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UTSA

UTSA 41 at Rice 7

RICE
2022 · Week 12 · Nov 19, 2022 · Rice Stadium
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Win probability · RICE
modelRICE aheadUTSA aheadconfidence bandkey playRICE scoreUTSA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 8:55 · Conor Hunt punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexSA 47 , Chris Carpenter returns for 10 yds to the TexSA 47
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+57.0+28.50−28.5−57.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 101Home team on offense−40.4Pregame prior−17.9Score differential−23.8Garbage-time factor−8.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 8:26: Frank Harris run for 63 yds for a TD, (Jared Sackett KICK) — UTSA win probability +0.9 pts (now 85%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 5:41: Frank Harris run for 15 yds for a TD, (Jared Sackett KICK) — UTSA win probability +2.5 pts (now 86%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q1 0:57: Frank Harris pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 5 yds for a TD, (Jared Sackett KICK) — UTSA win probability +4.6 pts (now 91%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:59: Frank Harris pass complete to Oscar Cardenas for 16 yds for a TD, (Jared Sackett KICK) — UTSA win probability +3.4 pts (now 97%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 7:34: Frank Harris run for 16 yds for a TD, (Jared Sackett KICK) — UTSA win probability +0.7 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
RICE made the numbers' call on 12 of 14UTSA made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 12:58UTSA 4th & 1 at UTSA 46, tied
    Close callPunted · 79.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.7%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:42RICE 4th & 1 at RICE 22, tied
    Close callPunted · 21.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.6%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:08UTSA 4th & 4 at RICE 29, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 81.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    81.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    81.0%−0.2
    58% to make
    Punt
    79.2%−2.0
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00RICE 4th & 3 at UTSA 21, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 14.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.7%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    14.6%−0.1
    74% to make
    Punt
    13.1%−1.7
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:10RICE 4th & 4 at UTSA 4, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 13.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    13.1%−0.2
    93% to make
    Punt
    10.7%−2.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:10RICE 4th & 4 at UTSA 4, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 13.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    13.1%−0.2
    93% to make
    Punt
    10.7%−2.6
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:12RICE 4th & 18 at RICE 44, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.3%−0.8
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.1%
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:29RICE 4th & 11 at UTSA 28, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 11.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.3%−0.3
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    11.6%
    60% to make
    Punt
    10.1%−1.5
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:38UTSA 4th & 12 at RICE 13, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.6%−0.1
    20% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.7%
    85% to make
    Punt
    96.3%−0.5
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:55RICE 4th & 11 at RICE 17, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.1%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.2%
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:00RICE 4th & 17 at RICE 49, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−0.1
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%
    average punt
  12. Q3 3:32UTSA 4th & 6 at RICE 19, up 38
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.8%−<0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.8%
    77% to make
    Punt
    98.4%−0.4
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:48RICE 4th & 5 at UTSA 43, down 41
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.4%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    0.3%−0.1
    28% to make
    Punt
    0.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 13:26UTSA 4th & 10 at UTSA 25, up 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.3%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.5%
    average punt
  15. Q4 12:25RICE 4th & 10 at RICE 41, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  16. Q4 10:43UTSA 4th & 3 at UTSA 19, up 34
    Close callPunted · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 10:43UTSA 4th & 3 at UTSA 19, up 34
    Close callPunted · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  18. Q4 9:20RICE 4th & 2 at RICE 29, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  19. Q4 9:20RICE 4th & 2 at RICE 29, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  20. Q4 7:13UTSA 4th & 21 at RICE 40, up 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%−0.1
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−<0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%
    average punt
  21. Q4 5:31RICE 4th & 9 at RICE 3, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  22. Q4 3:16UTSA 4th & 4 at RICE 29, up 34
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−<0.1
    58% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.3
    average punt
  23. Q4 1:43RICE 4th & 5 at RICE 34, down 34
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
RICE made the numbers' call on 1 of 1UTSA made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 8:26UTSA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:41UTSA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:57UTSA Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:59UTSA Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 7:34UTSA Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 14:48RICE Touchdown, down 35 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UTSADrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:5686% → 85%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
14.0%
Frank Harris pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 3 yds to the TexSA 40Similar
Q1 14:54
2ND & 7
OWN 40
0
14.0%
Frank Harris run for no gain to the TexSA 40Similar
Q1 14:54
3RD & 7
OWN 40
+6
14.0%
Frank Harris run for 6 yds to the TexSA 46Similar
Q1 12:58
4TH & 1
OWN 46
0
14.9%
Lucas Dean punt for 53 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 21 yds · 3:1615% → 16%
Q1 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+12
14.9%
Wiley Green pass complete to Bradley Rozner for 12 yds to the Rice 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+2
14.9%
Cameron Montgomery run for 2 yds to the Rice 15Similar
Q1 12:58
2ND & 8
OWN 15
+2
14.9%
Wiley Green run for 2 yds to the Rice 17Similar
Q1 12:58
3RD & 6
OWN 17
+5
14.9%
Wiley Green pass complete to Isaiah Esdale for 5 yds to the Rice 22Similar
Q1 9:42
4TH & 1
OWN 22
+1
16.3%
Conor Hunt punt for 49 yds , Joshua Cephus returns for 1 yd to the TexSA 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 3TD
3 plays · 70 yds · 1:1684% → 85%
Q1 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
16.5%
Kevorian Barnes run for 2 yds to the TexSA 32Similar
Q1 9:42
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+5
16.4%
Frank Harris pass complete to Oscar Cardenas for 5 yds to the TexSA 37Similar
Q1 8:26
3RD & 3
OWN 37
+63
15.5%
Frank Harris run for 63 yds for a TD, (Jared Sackett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 4FUMBLE
8 plays · -2 yds · 2:3916% → 17%
Q1 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
15.7%
Wiley Green pass complete to Kobie Campbell for 5 yds to the Rice 30Similar
Q1 8:26
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
15.8%
Wiley Green pass complete to Kobie Campbell for 4 yds to the Rice 34Similar
Q1 8:26
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+1
15.8%
Wiley Green run for 1 yd to the Rice 35 Wiley Green fumbled, recovered by TexSA Wiley Green for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
15.8%
Uriah West run for 2 yds to the Rice 37Similar
Q1 8:26
2ND & 8
OWN 37
0
15.8%
Wiley Green pass incomplete to Isaiah EsdaleSimilar
Q1 5:47
3RD & 8
OWN 37
-14
16.6%
Wiley Green sacked by Kelechi Nwachuku for a loss of 14 yards to the Rice 15 Wiley Green fumbled, recovered by TexSA Donyai Taylor , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 5TD
1 play · 15 yds · 0:0086% → 86%
Q1 5:41
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
14.0%
Frank Harris run for 15 yds for a TD, (Jared Sackett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 6FUMBLE
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:2315% → 15%
Q1 5:31
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
15.0%
Juma Otoviano run for 2 yds to the Rice 35Similar
Q1 5:31
2ND & 12
OWN 35
+4
14.8%
Kobie Campbell run for 4 yds to the Rice 39Similar
Q1 4:08
3RD & 8
OWN 39
+1
15.2%
Shawqi Itraish pass complete to Kobie Campbell for 1 yd Kobie Campbell fumbled, recovered by TexSA Dadrian TaylorSimilar
Q1 4:08
3RD & 8
OWN 39
+1
15.2%
Shawqi Itraish pass complete to Kobie Campbell for 1 yd Kobie Campbell fumbled, recovered by TexSA Dadrian TaylorSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 7TD
7 plays · 44 yds · 3:1186% → 91%
Q1 4:08
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
14.1%
Kevorian Barnes run for 3 yds to the Rice 32Similar
Q1 4:08
2ND & 7
OPP 32
+3
14.1%
Kevorian Barnes run for 13 yds to the Rice 19 UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, Offensive Holding (Ahofitu Maka) to the Rice 38Similar
Q1 4:08
2ND & 13
OPP 38
0
14.1%
Kevorian Barnes run for no gain to the Rice 38Similar
Q1 4:08
3RD & 13
OPP 38
+9
14.2%
Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 9 yds to the Rice 29Similar
Q1 4:08
4TH & 4
OPP 29
+21
14.4%
Frank Harris pass complete to Kevorian Barnes for 21 yds to the Rice 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
14.1%
Frank Harris pass complete to Tykee Ogle-Kellogg for 3 yds to the Rice 5Similar
Q1 0:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
9.5%
Frank Harris pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 5 yds for a TD, (Jared Sackett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 8DOWNS
17 plays · 70 yds · 7:4411% → 11%
Q1 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
11.2%
Cameron Montgomery run for 1 yd to the Rice 27Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 9
OWN 27
+13
10.8%
Shawqi Itraish pass complete to Isaiah Esdale for 13 yds to the Rice 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
11.2%
Juma Otoviano run for 1 yd to the Rice 41Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+5
11.3%
Juma Otoviano run for 5 yds to the Rice 46Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 46
+11
11.3%
Shawqi Itraish pass complete to Bradley Rozner for 11 yds to the TexSA 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
11.5%
Shawqi Itraish pass incomplete to Isaiah EsdaleSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+15
11.4%
Shotgun Montgomery,Cameron rush middle for 3 yards loss to the UTSA46 (Booker-Brown,Nick) PENALTY UTSA Face Mask (Booker-Brown,Nick) 15 yards from UTSA43 to UTSA28, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+1
11.7%
Cameron Montgomery run for 1 yd to the TexSA 29Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 29
+5
11.5%
Shawqi Itraish pass complete to Jack Bradley for 5 yds to the TexSA 24Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 24
+3
11.5%
Shawqi Itraish run for 3 yds to the TexSA 21Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 3
OPP 21
+16
11.4%
Shawqi Itraish pass complete to Kobie Campbell for 16 yds to the TexSA 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
11.7%
Uriah West run for 1 yd to the TexSA 4Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
11.7%
Juma Otoviano run for no gain to the TexSA 4Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
11.5%
Shawqi Itraish pass incomplete to Kobie CampbellSimilar
Q2 8:10
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
0
10.9%
Shawqi Itraish pass incomplete to Dean ConnorsSimilar
Q2 8:10
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
0
10.9%
Shawqi Itraish pass incomplete to Dean ConnorsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 9FUMBLE
5 plays · 44 yds · 0:4992% → 92%
Q2 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 4
-2
8.4%
PENALTY UTSA False Start (Cephus,Joshua) 2 yards from UTSA04 to UTSA02. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:10
1ST & 12
OWN 2
+16
8.4%
Frank Harris pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 16 yds to the TexSA 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
8.1%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to Zakhari FranklinSimilar
Q2 8:10
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+14
8.1%
Brenden Brady run for 14 yds to the TexSA 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+16
7.9%
Frank Harris run for 16 yds to the TexSA 48 Frank Harris fumbled, recovered by TexSA Chris ContiSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · -8 yds · 1:0911% → 10%
Q2 7:21
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
10.7%
Shawqi Itraish pass incomplete to Bradley RoznerSimilar
Q2 7:21
2ND & 10
OPP 48
0
10.7%
Shawqi Itraish pass incomplete to Bradley RoznerSimilar
Q2 7:21
3RD & 10
OPP 48
-8
10.5%
Shawqi Itraish sacked by Corey Mayfield Jr. for a loss of 8 yards to the Rice 44Similar
Q2 6:12
4TH & 18
OWN 44
0
9.7%
Conor Hunt punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexSA 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 11INT
3 plays · 11 yds · 1:1092% → 93%
Q2 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
7.6%
Kevorian Barnes run for 3 yds to the TexSA 23Similar
Q2 6:12
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+8
7.6%
Frank Harris run for 8 yds to the TexSA 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:02
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
7.2%
Frank Harris pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 12MISSED FG
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:3311% → 10%
Q2 5:02
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+4
10.7%
Cameron Montgomery run for 4 yds to the TexSA 31Similar
Q2 5:02
2ND & 14
OPP 31
+3
10.4%
Shawqi Itraish pass complete to Isaiah Esdale for 3 yds to the TexSA 28Similar
Q2 5:02
3RD & 11
OPP 28
0
10.2%
Shawqi Itraish pass incomplete to Kobie CampbellSimilar
Q2 3:29
4TH & 11
OPP 28
+46
10.0%
Christian VanSickle 46 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 13TD
7 plays · 72 yds · 2:3093% → 97%
Q2 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+6
6.6%
Frank Harris pass complete to Gavin Sharp for 6 yds to the TexSA 34Similar
Q2 3:29
2ND & 4
OWN 34
+3
6.7%
Brenden Brady run for 3 yds to the TexSA 37Similar
Q2 3:29
3RD & 1
OWN 37
+1
6.9%
Brenden Brady run for 1 yd to the TexSA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
6.5%
Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 4 yds to the TexSA 42Similar
Q2 3:29
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+42
6.5%
Brenden Brady run for 42 yds to the Rice 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:59
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
3.1%
Frank Harris pass complete to Oscar Cardenas for 16 yds for a TD, (Jared Sackett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 14MISSED FG
11 plays · 38 yds · 0:533% → 2%
Q2 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
2.5%
Shawqi Itraish pass incomplete to Isaiah EsdaleSimilar
Q2 0:53
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+16
2.3%
Shawqi Itraish pass complete to Boden Groen for 16 yds to the TexSA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:53
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
2.6%
Shawqi Itraish run for 4 yds to the TexSA 42 Shawqi Itraish fumbled, recovered by TexSA Shawqi ItraishSimilar
Q2 0:33
2ND & 14
OPP 42
+7
1.8%
Shawqi Itraish pass complete to Bradley Rozner for 7 yds to the TexSA 35Similar
Q2 0:33
3RD & 7
OPP 35
+19
1.8%
Shawqi Itraish pass complete to Kobie Campbell for 19 yds to the TexSA 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:14
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
1.7%
Shawqi Itraish pass incomplete to Cedric Patterson IIISimilar
Q2 0:14
2ND & 10
OPP 16
0
1.7%
Shawqi Itraish pass incomplete to Isaiah EsdaleSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 10
OPP 16
+34
1.5%
Christian VanSickle 34 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 15INT
3 plays · -1 yds · 0:472% → 3%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
2.3%
Cameron Montgomery run for 1 yd to the Rice 22Similar
Q3 14:07
2ND & 11
OWN 22
0
2.6%
Shawqi Itraish pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 16FG
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:2997% → 97%
Q3 14:07
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+1
2.9%
Kevorian Barnes run for 1 yd to the Rice 10Similar
Q3 14:07
2ND & 9
OPP 10
+3
2.9%
Kevorian Barnes run for 3 yds to the Rice 13Similar
Q3 14:07
3RD & 12
OPP 13
0
3.1%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to Tykee Ogle-KelloggSimilar
Q3 12:38
4TH & 12
OPP 13
+30
2.6%
Jared Sackett 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 17PUNT
8 plays · 12 yds · 3:433% → 2%
Q3 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+4
2.8%
AJ Padgett run for 4 yds to the Rice 9Similar
Q3 12:38
2ND & 6
OWN 9
+1
2.8%
AJ Padgett run for 1 yd to the Rice 8Similar
Q3 12:38
3RD & 7
OWN 8
+10
2.7%
AJ Padgett pass complete to Isaiah Esdale for 10 yds to the Rice 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
2.9%
Uriah West run for 2 yds to the Rice 16Similar
Q3 12:38
2ND & 12
OWN 16
+1
2.8%
AJ Padgett run for 1 yd to the Rice 17Similar
Q3 12:38
3RD & 11
OWN 17
0
2.8%
AJ Padgett pass incomplete to Kobie CampbellSimilar
Q3 8:55
4TH & 11
OWN 17
+10
1.9%
Conor Hunt punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexSA 47 , Chris Carpenter returns for 10 yds to the TexSA 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 18TD
5 plays · 53 yds · 1:2198% → 99%
Q3 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
1.9%
Brenden Brady run for 4 yds to the Rice 49Similar
Q3 8:55
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+3
1.9%
Brenden Brady run for 3 yds to the Rice 46Similar
Q3 8:55
3RD & 3
OPP 46
+15
1.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun Harris,Frank pass incomplete short left to Ogle-Kellogg,Tykee broken up by McCord,Miles PENALTY Rice Personal Foul (Enechukwu,Ikenna) 15 yards from Rice46 to Rice31, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:55
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+15
1.7%
Frank Harris pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 15 yds to the Rice 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:34
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
1.0%
Frank Harris run for 16 yds for a TD, (Jared Sackett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 24 yds · 1:341% → 1%
Q3 7:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+31
0.9%
AJ Padgett pass complete to Jack Bradley for 31 yds to the TexSA 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:34
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
1.0%
AJ Padgett pass incomplete to Bradley RoznerSimilar
Q3 7:34
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+7
1.0%
AJ Padgett run for 7 yds to the Rice 49 AJ Padgett fumbled, recovered by TexSA Aj PadgettSimilar
Q3 7:34
3RD & 17
OWN 49
0
0.9%
AJ Padgett pass incomplete to Cameron MontgomerySimilar
Q3 6:00
4TH & 17
OWN 49
0
0.8%
Conor Hunt punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Chris Carpenter at the TexSA 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 20FG
6 plays · 65 yds · 2:2899% → 99%
Q3 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+45
1.0%
Kevorian Barnes run for 45 yds to the Rice 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+16
0.9%
Eddie Lee Marburger pass complete to Isaiah Davis for 16 yds to the Rice 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
0.9%
Justin Rodriguez run for 3 yds to the Rice 20Similar
Q3 6:00
2ND & 7
OPP 20
+1
0.9%
Justin Rodriguez run for 1 yd to the Rice 19Similar
Q3 6:00
3RD & 6
OPP 19
0
0.9%
Eddie Lee Marburger pass incomplete to Jace WilsonSimilar
Q3 3:32
4TH & 6
OPP 19
+36
1.0%
Jared Sackett 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 21TD
9 plays · 76 yds · 3:381% → 0%
Q3 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+6
0.5%
AJ Padgett pass complete to Boden Groen for 6 yds to the Rice 30Similar
Q3 3:26
2ND & 4
OWN 30
+9
0.5%
Juma Otoviano run for 9 yds to the Rice 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+8
0.5%
Juma Otoviano run for 8 yds to the Rice 47Similar
Q3 3:26
2ND & 2
OWN 47
+5
0.5%
Juma Otoviano run for 5 yds to the TexSA 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:26
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+8
0.5%
AJ Padgett pass complete to Isaiah Esdale for 8 yds to the TexSA 40Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 2
OPP 40
+3
0.4%
Juma Otoviano run for 3 yds to the TexSA 43Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 43
0
0.4%
AJ Padgett pass incomplete to Kobie CampbellSimilar
Q4 14:48
4TH & 5
OPP 43
+43
0.4%
AJ Padgett pass complete to Bradley Rozner for 43 yds for a TD, (Christian VanSickle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 1:2299% → 99%
Q4 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
0.6%
Eddie Lee Marburger pass complete to Chris Carpenter for 5 yds to the TexSA 30Similar
Q4 14:48
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
0.6%
Eddie Lee Marburger pass complete to Houston Thomas for no gain to the TexSA 30Similar
Q4 14:48
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
0.6%
Eddie Lee Marburger pass incomplete to Isaiah DavisSimilar
Q4 14:48
4TH & 5
OWN 30
-5
0.6%
PENALTY UTSA Illegal Substitution 5 yards from UTSA30 to UTSA25. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:26
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+2
0.6%
Lucas Dean punt for 36 yds , Tyson Thompson returns for 2 yds to the Rice 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:010% → 0%
Q4 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
0.4%
AJ Padgett pass incomplete to Jack BradleySimilar
Q4 13:26
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
0.3%
AJ Padgett run for no gain to the Rice 41Similar
Q4 12:44
3RD & 10
OWN 41
0
0.3%
AJ Padgett pass incomplete to Bradley RoznerSimilar
Q4 12:25
4TH & 10
OWN 41
0
0.3%
Conor Hunt punt for 43 yds , Chris Carpenter returns for no gain to the TexSA 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:42100% → 100%
Q4 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+1
0.4%
Justin Rodriguez run for 1 yd to the TexSA 11Similar
Q4 12:25
2ND & 11
OWN 11
0
0.4%
Eddie Lee Marburger pass incomplete to Houston ThomasSimilar
Q4 12:25
3RD & 11
OWN 11
+8
0.5%
Eddie Lee Marburger pass complete to Justin Rodriguez for 8 yds to the TexSA 19Similar
Q4 10:43
4TH & 3
OWN 19
+13
0.4%
Lucas Dean punt for 51 yds , Tyson Thompson returns for 13 yds to the Rice 43Similar
Q4 10:43
4TH & 3
OWN 19
+13
0.4%
Lucas Dean punt for 51 yds , Tyson Thompson returns for 13 yds to the Rice 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 25DOWNS
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:230% → 0%
Q4 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
0.2%
AJ Padgett pass complete to Jack Bradley for 4 yds to the Rice 25Similar
Q4 10:43
2ND & 6
OWN 25
0
0.2%
AJ Padgett pass incomplete to Jack BradleySimilar
Q4 10:43
3RD & 6
OWN 25
+4
0.2%
Cedric Patterson III run for 4 yds to the Rice 29Similar
Q4 9:20
4TH & 2
OWN 29
0
0.2%
AJ Padgett pass incomplete to Tyson ThompsonSimilar
Q4 9:20
4TH & 2
OWN 29
0
0.2%
AJ Padgett pass incomplete to Tyson ThompsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 26PUNT
5 plays · -11 yds · 2:07100% → 100%
Q4 9:20
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
0.2%
Justin Rodriguez run for no gain to the Rice 29Similar
Q4 9:20
2ND & 10
OPP 29
-10
0.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun Marburger,Eddie Lee rush left for 1 yard gain to the Rice28 (Awe,Andrew) PENALTY UTSA Holding (Lapeze,Luke) 10 yards from Rice29 to Rice39. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:20
2ND & 20
OPP 39
+1
0.2%
Justin Rodriguez run for 1 yd to the Rice 40Similar
Q4 9:20
3RD & 21
OPP 40
0
0.2%
Eddie Lee Marburger pass incomplete to Isaiah DavisSimilar
Q4 7:13
4TH & 21
OPP 40
0
0.2%
Lucas Dean punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 27PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:420% → 0%
Q4 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 2
0
0.2%
PENALTY Rice False Start (West,Uriah) 1 yard from Rice02 to Rice01. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:13
1ST & 11
OWN 1
+1
0.2%
Uriah West run for 1 yd to the Rice 2Similar
Q4 7:13
2ND & 10
OWN 2
+1
0.1%
Uriah West run for 1 yd to the Rice 3Similar
Q4 7:13
3RD & 9
OWN 3
0
0.1%
AJ Padgett pass incomplete to Cedric Patterson IIISimilar
Q4 5:31
4TH & 9
OWN 3
0
0.1%
Conor Hunt punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Rice 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 28DOWNS
5 plays · 6 yds · 2:15100% → 100%
Q4 5:31
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
0.2%
Justin Rodriguez run for 5 yds to the Rice 30Similar
Q4 5:31
2ND & 5
OPP 30
+3
0.2%
Cam Peters run for 3 yds to the Rice 27Similar
Q4 5:31
3RD & 2
OPP 27
+2
0.2%
Jace Wilson run for 2 yds to the Rice 29Similar
Q4 3:16
4TH & 4
OPP 29
0
0.2%
Cam Peters pass incomplete to Jalen RaineySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 29DOWNS
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:330% → 0%
Q4 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
0.1%
AJ Padgett run for 3 yds to the Rice 26Similar
Q4 3:16
2ND & 13
OWN 26
+8
0.1%
AJ Padgett pass complete to Peyton Stevenson for 8 yds to the Rice 34Similar
Q4 3:16
3RD & 5
OWN 34
0
0.1%
AJ Padgett pass incomplete to Tyson ThompsonSimilar
Q4 1:43
4TH & 5
OWN 34
0
0.1%
AJ Padgett pass incomplete to Cameron MontgomerySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 30END OF GAME
3 plays · -1 yds · 1:43100% → 100%
Q4 1:43
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
0.1%
Justin Rodriguez run for 3 yds to the Rice 31Similar
Q4 1:43
2ND & 7
OPP 31
-2
0.1%
C. Peters takes a kneeSimilar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 9
OPP 33
-2
0.1%
C. Peters takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 0:57
Frank Harris pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 5 yds for a TD, (Jared Sackett KICK)
-4.6
TD · Q2 0:59
Frank Harris pass complete to Oscar Cardenas for 16 yds for a TD, (Jared Sackett KICK)
-3.4
TD · Q1 5:41
Frank Harris run for 15 yds for a TD, (Jared Sackett KICK)
-2.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com