Try the model
CLEM

Clemson 39 at North Carolina 10

UNC
2022 · Week 14 · Dec 3, 2022 · Bank of America Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · UNC
modelUNC aheadCLEM aheadconfidence bandkey playUNC scoreCLEM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · Jacolby Criswell run for 5 yds to the NCaro 49 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+57.0+28.50−28.5−57.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 1:41: Cade Klubnik pass complete to Davis Allen for 1 yd for a TD, (B.T. Potter KICK) — CLEM win probability +4.3 pts (now 67%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 0:35: Phil Mafah run for 4 yds for a TD, (B.T. Potter KICK) — CLEM win probability +4.3 pts (now 71%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 6:02: Cade Klubnik run for 1 yd for a TD, (B.T. Potter KICK) — CLEM win probability +8.1 pts (now 80%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 0:00: B.T. Potter 52 yd FG GOOD — CLEM win probability +5.4 pts (now 84%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 5:05: Drake Maye pass intercepted for a TD Nate Wiggins return for 98 yds for a TD, (D. Swinney Run For Two-point Conversion) — CLEM win probability +12.9 pts (now 94%) (top driver: UNC has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UNC made the numbers' call on 5 of 6CLEM made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 14:03CLEM 4th & 8 at CLEM 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.2%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:52CLEM 4th & 5 at CLEM 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.9%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:58UNC 4th & 10 at UNC 22, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.6%−0.5
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.1%
    average punt
  4. Q2 7:59UNC 4th & 14 at CLEM 14, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 31.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.0%−1.5
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    31.5%
    84% to make
    Punt
    26.5%−5.0
    average punt
  5. Q2 1:20UNC 4th & 8 at CLEM 8, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 22.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.1%−0.4
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    22.5%
    90% to make
    Punt
    19.1%−3.4
    average punt
  6. Q3 11:25UNC 4th & 6 at UNC 42, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.3%−0.5
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.9%
    average punt
  7. Q3 9:18CLEM 4th & 11 at CLEM 16, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.5%−2.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.6%
    average punt
  8. Q3 4:08UNC 4th & 7 at UNC 28, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.8%−0.9
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.6%
    average punt
  9. Q4 11:33UNC 4th & 7 at CLEM 12, down 29
    Close callWent for it · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.4%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    0.5%
    86% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.4
    average punt
  10. Q4 7:11CLEM 4th & 1 at UNC 39, up 29
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    99.5%−0.2
    36% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.2
    average punt
  11. Q4 1:19CLEM 4th & 10 at CLEM 30, up 29
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UNC made the numbers' call on 1 of 1CLEM made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 8:50UNC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    36.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:41CLEM Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:35CLEM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 6:02CLEM Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 5:05CLEM Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    93.5%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    93.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 0:42CLEM Touchdown, up 28 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CLEMDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:5270% → 70%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
29.6%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:13
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+2
29.9%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Antonio Williams for 2 yds to the Clem 32Similar
Q1 14:08
3RD & 8
OWN 32
0
30.0%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:03
4TH & 8
OWN 32
0
30.1%
Aidan Swanson punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Josh Downs at the NCaro 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 2TD
11 plays · 78 yds · 4:5930% → 35%
Q1 13:49
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+8
30.1%
Drake Maye pass complete to Kamari Morales for 8 yds to the NCaro 30Similar
Q1 13:28
2ND & 2
OWN 30
+12
30.4%
Drake Maye run for 12 yds to the NCaro 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:51
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
30.7%
Drake Maye pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:43
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+9
30.7%
Elijah Green run for 9 yds to the Clem 49Similar
Q1 12:30
3RD & 1
OPP 49
+4
31.0%
Elijah Green run for 4 yds to the Clem 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
31.5%
Drake Maye pass complete to Kobe Paysour for 6 yds to the Clem 39Similar
Q1 11:39
2ND & 4
OPP 39
+25
31.5%
Drake Maye pass complete to Kamari Morales for 25 yds to the Clem 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:39
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
32.2%
Drake Maye pass complete to Elijah Green for 1 yd to the Clem 13Similar
Q1 10:02
2ND & 9
OPP 13
+3
32.5%
Drake Maye run for 3 yds to the Clem 10Similar
Q1 9:31
3RD & 6
OPP 10
+7
32.7%
Drake Maye pass complete to Josh Downs for 7 yds to the Clem 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
35.2%
Drake Maye run for 3 yds for a TD, (Noah Burnette KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 1:2965% → 64%
Q1 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
34.9%
Will Shipley run for 2 yds to the Clem 27Similar
Q1 8:13
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-5
34.9%
CLEMSON Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Clem 22Similar
Q1 7:40
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+8
35.5%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Will Shipley for 8 yds to the Clem 30Similar
Q1 7:02
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
36.0%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:52
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
36.5%
Aidan Swanson punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NCaro 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:5136% → 36%
Q1 6:49
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
36.3%
Drake Maye pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:31
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+5
36.5%
Drake Maye pass complete to Elijah Green for 5 yds to the NCaro 27Similar
Q1 6:15
3RD & 5
OWN 27
-5
36.5%
NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the NCaro 22Similar
Q1 6:03
3RD & 10
OWN 22
0
36.5%
Drake Maye pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:58
4TH & 10
OWN 22
0
36.3%
Ben Kiernan punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Antonio Williams at the Clem 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 5TD
9 plays · 71 yds · 4:0063% → 67%
Q1 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+16
36.9%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Antonio Williams for 16 yds to the Clem 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
37.0%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Davis Allen for 6 yds to the NCaro 49Similar
Q1 4:30
2ND & 4
OPP 49
+6
37.0%
Phil Mafah run for 6 yds to the NCaro 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+7
37.3%
Will Shipley run for 7 yds to the NCaro 36Similar
Q1 3:41
2ND & 3
OPP 36
+22
37.5%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Antonio Williams for 22 yds to the NCaro 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:08
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+8
37.3%
Cade Klubnik run for 8 yds to the NCaro 6Similar
Q1 2:37
2ND & 2
OPP 6
+5
37.3%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Will Shipley for 5 yds to the NCaro 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
37.5%
Will Shipley run for no gain to the NCaro 1Similar
Q1 1:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
33.2%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Davis Allen for 1 yd for a TD, (B.T. Potter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 6FUMBLE
3 plays · -2 yds · 0:1836% → 36%
Q1 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
35.9%
Omarion Hampton run for 1 yd to the NCaro 26Similar
Q1 1:15
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-3
36.0%
Drake Maye run for a loss of 3 yards to the NCaro 23 Drake Maye fumbled, recovered by Clem Ruke OrhorhoroSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 7TD
2 plays · 23 yds · 0:3467% → 71%
Q1 1:09
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+19
33.4%
Phil Mafah pass complete to Cade Klubnik for 19 yds to the NCaro 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
29.1%
Phil Mafah run for 4 yds for a TD, (B.T. Potter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 8MISSED FG
22 plays · 61 yds · 7:1631% → 30%
Q1 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
30.8%
Drake Maye pass complete to Josh Downs for 6 yds to the NCaro 31Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+9
31.5%
Elijah Green run for 9 yds to the NCaro 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
31.7%
Elijah Green run for 8 yds to the NCaro 48Similar
Q2 14:12
2ND & 2
OWN 48
+6
32.3%
Drake Maye run for 6 yds to the Clem 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:34
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-4
32.6%
Drake Maye sacked by Jeremiah Trotter Jr. for a loss of 4 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 13:12
2ND & 14
50
+6
31.5%
Drake Maye pass complete to Josh Downs for 6 yds to the Clem 44Similar
Q2 12:33
3RD & 8
OPP 44
+11
32.3%
Drake Maye pass complete to Josh Downs for 11 yds to the Clem 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:11
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
33.6%
Elijah Green run for 4 yds to the Clem 29Similar
Q2 11:41
2ND & 6
OPP 29
-2
33.7%
Drake Maye sacked by Tyler Davis and Barrett Carter for a loss of 2 yards to the Clem 31Similar
Q2 11:21
3RD & 8
OPP 31
+11
32.9%
Drake Maye pass complete to Josh Downs for 11 yds to the Clem 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:29
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
33.4%
Drake Maye pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:18
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+8
33.5%
Drake Maye pass complete to Josh Downs for 8 yds to the Clem 12Similar
Q2 9:55
3RD & 2
OPP 12
-15
32.4%
NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Drake Maye) to the Clem 27Similar
Q2 9:11
3RD & 17
OPP 27
+18
31.4%
Drake Maye pass complete to Antoine Green for 18 yds to the Clem 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
33.6%
Drake Maye pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
-5
33.7%
Elijah Green run for a loss of 5 yards to the Clem 14Similar
Q2 8:06
3RD & GOAL
OPP 14
0
30.9%
Drake Maye pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:59
4TH & GOAL
OPP 14
+31
29.7%
Noah Burnette 31 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Nate WigginsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 9TD
5 plays · 84 yds · 1:5271% → 80%
Q2 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+9
29.1%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Joseph Ngata for 9 yds to the Clem 25Similar
Q2 7:41
2ND & 1
OWN 25
+2
28.0%
Will Shipley run for 2 yds to the Clem 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
28.5%
Will Shipley run for 4 yds to the Clem 31Similar
Q2 6:21
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+68
28.1%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Cole Turner for 68 yds to the NCaro 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
20.0%
Cade Klubnik run for 1 yd for a TD, (B.T. Potter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 10FG
13 plays · 67 yds · 4:3622% → 25%
Q2 5:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
22.0%
CLEMSON Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Andrew Mukuba) to the NCaro 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:47
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
22.2%
Drake Maye run for 4 yds to the NCaro 39Similar
Q2 5:10
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+1
22.7%
Elijah Green run for 1 yd to the NCaro 40Similar
Q2 4:22
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+6
22.2%
Drake Maye pass complete to Antoine Green for 6 yds to the NCaro 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:01
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+28
22.8%
Drake Maye pass complete to Josh Downs for 28 yds to the Clem 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:27
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+11
23.3%
Elijah Green run for 11 yds to the Clem 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:06
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
23.2%
Elijah Green run for 2 yds to the Clem 13Similar
Q2 2:33
2ND & 8
OPP 13
+10
22.9%
Drake Maye pass complete to Gavin Blackwell for 10 yds to the Clem 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-3
22.7%
Elijah Green run for a loss of 3 yards to the Clem 6Similar
Q2 1:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
22.6%
Drake Maye pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:23
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
-2
21.9%
Drake Maye sacked by Jeremiah Trotter Jr. for a loss of 2 yards to the Clem 8Similar
Q2 1:20
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+26
25.1%
Noah Burnette 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 11FG
10 plays · 40 yds · 1:1477% → 84%
Q2 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
23.3%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Will Shipley for 8 yds to the Clem 33Similar
Q2 1:01
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+7
23.0%
Cade Klubnik run for 7 yds to the Clem 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+10
22.2%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Joseph Ngata for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:39
1ST & 10
50
+4
22.2%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Joseph Ngata for 4 yds to the NCaro 46Similar
Q2 0:19
2ND & 6
OPP 46
0
21.4%
Cade Klubnik pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:11
3RD & 6
OPP 46
+16
21.5%
Cade Klubnik run for 16 yds to the NCaro 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:04
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-5
21.0%
CLEMSON Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (-5 Yards) to the NCaro 35Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 15
OPP 35
+52
15.6%
B.T. Potter 52 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 12PUNT
10 plays · 17 yds · 3:3020% → 19%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
20.2%
Elijah Green run for 4 yds to the NCaro 29Similar
Q3 14:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-2
20.3%
Drake Maye sacked by Jeremiah Trotter Jr. for a loss of 2 yards to the NCaro 27Similar
Q3 13:48
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+5
19.6%
CLEMSON Penalty, Delay of Game (5 Yards) to the NCaro 32Similar
Q3 13:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+6
20.0%
Drake Maye pass complete to Josh Downs for 6 yds to the NCaro 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
20.4%
Drake Maye pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:42
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
19.7%
Drake Maye pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:28
3RD & 10
OWN 38
+9
19.4%
Drake Maye pass complete to Antoine Green for 9 yds to the NCaro 47Similar
Q3 11:58
4TH & 1
OWN 47
-5
20.4%
NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the NCaro 42Similar
Q3 11:25
4TH & 6
OWN 42
0
19.4%
Ben Kiernan punt for 41 yds, downed at the Clem 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:4283% → 83%
Q3 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+7
17.4%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Joseph Ngata for 7 yds to the Clem 24Similar
Q3 11:00
2ND & 3
OWN 24
-8
17.2%
Cade Klubnik run for a loss of 8 yards to the Clem 16 Cade Klubnik fumbled, recovered by Clem Cade KlubnikSimilar
Q3 10:30
3RD & 11
OWN 16
0
17.9%
Cade Klubnik run for no gain to the Clem 16Similar
Q3 9:18
4TH & 11
OWN 16
+6
16.6%
Aidan Swanson punt for 40 yds , Josh Downs returns for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 14INT TD
9 plays · 45 yds · 3:5519% → 6%
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
50
+9
19.3%
Drake Maye run for 9 yds to the Clem 41Similar
Q3 8:10
2ND & 1
OPP 41
+4
19.1%
Elijah Green run for 4 yds to the Clem 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:50
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
18.7%
Elijah Green run for 3 yds to the Clem 34Similar
Q3 7:40
2ND & 7
OPP 34
+12
19.5%
Drake Maye pass complete to Antoine Green for 12 yds to the Clem 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:06
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
19.3%
Elijah Green run for no gain to the Clem 22Similar
Q3 6:35
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+12
18.8%
Drake Maye pass complete to Elijah Green for 12 yds to the Clem 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
18.8%
Elijah Green run for 5 yds to the Clem 5Similar
Q3 5:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
18.7%
Drake Maye pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:05
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
-98
5.8%
Drake Maye pass intercepted for a TD Nate Wiggins return for 98 yds for a TD, (D. Swinney Run For Two-point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:545% → 5%
Q3 5:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
5.0%
Drake Maye pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:30
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
4.7%
Drake Maye pass complete to Josh Downs for 3 yds to the NCaro 28Similar
Q3 4:16
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
4.6%
Drake Maye pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:08
4TH & 7
OWN 28
-2
4.5%
Ben Kiernan punt for 56 yds , Antonio Williams returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Clem 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 16TD
9 plays · 86 yds · 2:5696% → 99%
Q3 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+1
3.7%
Will Shipley run for 1 yd to the Clem 15Similar
Q3 3:07
2ND & 9
OWN 15
+6
3.6%
Cade Klubnik run for 6 yds to the Clem 21Similar
Q3 2:52
3RD & 3
OWN 21
+5
3.5%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Will Shipley for 5 yds to the Clem 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
3.3%
Cade Klubnik pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:07
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+16
3.2%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Joseph Ngata for 16 yds to the Clem 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
3.1%
Cade Klubnik pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:43
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+43
2.9%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Brannon Spector for 43 yds to the NCaro 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:55
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+13
2.6%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Davis Allen for 13 yds to the NCaro 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
0.7%
Will Shipley run for 2 yds for a TD, (B.T. Potter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 17DOWNS
12 plays · 63 yds · 3:491% → 0%
Q3 0:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
1.0%
Elijah Green run for 3 yds to the NCaro 28Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+5
1.0%
Drake Maye pass complete to Josh Downs for 5 yds to the NCaro 33Similar
Q4 14:55
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+4
1.0%
Elijah Green run for 4 yds to the NCaro 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:24
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+21
0.8%
Drake Maye pass complete to Kamari Morales for 21 yds to the Clem 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+9
0.7%
Drake Maye pass complete to Josh Downs for 9 yds to the Clem 33Similar
Q4 13:11
2ND & 1
OPP 33
+3
0.7%
Elijah Green run for 3 yds to the Clem 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:04
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+15
0.7%
CLEMSON Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Toriano Pride Jr.) to the Clem 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:55
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-3
0.7%
Elijah Green run for a loss of 3 yards to the Clem 18Similar
Q4 12:21
2ND & 13
OPP 18
+6
0.6%
Drake Maye pass complete to Bryson Nesbit for 6 yds to the Clem 12Similar
Q4 11:40
3RD & 7
OPP 12
0
0.5%
Drake Maye pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:33
4TH & 7
OPP 12
0
0.4%
Drake Maye pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 18DOWNS
11 plays · 49 yds · 4:09100% → 100%
Q4 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-5
0.5%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Jake Briningstool for 1 yd to the Clem 13 CLEMSON Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (-6 Yards) to the Clem 7Similar
Q4 10:47
1ST & 15
OWN 7
+5
0.5%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Adam Randall for 5 yds to the Clem 12Similar
Q4 10:19
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+29
0.5%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Cole Turner for 29 yds to the Clem 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
0.4%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Drew Swinney for 6 yds to the Clem 47Similar
Q4 9:35
2ND & 4
OWN 47
0
0.4%
Cade Klubnik pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:22
3RD & 4
OWN 47
+5
0.4%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Drew Swinney for 5 yds to the NCaro 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:56
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
0.3%
Kobe Pace run for 3 yds to the NCaro 45Similar
Q4 8:22
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+6
0.2%
Hunter Johnson pass complete to Hamp Greene for 6 yds to the NCaro 39Similar
Q4 8:01
3RD & 1
OPP 39
0
0.2%
Kobe Pace run for no gain to the NCaro 39Similar
Q4 7:11
4TH & 1
OPP 39
0
0.2%
Kobe Pace run for no gain to the NCaro 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 19INT
5 plays · 31 yds · 1:390% → 0%
Q4 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+21
0.2%
Drake Maye pass complete to J.J. Jones for 21 yds to the Clem 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:26
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+8
0.2%
Drake Maye pass complete to Antoine Green for 8 yds to the Clem 32Similar
Q4 6:03
2ND & 2
OPP 32
+1
0.2%
Elijah Green run for 1 yd to the Clem 31Similar
Q4 5:35
3RD & 1
OPP 31
+1
0.2%
Elijah Green run for 1 yd to the Clem 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:14
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
0.2%
Drake Maye pass intercepted, touchback. Jeadyn Lukus return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 10 yds · 3:41100% → 100%
Q4 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
0.2%
Hunter Johnson pass complete to Tye Herbstreit for 4 yds to the Clem 24Similar
Q4 4:20
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+2
0.2%
Domonique Thomas run for 2 yds to the Clem 26Similar
Q4 3:53
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+4
0.2%
Hunter Johnson pass complete to Cole Turner for 4 yds to the Clem 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:01
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
0.1%
Domonique Thomas run for 5 yds to the Clem 35Similar
Q4 2:35
2ND & 5
OWN 35
-2
0.1%
Hunter Johnson pass complete to Will Taylor for a loss of 2 yards to the Clem 33Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 7
OWN 33
-3
0.1%
Hunter Johnson pass complete to Will Taylor for a loss of 3 yards to the Clem 30Similar
Q4 1:19
4TH & 10
OWN 30
0
0.1%
Jack Smith punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Josh Downs at the NCaro 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 21END OF GAME
4 plays · 26 yds · 1:120% → 0%
Q4 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
0.1%
D.J. Jones run for 4 yds to the NCaro 27Similar
Q4 0:58
2ND & 6
OWN 27
+12
0.1%
Jacolby Criswell run for 12 yds to the NCaro 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
0.1%
Jacolby Criswell pass complete to Bryson Nesbit for 5 yds to the NCaro 44Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+5
0.1%
Jacolby Criswell run for 5 yds to the NCaro 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 5:05
Drake Maye pass intercepted for a TD Nate Wiggins return for 98 yds for a TD, (D. Swinney Run For Two-point Conversion)
-12.9
TD · Q2 6:02
Cade Klubnik run for 1 yd for a TD, (B.T. Potter KICK)
-8.1
FG · Q2 0:00
B.T. Potter 52 yd FG GOOD
-5.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com