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UAB

UAB 10 at LSU 41

LSU
2022 · Week 12 · Nov 19, 2022 · Tiger Stadium (LA)
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Win probability · LSU
modelLSU aheadUAB aheadconfidence bandkey playLSU scoreUAB score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 10:44 · Jay Bramblett punt for 44 yds , Starling Thomas V returns for no gain to the UAB 15
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 84Pregame prior+16.0Home team on offense+18.7Score differential+9.1Garbage-time factor+8.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.7Blowout margin−0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 9:19: DeWayne McBride run for 5 yds for a TD, (Matt Quinn KICK) — UAB win probability +1.3 pts (now 18%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 14:57: Matt Quinn 29 yd FG GOOD — UAB win probability +1.2 pts (now 20%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  3. TD · Q2 5:20: Noah Cain run for 1 yd for a TD, (Damian Ramos KICK) — LSU win probability +5.2 pts (now 86%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:40: Noah Cain run for 1 yd for a TD, (Damian Ramos KICK) — LSU win probability +3.7 pts (now 92%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 6:50: Jayden Daniels run for 2 yds for a TD, (Damian Ramos PAT MISSED) — LSU win probability +2.3 pts (now 97%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
LSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2UAB made the numbers' call on 7 of 10
  1. Q2 14:57UAB 4th & 11 at LSU 12, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 17.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.0%−0.5
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    17.4%
    86% to make
    Punt
    15.2%−2.2
    average punt
  2. Q2 10:36UAB 4th & 4 at UAB 14, down 4
    Close callPunted · 19.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.4%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q2 1:14UAB 4th & 4 at LSU 45, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 14.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    13.9%−0.6
    25% to make
    Punt
    14.2%−0.3
    average punt
  4. Q2 0:00UAB 4th & 7 at UAB 28, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.0%−0.6
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.6%
    average punt
  5. Q3 14:39UAB 4th & 10 at UAB 25, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.9%−1.0
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.9%
    average punt
  6. Q3 10:44LSU 4th & 20 at LSU 41, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.5%−2.1
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.6%
    average punt
  7. Q3 9:36UAB 4th & 6 at UAB 19, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.9%−0.6
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.5%
    average punt
  8. Q3 0:56UAB 4th & 9 at LSU 24, down 24
    Close callWent for it · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.6%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    1.7%
    68% to make
    Punt
    0.6%−1.1
    average punt
  9. Q4 13:20UAB 4th & 5 at UAB 33, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.2%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.3%
    average punt
  10. Q4 8:38UAB 4th & 22 at UAB 13, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  11. Q4 3:33LSU 4th & 9 at UAB 36, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%−<0.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 0:50UAB 4th & 10 at LSU 15, down 31
    Close callWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%
    83% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
LSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6UAB made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 10:44LSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 9:19UAB Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    17.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    17.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 5:59LSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 5:20LSU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:40LSU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 6:50LSU Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    97.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 9:46LSU Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
LSUDrive 1TD
9 plays · 79 yds · 4:1184% → 84%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
84.0%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Malik Nabers for 5 yds to the LSU 26Similar
Q1 14:55
2ND & 5
OWN 26
+47
84.0%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Malik Nabers for 47 yds to the UAB 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+11
84.0%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Mason Taylor for 11 yds to the UAB 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
84.0%
Jayden Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:55
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+7
84.0%
Jayden Daniels run for 7 yds to the UAB 9Similar
Q1 14:55
3RD & 3
OPP 9
+3
84.0%
Jayden Daniels run for 3 yds to the UAB 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
84.0%
John Emery Jr. run for 1 yd to the UAB 5Similar
Q1 14:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
84.0%
John Emery Jr. run for 3 yds to the UAB 2Similar
Q1 10:44
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
83.9%
John Emery Jr. run for 2 yds for a TD, (Damian Ramos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 2TD
3 plays · 30 yds · 1:1217% → 18%
Q1 10:31
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+16
83.2%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Bryce Damous for 16 yds to the LSU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:31
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+9
83.2%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Trea Shropshire for 9 yds to the LSU 5Similar
Q1 9:19
2ND & 1
OPP 5
+5
81.9%
DeWayne McBride run for 5 yds for a TD, (Matt Quinn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 3TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:2082% → 84%
Q1 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
82.4%
John Emery Jr. run for 9 yds to the LSU 34Similar
Q1 9:19
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+6
82.6%
Jayden Daniels run for 6 yds to the LSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+19
82.6%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Jack Bech for 19 yds to the UAB 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:19
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
82.8%
John Emery Jr. run for 5 yds to the UAB 36Similar
Q1 9:19
2ND & 5
OPP 36
0
82.8%
Jayden Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:19
3RD & 5
OPP 36
+6
82.8%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Noah Cain for 6 yds to the UAB 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:19
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+25
82.9%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Jaray Jenkins for 25 yds to the UAB 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
83.9%
Noah Cain run for 5 yds for a TD, (Damian Ramos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 4FG
11 plays · 63 yds · 6:0217% → 20%
Q1 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
83.3%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Fred Farrier II for a loss of 3 yards to the UAB 22Similar
Q1 5:59
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+7
83.4%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Dexter Boykin for 7 yds to the UAB 29Similar
Q1 5:59
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+7
83.4%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Samario Rudolph for 7 yds to the UAB 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
83.1%
DeWayne McBride run for 2 yds to the UAB 38Similar
Q1 5:59
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+20
83.0%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Samario Rudolph for 20 yds to the LSU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:59
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
82.7%
DeWayne McBride run for 4 yds to the LSU 38Similar
Q1 5:59
2ND & 6
OPP 38
+27
82.7%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to TJ Jones for 27 yds to the LSU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:59
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
82.4%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Trea Shropshire for 2 yds to the LSU 9Similar
Q1 5:59
2ND & 8
OPP 9
+3
82.4%
DeWayne McBride run for 3 yds to the LSU 6Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 5
OPP 6
-6
81.5%
Dylan Hopkins sacked by Ali Gaye for a loss of 6 yards to the LSU 12Similar
Q2 14:57
4TH & 11
OPP 12
+29
80.2%
Matt Quinn 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 5FUMBLE
6 plays · 67 yds · 2:2881% → 81%
Q2 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
80.5%
Jayden Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:57
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+15
80.4%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Mason Taylor for 15 yds to the LSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+37
81.0%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Malik Nabers for 37 yds to the UAB 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:57
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-1
81.6%
Jayden Daniels sacked by Michael Fairbanks II and Isaiah Forte for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 24Similar
Q2 14:57
2ND & 11
OPP 24
+12
81.6%
Jayden Daniels run for 12 yds to the UAB 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:29
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+4
81.1%
John Emery Jr. run for 4 yds to the UAB 8 fumbled, recovered by UAB Noah WilderSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:5320% → 20%
Q2 12:29
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+6
80.0%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 6 yds to the UAB 14Similar
Q2 12:29
2ND & 4
OWN 14
-5
79.9%
UAB Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UAB 9Similar
Q2 12:29
2ND & 9
OWN 9
0
80.1%
Dylan Hopkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:29
3RD & 9
OWN 9
+5
80.6%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Terrell McDonald for 5 yds to the UAB 14Similar
Q2 10:36
4TH & 4
OWN 14
0
80.4%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 51 yds , Gregory Clayton Jr. returns for no gain to the LSU 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 7TD
12 plays · 79 yds · 5:1679% → 86%
Q2 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
79.3%
Noah Cain run for 5 yds to the LSU 26Similar
Q2 10:36
2ND & 5
OWN 26
+4
79.4%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Brian Thomas Jr. for 4 yds to the LSU 30Similar
Q2 10:36
3RD & 1
OWN 30
+2
79.3%
Noah Cain run for 2 yds to the LSU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+8
79.4%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Brian Thomas Jr. for 8 yds to the LSU 40Similar
Q2 10:36
2ND & 2
OWN 40
0
80.2%
Jayden Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:36
3RD & 2
OWN 40
+23
79.8%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Malik Nabers for 23 yds to the UAB 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:36
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
80.6%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Jaray Jenkins for 4 yds to the UAB 33Similar
Q2 10:36
2ND & 6
OPP 33
-1
80.8%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Malik Nabers for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 34Similar
Q2 10:36
3RD & 7
OPP 34
+23
80.3%
Jayden Daniels run for 23 yds to the UAB 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:36
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+5
80.8%
Noah Cain run for 5 yds to the UAB 6Similar
Q2 10:36
2ND & 5
OPP 6
+5
80.8%
Noah Cain run for 5 yds to the UAB 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
86.0%
Noah Cain run for 1 yd for a TD, (Damian Ramos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 8DOWNS
9 plays · 28 yds · 3:5816% → 14%
Q2 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
84.3%
Dylan Hopkins run for no gain to the UAB 27Similar
Q2 5:12
2ND & 10
OWN 27
-5
84.5%
UAB Penalty, False Start (Brody Dalton) to the UAB 22Similar
Q2 5:12
2ND & 15
OWN 22
+27
84.7%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Bryce Damous for 27 yds to the UAB 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
83.4%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to DeWayne McBride for 6 yds to the LSU 45Similar
Q2 5:12
2ND & 4
OPP 45
-1
83.0%
DeWayne McBride run for a loss of 1 yard to the LSU 46Similar
Q2 5:12
3RD & 5
OPP 46
-14
83.4%
HOPKINS, Dylan pass to the right complete for 3 yards to FARRIER II, Fred caught at the LSU43 and advanced to the LSU43 (BROOKS JR., Greg). PENALTY UAB Pass Interference on DAMOUS, Bryce enforced 14 yards to the UAB40 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 1:18
3RD & 19
OWN 40
+15
85.9%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Fred Farrier II for 15 yds to the LSU 45Similar
Q2 1:14
4TH & 4
OPP 45
0
86.2%
Dylan Hopkins pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 9TD
4 plays · 55 yds · 0:3488% → 92%
Q2 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+13
88.0%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Jack Bech for 13 yds to the UAB 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:14
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+28
88.2%
Jayden Daniels run for 28 yds to the UAB 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:14
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+13
88.3%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Mason Taylor for 13 yds to the UAB 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
92.1%
Noah Cain run for 1 yd for a TD, (Damian Ramos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:409% → 9%
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
91.2%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Trea Shropshire for 7 yds to the UAB 32Similar
Q2 0:40
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
90.7%
Dylan Hopkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:10
3RD & 3
OWN 32
-4
90.5%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for a loss of 4 yards to the UAB 28Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
91.2%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 47 yds, downed at the LSU 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:219% → 8%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
91.2%
Dylan Hopkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
91.4%
Dylan Hopkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
91.5%
Dylan Hopkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:39
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
91.6%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 35 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 1 yds · 3:5591% → 94%
Q3 14:39
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
91.4%
John Emery Jr. run for 3 yds to the LSU 43Similar
Q3 14:39
2ND & 7
OWN 43
-2
91.4%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Kyren Lacy for a loss of 2 yards to the LSU 41Similar
Q3 14:39
3RD & 9
OWN 41
+10
91.0%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Malik Nabers for 10 yds to the UAB 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:39
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-15
91.5%
DANIELS, Jayden pass to the left complete for 8 yards to TAYLOR, Mason caught at the UAB48 and advanced to the UAB41 (BOLER, Will). PENALTY LSU Pass Interference enforced 15 yards to the LSU36 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 14:39
1ST & 25
OWN 36
+3
91.1%
Jayden Daniels run for 3 yds to the LSU 39Similar
Q3 14:39
2ND & 22
OWN 39
+2
91.3%
Jayden Daniels run for 2 yds to the LSU 41Similar
Q3 14:39
3RD & 20
OWN 41
0
90.9%
Jayden Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:44
4TH & 20
OWN 41
0
93.8%
Jay Bramblett punt for 44 yds , Starling Thomas V returns for no gain to the UAB 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:088% → 6%
Q3 10:44
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+4
92.1%
DeWayne McBride run for 4 yds to the UAB 19Similar
Q3 10:44
2ND & 6
OWN 19
0
92.2%
DeWayne McBride run for no gain to the UAB 19Similar
Q3 10:44
3RD & 6
OWN 19
0
92.3%
Dylan Hopkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:36
4TH & 6
OWN 19
0
93.6%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Gregory Clayton Jr. at the LSU 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 14TD
5 plays · 57 yds · 2:4695% → 97%
Q3 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+30
95.0%
Jayden Daniels run for 15 yds to the UAB 42 for a 1ST down UAB Penalty, Personal Foul (Jaylen Key) to the UAB 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:36
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+4
95.0%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Brian Thomas Jr. for 4 yds to the UAB 23Similar
Q3 9:36
2ND & 6
OPP 23
+5
95.0%
Noah Cain run for 5 yds to the UAB 18Similar
Q3 9:36
3RD & 1
OPP 18
+3
94.9%
Noah Cain run for 3 yds to the UAB 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
97.2%
Jayden Daniels run for 2 yds for a TD, (Damian Ramos PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 15DOWNS
15 plays · 51 yds · 5:543% → 2%
Q3 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.0%
Dylan Hopkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:50
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
97.1%
HOPKINS, Dylan pass up the middle incomplete intended for DALTON, Brody broken up by BASKERVILLE, Micah at the UAB35. PENALTY LSU Pass Interference on BASKERVILLE, Micah enforced at the spot of the foul for 9 yards to the UAB34 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
96.9%
DeWayne McBride run for 6 yds to the UAB 40Similar
Q3 6:50
2ND & 4
OWN 40
+2
96.9%
DeWayne McBride run for 2 yds to the UAB 42Similar
Q3 6:50
3RD & 2
OWN 42
+7
97.0%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 7 yds to the UAB 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
96.9%
Dylan Hopkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:50
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+9
96.9%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 9 yds to the LSU 42Similar
Q3 6:50
3RD & 1
OPP 42
+2
96.8%
DeWayne McBride run for 2 yds to the LSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:50
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
96.9%
DeWayne McBride run for 2 yds to the LSU 38Similar
Q3 6:50
2ND & 8
OPP 38
0
96.9%
Dylan Hopkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:50
3RD & 8
OPP 38
+13
96.9%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Bryce Damous for 13 yds to the LSU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:50
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
96.5%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 1 yd to the LSU 24Similar
Q3 6:50
2ND & 9
OPP 24
0
96.5%
Dylan Hopkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:50
3RD & 9
OPP 24
0
96.9%
Dylan Hopkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:56
4TH & 9
OPP 24
0
98.3%
Dylan Hopkins pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 16FUMBLE
3 plays · 48 yds · 1:0598% → 99%
Q3 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+29
98.4%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Jack Bech for 29 yds to the UAB 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
98.6%
John Emery Jr. run for 5 yds to the UAB 42Similar
Q4 14:51
2ND & 5
OPP 42
+14
98.6%
John Emery Jr. run for 14 yds to the UAB 28 fumbled, recovered by UAB Keondre SwoopesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:312% → 1%
Q4 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
98.5%
DeWayne McBride run for 1 yd to the UAB 29Similar
Q4 14:51
2ND & 9
OWN 29
+4
98.5%
DeWayne McBride run for 4 yds to the UAB 33Similar
Q4 14:51
3RD & 5
OWN 33
0
98.5%
Jacob Zeno pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:20
4TH & 5
OWN 33
+2
98.8%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 55 yds , Gregory Clayton Jr. returns for 2 yds to the LSU 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 18TD
9 plays · 86 yds · 3:3499% → 100%
Q4 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+14
98.7%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Kyren Lacy for 14 yds to the LSU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+15
98.7%
UAB Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Will Boler) to the UAB 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:20
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
98.8%
Jayden Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:20
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+8
98.8%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Malik Nabers for 8 yds to the UAB 38Similar
Q4 13:20
3RD & 2
OPP 38
+15
98.8%
Noah Cain run for 15 yds to the UAB 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:20
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+15
98.8%
Noah Cain run for 15 yds to the UAB 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
98.8%
Noah Cain run for 3 yds to the UAB 5Similar
Q4 13:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
98.8%
Jayden Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:46
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
99.9%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Brian Thomas Jr. for 5 yds for a TD, (Trey Finison KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · -12 yds · 1:080% → 0%
Q4 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
99.9%
UAB Penalty, False Start (Brady Wilson) to the UAB 20Similar
Q4 9:46
1ST & 15
OWN 20
0
99.9%
Dylan Hopkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:46
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+5
99.9%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 5 yds to the UAB 25Similar
Q4 9:46
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
HOPKINS, Dylan pass to the right complete for 30 yards to SHROPSHIRE, Trea caught at the LSU45 and advanced to the LSU45 (RYAN, Sage), out of bounds. PENALTY UAB Pass Interference on SHROPSHIRE, Trea enforced half the distance from the goal, 12 yards to the UAB13 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 9:46
3RD & 22
OWN 13
0
99.9%
Dylan Hopkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:38
4TH & 22
OWN 13
-4
99.9%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 49 yds , Gregory Clayton Jr. returns for a loss of 4 yards to the LSU 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 20DOWNS
8 plays · 30 yds · 5:05100% → 100%
Q4 8:38
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+16
99.9%
Derrick Davis Jr. run for 16 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:38
1ST & 10
50
+5
99.9%
Derrick Davis Jr. run for 5 yds to the UAB 45Similar
Q4 8:38
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+3
99.9%
Derrick Davis Jr. run for 3 yds to the UAB 42Similar
Q4 8:38
3RD & 2
OPP 42
+5
99.9%
Nick Demas run for 5 yds to the UAB 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:38
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
99.9%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Jack Mashburn for 2 yds to the UAB 35Similar
Q4 8:38
2ND & 8
OPP 35
0
99.9%
Nick Demas run for no gain to the UAB 35Similar
Q4 8:38
3RD & 8
OPP 35
-1
99.9%
Derrick Davis Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 36Similar
Q4 3:33
4TH & 9
OPP 36
0
99.9%
Garrett Nussmeier pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 21DOWNS
6 plays · 49 yds · 2:430% → 0%
Q4 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+36
99.9%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Trea Shropshire for 36 yds to the LSU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:33
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+13
99.9%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Dallas Payne for 13 yds to the LSU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:33
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
99.9%
Jacob Zeno pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:33
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+4
99.9%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Dallas Payne for 4 yds to the LSU 11Similar
Q4 3:33
3RD & 6
OPP 11
-4
99.9%
Lee Witherspoon run for a loss of 4 yards to the LSU 15Similar
Q4 0:50
4TH & 10
OPP 15
0
100.0%
Jacob Zeno pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 22END OF 4TH QUARTER
1 play · 5 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+5
100.0%
Derrick Davis Jr. run for 5 yds to the LSU 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 5:20
Noah Cain run for 1 yd for a TD, (Damian Ramos KICK)
+5.2
TD · Q2 0:40
Noah Cain run for 1 yd for a TD, (Damian Ramos KICK)
+3.7
TD · Q3 6:50
Jayden Daniels run for 2 yds for a TD, (Damian Ramos PAT MISSED)
+2.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com