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EMU

Eastern Michigan 41 at San José State 27

SJSU
2022 · Famous Idaho Potato Bowl · Dec 20, 2022 · Albertsons Stadium
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Win probability · SJSU
modelSJSU aheadEMU aheadconfidence bandkey playSJSU scoreEMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 13:04 · Kairee Robinson run for a loss of 3 yards to the EMich 4
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+47.5+23.80−23.8−47.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 50Home team on offense+2.8Score differential−0.1Pregame prior+10.4Garbage-time factor+0.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 6:44: Taylor Powell pass complete to Darius Lassiter for 1 yd for a TD (Jesus Gomez KICK) — EMU win probability +10.6 pts (now 45%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:55: Taylor Powell pass complete to Darius Lassiter for 28 yds for a TD (Jesus Gomez KICK) — EMU win probability +20.1 pts (now 78%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 5:28: Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Nick Nash for 17 yds for a TD (Taren Schive KICK) — SJSU win probability +17.8 pts (now 34%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 0:34: Jaylon Jackson run for 31 yds for a TD (J. Jackson Run For Two-point Conversion) — EMU win probability +13.8 pts (now 97%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 10:57: Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Isaiah Hamilton for 17 yds for a TD (Taren Schive KICK) — SJSU win probability +13.0 pts (now 17%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SJSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6EMU made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 10:27SJSU 4th & 13 at EMU 29, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 62.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.1%−0.2
    20% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    62.3%
    58% to make
    Punt
    61.6%−0.7
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:06EMU 4th & 3 at EMU 36, down 7
    Close callPunted · 37.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:04SJSU 4th & 1 at EMU 1, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 62.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    62.5%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    61.2%−1.3
    94% to make
    Punt
    57.8%−4.7
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:28EMU 4th & 1 at SJSU 42, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 38.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    38.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    36.1%−2.0
    30% to make
    Punt
    36.5%−1.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 1:27EMU 4th & 1 at SJSU 33, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 58.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    59.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    58.1%−1.1
    49% to make
    Punt
    57.2%−2.0
    average punt
  6. Q3 14:05EMU 4th & 7 at EMU 28, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.0%−1.4
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.4%
    average punt
  7. Q3 12:48SJSU 4th & 7 at EMU 47, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.1%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.3%
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:45EMU 4th & 10 at EMU 20, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.0%−1.7
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.7%
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:57SJSU 4th & 6 at SJSU 31, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.4%−1.5
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.9%
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:23EMU 4th & 6 at SJSU 33, up 17
    Close callKicked a field goal · 79.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    78.5%−0.6
    49% to make
    Punt
    77.3%−1.8
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:44EMU 4th & 10 at EMU 19, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.1%−2.0
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.1%
    average punt
  12. Q3 2:48SJSU 4th & 1 at SJSU 44, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 25.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    25.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    23.8%−1.6
    average punt
  13. Q4 2:38SJSU 4th & 3 at SJSU 40, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.4%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SJSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4EMU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 13:52SJSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:36SJSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    66.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 3:28EMU Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 6:44EMU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 4:46EMU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:55EMU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 5:28SJSU Touchdown, down 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    21.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    21.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 0:34EMU Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    91.8%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    91.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 10:57SJSU Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    9.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    9.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SJSUDrive 1TD
5 plays · 59 yds · 0:4365% → 65%
Q1 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+37
64.6%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Isaiah Hamilton for 37 yds to the EMich 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:35
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-5
64.6%
SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the EMich 27Similar
Q1 14:00
1ST & 15
OPP 27
0
64.7%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Elijah CooksSimilar
Q1 13:52
2ND & 15
OPP 27
+27
65.0%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 27 yds for a TD (Taren Schive KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 2FUMBLE
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:5935% → 35%
Q1 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+7
65.2%
Samson Evans run for 7 yds to the EMich 34Similar
Q1 12:23
2ND & 3
OWN 34
+5
65.1%
Samson Evans run for 5 yds to the EMich 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:53
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-13
65.3%
Taylor Powell sacked by Kyle Harmon for a loss of 13 yards to the EMich 26 Taylor Powell fumbled, forced by Kyle Harmon, recovered by SJSt Kyle Harmon , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 3MISSED FG
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:5966% → 66%
Q1 11:26
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
66.0%
Kairee Robinson run for 3 yds to the EMich 23Similar
Q1 11:15
2ND & 7
OPP 23
0
66.1%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Elijah CooksSimilar
Q1 10:50
3RD & 7
OPP 23
-6
66.1%
Chevan Cordeiro sacked by Peyton Price for a loss of 6 yards to the EMich 29Similar
Q1 10:27
4TH & 13
OPP 29
+46
65.9%
Taren Schive 46 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:5634% → 34%
Q1 10:02
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
65.8%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Andreas Paaske for 6 yds to the EMich 35Similar
Q1 9:28
2ND & 4
OWN 35
+1
65.8%
Samson Evans run for 1 yd to the EMich 36Similar
Q1 9:12
3RD & 3
OWN 36
0
66.1%
Taylor Powell pass incomplete to Andreas PaaskeSimilar
Q1 9:06
4TH & 3
OWN 36
0
66.3%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 19 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SJSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 5TD
7 plays · 55 yds · 2:0267% → 68%
Q1 8:38
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+20
66.9%
Nick Nash run for 20 yds to the EMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:28
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+10
67.1%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Elijah Cooks for 10 yds to the EMich 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:51
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+10
67.4%
Kairee Robinson run for 10 yds to the EMich 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:18
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+5
67.5%
Kairee Robinson run for 5 yds to the EMich 10Similar
Q1 7:08
2ND & 5
OPP 10
+2
67.5%
Kairee Robinson run for 2 yds to the EMich 8Similar
Q1 6:36
3RD & 3
OPP 8
+8
71.0%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Justin Lockhart for 8 yds for a TD (Taren Schive PAT BLOCKED)Similar
Q1 6:36
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
68.3%
Tristen Hines return for defensive PATSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 6TD
9 plays · 74 yds · 2:4633% → 35%
Q1 6:14
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
67.1%
Samson Evans run for 5 yds to the EMich 31Similar
Q1 5:59
2ND & 5
OWN 31
0
66.9%
Taylor Powell pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:47
3RD & 5
OWN 31
+58
67.3%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 58 yds to the SJSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:17
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+4
66.1%
Samson Evans run for 4 yds to the SJSt 7Similar
Q1 4:46
2ND & 6
OPP 7
+6
66.4%
Taylor Powell run for 6 yds to the SJSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
68.2%
Samson Evans run for no gain to the SJSt 1Similar
Q1 3:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
64.6%
Samson Evans run for 1 yd for a TD (Jesus Gomez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 7DOWNS
17 plays · 71 yds · 5:2466% → 67%
Q1 3:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
65.6%
SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, False Start (Malik Williams) to the SJSt 20Similar
Q1 3:28
1ST & 15
OWN 20
-5
65.5%
SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, False Start (Malik Williams) to the SJSt 15Similar
Q1 3:13
1ST & 20
OWN 15
+24
65.6%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Isaiah Hamilton for 24 yds to the SJSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
66.1%
Kairee Robinson run for 5 yds to the SJSt 44Similar
Q1 2:01
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+15
66.5%
Cordeiro, Chevan pass sacked for loss of 9 yards to the SJSU35 (Trueman, Grant), PENALTY EASTMICH face mask (Trueman, Grant) 15 yards to the EASTMICH41, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN SJSU.Similar
Q1 1:52
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
66.7%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Nick NashSimilar
Q1 1:43
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+2
66.7%
Kairee Robinson run for 2 yds to the EMich 39Similar
Q1 1:11
3RD & 8
OPP 39
+23
66.5%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Isaiah Hamilton for 23 yds to the EMich 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:41
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+8
67.3%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 8 yds to the EMich 8Similar
Q1 0:02
2ND & 2
OPP 8
+2
67.4%
Kairee Robinson run for 2 yds to the EMich 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
67.5%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 1 yd to the EMich 5Similar
Q2 14:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
67.6%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Isaac JernaginSimilar
Q2 13:47
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
67.1%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Justin Lockhart for 4 yds to the EMich 1Similar
Q2 13:04
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
-3
67.1%
Kairee Robinson run for a loss of 3 yards to the EMich 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 8TD
13 plays · 96 yds · 6:1631% → 45%
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 4
0
68.6%
Taylor Powell pass incomplete to Andreas PaaskeSimilar
Q2 12:55
2ND & 10
OWN 4
0
68.7%
Taylor Powell pass incomplete to Andreas PaaskeSimilar
Q2 12:38
3RD & 10
OWN 4
+45
69.3%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Darius Lassiter for 45 yds to the EMich 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:09
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
66.5%
Samson Evans run for 2 yds to the SJSt 49Similar
Q2 11:46
2ND & 8
OPP 49
+5
66.3%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Darius Lassiter for 5 yds to the SJSt 44Similar
Q2 11:11
3RD & 5
OPP 44
+2
66.6%
Samson Evans run for 2 yds to the SJSt 42Similar
Q2 10:28
4TH & 1
OPP 42
+5
67.5%
Samson Evans run for 5 yds to the SJSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:51
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+20
66.0%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Darius Lassiter for 20 yds to the SJSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:13
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
64.9%
Jaylon Jackson run for 2 yds to the SJSt 15Similar
Q2 8:55
2ND & 8
OPP 15
+4
64.9%
Jaylon Jackson run for 4 yds to the SJSt 11Similar
Q2 8:25
3RD & 4
OPP 11
+7
66.1%
Taylor Powell run for 7 yds to the SJSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
65.4%
Samson Evans run for 3 yds to the SJSt 1Similar
Q2 6:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
54.8%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Darius Lassiter for 1 yd for a TD (Jesus Gomez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 9INT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:4059% → 58%
Q2 6:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
58.5%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Elijah CooksSimilar
Q2 6:24
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
58.2%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Isaac Jernagin for 5 yds to the SJSt 30Similar
Q2 6:01
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-7
57.9%
Chevan Cordeiro pass intercepted Luke Cameron return for 7 yds to the SJSt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 10TD
4 plays · 29 yds · 1:0246% → 56%
Q2 5:48
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+13
54.4%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 13 yds to the SJSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:06
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
54.1%
Taylor Powell pass incomplete to Dylan DrummondSimilar
Q2 4:55
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+13
54.0%
Samson Evans run for 13 yds to the SJSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
43.6%
Samson Evans run for 3 yds for a TD (Jesus Gomez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 11INT
4 plays · 40 yds · 1:1347% → 51%
Q2 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
47.4%
Kairee Robinson run for 14 yds to the SJSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:06
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+26
48.1%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Jackson Canaan for 26 yds to the EMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:25
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
50.5%
Elijah Cooks pass intercepted, touchback. Joshua Scott return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 12TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 2:1655% → 78%
Q2 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
45.3%
Samson Evans run for 7 yds to the EMich 27Similar
Q2 2:47
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+21
43.8%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Tanner Knue for 21 yds to the EMich 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+10
42.6%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Samson Evans for 10 yds to the SJSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:52
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+6
40.7%
Taylor Powell run for 6 yds to the SJSt 36Similar
Q2 1:45
2ND & 4
OPP 36
-7
39.9%
Taylor Powell run for a loss of 7 yards to the SJSt 43Similar
Q2 1:31
3RD & 11
OPP 43
+10
42.0%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 10 yds to the SJSt 33Similar
Q2 1:27
4TH & 1
OPP 33
+5
42.1%
Samson Evans run for 5 yds to the SJSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:55
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+28
22.1%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Darius Lassiter for 28 yds for a TD (Jesus Gomez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 13END OF HALF
7 plays · 40 yds · 0:3933% → 44%
Q2 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
32.5%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 2 yds to the SJSt 27Similar
Q2 0:23
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+17
31.4%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Elijah Cooks for 17 yds to the SJSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:11
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+21
33.5%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Elijah Cooks for 21 yds to the EMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:04
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
35.3%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 35
0
43.5%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Elijah CooksSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:4272% → 72%
Q3 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
28.5%
Samson Evans run for 3 yds to the EMich 28Similar
Q3 14:21
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
27.9%
Taylor Powell pass incomplete to Gunnar OakesSimilar
Q3 14:16
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
28.4%
Taylor Powell pass incomplete to Dylan DrummondSimilar
Q3 14:05
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
28.5%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 47 yds, downed at the SJSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 28 yds · 1:0629% → 29%
Q3 13:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+25
29.0%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Elijah Cooks for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:22
1ST & 10
50
+3
30.9%
Kairee Robinson run for 3 yds to the EMich 47Similar
Q3 12:58
2ND & 7
OPP 47
0
30.3%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Charles RossSimilar
Q3 12:54
3RD & 7
OPP 47
0
29.8%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Jackson CanaanSimilar
Q3 12:48
4TH & 7
OPP 47
0
29.3%
Travis Benham punt for 27 yds, fair catch by Dylan Drummond at the EMich 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:5774% → 74%
Q3 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
26.3%
Taylor Powell pass incomplete to Darius LassiterSimilar
Q3 12:30
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
26.4%
Samson Evans run for no gain to the EMich 20Similar
Q3 11:54
3RD & 10
OWN 20
0
25.8%
Taylor Powell pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:45
4TH & 10
OWN 20
0
25.9%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 53 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SJSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:3427% → 26%
Q3 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
26.6%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Kairee Robinson for 4 yds to the SJSt 31Similar
Q3 11:09
2ND & 6
OWN 31
0
26.7%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Isaiah HamiltonSimilar
Q3 11:05
3RD & 6
OWN 31
0
26.1%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Charles RossSimilar
Q3 10:57
4TH & 6
OWN 31
+22
25.8%
Alex Weir punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Dylan Drummond at the SJSU 32 SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, Kick Catching Interference (-15 Yards) to the EMich 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 18FG
5 plays · 20 yds · 2:1978% → 89%
Q3 10:42
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+16
22.4%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Tanner Knue for 16 yds to the SJSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:27
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
22.0%
Samson Evans run for 2 yds to the SJSt 35Similar
Q3 9:37
2ND & 8
OPP 35
-6
21.0%
Taylor Powell sacked by Bryun Parham for a loss of 6 yards to the SJSt 41 Taylor Powell fumbled, forced by Bryun Parham, recovered by EMich Taylor Powell , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 8:47
3RD & 14
OPP 41
+8
21.1%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Gunnar Oakes for 8 yds to the SJSt 33Similar
Q3 8:23
4TH & 6
OPP 33
+51
11.3%
Jesus Gomez 51 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 19TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:4717% → 34%
Q3 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
16.7%
Kairee Robinson run for 2 yds to the SJSt 27Similar
Q3 7:50
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+7
16.2%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Kairee Robinson for 7 yds to the SJSt 34Similar
Q3 7:17
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+8
16.2%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Isaac Jernagin for 8 yds to the SJSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:34
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+36
14.4%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Isaiah Hamilton for 36 yds to the EMich 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:08
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+5
16.0%
Kairee Robinson run for 5 yds to the EMich 17Similar
Q3 5:28
2ND & 5
OPP 17
+17
33.8%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Nick Nash for 17 yds for a TD (Taren Schive KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:2778% → 80%
Q3 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
21.7%
Samson Evans run for 3 yds to the EMich 22Similar
Q3 4:30
2ND & 7
OWN 22
-3
20.9%
Samson Evans run for a loss of 3 yards to the EMich 19Similar
Q3 3:51
3RD & 10
OWN 19
0
20.0%
Taylor Powell pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:44
4TH & 10
OWN 19
0
20.3%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Hamilton at the SJSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 21DOWNS
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:3727% → 27%
Q3 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
26.7%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Kairee Robinson for 6 yds to the SJSt 41Similar
Q3 3:11
2ND & 4
OWN 41
0
27.9%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Jackson CanaanSimilar
Q3 3:03
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+3
26.2%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Malikhi Miller for 3 yds to the SJSt 44Similar
Q3 2:48
4TH & 1
OWN 44
0
26.5%
Kairee Robinson run for no gain to the SJSt 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 22TD
4 plays · 44 yds · 1:4882% → 97%
Q3 2:22
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
17.8%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Tanner Knue for 3 yds to the SJSt 41Similar
Q3 1:35
2ND & 7
OPP 41
-9
16.5%
Taylor Powell sacked by Rico Tolefree for a loss of 9 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 1:01
3RD & 16
50
+19
16.7%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Gunnar Oakes for 19 yds to the SJSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:34
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+31
2.9%
Jaylon Jackson run for 31 yds for a TD (J. Jackson Run For Two-point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 23TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 4:256% → 17%
Q3 0:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
5.8%
Cordeiro, Chevan pass complete to Braddock, Jermaine for 24 yards to the SJSU49, PENALTY SJSU holding (Carmona Jr., Fernando) 10 yards to the SJSU15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 20
OWN 15
+18
5.4%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 18 yds to the SJSt 33Similar
Q4 14:51
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+6
5.5%
Nick Nash run for 6 yds to the SJSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:19
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+14
5.3%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Elijah Cooks for 14 yds to the EMich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:33
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+6
4.7%
Kairee Robinson run for 6 yds to the EMich 41Similar
Q4 13:01
2ND & 4
OPP 41
-3
4.6%
Chevan Cordeiro sacked by Grant Trueman for a loss of 3 yards to the EMich 44Similar
Q4 12:34
3RD & 8
OPP 44
+14
4.1%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Nick Nash for 14 yds to the EMich 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:13
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
4.5%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Elijah CooksSimilar
Q4 11:43
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+7
4.2%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Nick Nash for 7 yds to the EMich 23Similar
Q4 11:34
3RD & 3
OPP 23
+6
4.3%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Isaac Jernagin for 6 yds to the EMich 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:10
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
4.3%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Isaiah HamiltonSimilar
Q4 11:02
2ND & 10
OPP 17
0
4.2%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Nick NashSimilar
Q4 10:57
3RD & 10
OPP 17
+17
17.2%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Isaiah Hamilton for 17 yds for a TD (Taren Schive KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 24INT
13 plays · 71 yds · 6:1093% → 97%
Q4 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
7.5%
Jaylon Jackson run for no gain to the EMich 25 for a 1ST down SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the EMich 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+17
6.8%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 17 yds to the SJSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:47
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+9
5.9%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 9 yds to the SJSt 34Similar
Q4 9:28
2ND & 1
OPP 34
+3
5.7%
Jaylon Jackson run for 3 yds to the SJSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:55
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+5
5.6%
Jaylon Jackson run for 5 yds to the SJSt 26Similar
Q4 8:03
2ND & 5
OPP 26
+9
5.3%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Darius Lassiter for 9 yds to the SJSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:31
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
5.1%
Jaylon Jackson run for 3 yds to the SJSt 14Similar
Q4 6:29
2ND & 7
OPP 14
+6
4.2%
Jaylon Jackson run for 6 yds to the SJSt 8Similar
Q4 6:01
3RD & 1
OPP 8
+4
4.2%
Samson Evans run for 4 yds to the SJSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
3.9%
Samson Evans run for no gain to the SJSt 4Similar
Q4 4:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
3.4%
Taylor Powell pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:42
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
3.5%
Taylor Powell pass intercepted, touchback. Michael Dansby return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 25INT
8 plays · 30 yds · 2:445% → 3%
Q4 4:31
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+13
5.4%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Nick Nash for 13 yds to the SJSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
4.1%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Jackson CanaanSimilar
Q4 3:52
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+8
4.0%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Malikhi Miller for 8 yds to the SJSt 41Similar
Q4 3:16
3RD & 2
OWN 41
-1
3.9%
Chevan Cordeiro run for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSt 40Similar
Q4 2:38
4TH & 3
OWN 40
+6
3.7%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Elijah Cooks for 6 yds to the SJSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
3.7%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 1:56
2ND & 6
50
0
3.1%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Malikhi MillerSimilar
Q4 1:47
3RD & 6
50
-25
3.0%
Chevan Cordeiro pass intercepted Russell Vaden IV return for 25 yds to the SJSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 26Uncategorized
6 plays · 9 yds · 0:4798% → 99%
Q4 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+3
1.8%
Samson Evans run for 3 yds to the SJSt 28Similar
Q4 1:38
2ND & 7
OPP 28
+4
1.6%
Samson Evans run for 4 yds to the SJSt 24Similar
Q4 1:26
3RD & 3
OPP 24
+3
1.5%
Samson Evans run for 3 yds to the SJSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:58
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-1
1.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSt 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:55
Taylor Powell pass complete to Darius Lassiter for 28 yds for a TD (Jesus Gomez KICK)
-20.1
TD · Q3 5:28
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Nick Nash for 17 yds for a TD (Taren Schive KICK)
+17.8
TD · Q3 0:34
Jaylon Jackson run for 31 yds for a TD (J. Jackson Run For Two-point Conversion)
-13.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com