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WIS

Wisconsin 24 at Oklahoma State 17

OKST
2022 · Guaranteed Rate Bowl · Dec 27, 2022 · Chase Field
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Win probability · OKST
modelOKST aheadWIS aheadconfidence bandkey playOKST scoreWIS score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 5:00 · Logan Ward punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Dean Engram at the OKLAST 30 OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the Wisc 35
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+38.0+19.00−19.0−38.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 65Home team on offense−2.3Pregame prior−6.9Score differential−0.9Garbage-time factor−0.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:44: Chase Wolf pass complete to Hayden Rucci for 15 yds for a TD (Nate Van Zelst KICK) — WIS win probability +8.3 pts (now 72%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 6:42: Braelon Allen run for 20 yds for a TD (Nate Van Zelst KICK) — WIS win probability +12.2 pts (now 88%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 12:57: Garret Rangel pass complete to Ollie Gordon for 1 yd for a TD (Tanner Brown KICK) — OKST win probability +13.2 pts (now 24%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 5:08: Tanner Brown 24 yd FG GOOD — OKST win probability +9.5 pts (now 25%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 2:47: Chez Mellusi run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wisc 39 — WIS win probability +10.5 pts (now 90%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OKST made the numbers' call on 9 of 11WIS made the numbers' call on 7 of 10
  1. Q1 13:39OKST 4th & 12 at OKST 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.7%−0.2
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:19WIS 4th & 4 at OKST 29, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 60.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    60.0%−0.1
    58% to make
    Punt
    59.6%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:33OKST 4th & 4 at OKST 19, down 3
    Close callPunted · 39.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.5%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:50WIS 4th & 14 at OKST 48, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.4%−0.6
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.0%
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:31OKST 4th & 3 at OKST 13, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.5%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.5%
    average punt
  6. Q1 0:28WIS 4th & 7 at WIS 34, down 4
    Close callWent for it · 53.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    53.8%−0.4
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    54.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 14:02WIS 4th & 3 at OKST 47, down 4
    Close callPunted · 54.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.7%−0.4
    average punt
  8. Q2 12:47OKST 4th & 11 at OKST 20, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.5%−0.8
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.4%
    average punt
  9. Q2 5:00OKST 4th & 10 at OKST 25, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.7%−1.5
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.2%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:15OKST 4th & 13 at OKST 22, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.7%−1.7
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.3%
    average punt
  11. Q3 12:22WIS 4th & 1 at OKST 47, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 71.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    72.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    70.0%−2.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 10:45WIS 4th & 25 at OKST 44, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.1%−3.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    70.7%−1.7
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    72.3%
    average punt
  13. Q3 8:52OKST 4th & 9 at OKST 21, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.4%−1.7
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.1%
    average punt
  14. Q3 7:54WIS 4th & 10 at WIS 34, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.4%−2.0
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.4%
    average punt
  15. Q3 5:04OKST 4th & 20 at OKST 15, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.3%−3.0
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.2%
    average punt
  16. Q3 3:59OKST 4th & 10 at WIS 42, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.9%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    14.2%−0.8
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    15.1%
    average punt
  17. Q3 1:53WIS 4th & 6 at OKST 49, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.9%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.0%
    average punt
  18. Q4 12:57OKST 4th & 1 at WIS 1, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 10.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.0%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    6.6%−3.4
    94% to make
    Punt
    -0.6%−10.5
    average punt
  19. Q4 11:14WIS 4th & 8 at WIS 34, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.1%−2.0
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.2%
    average punt
  20. Q4 5:08OKST 4th & 3 at WIS 7, down 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 13.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.4%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    13.0%−0.5
    91% to make
    Punt
    7.5%−5.9
    average punt
  21. Q4 3:33WIS 4th & 2 at WIS 32, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.5%−0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.6%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OKST made the numbers' call on 2 of 2WIS made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 5:56OKST Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 5:23WIS Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:44WIS Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 6:42WIS Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 12:57OKST Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    19.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    19.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OKSTDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 12 yds · 0:5639% → 39%
Q1 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+14
38.5%
Garret Rangel pass complete to Brennan Presley for 14 yds to the OKSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:25
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-2
38.6%
Ollie Gordon run for a loss of 2 yards to the OKSt 32Similar
Q1 13:55
2ND & 12
OWN 32
0
38.7%
Garret Rangel pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:52
3RD & 12
OWN 32
0
38.7%
Garret Rangel pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:39
4TH & 12
OWN 32
+24
38.7%
Logan Ward punt for 63 yds , Dean Engram returns for 24 yds to the Wisc 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 2FG
7 plays · 42 yds · 3:0961% → 61%
Q1 13:28
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
38.9%
Chase Wolf pass complete to Braelon Allen for 6 yds to the Wisc 35Similar
Q1 12:42
2ND & 4
OWN 35
+3
39.0%
Braelon Allen run for 3 yds to the Wisc 38Similar
Q1 12:00
3RD & 1
OWN 38
+27
39.2%
Braelon Allen run for 27 yds to the OKSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-5
39.1%
Chez Mellusi run for a loss of 5 yards to the OKSt 40Similar
Q1 11:06
2ND & 15
OPP 40
+11
39.4%
Chase Wolf pass complete to Keontez Lewis for 11 yds to the OKSt 29Similar
Q1 10:25
3RD & 4
OPP 29
0
39.4%
Chase Wolf pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:19
4TH & 4
OPP 29
+47
39.5%
Nate Van Zelst 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:2240% → 39%
Q1 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+2
39.6%
Ollie Gordon run for 2 yds to the OKSt 15Similar
Q1 9:30
2ND & 8
OWN 15
-1
39.7%
Garret Rangel pass complete to Braydon Johnson for a loss of 1 yard to the OKSt 14Similar
Q1 9:00
3RD & 9
OWN 14
+5
39.4%
Garret Rangel pass complete to Brennan Presley for 5 yds to the OKSt 19Similar
Q1 8:33
4TH & 4
OWN 19
0
39.4%
Logan Ward punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Dean Engram at the Wisc 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 4INT
4 plays · 44 yds · 2:1060% → 61%
Q1 8:23
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-6
39.6%
Chase Wolf pass complete to Braelon Allen for a loss of 6 yards to the Wisc 35Similar
Q1 7:44
2ND & 16
OWN 35
+51
40.1%
Chez Mellusi run for 51 yds to the OKSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:58
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-1
39.3%
Chez Mellusi run for a loss of 1 yard to the OKSt 15Similar
Q1 6:13
2ND & 11
OPP 15
-16
39.5%
Chase Wolf pass intercepted Trey Rucker return for 16 yds to the OKSt 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 5TD
1 play · 84 yds · 0:0043% → 43%
Q1 5:56
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+84
42.7%
Garret Rangel pass complete to Stephon Johnson Jr. for 84 yds for a TD (Tanner Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · -4 yds · 1:3358% → 56%
Q1 5:23
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-5
42.2%
WISCONSIN Penalty, Illegal Shift (TEAM) to the OKSt 49Similar
Q1 4:40
1ST & 15
OPP 49
0
42.9%
Braelon Allen run for no gain to the OKSt 49Similar
Q1 4:36
2ND & 15
OPP 49
0
43.1%
Chase Wolf pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:00
3RD & 15
OPP 49
+1
43.7%
Chase Wolf pass complete to Brady Schipper for 1 yd to the OKSt 48Similar
Q1 3:50
4TH & 14
OPP 48
0
44.3%
Andy Vujnovich punt for 42 yds, downed at the OKSt 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:5644% → 43%
Q1 3:27
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+2
43.8%
Deondre Jackson run for 2 yds to the OKSt 8Similar
Q1 3:13
2ND & 8
OWN 8
+5
43.9%
Deondre Jackson run for 5 yds to the OKSt 13Similar
Q1 2:42
3RD & 3
OWN 13
0
43.7%
Garret Rangel pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:31
4TH & 3
OWN 13
+3
43.1%
Logan Ward punt for 59 yds , Dean Engram returns for 3 yds to the Wisc 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 8PUNT
8 plays · 22 yds · 3:2156% → 55%
Q1 2:23
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
44.0%
Chez Mellusi run for 2 yds to the Wisc 33Similar
Q1 1:45
2ND & 8
OWN 33
0
44.3%
Chez Mellusi run for no gain to the Wisc 33Similar
Q1 1:05
3RD & 8
OWN 33
+1
45.2%
Chase Wolf pass complete to Keontez Lewis for 1 yd to the Wisc 34Similar
Q1 0:28
4TH & 7
OWN 34
+13
46.0%
Andy Vujnovich run for 13 yds to the Wisc 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
44.0%
Chase Wolf pass complete to J.T. Seagreaves for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 14:53
2ND & 7
50
0
43.9%
Chase Wolf pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:20
3RD & 6
50
+3
44.3%
Chase Wolf pass complete to Julius Davis for 3 yds to the OKSt 47Similar
Q2 14:02
4TH & 3
OPP 47
0
45.1%
Andy Vujnovich punt for 42 yds, downed at the OKSt 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 0:5846% → 45%
Q2 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+8
45.7%
Garret Rangel pass complete to Brennan Presley for 8 yds to the OKSt 13Similar
Q2 13:23
2ND & 2
OWN 13
+8
46.0%
Ollie Gordon run for 8 yds to the OKSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-1
46.2%
Ollie Gordon run for a loss of 1 yard to the OKSt 20Similar
Q2 12:59
2ND & 11
OWN 20
0
46.2%
Garret Rangel pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:55
3RD & 11
OWN 20
0
45.4%
Garret Rangel pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:47
4TH & 11
OWN 20
0
45.0%
Logan Ward punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Dean Engram at the Wisc 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 10TD
13 plays · 68 yds · 7:0754% → 62%
Q2 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-1
46.2%
Braelon Allen run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 31Similar
Q2 11:56
2ND & 11
OWN 31
+14
47.0%
Chase Wolf pass complete to Keontez Lewis for 14 yds to the Wisc 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:19
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
45.6%
Chez Mellusi run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 11:00
2ND & 5
50
+4
45.3%
Chimere Dike run for 4 yds to the OKSt 46Similar
Q2 10:26
3RD & 1
OPP 46
+6
45.4%
Chez Mellusi run for 6 yds to the OKSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:40
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
45.5%
Braelon Allen run for 3 yds to the OKSt 37Similar
Q2 8:50
2ND & 7
OPP 37
+5
45.7%
Braelon Allen run for 5 yds to the OKSt 32Similar
Q2 8:30
3RD & 2
OPP 32
+3
45.8%
Braelon Allen run for 3 yds to the OKSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:50
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
45.6%
Chez Mellusi run for 2 yds to the OKSt 27Similar
Q2 7:00
2ND & 8
OPP 27
+13
45.9%
Chase Wolf pass complete to Hayden Rucci for 13 yds to the OKSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:36
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
46.0%
Braelon Allen run for 3 yds to the OKSt 11Similar
Q2 5:50
2ND & 7
OPP 11
+10
46.2%
Chase Wolf pass complete to Chimere Dike for 10 yds to the OKSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
38.1%
Chez Mellusi run for 1 yd for a TD (Nate Van Zelst KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:1842% → 40%
Q2 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
41.5%
Garret Rangel pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:11
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
41.6%
Garret Rangel pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:08
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
40.6%
Garret Rangel pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:00
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+40
40.0%
Logan Ward punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Dean Engram at the OKLAST 30 OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the Wisc 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 12TD
8 plays · 65 yds · 4:1060% → 72%
Q2 4:54
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
40.5%
Braelon Allen run for no gain to the Wisc 35Similar
Q2 4:07
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+4
40.9%
Braelon Allen run for 4 yds to the Wisc 39Similar
Q2 3:32
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+20
40.4%
Chase Wolf pass complete to Chimere Dike for 20 yds to the OKSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+6
39.0%
Chase Wolf pass complete to Chimere Dike for 6 yds to the OKSt 35Similar
Q2 2:30
2ND & 4
OPP 35
+5
37.8%
Chase Wolf pass complete to Skyler Bell for 5 yds to the OKSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:24
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+6
36.7%
Braelon Allen run for 6 yds to the OKSt 24Similar
Q2 1:20
2ND & 4
OPP 24
+9
36.2%
Braelon Allen run for 9 yds to the OKSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:44
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
27.8%
Chase Wolf pass complete to Hayden Rucci for 15 yds for a TD (Nate Van Zelst KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · -3 yds · 0:2630% → 27%
Q2 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
29.5%
Garret Rangel pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:29
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-11
29.2%
Garret Rangel sacked by James Thompson Jr. for a loss of 11 yards to the OKSt 14Similar
Q2 0:22
3RD & 21
OWN 14
+8
28.7%
Ollie Gordon run for 8 yds to the OKSt 22Similar
Q2 0:15
4TH & 13
OWN 22
0
27.4%
Logan Ward punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Dean Engram at the Wisc 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 14END OF HALF
1 play · 9 yds · 0:0072% → 72%
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
28.2%
Julius Davis run for 9 yds to the Wisc 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 15PUNT
11 plays · 28 yds · 4:0071% → 71%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+16
29.5%
Braelon Allen run for 16 yds to the Wisc 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:12
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
28.2%
Chez Mellusi run for 2 yds to the Wisc 46Similar
Q3 13:35
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+7
27.9%
Chase Wolf pass complete to Jack Eschenbach for 7 yds to the OKSt 47Similar
Q3 13:00
3RD & 1
OPP 47
0
27.5%
Chez Mellusi run for no gain to the OKSt 47Similar
Q3 12:22
4TH & 1
OPP 47
+3
28.1%
Chez Mellusi run for 3 yds to the OKSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:44
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+15
26.7%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the OKSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:40
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-6
26.2%
Braelon Allen run for a loss of 6 yards to the OKSt 35Similar
Q3 11:29
2ND & 16
OPP 35
0
26.6%
Chase Wolf pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:20
3RD & 16
OPP 35
-9
27.7%
Chase Wolf sacked by Nathan Latu for a loss of 9 yards to the OKSt 44Similar
Q3 10:45
4TH & 25
OPP 44
0
28.8%
Andy Vujnovich punt for 44 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:3327% → 25%
Q3 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
27.4%
Deondre Jackson run for 5 yds to the OKSt 25Similar
Q3 10:09
2ND & 5
OWN 25
-4
27.8%
Deondre Jackson run for a loss of 4 yards to the OKSt 21Similar
Q3 9:00
3RD & 9
OWN 21
0
25.7%
Garret Rangel run for no gain to the OKSt 21Similar
Q3 8:52
4TH & 9
OWN 21
0
25.0%
Logan Ward punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Dean Engram at the Wisc 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:4973% → 71%
Q3 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
27.0%
Braelon Allen run for no gain to the Wisc 34Similar
Q3 8:07
2ND & 10
OWN 34
0
27.0%
Chase Wolf pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:01
3RD & 10
OWN 34
0
28.2%
Chase Wolf pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:54
4TH & 10
OWN 34
0
28.8%
Andy Vujnovich punt for 55 yds, fair catch by Brennan Presley at the OKSt 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 18INT
2 plays · 17 yds · 0:2026% → 27%
Q3 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+17
26.3%
Garret Rangel pass complete to John Paul Richardson for 17 yds to the OKSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
26.8%
Garret Rangel pass intercepted Jay Shaw return for no gain to the OKSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 19TD
2 plays · 32 yds · 0:3376% → 88%
Q3 7:15
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+12
24.5%
Chimere Dike run for 12 yds to the OKSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:42
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
12.3%
Braelon Allen run for 20 yds for a TD (Nate Van Zelst KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · -10 yds · 1:3416% → 14%
Q3 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
15.5%
Garret Rangel pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-9
15.0%
Garret Rangel run for a loss of 9 yards to the OKSt 16Similar
Q3 5:20
3RD & 19
OWN 16
-1
14.4%
Garret Rangel pass complete to Jaden Nixon for a loss of 1 yard to the OKSt 15Similar
Q3 5:04
4TH & 20
OWN 15
0
14.4%
Logan Ward punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Dean Engram at the Wisc 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 21FUMBLE
2 plays · -5 yds · 0:1288% → 88%
Q3 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-1
11.6%
Julius Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 46Similar
Q3 4:28
2ND & 11
OWN 46
-4
11.6%
Chase Wolf sacked by Lyrik Rawls for a loss of 4 yards to the Wisc 42 Chase Wolf fumbled, forced by Lyrik Rawls, recovered by OKSt Kody Walterscheid , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:1816% → 15%
Q3 4:17
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
16.1%
Garret Rangel pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:11
2ND & 10
OPP 42
0
15.8%
Garret Rangel pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:07
3RD & 10
OPP 42
0
15.5%
Garret Rangel pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:59
4TH & 10
OPP 42
0
14.9%
Logan Ward punt for 27 yds, fair catch by Dean Engram at the Wisc 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 23PUNT
6 plays · 36 yds · 1:5888% → 91%
Q3 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+17
12.1%
Braelon Allen run for 17 yds to the Wisc 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+15
11.8%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Kody Walterscheid) to the Wisc 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
10.8%
Braelon Allen run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 2:40
2ND & 7
50
+1
10.3%
Braelon Allen run for 1 yd to the OKSt 49Similar
Q3 2:01
3RD & 6
OPP 49
0
8.8%
Chase Wolf pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:53
4TH & 6
OPP 49
0
9.5%
Andy Vujnovich punt for 49 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 24TD
11 plays · 80 yds · 3:3313% → 24%
Q3 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
12.9%
Ollie Gordon run for 2 yds to the OKSt 22Similar
Q3 1:10
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+10
12.4%
Garret Rangel pass complete to Talyn Shettron for 10 yds to the OKSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
12.8%
Garret Rangel pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:49
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+15
12.4%
Ollie Gordon run for 15 yds to the OKSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
12.6%
Ollie Gordon run for 6 yds to the Wisc 47Similar
Q4 14:43
2ND & 4
OPP 47
+41
12.9%
Garret Rangel pass complete to Brennan Presley for 41 yds to the Wisc 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
13.8%
Garret Rangel run for 5 yds to the Wisc 1Similar
Q4 14:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
11.4%
Ollie Gordon run for no gain to the Wisc 1Similar
Q4 13:30
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
10.6%
Deondre Jackson run for no gain to the Wisc 1Similar
Q4 12:57
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
23.5%
Garret Rangel pass complete to Ollie Gordon for 1 yd for a TD (Tanner Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:3182% → 82%
Q4 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
18.5%
Braelon Allen run for 4 yds to the Wisc 36Similar
Q4 11:50
2ND & 6
OWN 36
-2
17.5%
Braelon Allen run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wisc 34Similar
Q4 11:22
3RD & 8
OWN 34
0
18.4%
Chase Wolf pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:14
4TH & 8
OWN 34
0
17.9%
Andy Vujnovich punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Brennan Presley at the OKSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 26FG
13 plays · 69 yds · 5:4219% → 25%
Q4 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
18.5%
Garret Rangel pass complete to John Paul Richardson for 4 yds to the OKSt 28Similar
Q4 10:15
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+5
15.8%
Garret Rangel run for 5 yds to the OKSt 33Similar
Q4 9:50
3RD & 1
OWN 33
+3
15.8%
Jaden Nixon run for 3 yds to the OKSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-4
16.2%
Brennan Presley run for a loss of 4 yards to the OKSt 32Similar
Q4 9:02
2ND & 14
OWN 32
0
14.9%
Garret Rangel pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:50
3RD & 14
OWN 32
+41
14.1%
Garret Rangel pass complete to Rashod Owens for 41 yds to the Wisc 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:10
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+7
19.6%
Garret Rangel run for 7 yds to the Wisc 20Similar
Q4 7:50
2ND & 3
OPP 20
0
19.5%
Ollie Gordon run for no gain to the Wisc 20Similar
Q4 7:10
3RD & 3
OPP 20
+6
17.6%
Garret Rangel pass complete to Brennan Presley for 6 yds to the Wisc 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:52
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+4
18.6%
Ollie Gordon run for 4 yds to the Wisc 10Similar
Q4 6:29
2ND & 6
OPP 10
0
17.6%
Garret Rangel pass complete to Brennan Presley for no gain to the Wisc 10Similar
Q4 5:30
3RD & 6
OPP 10
+3
15.5%
Ollie Gordon run for 3 yds to the Wisc 7Similar
Q4 5:08
4TH & 3
OPP 7
+24
25.0%
Tanner Brown 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 27PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:1986% → 85%
Q4 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
14.4%
Braelon Allen run for 1 yd to the Wisc 25Similar
Q4 4:15
2ND & 9
OWN 25
+7
14.4%
Chase Wolf pass complete to Jack Eschenbach for 7 yds to the Wisc 32Similar
Q4 3:40
3RD & 2
OWN 32
0
13.9%
Chase Wolf pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:33
4TH & 2
OWN 32
0
14.6%
Andy Vujnovich punt for 53 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OKSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 28INT
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:1921% → 20%
Q4 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
20.7%
Jaden Nixon run for 3 yds to the OKSt 18Similar
Q4 2:51
2ND & 7
OWN 18
-36
20.4%
Garret Rangel pass intercepted Cedrick Dort Jr. return for 21 yds to the Wisc 39 WISCONSIN Penalty, Illegal Block (15 Yards) to the Wisc 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 29Uncategorized
8 plays · 52 yds · 2:3790% → 96%
Q4 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-2
9.9%
Chez Mellusi run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wisc 39Similar
Q4 2:37
2ND & 12
OWN 39
+44
9.7%
Skyler Bell run for 44 yds to the OKSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:55
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+5
4.8%
Chez Mellusi run for 5 yds to the OKSt 12Similar
Q4 1:48
2ND & 5
OPP 12
+6
4.5%
Chez Mellusi run for 6 yds to the OKSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
4.4%
Chez Mellusi run for 2 yds to the OKSt 4Similar
Q4 0:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-3
4.2%
Chase Wolf run for a loss of 3 yards to the OKSt 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 12:57
Garret Rangel pass complete to Ollie Gordon for 1 yd for a TD (Tanner Brown KICK)
+13.2
TD · Q3 6:42
Braelon Allen run for 20 yds for a TD (Nate Van Zelst KICK)
-12.2
KEY PLAY · Q4 2:47
Chez Mellusi run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wisc 39
-10.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com