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LT

Louisiana Tech 21 at Charlotte 26

CLT
2022 · Week 12 · Nov 19, 2022 · Jerry Richardson Stadium
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Win probability · CLT
modelCLT aheadLT aheadconfidence bandkey playCLT scoreLT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of GameTD+13.8CLT 85.6%Calvin Camp 25 Yd Run (Two-Point PassConversion Failed)AWAY 7 - HOME 19 · Q3 4:24
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 4:24 · Calvin Camp 25 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout marginPregame prior
+25.5+12.80−12.8−25.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 111Home team on offense+18.0Garbage-time factor+7.3Score differential+5.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.5Blowout margin−0.9Pregame prior+0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 3:53: Calvin Camp run for 4 yds for a TD, (Antonio Zita KICK) — CLT win probability +9.0 pts (now 61%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 4:24: Calvin Camp 25 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed) — CLT win probability +13.8 pts (now 86%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 12:36: Marquis Crosby run for 6 yds for a TD, (Jacob Barnes KICK) — LT win probability +22.3 pts (now 41%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  4. TD · Q4 5:58: Calvin Camp run for 33 yds for a TD, (Antonio Zita KICK) — CLT win probability +10.6 pts (now 95%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 3:05: Marquis Crosby run for 11 yds for a TD, (Jacob Barnes KICK) — LT win probability +24.6 pts (now 34%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CLT made the numbers' call on 2 of 7LT made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 13:02LT 4th & 7 at LT 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.2%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:42CLT 4th & 16 at CLT 9, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.7%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:42LT 4th & 5 at CLT 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 52.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    52.9%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    52.9%−<0.1
    49% to make
    Punt
    52.8%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:33LT 4th & 10 at CLT 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 52.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.9%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    52.1%
    64% to make
    Punt
    50.9%−1.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:47CLT 4th & 4 at LT 4, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 50.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    50.1%−0.2
    93% to make
    Punt
    47.7%−2.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:04LT 4th & 3 at CLT 3, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 47.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    48.2%
    44% to convert
    Field goal
    47.0%−1.2
    93% to make
    Punt
    40.8%−7.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:08LT 4th & 11 at LT 20, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.9%−1.3
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.2%
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:23CLT 4th & 3 at CLT 48, up 3
    Close callPunted · 56.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.0%−0.7
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:00CLT 4th & 6 at LT 6, up 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 57.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.8%
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    56.7%−0.1
    91% to make
    Punt
    49.1%−7.7
    average punt
  10. Q3 13:56CLT 4th & 2 at CLT 43, up 6
    Close callPunted · 64.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.7%−0.8
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:33CLT 4th & 7 at CLT 45, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.5%−1.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.5%
    average punt
  12. Q3 5:50LT 4th & 20 at LT 10, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.4%−4.3
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.7%
    average punt
  13. Q4 8:35CLT 4th & 8 at LT 41, up 5
    Close callPunted · 76.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.4%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    74.5%−1.9
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    75.6%−0.8
    average punt
  14. Q4 6:50LT 4th & 8 at LT 14, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.0%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CLT made the numbers' call on 2 of 3LT made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q2 8:04LT Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 3:53CLT Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 4:24CLT Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    83.7%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    83.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 12:36LT Touchdown, down 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    25.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    24.6%−0.4
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 5:58CLT Touchdown, up 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.8%−0.3
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 3:05LT Touchdown, down 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    11.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    10.8%−0.5
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
LTDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:5849% → 48%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
51.1%
Landry Lyddy pass complete to Tre Harris for 1 yd to the LaTch 26Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-1
51.1%
Landry Lyddy pass complete to Smoke Harris for a loss of 1 yard to the LaTch 25Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+3
51.1%
Landry Lyddy pass complete to Smoke Harris for 3 yds to the LaTch 28Similar
Q1 13:02
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
51.6%
Arlind Bengu punt for 57 yds, downed at the Charl 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 2:2052% → 51%
Q1 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-2
51.5%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Jack Reynolds for a loss of 2 yards to the Charl 13Similar
Q1 13:02
2ND & 12
OWN 13
-5
51.4%
CHARLOTTE Penalty, False Start (Panda Askew) to the Charl 8Similar
Q1 13:02
2ND & 17
OWN 8
+6
51.4%
Shadrick Byrd run for 6 yds to the Charl 14Similar
Q1 13:02
3RD & 11
OWN 14
-5
51.3%
Chris Reynolds sacked by Cecil Singleton Jr. for a loss of 5 yards to the Charl 9Similar
Q1 10:42
4TH & 16
OWN 9
-3
51.4%
Bailey Rice punt for 46 yds , Smoke Harris returns for a loss of 3 yards to the LaTch 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 3MISSED FG
10 plays · 32 yds · 4:0949% → 48%
Q1 10:42
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
51.4%
Landry Lyddy pass complete to Tre Harris for 6 yds to the LaTch 48Similar
Q1 10:42
2ND & 4
OWN 48
+14
51.3%
Marquis Crosby run for 14 yds to the Charl 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:42
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
51.3%
Marquis Crosby run for 4 yds to the Charl 34Similar
Q1 10:42
2ND & 6
OPP 34
0
51.1%
Landry Lyddy pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:42
3RD & 6
OPP 34
+1
51.3%
Marquis Crosby run for 1 yd to the Charl 33Similar
Q1 10:42
4TH & 5
OPP 33
+7
51.6%
Landry Lyddy pass complete to Smoke Harris for 7 yds to the Charl 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:42
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
51.1%
Landry Lyddy pass complete to Nate Jones for 2 yds to the Charl 24Similar
Q1 10:42
2ND & 8
OPP 24
0
51.1%
Landry Lyddy pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:42
3RD & 8
OPP 24
-2
51.3%
Marquis Crosby run for a loss of 2 yards to the Charl 26Similar
Q1 6:33
4TH & 10
OPP 26
+36
52.1%
Jacob Barnes 36 yd FG BLOCKED blocked bySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 4FG
17 plays · 70 yds · 6:4652% → 55%
Q1 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
52.4%
Calvin Camp run for 2 yds to the Charl 28Similar
Q1 6:33
2ND & 8
OWN 28
+2
52.4%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Jack Reynolds for 2 yds to the Charl 30Similar
Q1 6:33
3RD & 6
OWN 30
+9
52.0%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Eugene Minter Jr. for 9 yds to the Charl 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-1
52.7%
Shadrick Byrd run for a loss of 1 yard to the Charl 38Similar
Q1 6:33
2ND & 11
OWN 38
+9
52.6%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 9 yds to the Charl 47Similar
Q1 6:33
3RD & 2
OWN 47
+2
52.9%
Shadrick Byrd run for 2 yds to the Charl 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
53.1%
Calvin Camp run for no gain to the Charl 49Similar
Q1 6:33
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+2
53.0%
Calvin Camp run for 2 yds to the LaTch 49Similar
Q1 6:33
3RD & 8
OPP 49
+9
52.9%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Shadrick Byrd for 9 yds to the LaTch 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:33
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-10
53.3%
QB Keeper REYNOLDS, Chris rush to the left for a gain of 10 yards to the LT30, out of bounds. PENALTY CLT Holding on CLEMONS, Jake enforced 10 yards from the LT40 to the CLT50 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 6:33
1ST & 20
50
0
52.8%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:33
2ND & 20
50
+11
52.7%
Shadrick Byrd run for 11 yds to the LaTch 39Similar
Q1 6:33
3RD & 9
OPP 39
+30
53.0%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Grant DuBose for 30 yds to the LaTch 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
53.5%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
53.5%
Calvin Camp run for 5 yds to the LaTch 4Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
54.8%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:47
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+22
54.9%
Antonio Zita 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 5TD
17 plays · 75 yds · 6:4345% → 54%
Q2 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
54.9%
Landry Lyddy pass complete to Smoke Harris for 4 yds to the LaTch 29Similar
Q2 14:47
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+1
54.5%
Marquis Crosby run for 1 yd to the LaTch 30Similar
Q2 14:47
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+8
55.0%
Landry Lyddy pass complete to Tre Harris for 8 yds to the LaTch 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-2
54.1%
Marquis Crosby run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaTch 36Similar
Q2 14:47
2ND & 12
OWN 36
+4
54.8%
Marquis Crosby run for 4 yds to the LaTch 40Similar
Q2 14:47
3RD & 8
OWN 40
+8
54.4%
Landry Lyddy run for 8 yds to the LaTch 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-4
53.4%
Landry Lyddy run for a loss of 4 yards to the LaTch 44Similar
Q2 14:47
2ND & 14
OWN 44
+4
54.5%
Landry Lyddy pass complete to Smoke Harris for 4 yds to the LaTch 48Similar
Q2 14:47
3RD & 10
OWN 48
+12
54.2%
LYDDY, Landry pass to the left incomplete intended for HARRIS, Tre thrown to the CLT40. PENALTY CLT Pass Interference on HOWARD, Geo enforced at the spot of the foul for 12 yards to the CLT40 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 14:47
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-4
53.2%
Smoke Harris run for a loss of 4 yards to the Charl 44Similar
Q2 14:47
2ND & 14
OPP 44
+4
54.0%
Landry Lyddy pass complete to Nate Jones for 4 yds to the Charl 40Similar
Q2 14:47
3RD & 10
OPP 40
+36
53.8%
Landry Lyddy pass complete to Cyrus Allen for 36 yds to the Charl 4 for a 1ST down CHARLOTTE Penalty, Offsides (Markees Watts) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
52.5%
Charvis Thornton run for 1 yd to the Charl 3Similar
Q2 14:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
52.5%
Landry Lyddy pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:06
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
53.5%
Landry Lyddy pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:04
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
46.5%
Marquis Crosby run for 3 yds for a TD, (Jacob Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 6TD
10 plays · 79 yds · 4:1148% → 61%
Q2 8:04
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
48.1%
Shadrick Byrd run for 2 yds to the Charl 23Similar
Q2 8:04
2ND & 8
OWN 23
+17
48.0%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Quinton Patten for 17 yds to the Charl 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:04
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
50.4%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Quinton Patten for 7 yds to the Charl 47Similar
Q2 8:04
2ND & 3
OWN 47
-1
50.9%
Shadrick Byrd run for a loss of 1 yard to the Charl 46Similar
Q2 8:04
3RD & 4
OWN 46
+18
49.9%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Taylor Thompson for 18 yds to the LaTch 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:04
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+6
51.2%
Shadrick Byrd run for 6 yds to the LaTch 30Similar
Q2 8:04
2ND & 4
OPP 30
0
52.0%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:04
3RD & 4
OPP 30
+17
50.9%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 17 yds to the LaTch 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:04
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+9
52.0%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 9 yds to the LaTch 4Similar
Q2 3:53
2ND & 1
OPP 4
+4
61.0%
Calvin Camp run for 4 yds for a TD, (Antonio Zita KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 1:4543% → 40%
Q2 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+7
57.2%
Landry Lyddy pass complete to Cyrus Allen for 7 yds to the LaTch 28Similar
Q2 2:25
2ND & 3
OWN 28
-3
56.9%
Charvis Thornton run for a loss of 3 yards to the LaTch 25Similar
Q2 2:18
3RD & 6
OWN 25
-5
58.6%
Landry Lyddy sacked by Kofi Wardlow for a loss of 5 yards to the LaTch 20Similar
Q2 2:08
4TH & 11
OWN 20
+1
60.2%
Arlind Bengu punt for 40 yds , Grant DuBose returns for 1 yd to the Charl 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:4561% → 59%
Q2 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+7
60.7%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 7 yds to the Charl 48Similar
Q2 2:08
2ND & 3
OWN 48
0
61.4%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:08
3RD & 3
OWN 48
0
60.2%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:23
4TH & 3
OWN 48
0
59.2%
Bailey Rice punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 9INT
4 plays · 29 yds · 0:2342% → 44%
Q2 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
58.5%
Landry Lyddy pass complete to Smoke Harris for 2 yds to the LaTch 17Similar
Q2 1:23
2ND & 8
OWN 17
0
58.7%
Landry Lyddy pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:23
3RD & 8
OWN 17
+27
59.9%
Landry Lyddy pass complete to Smoke Harris for 27 yds to the LaTch 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
55.7%
Landry Lyddy pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 10FG
7 plays · 59 yds · 1:0059% → 65%
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+26
59.1%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Taylor Thompson for 26 yds to the LaTch 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+37
62.2%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Taylor Thompson for 37 yds to the LaTch 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
62.6%
Shadrick Byrd run for no gain to the LaTch 2Similar
Q2 1:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
62.7%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
-4
61.3%
Chris Reynolds sacked by Keivie Rose for a loss of 4 yards to the LaTch 6Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+23
65.4%
Antonio Zita 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:0466% → 66%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
66.3%
Shadrick Byrd run for 1 yd to the Charl 36Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+7
66.6%
Shadrick Byrd run for 7 yds to the Charl 43Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 43
0
67.1%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:56
4TH & 2
OWN 43
0
66.1%
Bailey Rice punt for 57 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 12INT
8 plays · 77 yds · 4:1136% → 40%
Q3 13:56
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+10
63.7%
Marquis Crosby run for 10 yds to the LaTch 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:56
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-1
63.3%
Landry Lyddy pass complete to Tre Harris for a loss of 1 yard to the LaTch 29Similar
Q3 13:56
2ND & 11
OWN 29
+6
63.9%
Landry Lyddy pass complete to Tre Harris for 6 yds to the LaTch 35Similar
Q3 13:56
3RD & 5
OWN 35
+39
63.7%
Landry Lyddy pass complete to Cyrus Allen for 39 yds to the Charl 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:56
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
58.8%
Marquis Crosby run for 3 yds to the Charl 23Similar
Q3 13:56
2ND & 7
OPP 23
+20
58.8%
Marquis Crosby run for 20 yds to the Charl 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
58.8%
Marquis Crosby run for no gain to the Charl 3Similar
Q3 9:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
59.7%
Landry Lyddy pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 2:1270% → 66%
Q3 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
70.1%
Calvin Camp run for 5 yds to the Charl 47Similar
Q3 9:45
2ND & 5
OWN 47
-10
70.5%
REYNOLDS, Chris pass to the left complete for 52 yards to SPENCER, Elijah caught at the LT9 and advanced to the LT1 (SINGLETON, Cecil). PENALTY CLT Holding on ROSSO, Matt enforced 10 yards from the CLT47 to the CLT37 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 9:45
2ND & 15
OWN 37
-1
68.1%
Calvin Camp run for a loss of 1 yard to the Charl 36Similar
Q3 9:45
3RD & 16
OWN 36
+9
67.0%
Shadrick Byrd run for 9 yds to the Charl 45Similar
Q3 7:33
4TH & 7
OWN 45
0
67.9%
Bailey Rice punt for 55 yds for a touchbackSimilar
Q3 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-10
66.1%
LYDDY, Landry pass to the right complete for 10 yards to HARRIS, Smoke caught at the LT20 and advanced to the LT30, out of bounds. PENALTY LT Holding on HEBERT, Griffin enforced 10 yards from the LT20 to the LT10 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · -10 yds · 1:4334% → 31%
Q3 7:33
1ST & 20
OWN 10
+2
66.4%
Marquis Crosby run for 2 yds to the LaTch 12Similar
Q3 7:33
2ND & 18
OWN 12
0
66.7%
Landry Lyddy pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:33
3RD & 18
OWN 12
-5
67.9%
LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, False Start (Isaac Ellis) to the LaTch 7Similar
Q3 7:33
3RD & 23
OWN 7
+3
68.4%
Landry Lyddy pass complete to Smoke Harris for 3 yds to the LaTch 10Similar
Q3 5:50
4TH & 20
OWN 10
0
69.4%
Patrick Rea punt for 51 yds, downed at the LaTch 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 15TD
4 plays · 46 yds · 1:2673% → 86%
Q3 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
72.7%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:50
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+6
72.5%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Jake Clemons for 6 yds to the LaTch 40Similar
Q3 5:50
3RD & 4
OPP 40
+15
71.9%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 15 yds to the LaTch 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:24
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
85.6%
Calvin Camp 25 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 16TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 6:4817% → 41%
Q3 4:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
83.3%
Landry Lyddy pass complete to Smoke Harris for 2 yds to the LaTch 27Similar
Q3 4:24
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+16
82.9%
Charvis Thornton run for 16 yds to the LaTch 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:24
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
81.8%
Charvis Thornton run for 4 yds to the LaTch 47Similar
Q3 4:24
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+4
81.0%
Charvis Thornton run for 4 yds to the Charl 49Similar
Q3 4:24
3RD & 2
OPP 49
+7
81.1%
Charvis Thornton run for 7 yds to the Charl 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:24
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-5
80.8%
LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Charl 47Similar
Q3 4:24
1ST & 15
OPP 47
+6
81.8%
Marquis Crosby run for 6 yds to the Charl 41Similar
Q3 4:24
2ND & 9
OPP 41
+2
80.8%
Marquis Crosby run for 2 yds to the Charl 39Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 39
+1
83.2%
Charvis Thornton run for 1 yd to the Charl 38Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 6
OPP 38
+4
84.1%
LYDDY, Landry pass incomplete intended for ALLEN, Cyrus thrown to the CLT34. PENALTY CLT Pass Interference on BLY, Trey enforced at the spot of the foul for 4 yards to the CLT34 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+12
81.7%
Charvis Thornton run for 12 yds to the Charl 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+4
81.3%
Charvis Thornton run for 4 yds to the Charl 18Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 18
+12
81.3%
Marquis Crosby run for 12 yds to the Charl 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
59.0%
Marquis Crosby run for 6 yds for a TD, (Jacob Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 17PUNT
9 plays · 46 yds · 4:0172% → 77%
Q4 12:36
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+7
72.4%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Shadrick Byrd for 7 yds to the Charl 20Similar
Q4 12:36
2ND & 3
OWN 20
-1
72.9%
Shadrick Byrd run for a loss of 1 yard to the Charl 19Similar
Q4 12:36
3RD & 4
OWN 19
+5
70.9%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Quinton Patten for 5 yds to the Charl 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:36
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+18
72.8%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Taylor Thompson for 18 yds to the Charl 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:36
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+15
75.0%
REYNOLDS, Chris pass to the right incomplete intended for PATTEN, Quinton thrown to the LT48. PENALTY LT Pass Interference on JOHNSON, Reginald enforced 15 yards to the LT43 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 12:36
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-4
76.3%
Chris Reynolds sacked by Kershawn Fisher for a loss of 4 yards to the LaTch 47Similar
Q4 12:36
2ND & 14
OPP 47
+6
74.6%
Shadrick Byrd run for 6 yds to the LaTch 41Similar
Q4 12:36
3RD & 8
OPP 41
0
75.1%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:35
4TH & 8
OPP 41
0
77.0%
Bailey Rice punt for 29 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:4531% → 25%
Q4 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-4
68.6%
Marquis Crosby run for a loss of 4 yards to the LaTch 8Similar
Q4 8:35
2ND & 14
OWN 8
+1
69.6%
Landry Lyddy run for 1 yd to the LaTch 9Similar
Q4 8:35
3RD & 13
OWN 9
+5
71.2%
Landry Lyddy pass complete to Marquis Crosby for 5 yds to the LaTch 14Similar
Q4 6:50
4TH & 8
OWN 14
0
75.3%
Patrick Rea punt for 44 yds, downed at the Charl 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 19TD
2 plays · 58 yds · 0:5284% → 95%
Q4 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+25
84.3%
Calvin Camp run for 25 yds to the LaTch 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:58
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+33
94.9%
Calvin Camp run for 33 yds for a TD, (Antonio Zita KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 20TD
7 plays · 64 yds · 2:538% → 34%
Q4 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
92.4%
Marquis Crosby run for 6 yds to the LaTch 42Similar
Q4 5:58
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+8
92.1%
Marquis Crosby run for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:58
1ST & 10
50
+15
92.0%
Landry Lyddy pass complete to Charvis Thornton for 15 yds to the Charl 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:58
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-10
91.4%
Landry Lyddy sacked by Prince Bemah for a loss of 10 yards to the Charl 45Similar
Q4 5:58
2ND & 20
OPP 45
+29
92.4%
Landry Lyddy pass complete to Nate Jones for 29 yds to the Charl 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:58
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+5
91.0%
Landry Lyddy pass complete to Marquis Crosby for 5 yds to the Charl 11Similar
Q4 3:05
2ND & 5
OPP 11
+11
66.3%
Marquis Crosby run for 11 yds for a TD, (Jacob Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 21END OF GAME
12 plays · 39 yds · 3:0588% → 95%
Q4 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+22
87.8%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Quinton Patten for 22 yds to the Charl 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
90.8%
Shadrick Byrd run for 2 yds to the Charl 49Similar
Q4 2:35
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+10
90.8%
REYNOLDS, Chris pass to the left incomplete intended for SPENCER, Elijah thrown to the LT40. PENALTY LT Pass Interference on DAVIS, Hugh enforced at the spot of the foul for 10 yards to the LT41 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 2:25
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
91.8%
Chris Reynolds run for 1 yd to the LaTch 40Similar
Q4 2:18
2ND & 9
OPP 40
+3
92.6%
Shadrick Byrd run for 3 yds to the LaTch 37Similar
Q4 2:18
3RD & 6
OPP 37
+11
92.2%
Calvin Camp run for 11 yds to the LaTch 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:18
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-5
93.4%
Kneel down by CLT at LT31 (team loss of 1). PENALTY Before the snap, CLT False Start on GIST, Ashton enforced 5 yards from the LT26 to the LT31. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 2:18
1ST & 15
OPP 31
0
93.0%
[NHSG] Kneel down by CLT at LT35 (team loss of 4).Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 19
OPP 35
0
95.1%
[NHSG] Kneel down by CLT at LT36 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 3:05
Marquis Crosby run for 11 yds for a TD, (Jacob Barnes KICK)
-24.6
TD · Q4 12:36
Marquis Crosby run for 6 yds for a TD, (Jacob Barnes KICK)
-22.3
TD · Q3 4:24
Calvin Camp 25 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)
+13.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com