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MTSU

Middle Tennessee 33 at Florida International 28

FIU
2022 · Week 13 · Nov 26, 2022 · FIU Stadium
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Win probability · FIU
modelFIU aheadMTSU aheadconfidence bandkey playFIU scoreMTSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 7:56 · Daton Montiel punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Jaylin Lane at the MTnSt 40
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+40.5+20.30−20.3−40.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 60Pregame prior−31.9Home team on offense−8.3Score differential−3.0Garbage-time factor−1.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 8:48: Chase Cunningham run for 2 yds for a TD, (Zeke Rankin KICK) — MTSU win probability +7.1 pts (now 97%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 8:39: Haden Carlson pass complete to Rivaldo Fairweather for 75 yds for a TD, (Chase Gabriel KICK) — FIU win probability +10.3 pts (now 14%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 6:05: Haden Carlson pass complete to Josiah Miamen for 21 yds for a TD — FIU win probability +12.4 pts (now 29%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
  4. TD · Q4 10:51: Haden Carlson pass complete to Rivaldo Fairweather for 3 yds for a TD, (Chase Gabriel KICK) — FIU win probability +27.0 pts (now 61%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 2:50: Jakobe Thomas 28 Yd Interception Return (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed) — MTSU win probability +39.3 pts (now 76%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FIU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6MTSU made the numbers' call on 9 of 10
  1. Q1 12:55MTSU 4th & 2 at FIU 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 87.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    87.4%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    87.4%−<0.1
    83% to make
    Punt
    86.9%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:03MTSU 4th & 12 at FIU 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 85.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.4%−0.1
    20% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    85.6%
    84% to make
    Punt
    85.1%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:29MTSU 4th & 7 at FIU 8, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 82.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.5%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    82.6%
    90% to make
    Punt
    81.1%−1.5
    average punt
  4. Q2 7:56FIU 4th & 6 at FIU 26, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.9%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:24MTSU 4th & 7 at MTSU 43, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.4%−0.4
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:49FIU 4th & 15 at FIU 15, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.9%−1.0
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.8%
    average punt
  7. Q3 7:19MTSU 4th & 13 at MTSU 22, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.3%−2.6
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.9%
    average punt
  8. Q3 7:19MTSU 4th & 13 at MTSU 22, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.3%−2.6
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.9%
    average punt
  9. Q3 3:11MTSU 4th & 3 at MTSU 45, up 6
    Close callPunted · 78.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.9%−0.7
    average punt
  10. Q3 0:33FIU 4th & 4 at FIU 32, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.0%−0.8
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.8%
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:06MTSU 4th & 4 at MTSU 31, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.9%−1.3
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.2%
    average punt
  12. Q4 8:47MTSU 4th & 13 at MTSU 46, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.8%−4.4
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:12FIU 4th & 8 at FIU 15, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.8%−5.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.9%
    average punt
  14. Q4 4:27MTSU 4th & 7 at FIU 26, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 45.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.2%−6.7
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    50.0%
    64% to make
    Punt
    31.8%−18.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:06FIU 4th & 10 at MTSU 32, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 19.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.5%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    14.4%−3.1
    51% to make
    Punt
    11.4%−6.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:27FIU 4th & 10 at MTSU 22, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 19.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.3%
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    12.9%−3.4
    72% to make
    Punt
    10.2%−6.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FIU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4MTSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q2 9:30MTSU Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 1:40MTSU Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:20FIU Touchdown, down 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    12.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    12.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 8:48MTSU Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 8:39FIU Touchdown, down 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    11.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    11.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 6:05FIU Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    20.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    20.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 10:51FIU Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.3%−1.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 2:50MTSU Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    76.3%−2.2
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    78.6%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MTSUDrive 1FG
16 plays · 61 yds · 5:5790% → 88%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
9.6%
run for 6 yds to the MTnSt 19 fumbled, recovered by MTnSt Chase CunninghamSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 16
OWN 19
+10
9.6%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to Yusuf Ali for 10 yds to the MTnSt 29Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+26
9.6%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to Frank Peasant for 26 yds to the FlaIn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
9.6%
Frank Peasant run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 40Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 40
0
9.6%
Chase Cunningham pass incomplete to Frank PeasantSimilar
Q1 12:55
3RD & 5
OPP 40
+6
10.4%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to Izaiah Gathings for 6 yds to the FlaIn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:55
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+11
10.4%
Darius Bracy run for 11 yds to the FlaIn 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:55
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+5
10.4%
Darius Bracy run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 18Similar
Q1 12:55
2ND & 5
OPP 18
+3
10.4%
Darius Bracy run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 15Similar
Q1 12:55
3RD & 2
OPP 15
0
10.4%
Chase Cunningham pass incomplete to Jacob ColemanSimilar
Q1 12:55
4TH & 2
OPP 15
+3
10.4%
Frank Peasant run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:55
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
10.4%
Frank Peasant run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 10Similar
Q1 12:55
2ND & 8
OPP 10
-9
10.4%
Chase Cunningham sacked by Jordan Guerad for a loss of 9 yards to the FlaIn 19Similar
Q1 12:55
3RD & 17
OPP 19
+5
10.4%
Chase Cunningham run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 14Similar
Q1 9:03
4TH & 12
OPP 14
+31
12.0%
Zeke Rankin 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 2INT
10 plays · 60 yds · 3:5612% → 14%
Q1 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
11.9%
Haden Carlson pass complete to Lexington Joseph for 5 yds to the FlaIn 20Similar
Q1 9:03
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+15
11.9%
Haden Carlson pass complete to Jalen Bracey for 15 yds to the FlaIn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
12.4%
Haden Carlson pass incomplete to Jalen BraceySimilar
Q1 7:50
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+6
12.4%
Dean Patterson run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 41Similar
Q1 7:50
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+7
12.6%
Haden Carlson pass complete to Rivaldo Fairweather for 7 yds to the FlaIn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+21
12.7%
Haden Carlson run for 21 yds to the MTnSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:50
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
12.9%
Haden Carlson pass incomplete to Dean PattersonSimilar
Q1 7:50
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+16
12.9%
Haden Carlson pass complete to Kris Mitchell for 16 yds to the MTnSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:07
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
14.2%
Haden Carlson pass intercepted, touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 3FG
11 plays · 72 yds · 3:3886% → 86%
Q1 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
13.7%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to Yusuf Ali for 5 yds to the MTnSt 15Similar
Q1 5:07
2ND & 15
OWN 15
+6
13.7%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to Yusuf Ali for 6 yds to the MTnSt 21Similar
Q1 5:07
3RD & 9
OWN 21
+9
13.9%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to Izaiah Gathings for 9 yds to the MTnSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+18
13.6%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to Izaiah Gathings for 18 yds to the MTnSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+13
13.3%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to Jaylin Lane for 13 yds to the FlaIn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:07
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+17
13.2%
Darius Bracy run for 17 yds to the FlaIn 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:07
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+11
13.0%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to Jaylin Lane for 11 yds to the FlaIn 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:07
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
13.0%
Darius Bracy run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 8Similar
Q1 5:07
2ND & 7
OPP 8
0
13.0%
Chase Cunningham pass incomplete to Izaiah GathingsSimilar
Q1 5:07
3RD & 7
OPP 8
0
13.2%
Chase Cunningham pass incomplete to Izaiah GathingsSimilar
Q1 1:29
4TH & 7
OPP 8
+25
13.8%
Zeke Rankin 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 4INT
6 plays · 34 yds · 2:0214% → 16%
Q1 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
14.3%
Haden Carlson run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 27Similar
Q1 1:22
2ND & 7
OWN 27
+4
14.3%
Haden Carlson pass complete to Josiah Miamen for 4 yds to the FlaIn 31Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 3
OWN 31
+15
14.7%
Haden Carlson pass complete to Artez Hooker for 15 yds to the FlaIn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+12
15.5%
Haden Carlson pass complete to Josiah Miamen for 12 yds to the MTnSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:20
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
15.9%
Haden Carlson pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 5TD
12 plays · 89 yds · 4:5085% → 88%
Q2 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+24
14.8%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to Jaylin Lane for 24 yds to the MTnSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
14.5%
Darius Bracy run for 8 yds to the MTnSt 43Similar
Q2 14:20
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+3
14.1%
Darius Bracy run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 40Similar
Q2 14:20
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+10
14.2%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to DJ England-Chisolm for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:20
1ST & 10
50
0
14.0%
Frank Peasant run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 14:20
2ND & 10
50
+3
14.0%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to Elijah Metcalf for 3 yds to the MTnSt 47Similar
Q2 14:20
3RD & 13
OWN 47
+14
14.6%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to Elijah Metcalf for 14 yds to the FlaIn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:20
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+21
14.0%
Frank Peasant run for 21 yds to the FlaIn 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:20
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
13.9%
Chase Cunningham pass incomplete to Javonte ShermanSimilar
Q2 14:20
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+5
13.9%
Darius Bracy run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 13Similar
Q2 14:20
3RD & 5
OPP 13
+12
14.0%
Chase Cunningham run for 12 yds to the FlaIn 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
11.9%
Darius Bracy run for 1 yd for a TD, (Zeke Rankin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:2913% → 12%
Q2 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
12.8%
Lexington Joseph run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 25Similar
Q2 9:25
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+1
12.9%
Lexington Joseph run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 26Similar
Q2 9:25
3RD & 6
OWN 26
0
12.6%
Haden Carlson pass incomplete to Artez HookerSimilar
Q2 7:56
4TH & 6
OWN 26
0
12.4%
Daton Montiel punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Jaylin Lane at the MTnSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:3288% → 87%
Q2 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
12.3%
Chase Cunningham pass incomplete to Darius BracySimilar
Q2 7:56
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+8
12.4%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to Izaiah Gathings for 8 yds to the MTnSt 48Similar
Q2 7:56
3RD & 2
OWN 48
0
12.4%
Chase Cunningham pass incomplete to Bryce BaileySimilar
Q2 7:24
4TH & 7
OWN 43
0
12.9%
Kyle Ulbrich punt for 57 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 1:3513% → 12%
Q2 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
12.9%
Haden Carlson pass incomplete to EJ Wilson Jr.Similar
Q2 7:24
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+2
12.8%
EJ Wilson Jr. run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 22Similar
Q2 7:24
3RD & 8
OWN 22
-7
12.5%
Haden Carlson sacked by Jordan Ferguson for a loss of 7 yards to the FlaIn 15Similar
Q2 5:49
4TH & 15
OWN 15
0
12.2%
Daton Montiel punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Jaylin Lane at the MTnSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 9TD
11 plays · 51 yds · 4:0988% → 95%
Q2 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+8
12.2%
Frank Peasant run for 8 yds to the FlaIn 43Similar
Q2 5:49
2ND & 2
OPP 43
+9
12.1%
Frank Peasant run for 9 yds to the FlaIn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:49
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+6
12.2%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to DJ England-Chisolm for 6 yds to the FlaIn 28Similar
Q2 5:49
2ND & 4
OPP 28
+5
12.1%
Darius Bracy run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:49
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
12.1%
Darius Bracy run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 20Similar
Q2 5:49
2ND & 7
OPP 20
+5
12.1%
Darius Bracy run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 15Similar
Q2 5:49
3RD & 2
OPP 15
+2
12.3%
Darius Bracy run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-3
11.2%
Chase Cunningham sacked by Demetrius Hill for a loss of 3 yards to the FlaIn 16Similar
Q2 1:40
2ND & 13
OPP 16
+16
5.0%
Chase Cunningham run for 16 yds for a TD, (Zeke Rankin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 10TD
11 plays · 93 yds · 1:137% → 15%
Q2 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+26
7.3%
Haden Carlson pass complete to Kris Mitchell for 26 yds to the FlaIn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+1
7.7%
Haden Carlson pass complete to Josiah Miamen for 1 yd to the FlaIn 34Similar
Q2 1:02
2ND & 9
OWN 34
+13
7.3%
Haden Carlson pass complete to Kris Mitchell for 13 yds to the FlaIn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+12
7.9%
Haden Carlson pass complete to Lexington Joseph for 12 yds to the MTnSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:02
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
8.1%
Haden Carlson pass incomplete to Caleb LynumSimilar
Q2 1:02
2ND & 10
OPP 41
0
8.0%
Haden Carlson pass incomplete to Caleb LynumSimilar
Q2 1:02
3RD & 10
OPP 41
+15
7.9%
Haden Carlson pass complete to Rivaldo Fairweather for 15 yds to the MTnSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:02
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+20
8.4%
Haden Carlson pass complete to Rivaldo Fairweather for 20 yds to the MTnSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
14.6%
Haden Carlson pass complete to Rivaldo Fairweather for 6 yds for a TD, (Chase Gabriel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 11MISSED FG
5 plays · 15 yds · 0:1914% → 14%
Q2 0:19
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
13.6%
Haden Carlson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:19
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+15
13.4%
Haden Carlson pass complete to Rivaldo Fairweather for 15 yds to the MTnSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:19
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
13.8%
Haden Carlson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+54
13.6%
Chase Gabriel 54 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-5
13.3%
PENALTY FIU Delay Of Game 5 yards from FIU22 to FIU17. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 15
OWN 17
0
13.2%
Haden Carlson pass incomplete to Kris MitchellSimilar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 15
OWN 17
-8
13.2%
Haden Carlson sacked by Jordan Ferguson for a loss of 8 yards to the FlaIn 9Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 23
OWN 9
+8
12.7%
EJ Wilson Jr. run for 8 yds to the FlaIn 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 13TD
13 plays · 56 yds · 4:3289% → 97%
Q3 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
10.9%
Frank Peasant run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 13:20
2ND & 5
50
0
10.9%
Chase Cunningham pass incomplete to DJ England-ChisolmSimilar
Q3 13:20
3RD & 5
50
+12
11.0%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to Izaiah Gathings for 12 yds to the FlaIn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:20
1ST & 15
OPP 43
0
11.0%
Chase Cunningham pass incomplete to Jaylin LaneSimilar
Q3 13:20
2ND & 15
OPP 43
+8
11.0%
Darius Bracy run for 8 yds to the FlaIn 35Similar
Q3 13:20
3RD & 7
OPP 35
+10
11.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun Cunningham,Chase sacked for loss of 9 yards to the FIU44 (O'Neal,Travonte) PENALTY FIU Holding (Masses,Hezekiah) 10 yards from FIU35 to FIU25, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:20
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+1
10.8%
Darius Bracy run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 25Similar
Q3 13:20
2ND & 9
OPP 25
+10
10.8%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to DJ England-Chisolm for 10 yds to the FlaIn 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:20
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+11
10.8%
Darius Bracy run for 11 yds to the FlaIn 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 19
+15
10.6%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to Yusuf Ali for 15 yds to the FlaIn 4Similar
Q3 9:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
10.6%
Frank Peasant run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 2Similar
Q3 8:48
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
3.5%
Chase Cunningham run for 2 yds for a TD, (Zeke Rankin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 14TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q3 8:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
14.1%
Haden Carlson pass complete to Rivaldo Fairweather for 75 yds for a TD, (Chase Gabriel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · -3 yds · 1:2088% → 88%
Q3 8:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
11.7%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to DJ England-Chisolm for 2 yds to the MTnSt 27Similar
Q3 8:39
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
11.6%
Chase Cunningham pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:39
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-5
11.9%
Chase Cunningham sacked by Shaun Peterson Jr. for a loss of 5 yards to the MTnSt 22Similar
Q3 7:19
4TH & 13
OWN 22
+4
12.3%
Kyle Ulbrich punt for 45 yds , Dean Patterson returns for 4 yds to the FlaIn 37Similar
Q3 7:19
4TH & 13
OWN 22
+4
12.3%
Kyle Ulbrich punt for 45 yds , Dean Patterson returns for 4 yds to the FlaIn 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 16TD
4 plays · 63 yds · 1:1415% → 29%
Q3 7:19
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+7
15.2%
Lexington Joseph run for 7 yds to the MTnSt 41Similar
Q3 7:19
2ND & 3
OPP 41
+20
15.6%
Haden Carlson pass complete to Josiah Miamen for 20 yds to the MTnSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:19
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
16.6%
Haden Carlson pass incomplete to Dean PattersonSimilar
Q3 6:05
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+21
29.1%
Haden Carlson pass complete to Josiah Miamen for 21 yds for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 2:5479% → 80%
Q3 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
20.6%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to Izaiah Gathings for 2 yds to the MTnSt 27Similar
Q3 6:05
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+11
20.5%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to Jaylin Lane for 11 yds to the MTnSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
19.2%
Darius Bracy run for 6 yds to the MTnSt 44Similar
Q3 6:05
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+2
18.9%
Darius Bracy run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 46Similar
Q3 6:05
3RD & 2
OWN 46
+1
19.2%
Darius Bracy run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 45Similar
Q3 3:11
4TH & 3
OWN 45
0
20.5%
Kyle Ulbrich punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Dean Patterson at the FlaIn 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 2:3825% → 26%
Q3 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
24.8%
Lexington Joseph run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 17Similar
Q3 3:11
2ND & 8
OWN 17
0
24.9%
Haden Carlson pass incomplete to Jalen BraceySimilar
Q3 3:11
3RD & 8
OWN 17
+9
23.6%
Haden Carlson pass complete to Dean Patterson for 9 yds to the FlaIn 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
25.5%
Lexington Joseph run for no gain to the FlaIn 26Similar
Q3 3:11
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+6
24.9%
Dean Patterson run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 32Similar
Q3 3:11
3RD & 4
OWN 32
0
24.7%
Haden Carlson pass incomplete to Artez HookerSimilar
Q3 0:33
4TH & 4
OWN 32
0
25.7%
Daton Montiel punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Jaylin Lane at the MTnSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:2779% → 78%
Q3 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
20.7%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to Yusuf Ali for 4 yds to the MTnSt 29Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+4
20.3%
Chase Cunningham run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 33Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+2
20.4%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to DJ England-Chisolm for 2 yds to the MTnSt 31Similar
Q4 14:06
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
22.3%
Kyle Ulbrich punt for 55 yds , Dean Patterson returns for no gain to the FlaIn 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 20TD
8 plays · 86 yds · 3:1527% → 61%
Q4 14:06
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
26.9%
Haden Carlson pass incomplete to EJ Wilson Jr.Similar
Q4 14:06
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+12
26.7%
Haden Carlson run for 12 yds to the FlaIn 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:06
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
27.7%
EJ Wilson Jr. run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 28Similar
Q4 14:06
2ND & 8
OWN 28
+14
27.8%
EJ Wilson Jr. run for 14 yds to the FlaIn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:06
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+29
30.1%
Haden Carlson pass complete to Dean Patterson for 29 yds to the MTnSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:06
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+25
34.1%
Haden Carlson pass complete to Dean Patterson for 25 yds to the MTnSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
34.1%
EJ Wilson Jr. run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 3Similar
Q4 10:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
61.0%
Haden Carlson pass complete to Rivaldo Fairweather for 3 yds for a TD, (Chase Gabriel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 22 yds · 2:0450% → 46%
Q4 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+25
50.5%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to Yusuf Ali for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:51
1ST & 10
50
+1
45.1%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to Jaylin Lane for 1 yd to the FlaIn 49Similar
Q4 10:51
2ND & 9
OPP 49
0
45.2%
Chase Cunningham pass incomplete to Yusuf AliSimilar
Q4 10:51
3RD & 9
OPP 49
+6
47.2%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to Darius Bracy for 6 yds to the FlaIn 43Similar
Q4 8:47
4TH & 13
OWN 46
0
54.3%
Kyle Ulbrich punt for 40 yds , Dean Patterson returns for no gain to the FlaIn 13 Dean Patterson fumbled, recovered by FlaIn Adrian ColeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:3556% → 55%
Q4 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+5
56.1%
Lexington Joseph run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 18Similar
Q4 8:47
2ND & 5
OWN 18
-5
56.1%
PENALTY FIU False Start (Hudson Jr.,Lyndell) 5 yards from FIU18 to FIU13. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:47
2ND & 10
OWN 13
0
55.7%
Haden Carlson pass incomplete to Rivaldo FairweatherSimilar
Q4 8:47
3RD & 10
OWN 13
+2
54.0%
Haden Carlson pass complete to Josiah Miamen for 2 yds to the FlaIn 15Similar
Q4 7:12
4TH & 8
OWN 15
0
55.1%
Daton Montiel punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Jaylin Lane at the MTnSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 23MISSED FG
8 plays · 29 yds · 2:4552% → 46%
Q4 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+11
48.5%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to DJ England-Chisolm for 11 yds to the FlaIn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:12
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
47.2%
Chase Cunningham run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 43Similar
Q4 7:12
2ND & 9
OPP 43
+7
47.3%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to Darius Bracy for 7 yds to the FlaIn 36Similar
Q4 7:12
3RD & 2
OPP 36
0
47.6%
Chase Cunningham pass incomplete to Jaylin LaneSimilar
Q4 7:12
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+9
45.2%
Chase Cunningham run for 9 yds to the FlaIn 20Similar
Q4 7:12
2ND & 1
OPP 20
+1
45.2%
Darius Bracy run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 21Similar
Q4 7:12
3RD & 2
OPP 21
0
47.4%
Chase Cunningham pass incomplete to Jaylin LaneSimilar
Q4 4:27
4TH & 7
OPP 26
+43
54.5%
Zeke Rankin 43 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Jeramy PassmoreSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 24INT TD
3 plays · 5 yds · 1:3763% → 24%
Q4 4:27
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
62.6%
EJ Wilson Jr. run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 31Similar
Q4 4:27
2ND & 5
OWN 31
0
63.1%
Haden Carlson pass complete to Jalen Bracey for no gain to the FlaIn 31Similar
Q4 2:50
3RD & 5
OWN 31
-28
23.7%
Jakobe Thomas 28 Yd Interception Return (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 25INT
16 plays · 53 yds · 2:2324% → 15%
Q4 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
24.1%
Haden Carlson pass complete to Artez Hooker for 5 yds to the FlaIn 30Similar
Q4 2:50
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+27
24.9%
Haden Carlson pass complete to Dean Patterson for 27 yds to the MTnSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-5
30.4%
PENALTY FIU False Start (Hudson Jr.,Lyndell) 5 yards from MTSU43 to MTSU48. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:50
1ST & 15
OPP 48
+5
27.1%
Haden Carlson pass complete to Josiah Miamen for 5 yds to the MTnSt 43Similar
Q4 2:50
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+11
28.8%
Haden Carlson pass complete to Rivaldo Fairweather for 11 yds to the MTnSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
33.6%
Haden Carlson pass incomplete to Dean PattersonSimilar
Q4 2:50
2ND & 10
OPP 32
0
33.0%
Haden Carlson pass incomplete to Artez HookerSimilar
Q4 2:50
3RD & 10
OPP 32
0
28.6%
Haden Carlson pass incomplete to Rivaldo FairweatherSimilar
Q4 1:06
4TH & 10
OPP 32
+10
16.3%
Haden Carlson pass complete to Dean Patterson for 10 yds to the MTnSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:06
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
28.5%
Haden Carlson pass incomplete to Dean PattersonSimilar
Q4 1:06
2ND & 10
OPP 22
0
24.5%
Haden Carlson pass incomplete to Rivaldo FairweatherSimilar
Q4 1:06
3RD & 10
OPP 22
0
21.5%
Haden Carlson pass incomplete to Artez HookerSimilar
Q4 0:27
4TH & 10
OPP 22
0
15.0%
Haden Carlson pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 26END OF GAME
1 play · -4 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-4
3.9%
Kneel down by Middle Tenn. at FIU37 for loss of 4 yards.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 2:50
Jakobe Thomas 28 Yd Interception Return (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)
-39.3
TD · Q4 10:51
Haden Carlson pass complete to Rivaldo Fairweather for 3 yds for a TD, (Chase Gabriel KICK)
+27
TD · Q3 6:05
Haden Carlson pass complete to Josiah Miamen for 21 yds for a TD
+12.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com