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UTEP

UTEP 31 at UTSA 34

UTSA
2022 · Week 13 · Nov 26, 2022 · Alamodome
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Win probability · UTSA
modelUTSA aheadUTEP aheadconfidence bandkey playUTSA scoreUTEP score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 0:12 · Joshua Sloan punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Chris Carpenter at the TexSA 30
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+38.0+19.00−19.0−38.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 137Pregame prior+11.5Home team on offense−13.2Score differential−4.1Garbage-time factor−4.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−3.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 7:03: Calvin Brownholtz run for 23 yds for a TD, (Gavin Baechle KICK) — UTEP win probability +12.8 pts (now 48%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 11:56: Reynaldo Flores run for 5 yds for a TD, (Gavin Baechle KICK) — UTEP win probability +17.8 pts (now 64%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 9:49: Frank Harris pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 14 yds for a TD, (Jared Sackett KICK) — UTSA win probability +11.1 pts (now 56%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 0:00: Frank Harris pass complete to Tykee Ogle-Kellogg for 70 yds for a TD, (Jared Sackett KICK) — UTSA win probability +25.2 pts (now 70%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 0:04: Jared Sackett 28 yd FG GOOD — UTSA win probability +28.1 pts (now 96%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UTSA made the numbers' call on 7 of 7UTEP made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 10:44UTSA 4th & 9 at UTEP 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 85.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.0%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    85.0%
    56% to make
    Punt
    84.9%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:36UTSA 4th & 21 at UTSA 17, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.3%−0.5
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:44UTSA 4th & 6 at UTSA 29, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.5%−0.3
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.7%
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:01UTEP 4th & 5 at UTSA 25, up 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 33.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.5%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    33.4%−0.2
    66% to make
    Punt
    27.5%−6.0
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:59UTSA 4th & 1 at UTEP 31, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 63.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    63.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    61.0%−2.0
    54% to make
    Punt
    60.1%−3.0
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:03UTSA 4th & 1 at UTSA 34, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 51.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    52.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    50.6%−1.9
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:15UTEP 4th & 1 at UTSA 42, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 48.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    48.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    43.2%−4.9
    30% to make
    Punt
    43.7%−4.5
    average punt
  8. Q3 4:44UTEP 4th & 18 at UTEP 29, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.5%−5.4
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.0%
    average punt
  9. Q3 2:20UTSA 4th & 9 at UTEP 33, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 36.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.8%−0.4
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    36.2%
    49% to make
    Punt
    34.5%−1.7
    average punt
  10. Q3 0:12UTEP 4th & 10 at UTEP 25, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.7%−2.8
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.4%
    average punt
  11. Q4 6:01UTSA 4th & 11 at UTSA 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.4%−3.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.5%
    average punt
  12. Q4 4:03UTEP 4th & 15 at UTEP 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.2%−12.7
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UTSA made the numbers' call on 4 of 4UTEP made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 7:56UTEP Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    17.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    17.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:26UTEP Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    23.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    23.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:03UTEP Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.4%−0.3
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 5:15UTSA Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 1:34UTSA Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 11:56UTEP Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 9:49UTSA Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 0:00UTSA Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.8%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UTSADrive 1MISSED FG
14 plays · 45 yds · 4:1688% → 87%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
88.0%
Brenden Brady run for 1 yd to the TexSA 26Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
88.0%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to Tykee Ogle-KelloggSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+10
88.0%
Frank Harris run for 10 yds to the TexSA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
88.0%
Brenden Brady run for no gain to the TexSA 36Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
88.0%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to Isaiah DavisSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+12
88.0%
Frank Harris pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 12 yds to the TexSA 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:51
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
87.5%
Kevorian Barnes run for 1 yd to the TexSA 47Similar
Q1 12:51
2ND & 11
OWN 47
+22
87.5%
Frank Harris pass complete to Kevorian Barnes for 22 yds to the UTEP 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:51
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
87.6%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to Tykee Ogle-KelloggSimilar
Q1 12:51
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+2
87.6%
Kevorian Barnes run for 2 yds to the UTEP 33Similar
Q1 12:51
3RD & 12
OPP 33
+3
87.5%
Frank Harris run for 3 yds to the UTEP 30Similar
Q1 10:44
4TH & 9
OPP 30
+47
86.9%
Jared Sackett 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 2TD
5 plays · 70 yds · 2:4813% → 16%
Q1 10:44
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
86.8%
Ronald Awatt run for 7 yds to the UTEP 37Similar
Q1 10:44
2ND & 3
OWN 37
+11
86.6%
Calvin Brownholtz pass complete to Kelly Akharaiyi for 11 yds to the UTEP 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:44
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+37
86.6%
Ronald Awatt run for 37 yds to the TexSA 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:44
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
86.5%
Reynaldo Flores run for no gain to the TexSA 15Similar
Q1 7:56
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+15
84.0%
Calvin Brownholtz pass complete to James Tupou for 15 yds for a TD, (Gavin Baechle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 3PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 2:1485% → 83%
Q1 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+10
84.5%
Frank Harris pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 10 yds to the TexSA 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
84.6%
Brenden Brady run for no gain to the TexSA 28Similar
Q1 7:50
2ND & 10
OWN 28
-5
84.5%
Frank Harris sacked by Jalen Rudolph for a loss of 5 yards to the TexSA 23Similar
Q1 7:50
3RD & 15
OWN 23
-6
84.3%
Frank Harris sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the TexSA 17Similar
Q1 5:36
4TH & 21
OWN 17
+1
82.9%
Lucas Dean punt for 55 yds , Marcus Bellon returns for 1 yd to the UTEP 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 4TD
5 plays · 71 yds · 2:1017% → 22%
Q1 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
83.0%
Calvin Brownholtz run for 1 yd to the UTEP 30Similar
Q1 5:36
2ND & 9
OWN 30
+12
83.0%
Calvin Brownholtz pass complete to Reynaldo Flores for 12 yds to the UTEP 42 for a 1ST down UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, Defensive Offside ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+13
82.7%
Reynaldo Flores run for 13 yds to the TexSA 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:36
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
82.6%
Calvin Brownholtz run for no gain to the TexSA 45Similar
Q1 3:26
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+45
78.0%
Calvin Brownholtz pass complete to Tyrin Smith for 45 yds for a TD, (Gavin Baechle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:4279% → 78%
Q1 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
78.7%
Kevorian Barnes run for 4 yds to the TexSA 29Similar
Q1 3:26
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
78.8%
Eddie Lee Marburger pass incomplete to Joshua CephusSimilar
Q1 3:26
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
78.7%
Eddie Lee Marburger pass incomplete to Joshua CephusSimilar
Q1 2:44
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+3
77.8%
Lucas Dean punt for 56 yds , Marcus Bellon returns for 3 yds to the UTEP 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 6FG
17 plays · 57 yds · 6:4322% → 36%
Q1 2:44
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
77.7%
Ronald Awatt run for 3 yds to the UTEP 15Similar
Q1 2:44
2ND & 13
OWN 15
+5
77.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun Brownholtz,Calvin pass incomplete short right to Akharaiyi,Kelly broken up by Fortune,Nicktroy QB hurried by Robinson,Ken PENALTY UTSA Offside (Booker-Brown,Nick) 5 yards from UTEP15 to UTEP20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:44
2ND & 8
OWN 20
+10
77.7%
Calvin Brownholtz run for 10 yds to the UTEP 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:44
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+15
77.6%
Shotgun Brownholtz,Calvin pass incomplete short right to Smith,Tyrin QB hurried by McDougle,Lamonte PENALTY UTSA Pass Interference (Mayfield Jr.,Corey) 15 yards from UTEP30 to UTEP45, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:44
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
77.3%
Reynaldo Flores run for 1 yd to the UTEP 46Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 9
OWN 46
+5
74.0%
Calvin Brownholtz run for 5 yds to the TexSA 49Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 49
+8
74.1%
Calvin Brownholtz run for 8 yds to the TexSA 44 Calvin Brownholtz fumbled, recovered by UTEP Trent Thompson for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-5
73.9%
PENALTY UTEP False Start (Tupou,James) 5 yards from UTSA44 to UTSA49. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 15
OPP 49
+9
74.1%
Ronald Awatt run for 9 yds to the TexSA 40Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+1
73.9%
Calvin Brownholtz run for 1 yd to the TexSA 39Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 39
-5
74.0%
PENALTY UTEP False Start (Meyer,Andrew) 5 yards from UTSA39 to UTSA44. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 44
+14
74.0%
Ronald Awatt run for 14 yds to the TexSA 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
74.0%
Calvin Brownholtz pass incomplete to Tyrin SmithSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 30
0
74.0%
Calvin Brownholtz pass incomplete to Tyrin SmithSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 30
+5
74.1%
PENALTY UTSA Offside (Booker-Brown,Nick) 5 yards from UTSA30 to UTSA25. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 25
0
74.0%
Ronald Awatt run for no gain to the TexSA 25Similar
Q2 11:01
4TH & 5
OPP 25
+44
64.5%
Gavin Baechle 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 7DOWNS
9 plays · 44 yds · 2:0267% → 66%
Q2 11:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+25
66.9%
Frank Harris pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:01
1ST & 10
50
+2
68.3%
Frank Harris run for 2 yds to the UTEP 48Similar
Q2 11:01
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+8
68.3%
Brenden Brady run for 8 yds to the UTEP 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:01
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
68.3%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to Kevorian BarnesSimilar
Q2 11:01
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+4
68.3%
Kevorian Barnes run for 4 yds to the UTEP 36Similar
Q2 11:01
3RD & 6
OPP 36
+5
68.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun Harris,Frank pass incomplete short left to Ogle-Kellogg,Tykee broken up by Wilson,Tyson PENALTY UTEP Offside (James,TyReke) 5 yards from UTEP36 to UTEP31. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:01
3RD & 1
OPP 31
0
68.5%
Kevorian Barnes run for no gain to the UTEP 31Similar
Q2 8:59
4TH & 1
OPP 31
0
65.7%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to Zakhari FranklinSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 8TD
6 plays · 69 yds · 1:5639% → 48%
Q2 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-5
60.8%
PENALTY UTEP False Start (Meyer,Andrew) 5 yards from UTEP31 to UTEP26. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:59
1ST & 15
OWN 26
+56
60.9%
Tyrin Smith pass complete to Trent Thompson for 56 yds to the TexSA 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:59
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
59.7%
Deion Hankins run for no gain to the TexSA 18Similar
Q2 8:59
2ND & 10
OPP 18
-5
59.8%
PENALTY UTEP False Start (Meyer,Andrew) 5 yards from UTSA18 to UTSA23. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:03
2ND & 15
OPP 23
+23
52.0%
Calvin Brownholtz run for 23 yds for a TD, (Gavin Baechle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 9TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:4859% → 61%
Q2 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
59.2%
Frank Harris run for 3 yds to the TexSA 28Similar
Q2 7:03
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
59.3%
Frank Harris pass complete to Kevorian Barnes for 6 yds to the TexSA 34Similar
Q2 7:03
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
59.7%
Kevorian Barnes run for no gain to the TexSA 34Similar
Q2 7:03
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+1
59.5%
Oscar Cardenas run for 1 yd to the TexSA 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+65
60.5%
Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 65 yds for a TD, (Jared Sackett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 10INT TD
13 plays · 44 yds · 3:4137% → 41%
Q2 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+24
63.4%
Calvin Brownholtz pass complete to James Tupou for 24 yds to the UTEP 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
62.4%
Calvin Brownholtz pass incomplete to Kelly AkharaiyiSimilar
Q2 5:15
2ND & 10
OWN 49
0
62.4%
Ronald Awatt run for no gain to the UTEP 49Similar
Q2 5:15
3RD & 10
OWN 49
+9
62.8%
Calvin Brownholtz pass complete to Tyrin Smith for 9 yds to the TexSA 42Similar
Q2 5:15
4TH & 1
OPP 42
+2
63.1%
Calvin Brownholtz run for 2 yds to the TexSA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:15
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+10
61.7%
UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the TexSA 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:49
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+7
49.3%
Calvin Brownholtz pass complete to Kelly Akharaiyi for 7 yds to the TexSA 21Similar
Q2 2:49
2ND & 3
OPP 21
-10
48.7%
Shotgun Awatt,Ronald rush right for 4 yards gain to the UTSA17 (Nwachuku,Kelechi), out of bounds PENALTY UTEP Holding (Meyer,Andrew) 10 yards from UTSA21 to UTSA31. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:34
2ND & 13
OPP 31
-73
59.1%
Dadrian Taylor 73 Yd Interception Return (Jared Sackett Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 11MISSED FG
10 plays · 35 yds · 1:3438% → 46%
Q2 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
61.6%
Ronald Awatt run for 1 yd to the UTEP 31Similar
Q2 1:29
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+10
61.6%
Reynaldo Flores run for 10 yds to the UTEP 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
60.2%
Reynaldo Flores run for 5 yds to the UTEP 46Similar
Q2 1:29
2ND & 5
OWN 46
0
59.8%
Calvin Brownholtz pass incomplete to Tyrin SmithSimilar
Q2 1:29
3RD & 5
OWN 46
+8
60.6%
Calvin Brownholtz run for 8 yds to the TexSA 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:29
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+11
59.0%
Calvin Brownholtz pass complete to Reynaldo Flores for 11 yds to the TexSA 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:29
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
58.3%
Calvin Brownholtz pass incomplete to Reynaldo FloresSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+52
53.9%
Gavin Baechle 52 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 12TD
8 plays · 66 yds · 2:5641% → 64%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
58.6%
Ronald Awatt run for 3 yds to the UTEP 37Similar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 7
OWN 37
0
58.1%
UTEP Penalty, Illegal Formation (Maurice Westmoreland) declinedSimilar
Q3 14:52
3RD & 7
OWN 37
+4
58.9%
Reynaldo Flores run for 4 yds to the UTEP 41Similar
Q3 13:08
4TH & 3
OWN 41
+15
56.3%
Sloan,Joshua punt 44 yards to the UTSA15 Carpenter,Chris return 9 yards to the UTSA24 (Thompson,Blake) PENALTY UTSA Roughing The Kicker (Spriggs,Dre) 15 yards from UTEP41 to UTSA44, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:08
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+30
54.2%
Reynaldo Flores run for 30 yds to the TexSA 14 Reynaldo Flores fumbled, recovered by UTEP for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:08
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+9
53.8%
Calvin Brownholtz run for 9 yds to the TexSA 5Similar
Q3 11:56
2ND & 1
OPP 5
+5
36.1%
Reynaldo Flores run for 5 yds for a TD, (Gavin Baechle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 13TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:0741% → 56%
Q3 11:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
40.7%
Kevorian Barnes run for 6 yds to the TexSA 31Similar
Q3 11:56
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+5
41.6%
Frank Harris run for 5 yds to the TexSA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:56
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
41.7%
Kevorian Barnes run for 4 yds to the TexSA 40Similar
Q3 11:56
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+44
42.3%
Frank Harris pass complete to Tykee Ogle-Kellogg for 44 yds to the UTEP 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:56
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
44.6%
Kevorian Barnes run for 2 yds to the UTEP 14Similar
Q3 9:49
2ND & 8
OPP 14
+14
55.7%
Frank Harris pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 14 yds for a TD, (Jared Sackett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 14PUNT
12 plays · 4 yds · 5:0548% → 57%
Q3 9:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
51.6%
Deion Hankins run for 7 yds to the UTEP 32Similar
Q3 9:49
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+5
50.7%
Deion Hankins run for 5 yds to the UTEP 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:49
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+44
50.5%
Shotgun Brownholtz,Calvin rush left for 44 yards gain to the UTSA19 (Chattman,Clifford) PENALTY UTSA Personal Foul offsetting UTEP Personal Foul offsetting. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:49
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-10
50.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun Hankins,Deion rush left for 3 yards gain to the UTEP40 (Booker-Brown,Nick; Robinson,Jimmori) PENALTY UTEP Holding (Klein,Elijah) 10 yards from UTEP37 to UTEP27. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:49
1ST & 20
OWN 27
-5
51.8%
PENALTY UTEP False Start 5 yards from UTEP27 to UTEP22. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:49
1ST & 25
OWN 22
+1
51.9%
Deion Hankins run for 1 yd to the UTEP 23Similar
Q3 9:49
2ND & 24
OWN 23
+10
52.3%
Calvin Brownholtz pass complete to Marcus Bellon for 10 yds to the UTEP 33Similar
Q3 5:37
3RD & 14
OWN 33
-5
44.7%
PENALTY UTEP False Start (Meyer,Andrew) 5 yards from UTEP33 to UTEP28. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:37
3RD & 19
OWN 28
+1
44.7%
Ronald Awatt run for 1 yd to the UTEP 29Similar
Q3 4:44
4TH & 18
OWN 29
+17
42.8%
Joshua Sloan punt for 51 yds , Chris Carpenter returns for 17 yds to the TexSA 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 15FG
8 plays · 30 yds · 2:2444% → 51%
Q3 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+11
44.2%
Frank Harris pass complete to Tykee Ogle-Kellogg for 11 yds to the TexSA 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+9
45.9%
Frank Harris pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 9 yds to the UTEP 43Similar
Q3 4:44
2ND & 1
OPP 43
+9
46.9%
Kevorian Barnes run for 9 yds to the UTEP 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:44
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
48.9%
Frank Harris run for 1 yd to the UTEP 33Similar
Q3 4:44
2ND & 9
OPP 33
0
48.8%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to Joshua CephusSimilar
Q3 4:44
3RD & 9
OPP 33
-5
46.3%
PENALTY UTSA False Start (Ogle-Kellogg,Tykee) 5 yards from UTEP33 to UTEP38. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:44
3RD & 14
OPP 38
+5
44.6%
Frank Harris run for 5 yds to the UTEP 33Similar
Q3 2:20
4TH & 9
OPP 33
+51
51.1%
Jared Sackett 51 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 2:0856% → 56%
Q3 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
44.3%
Tyrin Smith run for 5 yds to the UTEP 30Similar
Q3 2:20
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
43.3%
Reynaldo Flores run for no gain to the UTEP 30Similar
Q3 2:20
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-5
44.3%
PENALTY UTEP False Start (Byers,Jeremiah) 5 yards from UTEP30 to UTEP25. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:20
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
46.0%
Calvin Brownholtz pass incomplete to Marcus BellonSimilar
Q3 0:12
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
44.3%
Joshua Sloan punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Chris Carpenter at the TexSA 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 17TD
1 play · 70 yds · 0:0070% → 70%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+70
69.5%
Frank Harris pass complete to Tykee Ogle-Kellogg for 70 yds for a TD, (Jared Sackett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 18INT
13 plays · 61 yds · 5:0336% → 46%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
64.5%
Calvin Brownholtz pass incomplete to Kelly AkharaiyiSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+38
64.8%
Calvin Brownholtz pass complete to Tyrin Smith for 38 yds to the TexSA 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
60.0%
Reynaldo Flores run for 4 yds to the TexSA 33Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 33
+7
58.3%
Ronald Awatt run for 7 yds to the TexSA 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
58.3%
Ronald Awatt run for 3 yds to the TexSA 23Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 23
+2
58.3%
Reynaldo Flores run for 2 yds to the TexSA 21Similar
Q4 11:28
3RD & 5
OPP 21
+7
57.3%
Calvin Brownholtz pass complete to Tyrin Smith for 7 yds to the TexSA 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:28
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
55.3%
Ronald Awatt run for no gain to the TexSA 14Similar
Q4 10:12
2ND & 10
OPP 14
0
51.8%
Calvin Brownholtz pass incomplete to Tyrin SmithSimilar
Q4 9:57
3RD & 10
OPP 14
0
54.1%
Calvin Brownholtz pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 19PUNT
8 plays · 43 yds · 3:5666% → 63%
Q4 9:57
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+5
66.3%
Kevorian Barnes run for 5 yds to the TexSA 11Similar
Q4 9:57
2ND & 5
OWN 11
+28
66.6%
Frank Harris pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 28 yds to the TexSA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:57
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
69.2%
Kevorian Barnes run for no gain to the TexSA 39Similar
Q4 9:57
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+11
68.7%
Frank Harris pass complete to Oscar Cardenas for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:57
1ST & 10
50
-7
71.5%
Frank Harris sacked by Cal Wallerstedt for a loss of 7 yards to the TexSA 43Similar
Q4 9:57
2ND & 17
OWN 43
+10
68.0%
Frank Harris pass complete to Chris Carpenter for 10 yds to the UTEP 47Similar
Q4 9:57
3RD & 7
OPP 47
-4
70.7%
Frank Harris sacked by Jadrian Taylor for a loss of 4 yards to the TexSA 49Similar
Q4 6:01
4TH & 11
OWN 49
0
63.4%
Lucas Dean punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Marcus Bellon at the UTEP 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 26 yds · 1:5844% → 42%
Q4 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+16
55.9%
Deion Hankins run for 16 yds to the UTEP 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
54.7%
Deion Hankins run for no gain to the UTEP 27Similar
Q4 6:01
2ND & 10
OWN 27
-5
55.3%
PENALTY UTEP False Start (Byers,Jeremiah) 5 yards from UTEP27 to UTEP22. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:01
2ND & 15
OWN 22
0
55.9%
Calvin Brownholtz pass incomplete to Tyrin SmithSimilar
Q4 6:01
3RD & 15
OWN 22
0
57.5%
Calvin Brownholtz pass incomplete to Kelly AkharaiyiSimilar
Q4 4:03
4TH & 15
OWN 22
0
58.2%
Joshua Sloan punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Chris Carpenter at the TexSA 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 21FG
11 plays · 73 yds · 3:5963% → 96%
Q4 4:03
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+17
63.4%
Frank Harris pass complete to Tykee Ogle-Kellogg for 17 yds to the TexSA 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:03
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+28
64.3%
Frank Harris pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 28 yds to the UTEP 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:03
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+18
69.1%
Kevorian Barnes run for 18 yds to the UTEP 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:03
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+4
71.4%
Kevorian Barnes run for 4 yds to the UTEP 17Similar
Q4 4:03
2ND & 6
OPP 17
+2
71.4%
Kevorian Barnes run for 2 yds to the UTEP 15Similar
Q4 1:31
3RD & 4
OPP 15
+7
66.4%
Frank Harris run for 7 yds to the UTEP 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-3
69.6%
F. Harris takes a kneeSimilar
Q4 0:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
+28
95.7%
Jared Sackett 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q4 0:04
Jared Sackett 28 yd FG GOOD
+28.1
TD · Q3 0:00
Frank Harris pass complete to Tykee Ogle-Kellogg for 70 yds for a TD, (Jared Sackett KICK)
+25.2
TD · Q3 11:56
Reynaldo Flores run for 5 yds for a TD, (Gavin Baechle KICK)
-17.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com