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UAB

UAB 37 at Louisiana Tech 27

LT
2022 · Week 13 · Nov 26, 2022 · Joe Aillet Stadium
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Win probability · LT
modelLT aheadUAB aheadconfidence bandkey playLT scoreUAB score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 5:17 · Jack Turner run for 5 yds to the UAB 31 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+45.0+22.50−22.5−45.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 111Pregame prior−18.5Home team on offense−20.0Score differential−11.1Garbage-time factor−6.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−3.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 11:07: DeWayne McBride run for 9 yds for a TD, (Matt Quinn KICK) — UAB win probability +7.5 pts (now 94%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 9:39: Charvis Thornton run for 63 yds for a TD, (Jacob Barnes KICK) — LT win probability +6.6 pts (now 15%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 2:27: Jack Turner pass complete to Tre Harris for 17 yds for a TD, (Jacob Barnes KICK) — LT win probability +9.2 pts (now 20%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 1:52: Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Trea Shropshire for 74 yds for a TD, (Matt Quinn KICK) — UAB win probability +10.3 pts (now 95%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 6:10: Marquis Crosby 1 Yd Run (Jacob Barnes Kick) — LT win probability +7.3 pts (now 13%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
LT made the numbers' call on 10 of 12UAB made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 11:44LT 4th & 2 at UAB 5, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 15.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.1%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    15.0%−0.1
    92% to make
    Punt
    14.5%−0.6
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:15UAB 4th & 11 at UAB 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.2%−0.2
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:03LT 4th & 19 at UAB 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 18.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.7%−0.4
    11% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    18.1%
    58% to make
    Punt
    17.3%−0.8
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:54UAB 4th & 12 at LT 45, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.5%−0.3
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    78.4%−0.4
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    78.8%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:53LT 4th & 2 at LT 10, up 3
    Close callPunted · 21.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.7%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.3%−0.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:33UAB 4th & 11 at UAB 40, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.6%−0.5
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.1%
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:33LT 4th & 8 at LT 43, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.6%−0.4
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.0%
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:23LT 4th & 10 at LT 25, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.5%−1.0
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.4%
    average punt
  9. Q2 5:21LT 4th & 15 at LT 23, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.5%−0.9
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.4%
    average punt
  10. Q2 2:05UAB 4th & 3 at LT 21, up 11
    Close callKicked a field goal · 83.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.4%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    83.1%−0.2
    74% to make
    Punt
    81.1%−2.2
    average punt
  11. Q2 1:04LT 4th & 4 at LT 35, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 13.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.1%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    13.3%
    average punt
  12. Q3 5:17LT 4th & 3 at UAB 36, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 11.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.4%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    10.2%−1.2
    42% to make
    Punt
    9.9%−1.5
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:48LT 4th & 8 at LT 19, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.2%−0.7
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.9%
    average punt
  14. Q4 13:16UAB 4th & 4 at UAB 45, up 17
    Close callPunted · 94.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.3%−0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 11:32LT 4th & 3 at LT 28, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.6%−0.5
    average punt
  16. Q4 8:29UAB 4th & 10 at UAB 16, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.8%−0.8
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.6%
    average punt
  17. Q4 4:22UAB 4th & 7 at UAB 28, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.1%−1.0
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.1%
    average punt
  18. Q4 4:22LT 4th & 6 at midfield, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    9.6%−0.3
    average punt
  19. Q4 2:23LT 4th & 7 at UAB 40, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.9%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    7.4%−0.5
    34% to make
    Punt
    6.9%−1.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
LT made the numbers' call on 3 of 3UAB made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q2 9:17UAB Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 7:23UAB Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 11:07UAB Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 9:39LT Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    16.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    15.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 5:22UAB Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    91.2%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    91.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 2:27LT Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    17.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    17.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 1:52UAB Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 6:10LT Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    9.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    9.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
LTDrive 1DOWNS
9 plays · 68 yds · 3:1010% → 11%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
9.9%
Landry Lyddy pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:54
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+4
9.9%
Landry Lyddy pass complete to Nate Jones for 4 yds to the LaTch 31Similar
Q1 14:54
3RD & 6
OWN 31
+20
9.9%
Landry Lyddy pass complete to Tre Harris for 20 yds to the UAB 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-2
9.9%
Landry Lyddy pass complete to Smoke Harris for a loss of 2 yards to the LaTch 49Similar
Q1 14:54
2ND & 12
OWN 49
+38
9.9%
Landry Lyddy pass complete to Marquis Crosby for 38 yds to the UAB 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
9.9%
Landry Lyddy pass complete to Tre Harris for 4 yds to the UAB 9Similar
Q1 14:54
2ND & 6
OPP 9
+4
9.9%
Landry Lyddy pass complete to Nate Jones for 4 yds to the UAB 5Similar
Q1 14:54
3RD & 2
OPP 5
0
9.9%
Landry Lyddy pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:44
4TH & 2
OPP 5
0
11.3%
Landry Lyddy pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 37 yds · 3:2989% → 87%
Q1 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+24
11.2%
DeWayne McBride run for 24 yds to the UAB 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-5
11.2%
UAB Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UAB 24Similar
Q1 11:44
1ST & 15
OWN 24
+7
11.2%
DeWayne McBride run for 7 yds to the UAB 31Similar
Q1 11:44
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+12
11.2%
DeWayne McBride run for 12 yds to the UAB 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
11.1%
Dylan Hopkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:44
2ND & 10
OWN 43
-3
11.1%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to TJ Jones for a loss of 3 yards to the UAB 40Similar
Q1 11:44
3RD & 13
OWN 40
+2
11.2%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Dexter Boykin for 2 yds to the UAB 42Similar
Q1 8:15
4TH & 11
OWN 42
0
12.9%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 58 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 3FG
8 plays · 51 yds · 3:1213% → 15%
Q1 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-3
12.8%
Cyrus Allen run for a loss of 3 yards to the LaTch 17Similar
Q1 8:15
2ND & 13
OWN 17
+27
12.8%
Marquis Crosby run for 27 yds to the LaTch 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+36
13.1%
Charvis Thornton run for 36 yds to the UAB 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:15
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
13.2%
Marquis Crosby run for 1 yd to the UAB 19Similar
Q1 8:15
2ND & 9
OPP 19
-10
13.2%
CROSBY, Marquis rush to the right for a gain of 2 yards to the UAB17, End of Play. PENALTY LAT Holding on ELLIS, Isaac enforced 10 yards from the UAB19 to the UAB29 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 8:15
2ND & 19
OPP 29
0
13.1%
Landry Lyddy pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:15
3RD & 19
OPP 29
0
12.9%
Landry Lyddy pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:03
4TH & 19
OPP 29
+46
14.7%
Buck Buchanan 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 4PUNT
8 plays · 40 yds · 3:0685% → 83%
Q1 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+31
15.1%
DeWayne McBride run for 31 yds to the UAB 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+9
14.6%
DeWayne McBride run for 9 yds to the LaTch 45Similar
Q1 3:21
2ND & 1
OPP 45
+2
15.5%
DeWayne McBride run for 2 yds to the LaTch 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:21
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
15.5%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 2 yds to the LaTch 41Similar
Q1 3:21
2ND & 8
OPP 41
-4
15.6%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Bryce Damous for a loss of 4 yards to the LaTch 45Similar
Q1 3:21
3RD & 12
OPP 45
0
16.0%
Dylan Hopkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:54
4TH & 12
OPP 45
0
17.2%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 43 yds, downed at the LaTch 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 2:0117% → 17%
Q1 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+8
16.6%
Marquis Crosby run for 8 yds to the LaTch 10Similar
Q1 1:54
2ND & 2
OWN 10
0
16.7%
Marquis Crosby run for no gain to the LaTch 10Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 2
OWN 10
0
17.5%
Marquis Crosby run for no gain to the LaTch 10Similar
Q2 14:53
4TH & 2
OWN 10
0
17.3%
Austin McCready punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Starling Thomas V at the UAB 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:2082% → 80%
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
17.7%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 5 yds to the UAB 46Similar
Q2 14:53
2ND & 5
OWN 46
-6
17.6%
Dylan Hopkins sacked by J'Dan Burnett for a loss of 6 yards to the UAB 40Similar
Q2 14:53
3RD & 11
OWN 40
0
18.4%
Dylan Hopkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:33
4TH & 11
OWN 40
0
19.9%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Smoke Harris at the LaTch 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 32 yds · 3:0019% → 21%
Q2 13:33
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+7
19.2%
Marquis Crosby run for 7 yds to the LaTch 18Similar
Q2 13:33
2ND & 3
OWN 18
+13
19.2%
Landry Lyddy pass complete to Smoke Harris for 13 yds to the LaTch 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:33
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+10
19.3%
Marquis Crosby run for 10 yds to the LaTch 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:33
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-1
20.0%
Landry Lyddy pass complete to Tre Harris for a loss of 1 yard to the LaTch 40Similar
Q2 13:33
2ND & 11
OWN 40
+3
19.6%
Charvis Thornton run for 3 yds to the LaTch 43Similar
Q2 13:33
3RD & 8
OWN 43
0
19.4%
Landry Lyddy pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:33
4TH & 8
OWN 43
0
21.0%
Austin McCready punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Starling Thomas V at the UAB 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 8TD
3 plays · 92 yds · 1:1678% → 84%
Q2 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+60
21.7%
DeWayne McBride run for 60 yds to the LaTch 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:33
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
19.4%
DeWayne McBride run for 3 yds to the LaTch 29Similar
Q2 9:17
2ND & 7
OPP 29
+29
16.2%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 29 yds for a TD, (Matt Quinn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 9PUNT TD
6 plays · 15 yds · 1:4518% → 12%
Q2 9:08
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
17.6%
Landry Lyddy pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:08
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+15
17.5%
LYDDY, Landry pass to the right incomplete intended for ALLEN, Cyrus thrown to the LAT44. PENALTY UAB Pass Interference on SWOOPES, Keondre enforced 15 yards to the LAT25 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 9:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
17.7%
Marquis Crosby run for no gain to the LaTch 25Similar
Q2 9:08
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
17.5%
Landry Lyddy pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:08
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
17.0%
Landry Lyddy pass complete to Kyle Maxwell for no gain to the LaTch 25Similar
Q2 7:23
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+14
12.3%
Luke Percer 14 Yd Return of Blocked Punt (Matt Quinn Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 1:5713% → 13%
Q2 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-1
12.8%
Cyrus Allen run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaTch 27Similar
Q2 7:18
2ND & 11
OWN 27
+1
12.7%
Marquis Crosby run for 1 yd to the LaTch 28Similar
Q2 7:18
3RD & 10
OWN 28
-5
12.5%
Jack Turner sacked by Kyle Harrell for a loss of 5 yards to the LaTch 23Similar
Q2 5:21
4TH & 15
OWN 23
0
12.6%
Austin McCready punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Starling Thomas V at the UAB 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 11FG
8 plays · 54 yds · 3:1687% → 89%
Q2 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+30
13.4%
DeWayne McBride run for 30 yds to the LaTch 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:21
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+17
12.7%
TJ Jones run for 17 yds to the LaTch 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:21
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
12.6%
DeWayne McBride run for 4 yds to the LaTch 24 DeWayne McBride fumbled, recovered by UAB Bryce DamousSimilar
Q2 5:21
2ND & 6
OPP 24
+2
12.6%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 2 yds to the LaTch 22Similar
Q2 5:21
3RD & 4
OPP 22
-5
12.7%
UAB Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the LaTch 27Similar
Q2 2:09
3RD & 9
OPP 27
+6
13.0%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Dexter Boykin for 6 yds to the LaTch 21Similar
Q2 2:05
4TH & 3
OPP 21
+39
10.8%
Matt Quinn 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 12DOWNS
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:559% → 9%
Q2 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+8
8.8%
Jack Turner pass complete to Smoke Harris for 8 yds to the LaTch 37Similar
Q2 1:59
2ND & 2
OWN 37
-2
9.1%
Marquis Crosby run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaTch 35Similar
Q2 1:59
3RD & 4
OWN 35
0
8.9%
Jack Turner pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:04
4TH & 4
OWN 35
0
8.6%
Austin McCready pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 13INT
4 plays · 12 yds · 0:1492% → 92%
Q2 0:57
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
8.4%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 2 yds to the LaTch 33Similar
Q2 0:57
2ND & 8
OPP 33
+10
8.4%
HOPKINS, Dylan pass to the right incomplete intended for PALMER, Tejhaun broken up by BROOKS, Myles at the LAT9. PENALTY LAT Holding on MASON, Myles enforced 10 yards from the LAT33 to the LAT23 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 0:43
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-15
8.3%
UAB Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Dexter Boykin) to the LaTch 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 14FG
9 plays · 54 yds · 0:439% → 15%
Q2 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+23
9.0%
Jack Turner pass complete to Smoke Harris for 23 yds to the LaTch 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
9.6%
Jack Turner pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:43
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+10
9.3%
Jack Turner pass complete to Marquis Crosby for 10 yds to the LaTch 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+12
11.4%
Jack Turner pass complete to Tre Harris for 12 yds to the UAB 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:13
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
11.4%
Jack Turner pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:03
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+9
11.4%
Charvis Thornton run for 9 yds to the UAB 31Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 1
OPP 31
+49
15.2%
Buck Buchanan 49 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 15TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 3:5386% → 94%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
14.3%
DeWayne McBride run for 6 yds to the UAB 31Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+5
14.0%
DeWayne McBride run for 5 yds to the UAB 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+45
13.9%
DeWayne McBride run for 45 yds to the LaTch 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
13.4%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 3 yds to the LaTch 16Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 16
+4
13.4%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 4 yds to the LaTch 12Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 12
+3
13.7%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 3 yds to the LaTch 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
6.2%
DeWayne McBride run for 9 yds for a TD, (Matt Quinn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 16TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 1:228% → 15%
Q3 11:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
8.0%
Marquis Crosby run for no gain to the LaTch 25Similar
Q3 11:01
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+12
7.9%
Jack Turner pass complete to Cyrus Allen for 12 yds to the LaTch 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+63
14.6%
Charvis Thornton run for 63 yds for a TD, (Jacob Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 17TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 4:1786% → 94%
Q3 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
14.4%
MCBRIDE, DeWayne rush to the right for a gain of 20 yards to the UAB45 (SINGLETON, Cecil). PENALTY UAB Holding on WILSON, Brady enforced 10 yards from the UAB25 to the UAB15 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 9:39
1ST & 20
OWN 15
+9
14.6%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Dexter Boykin for 9 yds to the UAB 24Similar
Q3 9:39
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+5
14.5%
DeWayne McBride run for 5 yds to the UAB 29Similar
Q3 9:39
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+7
14.5%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Bryce Damous for 7 yds to the UAB 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+20
13.6%
DeWayne McBride run for 20 yds to the LaTch 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:51
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+20
12.7%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 20 yds to the LaTch 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:51
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
12.4%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 1 yd to the LaTch 23Similar
Q3 5:22
2ND & 9
OPP 23
+23
6.2%
Jermaine Brown Jr. 23 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 18TD
7 plays · 83 yds · 2:509% → 20%
Q3 5:17
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+40
8.7%
Jack Turner run for 40 yds to the UAB 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:17
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
10.0%
Charvis Thornton run for 6 yds to the UAB 37Similar
Q3 5:17
2ND & 4
OPP 37
0
10.2%
Jack Turner pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:17
3RD & 4
OPP 37
+1
10.0%
Marquis Crosby run for 1 yd to the UAB 36Similar
Q3 5:17
4TH & 3
OPP 36
+5
9.8%
Jack Turner run for 5 yds to the UAB 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:17
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+14
10.5%
Charvis Thornton run for 14 yds to the UAB 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:27
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
19.8%
Jack Turner pass complete to Tre Harris for 17 yds for a TD, (Jacob Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 19TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:3585% → 95%
Q3 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
15.0%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 1 yd to the UAB 26Similar
Q3 1:52
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+74
4.7%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Trea Shropshire for 74 yds for a TD, (Matt Quinn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:558% → 7%
Q3 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
8.3%
Jack Turner pass complete to Nate Jones for no gain to the LaTch 17Similar
Q3 1:43
2ND & 10
OWN 17
-7
8.2%
Jack Turner sacked by Reynard Ellis and Isaiah Forte for a loss of 7 yards to the LaTch 10Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 17
OWN 10
+9
7.3%
Jack Turner pass complete to Cyrus Allen for 9 yds to the LaTch 19Similar
Q4 14:48
4TH & 8
OWN 19
+16
7.0%
Austin McCready punt for 58 yds , Starling Thomas V returns for 16 yds to the UAB 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:3296% → 96%
Q4 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
4.1%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 4 yds to the UAB 43Similar
Q4 14:48
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+2
4.2%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 2 yds to the UAB 45Similar
Q4 14:48
3RD & 4
OWN 45
0
4.2%
Dylan Hopkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:16
4TH & 4
OWN 45
+4
4.1%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 38 yds , Smoke Harris returns for 4 yds to the LaTch 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 22INT
9 plays · 46 yds · 3:116% → 6%
Q4 13:16
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
5.9%
Marquis Crosby run for 4 yds to the LaTch 25Similar
Q4 12:17
2ND & 6
OWN 25
+4
5.5%
Marquis Crosby run for 4 yds to the LaTch 29Similar
Q4 11:32
3RD & 2
OWN 29
-1
5.6%
Charvis Thornton run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaTch 28Similar
Q4 11:32
4TH & 3
OWN 28
+5
5.5%
Jack Turner pass complete to Smoke Harris for 5 yds to the LaTch 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+12
5.5%
Jack Turner pass complete to Julien Lewis for 12 yds to the LaTch 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+22
5.9%
Jack Turner pass complete to Julien Lewis for 22 yds to the UAB 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:05
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
5.9%
Jack Turner pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:3698% → 98%
Q4 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
2.5%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for no gain to the UAB 16Similar
Q4 10:05
2ND & 10
OWN 16
0
2.6%
A.J. Gates run for no gain to the UAB 16Similar
Q4 10:05
3RD & 10
OWN 16
0
2.7%
Dylan Hopkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:29
4TH & 10
OWN 16
+37
2.4%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 51 yds , Smoke Harris returns for 37 yds to the LaTch 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 24TD
8 plays · 35 yds · 2:195% → 13%
Q4 8:29
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+19
5.4%
Jack Turner pass complete to Julien Lewis for 19 yds to the UAB 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:29
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
5.6%
Charvis Thornton run for 2 yds to the UAB 14Similar
Q4 8:29
2ND & 8
OPP 14
0
5.8%
Jack Turner pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:29
3RD & 8
OPP 14
-5
5.6%
LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, False Start (Biron Rossell) to the UAB 19Similar
Q4 8:29
3RD & 13
OPP 19
+11
5.0%
Jack Turner pass complete to Tre Harris for 11 yds to the UAB 8 for a 1ST down UAB Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Drew Tuazama) to the UAB 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
5.8%
run for 3 yds to the UAB 1Similar
Q4 8:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
5.8%
Jack Turner pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:10
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
13.1%
Marquis Crosby 1 Yd Run (Jacob Barnes Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:4892% → 96%
Q4 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
7.6%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 4 yds to the UAB 29Similar
Q4 4:41
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-1
4.0%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 28Similar
Q4 4:41
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
4.4%
Dylan Hopkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:22
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+23
4.3%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 49 yds , Smoke Harris returns for 23 yds to the LaTch 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 26DOWNS
8 plays · 1 yds · 1:599% → 6%
Q4 4:22
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
9.2%
Jack Turner pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:22
2ND & 10
OWN 46
0
8.8%
Jack Turner pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:22
3RD & 10
OWN 46
+4
8.2%
Marquis Crosby run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 4:22
4TH & 6
50
+7
8.1%
Jack Turner pass complete to Nate Jones for 7 yds to the UAB 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:22
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
9.9%
Marquis Crosby run for 3 yds to the UAB 40Similar
Q4 4:22
2ND & 7
OPP 40
0
9.9%
Jack Turner pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:22
3RD & 7
OPP 40
0
9.9%
Jack Turner pass complete to Marquis Crosby for no gain to the UAB 40Similar
Q4 2:23
4TH & 7
OPP 40
-13
5.6%
Jack Turner sacked for a loss of 13 yards to the LaTch 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 27END OF GAME
10 plays · 19 yds · 2:1898% → 98%
Q4 2:18
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+6
2.3%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 6 yds to the LaTch 41Similar
Q4 2:13
2ND & 4
OPP 41
+2
2.2%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 2 yds to the LaTch 39Similar
Q4 2:09
3RD & 2
OPP 39
+2
2.2%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 2 yds to the LaTch 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:09
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
2.3%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 3 yds to the LaTch 34Similar
Q4 2:09
2ND & 7
OPP 34
+5
2.2%
Dylan Hopkins run for 5 yds to the LaTch 29Similar
Q4 2:09
3RD & 2
OPP 29
0
2.2%
LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, Illegal Substitution ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
1.7%
[NHSG] Kneel down by UAB at LAT28 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 1:52
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Trea Shropshire for 74 yds for a TD, (Matt Quinn KICK)
-10.3
TD · Q3 2:27
Jack Turner pass complete to Tre Harris for 17 yds for a TD, (Jacob Barnes KICK)
+9.2
TD · Q3 11:07
DeWayne McBride run for 9 yds for a TD, (Matt Quinn KICK)
-7.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com