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TCU

TCU 7 at Georgia 65

UGA
2022 · CFP National Championship · Jan 9, 2023 · SoFi Stadium
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Win probability · UGA
modelUGA aheadTCU aheadconfidence bandkey playUGA scoreTCU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 13:59 · Jordy Sandy punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Kearis Jackson at the Geo 43
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 6Home team on offense+0.0Pregame prior+33.4Score differential−0.1Blowout margin+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0Garbage-time factor+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 4:45: Max Duggan run for 2 yds for a TD (Griffin Kell KICK) — TCU win probability +1.3 pts (now 19%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  2. TD · Q1 2:43: Stetson Bennett pass complete to Ladd McConkey for 37 yds for a TD (Jack Podlesny KICK) — UGA win probability +2.4 pts (now 84%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 8:30: Stetson Bennett run for 6 yds for a TD (Jack Podlesny KICK) — UGA win probability +6.8 pts (now 91%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 1:19: Kendall Milton run for 1 yd for a TD (Jack Podlesny KICK) — UGA win probability +3.4 pts (now 96%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 0:26: Stetson Bennett pass complete to Adonai Mitchell for 22 yds for a TD (Jack Podlesny KICK) — UGA win probability +2.4 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UGA made the numbers' call on 1 of 3TCU made the numbers' call on 4 of 7
  1. Q1 13:59TCU 4th & 12 at TCU 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.3%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:51UGA 4th & 3 at TCU 6, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 81.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.7%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    81.6%−0.1
    91% to make
    Punt
    80.6%−1.1
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:13TCU 4th & 6 at UGA 47, down 10
    Close callPunted · 18.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q3 13:30UGA 4th & 3 at UGA 32, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.7%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.7%
    average punt
  5. Q3 12:14TCU 4th & 5 at TCU 15, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%
    average punt
  6. Q3 7:34TCU 4th & 8 at TCU 42, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  7. Q4 14:13TCU 4th & 11 at UGA 46, down 45
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−0.1
    23% to make
    Punt
    0.2%
    average punt
  8. Q4 10:08UGA 4th & 5 at TCU 24, up 45
    Close callWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%
    68% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.4
    average punt
  9. Q4 7:30TCU 4th & 6 at TCU 29, down 52
    Close callWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.1%
    average punt
  10. Q4 5:07TCU 4th & 6 at TCU 45, down 58
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UGA made the numbers' call on 9 of 9TCU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 11:01UGA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:45TCU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    20.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    20.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 2:43UGA Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 8:30UGA Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 1:19UGA Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:26UGA Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 10:52UGA Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 2:17UGA Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 9:24UGA Touchdown, up 51 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 7:23UGA Touchdown, up 58 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TCUDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 1:0116% → 16%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
83.9%
TCU Penalty, False Start (Steve Avila) to the TCU 20Similar
Q1 14:54
1ST & 15
OWN 20
0
83.8%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to Savion WilliamsSimilar
Q1 14:38
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+3
83.8%
Max Duggan pass complete to Quentin Johnston for 3 yds to the TCU 23Similar
Q1 14:05
3RD & 12
OWN 23
0
83.6%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to Derius DavisSimilar
Q1 13:59
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
83.6%
Jordy Sandy punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Kearis Jackson at the Geo 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 2TD
7 plays · 57 yds · 2:5884% → 84%
Q1 13:59
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-5
83.6%
GEORGIA Penalty, False Start (Xavier Truss) to the Geo 38Similar
Q1 13:52
1ST & 15
OWN 38
+7
83.6%
Kenny McIntosh run for 7 yds to the Geo 45Similar
Q1 13:06
2ND & 8
OWN 45
+21
83.4%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Brock Bowers for 21 yds to the TCU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:31
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-5
83.4%
GEORGIA Penalty, Illegal Shift (Arian Smith) to the TCU 39Similar
Q1 11:49
1ST & 15
OPP 39
+12
83.1%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Brock Bowers for 12 yds to the TCU 27Similar
Q1 11:36
2ND & 3
OPP 27
+6
83.2%
Kendall Milton run for 6 yds to the TCU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:01
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
83.9%
Stetson Bennett run for 21 yds for a TD (Jack Podlesny KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 3FUMBLE
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:1617% → 17%
Q1 10:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-6
83.5%
Max Duggan run for a loss of 6 yards to the TCU 19Similar
Q1 10:16
2ND & 16
OWN 19
+2
83.5%
Max Duggan pass complete to Derius Davis for 2 yds to the TCU 21Similar
Q1 9:40
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+10
83.6%
GEORGIA Penalty, Defensive Holding (Javon Bullard) to the TCU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
83.4%
Derius Davis run for 2 yds to the TCU 33 Derius Davis fumbled, recovered by Geo Javon BullardSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 4FG
6 plays · 27 yds · 2:0584% → 84%
Q1 8:56
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
83.8%
Brock Bowers run for 5 yds to the TCU 28Similar
Q1 8:47
2ND & 5
OPP 28
+15
83.8%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Ladd McConkey for 15 yds to the TCU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:11
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
83.8%
Kendall Milton run for 3 yds to the TCU 10Similar
Q1 7:39
2ND & 7
OPP 10
0
83.8%
Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to Darnell WashingtonSimilar
Q1 7:24
3RD & 7
OPP 10
+4
83.6%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Daijun Edwards for 4 yds to the TCU 6Similar
Q1 6:51
4TH & 3
OPP 6
+24
83.5%
Jack Podlesny 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 5TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:4817% → 19%
Q1 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
83.2%
Emari Demercado run for 4 yds to the TCU 29Similar
Q1 5:45
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+60
82.9%
Max Duggan pass complete to Derius Davis for 60 yds to the Geo 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:33
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+5
82.2%
Emari Demercado run for 5 yds to the Geo 6Similar
Q1 5:13
2ND & 5
OPP 6
+4
82.2%
Emari Demercado run for 4 yds to the Geo 2Similar
Q1 4:45
3RD & 1
OPP 2
+2
80.9%
Max Duggan run for 2 yds for a TD (Griffin Kell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 6TD
5 plays · 70 yds · 1:4381% → 84%
Q1 4:26
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+11
81.3%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Ladd McConkey for 11 yds to the Geo 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:36
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+11
81.5%
Kenny McIntosh run for 11 yds to the TCU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:55
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+11
81.7%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Ladd McConkey for 11 yds to the TCU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:43
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+37
84.1%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Ladd McConkey for 37 yds for a TD (Jack Podlesny KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 31 yds · 3:1517% → 17%
Q1 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+10
83.2%
Emari Demercado run for 10 yds to the TCU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+7
83.0%
Emari Demercado run for 7 yds to the TCU 39Similar
Q1 1:21
2ND & 3
OWN 39
+10
82.6%
Max Duggan pass complete to Jared Wiley for 10 yds to the TCU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-8
82.5%
Max Duggan sacked by Mykel Williams for a loss of 8 yards to the TCU 41Similar
Q1 0:05
2ND & 18
OWN 41
+1
83.1%
Max Duggan pass complete to Corey Wren for 1 yd to the TCU 42Similar
Q2 14:26
3RD & 17
OWN 42
+11
83.3%
Max Duggan pass complete to Derius Davis for 11 yds to the Geo 47Similar
Q2 14:13
4TH & 6
OPP 47
0
83.0%
Jordy Sandy punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Kearis Jackson at the Geo 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 8TD
11 plays · 92 yds · 5:2583% → 91%
Q2 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+2
83.1%
Kendall Milton run for 2 yds to the Geo 10Similar
Q2 13:20
2ND & 8
OWN 10
+10
83.0%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Brock Bowers for 10 yds to the Geo 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:51
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+35
83.1%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Brock Bowers for 35 yds to the TCU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:19
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
83.9%
Kendall Milton run for no gain to the TCU 45Similar
Q2 11:41
2ND & 10
OPP 45
0
83.8%
Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to Adonai MitchellSimilar
Q2 11:35
3RD & 10
OPP 45
+12
83.3%
Stetson Bennett run for 12 yds to the TCU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:37
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
84.2%
Kenny McIntosh run for no gain to the TCU 33Similar
Q2 9:52
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+8
84.0%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Daijun Edwards for 8 yds to the TCU 25Similar
Q2 9:33
3RD & 2
OPP 25
+7
83.6%
Daijun Edwards run for 7 yds to the TCU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:36
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+12
84.1%
Kenny McIntosh run for 12 yds to the TCU 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
90.9%
Stetson Bennett run for 6 yds for a TD (Jack Podlesny KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 9INT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:3911% → 11%
Q2 8:13
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
88.9%
Max Duggan run for 2 yds to the TCU 22Similar
Q2 7:25
2ND & 8
OWN 22
-7
89.1%
Emari Demercado run for 3 yds to the TCU 25 TCU Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the TCU 15Similar
Q2 7:02
2ND & 15
OWN 15
+8
89.2%
Max Duggan pass complete to Taye Barber for 8 yds to the TCU 23Similar
Q2 6:34
3RD & 7
OWN 23
0
89.3%
Max Duggan pass intercepted Javon Bullard return for no gain to the Geo 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 10TD
14 plays · 66 yds · 4:5491% → 96%
Q2 6:13
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+10
90.6%
Brock Bowers run for 10 yds to the Geo 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+9
91.0%
Kendall Milton run for 9 yds to the TCU 47Similar
Q2 4:57
2ND & 1
OPP 47
0
91.2%
Kendall Milton run for no gain to the TCU 47Similar
Q2 4:32
3RD & 1
OPP 47
+3
91.0%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Arian Smith for 3 yds to the TCU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:34
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+13
91.6%
Kenny McIntosh run for 13 yds to the TCU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:20
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-10
91.6%
GEORGIA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Darnell Washington) to the TCU 41Similar
Q2 2:43
1ST & 20
OPP 41
+5
91.5%
Daijun Edwards run for 5 yds to the TCU 36Similar
Q2 2:26
2ND & 15
OPP 36
0
91.5%
Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to Ladd McConkeySimilar
Q2 2:17
3RD & 15
OPP 36
+24
91.3%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Brock Bowers for 24 yds to the TCU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:35
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+7
91.4%
Daijun Edwards run for 7 yds to the TCU 5Similar
Q2 1:31
2ND & 3
OPP 5
+4
91.5%
Kendall Milton run for 4 yds to the TCU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
96.0%
Kendall Milton run for 1 yd for a TD (Jack Podlesny KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 11INT
5 plays · -8 yds · 0:265% → 5%
Q2 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
94.6%
Max Duggan pass complete to Emani Bailey for 2 yds to the TCU 22Similar
Q2 0:41
2ND & 8
OWN 22
-10
94.7%
Max Duggan sacked by Bear Alexander for a loss of 10 yards to the TCU 12Similar
Q2 0:36
3RD & 18
OWN 12
-3
94.6%
Max Duggan pass intercepted Javon Bullard return for 3 yds to the TCU 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 12TD
2 plays · 22 yds · 0:0696% → 99%
Q2 0:32
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
96.1%
Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to Adonai MitchellSimilar
Q2 0:26
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+22
98.5%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Adonai Mitchell for 22 yds for a TD (Jack Podlesny KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 13END OF HALF
3 plays · 9 yds · 0:081% → 1%
Q2 0:09
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
98.8%
Emani Bailey run for 5 yds to the TCU 31Similar
Q2 0:01
2ND & 5
OWN 31
+4
98.7%
Emani Bailey run for 4 yds to the TCU 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:2199% → 99%
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
98.7%
Kenny McIntosh run for 6 yds to the Geo 31Similar
Q3 14:15
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+1
98.8%
Kenny McIntosh run for 1 yd to the Geo 32Similar
Q3 13:42
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
98.8%
Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to Adonai MitchellSimilar
Q3 13:30
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+58
98.7%
Brett Thorson punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the GEORGIA 20 TCU Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the TCU 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:491% → 1%
Q3 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+1
99.2%
Emari Demercado run for 1 yd to the TCU 11Similar
Q3 12:27
2ND & 9
OWN 11
+4
99.2%
Max Duggan pass complete to Jared Wiley for 4 yds to the TCU 15Similar
Q3 12:21
3RD & 5
OWN 15
0
99.3%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to Quentin JohnstonSimilar
Q3 12:14
4TH & 5
OWN 15
0
99.3%
Jordy Sandy punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Kearis Jackson at the Geo 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 16TD
4 plays · 55 yds · 0:5799% → 99%
Q3 11:49
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+28
99.2%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Brock Bowers for 28 yds to the TCU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:28
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
99.2%
Kendall Milton run for 5 yds to the TCU 22Similar
Q3 10:59
2ND & 5
OPP 22
0
99.2%
Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to Daijun EdwardsSimilar
Q3 10:52
3RD & 5
OPP 22
+22
99.4%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Brock Bowers for 22 yds for a TD (Jack Podlesny KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 17PUNT
8 plays · 24 yds · 2:511% → 0%
Q3 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+7
99.4%
Emari Demercado run for 7 yds to the TCU 25Similar
Q3 9:49
2ND & 3
OWN 25
+5
99.4%
Max Duggan run for 5 yds to the TCU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+10
99.4%
Max Duggan pass complete to Geor'Quarius Spivey for 10 yds to the TCU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
99.5%
Max Duggan pass complete to Derius Davis for 5 yds to the TCU 45Similar
Q3 8:16
2ND & 5
OWN 45
0
99.5%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to Emari DemercadoSimilar
Q3 8:02
3RD & 5
OWN 45
-3
99.5%
Max Duggan run for a loss of 3 yards to the TCU 42Similar
Q3 7:34
4TH & 8
OWN 42
0
99.6%
Jordy Sandy punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Kearis Jackson at the Geo 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 18TD
10 plays · 84 yds · 5:06100% → 100%
Q3 7:23
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+12
99.6%
Daijun Edwards run for 12 yds to the Geo 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+14
99.6%
Ladd McConkey run for 14 yds to the Geo 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
99.6%
Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to Arian SmithSimilar
Q3 6:04
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+15
99.6%
TCU Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the TCU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
99.6%
Kendall Milton run for 3 yds to the TCU 40Similar
Q3 5:09
2ND & 7
OPP 40
-1
99.7%
Daijun Edwards run for a loss of 1 yard to the TCU 41Similar
Q3 4:19
3RD & 8
OPP 41
+28
99.7%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Darnell Washington for 28 yds to the TCU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:41
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
99.7%
Kenny McIntosh run for no gain to the TCU 13Similar
Q3 2:59
2ND & 10
OPP 13
-1
99.7%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Kenny McIntosh for a loss of 1 yard to the TCU 14Similar
Q3 2:17
3RD & 11
OPP 14
+14
99.8%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Ladd McConkey for 14 yds for a TD (Jack Podlesny KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 19DOWNS
8 plays · 24 yds · 2:500% → 0%
Q3 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
99.8%
Emari Demercado run for 2 yds to the TCU 32Similar
Q3 1:30
2ND & 8
OWN 32
0
99.8%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to Derius DavisSimilar
Q3 1:25
3RD & 8
OWN 32
+23
99.8%
Max Duggan pass complete to Derius Davis for 23 yds to the Geo 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:52
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
99.8%
Emari Demercado run for 2 yds to the Geo 43Similar
Q3 0:08
2ND & 8
OPP 43
-1
99.9%
Max Duggan sacked by Robert Beal Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the Geo 44Similar
Q4 14:46
3RD & 9
OPP 44
-2
99.9%
Max Duggan pass complete to Emari Demercado for a loss of 2 yards to the Geo 46Similar
Q4 14:13
4TH & 11
OPP 46
0
99.9%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to Gunnar HendersonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 20TD
10 plays · 54 yds · 4:26100% → 100%
Q4 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
99.8%
Branson Robinson run for 3 yds to the Geo 49Similar
Q4 13:08
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+2
99.8%
Branson Robinson run for 2 yds to the TCU 49Similar
Q4 12:15
3RD & 5
OPP 49
+20
99.9%
Carson Beck pass complete to Kearis Jackson for 20 yds to the TCU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:54
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
99.9%
Branson Robinson run for no gain to the TCU 29Similar
Q4 11:11
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+5
99.9%
Branson Robinson run for 5 yds to the TCU 24Similar
Q4 10:30
3RD & 5
OPP 24
0
99.9%
Carson Beck pass incomplete to Dillon BellSimilar
Q4 10:08
4TH & 5
OPP 24
+11
99.9%
Carson Beck pass complete to Dillon Bell for 11 yds to the TCU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+12
99.9%
Branson Robinson run for 12 yds to the TCU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
Branson Robinson run for 1 yd for a TD (Jack Podlesny KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 21DOWNS
6 plays · -6 yds · 1:400% → 0%
Q4 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
99.9%
Emari Demercado run for a loss of 2 yards to the TCU 23Similar
Q4 8:30
2ND & 12
OWN 23
-9
100.0%
Max Duggan sacked by Tykee Smith for a loss of 9 yards to the TCU 14Similar
Q4 7:59
3RD & 21
OWN 14
+15
100.0%
Max Duggan pass complete to Blair Conwright for 15 yds to the TCU 29Similar
Q4 7:30
4TH & 6
OWN 29
-10
100.0%
Max Duggan sacked by Jalon Walker for a loss of 10 yards to the TCU 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 22TD
1 play · 19 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 7:23
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
99.9%
Branson Robinson run for 19 yds for a TD (Jack Podlesny PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 23PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 2:060% → 0%
Q4 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
100.0%
Emari Demercado run for 9 yds to the TCU 34Similar
Q4 6:45
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+7
100.0%
Emari Demercado run for 7 yds to the TCU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:13
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
100.0%
Emari Demercado run for no gain to the TCU 41Similar
Q4 5:26
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+4
100.0%
Chandler Morris run for 4 yds to the TCU 45Similar
Q4 5:14
3RD & 6
OWN 45
0
100.0%
Chandler Morris pass incomplete to Blair ConwrightSimilar
Q4 5:07
4TH & 6
OWN 45
0
100.0%
Jordy Sandy punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Mekhi Mews at the Geo 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 24END OF 4TH QUARTER
8 plays · 31 yds · 4:47100% → 100%
Q4 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.9%
Sevaughn Clark run for 6 yds to the Geo 31Similar
Q4 3:56
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+18
100.0%
Sevaughn Clark run for 18 yds to the Geo 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
100.0%
Sevaughn Clark run for 6 yds to the TCU 45Similar
Q4 2:41
2ND & 4
OPP 45
+2
100.0%
Sevaughn Clark run for 2 yds to the TCU 43Similar
Q4 2:07
3RD & 2
OPP 43
+3
100.0%
Sevaughn Clark run for 3 yds to the TCU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:22
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-2
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the TCU 42Similar
Q4 0:38
2ND & 12
OPP 42
-1
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the TCU 43Similar
Q4 0:08
3RD & 13
OPP 43
-1
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the TCU 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 8:30
Stetson Bennett run for 6 yds for a TD (Jack Podlesny KICK)
+6.8
TD · Q2 1:19
Kendall Milton run for 1 yd for a TD (Jack Podlesny KICK)
+3.4
TD · Q1 2:43
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Ladd McConkey for 37 yds for a TD (Jack Podlesny KICK)
+2.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com