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OSU

Ohio State 41 at Georgia 42

UGA
2022 · CFP Semifinal at the Chick-fil-A Peach Bowl · Dec 31, 2022 · Mercedes-Benz Stadium
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Win probability · UGA
modelUGA aheadOSU aheadconfidence bandkey playUGA scoreOSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDFGFGTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 13:56 · Brett Thorson punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Emeka Egbuka at the OhSt 30
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+29.0+14.50−14.5−29.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 89Home team on offense−3.3Pregame prior+6.2Score differential−0.9Garbage-time factor−1.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 9:16: Kendall Milton 11 Yd Run (Jack Podlesny Kick) — UGA win probability +11.9 pts (now 57%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:49: Xavier Johnson 37 Yd pass from C.J. Stroud (Noah Ruggles Kick) — OSU win probability +18.3 pts (now 53%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 10:37: Emeka Egbuka 10 Yd pass from C.J. Stroud (Noah Ruggles Kick) — OSU win probability +12.3 pts (now 66%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 8:41: Arian Smith 76 Yd pass from Stetson Bennett (Stetson Bennett Pass to Ladd McConkey for Two-Point Conversion) — UGA win probability +27.0 pts (now 41%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:54: Adonai Mitchell 10 Yd pass from Stetson Bennett (Jack Podlesny Kick) — UGA win probability +53.2 pts (now 83%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UGA made the numbers' call on 4 of 7OSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 13:11OSU 4th & 17 at OSU 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.2%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:31UGA 4th & 4 at OSU 29, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 65.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    65.6%−0.1
    58% to make
    Punt
    65.1%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q2 7:41OSU 4th & 16 at OSU 19, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.3%−2.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.6%
    average punt
  4. Q2 4:12OSU 4th & 6 at OSU 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.9%−0.4
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 1:44UGA 4th & 4 at OSU 14, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 63.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.0%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    62.7%−0.2
    84% to make
    Punt
    57.7%−5.3
    average punt
  6. Q3 13:56UGA 4th & 6 at UGA 33, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.5%−1.4
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.9%
    average punt
  7. Q3 8:15UGA 4th & 7 at UGA 38, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.6%−0.7
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.3%
    average punt
  8. Q3 6:07OSU 4th & 16 at OSU 4, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.4%−6.0
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.4%
    average punt
  9. Q3 3:50UGA 4th & 12 at OSU 34, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 28.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.5%−0.9
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    28.4%
    47% to make
    Punt
    27.5%−0.9
    average punt
  10. Q3 0:31OSU 4th & 7 at UGA 7, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 75.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.6%−0.7
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    74.3%
    91% to make
    Punt
    65.2%−9.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 12:10UGA 4th & 6 at OSU 13, down 14
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.3 ptsWent for it · 17.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.2%−1.3
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    17.6%
    85% to make
    Punt
    9.2%−8.4
    average punt
  12. Q4 10:14UGA 4th & 13 at OSU 13, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 13.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.2%−2.3
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    13.4%
    85% to make
    Punt
    6.8%−6.6
    average punt
  13. Q4 8:51OSU 4th & 1 at OSU 34, up 11
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsPunted · 85.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.6%−1.4
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:43OSU 4th & 17 at UGA 30, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 73.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.9%−6.7
    14% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    72.6%
    56% to make
    Punt
    65.4%−7.2
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:03OSU 4th & 11 at UGA 32, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 22.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.3%−26.3
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    43.6%
    51% to make
    Punt
    12.9%−30.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UGA made the numbers' call on 4 of 5OSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 8:16OSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    36.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:15UGA Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:30OSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 10:56OSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 9:16UGA Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 6:07UGA Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 0:49OSU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 10:37OSU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 8:41UGA Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    33.7%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    33.4%−0.3
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 0:54UGA Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.3%−7.4
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OSUDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 1:4237% → 37%
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
63.0%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 11 yds to the OhSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:26
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
63.0%
Dallan Hayden run for 3 yds to the OhSt 39Similar
Q1 13:56
2ND & 7
OWN 39
0
62.9%
C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Marvin Harrison Jr.Similar
Q1 13:52
3RD & 7
OWN 39
-10
62.9%
C.J. Stroud sacked by Smael Mondon Jr. for a loss of 10 yards to the OhSt 29Similar
Q1 13:11
4TH & 17
OWN 29
0
63.1%
Jesse Mirco punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Kearis Jackson at the Geo 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 2MISSED FG
7 plays · 45 yds · 2:3363% → 63%
Q1 13:04
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+11
63.0%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Adonai Mitchell for 11 yds to the Geo 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:33
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
63.0%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Marcus Rosemy-Jacksaint for 6 yds to the Geo 43Similar
Q1 11:53
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+22
63.2%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Adonai Mitchell for 22 yds to the OhSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:36
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
63.4%
Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to Adonai MitchellSimilar
Q1 11:24
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+9
63.4%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Darnell Washington for 9 yds to the OhSt 26Similar
Q1 11:12
3RD & 1
OPP 26
-3
63.3%
Stetson Bennett run for a loss of 3 yards to the OhSt 29Similar
Q1 10:31
4TH & 4
OPP 29
+47
63.1%
Jack Podlesny 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 3TD
4 plays · 71 yds · 2:0937% → 41%
Q1 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+24
62.7%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 24 yds to the Geo 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+13
62.2%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 13 yds to the Geo 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:01
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
62.0%
Dallan Hayden run for 3 yds to the Geo 31Similar
Q1 8:16
2ND & 7
OPP 31
+31
59.2%
Marvin Harrison Jr. 31 Yd pass from C.J. Stroud (Noah Ruggles Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 4TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 4:5160% → 63%
Q1 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-7
60.1%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Ladd McConkey for a loss of 7 yards to the Geo 18Similar
Q1 7:26
2ND & 17
OWN 18
+7
59.7%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Kenny McIntosh for 7 yds to the Geo 25Similar
Q1 6:48
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+20
59.2%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Dominick Blaylock for 20 yds to the Geo 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
59.9%
Daijun Edwards run for 2 yds to the Geo 47Similar
Q1 5:26
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+18
59.7%
Daijun Edwards run for 18 yds to the OhSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:41
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+17
60.2%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Brock Bowers for 17 yds to the OhSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:59
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-7
60.0%
Stetson Bennett sacked by Steele Chambers and Taron Vincent for a loss of 7 yards to the OhSt 25Similar
Q1 3:15
2ND & 17
OPP 25
+25
63.3%
Kenny McIntosh 25 Yd pass from Stetson Bennett (Jack Podlesny Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 5TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 5:3938% → 47%
Q1 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
62.0%
Xavier Johnson run for 7 yds to the OhSt 32Similar
Q1 2:40
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
61.3%
Miyan Williams run for 2 yds to the OhSt 34Similar
Q1 1:56
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+4
61.2%
Miyan Williams run for 4 yds to the OhSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
60.8%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 2 yds to the OhSt 40Similar
Q1 0:53
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+7
60.6%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Cade Stover for 7 yds to the OhSt 47Similar
Q1 0:14
3RD & 1
OWN 47
+13
60.2%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 13 yds to the Geo 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:45
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+24
59.7%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 24 yds Marvin Harrison Jr. fumbled, recovered by OhStSimilar
Q2 14:15
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+5
59.0%
Dallan Hayden run for 5 yds to the Geo 11Similar
Q2 13:28
2ND & 5
OPP 11
-1
58.8%
C.J. Stroud run for a loss of 1 yard to the Geo 12Similar
Q2 12:41
3RD & 6
OPP 12
+10
59.3%
Stroud, C.J. pass incomplete to Egbuka, Emeka, PENALTY GEORGIA pass interference 10 yards to the GEORGIA2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OHIOST.Similar
Q2 12:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
58.6%
C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Marvin Harrison Jr.Similar
Q2 12:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
53.0%
Miyan Williams 2 Yd Run (Noah Ruggles Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 6INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0055% → 55%
Q2 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-15
55.3%
Stetson Bennett pass intercepted Steele Chambers return for 15 yds to the Geo 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 7TD
3 plays · 30 yds · 1:1747% → 56%
Q2 12:13
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+13
52.9%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Julian Fleming for 13 yds to the Geo 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:38
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+1
52.5%
Dallan Hayden run for 1 yd to the Geo 16Similar
Q2 10:56
2ND & 9
OPP 16
+16
43.8%
Marvin Harrison Jr. 16 Yd pass from C.J. Stroud (Noah Ruggles Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 8TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:3346% → 57%
Q2 10:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+21
45.6%
Daijun Edwards run for 21 yds to the Geo 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-4
46.5%
Stetson Bennett run for 1 yd to the Geo 47 GEORGIA Penalty, Illegal Forward Pass (-5 Yards) to the Geo 42Similar
Q2 9:59
2ND & 14
OWN 42
+47
45.1%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Arian Smith for 47 yds to the OhSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:16
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
57.0%
Kendall Milton 11 Yd Run (Jack Podlesny Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 1:2647% → 47%
Q2 9:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
52.9%
Emeka Egbuka run for 3 yds to the OhSt 28Similar
Q2 8:36
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
52.5%
C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Marvin Harrison Jr.Similar
Q2 8:29
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-9
53.0%
C.J. Stroud sacked by Mykel Williams for a loss of 9 yards to the OhSt 19Similar
Q2 7:41
4TH & 16
OWN 19
0
52.6%
Jesse Mirco punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Kearis Jackson at the Geo 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 10TD
3 plays · 62 yds · 1:2653% → 66%
Q2 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+52
52.6%
Kenny McIntosh run for 52 yds to the OhSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+7
55.3%
Daijun Edwards run for 7 yds to the OhSt 3Similar
Q2 6:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
65.9%
Stetson Bennett 3 Yd Run (Jack Podlesny Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 4 yds · 1:4541% → 39%
Q2 5:57
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+9
59.4%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Joe Royer for 9 yds to the OhSt 35Similar
Q2 5:21
2ND & 1
OWN 35
0
58.0%
C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Emeka EgbukaSimilar
Q2 5:15
3RD & 1
OWN 35
0
58.1%
Dallan Hayden run for no gain to the OhSt 35Similar
Q2 4:24
4TH & 1
OWN 35
-5
60.1%
OHIO ST Penalty, Illegal Motion (-5 Yards) to the OhSt 30Similar
Q2 4:12
4TH & 6
OWN 30
0
61.3%
Jesse Mirco punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Kearis Jackson at the Geo 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 12FG
10 plays · 53 yds · 2:1864% → 67%
Q2 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
63.5%
Kenny McIntosh run for 4 yds to the Geo 37Similar
Q2 3:50
2ND & 6
OWN 37
0
64.7%
Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to Adonai MitchellSimilar
Q2 3:41
3RD & 6
OWN 37
+28
63.3%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Marcus Rosemy-Jacksaint for 28 yds to the OhSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:10
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+15
66.7%
Kendall Milton run for 15 yds to the OhSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:29
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
66.6%
Kendall Milton run for no gain to the OhSt 20Similar
Q2 1:56
2ND & 10
OPP 20
0
66.3%
Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to Daijun EdwardsSimilar
Q2 1:49
3RD & 10
OPP 20
+6
64.9%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Ladd McConkey for 6 yds to the OhSt 14Similar
Q2 1:44
4TH & 4
OPP 14
+32
66.5%
Jack Podlesny 32 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 13TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 0:4631% → 53%
Q2 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
68.8%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Xavier Johnson for 6 yds to the OhSt 31Similar
Q2 1:19
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+19
67.8%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 19 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:06
1ST & 10
50
+13
65.8%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Julian Fleming for 13 yds to the Geo 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:49
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+37
47.5%
Xavier Johnson 37 Yd pass from C.J. Stroud (Noah Ruggles Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 14END OF HALF
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:1054% → 53%
Q2 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
54.3%
Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to Kearis JacksonSimilar
Q2 0:40
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
54.0%
Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to Ladd McConkeySimilar
Q2 0:36
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-1
53.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Geo 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:4753% → 51%
Q3 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
53.4%
Kenny McIntosh run for 4 yds to the Geo 33Similar
Q3 14:07
2ND & 6
OWN 33
0
53.5%
Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to Brock BowersSimilar
Q3 14:03
3RD & 6
OWN 33
0
52.5%
Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to Adonai MitchellSimilar
Q3 13:56
4TH & 6
OWN 33
0
51.4%
Brett Thorson punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Emeka Egbuka at the OhSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 16TD
6 plays · 70 yds · 3:0749% → 66%
Q3 13:44
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+25
50.8%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Julian Fleming for 25 yds to the Geo 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:05
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+8
48.2%
Xavier Johnson run for 8 yds to the Geo 37Similar
Q3 12:31
2ND & 2
OPP 37
+19
47.6%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 19 yds to the Geo 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:53
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+6
46.3%
Xavier Johnson run for 6 yds to the Geo 12Similar
Q3 11:13
2ND & 4
OPP 12
+2
46.0%
Xavier Johnson run for 2 yds to the Geo 10Similar
Q3 10:37
3RD & 2
OPP 10
+10
33.7%
Emeka Egbuka 10 Yd pass from C.J. Stroud (Noah Ruggles Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 2:1534% → 32%
Q3 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
34.4%
Kenny McIntosh run for 10 yds to the Geo 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
34.3%
Kenny McIntosh run for no gain to the Geo 35Similar
Q3 9:05
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+3
33.5%
Daijun Edwards run for 3 yds to the Geo 38Similar
Q3 8:27
3RD & 7
OWN 38
0
32.9%
Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to Kearis JacksonSimilar
Q3 8:15
4TH & 7
OWN 38
0
31.6%
Brett Thorson punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Emeka Egbuka at the OhSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 2:0167% → 67%
Q3 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+3
32.6%
Emeka Egbuka run for 3 yds to the OhSt 13Similar
Q3 7:34
2ND & 7
OWN 13
-5
32.3%
C.J. Stroud sacked by Javon Bullard for a loss of 5 yards to the OhSt 8Similar
Q3 6:49
3RD & 12
OWN 8
-4
32.8%
OHIO ST Penalty, Substitution Infraction (-4 Yards) to the OhSt 4Similar
Q3 6:21
3RD & 16
OWN 4
0
32.4%
C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Marvin Harrison Jr.Similar
Q3 6:07
4TH & 16
OWN 4
+22
32.9%
Jesse Mirco punt for 50 yds , Kearis Jackson returns for 22 yds to the OhSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 19MISSED FG
4 plays · -2 yds · 2:1136% → 28%
Q3 6:01
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
35.8%
Daijun Edwards run for 2 yds to the OhSt 30Similar
Q3 5:20
2ND & 8
OPP 30
+1
35.3%
Daijun Edwards run for 1 yd to the OhSt 29Similar
Q3 4:37
3RD & 7
OPP 29
-5
31.8%
Stetson Bennett sacked by Zach Harrison and Javontae Jean-Baptiste for a loss of 5 yards to the OhSt 34Similar
Q3 3:50
4TH & 12
OPP 34
+52
27.7%
Jack Podlesny 52 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 20FG
9 plays · 59 yds · 3:1972% → 84%
Q3 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-10
28.4%
Stroud, C.J. pass complete to Egbuka, Emeka for 3 yards to the OHIOST37, PENALTY OHIOST holding 10 yards to the OHIOST24, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:16
1ST & 20
OWN 24
+15
28.7%
Stroud, C.J. pass incomplete to Harrison Jr., Marvin, PENALTY GEORGIA pass interference 15 yards to the OHIOST39, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OHIOST.Similar
Q3 3:07
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
26.1%
C.J. Stroud run for 7 yds to the OhSt 46Similar
Q3 2:29
2ND & 3
OWN 46
+17
25.5%
Dallan Hayden run for 17 yds to the Geo 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:55
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+27
24.8%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 27 yds to the Geo 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
23.3%
Dallan Hayden run for 3 yds to the Geo 7Similar
Q3 0:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
22.9%
C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Julian FlemingSimilar
Q3 0:35
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
23.1%
C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Marvin Harrison Jr.Similar
Q3 0:31
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+25
15.8%
Noah Ruggles 25 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 21FG
13 plays · 62 yds · 5:0418% → 16%
Q3 0:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
17.6%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Kenny McIntosh for 17 yds to the Geo 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
19.4%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Arian Smith for 6 yds to the Geo 48Similar
Q4 14:07
2ND & 4
OWN 48
+9
19.1%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Daijun Edwards for 9 yds to the OhSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:54
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+26
19.5%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Brock Bowers for 26 yds to the OhSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:35
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
20.4%
Stetson Bennett run for 3 yds to the OhSt 14Similar
Q4 12:58
2ND & 7
OPP 14
+1
19.4%
Brock Bowers run for 1 yd to the OhSt 13Similar
Q4 12:15
3RD & 6
OPP 13
0
18.3%
Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to Adonai MitchellSimilar
Q4 12:10
4TH & 6
OPP 13
+6
17.4%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Brock Bowers for 6 yds to the OhSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
18.8%
Daijun Edwards run for 4 yds to the OhSt 3Similar
Q4 11:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-10
18.3%
Stetson Bennett run for a loss of 10 yards to the OhSt 13 Stetson Bennett fumbled, recovered by Geo Ladd McConkeySimilar
Q4 10:19
3RD & GOAL
OPP 13
0
13.6%
Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to Ladd McConkeySimilar
Q4 10:14
4TH & GOAL
OPP 13
+31
16.2%
Jack Podlesny 31 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:1684% → 86%
Q4 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
16.0%
Xavier Johnson run for 3 yds to the OhSt 28Similar
Q4 9:44
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
15.4%
C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Emeka EgbukaSimilar
Q4 9:30
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+6
15.5%
C.J. Stroud run for 6 yds to the OhSt 34Similar
Q4 8:51
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
13.7%
Jesse Mirco punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Kearis Jackson at the Geo 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 23TD
1 play · 76 yds · 0:0041% → 41%
Q4 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+76
40.7%
Arian Smith 76 Yd pass from Stetson Bennett (Stetson Bennett Pass to Ladd McConkey for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 24FG
13 plays · 45 yds · 5:5166% → 85%
Q4 8:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
34.4%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Julian Fleming for 8 yds to the OhSt 33Similar
Q4 7:55
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+12
31.7%
Dallan Hayden run for 12 yds to the OhSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
29.1%
C.J. Stroud run for 4 yds to the OhSt 49Similar
Q4 6:27
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+17
27.6%
C.J. Stroud run for 17 yds to the Geo 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:05
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
22.9%
Xavier Johnson run for 2 yds to the Geo 32Similar
Q4 5:44
2ND & 8
OPP 32
0
22.4%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Xavier Johnson for no gain to the Geo 32Similar
Q4 5:09
3RD & 8
OPP 32
+9
24.1%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 9 yds to the Geo 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:18
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+5
21.7%
C.J. Stroud run for 5 yds to the Geo 18Similar
Q4 3:40
2ND & 5
OPP 18
-12
20.3%
C.J. Stroud sacked by Jamon Dumas-Johnson for a loss of 12 yards to the Geo 30Similar
Q4 2:49
3RD & 17
OPP 30
0
22.3%
C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Joe RoyerSimilar
Q4 2:43
4TH & 17
OPP 30
+48
14.6%
Noah Ruggles 48 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 25TD
7 plays · 72 yds · 1:3124% → 83%
Q4 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
24.2%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Kenny McIntosh for 2 yds to the Geo 30Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+15
22.1%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Brock Bowers for 15 yds to the Geo 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
21.4%
Bennett, Stetson pass incomplete to McConkey, Ladd, PENALTY OHIOST offside 5 yards to the 50 yardline, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:42
1ST & 5
50
+35
26.4%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Kearis Jackson for 35 yds to the OhSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:28
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+5
29.8%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Kenny McIntosh for 5 yds to the OhSt 10Similar
Q4 0:54
2ND & 5
OPP 10
+10
83.0%
Adonai Mitchell 10 Yd pass from Stetson Bennett (Jack Podlesny Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 26MISSED FG
11 plays · 43 yds · 0:3931% → 25%
Q4 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
69.0%
C.J. Stroud run for 5 yds to the OhSt 30Similar
Q4 0:39
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+12
68.0%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Julian Fleming for 12 yds to the OhSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+27
65.5%
C.J. Stroud run for 27 yds to the Geo 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:19
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-1
59.5%
Dallan Hayden run for a loss of 1 yard to the Geo 32Similar
Q4 0:15
2ND & 11
OPP 32
0
62.7%
C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Xavier JohnsonSimilar
Q4 0:08
3RD & 11
OPP 32
0
70.8%
C.J. Stroud pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:03
4TH & 11
OPP 32
+50
74.7%
Noah Ruggles 50 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 27Uncategorized
2 plays · -16 yds · 0:0393% → 93%
Q4 0:03
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-15
92.5%
GEORGIA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the Geo 17Similar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 25
OWN 17
-1
93.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Geo 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:54
Adonai Mitchell 10 Yd pass from Stetson Bennett (Jack Podlesny Kick)
+53.2
TD · Q4 8:41
Arian Smith 76 Yd pass from Stetson Bennett (Stetson Bennett Pass to Ladd McConkey for Two-Point Conversion)
+27
TD · Q2 0:49
Xavier Johnson 37 Yd pass from C.J. Stroud (Noah Ruggles Kick)
-18.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com