19 yds to the SCaro 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:34
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+25
58.2%
Tyler Buchner pass complete to Jayden Thomas for 25 yds to the SCaro 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:03
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+12
56.4%
Audric Estime run for 12 yds to the SCaro 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:28
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
40.7%
Tyler Buchner run for 11 yds for a TD (Blake Grupe KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 17TD
6 plays · 67 yds · 1:4049% → 70%
Q3 10:11
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+6
49.4%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Xavier Legette for 6 yds to the SCaro 39Similar
Q3 9:46
2ND & 4
OWN 39
+3
52.1%
Juju McDowell run for 3 yds to the SCaro 42Similar
Q3 9:24
3RD & 1
OWN 42
+17
51.5%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Nate Adkins for 17 yds to the NDame 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:54
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-1
53.7%
Xavier Legette run for a loss of 1 yard to the NDame 42Similar
Q3 8:31
2ND & 11
OPP 42
+42
69.7%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Xavier Legette for 42 yds for a TD (Mitch Jeter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 18INT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:2836% → 35%
Q3 8:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
63.9%
Logan Diggs run for 6 yds to the NDame 31Similar
Q3 7:38
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
63.1%
Logan Diggs run for no gain to the NDame 31Similar
Q3 6:54
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+5
65.0%
Tyler Buchner pass intercepted Nick Barrett return for a loss of 5 yards to the NDame 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:3373% → 69%
Q3 6:47
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
72.7%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Dakereon Joyner for no gain to the NDame 41Similar
Q3 6:37
2ND & 10
OPP 41
0
72.7%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Xavier LegetteSimilar
Q3 6:29
3RD & 10
OPP 41
0
71.4%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Xavier LegetteSimilar
Q3 6:21
4TH & 10
OPP 41
-5
69.3%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Failure to Wear Required Equipment (-5 Yards) to the NDame 46Similar
Q3 6:14
4TH & 15
OPP 46
0
68.5%
Kai Kroeger punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Matt Salerno at the NDame 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 20PUNT
9 plays · 32 yds · 4:1734% → 29%
Q3 5:53
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+4
65.9%
Audric Estime run for 4 yds to the NDame 17Similar
Q3 5:20
2ND & 6
OWN 17
+6
66.4%
Tyler Buchner pass complete to Chris Tyree for 6 yds to the NDame 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
67.0%
Audric Estime run for 3 yds to the NDame 26Similar
Q3 4:23
2ND & 7
OWN 26
0
67.0%
Tyler Buchner pass incomplete to Chris TyreeSimilar
Q3 4:13
3RD & 7
OWN 26
+12
68.8%
Tyler Buchner pass complete to Braden Lenzy for 12 yds to the NDame 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:27
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
66.4%
Chris Tyree run for 2 yds to the NDame 40Similar
Q3 2:34
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+3
66.7%
Audric Estime run for 3 yds to the NDame 43Similar
Q3 2:03
3RD & 5
OWN 43
+2
67.2%
Tyler Buchner pass complete to Jayden Thomas for 2 yds to the NDame 45Similar
Q3 1:36
4TH & 3
OWN 45
0
70.9%
Jon Sot punt for 55 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:4377% → 75%
Q3 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
77.0%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Antwane Wells Jr. for no gain to the SCaro 20Similar
Q3 0:53
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
77.2%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Xavier LegetteSimilar
Q3 0:48
3RD & 10
OWN 20
0
75.9%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Antwane Wells Jr.Similar
Q3 0:48
4TH & 10
OWN 20
-5
74.7%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the SCaro 15Similar
Q3 0:39
4TH & 15
OWN 15
0
74.8%
Kai Kroeger punt for 29 yds, downed at the SCaro 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 22TD
1 play · 44 yds · 0:0057% → 57%
Q3 0:31
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+44
43.5%
Tyler Buchner pass complete to Braden Lenzy for 44 yds for a TD (Blake Grupe KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:3052% → 49%
Q3 0:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
52.3%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Ahmarean BrownSimilar
Q3 0:19
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
52.0%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Landon SamsonSimilar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-4
50.2%
Spencer Rattler sacked by Jordan Botelho for a loss of 4 yards to the SCaro 21Similar
Q4 14:54
4TH & 14
OWN 21
0
49.1%
Kai Kroeger punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Matt Salerno at the NDame 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 24TD
7 plays · 73 yds · 1:5552% → 80%
Q4 14:36
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
48.3%
Logan Diggs run for no gain to the NDame 27Similar
Q4 14:16
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+6
49.0%
Logan Diggs run for 6 yds to the NDame 33Similar
Q4 13:44
3RD & 4
OWN 33
0
48.5%
Tyler Buchner pass incomplete to Deion ColzieSimilar
Q4 13:15
4TH & 4
OWN 33
+20
50.8%
Davis Sherwood pass complete to Braden Lenzy for 20 yds to the SCaro 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:11
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
43.8%
Tyler Buchner pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:05
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+8
44.3%
Tyler Buchner run for 8 yds to the SCaro 39Similar
Q4 12:41
3RD & 2
OPP 39
+39
20.5%
Logan Diggs run for 39 yds for a TD (Blake Grupe KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 25PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 1:2227% → 24%
Q4 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
27.3%
Antwane Wells Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the SCaro 23Similar
Q4 11:49
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+7
27.0%
Spencer Rattler run for 7 yds to the SCaro 30Similar
Q4 11:17
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
26.5%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Ahmarean BrownSimilar
Q4 11:17
4TH & 5
OWN 30
-5
24.6%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the SCaro 25Similar
Q4 11:09
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+7
24.1%
Kai Kroeger punt for 42 yds , Matt Salerno returns for 7 yds to the NDame 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 26INT TD
6 plays · 53 yds · 3:2079% → 58%
Q4 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+17
20.9%
Tyler Buchner run for 17 yds to the SCaro 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:23
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+1
18.0%
Tyler Buchner run for 1 yd to the SCaro 42Similar
Q4 9:28
2ND & 9
OPP 42
+6
16.9%
Tyler Buchner pass complete to Logan Diggs for 6 yds to the SCaro 36Similar
Q4 8:54
3RD & 3
OPP 36
+3
17.0%
Tyler Buchner run for 3 yds to the SCaro 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+26
16.2%
Audric Estime run for 26 yds to the SCaro 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-100
42.5%
Tyler Buchner pass intercepted for a TD O'Donnell Fortune return for 100 yds for a TD (Mitch Jeter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 27TD
14 plays · 80 yds · 5:5350% → 95%
Q4 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+17
50.4%
Logan Diggs run for 17 yds to the NDame 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
47.6%
Logan Diggs run for 5 yds to the NDame 42Similar
Q4 6:20
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+4
44.5%
Audric Estime run for 4 yds to the NDame 46Similar
Q4 6:00
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+4
44.9%
Tyler Buchner run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:30
1ST & 10
50
+5
43.6%
Tyler Buchner pass complete to Mitchell Evans for 5 yds to the SCaro 45Similar
Q4 4:55
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+12
43.6%
Audric Estime run for 12 yds to the SCaro 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:16
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
42.0%
Chris Tyree run for 2 yds to the SCaro 31Similar
Q4 3:29
2ND & 8
OPP 31
+3
41.9%
Chris Tyree run for 3 yds to the SCaro 28Similar
Q4 2:49
3RD & 5
OPP 28
+9
43.7%
Tyler Buchner pass complete to Chris Tyree for 9 yds to the SCaro 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:13
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+1
41.1%
Audric Estime run for 1 yd to the SCaro 18Similar
Q4 1:45
2ND & 9
OPP 18
+2
39.9%
Audric Estime run for 2 yds to the SCaro 16Similar
Q4 1:38
3RD & 7
OPP 16
+16
4.6%
Tyler Buchner pass complete to Mitchell Evans for 16 yds for a TD (Blake Grupe KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 28Uncategorized
6 plays · 53 yds · 0:3215% → 20%
Q4 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+9
15.3%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Dakereon Joyner for 9 yds to the SCaro 22Similar
Q4 1:02
2ND & 1
OWN 22
+11
15.0%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Juju McDowell for 11 yds to the SCaro 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+33
13.2%
Spencer Rattler run for 18 yds to the SOCAROLINA 49 for a 1ST down NOTRE DAME Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the NDame 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:43
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
19.8%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Xavier LegetteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 1:38
Tyler Buchner pass complete to Mitchell Evans for 16 yds for a TD (Blake Grupe KICK)
-35.2
TD · Q3 0:31
Tyler Buchner pass complete to Braden Lenzy for 44 yds for a TD (Blake Grupe KICK)
-31.3
TD · Q4 7:42
Tyler Buchner pass intercepted for a TD O'Donnell Fortune return for 100 yds for a TD (Mitch Jeter KICK)
+26.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com