Try the model
UNT

North Texas 27 at UTSA 48

UTSA
2022 · Week 14 · Dec 2, 2022 · Alamodome
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · UTSA
modelUTSA aheadUNT aheadconfidence bandkey playUTSA scoreUNT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDFGTDFGTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexSA 43
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+34.5+17.30−17.3−34.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:11: Frank Harris pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 32 yds for a TD (Jared Sackett KICK) — UTSA win probability +7.6 pts (now 88%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 10:33: Frank Harris pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 14 yds for a TD (Jared Sackett KICK) — UTSA win probability +8.3 pts (now 93%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 8:42: Austin Aune pass complete to Jyaire Shorter for 36 yds for a TD (Ethan Mooney KICK) — UNT win probability +9.7 pts (now 19%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 13:34: Isaiah Johnson run for 1 yd for a TD NORTH TEXAS Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the TexSA 13 (Ethan Mooney KICK) — UNT win probability +12.8 pts (now 23%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 11:09: Frank Harris pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 39 yds for a TD (Jared Sackett KICK) — UTSA win probability +7.1 pts (now 95%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UTSA made the numbers' call on 7 of 7UNT made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 8:09UNT 4th & 2 at UTSA 2, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 26.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    27.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    26.8%−0.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    25.9%−1.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:30UTSA 4th & 1 at UNT 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 70.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    70.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    70.0%−0.8
    25% to make
    Punt
    70.3%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:44UTSA 4th & 1 at UNT 1, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 70.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    70.0%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    69.3%−0.7
    94% to make
    Punt
    67.3%−2.7
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:05UNT 4th & 2 at UTSA 10, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 32.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    32.7%
    55% to convert
    Field goal
    32.1%−0.5
    88% to make
    Punt
    29.2%−3.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:34UNT 4th & 6 at UTSA 6, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 33.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.7%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    32.8%
    91% to make
    Punt
    29.5%−3.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:39UTSA 4th & 4 at UTSA 31, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.6%−0.5
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.1%
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:52UNT 4th & 9 at UNT 46, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.5%−0.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.9%
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:24UTSA 4th & 1 at UNT 47, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 71.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    71.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    70.1%−1.4
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:12UTSA 4th & 10 at UNT 25, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 70.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.8%−0.7
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    70.5%
    66% to make
    Punt
    67.1%−3.4
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:37UNT 4th & 14 at UNT 21, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.3%−2.5
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.8%
    average punt
  11. Q3 12:26UNT 4th & 13 at UTSA 14, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 14.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.5%−1.3
    18% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    14.8%
    84% to make
    Punt
    10.0%−4.8
    average punt
  12. Q3 1:47UTSA 4th & 10 at UNT 26, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 86.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.2%−0.7
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    86.8%
    64% to make
    Punt
    82.6%−4.3
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:45UNT 4th & 6 at UTSA 6, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 9.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.0%−0.3
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    9.3%
    91% to make
    Punt
    2.5%−6.9
    average punt
  14. Q4 5:52UTSA 4th & 19 at UTSA 48, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.6%−1.0
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.5%
    average punt
  15. Q4 4:29UNT 4th & 8 at UNT 21, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.5%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.4%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 3:06UNT 4th & 14 at UNT 11, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UTSA made the numbers' call on 4 of 6UNT made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 12:04UTSA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:09UNT Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    28.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 8:25UTSA Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:11UTSA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 10:33UTSA Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 8:42UNT Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    15.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    14.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 13:34UNT Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    15.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    15.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 11:09UTSA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.8%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.9%
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 4:07UTSA Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UTSADrive 1TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:4175% → 76%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
75.0%
Kevorian Barnes run for 6 yds to the TexSA 31Similar
Q1 14:15
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+7
75.0%
Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 7 yds to the TexSA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+8
74.9%
Frank Harris pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 8 yds to the TexSA 46Similar
Q1 13:35
2ND & 2
OWN 46
+9
74.9%
Frank Harris pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 9 yds to the NoTex 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+14
74.9%
Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 14 yds to the NoTex 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+4
74.9%
Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 4 yds to the NoTex 27Similar
Q1 12:04
2ND & 6
OPP 27
+27
75.6%
Kevorian Barnes run for 27 yds for a TD (Jared Sackett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 2TD
12 plays · 70 yds · 3:4625% → 27%
Q1 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
75.2%
Ikaika Ragsdale run for 5 yds to the NoTex 35Similar
Q1 11:30
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+9
75.1%
Austin Aune pass complete to Jake Roberts for 9 yds to the NoTex 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:23
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
75.1%
Austin Aune pass complete to Var'Keyes Gumms for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 11:01
2ND & 4
50
+8
75.0%
Ikaika Ragsdale run for 8 yds to the TexSA 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:48
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
75.0%
Austin Aune pass incomplete to Jyaire ShorterSimilar
Q1 10:27
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+13
75.0%
Austin Aune pass complete to Damon Ward Jr. for 13 yds to the TexSA 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:12
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+20
74.8%
Austin Aune pass complete to Ja'Mori Maclin for 20 yds to the TexSA 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
74.8%
Ikaika Ragsdale run for 1 yd to the TexSA 8Similar
Q1 8:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
-4
74.7%
Ikaika Ragsdale run for a loss of 4 yards to the TexSA 12Similar
Q1 8:19
3RD & GOAL
OPP 12
+10
75.1%
Austin Aune pass complete to Jake Roberts for 10 yds to the TexSA 2Similar
Q1 8:09
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
73.2%
Ikaika Ragsdale run for 2 yds for a TD (Ethan Mooney KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 3DOWNS
21 plays · 74 yds · 7:1174% → 72%
Q1 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
73.5%
Kevorian Barnes run for 9 yds to the TexSA 34Similar
Q1 7:40
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+1
73.7%
Kevorian Barnes run for 1 yd to the TexSA 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
73.3%
Frank Harris pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 8 yds to the TexSA 43Similar
Q1 7:00
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+1
73.8%
Kevorian Barnes run for 1 yd to the TexSA 44Similar
Q1 6:45
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+2
73.6%
Frank Harris run for 2 yds to the TexSA 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
73.7%
NORTH TEXAS Penalty, Defensive Offside (Enoch Jackson Jr.) to the NoTex 49Similar
Q1 6:05
1ST & 5
OPP 49
-5
73.8%
Frank Harris run for a loss of 5 yards to the TexSA 46Similar
Q1 5:30
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+4
73.3%
Kevorian Barnes run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 5:00
3RD & 6
50
+5
73.3%
Frank Harris pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 5 yds to the NoTex 45Similar
Q1 4:30
4TH & 1
OPP 45
+7
73.0%
Frank Harris run for 7 yds to the NoTex 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
73.5%
Kevorian Barnes run for 3 yds to the NoTex 35Similar
Q1 3:32
2ND & 7
OPP 35
0
73.7%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to Zakhari FranklinSimilar
Q1 3:20
3RD & 7
OPP 35
+8
73.2%
Frank Harris pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 8 yds to the NoTex 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:10
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
73.6%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to Zakhari FranklinSimilar
Q1 2:40
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+7
73.6%
Kevorian Barnes run for 7 yds to the NoTex 20Similar
Q1 2:20
3RD & 3
OPP 20
+11
73.2%
Frank Harris pass complete to Oscar Cardenas for 11 yds to the NoTex 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+8
73.6%
Kevorian Barnes run for 8 yds to the NoTex 1Similar
Q1 1:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
73.5%
Frank Harris run for no gain to the NoTex 1Similar
Q1 1:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
73.0%
Kevorian Barnes run for no gain to the NoTex 1Similar
Q1 0:44
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
72.3%
Kevorian Barnes run for no gain to the NoTex 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 4FG
16 plays · 93 yds · 5:1029% → 33%
Q1 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
71.3%
NORTH TEXAS Penalty, False Start (Febechi Nwaiwu) to the NoTex 1Similar
Q1 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+56
71.2%
Ikaika Ragsdale run for 56 yds to the TexSA 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
69.5%
Austin Aune pass complete to Kaylon Horton for 4 yds to the TexSA 39Similar
Q2 14:30
2ND & 6
OPP 39
+3
69.2%
Ayo Adeyi run for 3 yds to the TexSA 36Similar
Q2 14:15
3RD & 3
OPP 36
+4
69.2%
Ikaika Ragsdale run for 4 yds to the TexSA 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:59
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
68.7%
Austin Aune pass incomplete to Kaylon HortonSimilar
Q2 13:45
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+5
68.7%
Austin Aune pass complete to Jordan Smart for 5 yds to the TexSA 27Similar
Q2 13:20
3RD & 5
OPP 27
+9
68.9%
Aune, Austin pass incomplete to Gumms, Var'Keyes, PENALTY UTSA pass interference (Harmanson, Trevor) 9 yards to the UTSA18, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NORTHTEXAS.Similar
Q2 12:55
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+7
68.1%
Austin Aune pass complete to Var'Keyes Gumms for 7 yds to the TexSA 11Similar
Q2 12:50
2ND & 3
OPP 11
0
68.1%
Austin Aune pass incomplete to Jyaire ShorterSimilar
Q2 12:40
3RD & 3
OPP 11
+1
68.6%
Ikaika Ragsdale run for 1 yd to the TexSA 10Similar
Q2 12:05
4TH & 2
OPP 10
+4
69.2%
Ikaika Ragsdale run for 4 yds to the TexSA 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
67.7%
Austin Aune pass incomplete to Asher AlberdingSimilar
Q2 11:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
67.6%
Isaiah Johnson run for 2 yds to the TexSA 4Similar
Q2 11:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
-2
67.9%
Ikaika Ragsdale run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexSA 6Similar
Q2 10:34
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+22
67.1%
Ethan Mooney 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:2668% → 67%
Q2 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
67.8%
Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 1 yd to the TexSA 26Similar
Q2 9:55
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+5
67.3%
Frank Harris pass complete to Dan Dishman for 5 yds to the TexSA 31Similar
Q2 9:47
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
67.0%
Frank Harris pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:39
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
66.5%
Lucas Dean punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Roderic Burns at the NoTex 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 6INT
2 plays · 6 yds · 0:2933% → 34%
Q2 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+6
66.7%
Austin Aune run for 6 yds to the NoTex 29Similar
Q2 9:00
2ND & 4
OWN 29
-27
65.9%
Austin Aune pass intercepted Clifford Chattman return for 27 yds to the NoTex 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 7TD
2 plays · 15 yds · 0:2070% → 74%
Q2 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+4
69.9%
Frank Harris pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 4 yds to the NoTex 11Similar
Q2 8:25
2ND & 6
OPP 11
+11
74.3%
Frank Harris run for 11 yds for a TD (Jared Sackett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 1:0828% → 27%
Q2 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
72.1%
Ayo Adeyi run for 3 yds to the NoTex 33Similar
Q2 7:45
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+12
71.8%
Ayo Adeyi run for 12 yds to the NoTex 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
70.7%
Ayo Adeyi run for 1 yd to the NoTex 46Similar
Q2 7:05
2ND & 9
OWN 46
0
70.6%
Austin Aune pass incomplete to Var'Keyes GummsSimilar
Q2 7:01
3RD & 9
OWN 46
0
71.4%
Austin Aune pass incomplete to Roderic BurnsSimilar
Q2 6:52
4TH & 9
OWN 46
0
72.6%
Bernardo Rodriguez punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Chris Carpenter at the TexSA 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 9FG
19 plays · 65 yds · 5:2673% → 79%
Q2 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
72.6%
Frank Harris run for 2 yds to the TexSA 12Similar
Q2 5:57
2ND & 8
OWN 12
-5
72.4%
UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, False Start (Walker Baty) to the TexSA 7Similar
Q2 5:40
2ND & 13
OWN 7
+5
72.2%
Kevorian Barnes run for 5 yds to the TexSA 12Similar
Q2 5:00
3RD & 8
OWN 12
+12
71.4%
Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 12 yds to the TexSA 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+12
72.5%
Kevorian Barnes run for 12 yds to the TexSA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
73.1%
Frank Harris pass complete to Dan Dishman for 4 yds to the TexSA 40Similar
Q2 3:51
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+4
73.8%
Harris, Frank pass incomplete to Ogle-Kellogg, Tykee, PENALTY NORTHTEXAS pass interference (Gaddie, DeShawn) 4 yards to the UTSA44, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN UTSA.Similar
Q2 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
74.0%
Frank Harris run for 4 yds to the TexSA 48 Frank Harris fumbled, recovered by TexSA Oscar Cardenas , return for no gain to the TexSA 48Similar
Q2 3:30
2ND & 6
OWN 48
+5
74.1%
Kevorian Barnes run for 5 yds to the NoTex 47Similar
Q2 2:40
3RD & 1
OPP 47
0
74.0%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to Tykee Ogle-KelloggSimilar
Q2 2:24
4TH & 1
OPP 47
+11
72.9%
Frank Harris pass complete to Oscar Cardenas for 11 yds to the NoTex 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+11
74.5%
Frank Harris run for 11 yds to the NoTex 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:33
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+7
75.2%
Kevorian Barnes run for 7 yds to the NoTex 18Similar
Q2 1:24
2ND & 3
OPP 18
0
76.1%
Kevorian Barnes run for no gain to the NoTex 18Similar
Q2 1:16
3RD & 3
OPP 18
-7
75.1%
Frank Harris sacked by Tom Trieb for a loss of 7 yards to the NoTex 25Similar
Q2 1:12
4TH & 10
OPP 25
+42
78.5%
Jared Sackett 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · -4 yds · 0:3521% → 20%
Q2 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
78.6%
NORTH TEXAS Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the NoTex 20Similar
Q2 0:54
1ST & 15
OWN 20
0
79.0%
Ayo Adeyi run for no gain to the NoTex 20Similar
Q2 0:49
2ND & 15
OWN 20
0
79.1%
Austin Aune pass incomplete to Var'Keyes GummsSimilar
Q2 0:45
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+1
79.6%
Ayo Adeyi run for 1 yd to the NoTex 21Similar
Q2 0:37
4TH & 14
OWN 21
0
80.4%
Bernardo Rodriguez punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Chris Carpenter at the TexSA 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 11TD
3 plays · 62 yds · 0:1979% → 88%
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+17
79.3%
Frank Harris pass complete to Oscar Cardenas for 17 yds to the NoTex 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:16
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+13
80.1%
Frank Harris pass complete to Oscar Cardenas for 23 yds to the NoTex 22 for a 1ST down UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, Illegal Block (Tykee Ogle-Kellogg) to the NoTex 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:11
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+32
87.7%
Frank Harris pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 32 yds for a TD (Jared Sackett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-1
86.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoTex 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 13FG
12 plays · 61 yds · 2:3416% → 17%
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 7
-7
83.8%
Ayo Adeyi run for a loss of 7 yards to the TexSA 14Similar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
85.6%
Ikaika Ragsdale run for 3 yds to the NoTex 28Similar
Q3 14:26
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
85.4%
Austin Aune pass incomplete to Damon Ward Jr.Similar
Q3 14:26
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-5
85.9%
NORTH TEXAS Penalty, False Start (Manase Mose) to the NoTex 23Similar
Q3 14:26
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+5
86.1%
UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the NoTex 28Similar
Q3 14:10
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+7
86.0%
Austin Aune run for 7 yds to the NoTex 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
85.4%
Austin Aune pass complete to Kaylon Horton for 3 yds to the NoTex 38Similar
Q3 13:20
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+51
85.2%
Austin Aune pass complete to Kaylon Horton for 51 yds to the TexSA 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:57
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
83.5%
Kaylon Horton pass incomplete to Var'Keyes GummsSimilar
Q3 12:40
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+4
83.5%
Ikaika Ragsdale run for 4 yds to the TexSA 7Similar
Q3 12:26
4TH & 13
OPP 14
+24
82.9%
Ethan Mooney 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 14TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:4784% → 93%
Q3 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
83.5%
Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 3 yds to the TexSA 28Similar
Q3 11:54
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+11
83.7%
Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 11 yds to the TexSA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+40
84.7%
Kevorian Barnes run for 40 yds to the NoTex 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:50
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+7
85.1%
Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 7 yds to the NoTex 14Similar
Q3 10:33
2ND & 3
OPP 14
+14
93.4%
Frank Harris pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 14 yds for a TD (Jared Sackett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 15TD
7 plays · 65 yds · 1:289% → 19%
Q3 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
91.3%
Ikaika Ragsdale run for 7 yds to the NoTex 42Similar
Q3 10:00
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+6
91.0%
Austin Aune pass complete to Roderic Burns for 6 yds to the NoTex 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
91.3%
Ayo Adeyi run for 4 yds to the TexSA 48Similar
Q3 9:25
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+10
91.1%
Ayo Adeyi run for 10 yds to the TexSA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
91.2%
Ayo Adeyi run for 2 yds to the TexSA 36Similar
Q3 8:42
2ND & 8
OPP 36
+36
81.5%
Austin Aune pass complete to Jyaire Shorter for 36 yds for a TD (Ethan Mooney KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 16FG
16 plays · 49 yds · 6:4385% → 93%
Q3 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
85.0%
Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 4 yds to the TexSA 29Similar
Q3 7:50
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+9
85.1%
Frank Harris run for 9 yds to the TexSA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
86.0%
Frank Harris pass complete to Tykee Ogle-Kellogg for 7 yds to the TexSA 45Similar
Q3 6:57
2ND & 3
OWN 45
+5
86.3%
Kevorian Barnes run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:22
1ST & 10
50
-2
86.5%
Frank Harris sacked by Tom Trieb for a loss of 2 yards to the TexSA 48Similar
Q3 5:40
2ND & 12
OWN 48
-1
86.7%
Kevorian Barnes run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSA 47Similar
Q3 5:24
3RD & 13
OWN 47
-5
85.8%
UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, False Start (Walker Baty) to the TexSA 42Similar
Q3 4:40
3RD & 18
OWN 42
+18
86.3%
Frank Harris run for 18 yds to the NoTex 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:15
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
87.6%
Kaedric Cobbs run for 5 yds to the NoTex 35Similar
Q3 3:53
2ND & 5
OPP 35
+9
87.7%
Kevorian Barnes run for 9 yds to the NoTex 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:19
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-12
88.1%
Joshua Cephus pass complete to Frank Harris for 3 yds to the NoTex 23 UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, Illegal Block (-15 Yards) to the NoTex 38Similar
Q3 3:10
1ST & 22
OPP 38
+1
87.9%
Frank Harris run for 1 yd to the NoTex 37Similar
Q3 2:00
2ND & 21
OPP 37
+11
88.6%
Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 11 yds to the NoTex 26Similar
Q3 1:52
3RD & 10
OPP 26
0
88.2%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to Joshua CephusSimilar
Q3 1:47
4TH & 10
OPP 26
+43
92.7%
Jared Sackett 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 17TD
10 plays · 43 yds · 2:5611% → 23%
Q3 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+12
89.4%
Austin Aune pass complete to Jyaire Shorter for 12 yds to the NoTex 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+12
89.2%
Austin Aune pass complete to Jake Roberts for 12 yds to the TexSA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
89.0%
Ikaika Ragsdale run for 4 yds to the TexSA 36Similar
Q3 0:27
2ND & 6
OPP 36
+10
88.9%
UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, Defensive Holding (Clifford Chattman) to the TexSA 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
89.2%
Ikaika Ragsdale run for 3 yds to the TexSA 23Similar
Q4 14:45
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
-8
90.5%
Ayo Adeyi run for a loss of 8 yards to the TexSA 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+4
93.7%
Ayo Adeyi run for 4 yds to the TexSA 10Similar
Q4 13:55
2ND & 6
OPP 10
+9
89.4%
Ikaika Ragsdale run for 9 yds to the TexSA 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
76.6%
Isaiah Johnson run for 1 yd for a TD NORTH TEXAS Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the TexSA 13 (Ethan Mooney KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 18TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:1186% → 95%
Q4 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
85.9%
Kevorian Barnes run for 1 yd to the TexSA 26Similar
Q4 13:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+5
86.1%
NORTH TEXAS Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the TexSA 31Similar
Q4 12:30
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+17
86.9%
Frank Harris pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 17 yds to the TexSA 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+6
88.1%
Kevorian Barnes run for 6 yds to the NoTex 46Similar
Q4 11:35
2ND & 4
OPP 46
+7
88.2%
Frank Harris pass complete to Kevorian Barnes for 7 yds to the NoTex 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:09
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+39
95.3%
Frank Harris pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 39 yds for a TD (Jared Sackett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 19INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q4 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
92.3%
Austin Aune pass intercepted Ken Robinson return for no gain to the TexSA 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 20PUNT
10 plays · 17 yds · 4:5395% → 96%
Q4 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+7
95.1%
Kevorian Barnes run for 7 yds to the TexSA 38Similar
Q4 10:10
2ND & 3
OWN 38
+6
95.4%
Frank Harris pass complete to Tykee Ogle-Kellogg for 6 yds to the TexSA 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
95.9%
Kevorian Barnes run for 3 yds to the TexSA 47Similar
Q4 8:36
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+10
96.0%
Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 10 yds to the NoTex 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-6
96.2%
Frank Harris run for a loss of 6 yards to the NoTex 49 Frank Harris fumbled, recovered by TexSA Joshua CephusSimilar
Q4 7:25
2ND & 16
OPP 49
+4
96.1%
Kevorian Barnes run for 4 yds to the NoTex 45Similar
Q4 6:47
3RD & 12
OPP 45
-5
96.4%
UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, False Start (Zakhari Franklin) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 6:15
3RD & 17
50
-2
96.5%
Frank Harris run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexSA 48Similar
Q4 5:52
4TH & 19
OWN 48
+4
96.4%
Lucas Dean punt for 37 yds , Roderic Burns returns for 4 yds to the NoTex 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 21DOWNS
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:166% → 5%
Q4 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
94.1%
Austin Aune pass incomplete to Jyaire ShorterSimilar
Q4 5:35
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+3
94.1%
Ikaika Ragsdale run for 3 yds to the NoTex 22Similar
Q4 4:58
3RD & 7
OWN 22
-1
94.3%
Austin Aune run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoTex 21Similar
Q4 4:29
4TH & 8
OWN 21
0
95.5%
Austin Aune pass incomplete to Var'Keyes GummsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 22TD
5 plays · 21 yds · 0:0697% → 100%
Q4 4:13
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+6
97.4%
Frank Harris run for 6 yds to the NoTex 15Similar
Q4 4:13
2ND & 4
OPP 15
-1
97.7%
Kevorian Barnes run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoTex 16Similar
Q4 4:07
3RD & 5
OPP 16
+16
99.7%
Frank Harris pass complete to Oscar Cardenas for 16 yds for a TD (Jared Sackett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 23PUNT
7 plays · -4 yds · 0:491% → 0%
Q4 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+1
99.5%
Ayo Adeyi run for 1 yd to the NoTex 16Similar
Q4 3:41
2ND & 9
OWN 16
-5
99.5%
NORTH TEXAS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the NoTex 11Similar
Q4 3:27
2ND & 14
OWN 11
0
99.5%
Austin Aune pass incomplete to Jordan SmartSimilar
Q4 3:23
3RD & 14
OWN 11
0
99.5%
Austin Aune pass incomplete to Zhighlil McMillanSimilar
Q4 3:06
4TH & 14
OWN 11
0
99.8%
Bernardo Rodriguez punt for 56 yds, downed at the TexSA 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 24Uncategorized
5 plays · 10 yds · 2:52100% → 100%
Q4 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
99.7%
Kevorian Barnes run for 5 yds to the TexSA 38Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+2
99.8%
Kevorian Barnes run for 2 yds to the TexSA 40Similar
Q4 1:20
3RD & 3
OWN 40
+6
99.8%
Frank Harris pass complete to Oscar Cardenas for 6 yds to the TexSA 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:31
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-1
99.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSA 45Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 11
OWN 45
-2
99.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexSA 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 13:34
Isaiah Johnson run for 1 yd for a TD NORTH TEXAS Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the TexSA 13 (Ethan Mooney KICK)
-12.8
TD · Q3 8:42
Austin Aune pass complete to Jyaire Shorter for 36 yds for a TD (Ethan Mooney KICK)
-9.7
TD · Q3 10:33
Frank Harris pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 14 yds for a TD (Jared Sackett KICK)
+8.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com