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MRSH

Marshall 28 at UConn 14

CONN
2022 · Myrtle Beach Bowl · Dec 19, 2022 · Brooks Stadium (SC)
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Win probability · CONN
modelCONN aheadMRSH aheadconfidence bandkey playCONN scoreMRSH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 4:13 · John McConnell punt for 36 yds , Cam Ross returns for 4 yds to the UConn 38
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+46.0+23.00−23.0−46.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 36Home team on offense−2.3Pregame prior−27.9Score differential−0.8Garbage-time factor−0.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 7:05: Cam Fancher pass complete to Devin Miller for 10 yds for a TD (Rece Verhoff KICK) — MRSH win probability +6.7 pts (now 91%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  2. INT · Q2 0:02: Zion Turner pass intercepted, touchback. Corey Gammage return for 1 yd — CONN win probability +8.4 pts (now 16%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 15:00: Sean Meisler kickoff for 38 yds fair catch by Justin Bryant at the UConn 27 — MRSH win probability +8.2 pts (now 93%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 5:35: Victor Rosa run for 14 yds for a TD (Noe Ruelas KICK) — CONN win probability +4.4 pts (now 5%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 0:01: Victor Rosa run for 24 yds for a TD (Noe Ruelas KICK) — CONN win probability +9.5 pts (now 13%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CONN made the numbers' call on 6 of 8MRSH made the numbers' call on 5 of 8
  1. Q1 11:58MRSH 4th & 1 at CONN 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 76.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    76.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    76.6%−0.2
    51% to make
    Punt
    76.5%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:50CONN 4th & 6 at CONN 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.8%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:46MRSH 4th & 13 at MRSH 34, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.5%−0.4
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.0%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:48CONN 4th & 9 at CONN 39, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.3%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.5%
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:13MRSH 4th & 3 at MRSH 30, up 7
    Close callPunted · 75.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.0%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q1 1:53CONN 4th & 12 at CONN 32, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.2%−0.9
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.1%
    average punt
  7. Q1 0:02MRSH 4th & 4 at CONN 42, up 14
    Close callPunted · 79.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    79.1%−1.0
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    79.5%−0.6
    average punt
  8. Q2 13:02CONN 4th & 7 at CONN 11, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.0%−0.6
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.7%
    average punt
  9. Q2 11:42MRSH 4th & 9 at MRSH 31, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.8%−1.3
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.1%
    average punt
  10. Q2 8:25CONN 4th & 14 at MRSH 27, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 19.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.7%−0.7
    18% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    19.5%
    62% to make
    Punt
    17.2%−2.3
    average punt
  11. Q2 1:08CONN 4th & 6 at MRSH 13, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 12.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.9%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    12.1%
    85% to make
    Punt
    9.8%−2.3
    average punt
  12. Q2 0:02MRSH 4th & 6 at MRSH 17, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.3%−0.3
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.6%
    average punt
  13. Q3 13:56CONN 4th & 4 at CONN 33, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.7%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.8%
    average punt
  14. Q3 1:56MRSH 4th & 15 at MRSH 17, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.3%−0.8
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.2%
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:57CONN 4th & 13 at MRSH 45, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 9.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.8%−0.4
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    7.8%−0.4
    25% to make
    Punt
    8.2%
    average punt
  16. Q4 8:10MRSH 4th & 6 at MRSH 49, up 14
    Close callPunted · 93.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.8%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CONN made the numbers' call on 2 of 2MRSH made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 11:15MRSH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:23MRSH Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:05MRSH Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 9:51MRSH Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 5:35CONN Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 0:01CONN Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    9.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MRSHDrive 1FUMBLE
10 plays · 35 yds · 2:5282% → 80%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
18.4%
Khalan Laborn run for 3 yds to the Marsh 34Similar
Q1 14:23
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+13
18.6%
Khalan Laborn run for 13 yds to the Marsh 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
18.6%
Cam Fancher pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:45
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+9
18.9%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Khalan Laborn for 9 yds to the UConn 44Similar
Q1 13:42
3RD & 1
OPP 44
+3
18.9%
Khalan Laborn run for 3 yds to the UConn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:19
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
19.0%
Cam Fancher pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:59
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+7
19.2%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Devin Miller for 7 yds to the UConn 34Similar
Q1 12:22
3RD & 3
OPP 34
+2
19.4%
Cam Fancher run for 2 yds to the UConn 32Similar
Q1 11:58
4TH & 1
OPP 32
-2
19.7%
Cam Fancher run for a loss of 2 yards to the UConn 34 Cam Fancher fumbled, recovered by UConn Durante JonesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 2FUMBLE
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0020% → 20%
Q1 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+18
20.0%
Zion Turner run for no gain to the UConn 16 Zion Turner fumbled, recovered by Marsh Isaiah Norman , return for 18 yds to the UConn 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 3TD
2 plays · 16 yds · 0:1880% → 81%
Q1 11:33
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+7
19.7%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Corey Gammage for 7 yds to the UConn 9Similar
Q1 11:15
2ND & 3
OPP 9
+9
19.0%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Corey Gammage for 9 yds for a TD (Rece Verhoff KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:0519% → 20%
Q1 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-1
19.4%
Victor Rosa run for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 25Similar
Q1 10:37
2ND & 11
OWN 25
0
19.4%
Zion Turner pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:25
3RD & 11
OWN 25
+5
19.4%
Robert Burns run for 5 yds to the UConn 30Similar
Q1 9:50
4TH & 6
OWN 30
0
19.5%
George Caratan punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Steven Gilmore at the Marsh 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:4481% → 80%
Q1 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
19.5%
Rasheen Ali run for 5 yds to the Marsh 42Similar
Q1 9:20
2ND & 5
OWN 42
0
19.5%
Cam Fancher pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:11
3RD & 5
OWN 42
-8
19.5%
Cam Fancher run for 2 yds to the Marsh 44 MARSHALL Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Marsh 34Similar
Q1 8:52
3RD & 13
OWN 34
0
19.9%
Cam Fancher pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:46
4TH & 13
OWN 34
0
19.9%
John McConnell punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UConn 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 1:5520% → 20%
Q1 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
19.8%
Zion Turner pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:35
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+13
19.8%
Devontae Houston run for 13 yds to the UConn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:59
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
20.2%
Devontae Houston run for 1 yd to the UConn 39Similar
Q1 7:29
2ND & 9
OWN 39
0
20.4%
Zion Turner pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:17
3RD & 9
OWN 39
0
20.2%
Zion Turner pass incomplete to Aaron TurnerSimilar
Q1 6:48
4TH & 9
OWN 39
0
20.1%
George Caratan punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Steven Gilmore at the Marsh 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 2:1680% → 79%
Q1 6:29
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+5
20.3%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Shadeed Ahmed for 5 yds to the Marsh 15Similar
Q1 5:59
2ND & 5
OWN 15
+4
20.4%
Khalan Laborn run for 4 yds to the Marsh 19Similar
Q1 5:42
3RD & 1
OWN 19
+4
20.5%
Khalan Laborn run for 4 yds to the Marsh 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-1
20.6%
Cam Fancher sacked by Pryce Yates for a loss of 1 yard to the Marsh 22Similar
Q1 4:44
2ND & 11
OWN 22
+8
20.7%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Charles Montgomery for 8 yds to the Marsh 30Similar
Q1 4:22
3RD & 3
OWN 30
0
20.6%
Cam Fancher pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:13
4TH & 3
OWN 30
+4
21.0%
John McConnell punt for 36 yds , Cam Ross returns for 4 yds to the UConn 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 8INT TD
2 plays · 1 yds · 0:3221% → 18%
Q1 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
21.4%
Brian Brewton run for 1 yd to the UConn 39Similar
Q1 3:23
2ND & 9
OWN 39
-34
18.4%
Zion Turner pass intercepted for a TD Damion Barber return for 34 yds for a TD (Rece Verhoff KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 1:2518% → 18%
Q1 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-5
18.1%
CONNECTICUT Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the UConn 29Similar
Q1 2:59
1ST & 15
OWN 29
+2
18.0%
Cale Millen run for 2 yds to the UConn 31Similar
Q1 2:25
2ND & 13
OWN 31
+1
18.1%
Cale Millen pass complete to Aaron Turner for 1 yd to the UConn 32Similar
Q1 2:02
3RD & 12
OWN 32
0
18.0%
Cale Millen pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:53
4TH & 12
OWN 32
0
18.0%
George Caratan punt for 27 yds, downed at the Marsh 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 17 yds · 1:3283% → 82%
Q1 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+11
17.4%
Rasheen Ali run for 11 yds to the UConn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:25
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
17.3%
Rasheen Ali run for 2 yds to the UConn 46Similar
Q1 0:35
2ND & 8
OPP 46
+4
17.3%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Caleb McMillan for 4 yds to the UConn 42Similar
Q1 0:08
3RD & 4
OPP 42
0
17.4%
Cam Fancher pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:02
4TH & 4
OPP 42
0
17.6%
John McConnell punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Tre Wortham at the UConn 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 1:5918% → 18%
Q1 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 8
-2
18.0%
Cale Millen run for a loss of 2 yards to the UConn 6Similar
Q2 14:45
2ND & 12
OWN 6
0
18.1%
Victor Rosa run for no gain to the UConn 6Similar
Q2 14:07
3RD & 12
OWN 6
+5
18.0%
Cale Millen pass complete to Jacob Flynn for 5 yds to the UConn 11Similar
Q2 13:23
4TH & 7
OWN 11
-5
17.8%
CONNECTICUT Penalty, Personal Foul (-5 Yards) to the UConn 6Similar
Q2 13:15
4TH & 12
OWN 6
+5
17.7%
MARSHALL Penalty, Running Into Kicker (5 Yards) to the UConn 11Similar
Q2 13:02
4TH & 7
OWN 11
-3
17.8%
George Caratan punt for 44 yds , Steven Gilmore returns for a loss of 3 yards to the Marsh 8 MARSHALL Penalty, Illegal Block (12 Yards) to the Marsh 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:5883% → 83%
Q2 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
17.2%
Khalan Laborn run for 4 yds to the Marsh 34Similar
Q2 12:00
2ND & 6
OWN 34
-3
17.0%
Cam Fancher run for a loss of 3 yards to the Marsh 31 Cam Fancher fumbled, recovered by Marsh Cam FancherSimilar
Q2 11:50
3RD & 9
OWN 31
0
17.2%
Cam Fancher pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:42
4TH & 9
OWN 31
0
17.4%
John McConnell punt for 36 yds , Cam Ross returns for no gain to the UConn 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 13MISSED FG
7 plays · 40 yds · 3:0718% → 17%
Q2 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
17.5%
Victor Rosa run for 4 yds to the UConn 37Similar
Q2 10:55
2ND & 6
OWN 37
+28
17.9%
Devontae Houston run for 28 yds to the Marsh 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:19
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+12
18.7%
Zion Turner run for 12 yds to the Marsh 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:48
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-4
18.5%
Cale Millen run for a loss of 4 yards to the Marsh 27Similar
Q2 8:59
2ND & 14
OPP 27
0
18.4%
Victor Rosa run for no gain to the Marsh 27Similar
Q2 8:43
3RD & 14
OPP 27
0
17.7%
Zion Turner pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:25
4TH & 14
OPP 27
+45
17.3%
Noe Ruelas 45 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 14TD
4 plays · 73 yds · 1:1284% → 91%
Q2 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+20
16.3%
Rasheen Ali run for 5 yds to the Marsh 32 for a 1ST down CONNECTICUT Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the Marsh 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
15.8%
Rasheen Ali run for 5 yds to the UConn 48Similar
Q2 7:34
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+38
15.8%
Rasheen Ali run for 38 yds to the UConn 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
9.1%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Devin Miller for 10 yds for a TD (Rece Verhoff KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 15DOWNS
16 plays · 72 yds · 5:4711% → 11%
Q2 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-2
11.4%
Devontae Houston run for a loss of 2 yards to the UConn 13Similar
Q2 6:20
2ND & 12
OWN 13
0
11.2%
Devontae Houston run for no gain to the UConn 13Similar
Q2 5:53
3RD & 12
OWN 13
+10
11.0%
MARSHALL Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the UConn 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-1
11.2%
Victor Rosa run for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 22Similar
Q2 5:15
2ND & 11
OWN 22
+37
11.0%
Zion Turner pass complete to Keelan Marion for 37 yds to the Marsh 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:44
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
12.1%
Victor Rosa run for 2 yds to the Marsh 39Similar
Q2 4:01
2ND & 8
OPP 39
0
11.9%
Zion Turner pass incomplete to Keelan MarionSimilar
Q2 3:51
3RD & 8
OPP 39
+9
11.7%
Victor Rosa run for 9 yds to the Marsh 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:07
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
12.0%
Victor Rosa run for 1 yd to the Marsh 29Similar
Q2 2:37
2ND & 9
OPP 29
+12
11.7%
Zion Turner pass complete to Justin Joly for 12 yds to the Marsh 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:59
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
11.8%
Victor Rosa run for no gain to the Marsh 17Similar
Q2 1:19
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+4
11.6%
Zion Turner run for 4 yds to the Marsh 13Similar
Q2 1:15
3RD & 6
OPP 13
0
11.5%
Zion Turner pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:08
4TH & 6
OPP 13
0
11.2%
Zion Turner pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 4 yds · 0:5993% → 93%
Q2 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+1
6.8%
Khalan Laborn run for 1 yd to the Marsh 14Similar
Q2 0:55
2ND & 9
OWN 14
+1
6.7%
Rasheen Ali run for 1 yd to the Marsh 15Similar
Q2 0:30
3RD & 8
OWN 15
+2
6.9%
Rasheen Ali run for 2 yds to the Marsh 17Similar
Q2 0:02
4TH & 6
OWN 17
+37
7.2%
John McConnell punt for 37 yds , Cam Ross returns for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 17END OF HALF
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q2 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-1
15.5%
Zion Turner pass intercepted, touchback. Corey Gammage return for 1 ydSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:5910% → 10%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
9.8%
Robert Burns run for no gain to the UConn 27Similar
Q3 14:20
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+6
9.6%
Zion Turner pass complete to Aaron Turner for 6 yds to the UConn 33Similar
Q3 14:04
3RD & 4
OWN 33
0
9.9%
Zion Turner pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:56
4TH & 4
OWN 33
0
9.6%
George Caratan punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Steven Gilmore at the Marsh 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 19TD
11 plays · 79 yds · 3:5493% → 98%
Q3 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
7.2%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Charles Montgomery for no gain to the Marsh 21Similar
Q3 13:11
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+5
7.0%
Khalan Laborn run for 5 yds to the Marsh 26Similar
Q3 12:44
3RD & 5
OWN 26
+21
6.6%
Ethan Payne run for 6 yds to the Marsh 32 for a 1ST down CONNECTICUT Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Marsh 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+7
6.1%
Khalan Laborn run for 7 yds to the UConn 46Similar
Q3 11:59
2ND & 3
OPP 46
+6
5.4%
Khalan Laborn run for 6 yds to the UConn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:33
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
5.4%
Rasheen Ali run for 1 yd to the UConn 39Similar
Q3 11:11
2ND & 9
OPP 39
0
5.4%
Cam Fancher pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:59
3RD & 9
OPP 39
+10
5.4%
Rasheen Ali run for 10 yds to the UConn 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:53
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+15
5.1%
Fancher, Cam pass incomplete, PENALTY UCONN pass interference 15 yards to the UCONN14, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MARSHALL.Similar
Q3 10:23
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+12
5.0%
Cam Fancher run for 12 yds to the UConn 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
1.8%
Rasheen Ali run for 2 yds for a TD (Rece Verhoff KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 20TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:112% → 5%
Q3 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
2.2%
Zion Turner pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:25
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
2.1%
Brian Brewton run for 4 yds to the UConn 29Similar
Q3 8:59
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+6
2.2%
Zion Turner run for 6 yds to the UConn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
2.2%
Brian Brewton run for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 34Similar
Q3 7:38
2ND & 11
OWN 34
+20
1.2%
Zion Turner run for 5 yds to the Marsh 39 for a 1ST down MARSHALL Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the Marsh 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:59
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
1.3%
Victor Rosa run for no gain to the Marsh 46Similar
Q3 6:25
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
0.8%
Zion Turner pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:17
3RD & 10
OPP 46
+32
0.8%
Zion Turner pass complete to Keelan Marion for 32 yds to the Marsh 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:35
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
5.2%
Victor Rosa run for 14 yds for a TD (Noe Ruelas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 21PUNT
9 plays · 7 yds · 3:0397% → 97%
Q3 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+6
3.2%
Khalan Laborn run for 6 yds to the Marsh 16Similar
Q3 4:44
2ND & 4
OWN 16
+3
3.1%
Khalan Laborn run for 3 yds to the Marsh 19Similar
Q3 3:59
3RD & 1
OWN 19
+3
3.0%
Ethan Payne run for 3 yds to the Marsh 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+1
2.8%
Khalan Laborn run for 1 yd to the Marsh 23Similar
Q3 2:50
2ND & 9
OWN 23
0
2.7%
Cam Fancher pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:22
3RD & 9
OWN 23
-1
2.7%
Rasheen Ali run for a loss of 1 yard to the Marsh 22Similar
Q3 2:15
4TH & 10
OWN 22
-5
2.8%
MARSHALL Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Marsh 17Similar
Q3 1:56
4TH & 15
OWN 17
0
2.7%
John McConnell punt for 23 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Marsh 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 22TD
4 plays · 40 yds · 1:444% → 13%
Q3 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-1
3.6%
Brian Brewton run for a loss of 1 yard to the Marsh 41Similar
Q3 1:11
2ND & 11
OPP 41
+12
3.3%
Zion Turner pass complete to Cam Ross for 12 yds to the Marsh 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:35
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
3.5%
Victor Rosa run for 5 yds to the Marsh 24Similar
Q3 0:01
2ND & 5
OPP 24
+24
13.0%
Victor Rosa run for 24 yds for a TD (Noe Ruelas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 23INT
4 plays · 36 yds · 0:5991% → 93%
Q4 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+34
9.0%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Corey Gammage for 34 yds to the UConn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:14
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
7.1%
Rasheen Ali run for 2 yds to the UConn 38Similar
Q4 13:45
2ND & 8
OPP 38
0
7.0%
Cam Fancher pass intercepted Malik Dixon-Williams return for no gain to the UConn 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 24DOWNS
8 plays · 38 yds · 3:3611% → 8%
Q4 13:33
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+9
10.5%
Zion Turner pass complete to Cam Ross for 9 yds to the UConn 26Similar
Q4 12:47
2ND & 1
OWN 26
+15
10.6%
Victor Rosa run for 15 yds to the UConn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+17
11.2%
Brian Brewton run for 2 yds to the Marsh 43 for a 1ST down MARSHALL Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the Marsh 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-15
11.7%
Zion Turner pass incomplete CONNECTICUT Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the UConn 43Similar
Q4 11:11
2ND & 25
OWN 43
-2
10.4%
Zion Turner sacked by TyQaze Leggs for a loss of 2 yards to the UConn 41Similar
Q4 10:42
3RD & 27
OWN 41
+19
9.1%
Zion Turner pass complete to Aaron Turner for 19 yds to the Marsh 40Similar
Q4 10:08
4TH & 8
OPP 40
-5
9.0%
CONNECTICUT Penalty, Offensive Offside (-5 Yards) to the Marsh 45Similar
Q4 9:57
4TH & 13
OPP 45
0
8.2%
Zion Turner pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:2095% → 95%
Q4 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
5.0%
Khalan Laborn run for 1 yd to the Marsh 46Similar
Q4 9:11
2ND & 9
OWN 46
+4
5.0%
Khalan Laborn run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 8:35
3RD & 5
50
-1
5.0%
Rasheen Ali run for a loss of 1 yard to the Marsh 49Similar
Q4 8:10
4TH & 6
OWN 49
0
5.4%
John McConnell punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Cam Ross at the UConn 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 26INT
10 plays · 60 yds · 2:505% → 5%
Q4 7:59
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
5.4%
Victor Rosa run for 3 yds to the UConn 23Similar
Q4 7:37
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+21
5.3%
Zion Turner pass complete to Aaron Turner for 6 yds to the UConn 29 for a 1ST down MARSHALL Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the UConn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
5.3%
Victor Rosa run for no gain to the UConn 44Similar
Q4 6:49
2ND & 10
OWN 44
0
5.0%
Zion Turner pass incomplete to Keelan MarionSimilar
Q4 6:42
3RD & 10
OWN 44
+15
4.9%
MARSHALL Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the Marsh 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:32
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+33
5.5%
Zion Turner pass complete to Aaron Turner for 33 yds to the Marsh 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-10
5.7%
CONNECTICUT Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Marsh 18Similar
Q4 5:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 18
-2
5.4%
Robert Burns run for a loss of 2 yards to the Marsh 20Similar
Q4 5:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 20
0
5.3%
Zion Turner pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:09
3RD & GOAL
OPP 20
0
4.9%
Zion Turner pass intercepted, touchback. Micah Abraham return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 27Uncategorized
8 plays · 35 yds · 3:2596% → 98%
Q4 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
3.9%
Khalan Laborn run for 7 yds to the Marsh 27Similar
Q4 4:05
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+3
3.8%
Khalan Laborn run for 3 yds to the Marsh 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
3.3%
Khalan Laborn run for 9 yds to the Marsh 39Similar
Q4 2:43
2ND & 1
OWN 39
-2
2.6%
Khalan Laborn run for a loss of 2 yards to the Marsh 37Similar
Q4 2:40
3RD & 3
OWN 37
+10
2.6%
Rasheen Ali run for 10 yds to the Marsh 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
1.9%
Khalan Laborn run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 1:20
2ND & 7
50
+5
1.9%
Khalan Laborn run for 5 yds to the UConn 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 0:01
Victor Rosa run for 24 yds for a TD (Noe Ruelas KICK)
+9.5
INT · Q2 0:02
Zion Turner pass intercepted, touchback. Corey Gammage return for 1 yd
+8.4
KEY PLAY · Q3 15:00
Sean Meisler kickoff for 38 yds fair catch by Justin Bryant at the UConn 27
-8.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com