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Oklahoma 32 at Florida State 35

FSU
2022 · Cheez-It Bowl · Dec 29, 2022 · Camping World Stadium
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Win probability · FSU
modelFSU aheadOU aheadconfidence bandkey playFSU scoreOU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of GameFG—FSU 78.4%Ryan Fitzgerald 22 yd FG GOODAWAY 0 - HOME 3 · Q1 11:26
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Q1 11:26 · Ryan Fitzgerald 22 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+29.0+14.50−14.5−29.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 10Pregame prior+27.4Home team on offense+0.4Score differential+0.0Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q4 13:22: Gavin Sawchuk run for 15 yds for a TD (Dillon Gabriel pass to Brayden Willis for Two-Point Conversion) — OU win probability +34.2 pts (now 73%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 11:05: Treshaun Ward run for 38 yds for a TD (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK) — FSU win probability +29.0 pts (now 70%) (top driver: FSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 7:22: Jordan Travis pass complete to Markeston Douglas for 17 yds for a TD (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK) — FSU win probability +21.3 pts (now 93%) (top driver: FSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 3:37: Jovantae Barnes run for 12 yds for a TD (Zach Schmit KICK) — OU win probability +36.9 pts (now 51%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 0:55: Ryan Fitzgerald 32 yd FG GOOD — FSU win probability +30.2 pts (now 92%) (top driver: FSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7OU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 11:26FSU 4th & 5 at OU 5, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 76.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.0%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    76.0%
    92% to make
    Punt
    75.5%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:53FSU 4th & 1 at FSU 44, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 72.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    73.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    72.6%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:51OU 4th & 19 at OU 48, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.7%−0.9
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.7%
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:26FSU 4th & 4 at FSU 26, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.0%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:06FSU 4th & 9 at OU 43, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 62.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    62.1%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    61.6%−0.5
    28% to make
    Punt
    62.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:47OU 4th & 22 at FSU 28, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 39.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.7%−2.1
    8% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    39.8%
    60% to make
    Punt
    35.5%−4.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:38OU 4th & 12 at OU 46, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.8%−1.2
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.1%
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:49FSU 4th & 14 at FSU 47, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.6%−1.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.7%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:19OU 4th & 1 at FSU 24, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 40.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.9%−0.6
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    40.5%
    68% to make
    Punt
    35.7%−4.8
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:45OU 4th & 1 at OU 34, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 47.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    48.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    46.8%−1.5
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:29OU 4th & 12 at OU 44, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.8%−2.7
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.5%
    average punt
  12. Q3 2:59OU 4th & 6 at FSU 36, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 33.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    34.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    33.3%−1.3
    42% to make
    Punt
    32.5%−2.2
    average punt
  13. Q3 0:27FSU 4th & 3 at OU 38, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 69.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    70.3%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    66.9%−3.3
    38% to make
    Punt
    66.8%−3.5
    average punt
  14. Q4 0:55FSU 4th & 9 at OU 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 60.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.8%−8.4
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    59.3%
    84% to make
    Punt
    22.4%−36.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4OU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 7:01OU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    26.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    26.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:31OU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:18FSU Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    65.2%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    65.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 5:33FSU Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 13:22OU Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · converted
    Kick
    60.4%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    60.5%
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 11:05FSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 7:22FSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.2%−1.5
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 3:37OU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FSUDrive 1FG
10 plays · 70 yds · 3:1979% → 78%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
78.9%
Trey Benson run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 27Similar
Q1 14:10
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+4
78.8%
Jordan Travis run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 31Similar
Q1 13:53
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+16
78.7%
Jordan Travis run for 16 yds to the FlaSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:18
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+26
78.7%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Johnny Wilson for 26 yds to the Okla 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:40
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+22
78.7%
Treshaun Ward run for 22 yds to the Okla 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
78.6%
Treshaun Ward run for 3 yds to the Okla 2Similar
Q1 11:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-3
78.5%
Trey Benson run for a loss of 3 yards to the Okla 5Similar
Q1 11:29
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
78.4%
Jordan Travis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:26
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
78.4%
Ryan Fitzgerald 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 2TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 4:2122% → 25%
Q1 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
78.4%
Dillon Gabriel pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:05
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
78.3%
Jovantae Barnes run for 5 yds to the Okla 30Similar
Q1 10:46
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+9
78.3%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Brayden Willis for 9 yds to the Okla 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
77.9%
Jovantae Barnes run for 2 yds to the Okla 41Similar
Q1 10:04
2ND & 8
OWN 41
0
77.9%
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Marvin Mims Jr.Similar
Q1 9:56
3RD & 8
OWN 41
+9
78.0%
Dillon Gabriel run for 9 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:20
1ST & 10
50
+14
77.7%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to LV Bunkley-Shelton for 14 yds to the FlaSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:02
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
77.6%
Jovantae Barnes run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 34Similar
Q1 8:26
2ND & 8
OPP 34
+9
77.2%
Gavin Sawchuk run for 9 yds to the FlaSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:18
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
77.2%
Dillon Gabriel run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 24Similar
Q1 7:58
2ND & 9
OPP 24
+12
77.1%
Jovantae Barnes run for 12 yds to the FlaSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:04
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-10
76.8%
Dillon Gabriel sacked by Patrick Payton for a loss of 10 yards to the FlaSt 22Similar
Q1 7:01
2ND & 20
OPP 22
+22
75.1%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Jalil Farooq for 22 yds for a TD (Zach Schmit KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 3DOWNS
7 plays · 18 yds · 1:5776% → 75%
Q1 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
75.6%
Lawrance Toafili run for 10 yds to the FlaSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:37
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
75.6%
FLORIDA ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the FlaSt 30Similar
Q1 6:10
1ST & 15
OWN 30
+12
75.3%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Markeston Douglas for 12 yds to the FlaSt 42Similar
Q1 5:44
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+2
75.9%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Lawrance Toafili for 2 yds to the FlaSt 44Similar
Q1 5:10
3RD & 1
OWN 44
0
75.5%
Trey Benson run for no gain to the FlaSt 44Similar
Q1 4:53
4TH & 1
OWN 44
-1
75.1%
Trey Benson run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaSt 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · -9 yds · 0:4926% → 25%
Q1 4:40
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-2
74.1%
Dillon Gabriel run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaSt 45Similar
Q1 4:12
2ND & 12
OPP 45
-7
74.0%
Dillon Gabriel sacked by Jared Verse for a loss of 7 yards to the Okla 48Similar
Q1 3:59
3RD & 19
OWN 48
0
74.5%
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Drake StoopsSimilar
Q1 3:51
4TH & 19
OWN 48
0
74.8%
Michael Turk punt for 52 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:0474% → 73%
Q1 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
74.1%
Mycah Pittman run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 22Similar
Q1 3:15
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+4
74.0%
Trey Benson run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 26Similar
Q1 2:39
3RD & 4
OWN 26
0
73.6%
Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Mycah PittmanSimilar
Q1 2:26
4TH & 4
OWN 26
+23
73.0%
Alex Mastromanno punt for 46 yds , Marvin Mims Jr. returns for 23 yds to the FlaSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 6TD
9 plays · 49 yds · 2:4127% → 34%
Q1 2:12
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
72.7%
Jalil Farooq run for 6 yds to the FlaSt 43Similar
Q1 1:35
2ND & 4
OPP 43
+3
72.3%
Jovantae Barnes run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 40Similar
Q1 1:15
3RD & 1
OPP 40
+2
72.2%
Jovantae Barnes run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:59
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+16
72.1%
Dillon Gabriel run for 16 yds to the FlaSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:38
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+3
71.4%
Jovantae Barnes run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 19Similar
Q1 0:25
2ND & 7
OPP 19
+5
71.3%
Gabriel, Dillon pass complete to Stoops, Drake for 6 yards to the FLORIDAST13, PENALTY FLORIDAST illegal formation 5 yards to the FLORIDAST14, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 0:10
2ND & 2
OPP 14
+5
71.2%
Jovantae Barnes run for 5 yds to the FlaSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
71.2%
Jovantae Barnes run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 8Similar
Q2 14:31
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
66.4%
Dillon Gabriel run for 8 yds for a TD (Zach Schmit KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 7DOWNS
7 plays · 32 yds · 2:1667% → 65%
Q2 14:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+31
67.0%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Johnny Wilson for 31 yds to the Okla 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:52
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-6
67.5%
Jordan Travis sacked by Danny Stutsman for a loss of 6 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 12:59
2ND & 16
50
+7
66.0%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Ja'Khi Douglas for 7 yds to the Okla 43Similar
Q2 12:38
3RD & 9
OPP 43
0
65.9%
Treshaun Ward run for no gain to the Okla 43Similar
Q2 12:06
4TH & 9
OPP 43
0
64.8%
Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Camren McDonaldSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 8MISSED FG
9 plays · 29 yds · 2:0237% → 38%
Q2 11:49
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
62.9%
Gavin Sawchuk run for no gain to the Okla 43Similar
Q2 11:39
2ND & 10
OWN 43
0
62.9%
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Brayden WillisSimilar
Q2 11:35
3RD & 10
OWN 43
-5
63.2%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, False Start (Savion Byrd) to the Okla 38Similar
Q2 11:30
3RD & 15
OWN 38
+46
63.3%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Marvin Mims Jr. for 46 yds to the FlaSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:20
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-10
62.2%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Savion Byrd) to the FlaSt 26Similar
Q2 11:19
1ST & 20
OPP 26
0
62.3%
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Drake StoopsSimilar
Q2 11:00
2ND & 20
OPP 26
+2
62.1%
Gavin Sawchuk run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 24Similar
Q2 10:20
3RD & 18
OPP 24
-4
61.7%
Jovantae Barnes run for a loss of 4 yards to the FlaSt 28Similar
Q2 9:47
4TH & 22
OPP 28
+45
62.3%
Zach Schmit 45 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 9TD
6 plays · 72 yds · 2:2163% → 72%
Q2 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+11
62.6%
Trey Benson run for 11 yds to the FlaSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+14
62.6%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Ontaria Wilson for 14 yds to the Okla 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
63.1%
Trey Benson run for 2 yds to the Okla 45Similar
Q2 8:14
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+23
61.5%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Johnny Wilson for 23 yds to the Okla 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:43
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+6
62.0%
Treshaun Ward run for 6 yds to the Okla 16Similar
Q2 7:18
2ND & 4
OPP 16
+16
72.3%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Ontaria Wilson for 16 yds for a TD (Wyatt Rector pass to Brian Courtney for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 10PUNT
11 plays · 21 yds · 3:3532% → 32%
Q2 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
68.3%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Drake Stoops for 6 yds to the Okla 31Similar
Q2 6:55
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+4
67.3%
Jovantae Barnes run for 4 yds to the Okla 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
67.6%
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Drake StoopsSimilar
Q2 6:40
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+4
67.9%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Jalil Farooq for 4 yds to the Okla 39Similar
Q2 6:07
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+9
66.9%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Brayden Willis for 9 yds to the Okla 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-5
65.7%
Dillon Gabriel sacked by Leonard Warner III for a loss of 5 yards to the Okla 43 Dillon Gabriel fumbled, recovered by OklaSimilar
Q2 4:45
2ND & 15
OWN 43
-6
66.4%
Dillon Gabriel sacked by Jammie Robinson for a loss of 6 yards to the Okla 37Similar
Q2 4:00
3RD & 21
OWN 37
+9
67.0%
Gavin Sawchuk run for 9 yds to the Okla 46Similar
Q2 3:38
4TH & 12
OWN 46
0
67.8%
Michael Turk punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Jaden Davis at the FlaSt 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 35 yds · 1:2468% → 65%
Q2 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+9
67.6%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Mycah Pittman for 9 yds to the FlaSt 21Similar
Q2 2:53
2ND & 1
OWN 21
+30
67.7%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Johnny Wilson for 30 yds to the Okla 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:46
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
69.9%
Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Johnny WilsonSimilar
Q2 2:34
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+2
69.6%
Treshaun Ward run for 2 yds to the Okla 47Similar
Q2 1:49
3RD & 8
OPP 47
-6
68.3%
Jordan Travis sacked by Isaiah Coe and Josh Ellison for a loss of 6 yards to the FlaSt 47Similar
Q2 1:49
4TH & 14
OWN 47
0
65.3%
Alex Mastromanno punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Damond Harmon at the Okla 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 12FG
8 plays · 65 yds · 1:2035% → 48%
Q2 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+15
65.5%
FLORIDA ST Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the Okla 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+25
63.8%
Gavin Sawchuk run for 25 yds to the FlaSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:18
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+9
60.5%
Gavin Sawchuk run for 9 yds to the FlaSt 40Similar
Q2 1:10
2ND & 1
OPP 40
+7
59.2%
Jovantae Barnes run for 7 yds to the FlaSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:49
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
58.7%
Jovantae Barnes run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 30Similar
Q2 0:33
2ND & 7
OPP 30
-3
58.3%
Dillon Gabriel run for a loss of 3 yards to the FlaSt 33Similar
Q2 0:19
3RD & 10
OPP 33
+9
59.1%
Jovantae Barnes run for 9 yds to the FlaSt 24Similar
Q2 0:19
4TH & 1
OPP 24
+41
52.3%
Zach Schmit 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 13DOWNS
3 plays · 26 yds · 0:0161% → 63%
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+26
60.6%
Jordan Travis run for 26 yds to the Okla 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+54
62.9%
Ryan Fitzgerald 54 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 14DOWNS
12 plays · 19 yds · 4:2744% → 46%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
56.2%
Jovantae Barnes run for a loss of 2 yards to the Okla 23Similar
Q3 14:27
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+6
56.5%
Jovantae Barnes run for 6 yds to the Okla 29Similar
Q3 14:27
3RD & 6
OWN 29
-5
56.2%
Gabriel, Dillon pass complete to Willis, Brayden for 18 yards to the OKLAHOMA47, PENALTY OKLAHOMA ineligible downfield on pass (Byrd, Savion) 5 yards to the OKLAHOMA24, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:52
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+10
56.0%
Jovantae Barnes run for 10 yds to the Okla 34Similar
Q3 12:45
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+2
54.5%
Jovantae Barnes run for 2 yds to the Okla 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:13
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
52.8%
Gavin Sawchuk run for 6 yds to the Okla 42Similar
Q3 12:02
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+4
51.6%
Gavin Sawchuk run for 4 yds to the Okla 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
51.2%
Gavin Sawchuk run for 1 yd to the Okla 47Similar
Q3 11:03
2ND & 9
OWN 47
-3
50.3%
Jovantae Barnes run for a loss of 3 yards to the Okla 44Similar
Q3 10:36
3RD & 12
OWN 44
0
51.9%
Dillon Gabriel pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:29
4TH & 12
OWN 44
0
54.1%
Michael Turk punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Mycah Pittman at the FlaSt 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 15TD
17 plays · 94 yds · 4:3054% → 76%
Q3 10:03
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+1
54.3%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Mycah Pittman for 1 yd to the FlaSt 7Similar
Q3 9:46
2ND & 9
OWN 7
+14
53.9%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Ontaria Wilson for 14 yds to the FlaSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
54.6%
Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Johnny WilsonSimilar
Q3 9:38
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+12
54.4%
Jordan Travis run for 12 yds to the FlaSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:38
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
55.1%
Jordan Travis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:13
2ND & 10
OWN 33
0
54.6%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Malik McClain for no gain to the FlaSt 33Similar
Q3 8:25
3RD & 10
OWN 33
+14
52.2%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Malik McClain for 14 yds to the FlaSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
57.1%
Treshaun Ward run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 49Similar
Q3 7:59
2ND & 8
OWN 49
0
56.9%
Jordan Travis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:26
3RD & 8
OWN 49
+13
54.9%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Johnny Wilson for 13 yds to the Okla 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:59
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+19
56.1%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Ontaria Wilson for 19 yds to the Okla 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:53
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
59.4%
Trey Benson run for 3 yds to the Okla 16Similar
Q3 6:24
2ND & 7
OPP 16
+14
59.1%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Markeston Douglas for 14 yds to the Okla 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
59.1%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, Defensive Offside (1 Yards) to the Okla 1Similar
Q3 6:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
59.0%
DJ Lundy run for no gain to the Okla 1Similar
Q3 5:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
76.0%
Treshaun Ward run for 1 yd for a TD (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 16DOWNS
9 plays · 39 yds · 2:3230% → 32%
Q3 5:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
70.0%
Gavin Sawchuk run for 2 yds to the Okla 27Similar
Q3 5:07
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+2
69.9%
Gavin Sawchuk run for 2 yds to the Okla 29Similar
Q3 4:31
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+31
70.1%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Brayden Willis for 31 yds to the FlaSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:09
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
65.4%
Dillon Gabriel pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:40
2ND & 10
OPP 40
-2
65.3%
Dillon Gabriel sacked by Dennis Briggs Jr. and Tatum Bethune for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaSt 42Similar
Q3 3:20
3RD & 12
OPP 42
+6
67.3%
Jovantae Barnes run for 6 yds to the FlaSt 36Similar
Q3 2:59
4TH & 6
OPP 36
0
68.0%
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Drake StoopsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 17INT
7 plays · 26 yds · 2:1372% → 73%
Q3 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
72.4%
Darion Williamson run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 37Similar
Q3 2:10
2ND & 9
OWN 37
0
71.9%
Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Malik McClainSimilar
Q3 1:52
3RD & 9
OWN 37
+18
71.0%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Johnny Wilson for 18 yds to the Okla 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:24
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
74.7%
Treshaun Ward run for no gain to the Okla 45Similar
Q3 0:53
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+7
74.4%
Treshaun Ward run for 7 yds to the Okla 38Similar
Q3 0:32
3RD & 3
OPP 38
0
74.3%
Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Markeston DouglasSimilar
Q3 0:27
4TH & 3
OPP 38
0
72.6%
Jordan Travis pass intercepted Billy Bowman return for no gain to the Okla 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 18TD
7 plays · 70 yds · 1:4831% → 73%
Q3 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-1
68.7%
Gavin Freeman run for 9 yds to the Okla 39 OKLAHOMA Penalty, Illegal Block (-10 Yards) to the Okla 29Similar
Q4 14:56
1ST & 11
OWN 29
+31
69.0%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Marvin Mims Jr. for 31 yds to the FlaSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:30
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
64.0%
Jovantae Barnes run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 36Similar
Q4 14:06
2ND & 6
OPP 36
+10
63.7%
Jovantae Barnes run for 10 yds to the FlaSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:53
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+8
62.2%
Jalil Farooq run for 8 yds to the FlaSt 18Similar
Q4 13:30
2ND & 2
OPP 18
+3
61.5%
Gavin Sawchuk run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:22
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
27.3%
Gavin Sawchuk run for 15 yds for a TD (Dillon Gabriel pass to Brayden Willis for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 19TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:5739% → 70%
Q4 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
39.1%
Jordan Travis run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 29Similar
Q4 12:23
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+7
38.9%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Markeston Douglas for 7 yds to the FlaSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+11
39.2%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Ontaria Wilson for 11 yds to the FlaSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
41.7%
Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Mycah PittmanSimilar
Q4 11:16
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+15
40.8%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Darion Williamson for 15 yds to the Okla 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:05
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+38
69.7%
Treshaun Ward run for 38 yds for a TD (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 20Uncategorized
6 plays · 43 yds · 0:5940% → 46%
Q4 10:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
59.7%
Nic Anderson run for 5 yds to the Okla 30Similar
Q4 10:29
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+21
58.3%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Drake Stoops for 21 yds to the FlaSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:10
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
53.5%
Jovantae Barnes run for 6 yds to the FlaSt 43Similar
Q4 10:00
2ND & 4
OPP 43
+2
53.3%
Jovantae Barnes run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 41Similar
Q4 10:00
3RD & 2
OPP 41
+9
54.0%
Gavin Sawchuk run for 9 yds to the FlaSt 32 Gavin Sawchuk fumbled, recovered by FlaSt Jammie RobinsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 21TD
6 plays · 68 yds · 1:5865% → 93%
Q4 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+33
65.3%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Trey Benson for 33 yds to the Okla 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
71.5%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Johnny Wilson for 3 yds to the Okla 32Similar
Q4 8:32
2ND & 7
OPP 32
+4
71.6%
Trey Benson run for 4 yds to the Okla 28Similar
Q4 8:02
3RD & 3
OPP 28
+3
69.3%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Mycah Pittman for 3 yds to the Okla 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:32
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+8
71.4%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Darion Williamson for 8 yds to the Okla 17Similar
Q4 7:22
2ND & 2
OPP 17
+17
92.7%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Markeston Douglas for 17 yds for a TD (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 22TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:3410% → 51%
Q4 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
89.6%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Jalil Farooq for 5 yds to the Okla 30Similar
Q4 6:45
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
88.9%
Gavin Sawchuk run for 4 yds to the Okla 34Similar
Q4 6:32
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
88.8%
Dillon Gabriel run for 2 yds to the Okla 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+23
89.3%
Dillon Gabriel run for 23 yds to the FlaSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:10
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
87.1%
Jovantae Barnes run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 40Similar
Q4 4:58
2ND & 9
OPP 40
+28
87.5%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Jalil Farooq for 28 yds to the FlaSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:17
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
85.5%
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Brayden WillisSimilar
Q4 4:03
2ND & 10
OPP 12
0
85.5%
Jovantae Barnes run for no gain to the FlaSt 12Similar
Q4 3:37
3RD & 10
OPP 12
+12
48.6%
Jovantae Barnes run for 12 yds for a TD (Zach Schmit KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 23FG
8 plays · 61 yds · 2:2962% → 92%
Q4 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
62.3%
Trey Benson run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 27Similar
Q4 2:40
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+58
62.6%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Johnny Wilson for 58 yds to the Okla 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
69.3%
Trey Benson run for 2 yds to the Okla 13Similar
Q4 1:45
2ND & 8
OPP 13
+2
69.3%
Trey Benson run for 2 yds to the Okla 11Similar
Q4 0:59
3RD & 6
OPP 11
-3
66.2%
Trey Benson run for a loss of 3 yards to the Okla 14Similar
Q4 0:55
4TH & 9
OPP 14
+32
92.4%
Ryan Fitzgerald 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 24Uncategorized
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:2712% → 11%
Q4 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
88.5%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Brayden Willis for 9 yds to the Okla 34Similar
Q4 0:38
2ND & 1
OWN 34
-5
85.8%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Okla 29Similar
Q4 0:20
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-10
87.6%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Okla 19Similar
Q4 0:13
2ND & 16
OWN 19
+8
88.8%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Gavin Sawchuk for 8 yds to the Okla 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 3:37
Jovantae Barnes run for 12 yds for a TD (Zach Schmit KICK)
-36.9
TD · Q4 13:22
Gavin Sawchuk run for 15 yds for a TD (Dillon Gabriel pass to Brayden Willis for Two-Point Conversion)
-34.2
FG · Q4 0:55
Ryan Fitzgerald 32 yd FG GOOD
+30.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com