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TULN

Tulane 46 at USC 45

USC
2022 · Goodyear Cotton Bowl Classic · Jan 2, 2023 · AT&T Stadium
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Win probability · USC
modelUSC aheadTULN aheadconfidence bandkey playUSC scoreTULN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDFGTDSAFETYTDEnd of GameFG+0.9USC 97.6%Denis Lynch 43 yd FG GOODAWAY 30 - HOME 45 · Q4 4:30
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 4:30 · Denis Lynch 43 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsPregame priorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+29.0+14.50−14.5−29.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 150Home team on offense+28.4Garbage-time factor+13.9Score differential+12.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+5.4Pregame prior−0.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+4.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 11:55: Tyjae Spears run for 7 yds for a TD (Valentino Ambrosio KICK) — TULN win probability +15.0 pts (now 40%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 1:24: Caleb Williams pass complete to Brenden Rice for 19 yds for a TD (Denis Lynch KICK) — USC win probability +13.0 pts (now 84%) (top driver: USC has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 0:40: Tyjae Spears run for 3 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — TULN win probability +20.5 pts (now 43%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  4. TD · Q4 12:09: Caleb Williams pass complete to Kyron Hudson for 4 yds for a TD (Denis Lynch KICK) — USC win probability +17.2 pts (now 92%) (top driver: USC has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:09: Michael Pratt pass complete to Alex Bauman for 6 yds for a TD (Valentino Ambrosio KICK) — TULN win probability +71.6 pts (now 93%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
USC made the numbers' call on 3 of 4TULN made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 8:41USC 4th & 1 at TULN 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 56.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    56.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    56.0%−0.3
    66% to make
    Punt
    55.2%−1.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 2:46TULN 4th & 3 at TULN 46, down 7
    Close callPunted · 39.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.3%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q2 1:19TULN 4th & 3 at TULN 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.0%−0.4
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.4%
    average punt
  4. Q3 8:45USC 4th & 6 at TULN 46, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 73.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    74.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    72.2%−1.9
    23% to make
    Punt
    74.0%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q3 7:08USC 4th & 11 at TULN 35, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 74.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.7%−0.5
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    75.1%
    45% to make
    Punt
    74.1%−1.0
    average punt
  6. Q3 4:02TULN 4th & 11 at USC 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 26.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.8%−1.4
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    27.1%
    66% to make
    Punt
    18.2%−9.0
    average punt
  7. Q4 4:30USC 4th & 4 at TULN 26, up 12
    Close callKicked a field goal · 94.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.3%−0.2
    64% to make
    Punt
    91.2%−3.3
    average punt
  8. Q4 1:17TULN 4th & 6 at TULN 38, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 17.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.6%−5.2
    average punt
  9. Q4 0:25TULN 4th & 10 at TULN 46, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 15.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.0%
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    7.7%−3.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
USC made the numbers' call on 6 of 6TULN made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 5:58USC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 12:33USC Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:30TULN Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 5:42TULN Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 2:21USC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:12USC Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 11:55TULN Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    27.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    27.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 1:24USC Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 0:40TULN Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    33.6%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    33.3%−0.3
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 12:09USC Touchdown, up 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 4:07TULN Touchdown, down 9 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.6%−0.8
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.4%
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 0:09TULN Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.2%−15.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
USCDrive 1TD
19 plays · 75 yds · 8:4746% → 52%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
45.5%
Austin Jones run for 2 yds to the USC 27Similar
Q1 14:12
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+10
45.7%
Austin Jones run for 10 yds to the USC 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
45.9%
Caleb Williams pass incomplete to Terrell BynumSimilar
Q1 13:15
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+8
46.0%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Mario Williams for 8 yds to the USC 45Similar
Q1 12:45
3RD & 2
OWN 45
+11
46.2%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Mario Williams for 11 yds to the Tulan 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:25
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
46.5%
Caleb Williams run for 4 yds to the Tulan 40Similar
Q1 11:36
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+4
46.8%
Caleb Williams run for 4 yds to the Tulan 36Similar
Q1 10:56
3RD & 2
OPP 36
+2
47.0%
Austin Jones run for 2 yds to the Tulan 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:14
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
47.4%
Austin Jones run for 4 yds to the Tulan 30Similar
Q1 9:34
2ND & 6
OPP 30
0
47.7%
Caleb Williams pass incomplete to Tahj WashingtonSimilar
Q1 9:13
3RD & 6
OPP 30
+5
47.6%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Raleek Brown for 5 yds to the Tulan 25Similar
Q1 8:41
4TH & 1
OPP 25
+2
47.1%
Caleb Williams run for 2 yds to the Tulan 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:14
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
48.0%
Caleb Williams pass incomplete to Lake McReeSimilar
Q1 8:00
2ND & 10
OPP 23
-1
48.0%
Raleek Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 24Similar
Q1 7:30
3RD & 11
OPP 24
+12
47.7%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Brenden Rice for 12 yds to the Tulan 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:37
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
48.5%
Austin Jones run for 3 yds to the Tulan 9Similar
Q1 5:58
2ND & 7
OPP 9
+9
52.0%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Michael Jackson III for 9 yds for a TD (Denis Lynch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 2:5149% → 48%
Q1 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
51.1%
Tyjae Spears run for 6 yds to the Tulan 31Similar
Q1 5:13
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+8
50.9%
Tyjae Spears run for 8 yds to the Tulan 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-1
50.9%
Michael Pratt sacked by Shane Lee for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 38Similar
Q1 4:15
2ND & 11
OWN 38
0
51.6%
Tyjae Spears run for no gain to the Tulan 38Similar
Q1 3:18
3RD & 11
OWN 38
+8
52.6%
Michael Pratt run for 8 yds to the Tulan 46Similar
Q1 2:46
4TH & 3
OWN 46
0
52.5%
Casey Glover punt for 49 yds, downed at the USC 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 3TD
14 plays · 95 yds · 5:0653% → 64%
Q1 2:39
1ST & 10
OWN 5
0
52.6%
Caleb Williams pass incomplete to Kyle FordSimilar
Q1 2:00
2ND & 10
OWN 5
+6
52.6%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Austin Jones for 6 yds to the USC 11Similar
Q1 1:30
3RD & 4
OWN 11
+59
52.6%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Tahj Washington for 59 yds to the Tulan 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-2
55.0%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Kyron Hudson for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulan 32Similar
Q1 0:42
2ND & 12
OPP 32
0
55.3%
Caleb Williams pass incomplete to Mario WilliamsSimilar
Q1 0:30
3RD & 12
OPP 32
+13
54.5%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Raleek Brown for 13 yds to the Tulan 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:17
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-5
55.7%
USC Penalty, Substitution Infraction (-5 Yards) to the Tulan 24Similar
Q1 0:01
1ST & 15
OPP 24
0
55.8%
Caleb Williams pass incomplete to Mario WilliamsSimilar
Q2 14:38
2ND & 15
OPP 24
+3
55.6%
Austin Jones run for 3 yds to the Tulan 21Similar
Q2 14:12
3RD & 12
OPP 21
-10
55.6%
USC Penalty, Offensive Holding (Courtland Ford) to the Tulan 31Similar
Q2 14:00
3RD & 22
OPP 31
+30
55.2%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Brenden Rice for 30 yds to the Tulan 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-2
57.2%
Austin Jones run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulan 3Similar
Q2 12:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
57.6%
Caleb Williams pass incomplete to Brenden RiceSimilar
Q2 12:33
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
63.7%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Terrell Bynum for 3 yds for a TD (Denis Lynch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 4TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 2:4539% → 47%
Q2 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
61.2%
Tyjae Spears run for 2 yds to the Tulan 27Similar
Q2 11:45
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+40
61.4%
Michael Pratt run for 40 yds to the USC 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:13
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
59.7%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Shae WyattSimilar
Q2 11:13
2ND & 10
OPP 33
-5
59.8%
TULANE Penalty, Substitution Infraction (-5 Yards) to the USC 38Similar
Q2 11:00
2ND & 15
OPP 38
+19
61.2%
Shaadie Clayton-Johnson run for 19 yds to the USC 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+2
60.0%
Michael Pratt run for 2 yds to the USC 17Similar
Q2 10:03
2ND & 8
OPP 17
0
60.1%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Duece WattsSimilar
Q2 9:40
3RD & 8
OPP 17
+14
62.0%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Tyjae Spears for 14 yds to the USC 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
53.5%
Tyjae Spears run for 3 yds for a TD (Valentino Ambrosio KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 5INT
9 plays · 45 yds · 2:4458% → 61%
Q2 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+19
57.8%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Terrell Bynum for 19 yds to the USC 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
59.9%
Austin Jones run for 6 yds to the USC 49Similar
Q2 8:10
2ND & 4
OWN 49
0
61.1%
Caleb Williams pass incomplete to Mario WilliamsSimilar
Q2 8:00
3RD & 4
OWN 49
+6
59.1%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Mario Williams for 6 yds to the Tulan 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
60.9%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Mario Williams for a loss of 7 yards to the Tulan 46 lat. to Raleek Brown for 6 yds to the Tulan 46Similar
Q2 6:41
2ND & 11
OPP 46
+15
60.6%
TULANE Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Jarius Monroe) to the Tulan 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:32
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
61.2%
Caleb Williams pass intercepted Jarius Monroe return for no gain to the Tulan 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 6TD
2 plays · 92 yds · 0:1940% → 52%
Q2 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+5
59.8%
Tyjae Spears run for 5 yds to the Tulan 13Similar
Q2 5:42
2ND & 5
OWN 13
+87
47.9%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Jha'Quan Jackson for 87 yds for a TD (Valentino Ambrosio KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 7TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:5451% → 64%
Q2 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
51.0%
Austin Jones run for 6 yds to the USC 31Similar
Q2 5:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+4
52.1%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Michael Jackson III for 4 yds to the USC 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
51.4%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Kyle Ford for 8 yds to the USC 43Similar
Q2 4:00
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+4
53.8%
Austin Jones run for 4 yds to the USC 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+14
54.0%
Raleek Brown run for 14 yds to the Tulan 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:21
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+39
63.7%
Raleek Brown run for 39 yds for a TD (Denis Lynch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:5239% → 37%
Q2 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
61.3%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Alex BaumanSimilar
Q2 1:57
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
62.0%
Michael Pratt run for 7 yds to the Tulan 32Similar
Q2 1:29
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
61.8%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Jha'Quan JacksonSimilar
Q2 1:19
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+1
62.9%
Casey Glover punt for 37 yds , Michael Jackson III returns for 1 yd to the USC 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 9TD
8 plays · 68 yds · 1:0063% → 74%
Q2 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+15
62.6%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Tahj Washington for 15 yds to the USC 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+9
64.7%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Tahj Washington for 9 yds to the Tulan 44Similar
Q2 0:45
2ND & 1
OPP 44
+35
65.3%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Brenden Rice for 35 yds to the Tulan 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
65.9%
Austin Jones run for 2 yds to the Tulan 7Similar
Q2 0:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
66.0%
Austin Jones run for 3 yds to the Tulan 4Similar
Q2 0:12
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
74.0%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Brenden Rice for 4 yds for a TD (Denis Lynch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 10Uncategorized
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0024% → 24%
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 9
-2
76.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulan 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 11TD
9 plays · 76 yds · 2:5024% → 40%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+47
76.0%
Tyjae Spears run for 47 yds to the USC 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:15
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
72.6%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Tyjae SpearsSimilar
Q3 14:14
2ND & 10
OPP 29
-5
73.2%
TULANE Penalty, False Start (Josh Remetich) to the USC 34Similar
Q3 13:55
2ND & 15
OPP 34
+16
74.6%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Alex Bauman for 16 yds to the USC 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:33
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+5
73.1%
Michael Pratt run for 5 yds to the USC 13Similar
Q3 12:56
2ND & 5
OPP 13
+3
73.6%
Tyjae Spears run for 3 yds to the USC 10Similar
Q3 12:26
3RD & 2
OPP 10
+3
75.0%
Tyjae Spears run for 3 yds to the USC 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
60.0%
Tyjae Spears run for 7 yds for a TD (Valentino Ambrosio KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 12MISSED FG
13 plays · 45 yds · 4:3267% → 72%
Q3 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
66.7%
Austin Jones run for 4 yds to the USC 24Similar
Q3 11:05
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+16
67.1%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Kyron Hudson for 16 yds to the USC 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
69.4%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Kyron Hudson for 5 yds to the USC 45Similar
Q3 10:00
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+5
70.3%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Austin Jones for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:43
1ST & 10
50
0
72.2%
Caleb Williams pass incomplete to Austin JonesSimilar
Q3 9:15
2ND & 10
50
+4
72.1%
Raleek Brown run for 4 yds to the Tulan 46Similar
Q3 8:53
3RD & 6
OPP 46
0
71.5%
Caleb Williams pass incomplete to Tahj WashingtonSimilar
Q3 8:45
4TH & 6
OPP 46
+12
70.1%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Mario Williams for 12 yds to the Tulan 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:54
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-1
75.1%
Austin Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 35Similar
Q3 7:21
2ND & 11
OPP 35
0
75.2%
Caleb Williams pass incomplete to Brenden RiceSimilar
Q3 7:13
3RD & 11
OPP 35
0
73.7%
Caleb Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:08
4TH & 11
OPP 35
+52
71.5%
Denis Lynch 52 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 13FG
7 plays · 40 yds · 2:5733% → 37%
Q3 6:59
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
67.1%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Duece WattsSimilar
Q3 6:45
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+3
67.8%
Tyjae Spears run for 3 yds to the Tulan 38Similar
Q3 6:08
3RD & 7
OWN 38
+38
67.8%
Michael Pratt run for 23 yds to the USC 39 for a 1ST down USC Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the USC 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:58
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+3
62.5%
Michael Pratt run for 3 yds to the USC 21Similar
Q3 5:00
2ND & 7
OPP 21
-4
63.6%
Michael Pratt sacked by Solomon Tuliaupupu for a loss of 4 yards to the USC 25Similar
Q3 4:15
3RD & 11
OPP 25
0
67.0%
Michael Pratt run for no gain to the USC 25Similar
Q3 4:02
4TH & 11
OPP 25
+42
63.2%
Valentino Ambrosio 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 14TD
6 plays · 97 yds · 2:2165% → 84%
Q3 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+4
65.0%
Austin Jones run for 4 yds to the USC 7Similar
Q3 3:10
2ND & 6
OWN 7
+74
64.9%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Brenden Rice for 74 yds to the Tulan 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:39
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
70.9%
Caleb Williams run for no gain to the Tulan 19Similar
Q3 1:55
2ND & 10
OPP 19
0
71.3%
Caleb Williams pass incomplete to Brenden RiceSimilar
Q3 1:24
3RD & 10
OPP 19
+19
84.3%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Brenden Rice for 19 yds for a TD (Denis Lynch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 15TD
4 plays · 65 yds · 0:1019% → 43%
Q3 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+62
81.4%
Tyjae Spears run for 62 yds to the USC 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
77.6%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Duece WattsSimilar
Q3 0:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
57.0%
Tyjae Spears run for 3 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 16TD
9 plays · 47 yds · 3:0671% → 92%
Q3 0:15
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+16
71.2%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Michael Jackson III for 16 yds to the Tulan 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:01
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+5
72.4%
TULANE Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Tulan 26Similar
Q3 0:01
1ST & 5
OPP 26
-3
72.4%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Austin Jones for a loss of 3 yards to the Tulan 29Similar
Q4 14:50
2ND & 8
OPP 29
+11
72.5%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Kyle Ford for 11 yds to the Tulan 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:10
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
72.8%
Austin Jones run for 4 yds to the Tulan 14Similar
Q4 13:15
2ND & 6
OPP 14
+6
74.2%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Austin Jones for 6 yds to the Tulan 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
74.4%
Austin Jones run for 4 yds to the Tulan 4Similar
Q4 12:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
91.6%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Kyron Hudson for 4 yds for a TD (Denis Lynch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 17FUMBLE
4 plays · 41 yds · 0:5914% → 14%
Q4 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+32
86.4%
Tyjae Spears run for 32 yds to the USC 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
87.2%
Michael Pratt run for 2 yds to the USC 35Similar
Q4 10:46
2ND & 8
OPP 35
+7
86.4%
Tyjae Spears run for 7 yds to the USC 28 Tyjae Spears fumbled, forced by Mekhi Blackmon, recovered by USCSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 18FG
15 plays · 46 yds · 6:0492% → 98%
Q4 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
91.5%
Raleek Brown run for 4 yds to the USC 32Similar
Q4 9:40
2ND & 6
OWN 32
+9
92.0%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Tahj Washington for 9 yds to the USC 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-5
92.7%
USC Penalty, False Start (Mason Murphy) to the USC 36Similar
Q4 8:34
1ST & 15
OWN 36
+3
92.4%
Austin Jones run for 3 yds to the USC 39Similar
Q4 8:00
2ND & 12
OWN 39
+17
92.9%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Tahj Washington for 17 yds to the Tulan 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:09
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
94.3%
Raleek Brown run for 1 yd to the Tulan 43Similar
Q4 6:37
2ND & 9
OPP 43
+2
94.4%
Austin Jones run for 2 yds to the Tulan 41Similar
Q4 6:01
3RD & 7
OPP 41
+9
94.6%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Terrell Bynum for 9 yds to the Tulan 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:19
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-1
95.6%
Austin Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 33Similar
Q4 5:14
2ND & 11
OPP 33
+2
96.1%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Michael Jackson III for 2 yds to the Tulan 31Similar
Q4 4:45
3RD & 9
OPP 31
+5
96.7%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Mario Williams for 5 yds to the Tulan 26Similar
Q4 4:30
4TH & 4
OPP 26
+43
97.6%
Denis Lynch 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 19TD
3 plays · 63 yds · 0:083% → 13%
Q4 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+59
97.0%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Duece Watts for 59 yds to the USC 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
86.8%
Tyjae Spears run for 4 yds for a TD (Valentino Ambrosio KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 20SF
3 plays · -1 yds · 0:4094% → 91%
Q4 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
94.2%
Austin Jones run for no gain to the USC 1Similar
Q4 3:20
2ND & 10
OWN 1
-1
91.0%
Austin Jones run for a loss of 1 yard for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 21TD
14 plays · 66 yds · 2:5115% → 93%
Q4 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-11
85.2%
Michael Pratt sacked by Tuli Tuipulotu for a loss of 11 yards to the Tulan 23Similar
Q4 2:45
2ND & 21
OWN 23
+10
87.6%
Tyjae Spears run for 10 yds to the Tulan 33Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 11
OWN 33
+5
87.5%
Michael Pratt run for 5 yds to the Tulan 38Similar
Q4 1:17
4TH & 6
OWN 38
+8
88.0%
Michael Pratt run for 8 yds to the Tulan 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-4
88.0%
Michael Pratt sacked by Nick Figueroa for a loss of 4 yards to the Tulan 42Similar
Q4 0:50
2ND & 14
OWN 42
+4
90.1%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Reggie Brown for 4 yds to the Tulan 46Similar
Q4 0:31
3RD & 10
OWN 46
0
90.1%
Michael Pratt pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:25
4TH & 10
OWN 46
+24
91.3%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Alex Bauman for 24 yds to the USC 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:22
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
81.0%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:18
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+24
81.7%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Duece Watts for 24 yds to the USC 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
79.1%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Alex BaumanSimilar
Q4 0:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
7.5%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Alex Bauman for 6 yds for a TD (Valentino Ambrosio KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 22Uncategorized
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0025% → 25%
Q4 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
25.4%
Caleb Williams pass incomplete to Mario WilliamsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:09
Michael Pratt pass complete to Alex Bauman for 6 yds for a TD (Valentino Ambrosio KICK)
-71.6
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-25.4
TD · Q3 0:40
Tyjae Spears run for 3 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )
-20.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com