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TENN

Tennessee 31 at Clemson 14

CLEM
2022 · Capital One Orange Bowl · Dec 30, 2022 · Hard Rock Stadium
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Win probability · CLEM
modelCLEM aheadTENN aheadconfidence bandkey playCLEM scoreTENN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Tenn 27
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+47.0+23.50−23.5−47.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 9:03: Jabari Small run for 2 yds for a TD (Chase McGrath KICK) — TENN win probability +9.3 pts (now 61%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 5:11: B.T. Potter 31 yd FG GOOD — CLEM win probability +4.0 pts (now 44%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 0:05: Joe Milton III pass complete to Squirrel White for 14 yds for a TD (Chase McGrath KICK) — TENN win probability +13.0 pts (now 90%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 10:01: Cade Klubnik run for 4 yds for a TD TENNESSEE Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (1 Yards) to the Tenn 2 (W. Shipley Run For Two-point Conversion) — CLEM win probability +23.0 pts (now 36%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 8:34: Joe Milton III pass complete to Ramel Keyton for 46 yds for a TD (Chase McGrath KICK) — TENN win probability +15.8 pts (now 93%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CLEM made the numbers' call on 8 of 11TENN made the numbers' call on 7 of 10
  1. Q1 12:48TENN 4th & 11 at TENN 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.7%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:18CLEM 4th & 4 at TENN 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 63.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    63.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    63.3%−0.1
    62% to make
    Punt
    62.7%−0.7
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:05CLEM 4th & 11 at TENN 38, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 58.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.1%−<0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    58.1%−<0.1
    38% to make
    Punt
    58.1%
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:37TENN 4th & 5 at TENN 43, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.6%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:08CLEM 4th & 10 at TENN 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 55.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.0%−0.4
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    55.4%
    51% to make
    Punt
    54.7%−0.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:54TENN 4th & 16 at TENN 26, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.1%−1.6
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:15CLEM 4th & 13 at TENN 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 53.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.6%−1.1
    20% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    53.7%
    66% to make
    Punt
    48.9%−4.9
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:11CLEM 4th & 5 at TENN 14, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 41.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.4%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    40.5%
    84% to make
    Punt
    36.7%−3.8
    average punt
  9. Q2 4:23TENN 4th & 6 at TENN 24, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.6%−0.8
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.5%
    average punt
  10. Q2 2:55CLEM 4th & 10 at TENN 43, down 11
    Close callPunted · 42.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.7%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    41.4%−0.4
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    41.5%−0.2
    average punt
  11. Q2 1:39TENN 4th & 10 at TENN 31, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.9%−1.6
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.5%
    average punt
  12. Q3 10:57CLEM 4th & 5 at TENN 23, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 35.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.7%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    35.0%
    70% to make
    Punt
    28.0%−6.9
    average punt
  13. Q3 10:12TENN 4th & 7 at TENN 28, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.1%−1.2
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.3%
    average punt
  14. Q3 8:04CLEM 4th & 14 at CLEM 31, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.5%−4.3
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.9%
    average punt
  15. Q3 5:52TENN 4th & 25 at TENN 39, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.0%−4.5
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.5%
    average punt
  16. Q3 1:27CLEM 4th & 2 at TENN 31, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 32.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    33.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    30.2%−2.9
    54% to make
    Punt
    27.7%−5.4
    average punt
  17. Q4 8:50TENN 4th & 6 at TENN 41, up 7
    Numbers favored punt by 1.7 ptsWent for it · 77.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    76.5%−1.7
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    78.2%
    average punt
  18. Q4 7:37CLEM 4th & 8 at CLEM 33, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 7.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.4%−0.5
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    7.8%
    average punt
  19. Q4 6:20TENN 4th & 7 at CLEM 46, up 14
    Close callPunted · 94.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.3%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    93.2%−1.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    94.2%−0.1
    average punt
  20. Q4 5:48CLEM 4th & 10 at CLEM 6, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.2%−0.4
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.5%
    average punt
  21. Q4 3:07TENN 4th & 3 at CLEM 15, up 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 96.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.2%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.8%−0.4
    83% to make
    Punt
    92.8%−3.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CLEM made the numbers' call on 1 of 1TENN made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 5:17TENN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 9:03TENN Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 0:05TENN Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 10:01CLEM Touchdown, down 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · converted
    Kick
    22.4%−0.6
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    23.0%
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 8:34TENN Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.9%−0.9
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TENNDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 2:0839% → 39%
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
61.2%
Joe Milton III pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:49
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
61.2%
Joe Milton III pass complete to Squirrel White for 4 yds to the Tenn 29Similar
Q1 14:25
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+14
61.2%
Joe Milton III pass complete to Squirrel White for 14 yds to the Tenn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:56
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
61.0%
Joe Milton III pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:42
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+4
61.1%
Joe Milton III pass complete to Squirrel White for 4 yds to the Tenn 47Similar
Q1 13:10
3RD & 6
OWN 47
-5
61.0%
Joe Milton III sacked by Ruke Orhorhoro for a loss of 5 yards to the Tenn 42Similar
Q1 12:48
4TH & 11
OWN 42
0
61.2%
Paxton Brooks punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Clem 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 2DOWNS
9 plays · 53 yds · 3:2361% → 62%
Q1 12:41
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
61.2%
Will Shipley run for 4 yds to the Clem 26Similar
Q1 12:18
2ND & 6
OWN 26
-8
61.2%
Cade Klubnik sacked by Aaron Beasley for a loss of 8 yards to the Clem 18Similar
Q1 11:30
3RD & 14
OWN 18
+33
60.9%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Cole Turner for 33 yds to the Tenn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:21
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
61.6%
Will Shipley run for 2 yds to the Tenn 47Similar
Q1 10:51
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+14
61.6%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Joseph Ngata for 14 yds to the Tenn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:25
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-1
61.8%
Will Shipley run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tenn 34Similar
Q1 9:56
2ND & 11
OPP 34
+7
61.8%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Antonio Williams for 7 yds to the Tenn 27Similar
Q1 9:24
3RD & 4
OPP 27
0
61.7%
Cade Klubnik pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:18
4TH & 4
OPP 27
+2
61.5%
Drew Swinney run for 2 yds to the Tenn 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 3TD
16 plays · 75 yds · 3:5539% → 44%
Q1 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
61.0%
Joe Milton III pass complete to Bru McCoy for 10 yds to the Tenn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
60.7%
Jabari Small run for 4 yds to the Tenn 39Similar
Q1 8:31
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+9
60.4%
Joe Milton III pass complete to Bru McCoy for 9 yds to the Tenn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-10
60.3%
TENNESSEE Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jerome Carvin) to the Tenn 38Similar
Q1 7:38
1ST & 20
OWN 38
+15
60.6%
Joe Milton III pass complete to Princeton Fant for 15 yds to the Clem 47Similar
Q1 7:33
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+9
60.0%
Jabari Small run for 9 yds to the Clem 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:17
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+10
60.0%
CLEMSON Penalty, Defensive Holding (K.J. Henry) to the Clem 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:07
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
59.7%
Joe Milton III run for 2 yds to the Clem 26Similar
Q1 6:45
2ND & 8
OPP 26
-3
59.7%
Joe Milton III run for 7 yds to the Clem 19 TENNESSEE Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Clem 29Similar
Q1 6:45
2ND & 11
OPP 29
+15
59.8%
CLEMSON Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the Clem 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:31
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+8
59.6%
Jabari Small run for 8 yds to the Clem 6Similar
Q1 6:00
2ND & 2
OPP 6
0
59.5%
Jabari Small run for no gain to the Clem 6Similar
Q1 6:00
3RD & 2
OPP 6
+2
59.8%
Joe Milton III run for 2 yds to the Clem 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-15
59.5%
TENNESSEE Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (TEAM) to the Clem 19Similar
Q1 5:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 19
+3
59.5%
Jaylen Wright run for 3 yds to the Clem 16Similar
Q1 5:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 16
+16
55.9%
Joe Milton III pass complete to Bru McCoy for 16 yds for a TD (Chase McGrath KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 4MISSED FG
9 plays · 37 yds · 2:0757% → 56%
Q1 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
57.2%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Davis Allen for 11 yds to the Clem 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:49
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+12
57.3%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Joseph Ngata for 12 yds to the Clem 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:21
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+15
57.8%
TENNESSEE Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Jaylen McCollough) to the Tenn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:15
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
58.1%
Phil Mafah run for 2 yds to the Tenn 35Similar
Q1 3:57
2ND & 8
OPP 35
0
58.4%
Cade Klubnik run for no gain to the Tenn 35Similar
Q1 3:12
3RD & 8
OPP 35
-3
57.6%
Cade Klubnik sacked by Byron Young for a loss of 3 yards to the Tenn 38Similar
Q1 3:05
4TH & 11
OPP 38
+55
55.6%
B.T. Potter 55 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:1945% → 46%
Q1 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
54.6%
Joe Milton III pass complete to Princeton Fant for 4 yds to the Tenn 42Similar
Q1 2:27
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+3
54.0%
Jaylen Wright run for 3 yds to the Tenn 45Similar
Q1 1:51
3RD & 3
OWN 45
-2
53.6%
Jaylen Wright run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tenn 43Similar
Q1 1:37
4TH & 5
OWN 43
0
54.2%
Paxton Brooks punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Antonio Williams at the Clem 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 6MISSED FG
10 plays · 48 yds · 2:2255% → 53%
Q1 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
54.6%
TENNESSEE Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Kamal Hadden) to the Clem 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
54.7%
Phil Mafah run for 7 yds to the Clem 42Similar
Q1 0:52
2ND & 3
OWN 42
0
55.7%
Cade Klubnik pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:47
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+9
55.2%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Antonio Williams for 9 yds to the Tenn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
55.7%
Phil Mafah run for 5 yds to the Tenn 44Similar
Q2 14:53
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+12
55.8%
Cade Klubnik run for 12 yds to the Tenn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:24
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
56.2%
Cade Klubnik pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:19
2ND & 10
OPP 32
0
56.1%
Cade Klubnik pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:13
3RD & 10
OPP 32
0
55.0%
Cade Klubnik pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:08
4TH & 10
OPP 32
+49
53.4%
B.T. Potter 49 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 1:0148% → 46%
Q2 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-8
52.4%
Joe Milton III sacked by Bryan Bresee for a loss of 8 yards to the Tenn 24Similar
Q2 13:31
2ND & 18
OWN 24
+2
53.3%
Jaylen Wright run for 2 yds to the Tenn 26Similar
Q2 13:01
3RD & 16
OWN 26
0
53.4%
Joe Milton III pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:54
4TH & 16
OWN 26
0
53.9%
Paxton Brooks punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Antonio Williams at the Clem 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 8MISSED FG
8 plays · 41 yds · 2:3053% → 51%
Q2 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-7
53.1%
Cade Klubnik sacked by Aaron Beasley for a loss of 7 yards to the Clem 27Similar
Q2 12:10
2ND & 17
OWN 27
+11
52.2%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Davis Allen for 11 yds to the Clem 38Similar
Q2 11:31
3RD & 6
OWN 38
+15
52.5%
TENNESSEE Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (De'Shawn Rucker) to the Tenn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:21
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+25
54.4%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Antonio Williams for 25 yds to the Tenn 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:06
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
55.2%
Davis Allen pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:59
2ND & 10
OPP 22
-3
55.0%
Cade Klubnik run for a loss of 3 yards to the Tenn 25Similar
Q2 10:20
3RD & 13
OPP 25
0
52.7%
Cade Klubnik pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:15
4TH & 13
OPP 25
+42
51.3%
B.T. Potter 42 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 9TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 0:5749% → 61%
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
50.9%
Joe Milton III pass complete to Bru McCoy for 13 yds to the Tenn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
49.1%
Joe Milton III pass complete to Ramel Keyton for 6 yds to the Tenn 44Similar
Q2 9:20
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+4
48.7%
Joe Milton III pass complete to Squirrel White for 4 yds to the Tenn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+50
48.5%
Joe Milton III pass complete to Squirrel White for 50 yds to the Clem 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
39.1%
Jabari Small run for 2 yds for a TD (Chase McGrath KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 10FG
11 plays · 46 yds · 3:3042% → 44%
Q2 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
42.1%
Phil Mafah run for 7 yds to the Clem 47Similar
Q2 8:18
2ND & 3
OWN 47
+12
42.4%
Phil Mafah run for 12 yds to the Tenn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:04
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
42.2%
Cade Klubnik pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:47
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+11
41.7%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Will Shipley for 11 yds to the Tenn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:34
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+8
42.1%
Cade Klubnik run for 8 yds to the Tenn 22Similar
Q2 6:42
2ND & 2
OPP 22
+3
41.4%
Cade Klubnik run for 3 yds to the Tenn 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:10
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-1
40.9%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Cole Turner for a loss of 1 yard to the Tenn 20Similar
Q2 5:55
2ND & 11
OPP 20
+6
40.6%
Cade Klubnik run for 6 yds to the Tenn 14Similar
Q2 5:16
3RD & 5
OPP 14
0
39.5%
Cade Klubnik pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:11
4TH & 5
OPP 14
+31
43.6%
B.T. Potter 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:2457% → 56%
Q2 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
42.9%
Jabari Small run for 4 yds to the Tenn 24Similar
Q2 4:36
2ND & 6
OWN 24
0
42.4%
Joe Milton III pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:31
3RD & 6
OWN 24
0
43.2%
Joe Milton III pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:23
4TH & 6
OWN 24
0
43.7%
Paxton Brooks punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Antonio Williams at the Clem 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 29 yds · 1:2642% → 41%
Q2 4:21
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+10
41.6%
Cade Klubnik run for 10 yds to the Clem 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:54
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
42.2%
Cade Klubnik pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:31
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+19
41.7%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Joseph Ngata for 19 yds to the Tenn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:15
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
43.2%
Cade Klubnik pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:10
2ND & 10
OPP 43
0
42.8%
Cade Klubnik pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:03
3RD & 10
OPP 43
0
42.1%
Cade Klubnik pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:55
4TH & 10
OPP 43
0
40.6%
Aidan Swanson punt for 43 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 1:0559% → 59%
Q2 2:44
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
40.7%
Jaylen Wright run for 11 yds to the Tenn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-4
39.8%
Joe Milton III run for a loss of 4 yards to the Tenn 27Similar
Q2 1:55
2ND & 14
OWN 27
+6
40.4%
Joe Milton III pass complete to Squirrel White for 6 yds to the Tenn 33Similar
Q2 1:47
3RD & 8
OWN 33
-2
40.1%
Joe Milton III sacked by Tyler Davis for a loss of 2 yards to the Tenn 31Similar
Q2 1:39
4TH & 10
OWN 31
0
41.1%
Paxton Brooks punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Antonio Williams at the Clem 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 14END OF HALF
11 plays · 59 yds · 1:3338% → 39%
Q2 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+11
38.4%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Davis Allen for 11 yds to the Clem 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+12
39.4%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Joseph Ngata for 12 yds to the Tenn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:16
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
40.5%
Cade Klubnik pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:07
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+7
40.1%
Cade Klubnik run for 7 yds to the Tenn 40Similar
Q2 0:59
3RD & 3
OPP 40
+8
40.1%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Will Shipley for 8 yds to the Tenn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:47
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+7
41.8%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Cole Turner for 7 yds to the Tenn 25Similar
Q2 0:35
2ND & 3
OPP 25
+12
41.7%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Adam Randall for 12 yds to the Tenn 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:31
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
41.6%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:31
2ND & 10
OPP 13
-5
41.6%
CLEMSON Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Tenn 18Similar
Q2 0:20
2ND & 15
OPP 18
+5
40.5%
Cade Klubnik run for 5 yds to the Tenn 13Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 10
OPP 13
+2
38.8%
Cade Klubnik run for 2 yds to the Tenn 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 15FG
11 plays · 45 yds · 3:5439% → 41%
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+7
39.0%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Joseph Ngata for 7 yds to the Clem 39Similar
Q3 14:12
2ND & 3
OWN 39
+2
39.8%
Will Shipley run for 2 yds to the Clem 41Similar
Q3 13:53
3RD & 1
OWN 41
+8
39.2%
Will Shipley run for 8 yds to the Clem 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+13
39.8%
Will Shipley run for 13 yds to the Tenn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:09
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+7
40.2%
Cade Klubnik run for 7 yds to the Tenn 31Similar
Q3 12:43
2ND & 3
OPP 31
+3
41.0%
Will Shipley run for 3 yds to the Tenn 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
40.5%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Will Shipley for 2 yds to the Tenn 26Similar
Q3 11:39
2ND & 8
OPP 26
+3
40.3%
Phil Mafah run for 3 yds to the Tenn 23Similar
Q3 11:02
3RD & 5
OPP 23
0
38.2%
Cade Klubnik pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:57
4TH & 5
OPP 23
+40
40.8%
B.T. Potter 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:3363% → 61%
Q3 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
37.3%
Joe Milton III pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:34
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
37.8%
Jabari Small run for 3 yds to the Tenn 28Similar
Q3 10:19
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
37.7%
Joe Milton III pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:12
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
39.1%
Paxton Brooks punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Antonio Williams at the Clem 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 2:0039% → 35%
Q3 10:04
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
39.1%
Will Shipley run for 1 yd to the Clem 36Similar
Q3 9:32
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+1
39.0%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Phil Mafah for 1 yd to the Clem 37Similar
Q3 8:56
3RD & 8
OWN 37
-6
37.7%
Cade Klubnik sacked by Byron Young for a loss of 6 yards to the Clem 31Similar
Q3 8:04
4TH & 14
OWN 31
0
34.8%
Aidan Swanson punt for 38 yds, downed at the Tenn 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 18PUNT
8 plays · 8 yds · 2:0366% → 65%
Q3 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+11
34.2%
Joe Milton III pass complete to Ramel Keyton for 11 yds to the Tenn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
32.5%
Joe Milton III pass complete to Squirrel White for 2 yds to the Tenn 44Similar
Q3 7:26
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+10
32.3%
Joe Milton III run for 10 yds to the Clem 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-1
31.6%
Jabari Small run for a loss of 1 yard to the Clem 47Similar
Q3 6:53
2ND & 11
OPP 47
-10
31.5%
TENNESSEE Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Tenn 43Similar
Q3 6:31
2ND & 21
OWN 43
0
33.5%
Joe Milton III pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:12
3RD & 21
OWN 43
-4
33.9%
Joe Milton III sacked by Barrett Carter for a loss of 4 yards to the Tenn 39Similar
Q3 5:52
4TH & 25
OWN 39
0
35.1%
Paxton Brooks punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Antonio Williams at the Clem 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 19DOWNS
10 plays · 49 yds · 4:1435% → 32%
Q3 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+8
35.4%
Will Shipley run for 8 yds to the Clem 29Similar
Q3 5:26
2ND & 2
OWN 29
+4
37.2%
Cade Klubnik run for 4 yds to the Clem 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
33.3%
Will Shipley run for 5 yds to the Clem 38Similar
Q3 4:40
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+3
35.2%
Cade Klubnik run for 3 yds to the Clem 41Similar
Q3 3:57
3RD & 2
OWN 41
+5
34.6%
Will Shipley run for 5 yds to the Clem 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+15
34.2%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Jake Briningstool for 15 yds to the Tenn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
35.4%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Jake Briningstool for 5 yds to the Tenn 34Similar
Q3 2:50
2ND & 5
OPP 34
0
37.0%
Will Shipley run for no gain to the Tenn 34Similar
Q3 2:12
3RD & 5
OPP 34
+3
34.6%
Cade Klubnik run for 3 yds to the Tenn 31Similar
Q3 1:27
4TH & 2
OPP 31
+1
32.2%
Will Shipley run for 1 yd to the Tenn 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 20TD
4 plays · 70 yds · 1:0773% → 90%
Q3 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
27.1%
Jaylen Wright run for 9 yds to the Tenn 39Similar
Q3 1:03
2ND & 1
OWN 39
+42
25.2%
Jaylen Wright run for 42 yds to the Clem 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:41
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
23.3%
Jaylen Wright run for 5 yds to the Clem 14Similar
Q3 0:05
2ND & 5
OPP 14
+14
10.3%
Joe Milton III pass complete to Squirrel White for 14 yds for a TD (Chase McGrath KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 21TD
13 plays · 71 yds · 4:5517% → 36%
Q4 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+10
17.3%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Joseph Ngata for 10 yds to the Clem 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
17.7%
Phil Mafah run for 3 yds to the Clem 42Similar
Q4 14:10
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+8
18.0%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Joseph Ngata for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:34
1ST & 10
50
+12
17.9%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Cole Turner for 12 yds to the Tenn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:01
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
18.1%
Cade Klubnik run for 4 yds to the Tenn 34Similar
Q4 12:27
2ND & 6
OPP 34
0
18.8%
Cade Klubnik pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:19
3RD & 6
OPP 34
+9
17.6%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Jake Briningstool for 9 yds to the Tenn 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:54
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+6
17.9%
Will Shipley run for 6 yds to the Tenn 19Similar
Q4 11:28
2ND & 4
OPP 19
+2
17.7%
Will Shipley run for 2 yds to the Tenn 17Similar
Q4 10:47
3RD & 2
OPP 17
+10
14.9%
Will Shipley run for 10 yds to the Tenn 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
13.0%
Will Shipley run for 3 yds to the Tenn 4Similar
Q4 10:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
36.0%
Cade Klubnik run for 4 yds for a TD TENNESSEE Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (1 Yards) to the Tenn 2 (W. Shipley Run For Two-point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 22TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:0777% → 93%
Q4 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
22.7%
Jaylen Wright run for 12 yds to the Tenn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
21.5%
Jaylen Wright run for 3 yds to the Tenn 40Similar
Q4 9:10
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+1
20.2%
Jaylen Wright run for 1 yd to the Tenn 41Similar
Q4 8:58
3RD & 6
OWN 41
0
20.5%
Joe Milton III pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:50
4TH & 6
OWN 41
+13
22.7%
Joe Milton III pass complete to Ramel Keyton for 13 yds to the Clem 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:34
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+46
6.8%
Joe Milton III pass complete to Ramel Keyton for 46 yds for a TD (Chase McGrath KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 23INT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:529% → 8%
Q4 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
8.9%
Cade Klubnik pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:21
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+2
8.5%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Joseph Ngata for 2 yds to the Clem 33Similar
Q4 7:48
3RD & 8
OWN 33
0
8.2%
Cade Klubnik pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:37
4TH & 8
OWN 33
0
7.8%
Cade Klubnik pass intercepted Tamarion McDonald return for no gain to the Clem 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 24PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 0:4494% → 95%
Q4 7:04
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
5.9%
Jabari Small run for no gain to the Clem 49Similar
Q4 6:51
2ND & 10
OPP 49
-1
5.8%
Jabari Small run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 6:43
3RD & 11
50
+4
5.6%
Jabari Small run for 4 yds to the Clem 46Similar
Q4 6:20
4TH & 7
OPP 46
0
5.2%
Paxton Brooks punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Antonio Williams at the Clem 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:255% → 5%
Q4 6:13
1ST & 10
OWN 6
0
5.1%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to Joseph NgataSimilar
Q4 6:09
2ND & 10
OWN 6
0
5.0%
Cade Klubnik pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:00
3RD & 10
OWN 6
0
5.0%
Cade Klubnik pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:48
4TH & 10
OWN 6
+9
4.9%
Aidan Swanson punt for 41 yds , Dee Williams returns for 9 yds to the Clem 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 26FG
7 plays · 23 yds · 2:3395% → 98%
Q4 5:40
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+6
4.7%
Jabari Small run for 6 yds to the Clem 32Similar
Q4 5:15
2ND & 4
OPP 32
+10
4.4%
Joe Milton III pass complete to Squirrel White for 10 yds to the Clem 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:44
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
3.9%
Jabari Small run for no gain to the Clem 22Similar
Q4 4:00
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+1
3.9%
Joe Milton III run for 1 yd to the Clem 21Similar
Q4 3:20
3RD & 9
OPP 21
+6
3.0%
Joe Milton III run for 6 yds to the Clem 15Similar
Q4 3:07
4TH & 3
OPP 15
+32
2.3%
Chase McGrath 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 27INT
9 plays · 61 yds · 1:071% → 1%
Q4 2:49
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
1.1%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Will Shipley for no gain to the Clem 24Similar
Q4 2:36
2ND & 10
OWN 24
0
1.1%
Cade Klubnik pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:28
3RD & 10
OWN 24
+13
1.1%
TENNESSEE Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Juwan Mitchell) to the Clem 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:12
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+17
1.1%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Adam Randall for 17 yds to the Tenn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:06
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
1.2%
Cade Klubnik pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:59
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+16
1.0%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Davis Allen for 16 yds to the Tenn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:51
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+15
1.2%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Adam Randall for 15 yds to the Tenn 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:42
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
1.1%
Cade Klubnik pass intercepted, touchback. Wesley Walker return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 28END OF 4TH QUARTER
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:4298% → 98%
Q4 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
1.8%
CLEMSON Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the Tenn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
1.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tenn 33Similar
Q4 0:54
2ND & 12
OWN 33
-3
1.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Tenn 30Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 15
OWN 30
-3
1.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Tenn 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 10:01
Cade Klubnik run for 4 yds for a TD TENNESSEE Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (1 Yards) to the Tenn 2 (W. Shipley Run For Two-point Conversion)
+23
TD · Q4 8:34
Joe Milton III pass complete to Ramel Keyton for 46 yds for a TD (Chase McGrath KICK)
-15.8
TD · Q3 0:05
Joe Milton III pass complete to Squirrel White for 14 yds for a TD (Chase McGrath KICK)
-13
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com