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RICE

Rice 17 at North Texas 21

UNT
2022 · Week 13 · Nov 26, 2022 · DATCU Stadium
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Win probability · UNT
modelUNT aheadRICE aheadconfidence bandkey playUNT scoreRICE score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · Kneel down by AUNE, Austin at RIC46 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+35.0+17.50−17.5−35.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 7:18: Uriah West run for 1 yd for a TD, (Christian VanSickle KICK) — RICE win probability +8.2 pts (now 27%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 2:36: AJ Padgett pass complete to Braylen Walker for 48 yds for a TD, (Christian VanSickle KICK) — RICE win probability +12.4 pts (now 30%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  3. FG · Q4 14:19: Christian VanSickle 24 yd FG GOOD — RICE win probability +8.4 pts (now 48%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 10:35: Austin Aune pass complete to Ikaika Ragsdale for 6 yds for a TD, (Ethan Mooney KICK) — UNT win probability +15.4 pts (now 81%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 1:20: Timeout RICE, clock 01:20 — UNT win probability +10.6 pts (now 89%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UNT made the numbers' call on 6 of 7RICE made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 11:43UNT 4th & 5 at RICE 29, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 82.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.6%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    82.6%−<0.1
    58% to make
    Punt
    82.3%−0.3
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:06UNT 4th & 5 at UNT 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.4%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:30RICE 4th & 7 at UNT 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.4%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    20.1%−0.3
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    20.4%
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:11RICE 4th & 16 at UNT 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 17.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.1%−0.7
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    17.8%
    60% to make
    Punt
    15.8%−2.0
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:11UNT 4th & 10 at UNT 28, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.6%−0.6
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:11RICE 4th & 1 at RICE 45, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 18.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    18.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    18.0%−0.9
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:59UNT 4th & 9 at RICE 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.4%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.5%
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:09RICE 4th & 4 at UNT 46, tied
    Close callPunted · 32.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    30.9%−2.6
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    32.7%−0.8
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:41UNT 4th & 6 at UNT 11, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.9%−1.6
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.5%
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:00RICE 4th & 17 at UNT 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 32.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.5%−3.3
    14% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    32.8%
    68% to make
    Punt
    23.8%−9.0
    average punt
  11. Q3 4:43UNT 4th & 3 at UNT 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.7%−0.5
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.2%
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:19RICE 4th & 6 at UNT 6, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 40.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.8%−0.7
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    39.4%
    91% to make
    Punt
    24.0%−15.5
    average punt
  13. Q4 8:15RICE 4th & 6 at RICE 29, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.6%−0.5
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 4:43UNT 4th & 17 at UNT 40, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.3%−6.0
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.3%
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:12RICE 4th & 23 at RICE 29, down 4
    Close callWent for it · 17.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.7%−0.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    7.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UNT made the numbers' call on 3 of 3RICE made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 1:28UNT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 7:18RICE Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    22.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    22.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 4:26UNT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 2:36RICE Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    24.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    24.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 10:35UNT Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.4%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UNTDrive 1MISSED FG
11 plays · 46 yds · 3:1785% → 84%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
85.0%
Austin Aune pass complete to Ikaika Ragsdale for 15 yds to the NoTex 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
85.0%
Austin Aune pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
85.0%
Austin Aune pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 40
+14
85.0%
Austin Aune pass complete to Var'Keyes Gumms for 14 yds to the Rice 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
85.0%
Austin Aune pass complete to Roderic Burns for 5 yds to the Rice 41Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 41
+4
85.0%
Austin Aune pass complete to Kaylon Horton for 4 yds to the Rice 37Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 37
+3
85.0%
Isaiah Johnson run for 3 yds to the Rice 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
85.0%
Austin Aune pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+5
85.0%
Ikaika Ragsdale run for 5 yds to the Rice 29Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 29
0
85.0%
Austin Aune pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:43
4TH & 5
OPP 29
+46
84.2%
Ethan Mooney 46 yd FG BLOCKED blocked bySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 2FUMBLE
7 plays · 40 yds · 3:2116% → 17%
Q1 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+11
84.1%
AJ Padgett run for 11 yds to the Rice 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
84.0%
AJ Padgett pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:43
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+3
84.0%
AJ Padgett pass complete to Isaiah Esdale for 3 yds to the Rice 43Similar
Q1 11:43
3RD & 7
OWN 43
+17
84.0%
AJ Padgett pass complete to Braylen Walker for 17 yds to the NoTex 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:43
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
83.9%
Cameron Montgomery run for 3 yds to the NoTex 37Similar
Q1 11:43
2ND & 7
OPP 37
+6
83.9%
Cameron Montgomery run for 6 yds to the NoTex 31Similar
Q1 8:22
3RD & 1
OPP 31
0
82.6%
AJ Padgett run for no gain to the Rice 15 AJ Padgett fumbled, recovered by NoTex Enoch Jackson Jr. for a 1ST down , return for no gain to the Rice 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 16 yds · 2:1683% → 82%
Q1 8:22
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+11
83.0%
Austin Aune pass complete to Roderic Burns for 11 yds to the NoTex 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:22
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
83.1%
Ikaika Ragsdale run for 3 yds to the NoTex 30Similar
Q1 8:22
2ND & 7
OWN 30
0
83.1%
Ikaika Ragsdale run for no gain to the NoTex 30Similar
Q1 8:22
3RD & 7
OWN 30
+2
82.9%
Austin Aune pass complete to Isaiah Johnson for 2 yds to the NoTex 32Similar
Q1 6:06
4TH & 5
OWN 32
0
82.0%
Bernardo Rodriguez punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 24 yds · 2:3618% → 19%
Q1 6:06
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+21
82.1%
AJ Padgett pass complete to Isaiah Esdale for 21 yds to the NoTex 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:06
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
81.6%
AJ Padgett run for 1 yd to the NoTex 48Similar
Q1 6:06
2ND & 9
OPP 48
-5
81.6%
Juma Otoviano run for a loss of 5 yards to the Rice 47Similar
Q1 6:06
3RD & 14
OWN 47
+7
82.2%
AJ Padgett run for 7 yds to the NoTex 46Similar
Q1 3:30
4TH & 7
OPP 46
0
81.3%
Conor Hunt punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Roderic Burns at the NoTex 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 5TD
7 plays · 88 yds · 2:0281% → 84%
Q1 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+1
81.3%
Ikaika Ragsdale run for 1 yd to the NoTex 13Similar
Q1 3:30
2ND & 9
OWN 13
+15
81.3%
AUNE, Austin pass to the right incomplete intended for WARD, Damon thrown to the UNT43. PENALTY RIC Pass Interference on DEVONES, Tre'shon enforced 15 yards to the UNT28 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+11
81.4%
Austin Aune pass complete to Var'Keyes Gumms for 11 yds to the NoTex 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
81.7%
Ikaika Ragsdale run for 3 yds to the NoTex 42Similar
Q1 3:30
2ND & 7
OWN 42
-3
82.0%
Austin Aune run for a loss of 3 yards to the NoTex 39Similar
Q1 3:30
3RD & 10
OWN 39
+16
81.3%
Austin Aune pass complete to Var'Keyes Gumms for 16 yds to the Rice 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:28
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+45
84.4%
Austin Aune pass complete to Jyaire Shorter for 45 yds for a TD, (Ethan Mooney KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 6MISSED FG
10 plays · 42 yds · 4:0917% → 17%
Q1 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
83.3%
AJ Padgett pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:20
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+5
83.5%
Juma Otoviano run for 5 yds to the Rice 35Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 5
OWN 35
+15
83.3%
AJ Padgett pass complete to Braylen Walker for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+16
82.4%
AJ Padgett pass complete to Isaiah Esdale for 16 yds to the NoTex 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
82.0%
AJ Padgett run for 2 yds to the NoTex 32Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 32
+10
81.9%
Uriah West run for 10 yds to the NoTex 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-6
81.8%
AJ Padgett sacked by Sifa Leota for a loss of 6 yards to the NoTex 28Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 16
OPP 28
0
82.4%
AJ Padgett pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 16
OPP 28
0
83.0%
AJ Padgett pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:11
4TH & 16
OPP 28
+46
83.4%
Christian VanSickle 46 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:0083% → 82%
Q2 12:11
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
83.4%
Austin Aune pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:11
2ND & 10
OWN 28
0
83.3%
Ikaika Ragsdale run for no gain to the NoTex 28Similar
Q2 12:11
3RD & 10
OWN 28
0
82.8%
Austin Aune pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:11
4TH & 10
OWN 28
+3
82.3%
Bernardo Rodriguez punt for 39 yds , Tyson Thompson returns for 3 yds to the Rice 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 8TD
7 plays · 64 yds · 3:5318% → 27%
Q2 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
82.4%
Cameron Montgomery run for 2 yds to the Rice 38Similar
Q2 11:11
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+5
82.3%
Cameron Montgomery run for 5 yds to the Rice 43Similar
Q2 11:11
3RD & 3
OWN 43
+2
82.0%
AJ Padgett run for 2 yds to the Rice 45Similar
Q2 11:11
4TH & 1
OWN 45
+1
82.4%
Uriah West run for 1 yd to the Rice 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+48
81.9%
AJ Padgett pass complete to Juma Otoviano for 48 yds to the NoTex 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
80.9%
Juma Otoviano run for 5 yds to the NoTex 1Similar
Q2 7:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
72.8%
Uriah West run for 1 yd for a TD, (Christian VanSickle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 9TD
8 plays · 66 yds · 2:4378% → 84%
Q2 7:09
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
77.6%
Ikaika Ragsdale run for 6 yds to the NoTex 40Similar
Q2 7:09
2ND & 4
OWN 40
+26
78.7%
Austin Aune pass complete to Ikaika Ragsdale for 26 yds to the Rice 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:10
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
79.0%
Austin Aune pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:10
2ND & 10
OPP 34
-3
79.0%
Austin Aune run for a loss of 3 yards to the Rice 37Similar
Q2 6:10
3RD & 13
OPP 37
+19
77.2%
Austin Aune pass complete to Jordan Smart for 19 yds to the Rice 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:49
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+11
78.6%
Austin Aune pass complete to Jake Roberts for 11 yds to the Rice 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
84.3%
Ikaika Ragsdale run for 7 yds for a TD, (Ethan Mooney KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 10TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:5018% → 30%
Q2 4:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
82.2%
Juma Otoviano run for 6 yds to the Rice 31Similar
Q2 4:26
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+1
81.6%
Juma Otoviano run for 1 yd to the Rice 32Similar
Q2 4:26
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+20
82.1%
AJ Padgett pass complete to Bradley Rozner for 20 yds to the NoTex 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:36
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+48
69.7%
AJ Padgett pass complete to Braylen Walker for 48 yds for a TD, (Christian VanSickle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 30 yds · 1:3275% → 74%
Q2 2:31
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
74.9%
Austin Aune pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:31
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+9
74.7%
Austin Aune pass complete to Ikaika Ragsdale for 9 yds to the NoTex 31Similar
Q2 2:13
3RD & 1
OWN 31
+20
74.9%
Ikaika Ragsdale run for 20 yds to the Rice 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:39
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
76.9%
Austin Aune pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:39
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+6
76.6%
Austin Aune pass complete to Isaiah Johnson for 6 yds to the Rice 43Similar
Q2 1:39
3RD & 4
OPP 43
0
76.5%
Austin Aune pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:39
4TH & 4
OPP 43
-5
75.3%
NORTH TEXAS Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the Rice 48Similar
Q2 0:59
4TH & 9
OPP 48
0
73.8%
Bernardo Rodriguez punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Tyson Thompson at the Rice 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 12END OF HALF
4 plays · 15 yds · 0:4228% → 29%
Q2 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+3
71.7%
AJ Padgett run for 3 yds to the Rice 12Similar
Q2 0:43
2ND & 7
OWN 12
+7
71.7%
AJ Padgett pass complete to Uriah West for 7 yds to the Rice 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-5
71.2%
RICE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Rice 14Similar
Q2 0:01
1ST & 15
OWN 14
+10
71.0%
Cameron Montgomery run for 10 yds to the Rice 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 13PUNT
8 plays · 29 yds · 3:5129% → 32%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
71.3%
Cameron Montgomery run for 4 yds to the Rice 29Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+9
70.7%
AJ Padgett run for 9 yds to the Rice 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
70.0%
Cameron Montgomery run for 5 yds to the Rice 43Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+5
69.1%
Cameron Montgomery run for 5 yds to the Rice 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
69.0%
AJ Padgett pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+5
69.5%
Juma Otoviano run for 5 yds to the NoTex 47Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 47
+1
69.1%
Juma Otoviano run for 1 yd to the NoTex 46Similar
Q3 11:09
4TH & 4
OPP 46
0
68.3%
Conor Hunt punt for 39 yds, downed at the NoTex 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:2872% → 69%
Q3 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+4
71.6%
Ikaika Ragsdale run for 4 yds to the NoTex 11Similar
Q3 11:09
2ND & 6
OWN 11
0
71.7%
Ikaika Ragsdale run for no gain to the NoTex 11Similar
Q3 11:09
3RD & 6
OWN 11
0
70.5%
Austin Aune pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:41
4TH & 6
OWN 11
0
69.2%
Bernardo Rodriguez punt for 36 yds , Tyson Thompson returns for no gain to the NoTex 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 15MISSED FG
10 plays · 23 yds · 3:4135% → 32%
Q3 9:41
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
65.5%
Uriah West run for 2 yds to the NoTex 45Similar
Q3 9:41
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+14
65.5%
AJ Padgett run for 14 yds to the NoTex 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:41
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-1
64.4%
Cameron Montgomery run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoTex 32Similar
Q3 9:41
2ND & 11
OPP 32
+15
64.5%
AJ Padgett pass complete to Isaiah Esdale for 15 yds to the NoTex 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:41
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
64.1%
AJ Padgett pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:13
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+3
62.2%
Uriah West run for 3 yds to the NoTex 14Similar
Q3 6:13
3RD & 7
OPP 14
0
63.6%
AJ Padgett pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:13
4TH & 7
OPP 14
-10
66.0%
VANSICKLE, Christian field goal attempt from 32 yards GOOD [kick was spotted at UNT22], score nullified by penalty. PENALTY RIC Holding on BRADLEY, Jack enforced 10 yards from the UNT14 to the UNT24. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 6:00
4TH & 17
OPP 24
+42
68.3%
Christian VanSickle 42 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:1771% → 69%
Q3 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
70.7%
Austin Aune pass complete to Ikaika Ragsdale for 3 yds to the NoTex 27Similar
Q3 6:00
2ND & 7
OWN 27
+4
71.2%
Jordan Smart run for 4 yds to the NoTex 31Similar
Q3 6:00
3RD & 3
OWN 31
0
70.4%
Austin Aune pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:43
4TH & 3
OWN 31
+10
68.8%
Bernardo Rodriguez punt for 40 yds , Tyson Thompson returns for 10 yds to the Rice 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 17FG
11 plays · 55 yds · 5:2436% → 48%
Q3 4:43
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
63.8%
Juma Otoviano run for 2 yds to the Rice 41Similar
Q3 4:43
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+33
63.3%
Juma Otoviano run for 33 yds to the NoTex 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:43
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
60.5%
AJ Padgett run for no gain to the NoTex 26Similar
Q3 4:43
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+7
60.7%
Cameron Montgomery run for 7 yds to the NoTex 19Similar
Q3 4:43
3RD & 3
OPP 19
+4
62.1%
Juma Otoviano run for 4 yds to the NoTex 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:43
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+11
60.5%
Juma Otoviano run for 11 yds to the NoTex 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-10
60.5%
OTOVIANO, Juma rush to the left for a gain of 2 yards to the UNT2 (DAVIS, KD;TRIEB, Tom). PENALTY RIC Holding on ONIANWA, Ethan enforced 10 yards from the UNT4 to the UNT14 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 4:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 14
0
60.6%
AJ Padgett pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 14
-1
57.5%
AJ Padgett run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoTex 15Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 15
+9
60.8%
Juma Otoviano run for 9 yds to the NoTex 6Similar
Q4 14:19
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+24
52.3%
Christian VanSickle 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 18TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:4457% → 81%
Q4 14:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
57.4%
Dorian Morris run for no gain to the NoTex 25Similar
Q4 14:19
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+36
57.1%
Ikaika Ragsdale run for 36 yds to the Rice 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:19
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
62.7%
Ikaika Ragsdale run for 4 yds to the Rice 35Similar
Q4 14:19
2ND & 6
OPP 35
+4
65.5%
Isaiah Johnson run for 4 yds to the Rice 31Similar
Q4 14:19
3RD & 2
OPP 31
+23
62.7%
Isaiah Johnson run for 23 yds to the Rice 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
65.5%
Isaiah Johnson run for 2 yds to the Rice 6Similar
Q4 14:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
65.5%
Ikaika Ragsdale run for no gain to the Rice 6Similar
Q4 10:35
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
80.9%
Austin Aune pass complete to Ikaika Ragsdale for 6 yds for a TD, (Ethan Mooney KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 2:2023% → 22%
Q4 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
76.6%
Juma Otoviano run for 3 yds to the Rice 28Similar
Q4 10:35
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-10
76.2%
MONTGOMERY, Cameron rush to the left for a gain of 26 yards to the UNT46 (TEXADA, Ridge), out of bounds. PENALTY RIC Holding on SERVIN, Clay enforced 10 yards from the RIC28 to the RIC18 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 10:35
2ND & 17
OWN 18
+14
77.1%
AJ Padgett pass complete to Isaiah Esdale for 14 yds to the Rice 32Similar
Q4 10:35
3RD & 3
OWN 32
-3
76.5%
AJ Padgett pass complete to Braylen Walker for a loss of 3 yards to the Rice 29Similar
Q4 8:15
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
78.2%
Conor Hunt punt for 64 yds, downed at the NoTex 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 20PUNT
9 plays · 33 yds · 3:3277% → 86%
Q4 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+25
77.4%
Ikaika Ragsdale run for 25 yds to the NoTex 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
78.7%
Ikaika Ragsdale run for 6 yds to the NoTex 38Similar
Q4 8:15
2ND & 4
OWN 38
+2
80.8%
Ikaika Ragsdale run for 2 yds to the NoTex 40Similar
Q4 8:15
3RD & 2
OWN 40
+7
79.7%
Isaiah Johnson run for 7 yds to the NoTex 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
81.0%
Isaiah Johnson run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 8:15
2ND & 7
50
-10
81.3%
AUNE, Austin pass to the left complete for 50 yards to RAGSDALE, Ikaika caught at the RIC35 and advanced to the RIC0, TOUCHDOWN UNT, score nullified by penalty. PENALTY UNT Holding on MOREKA, Kaci enforced 10 yards from the UNT50 to the UNT40 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 8:15
2ND & 17
OWN 40
0
78.8%
Isaiah Johnson run for no gain to the NoTex 40Similar
Q4 8:15
3RD & 17
OWN 40
0
77.4%
Austin Aune pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:43
4TH & 17
OWN 40
0
85.5%
Bernardo Rodriguez punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 21DOWNS
7 plays · 23 yds · 3:3122% → 11%
Q4 4:43
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
77.7%
AJ Padgett pass complete to Bradley Rozner for 8 yds to the Rice 28Similar
Q4 4:43
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+14
75.5%
Juma Otoviano run for 14 yds to the Rice 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:43
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-8
74.7%
AJ Padgett sacked by Kevin Wood for a loss of 8 yards to the Rice 34Similar
Q4 4:43
2ND & 18
OWN 34
+3
78.0%
Cameron Montgomery run for 3 yds to the Rice 37Similar
Q4 1:20
3RD & 15
OWN 37
-8
87.6%
run for a loss of 8 yards to the Rice 29 AJ Padgett fumbled, recovered by Rice AJ PadgettSimilar
Q4 1:12
4TH & 23
OWN 29
0
89.3%
AJ Padgett pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 22END OF GAME
2 plays · -3 yds · 1:1295% → 93%
Q4 1:12
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
94.6%
Kneel down by AUNE, Austin at RIC45 (team loss of 2).Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 12
OPP 45
0
92.9%
Kneel down by AUNE, Austin at RIC46 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 10:35
Austin Aune pass complete to Ikaika Ragsdale for 6 yds for a TD, (Ethan Mooney KICK)
+15.4
TD · Q2 2:36
AJ Padgett pass complete to Braylen Walker for 48 yds for a TD, (Christian VanSickle KICK)
-12.4
KEY PLAY · Q4 1:20
Timeout RICE, clock 01:20
+10.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com