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PSU

Penn State 35 at Utah 21

UTAH
2022 · Rose Bowl Game · Jan 2, 2023 · Rose Bowl
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Win probability · UTAH
modelUTAH aheadPSU aheadconfidence bandkey playUTAH scorePSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:20 · TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Utah 47
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remainingPregame prior
+54.0+27.00−27.0−54.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 7:55: Cameron Rising pass complete to Thomas Yassmin for 1 yd for a TD Timeout PENN ST, clock 07:55 (Jordan Noyes KICK) — UTAH win probability +11.5 pts (now 54%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 4:47: Sean Clifford pass complete to Mitchell Tinsley for 10 yds for a TD (Jake Pinegar KICK) — PSU win probability +8.8 pts (now 64%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 2:38: Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 19 yds for a TD (Jordan Noyes KICK) — UTAH win probability +11.5 pts (now 55%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 9:25: Nicholas Singleton run for 87 yds for a TD (Jake Pinegar KICK) — PSU win probability +15.7 pts (now 65%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 14:49: Sean Clifford pass complete to KeAndre Lambert-Smith for 88 yds for a TD (Jake Pinegar KICK) — PSU win probability +16.2 pts (now 87%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UTAH made the numbers' call on 6 of 7PSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 6
  1. Q1 12:52PSU 4th & 11 at PSU 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.7%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:24UTAH 4th & 8 at UTAH 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.2%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:59PSU 4th & 1 at PSU 35, tied
    Close callPunted · 51.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.1%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:43UTAH 4th & 1 at midfield, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 44.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    44.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    42.9%−1.9
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:54PSU 4th & 7 at PSU 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.1%−0.7
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.8%
    average punt
  6. Q3 10:17UTAH 4th & 19 at PSU 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.4%−3.2
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    51.7%−2.0
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    53.6%
    average punt
  7. Q3 4:24PSU 4th & 6 at PSU 46, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.5%−0.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.9%
    average punt
  8. Q3 1:18UTAH 4th & 4 at PSU 44, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.9 ptsPunted · 35.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    32.0%−4.2
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    34.3%−1.9
    average punt
  9. Q4 13:20UTAH 4th & 16 at UTAH 19, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.8%−2.0
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.8%
    average punt
  10. Q4 8:30UTAH 4th & 30 at UTAH 5, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.4%−0.6
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.1%
    average punt
  11. Q4 6:14PSU 4th & 6 at UTAH 44, up 21
    Close callPunted · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    98.4%−0.3
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    98.6%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 3:14UTAH 4th & 2 at UTAH 38, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.9%−0.2
    average punt
  13. Q4 2:12PSU 4th & 6 at UTAH 22, up 21
    Close callWent for it · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.1%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    99.1%
    72% to make
    Punt
    98.6%−0.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UTAH made the numbers' call on 3 of 3PSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 0:07PSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 7:55UTAH Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 4:47PSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 2:38UTAH Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 9:25PSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 14:49PSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 10:36PSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 0:25UTAH Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
PSUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:5356% → 55%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-3
44.3%
Sean Clifford run for a loss of 3 yards to the PnSt 20Similar
Q1 14:02
2ND & 13
OWN 20
+6
44.5%
Nicholas Singleton run for 6 yds to the PnSt 26Similar
Q1 13:05
3RD & 7
OWN 26
-4
44.8%
Sean Clifford sacked by Lander Barton for a loss of 4 yards to the PnSt 22Similar
Q1 12:52
4TH & 11
OWN 22
0
45.0%
Barney Amor punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Devaughn Vele at the Utah 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:5645% → 45%
Q1 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
45.1%
Micah Bernard run for 3 yds to the Utah 40Similar
Q1 11:42
2ND & 7
OWN 40
-1
45.4%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Micah Bernard for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 39Similar
Q1 11:32
3RD & 8
OWN 39
0
45.2%
Cameron Rising pass incomplete to Devaughn VeleSimilar
Q1 11:24
4TH & 8
OWN 39
0
45.1%
Jack Bouwmeester punt for 52 yds , Mitchell Tinsley returns for no gain to the PnSt 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 26 yds · 2:1955% → 54%
Q1 11:18
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+17
45.3%
Nicholas Singleton run for 17 yds to the PnSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
45.2%
Nicholas Singleton run for no gain to the PnSt 26Similar
Q1 10:19
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+5
45.4%
Nicholas Singleton run for 5 yds to the PnSt 31Similar
Q1 9:30
3RD & 5
OWN 31
+4
45.7%
Sean Clifford pass complete to Mitchell Tinsley for 4 yds to the PnSt 35Similar
Q1 8:59
4TH & 1
OWN 35
0
45.8%
Barney Amor punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Utah 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 4INT
8 plays · 37 yds · 3:4246% → 47%
Q1 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+12
45.8%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Money Parks for 12 yds to the Utah 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
46.1%
Jaylen Dixon run for 5 yds to the Utah 37Similar
Q1 7:41
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+11
46.5%
Micah Bernard run for 11 yds to the Utah 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+9
47.0%
Money Parks run for 9 yds to the PnSt 43Similar
Q1 6:32
2ND & 1
OPP 43
+3
47.4%
Micah Bernard run for 3 yds to the PnSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:03
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-5
47.5%
UTAH Penalty, False Start (Braeden Daniels) to the PnSt 45Similar
Q1 5:15
1ST & 15
OPP 45
+2
47.3%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 2 yds to the PnSt 43Similar
Q1 4:58
2ND & 13
OPP 43
0
47.4%
Cameron Rising pass intercepted Kalen King return for no gain to the PnSt 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 5TD
12 plays · 82 yds · 4:2653% → 60%
Q1 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
46.7%
Kaytron Allen run for no gain to the PnSt 18Similar
Q1 4:00
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+7
46.8%
Sean Clifford pass complete to Kaytron Allen for 7 yds to the PnSt 25Similar
Q1 3:38
3RD & 3
OWN 25
+15
47.1%
Sean Clifford pass complete to Tyler Warren for 15 yds to the PnSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
46.2%
Sean Clifford pass incomplete to Mitchell TinsleySimilar
Q1 3:17
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+16
46.4%
Kaytron Allen run for 16 yds to the Utah 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:55
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
45.7%
Kaytron Allen run for no gain to the Utah 44Similar
Q1 2:15
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+3
45.4%
Sean Clifford pass complete to Kaytron Allen for 3 yds to the Utah 41Similar
Q1 1:54
3RD & 7
OPP 41
+28
45.7%
Sean Clifford pass complete to Theo Johnson for 28 yds to the Utah 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:35
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+5
45.0%
Clifford, Sean pass incomplete to Wallace III, Harrison, PENALTY UTAH offside (Reid, Gabe) 5 yards to the UTAH8, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:30
1ST & 5
OPP 8
-1
45.0%
Kaytron Allen run for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 9Similar
Q1 0:46
2ND & 6
OPP 9
+4
45.0%
Sean Clifford pass complete to KeAndre Lambert-Smith for 4 yds to the Utah 5Similar
Q1 0:07
3RD & 2
OPP 5
+5
40.1%
Nicholas Singleton run for 5 yds for a TD (Jake Pinegar KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 6TD
16 plays · 75 yds · 7:0742% → 54%
Q1 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
41.8%
Cameron Rising run for 3 yds to the Utah 28Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+13
42.0%
Rising, Cameron pass incomplete to Vele, Devaughn, PENALTY PENNST pass interference (Dixon, Johnny) 13 yards to the UTAH41, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN UTAH.Similar
Q2 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+7
42.8%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Devaughn Vele for 7 yds to the Utah 48Similar
Q2 14:12
2ND & 3
OWN 48
+1
43.3%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Jaylen Dixon for 1 yd to the Utah 49Similar
Q2 13:31
3RD & 2
OWN 49
+1
42.9%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 12:43
4TH & 1
50
+3
42.3%
Cameron Rising run for 3 yds to the PnSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:20
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
43.3%
PENN ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (PJ Mustipher) to the PnSt 42Similar
Q2 11:53
1ST & 5
OPP 42
+4
43.4%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 4 yds to the PnSt 38Similar
Q2 11:22
2ND & 1
OPP 38
+5
43.4%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 5 yds to the PnSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:53
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+6
44.2%
Cameron Rising run for 6 yds to the PnSt 27Similar
Q2 10:17
2ND & 4
OPP 27
+15
44.2%
Micah Bernard run for 15 yds to the PnSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:38
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
43.7%
Micah Bernard run for 2 yds to the PnSt 10Similar
Q2 9:02
2ND & 8
OPP 10
+7
43.7%
Cameron Rising run for 7 yds to the PnSt 3Similar
Q2 8:26
3RD & 1
OPP 3
+2
42.7%
Cameron Rising run for 2 yds to the PnSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
54.2%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Thomas Yassmin for 1 yd for a TD Timeout PENN ST, clock 07:55 (Jordan Noyes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 7TD
7 plays · 70 yds · 2:5152% → 64%
Q2 7:38
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
47.6%
Sean Clifford pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:58
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+2
47.9%
Kaytron Allen run for 2 yds to the PnSt 32Similar
Q2 6:10
3RD & 8
OWN 32
+32
48.6%
Sean Clifford pass complete to KeAndre Lambert-Smith for 32 yds to the Utah 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:57
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+6
45.4%
Sean Clifford pass complete to Kaytron Allen for 6 yds to the Utah 30Similar
Q2 5:06
2ND & 4
OPP 30
+20
44.7%
Sean Clifford pass complete to Harrison Wallace III for 20 yds to the Utah 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
35.9%
Sean Clifford pass complete to Mitchell Tinsley for 10 yds for a TD (Jake Pinegar KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 8TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:5939% → 55%
Q2 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
39.3%
Micah Bernard run for no gain to the Utah 25Similar
Q2 4:04
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
39.1%
Cameron Rising pass incomplete to Makai CopeSimilar
Q2 3:35
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+47
38.1%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Devaughn Vele for 47 yds to the PnSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:24
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
43.6%
Cameron Rising pass incomplete to Micah BernardSimilar
Q2 3:15
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+9
43.4%
Micah Bernard run for 9 yds to the PnSt 19Similar
Q2 2:38
3RD & 1
OPP 19
+19
54.9%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 19 yds for a TD (Jordan Noyes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 9PUNT
10 plays · 19 yds · 1:3352% → 52%
Q2 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
48.5%
Sean Clifford pass complete to Mitchell Tinsley for 1 yd to the PnSt 22Similar
Q2 1:51
2ND & 9
OWN 22
-1
48.6%
Sean Clifford sacked by Junior Tafuna for a loss of 1 yard to the PnSt 21Similar
Q2 1:21
3RD & 10
OWN 21
+16
49.9%
Sean Clifford pass complete to Mitchell Tinsley for 16 yds to the PnSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
47.7%
Sean Clifford pass incomplete to Nicholas SingletonSimilar
Q2 1:06
2ND & 10
OWN 37
-6
48.1%
Sean Clifford sacked by Karene Reid for a loss of 6 yards to the PnSt 31Similar
Q2 1:01
3RD & 16
OWN 31
+9
49.3%
Kaytron Allen run for 9 yds to the PnSt 40Similar
Q2 0:54
4TH & 7
OWN 40
0
48.2%
Barney Amor punt for 60 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 10END OF HALF
7 plays · 24 yds · 0:4151% → 51%
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
51.0%
Cameron Rising run for 15 yds to the Utah 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
51.5%
Cameron Rising pass incomplete to Devaughn VeleSimilar
Q2 0:30
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
51.3%
Cameron Rising pass incomplete to Thomas YassminSimilar
Q2 0:23
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+14
49.7%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Devaughn Vele for 14 yds to the Utah 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
54.2%
Cameron Rising pass incomplete to Devaughn VeleSimilar
Q2 0:11
2ND & 10
OWN 49
0
53.5%
Cameron Rising pass incomplete to Thomas YassminSimilar
Q2 0:04
3RD & 10
OWN 49
-5
51.4%
Cameron Rising sacked by Curtis Jacobs for a loss of 5 yards to the Utah 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 11PUNT
13 plays · 34 yds · 4:3152% → 51%
Q3 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+7
51.9%
Micah Bernard run for 7 yds to the Utah 29Similar
Q3 14:00
2ND & 3
OWN 29
+1
53.4%
Micah Bernard run for 1 yd to the Utah 30Similar
Q3 13:43
3RD & 2
OWN 30
+4
51.7%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 4 yds to the Utah 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
52.8%
Cameron Rising pass incomplete to Thomas YassminSimilar
Q3 13:03
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+16
52.6%
Cameron Rising run for 16 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:33
1ST & 10
50
0
55.5%
Cameron Rising pass incomplete to Munir McClainSimilar
Q3 12:22
2ND & 10
50
+1
55.1%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 1 yd to the PnSt 49Similar
Q3 11:46
3RD & 9
OPP 49
+14
53.4%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Logan Kendall for 14 yds to the PnSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:40
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-9
57.2%
Devaughn Vele sacked by Curtis Jacobs for a loss of 9 yards to the PnSt 44Similar
Q3 10:28
2ND & 19
OPP 44
0
54.4%
Cameron Rising pass incomplete to Micah BernardSimilar
Q3 10:24
3RD & 19
OPP 44
0
53.0%
Cameron Rising pass incomplete to Munir McClainSimilar
Q3 10:17
4TH & 19
OPP 44
0
51.0%
Jack Bouwmeester punt for 39 yds, downed at the PnSt 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 12TD
3 plays · 95 yds · 0:4850% → 65%
Q3 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 5
0
50.0%
Sean Clifford pass incomplete to Theo JohnsonSimilar
Q3 10:04
2ND & 10
OWN 5
+8
50.4%
Sean Clifford pass complete to Mitchell Tinsley for 8 yds to the PnSt 13Similar
Q3 9:25
3RD & 2
OWN 13
+87
34.7%
Nicholas Singleton run for 87 yds for a TD (Jake Pinegar KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 13INT
9 plays · 29 yds · 3:1335% → 39%
Q3 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
35.0%
Cameron Rising pass incomplete to Logan KendallSimilar
Q3 9:12
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
34.8%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 3 yds to the Utah 28Similar
Q3 8:31
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+9
33.6%
Cameron Rising run for 9 yds to the Utah 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
35.6%
Bryson Barnes pass incomplete to Money ParksSimilar
Q3 8:04
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+6
35.4%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 6 yds to the Utah 43Similar
Q3 7:23
3RD & 5
OWN 43
+6
36.1%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Micah Bernard for 6 yds to the Utah 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
37.7%
Bryson Barnes run for 5 yds to the PnSt 46Similar
Q3 6:07
2ND & 5
OPP 46
-22
38.6%
Bryson Barnes pass intercepted Ji'Ayir Brown return for 22 yds to the PnSt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:3171% → 70%
Q3 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
28.8%
Sean Clifford run for 2 yds to the PnSt 44Similar
Q3 5:13
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+2
28.6%
Kaytron Allen run for 2 yds to the PnSt 46Similar
Q3 4:31
3RD & 6
OWN 46
0
28.3%
Sean Clifford pass incomplete to Harrison Wallace IIISimilar
Q3 4:24
4TH & 6
OWN 46
0
29.9%
Barney Amor punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Devaughn Vele at the Utah 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 45 yds · 2:5433% → 34%
Q3 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+9
33.1%
Micah Bernard run for 9 yds to the Utah 20Similar
Q3 3:40
2ND & 1
OWN 20
+30
33.9%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 30 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:23
1ST & 10
50
-8
37.5%
Bryson Barnes sacked by Demeioun Robinson for a loss of 8 yards to the Utah 42Similar
Q3 2:43
2ND & 18
OWN 42
+5
33.9%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Jaylen Dixon for 5 yds to the Utah 47Similar
Q3 2:01
3RD & 13
OWN 47
+9
32.8%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Devaughn Vele for 9 yds to the PnSt 44Similar
Q3 1:18
4TH & 4
OPP 44
0
34.4%
Jack Bouwmeester punt for 38 yds, downed at the PnSt 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 16TD
3 plays · 94 yds · 1:2271% → 87%
Q3 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+1
29.3%
Kaytron Allen run for 1 yd to the PnSt 7Similar
Q3 0:30
2ND & 9
OWN 7
+5
29.5%
Kaytron Allen run for 5 yds to the PnSt 12Similar
Q4 14:49
3RD & 4
OWN 12
+88
13.3%
Sean Clifford pass complete to KeAndre Lambert-Smith for 88 yds for a TD (Jake Pinegar KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 1:1515% → 13%
Q4 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
14.7%
Bryson Barnes run for a loss of 3 yards to the Utah 22Similar
Q4 14:15
2ND & 13
OWN 22
0
14.2%
Bryson Barnes pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:55
3RD & 13
OWN 22
-3
13.7%
Bryson Barnes sacked by Ji'Ayir Brown and Demeioun Robinson for a loss of 3 yards to the Utah 19Similar
Q4 13:20
4TH & 16
OWN 19
0
13.2%
Jack Bouwmeester punt for 28 yds, downed at the Utah 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 18TD
5 plays · 47 yds · 2:3991% → 98%
Q4 13:15
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
9.4%
Nicholas Singleton run for no gain to the Utah 47Similar
Q4 13:00
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+27
9.2%
Sean Clifford pass complete to Harrison Wallace III for 27 yds to the Utah 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:20
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+10
8.4%
Sean Clifford pass complete to Mitchell Tinsley for 10 yds to the Utah 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+9
7.7%
Sean Clifford run for 9 yds to the Utah 1Similar
Q4 10:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
2.0%
Kaytron Allen run for 1 yd for a TD (Jake Pinegar KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · -20 yds · 1:473% → 2%
Q4 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
2.7%
Jackson, Ja'Quinden rush for 6 yards to the UTAH31, PENALTY UTAH holding 10 yards to the UTAH15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:00
1ST & 20
OWN 15
+1
2.6%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 1 yd to the Utah 16Similar
Q4 9:28
2ND & 19
OWN 16
0
2.5%
Bryson Barnes pass incomplete to Solomon EnisSimilar
Q4 9:00
3RD & 19
OWN 16
-11
2.4%
Bryson Barnes sacked by Ji'Ayir Brown for a loss of 11 yards to the Utah 5Similar
Q4 8:30
4TH & 30
OWN 5
+4
2.3%
Jack Bouwmeester punt for 47 yds , Mitchell Tinsley returns for 4 yds to the Utah 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 2:1198% → 99%
Q4 8:25
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-3
1.7%
Sean Clifford run for a loss of 3 yards to the PnSt 49Similar
Q4 8:00
2ND & 13
OWN 49
+2
1.6%
Kaytron Allen run for 2 yds to the Utah 49Similar
Q4 7:10
3RD & 11
OPP 49
+5
1.5%
Sean Clifford run for 5 yds to the Utah 44Similar
Q4 6:14
4TH & 6
OPP 44
0
1.4%
Barney Amor punt for 43 yds, downed at the Utah 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 21DOWNS
10 plays · 36 yds · 2:541% → 1%
Q4 6:08
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+2
1.4%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 2 yds to the Utah 3Similar
Q4 5:35
2ND & 8
OWN 3
+3
1.3%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 3 yds to the Utah 6Similar
Q4 4:50
3RD & 5
OWN 6
+6
1.2%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Jaylen Dixon for 6 yds to the Utah 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:24
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
1.2%
Bryson Barnes pass incomplete to Devaughn VeleSimilar
Q4 4:19
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+3
1.2%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Micah Bernard for 3 yds to the Utah 15Similar
Q4 3:55
3RD & 7
OWN 15
+15
1.2%
PENN ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the Utah 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+8
1.2%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Ja'Quinden Jackson for 8 yds to the Utah 38Similar
Q4 3:25
2ND & 2
OWN 38
0
1.2%
Bryson Barnes pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:19
3RD & 2
OWN 38
0
1.2%
Bryson Barnes pass incomplete to Makai Cope, broken up by Kobe KingSimilar
Q4 3:14
4TH & 2
OWN 38
-1
1.2%
Micah Bernard run for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 22DOWNS
9 plays · 15 yds · 1:0199% → 100%
Q4 3:13
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+11
0.8%
Tank Smith run for 11 yds to the Utah 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:26
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
0.5%
Tank Smith run for 2 yds to the Utah 24Similar
Q4 2:24
2ND & 8
OPP 24
-1
0.5%
Tank Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 25Similar
Q4 2:20
3RD & 9
OPP 25
+3
0.5%
Tank Smith run for 3 yds to the Utah 22Similar
Q4 2:12
4TH & 6
OPP 22
0
0.5%
Drew Allar pass incomplete to Omari EvansSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 23TD
9 plays · 78 yds · 1:230% → 1%
Q4 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+19
0.3%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Jaylen Dixon for 19 yds to the Utah 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+23
0.3%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Devaughn Vele for 23 yds to the PnSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:35
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-5
0.3%
Bryson Barnes sacked by Keon Wylie and Jordan van den Berg for a loss of 5 yards to the PnSt 41Similar
Q4 1:00
2ND & 15
OPP 41
+8
0.3%
Bryson Barnes run for 8 yds to the PnSt 33Similar
Q4 0:52
3RD & 7
OPP 33
+28
0.4%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Jaylen Dixon for 28 yds to the PnSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
0.4%
Bryson Barnes pass incomplete to Jaylen DixonSimilar
Q4 0:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
0.4%
Bryson Barnes pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:25
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
1.4%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Jaylen Dixon for 5 yds for a TD (Jordan Noyes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 24Uncategorized
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 0:20
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-2
1.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Utah 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 14:49
Sean Clifford pass complete to KeAndre Lambert-Smith for 88 yds for a TD (Jake Pinegar KICK)
-16.2
TD · Q3 9:25
Nicholas Singleton run for 87 yds for a TD (Jake Pinegar KICK)
-15.7
TD · Q2 7:55
Cameron Rising pass complete to Thomas Yassmin for 1 yd for a TD Timeout PENN ST, clock 07:55 (Jordan Noyes KICK)
+11.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com