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LSU

LSU 30 at Georgia 50

UGA
2022 · Week 14 · Dec 3, 2022 · Mercedes-Benz Stadium
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Win probability · UGA
modelUGA aheadLSU aheadconfidence bandkey playUGA scoreLSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 9:27 · Brett Thorson punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Gregory Clayton Jr. at the LSU 27
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+40.0+20.00−20.0−40.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 116Pregame prior+19.2Home team on offense+19.5Score differential+9.6Garbage-time factor+9.3Blowout margin−0.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:43: Stetson Bennett pass complete to Ladd McConkey for 22 yds for a TD (Jack Podlesny KICK) — UGA win probability +3.5 pts (now 91%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 2:48: Stetson Bennett pass complete to Darnell Washington for 14 yds for a TD (Jack Podlesny KICK) — UGA win probability +4.6 pts (now 97%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 0:01: Damian Ramos 42 yd FG GOOD — LSU win probability +5.4 pts (now 7%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 10:33: Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Malik Nabers for 34 yds for a TD (Damian Ramos KICK) — LSU win probability +6.0 pts (now 8%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 1:46: Noah Cain run for 1 yd for a TD Timeout LSU, clock 01:46 (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — LSU win probability +3.7 pts (now 5%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UGA made the numbers' call on 1 of 5LSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 12:33LSU 4th & 5 at LSU 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.3%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:52UGA 4th & 4 at UGA 27, tied
    Close callPunted · 86.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.1%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:33LSU 4th & 14 at UGA 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 16.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.8%−0.3
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    16.2%
    84% to make
    Punt
    15.1%−1.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:32LSU 4th & 2 at LSU 33, down 14
    Close callPunted · 11.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:21UGA 4th & 5 at LSU 25, up 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 89.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.2%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    89.1%−0.1
    66% to make
    Punt
    86.2%−3.0
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:54LSU 4th & 10 at LSU 25, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.8%−0.7
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:58LSU 4th & 16 at LSU 19, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.2%−0.8
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.0%
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:27UGA 4th & 2 at UGA 33, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.5%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.5%
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:59LSU 4th & 1 at UGA 5, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.3%
    67% to convert
    Field goal
    4.5%−1.9
    92% to make
    Punt
    -0.6%−6.9
    average punt
  10. Q4 9:07UGA 4th & 2 at UGA 28, up 27
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 7:12LSU 4th & 10 at UGA 33, down 27
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    0.3%
    49% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−0.2
    average punt
  12. Q4 4:43UGA 4th & 1 at UGA 34, up 20
    Close callPunted · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.2%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UGA made the numbers' call on 5 of 6LSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 4
  1. Q1 2:21LSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    16.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    16.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:03UGA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:43UGA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 2:48UGA Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:32UGA Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 10:33LSU Touchdown, down 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 3:32UGA Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 1:46LSU Touchdown, down 19 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    3.4%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    3.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 13:13UGA Touchdown, up 25 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 7:12LSU Touchdown, down 21 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.1%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.1%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
LSUDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 21 yds · 2:1910% → 11%
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
89.6%
John Emery Jr. run for no gain to the LSU 25Similar
Q1 14:32
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
89.5%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Malik Nabers for 7 yds to the LSU 32Similar
Q1 14:02
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+9
89.4%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Jaray Jenkins for 9 yds to the LSU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
89.2%
Jayden Daniels run for 5 yds to the LSU 46Similar
Q1 12:47
2ND & 5
OWN 46
0
89.0%
Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Kayshon BoutteSimilar
Q1 12:42
3RD & 5
OWN 46
0
88.9%
Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Kayshon BoutteSimilar
Q1 12:33
4TH & 5
OWN 46
0
89.0%
Jay Bramblett punt for 33 yds, downed at the Geo 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:3589% → 88%
Q1 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
89.0%
Kenny McIntosh run for no gain to the Geo 21Similar
Q1 11:39
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+6
88.7%
Kenny McIntosh run for 6 yds to the Geo 27Similar
Q1 11:01
3RD & 4
OWN 27
0
88.5%
Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to Kenny McIntoshSimilar
Q1 10:52
4TH & 4
OWN 27
0
88.4%
Brett Thorson punt for 56 yds , Gregory Clayton Jr. returns for no gain to the LSU 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 3TD
16 plays · 69 yds · 7:0712% → 12%
Q1 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+10
88.5%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Malik Nabers for 10 yds to the LSU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+7
88.4%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Kayshon Boutte for 7 yds to the LSU 34Similar
Q1 9:55
2ND & 3
OWN 34
+3
88.1%
John Emery Jr. run for 3 yds to the LSU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:07
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
87.9%
Jayden Daniels run for 3 yds to the LSU 40Similar
Q1 8:40
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+18
87.6%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Malik Nabers for 18 yds to the Geo 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:05
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
87.3%
John Emery Jr. run for 3 yds to the Geo 39Similar
Q1 7:27
2ND & 7
OPP 39
+16
87.0%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Kyren Lacy for 16 yds to the Geo 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:10
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+5
86.8%
Daniels, Jayden pass incomplete to Lacy, Kyren, PENALTY GEORGIA offside 5 yards to the GEORGIA18, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:02
1ST & 5
OPP 18
-2
86.7%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Mason Taylor for a loss of 2 yards to the Geo 20Similar
Q1 6:20
2ND & 7
OPP 20
-2
86.5%
Jayden Daniels sacked by Tramel Walthour for a loss of 2 yards to the Geo 22Similar
Q1 5:37
3RD & 9
OPP 22
+15
86.4%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Brian Thomas Jr. for 15 yds to the Geo 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
86.0%
Jayden Daniels run for 2 yds to the Geo 5Similar
Q1 4:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
85.8%
Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Kayshon BoutteSimilar
Q1 4:30
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
-9
85.9%
Jayden Daniels sacked by Chaz Chambliss for a loss of 9 yards to the Geo 14Similar
Q1 3:33
4TH & GOAL
OPP 14
+95
88.1%
Damian Ramos 32 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Nazir Stackhouse Christopher Smith return for 95 yds for a TD (Jack Podlesny KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 4TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 0:5912% → 15%
Q1 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
88.0%
Josh Williams run for 7 yds to the LSU 32Similar
Q1 2:55
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+15
87.5%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Josh Williams for 15 yds to the LSU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:21
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+53
84.8%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Kayshon Boutte for 53 yds for a TD (Damian Ramos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 5TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:0986% → 88%
Q1 2:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
85.9%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Ladd McConkey for 11 yds to the Geo 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+15
86.0%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Brock Bowers for 15 yds to the LSU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:21
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+32
86.3%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Brock Bowers for 32 yds to the LSU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:58
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+13
86.5%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Kenny McIntosh for 9 yds to the LSU 8 for a 1ST down LSU Penalty, Illegal Block (4 Yards) to the LSU 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
86.4%
Kenny McIntosh run for 1 yd to the LSU 3Similar
Q1 0:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
86.3%
Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to Adonai MitchellSimilar
Q1 0:03
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
88.2%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Brock Bowers for 3 yds for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 6INT
3 plays · -2 yds · 0:0912% → 12%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
87.6%
John Emery Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the LSU 23Similar
Q2 14:51
2ND & 12
OWN 23
-3
87.6%
Jayden Daniels pass intercepted Smael Mondon Jr. return for 3 yds to the LSU 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 7TD
1 play · 22 yds · 0:0091% → 91%
Q2 14:43
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
91.1%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Ladd McConkey for 22 yds for a TD (Jack Podlesny KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:5810% → 10%
Q2 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
90.0%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Brian Thomas Jr. for 9 yds to the LSU 34Similar
Q2 14:17
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
89.6%
Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Brian Thomas Jr.Similar
Q2 14:09
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-1
89.8%
Josh Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the LSU 33Similar
Q2 13:32
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
90.2%
Jay Bramblett punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Ladd McConkey at the Geo 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 9MISSED FG
9 plays · 58 yds · 4:5991% → 91%
Q2 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+3
90.8%
Daijun Edwards run for 3 yds to the Geo 20Similar
Q2 12:44
2ND & 7
OWN 20
+2
90.9%
Daijun Edwards run for 2 yds to the Geo 22Similar
Q2 12:10
3RD & 5
OWN 22
+7
90.7%
Kendall Milton run for 7 yds to the Geo 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:29
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+17
91.0%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Marcus Rosemy-Jacksaint for 17 yds to the Geo 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:49
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+24
91.4%
Kendall Milton run for 24 yds to the LSU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:20
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-1
91.5%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Kendall Milton for a loss of 1 yard to the LSU 31Similar
Q2 9:39
2ND & 11
OPP 31
+4
91.4%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Brock Bowers for 4 yds to the LSU 27Similar
Q2 8:58
3RD & 7
OPP 27
+2
91.4%
Stetson Bennett run for 2 yds to the LSU 25Similar
Q2 8:21
4TH & 5
OPP 25
+43
91.1%
Jack Podlesny 43 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:1910% → 9%
Q2 8:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
90.4%
Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Brian Thomas Jr.Similar
Q2 8:09
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
90.4%
Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Kayshon BoutteSimilar
Q2 8:01
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
90.5%
Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Malik NabersSimilar
Q2 7:54
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
90.6%
Jay Bramblett punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Ladd McConkey at the Geo 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 11TD
15 plays · 76 yds · 5:0691% → 97%
Q2 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-5
90.8%
GEORGIA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Geo 19Similar
Q2 7:50
1ST & 15
OWN 19
+4
90.7%
Daijun Edwards run for 4 yds to the Geo 23Similar
Q2 7:23
2ND & 11
OWN 23
+15
90.8%
Bennett, Stetson pass incomplete to Rosemy-Jacksaint, Marcus, PENALTY LSU roughing passer 15 yards to the GEORGIA38, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN GEORGIA.Similar
Q2 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
91.2%
Kenny McIntosh run for 2 yds to the Geo 40Similar
Q2 6:36
2ND & 8
OWN 40
0
91.2%
Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to Ladd McConkeySimilar
Q2 6:31
3RD & 8
OWN 40
+10
90.9%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Ladd McConkey for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:57
1ST & 10
50
+11
91.3%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Dominick Blaylock for 11 yds to the LSU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:27
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
91.4%
Kendall Milton run for 2 yds to the LSU 37Similar
Q2 4:47
2ND & 8
OPP 37
0
91.4%
Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to Marcus Rosemy-JacksaintSimilar
Q2 4:42
3RD & 8
OPP 37
+12
91.2%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Dominick Blaylock for 12 yds to the LSU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:20
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
91.5%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Kenny McIntosh for 3 yds to the LSU 22Similar
Q2 3:44
2ND & 7
OPP 22
+4
91.5%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Ladd McConkey for 4 yds to the LSU 18Similar
Q2 3:27
3RD & 3
OPP 18
+4
91.5%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Brock Bowers for 4 yds to the LSU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:53
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
91.9%
Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to Dillon BellSimilar
Q2 2:48
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+14
96.5%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Darnell Washington for 14 yds for a TD (Jack Podlesny KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · -6 yds · 0:374% → 4%
Q2 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
95.7%
Josh Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the LSU 24Similar
Q2 2:11
2ND & 11
OWN 24
-5
95.8%
Jayden Daniels sacked by Jalen Carter for a loss of 5 yards to the LSU 19Similar
Q2 2:05
3RD & 16
OWN 19
0
95.8%
Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Kayshon BoutteSimilar
Q2 1:58
4TH & 16
OWN 19
0
95.7%
Jay Bramblett punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Ladd McConkey at the Geo 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 13TD
6 plays · 58 yds · 1:1897% → 99%
Q2 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+19
96.9%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Kearis Jackson for 19 yds to the LSU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+15
96.9%
Daijun Edwards run for 15 yds to the LSU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:13
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+22
97.1%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Ladd McConkey for 22 yds to the LSU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
97.0%
Daijun Edwards run for a loss of 1 yard to the LSU 3Similar
Q2 0:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
98.9%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Dillon Bell for 3 yds for a TD (Jack Podlesny KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 14END OF HALF
10 plays · 51 yds · 0:281% → 7%
Q2 0:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
98.9%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Mason Taylor for 8 yds to the LSU 33Similar
Q2 0:25
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+3
98.7%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to John Emery Jr. for 3 yds to the LSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:19
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
98.8%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Kayshon Boutte for 9 yds to the LSU 45Similar
Q2 0:15
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+20
98.5%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Jack Bech for 20 yds to the Geo 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:10
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
98.4%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:06
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+11
98.4%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Kayshon Boutte for 11 yds to the Geo 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+42
93.1%
Damian Ramos 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 15FUMBLE
9 plays · 37 yds · 3:2598% → 99%
Q3 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
97.7%
Kenny McIntosh run for 8 yds to the Geo 28Similar
Q3 14:11
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+10
97.7%
Kenny McIntosh run for 10 yds to the Geo 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+12
97.8%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Marcus Rosemy-Jacksaint for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:36
1ST & 10
50
+5
97.9%
LSU Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the LSU 45Similar
Q3 13:10
1ST & 5
OPP 45
-2
98.2%
Kenny McIntosh run for a loss of 2 yards to the LSU 47 Kenny McIntosh fumbled, recovered by Geo Kenny McIntoshSimilar
Q3 12:30
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+7
98.3%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Arian Smith for 7 yds to the LSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:02
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
98.4%
Kendall Milton run for 5 yds to the LSU 35Similar
Q3 11:24
2ND & 5
OPP 35
-8
98.5%
Stetson Bennett run for a loss of 8 yards to the LSU 43 Stetson Bennett fumbled, recovered by LSU Jaquelin RoySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 16TD
3 plays · 57 yds · 0:422% → 8%
Q3 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+20
98.0%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Kayshon Boutte for 20 yds to the Geo 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:55
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
98.1%
Josh Williams run for 3 yds to the Geo 34Similar
Q3 10:33
2ND & 7
OPP 34
+34
92.1%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Malik Nabers for 34 yds for a TD (Damian Ramos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:5895% → 96%
Q3 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
95.4%
Daijun Edwards run for 4 yds to the Geo 29Similar
Q3 9:49
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+4
95.7%
Daijun Edwards run for 4 yds to the Geo 33Similar
Q3 9:34
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
95.7%
Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to Dillon BellSimilar
Q3 9:27
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
95.5%
Brett Thorson punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Gregory Clayton Jr. at the LSU 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 18DOWNS
5 plays · 68 yds · 1:196% → 6%
Q3 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+59
94.5%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Malik Nabers for 59 yds to the Geo 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:54
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
93.4%
Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Brian Thomas Jr.Similar
Q3 8:49
2ND & 10
OPP 14
0
93.4%
Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Jaray JenkinsSimilar
Q3 8:30
3RD & 10
OPP 14
+9
94.2%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Mason Taylor for 9 yds to the Geo 5Similar
Q3 7:59
4TH & 1
OPP 5
0
94.0%
Josh Williams run for no gain to the Geo 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 19TD
8 plays · 95 yds · 4:2295% → 99%
Q3 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+5
95.2%
Kenny McIntosh run for 5 yds to the Geo 10Similar
Q3 7:13
2ND & 5
OWN 10
-1
95.8%
Kenny McIntosh run for a loss of 1 yard to the Geo 9Similar
Q3 6:30
3RD & 6
OWN 9
+18
95.2%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Marcus Rosemy-Jacksaint for 18 yds to the Geo 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:56
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+7
96.1%
Kendall Milton run for 7 yds to the Geo 34Similar
Q3 5:11
2ND & 3
OWN 34
+51
96.2%
Kendall Milton run for 51 yds to the LSU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:33
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+3
96.5%
Kenny McIntosh run for 3 yds to the LSU 12Similar
Q3 3:51
2ND & 7
OPP 12
+10
96.6%
Kenny McIntosh run for 10 yds to the LSU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.3%
Kenny McIntosh run for 2 yds for a TD (Jack Podlesny KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 20TD
6 plays · 65 yds · 1:391% → 5%
Q3 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
98.9%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Kayshon Boutte for 7 yds to the LSU 42Similar
Q3 3:00
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+47
98.9%
Josh Williams run for 47 yds to the Geo 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:18
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+9
98.8%
Nussmeier, Garrett pass incomplete to Jenkins, Jaray, PENALTY GEORGIA pass interference (Ringo, Kelee) 9 yards to the GEORGIA2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN LSU.Similar
Q3 2:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
98.6%
Noah Cain run for 1 yd to the Geo 1Similar
Q3 1:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
95.0%
Noah Cain run for 1 yd for a TD Timeout LSU, clock 01:46 (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 21TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:2298% → 100%
Q3 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
97.6%
Kenny McIntosh run for 3 yds to the Geo 28Similar
Q3 1:01
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+23
97.7%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Brock Bowers for 23 yds to the LSU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:22
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+8
98.0%
Daijun Edwards run for 8 yds to the LSU 41Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 2
OPP 41
+28
98.2%
Daijun Edwards run for 28 yds to the LSU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:14
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+7
98.3%
Daijun Edwards run for 7 yds to the LSU 6Similar
Q4 13:51
2ND & 3
OPP 6
-2
98.4%
Daijun Edwards run for a loss of 2 yards to the LSU 8Similar
Q4 13:13
3RD & 5
OPP 8
+8
99.9%
Kenny McIntosh run for 8 yds for a TD (Adonai Mitchell pass to Darnell Washington for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 22INT
8 plays · 46 yds · 2:170% → 0%
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
99.9%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Mason Taylor for 10 yds to the LSU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
99.9%
Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Malik NabersSimilar
Q4 12:30
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+7
99.9%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Kyren Lacy for 7 yds to the LSU 42Similar
Q4 12:09
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+23
99.9%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Jack Bech for 23 yds to the Geo 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:40
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
99.9%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Josh Williams for 1 yd to the Geo 34Similar
Q4 11:05
2ND & 9
OPP 34
+5
99.9%
Noah Cain run for 5 yds to the Geo 29Similar
Q4 10:43
3RD & 4
OPP 29
0
99.9%
Garrett Nussmeier pass intercepted, touchback. Christopher Smith return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:28100% → 100%
Q4 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-6
99.9%
Kendall Milton run for 8 yds to the Geo 28 GEORGIA Penalty, Personal Foul (-14 Yards) to the Geo 14Similar
Q4 10:10
2ND & 16
OWN 14
+9
99.9%
Kendall Milton run for 9 yds to the Geo 23Similar
Q4 9:35
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+5
99.9%
Daijun Edwards run for 5 yds to the Geo 28Similar
Q4 9:07
4TH & 2
OWN 28
0
99.9%
Brett Thorson punt for 55 yds, fair catch by Gregory Clayton Jr. at the LSU 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 24TD
7 plays · 83 yds · 1:490% → 1%
Q4 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
99.9%
Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Mason TaylorSimilar
Q4 8:50
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+30
99.9%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Jaray Jenkins for 30 yds to the LSU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+20
99.9%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Kyren Lacy for 20 yds to the Geo 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:05
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
99.9%
Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Mason TaylorSimilar
Q4 7:57
2ND & 10
OPP 33
0
99.9%
Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Brian Thomas Jr.Similar
Q4 7:51
3RD & 10
OPP 33
0
99.9%
Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Malik NabersSimilar
Q4 7:12
4TH & 10
OPP 33
+33
99.1%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Jaray Jenkins for 33 yds for a TD (Damian Ramos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 25PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 2:1599% → 99%
Q4 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.2%
Branson Robinson run for 2 yds to the Geo 27Similar
Q4 6:15
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+2
99.2%
Branson Robinson run for 2 yds to the Geo 29Similar
Q4 5:32
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+5
99.4%
Branson Robinson run for 5 yds to the Geo 34Similar
Q4 4:43
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
99.4%
Brett Thorson punt for 56 yds, downed at the LSU 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 26FUMBLE
7 plays · 28 yds · 1:151% → 1%
Q4 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+27
99.5%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Mason Taylor for 27 yds to the LSU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
99.4%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Josh Williams for 3 yds to the LSU 40Similar
Q4 3:55
2ND & 7
OWN 40
0
99.4%
Garrett Nussmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:45
3RD & 7
OWN 40
+11
99.5%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Mason Taylor for 11 yds to the Geo 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:33
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
99.4%
Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Kyren LacySimilar
Q4 3:28
2ND & 10
OPP 49
0
99.4%
Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Josh WilliamsSimilar
Q4 3:21
3RD & 10
OPP 49
-13
99.5%
Garrett Nussmeier sacked by Robert Beal Jr. for a loss of 13 yards to the LSU 38 Garrett Nussmeier fumbled, forced by Robert Beal Jr., recovered by Geo Warren Brinson , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 27END OF 4TH QUARTER
5 plays · 7 yds · 2:33100% → 100%
Q4 3:08
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+8
99.5%
Branson Robinson run for 8 yds to the LSU 30Similar
Q4 2:26
2ND & 2
OPP 30
+3
99.5%
Branson Robinson run for 3 yds to the LSU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:40
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-1
99.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the LSU 28Similar
Q4 1:04
2ND & 11
OPP 28
-2
99.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the LSU 30Similar
Q4 0:35
3RD & 13
OPP 30
-1
99.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the LSU 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 10:33
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Malik Nabers for 34 yds for a TD (Damian Ramos KICK)
-6
FG · Q2 0:01
Damian Ramos 42 yd FG GOOD
-5.4
TD · Q2 2:48
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Darnell Washington for 14 yds for a TD (Jack Podlesny KICK)
+4.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com