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TEX

Texas 20 at Washington 27

WASH
2022 · Valero Alamo Bowl · Dec 29, 2022 · Alamodome
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Win probability · WASH
modelWASH aheadTEX aheadconfidence bandkey playWASH scoreTEX score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDFGTDTDTDTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · Quinn Ewers pass complete to Casey Cain for 49 yds to the Wash 41 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+26.5+13.30−13.3−26.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 12:31: Quinn Ewers pass complete to Jonathon Brooks for 34 yds for a TD (Bert Auburn KICK) — TEX win probability +17.3 pts (now 52%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  2. TD · Q3 6:44: Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Taj Davis for 6 yds for a TD (Peyton Henry KICK) — WASH win probability +14.2 pts (now 76%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 13:08: Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jalen McMillan for 8 yds for a TD (Peyton Henry KICK) — WASH win probability +10.2 pts (now 96%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 9:50: Jonathon Brooks run for 3 yds for a TD (Bert Auburn KICK) — TEX win probability +11.2 pts (now 17%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 1:40: Bert Auburn 26 yd FG GOOD — TEX win probability +7.7 pts (now 14%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WASH made the numbers' call on 5 of 8TEX made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 12:40TEX 4th & 11 at TEX 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.8%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:44WASH 4th & 9 at TEX 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 43.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.4%−<0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    43.4%
    58% to make
    Punt
    43.1%−0.3
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:19TEX 4th & 1 at WASH 37, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 55.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    55.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    55.0%−0.5
    40% to make
    Punt
    54.9%−0.5
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:52TEX 4th & 12 at WASH 12, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 54.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.2%−0.4
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    54.6%
    86% to make
    Punt
    53.0%−1.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:00TEX 4th & 1 at WASH 37, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 48.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    48.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    46.8%−1.6
    40% to make
    Punt
    46.7%−1.8
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:13WASH 4th & 9 at WASH 38, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.0%−0.6
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:25TEX 4th & 1 at TEX 26, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsPunted · 43.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.9%−1.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:08WASH 4th & 9 at WASH 48, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.0%−0.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.4%
    average punt
  9. Q2 4:50TEX 4th & 3 at midfield, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 42.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.0%−1.1
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:00WASH 4th & 6 at TEX 6, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 63.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.9%
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    62.8%−0.1
    91% to make
    Punt
    54.9%−8.0
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:35WASH 4th & 1 at WASH 34, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 55.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    57.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    55.5%−1.6
    average punt
  12. Q3 5:05TEX 4th & 11 at TEX 39, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.2%−1.9
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.1%
    average punt
  13. Q3 1:05WASH 4th & 2 at TEX 47, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 80.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    80.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    79.5%−1.3
    average punt
  14. Q4 4:21WASH 4th & 11 at TEX 37, up 10
    Close callWent for it · 91.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    91.2%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    91.3%
    40% to make
    Punt
    91.0%−0.2
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:40TEX 4th & 5 at WASH 8, down 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 6.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.2%
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    5.4%−0.8
    90% to make
    Punt
    4.0%−2.2
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:31WASH 4th & 10 at TEX 46, up 7
    Close callPunted · 94.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.8%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    94.9%
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    94.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 0:00TEX 4th & 16 at TEX 10, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.7%
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    7.3%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WASH made the numbers' call on 3 of 3TEX made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 3:17WASH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 12:31TEX Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 6:44WASH Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 13:08WASH Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 9:50TEX Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    12.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    11.7%−0.7
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WASHDrive 1INT
6 plays · 35 yds · 0:5237% → 37%
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+35
36.5%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Ja'Lynn Polk for 35 yds to the Texas 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:12
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
36.9%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Taj DavisSimilar
Q1 14:06
2ND & 10
OPP 40
0
36.9%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Taj DavisSimilar
Q1 14:01
3RD & 10
OPP 40
0
36.9%
Michael Penix Jr. pass intercepted Jerrin Thompson return for no gain to the Texas 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:5563% → 62%
Q1 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
37.0%
Keilan Robinson run for 5 yds to the Texas 32Similar
Q1 13:06
2ND & 5
OWN 32
-6
37.1%
Quinn Ewers sacked by Bralen Trice for a loss of 6 yards to the Texas 26Similar
Q1 12:49
3RD & 11
OWN 26
0
37.4%
Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Xavier WorthySimilar
Q1 12:40
4TH & 11
OWN 26
+4
37.6%
Daniel Trejo punt blocked by Edefuan Ulofoshio blocked by Edefuan UlofoshioSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 3FG
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:5038% → 38%
Q1 12:34
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
37.8%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Taj DavisSimilar
Q1 12:25
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+1
37.9%
Wayne Taulapapa run for 1 yd to the Texas 29Similar
Q1 11:48
3RD & 9
OPP 29
0
38.1%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Jalen McMillanSimilar
Q1 11:44
4TH & 9
OPP 29
+46
38.1%
Peyton Henry 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 4FG
13 plays · 78 yds · 3:4062% → 61%
Q1 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+15
38.2%
Robinson, Keilan rush for no gain to the TEXAS10, PENALTY WASHINGTON face mask (Martin, Jeremiah) 15 yards to the TEXAS25, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TEXAS.Similar
Q1 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
38.3%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Xavier Worthy for 18 yds to the Texas 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+11
38.2%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Jordan Whittington for 11 yds to the Wash 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
38.3%
Keilan Robinson run for no gain to the Wash 46Similar
Q1 9:50
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
38.4%
Quinn Ewers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:39
3RD & 10
OPP 46
+9
38.8%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Keilan Robinson for 9 yds to the Wash 37Similar
Q1 9:19
4TH & 1
OPP 37
+27
39.0%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Casey Cain for 27 yds to the Wash 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
38.5%
Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Jordan WhittingtonSimilar
Q1 8:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
-5
38.5%
TEXAS Penalty, False Start (Gunnar Helm) to the Wash 15Similar
Q1 8:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 15
+3
38.9%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Jonathon Brooks for 3 yds to the Wash 12Similar
Q1 7:55
3RD & GOAL
OPP 12
0
39.3%
Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Casey CainSimilar
Q1 7:52
4TH & GOAL
OPP 12
+29
38.9%
Bert Auburn 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 5TD
11 plays · 88 yds · 4:2039% → 46%
Q1 7:37
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+3
39.0%
Richard Newton run for 3 yds to the Wash 15Similar
Q1 7:03
2ND & 7
OWN 15
0
39.2%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:56
3RD & 7
OWN 15
+13
38.8%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 13 yds to the Wash 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+7
39.6%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jack Westover for 7 yds to the Wash 35Similar
Q1 6:05
2ND & 3
OWN 35
+5
40.1%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jack Westover for 5 yds to the Wash 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:31
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
40.5%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Devin CulpSimilar
Q1 5:20
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+9
40.2%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Devin Culp for 9 yds to the Wash 49Similar
Q1 4:37
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+5
40.8%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jalen McMillan for 5 yds to the Texas 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:55
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
41.7%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Devin Culp for 4 yds to the Texas 42Similar
Q1 3:17
2ND & 6
OPP 42
+42
46.4%
Wayne Taulapapa run for 42 yds for a TD (Peyton Henry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 6DOWNS
11 plays · 38 yds · 4:0855% → 53%
Q1 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
45.1%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Ja'Tavion Sanders for 2 yds to the Texas 27Similar
Q1 2:35
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+4
44.9%
Jonathon Brooks run for 4 yds to the Texas 31Similar
Q1 2:06
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+10
45.3%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Xavier Worthy for 10 yds to the Texas 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-1
44.9%
Jonathon Brooks run for a loss of 1 yard to the Texas 40Similar
Q1 1:07
2ND & 11
OWN 40
+9
45.7%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Xavier Worthy for 9 yds to the Texas 49Similar
Q1 0:38
3RD & 2
OWN 49
+5
45.1%
Quinn Ewers run for 5 yds to the Wash 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:07
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
45.1%
Jonathon Brooks run for 2 yds to the Wash 44Similar
Q2 14:48
2ND & 8
OPP 44
+6
45.4%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Ja'Tavion Sanders for 6 yds to the Wash 38Similar
Q2 14:23
3RD & 2
OPP 38
+1
45.4%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Savion Red for 1 yd to the Wash 37Similar
Q2 14:00
4TH & 1
OPP 37
0
46.6%
Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Xavier WorthySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 1 yds · 2:3749% → 49%
Q2 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
48.7%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Ja'Lynn Polk for 3 yds to the Wash 40Similar
Q2 13:00
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+3
50.1%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jalen McMillan for 3 yds to the Wash 43Similar
Q2 12:26
3RD & 4
OWN 43
-5
50.0%
WASHINGTON Penalty, False Start (Devin Culp) to the Wash 38Similar
Q2 11:59
3RD & 9
OWN 38
-5
49.5%
WASHINGTON Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Wash 33Similar
Q2 11:29
3RD & 14
OWN 33
0
49.0%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Rome OdunzeSimilar
Q2 11:20
4TH & 14
OWN 33
+5
48.5%
McCallister, Jack punt 34 yards to the TEXAS33, out-of-bounds, PENALTY TEXAS running into kicker (Whittington, Jordan) 5 yards to the WASHINGTON38, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:13
4TH & 9
OWN 38
0
48.9%
Jack McCallister punt for 35 yds , Xavier Worthy returns for no gain to the Texas 27 TEXAS Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Texas 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:3050% → 48%
Q2 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+7
49.8%
Keilan Robinson run for 7 yds to the Texas 24Similar
Q2 10:45
2ND & 3
OWN 24
+2
49.3%
Keilan Robinson run for 2 yds to the Texas 26Similar
Q2 10:10
3RD & 1
OWN 26
0
50.1%
Keilan Robinson run for no gain to the Texas 26Similar
Q2 9:25
4TH & 1
OWN 26
0
51.9%
Daniel Trejo punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Jalen McMillan at the Wash 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 2:0052% → 53%
Q2 9:08
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+8
52.0%
Richard Newton run for 8 yds to the Wash 38Similar
Q2 9:00
2ND & 2
OWN 38
+9
53.6%
Richard Newton run for 9 yds to the Wash 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
54.2%
Richard Newton run for 2 yds to the Wash 49Similar
Q2 8:11
2ND & 8
OWN 49
0
55.2%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Taj DavisSimilar
Q2 8:00
3RD & 8
OWN 49
+4
54.3%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Wayne Taulapapa for 4 yds to the Texas 47Similar
Q2 7:22
4TH & 4
OPP 47
-5
54.4%
WASHINGTON Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Wash 48Similar
Q2 7:08
4TH & 9
OWN 48
0
53.2%
Jack McCallister punt for 52 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 30 yds · 2:1047% → 46%
Q2 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
53.5%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Xavier Worthy for 6 yds to the Texas 26Similar
Q2 6:28
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+17
53.2%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Ja'Tavion Sanders for 17 yds to the Texas 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
52.8%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Xavier Worthy for 1 yd to the Texas 44Similar
Q2 5:17
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+6
53.3%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Keilan Robinson for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 4:58
3RD & 3
50
0
52.5%
Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Jordan WhittingtonSimilar
Q2 4:50
4TH & 3
50
0
53.8%
Daniel Trejo punt for 50 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 11END OF HALF
20 plays · 74 yds · 4:4356% → 63%
Q2 4:43
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
56.0%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Jalen McMillanSimilar
Q2 4:36
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+7
55.8%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Taj Davis for 7 yds to the Wash 27Similar
Q2 3:53
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+11
55.9%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 11 yds to the Wash 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+12
58.7%
Wayne Taulapapa run for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:25
1ST & 10
50
+4
60.2%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Wayne Taulapapa for 4 yds to the Texas 46Similar
Q2 1:48
2ND & 6
OPP 46
0
60.7%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Jalen McMillanSimilar
Q2 1:43
3RD & 6
OPP 46
+7
59.6%
Wayne Taulapapa run for 7 yds to the Texas 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:15
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
61.3%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Taj DavisSimilar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+4
60.4%
Michael Penix Jr. run for 4 yds to the Texas 35Similar
Q2 0:43
3RD & 6
OPP 35
+18
60.1%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 18 yds to the Texas 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:29
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+4
61.5%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jack Westover for 4 yds to the Texas 13Similar
Q2 0:15
2ND & 6
OPP 13
+7
63.3%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Devin Culp for 7 yds to the Texas 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
62.5%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
62.0%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:03
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
60.3%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Rome OdunzeSimilar
Q2 0:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+24
63.0%
Peyton Henry 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 12TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:1937% → 52%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
63.4%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Jordan Whittington for 13 yds to the Texas 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:27
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
62.5%
Keilan Robinson run for 7 yds to the Texas 45Similar
Q3 13:58
2ND & 3
OWN 45
0
62.0%
Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Xavier WorthySimilar
Q3 13:48
3RD & 3
OWN 45
+21
64.3%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Xavier Worthy for 21 yds to the Wash 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:25
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-8
62.6%
Keilan Robinson run for 2 yds to the Wash 32 TEXAS Penalty, Offensive Holding (DJ Campbell) to the Wash 42Similar
Q3 12:59
1ST & 18
OPP 42
+8
65.2%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Ja'Tavion Sanders for 8 yds to the Wash 34Similar
Q3 12:31
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+34
47.9%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Jonathon Brooks for 34 yds for a TD (Bert Auburn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 13TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 5:3854% → 76%
Q3 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
53.9%
Wayne Taulapapa run for 4 yds to the Wash 29Similar
Q3 11:52
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+3
54.1%
Wayne Taulapapa run for 3 yds to the Wash 32Similar
Q3 11:17
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+2
53.7%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jalen McMillan for 2 yds to the Wash 34Similar
Q3 10:35
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+2
53.3%
Michael Penix Jr. run for 2 yds to the Wash 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:47
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+17
56.6%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Quentin Moore for 17 yds to the Texas 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
59.2%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:24
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+4
58.9%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jalen McMillan for 4 yds to the Texas 43Similar
Q3 9:00
3RD & 6
OPP 43
+11
59.0%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jalen McMillan for 11 yds to the Texas 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:39
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+4
60.8%
Wayne Taulapapa run for 4 yds to the Texas 28Similar
Q3 7:50
2ND & 6
OPP 28
+5
61.3%
Richard Newton run for 5 yds to the Texas 23Similar
Q3 7:36
3RD & 1
OPP 23
+1
60.0%
Richard Newton run for 1 yd to the Texas 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:55
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+16
61.9%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jack Westover for 16 yds to the Texas 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
76.1%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Taj Davis for 6 yds for a TD (Peyton Henry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 1:3127% → 25%
Q3 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
72.8%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Keilan Robinson for 15 yds to the Texas 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:08
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-5
71.6%
TEXAS Penalty, False Start (Christian Jones) to the Texas 35Similar
Q3 5:50
1ST & 15
OWN 35
+4
73.3%
Keilan Robinson run for 4 yds to the Texas 39Similar
Q3 5:21
2ND & 11
OWN 39
0
73.0%
Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Xavier WorthySimilar
Q3 5:15
3RD & 11
OWN 39
0
74.2%
Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Xavier WorthySimilar
Q3 5:05
4TH & 11
OWN 39
0
75.5%
Daniel Trejo punt for 51 yds , Rome Odunze returns for no gain to the Wash 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 15TD
16 plays · 90 yds · 6:5076% → 96%
Q3 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+13
75.5%
Wayne Taulapapa run for 13 yds to the Wash 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+11
76.3%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Taj Davis for 11 yds to the Wash 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+11
77.1%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 11 yds to the Wash 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-5
79.0%
WASHINGTON Penalty, False Start (Henry Bainivalu) to the Wash 40Similar
Q3 2:30
1ST & 15
OWN 40
+9
78.5%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Wayne Taulapapa for 9 yds to the Wash 49Similar
Q3 1:59
2ND & 6
OWN 49
0
80.3%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Jalen McMillanSimilar
Q3 1:45
3RD & 6
OWN 49
+4
79.3%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 4 yds to the Texas 47Similar
Q3 1:05
4TH & 2
OPP 47
+9
81.2%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Devin Culp for 9 yds to the Texas 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:33
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
83.4%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Taj DavisSimilar
Q3 0:26
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+8
83.3%
Richard Newton run for 8 yds to the Texas 30Similar
Q3 0:03
3RD & 2
OPP 30
+3
83.8%
Richard Newton run for 3 yds to the Texas 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+8
84.9%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Taj Davis for 8 yds to the Texas 19Similar
Q4 14:12
2ND & 2
OPP 19
+11
84.7%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jalen McMillan for 11 yds to the Texas 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
85.4%
Michael Penix Jr. run for no gain to the Texas 8Similar
Q4 13:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
95.6%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jalen McMillan for 8 yds for a TD (Peyton Henry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 16TD
12 plays · 74 yds · 3:066% → 17%
Q4 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
93.8%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Ja'Tavion Sanders for 3 yds to the Texas 29Similar
Q4 12:39
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+5
93.6%
Jonathon Brooks run for 5 yds to the Texas 34Similar
Q4 12:06
3RD & 2
OWN 34
+8
93.9%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Jordan Whittington for 8 yds to the Texas 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+19
94.0%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Xavier Worthy for 19 yds to the Wash 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:37
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
93.9%
Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Casey CainSimilar
Q4 11:22
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+5
94.3%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Jordan Whittington for 5 yds to the Wash 34Similar
Q4 11:00
3RD & 5
OPP 34
+7
94.3%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Jordan Whittington for 7 yds to the Wash 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:33
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
94.1%
Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Ja'Tavion SandersSimilar
Q4 10:13
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+19
94.5%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Gunnar Helm for 19 yds to the Wash 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
94.3%
Jonathon Brooks run for 5 yds to the Wash 3Similar
Q4 9:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
83.1%
Jonathon Brooks run for 3 yds for a TD (Bert Auburn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 17DOWNS
16 plays · 38 yds · 5:2187% → 92%
Q4 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
86.6%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Rome OdunzeSimilar
Q4 9:34
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
86.4%
Wayne Taulapapa run for 5 yds to the Wash 30Similar
Q4 8:54
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+7
88.3%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Ja'Lynn Polk for 7 yds to the Wash 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:23
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
90.1%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Jalen McMillanSimilar
Q4 8:13
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+9
90.1%
Wayne Taulapapa run for 9 yds to the Wash 46Similar
Q4 8:00
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+3
90.4%
Wayne Taulapapa run for 3 yds to the Wash 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
91.0%
Richard Newton run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 6:39
2ND & 9
50
0
91.8%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Rome OdunzeSimilar
Q4 6:30
3RD & 9
50
+14
91.6%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jalen McMillan for 14 yds to the Texas 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:25
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+1
92.7%
Richard Newton run for 1 yd to the Texas 35Similar
Q4 5:00
2ND & 9
OPP 35
+3
93.4%
Richard Newton run for 3 yds to the Texas 32Similar
Q4 4:33
3RD & 6
OPP 32
-5
93.3%
WASHINGTON Penalty, False Start (Jaxson Kirkland) to the Texas 37Similar
Q4 4:26
3RD & 11
OPP 37
0
92.9%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Rome OdunzeSimilar
Q4 4:21
4TH & 11
OPP 37
0
92.1%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Giles JacksonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 18FG
11 plays · 55 yds · 2:339% → 14%
Q4 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
91.5%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Keilan Robinson for 1 yd to the Texas 38Similar
Q4 3:40
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+7
92.1%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Casey Cain for 7 yds to the Texas 45Similar
Q4 3:26
3RD & 2
OWN 45
+6
92.1%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Keilan Robinson for 6 yds to the Wash 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:09
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+23
93.2%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Casey Cain for 23 yds to the Wash 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:56
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
92.4%
Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Casey CainSimilar
Q4 2:48
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+13
92.9%
Quinn Ewers run for 13 yds to the Wash 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:21
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
92.6%
Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Ja'Tavion SandersSimilar
Q4 2:14
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+5
92.6%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Keilan Robinson for 5 yds to the Wash 8Similar
Q4 1:42
3RD & 5
OPP 8
0
93.3%
Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Casey CainSimilar
Q4 1:40
4TH & 5
OPP 8
+26
85.6%
Bert Auburn 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 0 yds · 1:0795% → 96%
Q4 1:38
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
95.4%
Wayne Taulapapa run for no gain to the Texas 46Similar
Q4 1:31
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+3
95.4%
Wayne Taulapapa run for 3 yds to the Texas 43Similar
Q4 1:20
3RD & 7
OPP 43
-3
96.6%
Wayne Taulapapa run for a loss of 3 yards to the Texas 46Similar
Q4 0:31
4TH & 10
OPP 46
0
96.4%
Jack McCallister punt for 30 yds, downed at the Texas 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 20Uncategorized
4 plays · 43 yds · 0:257% → 6%
Q4 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
93.3%
Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Xavier WorthySimilar
Q4 0:15
2ND & 10
OWN 16
-6
93.5%
Quinn Ewers sacked by Voi Tunuufi for a loss of 6 yards to the Texas 10Similar
Q4 0:03
3RD & 16
OWN 10
0
93.9%
Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Xavier WorthySimilar
Q4 0:00
4TH & 16
OWN 10
+49
94.1%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Casey Cain for 49 yds to the Wash 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 12:31
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Jonathon Brooks for 34 yds for a TD (Bert Auburn KICK)
-17.3
TD · Q3 6:44
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Taj Davis for 6 yds for a TD (Peyton Henry KICK)
+14.2
TD · Q4 9:50
Jonathon Brooks run for 3 yds for a TD (Bert Auburn KICK)
-11.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com