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SYR

Syracuse 20 at Minnesota 28

MINN
2022 · Bad Boy Mowers Pinstripe Bowl · Dec 29, 2022 · Yankee Stadium
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Win probability · MINN
modelMINN aheadSYR aheadconfidence bandkey playMINN scoreSYR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:38 · TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Syrac 22
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+30.0+15.00−15.0−30.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 6:39: Tanner Morgan pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 20 yds for a TD — MINN win probability +4.4 pts (now 85%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:08: Garrett Shrader run for 1 yd for a TD (Andre Szmyt KICK) — SYR win probability +8.6 pts (now 24%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  3. TD · Q3 7:22: Garrett Shrader pass intercepted for a TD Coleman Bryson return for 70 yds for a TD (Matthew Trickett KICK) — MINN win probability +11.3 pts (now 81%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 0:35: Tanner Morgan pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 25 yds for a TD (Matthew Trickett KICK) — MINN win probability +6.1 pts (now 95%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 2:30: Garrett Shrader run for 8 yds for a TD (Andre Szmyt KICK) — SYR win probability +4.7 pts (now 6%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MINN made the numbers' call on 5 of 6SYR made the numbers' call on 5 of 9
  1. Q1 11:00MINN 4th & 11 at MINN 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.5%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:16SYR 4th & 5 at MINN 42, tied
    Close callPunted · 25.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.8%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    25.6%−0.2
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    25.7%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:36MINN 4th & 13 at MINN 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.0%−0.6
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.6%
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:12SYR 4th & 12 at SYR 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.6%−0.4
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.0%
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:41SYR 4th & 3 at MINN 36, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 23.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    24.0%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    23.0%−1.0
    42% to make
    Punt
    22.8%−1.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:40SYR 4th & 1 at SYR 49, down 14
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 16.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.5%−1.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:55MINN 4th & 8 at MINN 31, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.1%−1.3
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.4%
    average punt
  8. Q3 10:26SYR 4th & 9 at MINN 22, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 23.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.5%−1.1
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    22.6%
    72% to make
    Punt
    16.0%−6.6
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:55MINN 4th & 4 at MINN 41, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.7%−0.3
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.0%
    average punt
  10. Q3 1:38SYR 4th & 5 at MINN 20, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 13.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.5%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    13.7%
    75% to make
    Punt
    9.6%−4.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 13:16SYR 4th & 14 at SYR 34, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.7%−1.3
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.0%
    average punt
  12. Q4 10:51MINN 4th & 2 at SYR 47, up 15
    Close callPunted · 95.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.0%−0.7
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:45SYR 4th & 16 at MINN 40, down 15
    Close callWent for it · 3.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.4%−0.3
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    3.7%
    34% to make
    Punt
    3.5%−0.2
    average punt
  14. Q4 4:33MINN 4th & 7 at MINN 43, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.0%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.2%
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:30SYR 4th & 8 at MINN 8, down 15
    Close callWent for it · 3.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.9%−0.4
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    3.4%
    90% to make
    Punt
    1.9%−1.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MINN made the numbers' call on 4 of 4SYR made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q2 13:39MINN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 6:39MINN Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:08SYR Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    19.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    19.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 7:22MINN Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 0:35MINN Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 2:30SYR Touchdown, down 9 before the try
    Numbers favored go for two by 1.2 ptsKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.3%−1.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    6.5%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MINNDrive 1PUNT
9 plays · 21 yds · 3:3078% → 77%
Q1 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+6
77.9%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Brevyn Spann-Ford for 6 yds to the Minn 27Similar
Q1 14:00
2ND & 4
OWN 27
+4
77.8%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 4 yds to the Minn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
77.7%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 6 yds to the Minn 37Similar
Q1 13:00
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+6
77.7%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 6 yds to the Minn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:24
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
77.6%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete to Brevyn Spann-FordSimilar
Q1 12:10
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+6
77.5%
Trey Potts run for 6 yds to the Minn 49Similar
Q1 11:30
3RD & 4
OWN 49
-7
77.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 7 yards to the Minn 42 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Minn Athan KaliakmanisSimilar
Q1 11:00
4TH & 11
OWN 42
0
76.9%
Mark Crawford punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Trebor Pena at the Syrac 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 34 yds · 3:2923% → 24%
Q1 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+16
76.9%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Oronde Gadsden II for 16 yds to the Syrac 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
76.6%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Trebor Pena for 5 yds to the Syrac 45Similar
Q1 9:45
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+8
76.3%
Trebor Pena run for 8 yds to the Minn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:07
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
76.1%
LeQuint Allen run for 5 yds to the Minn 42Similar
Q1 8:46
2ND & 5
OPP 42
+1
75.8%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to LeQuint Allen for 1 yd to the Minn 41Similar
Q1 8:23
3RD & 4
OPP 41
-5
75.8%
SYRACUSE Penalty, False Start (Dakota Davis) to the Minn 46Similar
Q1 7:52
3RD & 9
OPP 46
+4
75.7%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to LeQuint Allen for 4 yds to the Minn 42Similar
Q1 7:16
4TH & 5
OPP 42
0
75.6%
Maximilian Von Marburg punt for 27 yds, fair catch by Quentin Redding at the Minn 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 2:3276% → 75%
Q1 7:08
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+10
75.9%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 10 yds to the Minn 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
75.8%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 6 yds to the Minn 31Similar
Q1 5:51
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
75.9%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for no gain to the Minn 31Similar
Q1 4:50
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-9
75.1%
Athan Kaliakmanis sacked by Kadin Bailey for a loss of 9 yards to the Minn 22Similar
Q1 4:36
4TH & 13
OWN 22
+45
74.6%
Mark Crawford punt for 45 yds , Trebor Pena returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:2025% → 25%
Q1 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
74.9%
Garrett Shrader pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:05
2ND & 10
OWN 32
-7
74.9%
Garrett Shrader sacked by Trill Carter and Kyler Baugh for a loss of 7 yards to the Syrac 25Similar
Q1 3:45
3RD & 17
OWN 25
+5
75.2%
Garrett Shrader run for 5 yds to the Syrac 30Similar
Q1 3:12
4TH & 12
OWN 30
0
75.4%
Maximilian Von Marburg punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Quentin Redding at the Minn 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 5TD
9 plays · 62 yds · 4:1375% → 79%
Q1 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+21
75.2%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 21 yds to the Syrac 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:29
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+8
75.8%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 8 yds to the Syrac 33Similar
Q1 1:45
2ND & 2
OPP 33
-2
75.9%
Athan Kaliakmanis run for a loss of 2 yards to the Syrac 35Similar
Q1 1:15
3RD & 4
OPP 35
+8
75.5%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Bryce Williams for 8 yds to the Syrac 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:31
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+11
75.7%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Dylan Wright for 11 yds to the Syrac 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
75.7%
Trey Potts run for 2 yds to the Syrac 14Similar
Q2 14:50
2ND & 8
OPP 14
+7
75.6%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 7 yds to the Syrac 7Similar
Q2 14:15
3RD & 1
OPP 7
+3
75.0%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 3 yds to the Syrac 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
79.2%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 4 yds for a TD (Matthew Trickett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 6DOWNS
10 plays · 37 yds · 2:5422% → 23%
Q2 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
77.8%
Garrett Shrader pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:27
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+20
77.8%
LeQuint Allen run for 20 yds to the Syrac 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+8
76.9%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Devaughn Cooper for 8 yds to the Minn 47Similar
Q2 12:29
2ND & 2
OPP 47
0
76.3%
Garrett Shrader pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:17
3RD & 2
OPP 47
+4
76.6%
Garrett Shrader run for 4 yds to the Minn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:49
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
76.4%
Trebor Pena run for no gain to the Minn 43Similar
Q2 11:18
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+7
76.4%
Garrett Shrader run for 7 yds to the Minn 36Similar
Q2 10:46
3RD & 3
OPP 36
0
76.2%
Garrett Shrader pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:41
4TH & 3
OPP 36
-2
77.1%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Trebor Pena for a loss of 2 yards to the Minn 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 7TD
9 plays · 62 yds · 3:5479% → 85%
Q2 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+15
78.9%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Le'Meke Brockington for 15 yds to the Syrac 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:54
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
79.5%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 2 yds to the Syrac 45Similar
Q2 9:22
2ND & 8
OPP 45
0
79.5%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:15
3RD & 8
OPP 45
+12
79.0%
Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Le'Meke Brockington for 12 yds to the Syrac 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:53
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
79.7%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for no gain to the Syrac 33Similar
Q2 8:12
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+10
80.2%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Brevyn Spann-Ford for 10 yds to the Syrac 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:31
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
80.3%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 3 yds to the Syrac 20Similar
Q2 6:47
2ND & 7
OPP 20
0
80.4%
Tanner Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:39
3RD & 7
OPP 20
+20
84.8%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 20 yds for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 8PUNT
10 plays · 30 yds · 3:4016% → 16%
Q2 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+1
83.8%
LeQuint Allen run for 1 yd to the Syrac 20Similar
Q2 5:48
2ND & 9
OWN 20
+9
84.0%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Trebor Pena for 9 yds to the Syrac 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+9
83.8%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to D'Marcus Adams for 9 yds to the Syrac 38Similar
Q2 4:58
2ND & 1
OWN 38
0
83.3%
Garrett Shrader run for no gain to the Syrac 38Similar
Q2 4:30
3RD & 1
OWN 38
+2
83.3%
Garrett Shrader run for 2 yds to the Syrac 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
83.9%
Garrett Shrader pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:43
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+8
84.1%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Oronde Gadsden II for 8 yds to the Syrac 48Similar
Q2 3:20
3RD & 2
OWN 48
+1
83.5%
LeQuint Allen run for 1 yd to the Syrac 49Similar
Q2 2:40
4TH & 1
OWN 49
0
84.2%
Maximilian Von Marburg punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Quentin Redding at the Minn 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 9PUNT
11 plays · 14 yds · 1:3786% → 87%
Q2 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
86.0%
Tanner Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:26
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+2
85.8%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 2 yds to the Minn 19Similar
Q2 2:18
3RD & 8
OWN 19
+10
86.5%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 10 yds to the Minn 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-5
87.4%
Tanner Morgan sacked by Kevin Jobity Jr. for a loss of 5 yards to the Minn 24Similar
Q2 1:51
2ND & 15
OWN 24
+3
87.2%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 3 yds to the Minn 27Similar
Q2 1:44
3RD & 12
OWN 27
+4
87.0%
Mohamed Ibrahim run for 4 yds to the Minn 31Similar
Q2 0:55
4TH & 8
OWN 31
0
86.7%
Mark Crawford punt for 55 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Syrac 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 10TD
5 plays · 86 yds · 0:3713% → 24%
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+21
87.2%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Devaughn Cooper for 21 yds to the Syrac 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+31
87.5%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Devaughn Cooper for 31 yds to the Minn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:28
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
85.0%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to LeQuint Allen for 4 yds to the Minn 30Similar
Q2 0:20
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+29
84.8%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Damien Alford for 29 yds to the Minn 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
76.2%
Garrett Shrader run for 1 yd for a TD (Andre Szmyt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 12FG
11 plays · 65 yds · 4:2522% → 27%
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+9
78.5%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Oronde Gadsden II for 9 yds to the Syrac 22Similar
Q3 14:17
2ND & 1
OWN 22
+2
77.8%
LeQuint Allen run for 2 yds to the Syrac 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:51
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+11
78.3%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Oronde Gadsden II for 11 yds to the Syrac 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+17
77.8%
LeQuint Allen run for 2 yds to the Minn 37 for a 1ST down MINNESOTA Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Mariano Sori-Marin) to the Minn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+25
75.8%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Damien Alford for 25 yds to the Minn 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:38
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-5
74.3%
Shrader, Garrett pass complete to Alford, Damien for 5 yards to the MINNESOTA18, PENALTY SYRACUSE ineligible downfield on pass (Ellis, Kalan) 5 yards to the MINNESOTA28, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:15
1ST & 15
OPP 28
0
75.6%
LeQuint Allen run for no gain to the Minn 28Similar
Q3 11:38
2ND & 15
OPP 28
+4
75.9%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Devaughn Cooper for 4 yds to the Minn 24Similar
Q3 11:04
3RD & 11
OPP 24
+2
76.2%
Garrett Shrader run for 2 yds to the Minn 22Similar
Q3 10:26
4TH & 9
OPP 22
+40
72.7%
Andre Szmyt 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:2776% → 75%
Q3 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
75.5%
Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Le'Meke BrockingtonSimilar
Q3 10:15
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+3
75.3%
Trey Potts run for 3 yds to the Minn 38Similar
Q3 9:25
3RD & 7
OWN 38
+3
75.1%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Dylan Wright for 3 yds to the Minn 41Similar
Q3 8:55
4TH & 4
OWN 41
0
74.7%
Mark Crawford punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Trebor Pena at the Syrac 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 14INT TD
4 plays · 49 yds · 1:0826% → 19%
Q3 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+12
73.8%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Oronde Gadsden II for 12 yds to the Syrac 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+29
73.2%
LeQuint Allen run for 29 yds to the Minn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:52
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+8
70.0%
LeQuint Allen run for 8 yds to the Minn 32Similar
Q3 7:22
2ND & 2
OPP 32
-70
81.3%
Garrett Shrader pass intercepted for a TD Coleman Bryson return for 70 yds for a TD (Matthew Trickett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 15FG
14 plays · 53 yds · 5:2816% → 16%
Q3 7:06
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
84.4%
LeQuint Allen run for 5 yds to the Syrac 32Similar
Q3 6:39
2ND & 5
OWN 32
+6
84.1%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to LeQuint Allen for 6 yds to the Syrac 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:16
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
84.0%
Garrett Shrader pass incomplete to Trebor PenaSimilar
Q3 6:04
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+12
84.1%
LeQuint Allen run for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:39
1ST & 10
50
+7
82.8%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to LeQuint Allen for 7 yds to the Minn 43Similar
Q3 5:03
2ND & 3
OPP 43
+5
82.5%
Juwaun Price run for 5 yds to the Minn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:39
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
83.5%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Damien Alford for 3 yds to the Minn 35Similar
Q3 4:04
2ND & 7
OPP 35
+1
82.3%
Juwaun Price run for 1 yd to the Minn 34Similar
Q3 3:30
3RD & 6
OPP 34
+9
84.9%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to LeQuint Allen for 9 yds to the Minn 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:02
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-2
83.4%
LeQuint Allen run for a loss of 2 yards to the Minn 27Similar
Q3 2:30
2ND & 12
OPP 27
+7
83.9%
Garrett Shrader run for 7 yds to the Minn 20Similar
Q3 1:43
3RD & 5
OPP 20
0
84.7%
Garrett Shrader pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:38
4TH & 5
OPP 20
+38
83.9%
Andre Szmyt 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 16TD
3 plays · 25 yds · 0:3089% → 95%
Q3 1:05
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
88.7%
Trey Potts run for no gain to the Syrac 25Similar
Q3 0:35
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+25
94.7%
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 25 yds for a TD (Matthew Trickett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 17PUNT
10 plays · 7 yds · 2:068% → 7%
Q3 0:22
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
92.5%
Garrett Shrader run for 6 yds to the Syrac 33Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 4
OWN 33
-1
92.3%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to LeQuint Allen for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 32Similar
Q4 14:30
3RD & 5
OWN 32
+6
92.6%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to LeQuint Allen for 6 yds LeQuint Allen fumbled, recovered by SyracSimilar
Q4 14:28
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
92.4%
Garrett Shrader pass incomplete to Damien AlfordSimilar
Q4 14:23
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
92.4%
Garrett Shrader pass incomplete to Oronde Gadsden IISimilar
Q4 13:55
3RD & 10
OWN 38
+5
92.5%
MINNESOTA Penalty, Defensive Offside (Jah Joyner) to the Syrac 43Similar
Q4 13:40
3RD & 5
OWN 43
-9
91.9%
Garrett Shrader sacked by Mariano Sori-Marin and Jah Joyner for a loss of 9 yards to the Syrac 34Similar
Q4 13:16
4TH & 14
OWN 34
0
93.1%
Maximilian Von Marburg punt for 21 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Minn 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 2:0995% → 96%
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+9
95.3%
Trey Potts run for 9 yds to the Syrac 46Similar
Q4 12:20
2ND & 1
OPP 46
-1
95.5%
Trey Potts run for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 47Similar
Q4 11:33
3RD & 2
OPP 47
0
95.7%
Trey Potts run for no gain to the Syrac 47Similar
Q4 10:51
4TH & 2
OPP 47
0
95.6%
Mark Crawford punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Trebor Pena at the Syrac 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 19DOWNS
16 plays · 50 yds · 5:036% → 4%
Q4 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
93.8%
Garrett Shrader pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:41
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+18
93.9%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Oronde Gadsden II for 18 yds to the Syrac 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+6
93.7%
LeQuint Allen run for 6 yds to the Syrac 34Similar
Q4 9:56
2ND & 4
OWN 34
+9
94.0%
Garrett Shrader run for 9 yds to the Syrac 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:38
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-5
93.9%
SYRACUSE Penalty, Illegal Motion (Devaughn Cooper) to the Syrac 38Similar
Q4 9:11
1ST & 15
OWN 38
+12
94.6%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to LeQuint Allen for 12 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 8:41
2ND & 3
50
+1
93.5%
Juwaun Price run for 1 yd to the Minn 49Similar
Q4 8:07
3RD & 2
OPP 49
+3
94.4%
Garrett Shrader run for 3 yds to the Minn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:37
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
94.3%
Garrett Shrader pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:22
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+6
94.4%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to LeQuint Allen for 6 yds to the Minn 40Similar
Q4 6:59
3RD & 4
OPP 40
+6
94.4%
LeQuint Allen run for 6 yds to the Minn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:35
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
93.9%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Oronde Gadsden II for 4 yds to the Minn 30Similar
Q4 6:12
2ND & 6
OPP 30
-10
93.8%
SYRACUSE Penalty, Offensive Holding (Dakota Davis) to the Minn 40Similar
Q4 6:02
2ND & 16
OPP 40
0
95.0%
Garrett Shrader pass incomplete to Oronde Gadsden IISimilar
Q4 5:56
3RD & 16
OPP 40
0
95.5%
Garrett Shrader pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:45
4TH & 16
OPP 40
0
95.8%
Garrett Shrader pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 0:5797% → 98%
Q4 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
97.3%
Bryce Williams run for 1 yd to the Minn 41Similar
Q4 4:56
2ND & 9
OWN 41
-3
97.4%
Tanner Morgan run for a loss of 3 yards to the Minn 38Similar
Q4 4:46
3RD & 12
OWN 38
+5
97.5%
Bryce Williams run for 5 yds to the Minn 43Similar
Q4 4:33
4TH & 7
OWN 43
+27
97.9%
Mark Crawford punt for 47 yds , Trebor Pena returns for 27 yds to the Syrac 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 21TD
11 plays · 63 yds · 1:563% → 6%
Q4 4:26
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
97.2%
Garrett Shrader pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:18
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+12
97.3%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Devaughn Cooper for 12 yds to the Syrac 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
97.2%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to LeQuint Allen for 6 yds to the Minn 45Similar
Q4 3:51
2ND & 4
OPP 45
-1
97.0%
LeQuint Allen run for a loss of 1 yard to the Minn 46Similar
Q4 3:44
3RD & 5
OPP 46
+28
98.8%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Devaughn Cooper for 28 yds to the Minn 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:12
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+10
98.7%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Devaughn Cooper for 10 yds to the Minn 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
98.7%
Garrett Shrader pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
98.7%
Garrett Shrader pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:43
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
98.8%
Garrett Shrader pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:30
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
94.1%
Garrett Shrader run for 8 yds for a TD (Andre Szmyt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 22Uncategorized
7 plays · 20 yds · 1:3796% → 98%
Q4 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+6
96.3%
Trey Potts run for 6 yds to the Syrac 36Similar
Q4 1:37
2ND & 4
OPP 36
+2
97.4%
Trey Potts run for 2 yds to the Syrac 34Similar
Q4 0:50
3RD & 2
OPP 34
0
97.7%
Trey Potts run for no gain to the Syrac 34Similar
Q4 0:40
4TH & 2
OPP 34
+15
97.2%
SYRACUSE Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Alijah Clark) to the Syrac 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:38
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-3
97.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Syrac 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 7:22
Garrett Shrader pass intercepted for a TD Coleman Bryson return for 70 yds for a TD (Matthew Trickett KICK)
+11.3
TD · Q2 0:08
Garrett Shrader run for 1 yd for a TD (Andre Szmyt KICK)
-8.6
TD · Q3 0:35
Tanner Morgan pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 25 yds for a TD (Matthew Trickett KICK)
+6.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com