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UTAH

Utah 47 at USC 24

USC
2022 · Week 14 · Dec 2, 2022 · Allegiant Stadium
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Win probability · USC
modelUSC aheadUTAH aheadconfidence bandkey playUSC scoreUTAH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 11:30 · Aadyn Sleep-Dalton punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Devaughn Vele at the USC 48
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remainingPregame prior
+53.0+26.50−26.5−53.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 101Home team on offense+0.1Score differential−0.8Garbage-time factor−0.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.4Pregame prior−1.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 3:55: Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 8 yds for a TD (Jadon Redding KICK) — UTAH win probability +7.4 pts (now 42%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:02: Cameron Rising pass complete to Jaylen Dixon for 4 yds for a TD (Jadon Redding KICK) — UTAH win probability +17.4 pts (now 56%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 10:33: Cameron Rising pass complete to Money Parks for 57 yds for a TD (Jadon Redding KICK) — UTAH win probability +15.0 pts (now 65%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 10:52: Caleb Williams pass complete to Mario Williams for 12 yds for a TD (Denis Lynch KICK) — USC win probability +25.2 pts (now 51%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  5. TD · Q4 10:08: Cameron Rising pass complete to Thomas Yassmin for 60 yds for a TD (Jadon Redding KICK) — UTAH win probability +21.7 pts (now 85%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
USC made the numbers' call on 8 of 10UTAH made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 12:18USC 4th & 1 at USC 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 58.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    58.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    58.3%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:10UTAH 4th & 7 at USC 7, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 38.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.5%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    38.6%
    91% to make
    Punt
    37.2%−1.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:52USC 4th & 2 at UTAH 3, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 60.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    60.5%
    49% to convert
    Field goal
    59.9%−0.6
    93% to make
    Punt
    57.3%−3.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:52UTAH 4th & 8 at UTAH 27, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.5%−0.4
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.9%
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:08USC 4th & 3 at UTAH 3, up 11
    Close callKicked a field goal · 68.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.8%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    67.8%−1.0
    93% to make
    Punt
    62.5%−6.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:28USC 4th & 8 at UTAH 37, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 73.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    73.1%
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    72.7%−0.4
    40% to make
    Punt
    72.6%−0.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:02UTAH 4th & 2 at USC 18, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 26.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    26.3%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    25.5%−0.8
    79% to make
    Punt
    20.4%−5.9
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:40USC 4th & 12 at USC 41, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.6%−1.2
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.8%
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:41UTAH 4th & 6 at UTAH 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.0%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.3%
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:30USC 4th & 16 at USC 9, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.7%−3.6
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.3%
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:06USC 4th & 7 at USC 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.3%−1.7
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.1%
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:10UTAH 4th & 5 at UTAH 49, up 7
    Close callPunted · 65.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.0%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.8%−0.2
    average punt
  13. Q3 5:06USC 4th & 6 at USC 9, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.6%−0.9
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.6%
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:56UTAH 4th & 3 at USC 17, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 70.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.6%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    70.0%−0.6
    80% to make
    Punt
    62.2%−8.4
    average punt
  15. Q4 8:10USC 4th & 3 at USC 32, down 10
    Close callWent for it · 15.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.3%−0.4
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    15.7%
    average punt
  16. Q4 3:24USC 4th & 8 at USC 48, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.5%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.4%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
USC made the numbers' call on 3 of 3UTAH made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 11:28USC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:52USC Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 3:55UTAH Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:02UTAH Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 10:33UTAH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 10:52USC Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 10:08UTAH Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.8%−0.5
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 5:29UTAH Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    96.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.5%−0.5
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 1:52UTAH Touchdown, up 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
USCDrive 1TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:2247% → 49%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
46.7%
Caleb Williams run for 11 yds to the USC 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:18
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
46.8%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Jordan Addison for 4 yds to the USC 40Similar
Q1 13:41
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+4
47.1%
Austin Jones run for 4 yds to the USC 44Similar
Q1 12:54
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+1
47.3%
Austin Jones run for 1 yd to the USC 45Similar
Q1 12:18
4TH & 1
OWN 45
+3
47.3%
Caleb Williams run for 3 yds to the USC 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+50
47.7%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Tahj Washington for 50 yds to the Utah 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
49.1%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Tahj Washington for 2 yds for a TD (Denis Lynch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 2FG
14 plays · 68 yds · 5:1351% → 51%
Q1 11:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
48.7%
Micah Bernard run for 1 yd to the Utah 26Similar
Q1 10:49
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+11
49.1%
Micah Bernard run for 11 yds to the Utah 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+19
49.1%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Money Parks for 19 yds to the USC 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:47
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+11
49.0%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Micah Bernard for 11 yds to the USC 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:11
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+9
49.1%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Jaylen Dixon for 9 yds to the USC 24Similar
Q1 8:35
2ND & 1
OPP 24
+7
49.2%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 7 yds to the USC 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:55
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+7
49.5%
Nate Johnson run for 7 yds to the USC 10Similar
Q1 7:34
2ND & 3
OPP 10
+5
49.6%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Nate Johnson for 5 yds to the USC 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
49.9%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 1 yd to the USC 4Similar
Q1 6:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-3
50.0%
Jaylen Dixon run for a loss of 3 yards to the USC 7Similar
Q1 6:15
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
50.5%
Cameron Rising pass incomplete to Solomon EnisSimilar
Q1 6:10
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+25
49.2%
Jadon Redding 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 3TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:0650% → 55%
Q1 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
50.2%
Austin Jones run for 5 yds to the USC 30Similar
Q1 5:27
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+59
50.5%
Caleb Williams run for 59 yds to the Utah 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:47
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-5
51.9%
USC Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Utah 16Similar
Q1 4:16
1ST & 15
OPP 16
+3
52.1%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Jordan Addison for 3 yds to the Utah 13Similar
Q1 3:40
2ND & 12
OPP 13
0
52.4%
Caleb Williams pass incomplete to Tahj WashingtonSimilar
Q1 3:32
3RD & 12
OPP 13
+10
52.0%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Mario Williams for 10 yds to the Utah 3Similar
Q1 2:52
4TH & 2
OPP 3
+3
54.9%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Raleek Brown for 3 yds for a TD (Denis Lynch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:5545% → 44%
Q1 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
54.7%
Cameron Rising pass incomplete to Makai CopeSimilar
Q1 2:42
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
54.9%
Micah Bernard run for 2 yds to the Utah 27Similar
Q1 1:59
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
55.7%
Cameron Rising pass incomplete to Jaylen Dixon, broken up by Bryson ShawSimilar
Q1 1:52
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
56.2%
Jack Bouwmeester punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Jordan Addison at the USC 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 5FG
12 plays · 71 yds · 4:3855% → 64%
Q1 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
55.4%
Caleb Williams run for 3 yds to the USC 29Similar
Q1 1:09
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+7
55.8%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Tahj Washington for 7 yds to the USC 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:29
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
56.6%
Austin Jones run for no gain to the USC 36Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+29
56.9%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Mario Williams for 29 yds to the Utah 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
58.1%
Caleb Williams pass incomplete to Jordan AddisonSimilar
Q2 14:47
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+17
58.0%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Kyron Hudson for 17 yds to the Utah 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:12
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+6
58.5%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Jordan Addison for 6 yds to the Utah 12Similar
Q2 13:39
2ND & 4
OPP 12
+9
58.9%
Austin Jones run for 9 yds to the Utah 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
61.5%
Austin Jones run for no gain to the Utah 3Similar
Q2 12:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
62.0%
Caleb Williams pass incomplete to Malcolm EppsSimilar
Q2 12:11
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
61.5%
Caleb Williams pass incomplete to Jordan Addison, broken up by Clark Phillips IIISimilar
Q2 12:08
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+20
64.0%
Denis Lynch 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 6FUMBLE
4 plays · 14 yds · 0:1238% → 38%
Q2 12:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
61.9%
UTAH Penalty, False Start (Logan Kendall) to the Utah 20Similar
Q2 12:03
1ST & 15
OWN 20
0
62.1%
Cameron Rising pass incomplete to Solomon Enis, broken up by Bryson ShawSimilar
Q2 11:56
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+19
62.4%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Jaylen Dixon for 19 yds Jaylen Dixon fumbled, forced by Max Williams, recovered by USC Bryson ShawSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 7DOWNS
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:2267% → 66%
Q2 11:50
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
66.6%
Austin Jones run for 3 yds to the Utah 36Similar
Q2 11:08
2ND & 7
OPP 36
-1
67.1%
Austin Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 37Similar
Q2 10:34
3RD & 8
OPP 37
0
67.0%
Caleb Williams pass incomplete to Tahj Washington, broken up by Sione VakiSimilar
Q2 10:28
4TH & 8
OPP 37
0
66.2%
Caleb Williams pass incomplete to Jordan Addison, broken up by Sione VakiSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 8TD
11 plays · 63 yds · 6:2737% → 42%
Q2 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+11
62.6%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Jaylen Dixon for 11 yds to the Utah 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:49
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
62.6%
Micah Bernard run for 4 yds to the USC 48Similar
Q2 9:14
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+8
63.1%
Micah Bernard run for 8 yds to the USC 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:28
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+14
63.3%
Micah Bernard run for 14 yds to the USC 26 Micah Bernard fumbled, forced by Latrell McCutchin, recovered by Utah Keaton Bills for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
62.9%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Micah Bernard for 3 yds to the USC 23Similar
Q2 7:20
2ND & 7
OPP 23
+4
63.4%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 4 yds to the USC 19Similar
Q2 6:39
3RD & 3
OPP 19
+1
64.5%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 1 yd to the USC 18Similar
Q2 6:02
4TH & 2
OPP 18
+4
65.5%
Cameron Rising run for 4 yds to the USC 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:21
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
64.7%
Cameron Rising run for 3 yds to the USC 11Similar
Q2 4:35
2ND & 7
OPP 11
+3
65.2%
Cameron Rising run for 3 yds to the USC 8Similar
Q2 3:55
3RD & 4
OPP 8
+8
57.8%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 8 yds for a TD (Jadon Redding KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 32 yds · 2:0061% → 60%
Q2 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+34
60.7%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Kyle Ford for 34 yds to the USC 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+9
63.5%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Tahj Washington for 9 yds to the Utah 48Similar
Q2 2:36
2ND & 1
OPP 48
-7
64.1%
Caleb Williams sacked by Gabe Reid for a loss of 7 yards to the USC 45Similar
Q2 1:53
3RD & 8
OWN 45
-4
62.1%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Raleek Brown for a loss of 4 yards to the USC 41Similar
Q2 1:40
4TH & 12
OWN 41
0
60.2%
Aadyn Sleep-Dalton punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Devaughn Vele at the Utah 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 10TD
17 plays · 81 yds · 1:3337% → 56%
Q2 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+12
62.6%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Dalton Kincaid for 12 yds to the Utah 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
61.9%
Cameron Rising pass incomplete to Micah BernardSimilar
Q2 1:20
2ND & 10
OWN 31
0
62.6%
Cameron Rising pass incomplete to Money ParksSimilar
Q2 1:15
3RD & 10
OWN 31
+15
63.8%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Micah Bernard for 15 yds to the Utah 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+7
60.2%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Money Parks for 7 yds to the USC 47Similar
Q2 0:44
2ND & 3
OPP 47
+10
58.7%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Dalton Kincaid for 10 yds to the USC 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:39
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
60.1%
Cameron Rising pass incomplete to Jaylen DixonSimilar
Q2 0:34
2ND & 10
OPP 37
0
60.3%
Cameron Rising pass incomplete to Makai CopeSimilar
Q2 0:29
3RD & 10
OPP 37
+11
61.6%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Dalton Kincaid for 11 yds to the USC 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:24
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
60.0%
Cameron Rising pass incomplete to Devaughn VeleSimilar
Q2 0:17
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+1
60.7%
Cameron Rising run for 11 yds to the USC 15 UTAH Penalty, Offensive Holding (Solomon Enis) to the USC 25Similar
Q2 0:12
2ND & 9
OPP 25
+21
60.6%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Thomas Yassmin for 21 yds to the USC 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
61.3%
Cameron Rising pass incomplete to Dalton KincaidSimilar
Q2 0:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
43.8%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Jaylen Dixon for 4 yds for a TD (Jadon Redding KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 22 yds · 2:1451% → 50%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
49.4%
Micah Bernard run for 3 yds to the Utah 28 for a 1ST down USC Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Tyrone Taleni) to the Utah 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:33
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
47.0%
Micah Bernard run for 1 yd to the Utah 44Similar
Q3 13:52
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+5
47.2%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 5 yds to the Utah 49Similar
Q3 13:16
3RD & 4
OWN 49
-2
47.0%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Utah 47Similar
Q3 12:41
4TH & 6
OWN 47
0
50.0%
Jack Bouwmeester punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Jordan Addison at the USC 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 1:0653% → 51%
Q3 12:36
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
53.0%
Caleb Williams pass incomplete to Tahj WashingtonSimilar
Q3 12:28
2ND & 10
OWN 15
-8
52.9%
Caleb Williams sacked by Gabe Reid for a loss of 8 yards to the USC 7Similar
Q3 12:06
3RD & 18
OWN 7
+2
51.1%
Austin Jones run for 2 yds to the USC 9Similar
Q3 11:30
4TH & 16
OWN 9
0
50.5%
Aadyn Sleep-Dalton punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Devaughn Vele at the USC 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 14TD
3 plays · 48 yds · 0:5153% → 65%
Q3 11:24
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-9
46.7%
Cameron Rising sacked by Eric Gentry for a loss of 9 yards to the Utah 43Similar
Q3 10:43
2ND & 19
OWN 43
0
49.5%
Cameron Rising pass incomplete to Micah Bernard, broken up by Mekhi BlackmonSimilar
Q3 10:33
3RD & 19
OWN 43
+57
34.6%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Money Parks for 57 yds for a TD (Jadon Redding KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:2336% → 34%
Q3 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
36.1%
Caleb Williams sacked by Simote Pepa for a loss of 10 yards to the USC 15Similar
Q3 9:47
2ND & 20
OWN 15
0
35.7%
Caleb Williams pass incomplete to Kyle FordSimilar
Q3 9:39
3RD & 20
OWN 15
+13
34.4%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Austin Jones for 13 yds to the USC 28Similar
Q3 9:06
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
33.8%
Aadyn Sleep-Dalton punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Devaughn Vele at the Utah 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 2:4767% → 69%
Q3 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+8
33.2%
Jaylen Dixon run for 8 yds to the Utah 42Similar
Q3 8:15
2ND & 2
OWN 42
+2
31.5%
Cameron Rising run for 2 yds to the Utah 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
30.3%
Cameron Rising pass incomplete to Dalton Kincaid, broken up by Jacobe CovingtonSimilar
Q3 7:27
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+1
30.5%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Micah Bernard for 1 yd to the Utah 45Similar
Q3 6:47
3RD & 9
OWN 45
+4
30.7%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Jaylen Dixon for 4 yds to the Utah 49Similar
Q3 6:10
4TH & 5
OWN 49
0
30.9%
Jack Bouwmeester punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Jordan Addison at the USC 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:5734% → 32%
Q3 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+4
34.3%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Kyle Ford for 4 yds to the USC 9Similar
Q3 5:17
2ND & 6
OWN 9
0
34.1%
Caleb Williams pass incomplete to Kyle Ford, broken up by Karene ReidSimilar
Q3 5:15
3RD & 6
OWN 9
0
32.7%
Caleb Williams pass incomplete to Tahj WashingtonSimilar
Q3 5:06
4TH & 6
OWN 9
0
32.1%
Aadyn Sleep-Dalton punt for 49 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Utah 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 18FG
10 plays · 41 yds · 5:0371% → 76%
Q3 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
28.8%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 5 yds to the Utah 47Similar
Q3 4:26
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+2
28.4%
Cameron Rising run for 2 yds to the Utah 49Similar
Q3 3:40
3RD & 3
OWN 49
+12
27.7%
Cameron Rising run for 2 yds to the USC 49 for a 1ST down USC Penalty, Defensive Holding (Max Williams) to the USC 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:11
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
26.8%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 4 yds to the USC 35Similar
Q3 2:30
2ND & 6
OPP 35
+11
25.9%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Micah Bernard for 11 yds to the USC 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:52
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-10
25.7%
Rising, Cameron rush for 1 yard to the USC23, PENALTY UTAH holding (Laumea, Sataoa) 10 yards to the USC34, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:24
1ST & 20
OPP 34
+8
25.7%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Jaylen Dixon for 8 yds to the USC 26Similar
Q3 0:41
2ND & 12
OPP 26
+4
25.4%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 4 yds to the USC 22Similar
Q3 0:01
3RD & 8
OPP 22
+5
25.2%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Money Parks for 5 yds to the USC 17Similar
Q4 14:56
4TH & 3
OPP 17
+35
23.8%
Jadon Redding 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 19TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:5723% → 51%
Q4 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
23.2%
Austin Jones run for 4 yds to the USC 29Similar
Q4 14:18
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
23.5%
Caleb Williams pass incomplete to Jordan AddisonSimilar
Q4 14:10
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+14
21.6%
Caleb Williams run for 14 yds to the USC 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
23.9%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Darwin Barlow for 3 yds to the USC 46Similar
Q4 13:15
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+12
23.7%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Brenden Rice for 12 yds to the Utah 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:40
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
24.9%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Brenden Rice for 2 yds to the Utah 40Similar
Q4 11:57
2ND & 8
OPP 40
+28
23.2%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Brenden Rice for 28 yds to the Utah 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:31
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
25.3%
Austin Jones run for no gain to the Utah 12Similar
Q4 10:52
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+12
50.5%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Mario Williams for 12 yds for a TD (Denis Lynch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 20TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 0:4464% → 85%
Q4 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
36.1%
UTAH Penalty, False Start (Michael Mokofisi) to the Utah 20Similar
Q4 10:46
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+20
36.3%
Micah Bernard run for 20 yds to the Utah 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+60
14.6%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Thomas Yassmin for 60 yds for a TD (Jadon Redding KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 21INT
7 plays · 52 yds · 3:0516% → 18%
Q4 10:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
16.1%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Jordan Addison for 4 yds to the USC 29Similar
Q4 9:42
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+4
16.7%
Austin Jones run for 4 yds to the USC 33Similar
Q4 8:59
3RD & 2
OWN 33
-1
16.0%
Austin Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the USC 32Similar
Q4 8:10
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+48
14.2%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Jordan Addison for 48 yds to the Utah 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:37
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-3
19.6%
Austin Jones run for a loss of 3 yards to the Utah 23Similar
Q4 6:57
2ND & 13
OPP 23
-29
17.6%
Caleb Williams pass intercepted R.J. Hubert return for 29 yds to the Utah 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 22TD
3 plays · 61 yds · 1:2288% → 96%
Q4 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
12.0%
Micah Bernard run for 1 yd to the Utah 40Similar
Q4 6:13
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+7
11.2%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Dalton Kincaid for 7 yds to the Utah 47Similar
Q4 5:29
3RD & 2
OWN 47
+53
4.5%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 53 yds for a TD UTAH Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Ja'Quinden Jackson) to the USC 18 (Jadon Redding PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 23FUMBLE
7 plays · 18 yds · 1:545% → 4%
Q4 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+12
5.4%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Austin Jones for 12 yds to the USC 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:51
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+14
4.4%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Tahj Washington for 14 yds to the USC 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-9
4.5%
Caleb Williams sacked by Connor O'Toole for a loss of 9 yards to the USC 37Similar
Q4 4:00
2ND & 19
OWN 37
0
3.8%
Caleb Williams pass incomplete to Austin Jones, broken up by Lander BartonSimilar
Q4 3:53
3RD & 19
OWN 37
+11
3.8%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Tahj Washington for 11 yds to the USC 48Similar
Q4 3:24
4TH & 8
OWN 48
-10
4.0%
Caleb Williams sacked by Mohamoud Diabate for a loss of 10 yards to the USC 38 Caleb Williams fumbled, forced by Mohamoud Diabate, recovered by Utah Lander Barton , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 24TD
3 plays · 38 yds · 1:2497% → 100%
Q4 3:16
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+6
2.8%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 6 yds to the USC 32Similar
Q4 2:35
2ND & 4
OPP 32
+9
2.7%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 9 yds to the USC 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:52
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+23
0.5%
Micah Bernard run for 23 yds for a TD (Jadon Redding KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 25Uncategorized
9 plays · 13 yds · 1:121% → 1%
Q4 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+15
0.8%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Lake McRee for 15 yds to the USC 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+9
0.8%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Austin Jones for 9 yds to the Utah 47Similar
Q4 1:23
2ND & 1
OPP 47
+6
0.9%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Austin Jones for 6 yds to the Utah 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:19
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-9
0.8%
Caleb Williams sacked by Mohamoud Diabate for a loss of 9 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 1:12
2ND & 19
50
-16
0.6%
Caleb Williams sacked by Miki Suguturaga for a loss of 16 yards to the USC 34Similar
Q4 0:27
3RD & 35
OWN 34
+8
0.5%
Austin Jones run for 8 yds to the USC 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 10:52
Caleb Williams pass complete to Mario Williams for 12 yds for a TD (Denis Lynch KICK)
+25.2
TD · Q4 10:08
Cameron Rising pass complete to Thomas Yassmin for 60 yds for a TD (Jadon Redding KICK)
-21.7
TD · Q2 0:02
Cameron Rising pass complete to Jaylen Dixon for 4 yds for a TD (Jadon Redding KICK)
-17.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com