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MEM

Memphis 38 at Utah State 10

USU
2022 · SERVPRO First Responder Bowl · Dec 27, 2022 · Gerald J. Ford Stadium
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Win probability · USU
modelUSU aheadMEM aheadconfidence bandkey playUSU scoreMEM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 11:55 · Joe Doyle punt for 25 yds, fair catch by Cooper Jones at the UthSt 15
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+57.5+28.80−28.8−57.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 8Home team on offense−0.1Pregame prior−21.7Score differential−0.2Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 7:24: Seth Henigan pass complete to Eddie Lewis for 15 yds for a TD (Chris Howard KICK) — MEM win probability +6.8 pts (now 74%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 2:56: Seth Henigan pass complete to Eddie Lewis for 22 yds for a TD (Chris Howard KICK) — MEM win probability +6.7 pts (now 81%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:24: Seth Henigan pass complete to Caden Prieskorn for 3 yds for a TD (Chris Howard KICK) — MEM win probability +6.9 pts (now 92%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 11:04: Bishop Davenport pass complete to Brian Cobbs for 44 yds for a TD (Connor Coles KICK) — USU win probability +10.9 pts (now 14%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 7:22: Jevyon Ducker run for 1 yd for a TD (Chris Howard KICK) — MEM win probability +4.0 pts (now 99%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
USU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7MEM made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 11:55MEM 4th & 18 at USU 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.3%−0.1
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    67.4%−<0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    67.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:19USU 4th & 8 at USU 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.5%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:30MEM 4th & 10 at MEM 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.2%−0.3
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.5%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:19USU 4th & 10 at USU 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.2%−0.3
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.5%
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:05MEM 4th & 8 at USU 8, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 63.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.4%−0.2
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    63.6%
    90% to make
    Punt
    61.4%−2.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:13USU 4th & 14 at MEM 36, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 35.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.3%−0.5
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    35.9%
    42% to make
    Punt
    35.7%−0.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:22USU 4th & 1 at midfield, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 32.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    32.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    29.9%−2.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:02USU 4th & 16 at USU 21, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.9%−1.4
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.2%
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:40MEM 4th & 6 at USU 44, up 21
    Close callPunted · 91.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    90.5%−0.9
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    91.3%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:07USU 4th & 9 at USU 34, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.9%−1.2
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.0%
    average punt
  11. Q3 1:50USU 4th & 14 at MEM 40, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.5%−0.5
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    4.9%−0.2
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    5.0%
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:52MEM 4th & 16 at USU 39, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.2%−0.3
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    97.4%−<0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    97.4%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
USU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1MEM made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q2 7:24MEM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 2:56MEM Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:24MEM Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 11:04USU Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 7:22MEM Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 3:16MEM Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MEMDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 35 yds · 2:4473% → 71%
Q1 14:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
27.5%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Eddie Lewis for 12 yds to the Memph 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:18
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-2
27.7%
Seth Henigan run for a loss of 2 yards to the Memph 35Similar
Q1 13:47
2ND & 12
OWN 35
+33
27.9%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Gabriel Rogers for 33 yds to the UthSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:23
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
27.9%
Seth Henigan pass incomplete to Asa MartinSimilar
Q1 13:15
2ND & 10
OPP 32
-1
28.0%
Asa Martin run for a loss of 1 yard to the UthSt 33Similar
Q1 12:36
3RD & 11
OPP 33
-7
28.3%
Seth Henigan sacked by Daniel Grzesiak for a loss of 7 yards to the UthSt 40Similar
Q1 11:55
4TH & 18
OPP 40
0
28.9%
Joe Doyle punt for 25 yds, fair catch by Cooper Jones at the UthSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 25 yds · 2:1629% → 30%
Q1 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+5
29.0%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Terrell Vaughn for 5 yds to the UthSt 20Similar
Q1 11:20
2ND & 5
OWN 20
+6
29.1%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Brian Cobbs for 6 yds to the UthSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+7
29.3%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 7 yds to the UthSt 33Similar
Q1 10:41
2ND & 3
OWN 33
+5
29.6%
Cooper Legas run for 5 yds to the UthSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:19
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
29.8%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 3 yds to the UthSt 41Similar
Q1 10:09
2ND & 7
OWN 41
-1
30.0%
Cooper Legas run for a loss of 1 yard to the UthSt 40Similar
Q1 9:31
3RD & 8
OWN 40
0
30.0%
Cooper Legas pass incomplete to Terrell VaughnSimilar
Q1 9:19
4TH & 8
OWN 40
+7
29.9%
Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 42 yds , Eddie Lewis returns for 7 yds to the Memph 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:2570% → 69%
Q1 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-13
30.1%
Seth Henigan sacked by Poukesi Vakauta for a loss of 13 yards to the Memph 12Similar
Q1 8:22
2ND & 23
OWN 12
+8
30.4%
Jevyon Ducker run for 8 yds to the Memph 20Similar
Q1 7:50
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+5
30.9%
UTAH ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (Byron Vaughns) to the Memph 25Similar
Q1 7:37
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
30.9%
Seth Henigan pass incomplete to Caden PrieskornSimilar
Q1 7:30
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+1
31.2%
Joe Doyle punt for 48 yds , Cooper Jones returns for 1 yd to the UthSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:0331% → 31%
Q1 7:22
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
30.9%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Terrell Vaughn for 3 yds to the UthSt 31Similar
Q1 7:00
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+2
31.1%
Cooper Legas run for 2 yds to the UthSt 33Similar
Q1 6:25
3RD & 5
OWN 33
0
31.2%
Cooper Legas pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:25
4TH & 5
OWN 33
-5
31.0%
UTAH ST Penalty, False Start (Jaden Smith) to the UthSt 28Similar
Q1 6:19
4TH & 10
OWN 28
0
30.8%
Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Memph 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 5FG
12 plays · 64 yds · 5:0069% → 68%
Q1 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
31.3%
Sutton Smith run for 2 yds to the Memph 30Similar
Q1 5:45
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+18
31.5%
Gabriel Rogers run for 18 yds to the Memph 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:09
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+7
31.1%
Sutton Smith run for 7 yds to the UthSt 45Similar
Q1 4:39
2ND & 3
OPP 45
0
31.0%
Seth Henigan pass incomplete to Roc TaylorSimilar
Q1 4:32
3RD & 3
OPP 45
+28
31.3%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Eddie Lewis for 28 yds to the UthSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:52
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+5
31.0%
Sutton Smith run for 5 yds to the UthSt 12Similar
Q1 3:15
2ND & 5
OPP 12
-1
31.2%
Sutton Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the UthSt 13Similar
Q1 2:31
3RD & 6
OPP 13
+7
31.6%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Cameron Wright for 7 yds to the UthSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
31.3%
Seth Henigan pass incomplete to Eddie LewisSimilar
Q1 1:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
-2
31.4%
Jevyon Ducker run for a loss of 2 yards to the UthSt 8Similar
Q1 1:10
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
32.0%
Seth Henigan pass incomplete to Roc TaylorSimilar
Q1 1:05
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+26
32.1%
Chris Howard 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 6FG
10 plays · 37 yds · 3:3532% → 35%
Q1 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+13
32.4%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 13 yds to the UthSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
33.5%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 4 yds to the UthSt 44Similar
Q1 0:09
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+3
33.9%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Brian Cobbs for 3 yds to the UthSt 47Similar
Q2 14:52
3RD & 3
OWN 47
+10
33.7%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 10 yds to the Memph 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:30
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+11
34.5%
Cooper Legas run for 11 yds to the Memph 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:14
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
35.2%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 2 yds to the Memph 30Similar
Q2 13:55
2ND & 8
OPP 30
-4
35.3%
Cooper Legas sacked by Jaylon Allen for a loss of 4 yards to the Memph 34Similar
Q2 12:30
3RD & 12
OPP 34
-2
34.2%
Cooper Legas sacked by William Whitlow Jr. for a loss of 2 yards to the Memph 36Similar
Q2 12:13
4TH & 14
OPP 36
+53
35.4%
Connor Coles 53 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 7TD
11 plays · 72 yds · 4:3565% → 74%
Q2 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
35.0%
Asa Martin run for 5 yds to the Memph 33Similar
Q2 11:43
2ND & 5
OWN 33
+15
34.6%
Asa Martin run for 15 yds to the Memph 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-10
34.1%
Martin, Asa rush for 8 yards to the UTAHST44, PENALTY MEMPHIS holding (Carter, Davion) 10 yards to the MEMPHIS38, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:44
1ST & 20
OWN 38
+9
35.4%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Gabriel Rogers for 9 yds to the Memph 47Similar
Q2 10:06
2ND & 11
OWN 47
+5
35.1%
Henigan, Seth pass incomplete to Taylor, Roc, PENALTY UTAHST offside (Grzesiak, Daniel) 5 yards to the UTAHST48, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:32
2ND & 6
OPP 48
-3
34.1%
Asa Martin run for a loss of 3 yards to the Memph 49Similar
Q2 9:12
3RD & 9
OWN 49
+22
35.4%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Roc Taylor for 22 yds to the UthSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:50
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
33.6%
Seth Henigan run for 2 yds to the UthSt 27Similar
Q2 7:54
2ND & 8
OPP 27
+12
33.0%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Koby Drake for 12 yds to the UthSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:24
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
26.1%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Eddie Lewis for 15 yds for a TD (Chris Howard KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 8DOWNS
8 plays · 25 yds · 1:5529% → 30%
Q2 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
28.8%
Terrell Vaughn run for 6 yds to the UthSt 31Similar
Q2 6:59
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-1
29.7%
Jordan Wilmore run for a loss of 1 yard to the UthSt 30Similar
Q2 6:31
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+11
28.5%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Josh Sterzer for 11 yds to the UthSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
30.3%
Cooper Legas run for 3 yds to the UthSt 44Similar
Q2 5:53
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+5
30.5%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Brian Cobbs for 5 yds to the UthSt 49Similar
Q2 5:38
3RD & 2
OWN 49
+1
30.6%
Jordan Wilmore run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 5:22
4TH & 1
50
0
30.0%
Cooper Legas pass incomplete to Brian CobbsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 9TD
5 plays · 50 yds · 2:1574% → 81%
Q2 5:11
1ST & 10
50
+15
26.3%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Jevyon Ducker for 15 yds to the UthSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:42
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
26.1%
Roc Taylor run for 5 yds to the UthSt 30Similar
Q2 4:09
2ND & 5
OPP 30
+5
26.0%
Jevyon Ducker run for 5 yds to the UthSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:27
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
25.9%
Jevyon Ducker run for 3 yds to the UthSt 22Similar
Q2 2:56
2ND & 7
OPP 22
+22
19.3%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Eddie Lewis for 22 yds for a TD (Chris Howard KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · -6 yds · 0:2921% → 20%
Q2 2:31
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
20.5%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 3 yds to the UthSt 30Similar
Q2 2:20
2ND & 7
OWN 30
0
20.5%
Cooper Legas pass incomplete to Calvin Tyler Jr.Similar
Q2 2:15
3RD & 7
OWN 30
-9
20.0%
Cooper Legas sacked by Cam'Ron Jackson for a loss of 9 yards to the UthSt 21Similar
Q2 2:02
4TH & 16
OWN 21
0
19.8%
Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 31 yds, downed at the Memph 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 11TD
11 plays · 52 yds · 1:3182% → 92%
Q2 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+13
17.9%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Roc Taylor for 13 yds to the UthSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:31
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+10
17.4%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Gabriel Rogers for 10 yds to the UthSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:25
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
17.4%
Seth Henigan run for 4 yds to the UthSt 25Similar
Q2 1:16
2ND & 6
OPP 25
+10
17.3%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Asa Martin for 10 yds to the UthSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:12
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+6
17.2%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Caden Prieskorn for 6 yds to the UthSt 9Similar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 4
OPP 9
+2
17.1%
Seth Henigan run for 2 yds to the UthSt 7Similar
Q2 0:44
3RD & 2
OPP 7
+6
17.3%
Jevyon Ducker run for 6 yds to the UthSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-2
16.9%
Jevyon Ducker run for a loss of 2 yards to the UthSt 3Similar
Q2 0:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
14.9%
Seth Henigan pass incomplete to John HassellSimilar
Q2 0:24
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
8.0%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Caden Prieskorn for 3 yds for a TD (Chris Howard KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q2 0:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
14.0%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 3 yds to the UthSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 13INT
6 plays · 16 yds · 1:2412% → 13%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
12.3%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Josh Sterzer for 1 yd to the UthSt 26Similar
Q3 14:31
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+10
12.1%
Cooper Legas run for 10 yds to the UthSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
12.6%
Cooper Legas run for 5 yds to the UthSt 41Similar
Q3 13:55
2ND & 5
OWN 41
0
12.9%
Terrell Vaughn run for no gain to the UthSt 41Similar
Q3 13:31
3RD & 5
OWN 41
0
12.7%
Cooper Legas pass intercepted Sylvonta Oliver return for no gain to the UthSt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:4692% → 92%
Q3 13:26
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
8.4%
Seth Henigan pass incomplete to Gabriel RogersSimilar
Q3 13:19
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+4
8.3%
Joseph Scates run for 4 yds to the UthSt 44Similar
Q3 12:45
3RD & 6
OPP 44
0
8.3%
Seth Henigan pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:40
4TH & 6
OPP 44
0
8.2%
Joe Doyle punt for 44 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 15PUNT
9 plays · 14 yds · 3:3311% → 10%
Q3 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
11.4%
UTAH ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UthSt 15Similar
Q3 12:27
1ST & 15
OWN 15
+5
11.2%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 5 yds to the UthSt 20Similar
Q3 12:00
2ND & 10
OWN 20
-10
11.1%
Legas, Cooper pass complete to Vaughn, Terrell for 16 yards to the UTAHST36, PENALTY UTAHST holding 10 yards to the UTAHST10, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:53
2ND & 20
OWN 10
+10
11.0%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 10 yds to the UthSt 20Similar
Q3 11:03
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+13
10.6%
Cooper Legas run for 13 yds to the UthSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:47
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-8
11.0%
Cooper Legas sacked by James Stewart for a loss of 8 yards to the UthSt 25Similar
Q3 10:28
2ND & 18
OWN 25
+2
10.4%
Bishop Davenport pass complete to Brian Cobbs for 2 yds to the UthSt 27Similar
Q3 9:59
3RD & 16
OWN 27
+7
9.7%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 7 yds to the UthSt 34Similar
Q3 9:07
4TH & 9
OWN 34
+1
9.5%
Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 44 yds , Eddie Lewis returns for 1 yd to the Memph 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 16FUMBLE
11 plays · 13 yds · 4:5994% → 97%
Q3 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+9
6.1%
Seth Henigan run for 9 yds to the Memph 32Similar
Q3 8:21
2ND & 1
OWN 32
+3
5.8%
Jevyon Ducker run for 3 yds to the Memph 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
5.7%
Seth Henigan pass incomplete to Joseph ScatesSimilar
Q3 7:25
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-1
5.2%
Seth Henigan run for a loss of 1 yard to the Memph 34Similar
Q3 6:57
3RD & 11
OWN 34
+14
5.2%
Henigan, Seth pass incomplete to Drake, Koby, PENALTY UTAHST pass interference (Anyanwu, Michael) 14 yards to the MEMPHIS48, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MEMPHIS.Similar
Q3 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
4.3%
Jevyon Ducker run for 3 yds to the UthSt 49Similar
Q3 6:04
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+9
3.9%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Roc Taylor for 9 yds to the UthSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:22
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-3
3.7%
Asa Martin run for a loss of 3 yards to the UthSt 43Similar
Q3 4:40
2ND & 13
OPP 43
-9
3.6%
Seth Henigan sacked by Hale Motu'apuaka for a loss of 9 yards to the Memph 48Similar
Q3 4:28
3RD & 22
OWN 48
-5
3.6%
MEMPHIS Penalty, False Start (Matt Dale) to the Memph 43Similar
Q3 3:58
3RD & 27
OWN 43
-7
3.5%
Seth Henigan sacked by Daniel Grzesiak for a loss of 7 yards to the Memph 36 Seth Henigan fumbled, forced by Patrick Joyner Jr., recovered by UthSt Byron Vaughns , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 2:006% → 5%
Q3 3:50
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-2
5.8%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the Memph 38Similar
Q3 3:13
2ND & 12
OPP 38
+3
5.3%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 3 yds to the Memph 35Similar
Q3 2:33
3RD & 9
OPP 35
0
5.2%
Bishop Davenport pass complete to Calvin Tyler Jr. for no gain to the Memph 35Similar
Q3 1:59
4TH & 9
OPP 35
-5
4.9%
UTAH ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Memph 40Similar
Q3 1:50
4TH & 14
OPP 40
0
4.7%
Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 27 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Memph 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 18PUNT
9 plays · 48 yds · 3:4797% → 98%
Q3 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+4
3.0%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Roc Taylor for 4 yds to the Memph 17Similar
Q3 1:15
2ND & 6
OWN 17
+5
3.0%
UTAH ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (Tavian Coleman) to the Memph 22Similar
Q3 1:01
2ND & 1
OWN 22
+3
2.9%
Asa Martin run for 3 yds to the Memph 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+42
2.8%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Joseph Scates for 42 yds to the UthSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:08
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-4
2.5%
Seth Henigan sacked by Byron Vaughns for a loss of 4 yards to the UthSt 37Similar
Q4 14:50
2ND & 14
OPP 37
+6
2.5%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Eddie Lewis for 6 yds to the UthSt 31Similar
Q4 14:12
3RD & 8
OPP 31
-10
2.4%
Henigan, Seth pass complete to Martin, Asa for 2 yards to the UTAHST29, PENALTY MEMPHIS holding 10 yards to the UTAHST41, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:41
3RD & 18
OPP 41
+2
2.4%
Asa Martin run for 2 yds to the UthSt 39Similar
Q4 12:52
4TH & 16
OPP 39
0
2.5%
Joe Doyle punt for 31 yds, downed at the UthSt 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 19TD
6 plays · 92 yds · 1:343% → 14%
Q4 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+2
2.6%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 2 yds to the UthSt 10Similar
Q4 12:21
2ND & 8
OWN 10
+9
2.6%
Bishop Davenport pass complete to Otto Tia for 9 yds to the UthSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+8
2.6%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 8 yds to the UthSt 27Similar
Q4 11:35
2ND & 2
OWN 27
+15
2.8%
Davenport, Bishop pass incomplete to Cobbs, Brian, PENALTY MEMPHIS pass interference (Oliver, Sylvonta) 15 yards to the UTAHST42, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN UTAHST.Similar
Q4 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+14
2.8%
Bishop Davenport pass complete to Terrell Vaughn for 14 yds to the Memph 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:04
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+44
13.6%
Bishop Davenport pass complete to Brian Cobbs for 44 yds for a TD (Connor Coles KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 20TD
8 plays · 47 yds · 3:1993% → 99%
Q4 10:41
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+11
6.6%
Jevyon Ducker run for 11 yds to the UthSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:05
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+8
6.3%
Gabriel Rogers run for 8 yds to the UthSt 28Similar
Q4 9:37
2ND & 2
OPP 28
+2
5.8%
Jevyon Ducker run for 2 yds to the UthSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:24
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+22
5.8%
Asa Martin run for 22 yds to the UthSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
5.6%
Asa Martin run for 3 yds to the UthSt 1Similar
Q4 7:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
5.5%
Asa Martin run for no gain to the UthSt 1Similar
Q4 7:22
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
1.4%
Jevyon Ducker run for 1 yd for a TD (Chris Howard KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 21INT
7 plays · 33 yds · 2:002% → 2%
Q4 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
1.9%
Bishop Davenport run for 1 yd to the UthSt 44Similar
Q4 6:24
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+12
1.4%
Bishop Davenport pass complete to Terrell Vaughn for 12 yds to the Memph 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
1.5%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 1 yd to the Memph 43Similar
Q4 5:40
2ND & 9
OPP 43
0
1.4%
Bishop Davenport pass incomplete to Otto TiaSimilar
Q4 5:33
3RD & 9
OPP 43
+19
1.4%
Bishop Davenport pass complete to Brian Cobbs for 19 yds to the Memph 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:10
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-35
1.6%
Bishop Davenport pass intercepted Sylvonta Oliver return for 35 yds to the Memph 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 22TD
7 plays · 58 yds · 1:4499% → 100%
Q4 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
1.0%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Gabriel Rogers for 6 yds to the Memph 48Similar
Q4 4:20
2ND & 4
OWN 48
0
0.9%
Sutton Smith run for no gain to the Memph 48Similar
Q4 4:08
3RD & 4
OWN 48
+7
0.8%
Sutton Smith run for 7 yds to the UthSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:30
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-3
0.7%
Jevyon Ducker run for a loss of 3 yards to the UthSt 48Similar
Q4 3:16
2ND & 13
OPP 48
+48
0.1%
Jevyon Ducker run for 48 yds for a TD (Chris Howard KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 23INT
5 plays · 16 yds · 1:040% → 0%
Q4 2:35
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
0.1%
Levi Williams pass complete to Calvin Tyler Jr. for 1 yd to the Memph 44Similar
Q4 2:24
2ND & 9
OPP 44
+5
0.1%
Levi Williams run for 5 yds to the Memph 39Similar
Q4 1:54
3RD & 4
OPP 39
+10
0.1%
Levi Williams run for 10 yds to the Memph 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:31
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
0.1%
Levi Williams pass intercepted, touchback. Joel Williams return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 24END OF 4TH QUARTER
3 plays · -9 yds · 1:02100% → 100%
Q4 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-3
0.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Memph 17Similar
Q4 0:45
2ND & 13
OWN 17
-3
0.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Memph 14Similar
Q4 0:17
3RD & 16
OWN 14
-3
0.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Memph 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 11:04
Bishop Davenport pass complete to Brian Cobbs for 44 yds for a TD (Connor Coles KICK)
+10.9
TD · Q2 0:24
Seth Henigan pass complete to Caden Prieskorn for 3 yds for a TD (Chris Howard KICK)
-6.9
TD · Q2 7:24
Seth Henigan pass complete to Eddie Lewis for 15 yds for a TD (Chris Howard KICK)
-6.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com