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UNT

North Texas 21 at UAB 41

UAB
2022 · Week 11 · Nov 12, 2022 · Protective Stadium
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Win probability · UAB
modelUAB aheadUNT aheadconfidence bandkey playUAB scoreUNT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · D. Hopkins takes a knee
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+34.0+17.00−17.0−34.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:40: Timeout UAB, clock 13:40 — UAB win probability +5.6 pts (now 76%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 10:02: Austin Aune pass complete to Damon Ward Jr. for 18 yds for a TD, (Ethan Mooney KICK) — UNT win probability +8.0 pts (now 38%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 10:02: Timeout UAB, clock 10:02 — UAB win probability +5.2 pts (now 67%) (top driver: 40:02 available per score still needed).
  4. TD · Q3 3:10: Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Trea Shropshire for 2 yds for a TD, (Matt Quinn KICK) — UAB win probability +15.1 pts (now 81%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 7:55: DeWayne McBride run for 1 yd for a TD, (Matt Quinn KICK) — UAB win probability +11.2 pts (now 96%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UAB made the numbers' call on 3 of 4UNT made the numbers' call on 3 of 7
  1. Q1 9:12UNT 4th & 5 at UAB 27, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 30.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.8%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    30.8%
    62% to make
    Punt
    30.3%−0.6
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:26UAB 4th & 1 at UNT 1, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 70.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    70.3%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    69.4%−0.8
    94% to make
    Punt
    67.3%−3.0
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:00UNT 4th & 1 at UAB 12, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 25.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    25.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    24.0%−1.4
    86% to make
    Punt
    19.3%−6.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:12UAB 4th & 1 at UAB 34, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 70.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    71.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    70.6%−0.7
    average punt
  5. Q2 1:49UAB 4th & 4 at UNT 6, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 51.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    50.8%−0.5
    91% to make
    Punt
    43.4%−7.9
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:17UNT 4th & 1 at UNT 49, up 4
    Close callPunted · 46.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.3%−0.6
    average punt
  7. Q3 8:08UAB 4th & 11 at UNT 22, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 52.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.4%−2.2
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    51.7%
    72% to make
    Punt
    42.3%−9.4
    average punt
  8. Q3 6:15UNT 4th & 2 at UNT 36, up 1
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 43.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.1%−1.2
    average punt
  9. Q4 14:06UNT 4th & 8 at UAB 34, down 6
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsPunted · 27.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.4%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    27.3%−0.1
    47% to make
    PuntTheir call
    25.8%−1.6
    average punt
  10. Q4 6:20UNT 4th & 1 at UAB 48, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.9%−1.4
    average punt
  11. Q4 0:10UNT 4th & 10 at UAB 38, down 20
    Close callWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.5%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    0.8%
    38% to make
    Punt
    0.5%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UAB made the numbers' call on 5 of 5UNT made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 11:32UAB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:26UAB Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 13:40UNT Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 10:02UNT Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    33.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    33.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 6:17UNT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 3:10UAB Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 7:55UAB Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 0:54UAB Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.8%−0.6
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UNTDrive 1FUMBLE
4 plays · -9 yds · 0:5330% → 30%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
70.3%
Austin Aune pass incomplete to Jyaire ShorterSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
70.3%
Austin Aune pass complete to Jake Roberts for 2 yds to the NoTex 27Similar
Q1 14:07
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-11
70.2%
Austin Aune sacked by Devodric Bynum for a loss of 11 yards to the NoTex 16 Austin Aune fumbled, recovered by UAB Kelle Sanders , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 2TD
7 plays · 16 yds · 2:3570% → 71%
Q1 14:07
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+6
70.3%
DeWayne McBride run for 6 yds to the NoTex 10Similar
Q1 14:07
2ND & 4
OPP 10
+1
70.3%
DeWayne McBride run for 1 yd to the NoTex 9Similar
Q1 14:07
3RD & 3
OPP 9
+3
70.3%
DeWayne McBride run for 3 yds to the NoTex 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
70.3%
DeWayne McBride run for 3 yds to the NoTex 3Similar
Q1 14:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
70.3%
Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to Brody DaltonSimilar
Q1 11:32
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
71.2%
DeWayne McBride run for 3 yds for a TD, (Matt Quinn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 3MISSED FG
12 plays · 48 yds · 2:2029% → 29%
Q1 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
70.8%
Austin Aune pass complete to Roderic Burns for 5 yds to the NoTex 30Similar
Q1 11:32
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+6
70.7%
Austin Aune pass complete to Damon Ward Jr. for 6 yds to the NoTex 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
70.6%
Austin Aune pass incomplete to Damon Ward Jr.Similar
Q1 11:32
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+11
70.7%
Austin Aune pass complete to Damon Ward Jr. for 11 yds to the NoTex 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
70.5%
Austin Aune pass incomplete to Jyaire ShorterSimilar
Q1 11:32
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+21
70.6%
Austin Aune pass complete to Jake Roberts for 21 yds to the UAB 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:32
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
70.3%
Austin Aune pass complete to Ja'Mori Maclin for 5 yds to the UAB 27Similar
Q1 11:32
2ND & 5
OPP 27
0
70.3%
Austin Aune pass incomplete to Damon Ward Jr.Similar
Q1 9:22
3RD & 5
OPP 27
0
71.0%
Austin Aune pass incomplete to Damon Ward Jr.Similar
Q1 9:12
4TH & 5
OPP 27
+44
71.3%
Ethan Mooney 44 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 4TD
10 plays · 73 yds · 4:4672% → 76%
Q1 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+37
71.8%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 37 yds to the NoTex 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:12
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+6
72.3%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Trea Shropshire for 6 yds to the NoTex 30Similar
Q1 9:12
2ND & 4
OPP 30
+5
72.4%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to TJ Jones for 5 yds to the NoTex 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:12
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+15
72.4%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 15 yds to the NoTex 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
72.4%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for no gain to the NoTex 10Similar
Q1 9:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
-5
72.4%
PENALTY UAB False Start (McGee,Quincy) 5 yards from UNT10 to UNT15. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 15
+12
72.3%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 12 yds to the NoTex 3Similar
Q1 9:12
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
72.2%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 2 yds to the NoTex 1Similar
Q1 4:26
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
76.3%
DeWayne McBride run for 1 yd for a TD, (Matt Quinn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 5TD
17 plays · 75 yds · 5:4625% → 30%
Q1 4:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
74.7%
Ikaika Ragsdale run for 7 yds to the NoTex 32Similar
Q1 4:26
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+1
74.3%
Ikaika Ragsdale run for 1 yd to the NoTex 33Similar
Q1 4:26
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+3
74.5%
Isaiah Johnson run for 3 yds to the NoTex 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:26
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
74.4%
Austin Aune run for 5 yds to the NoTex 41Similar
Q1 4:26
2ND & 5
OWN 41
0
74.2%
Austin Aune pass incomplete to Damon Ward Jr.Similar
Q1 4:26
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+5
74.5%
Austin Aune pass complete to Damon Ward Jr. for 5 yds to the NoTex 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:26
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
74.2%
Ikaika Ragsdale run for 3 yds to the NoTex 49Similar
Q1 4:26
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+30
74.1%
Ikaika Ragsdale run for 30 yds to the UAB 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:26
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
73.4%
Austin Aune pass incomplete to Jake RobertsSimilar
Q1 4:26
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+9
73.6%
Isaiah Johnson run for 9 yds to the UAB 12Similar
Q1 4:26
3RD & 1
OPP 12
0
73.6%
Austin Aune pass incomplete to Kaylon HortonSimilar
Q1 0:00
4TH & 1
OPP 12
+6
75.0%
Ikaika Ragsdale run for 6 yds to the UAB 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
74.4%
Ikaika Ragsdale run for 3 yds to the UAB 3Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
74.4%
Austin Aune pass complete to Var'Keyes Gumms for 2 yds to the UAB 5Similar
Q2 13:40
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
70.4%
Austin Aune run for 5 yds for a TD, (Ethan Mooney KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 6DOWNS
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:2876% → 76%
Q2 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
75.9%
Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to Trea ShropshireSimilar
Q2 13:40
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
75.8%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 7 yds to the UAB 32Similar
Q2 13:40
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+2
75.6%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Fred Farrier II for 2 yds to the UAB 34Similar
Q2 12:12
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
75.7%
DeWayne McBride run for no gain to the UAB 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 7TD
6 plays · 34 yds · 2:1030% → 38%
Q2 12:12
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
70.5%
Austin Aune pass incomplete to Roderic BurnsSimilar
Q2 12:12
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+7
70.5%
Isaiah Johnson run for 7 yds to the UAB 27Similar
Q2 12:12
3RD & 3
OPP 27
+5
71.3%
Ikaika Ragsdale run for 5 yds to the UAB 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:12
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+4
70.3%
Ikaika Ragsdale run for 4 yds to the UAB 18Similar
Q2 10:02
2ND & 6
OPP 18
+18
62.2%
Austin Aune pass complete to Damon Ward Jr. for 18 yds for a TD, (Ethan Mooney KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 8FUMBLE
6 plays · 33 yds · 2:0967% → 69%
Q2 10:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
67.4%
DeWayne McBride run for 2 yds to the UAB 27Similar
Q2 10:02
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+9
67.4%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Samario Rudolph for 9 yds to the UAB 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:02
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
68.1%
DeWayne McBride run for 1 yd to the UAB 37Similar
Q2 10:02
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+19
67.8%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Fred Farrier II for 19 yds to the NoTex 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:53
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
69.3%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to TJ Jones for 2 yds TJ Jones fumbled, recovered by NoTex Sean-Thomas FaulknerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 9TD
5 plays · 58 yds · 1:3638% → 43%
Q2 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+53
61.9%
Austin Aune pass complete to Jyaire Shorter for 53 yds to the UAB 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
60.1%
Ikaika Ragsdale run for 2 yds to the UAB 3Similar
Q2 7:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
60.1%
Ikaika Ragsdale run for 2 yds to the UAB 1Similar
Q2 6:17
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
56.6%
Isaiah Johnson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Ethan Mooney KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 10FG
13 plays · 69 yds · 4:2861% → 64%
Q2 6:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
60.7%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 14 yds to the UAB 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:17
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
61.6%
Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to Trea ShropshireSimilar
Q2 6:17
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+2
61.4%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 2 yds to the UAB 41Similar
Q2 6:17
3RD & 8
OWN 41
+19
60.9%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Trea Shropshire for 19 yds to the NoTex 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:17
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
63.3%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for no gain to the NoTex 40Similar
Q2 6:17
2ND & 10
OPP 40
-7
63.1%
Dylan Hopkins sacked by Mazin Richards for a loss of 7 yards to the NoTex 47Similar
Q2 6:17
3RD & 17
OPP 47
+35
61.2%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Trea Shropshire for 35 yds to the NoTex 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:17
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
63.6%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for no gain to the NoTex 12Similar
Q2 6:17
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+2
63.6%
Dylan Hopkins run for 2 yds to the NoTex 10Similar
Q2 1:56
3RD & 8
OPP 10
+4
59.8%
Dylan Hopkins run for 4 yds to the NoTex 6Similar
Q2 1:49
4TH & 4
OPP 6
+24
63.5%
Matt Quinn 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:3240% → 39%
Q2 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
60.5%
Ikaika Ragsdale run for 1 yd to the NoTex 39Similar
Q2 1:49
2ND & 11
OWN 39
+8
61.5%
Austin Aune pass complete to Var'Keyes Gumms for 8 yds to the NoTex 47Similar
Q2 1:49
3RD & 3
OWN 47
+2
61.0%
Ikaika Ragsdale run for 2 yds to the NoTex 49Similar
Q2 0:17
4TH & 1
OWN 49
0
61.1%
Bernardo Rodriguez punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Starling Thomas V at the UAB 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · 6 yds · 0:0062% → 62%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+6
61.6%
DeWayne McBride run for 6 yds to the UAB 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 13FG
16 plays · 53 yds · 6:5257% → 59%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
57.3%
DeWayne McBride run for 3 yds to the UAB 28Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
57.6%
Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to Tejhaun PalmerSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+8
56.2%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Samario Rudolph for 8 yds to the UAB 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+11
58.1%
DeWayne McBride run for 11 yds to the UAB 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-5
60.3%
PENALTY UAB False Start (McGee,Quincy) 5 yards from UAB47 to UAB42. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 42
+15
58.0%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Samario Rudolph for 15 yds to the NoTex 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+8
60.9%
DeWayne McBride run for 8 yds to the NoTex 35Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 35
+4
62.4%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Trea Shropshire for 4 yds to the NoTex 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+7
62.4%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 7 yds to the NoTex 24Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 24
+1
62.4%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 1 yd to the NoTex 25Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 25
+4
60.6%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 4 yds to the NoTex 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+1
62.4%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 1 yd to the NoTex 22Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 22
0
62.3%
Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to Samario RudolphSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 22
0
60.3%
Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to Trea ShropshireSimilar
Q3 8:08
4TH & 11
OPP 22
+39
58.5%
Matt Quinn 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 5:3243% → 46%
Q3 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
57.1%
Ikaika Ragsdale run for 4 yds to the NoTex 32Similar
Q3 8:08
2ND & 6
OWN 32
+4
56.5%
Ikaika Ragsdale run for 4 yds to the NoTex 36Similar
Q3 6:15
4TH & 2
OWN 36
0
57.7%
Bernardo Rodriguez punt for 44 yds , Starling Thomas V returns for no gain to the UAB 16Similar
Q3 2:36
3RD & 2
OWN 36
0
54.1%
Ikaika Ragsdale run for no gain to the NoTex 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 15TD
6 plays · 84 yds · 3:0560% → 81%
Q3 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
59.5%
Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to Trea ShropshireSimilar
Q3 6:15
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+2
59.1%
DeWayne McBride run for 2 yds to the UAB 18Similar
Q3 6:15
3RD & 8
OWN 18
+75
57.6%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Tejhaun Palmer for 75 yds to the NoTex 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
65.9%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 3 yds to the NoTex 4Similar
Q3 6:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
65.9%
Dylan Hopkins run for 2 yds to the NoTex 2Similar
Q3 3:10
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
81.1%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Trea Shropshire for 2 yds for a TD, (Matt Quinn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 16PUNT
14 plays · 26 yds · 3:5825% → 22%
Q3 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
75.1%
Austin Aune pass complete to Ikaika Ragsdale for 7 yds to the NoTex 47Similar
Q3 3:04
2ND & 3
OWN 47
0
73.9%
Austin Aune pass incomplete to Kaylon HortonSimilar
Q3 3:04
3RD & 3
OWN 47
+6
74.2%
Austin Aune run for 6 yds to the UAB 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:04
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
73.4%
Austin Aune pass complete to Var'Keyes Gumms for 2 yds to the UAB 45Similar
Q3 3:04
2ND & 8
OPP 45
0
73.5%
Austin Aune pass incomplete to Jyaire ShorterSimilar
Q3 3:04
3RD & 8
OPP 45
+9
74.1%
Austin Aune pass complete to Damon Ward Jr. for 9 yds to the UAB 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+5
73.7%
Isaiah Johnson run for 5 yds to the UAB 31Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 31
+2
71.6%
Ikaika Ragsdale run for 2 yds to the UAB 29Similar
Q4 14:18
3RD & 3
OPP 29
-5
74.5%
PENALTY UNT False Start (Ward,Damon) 5 yards from UAB29 to UAB34. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:18
3RD & 8
OPP 34
0
74.7%
Austin Aune pass incomplete to Ikaika RagsdaleSimilar
Q4 14:06
4TH & 8
OPP 34
0
78.0%
Bernardo Rodriguez punt for 18 yds, fair catch by Starling Thomas V at the UAB 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 17TD
12 plays · 91 yds · 6:1182% → 96%
Q4 14:06
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+6
82.0%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Jermaine Brown Jr. for 6 yds to the UAB 22Similar
Q4 14:06
2ND & 4
OWN 22
+3
82.2%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 3 yds to the UAB 25Similar
Q4 14:06
3RD & 1
OWN 25
+33
81.5%
DeWayne McBride run for 33 yds to the NoTex 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:06
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
84.1%
DeWayne McBride run for 5 yds to the NoTex 37Similar
Q4 14:06
2ND & 5
OPP 37
+7
84.3%
DeWayne McBride run for 7 yds to the NoTex 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:06
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
85.0%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 1 yd to the NoTex 19Similar
Q4 14:06
2ND & 5
OPP 37
+17
84.3%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Fred Farrier II for 27 yds to the NoTex 10 for a 1ST down UAB Penalty, Offensive Holding (Samario Rudolph) to the NoTex 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:06
2ND & 9
OPP 19
0
85.0%
Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to Fred Farrier IISimilar
Q4 14:06
3RD & 9
OPP 19
+9
83.6%
DeWayne McBride run for 9 yds to the NoTex 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+9
85.0%
DeWayne McBride run for 9 yds to the NoTex 1Similar
Q4 14:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
85.0%
Dylan Hopkins run for no gain to the NoTex 1Similar
Q4 7:55
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
96.2%
DeWayne McBride run for 1 yd for a TD, (Matt Quinn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 18DOWNS
6 plays · 23 yds · 1:285% → 4%
Q4 7:48
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+15
95.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun Aune,Austin pass incomplete short left to Shorter,Jyaire PENALTY UAB Pass Interference (Thomas V,Starling) 15 yards from UNT28 to UNT43, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:48
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+9
94.9%
Austin Aune pass complete to Damon Ward Jr. for 9 yds to the UAB 48Similar
Q4 7:48
2ND & 1
OPP 48
0
94.5%
Austin Aune pass incomplete to Roderic BurnsSimilar
Q4 7:48
3RD & 1
OPP 48
0
94.7%
Ikaika Ragsdale run for no gain to the UAB 48Similar
Q4 6:20
4TH & 1
OPP 48
+1
95.7%
Austin Aune run for 1 yd to the UAB 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 19TD
9 plays · 51 yds · 5:2697% → 100%
Q4 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+23
96.7%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 23 yds to the NoTex 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:20
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+10
96.9%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 10 yds to the NoTex 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:20
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
96.9%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 2 yds to the NoTex 16Similar
Q4 6:20
2ND & 8
OPP 16
+7
96.9%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 7 yds to the NoTex 9Similar
Q4 6:20
3RD & 1
OPP 9
+6
96.8%
DeWayne McBride run for 6 yds to the NoTex 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
97.0%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 2 yds to the NoTex 1Similar
Q4 6:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
96.9%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for no gain to the NoTex 1Similar
Q4 0:54
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.7%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD, (Matt Quinn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 20DOWNS
7 plays · 2 yds · 0:411% → 1%
Q4 0:51
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
99.5%
Austin Aune pass incomplete to Jyaire ShorterSimilar
Q4 0:51
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+10
99.5%
Austin Aune run for 10 yds to the UAB 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:51
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
99.5%
Austin Aune pass incomplete to Jyaire ShorterSimilar
Q4 0:51
2ND & 10
OPP 38
0
99.5%
Austin Aune pass incomplete to Roderic BurnsSimilar
Q4 0:51
3RD & 10
OPP 38
0
99.5%
Austin Aune pass incomplete to Ja'Mori MaclinSimilar
Q4 0:10
4TH & 10
OPP 38
-8
99.5%
Austin Aune sacked by Kyle Harrell for a loss of 8 yards to the UAB 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 21END OF GAME
1 play · 0 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
99.7%
D. Hopkins takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 3:10
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Trea Shropshire for 2 yds for a TD, (Matt Quinn KICK)
+15.1
TD · Q4 7:55
DeWayne McBride run for 1 yd for a TD, (Matt Quinn KICK)
+11.2
TD · Q2 10:02
Austin Aune pass complete to Damon Ward Jr. for 18 yds for a TD, (Ethan Mooney KICK)
-8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com