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UTSA

UTSA 44 at UAB 38

UAB
2022 · Week 10 · Nov 5, 2022 · Protective Stadium
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Win probability · UAB
modelUAB aheadUTSA aheadconfidence bandkey playUAB scoreUTSA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGTDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 10:08 · Kyle Greenwell punt for 44 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+39.0+19.50−19.5−39.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 10Home team on offense+0.1Garbage-time factor−0.1Pregame prior−6.1Score differential−0.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 5:23: DeWayne McBride run for 2 yds for a TD, (Matt Quinn KICK) — UAB win probability +21.4 pts (now 63%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 2:05: Kevorian Barnes run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jared Sackett KICK) — UTSA win probability +22.8 pts (now 73%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 8:23: Zakhari Franklin 12 Yd pass from Frank Harris (Frank Harris Pass to Zakhari Franklin for Two-Point Conversion) — UTSA win probability +15.9 pts (now 94%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 4:39: Jacob Zeno run for 1 yd for a TD, (Matt Quinn KICK) — UAB win probability +20.7 pts (now 29%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:15: Jacob Zeno pass complete to Trea Shropshire for 38 yds for a TD, (Matt Quinn KICK) — UAB win probability +49.2 pts (now 64%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UAB made the numbers' call on 6 of 7UTSA made the numbers' call on 3 of 6
  1. Q1 10:08UAB 4th & 12 at UTSA 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.0%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    45.9%−0.2
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    46.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 1:22UAB 4th & 14 at UTSA 47, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.6%−0.9
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.5%
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:54UTSA 4th & 13 at UTSA 26, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.5%−1.4
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.9%
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:16UTSA 4th & 3 at UAB 12, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 60.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.4%
    50% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    59.9%−0.5
    86% to make
    Punt
    55.7%−4.7
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:32UTSA 4th & 2 at UAB 14, up 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 64.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.9%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    63.4%−0.5
    84% to make
    Punt
    60.8%−3.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:21UTSA 4th & 10 at UAB 28, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 62.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.8%−0.7
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    61.5%
    60% to make
    Punt
    57.1%−4.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:44UAB 4th & 6 at UTSA 49, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 35.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    35.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    35.0%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:25UAB 4th & 10 at UTSA 12, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 35.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.3%−1.9
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    35.2%
    86% to make
    Punt
    29.0%−6.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 13:03UTSA 4th & 9 at UAB 42, up 6
    Close callPunted · 63.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.5%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    62.5%−1.0
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    63.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:21UAB 4th & 2 at UTSA 4, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 39.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    39.7%
    50% to convert
    Field goal
    37.3%−2.4
    93% to make
    Punt
    25.2%−14.5
    average punt
  11. Q4 11:37UAB 4th & 2 at UTSA 21, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 38.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    37.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    35.7%−2.0
    74% to make
    Punt
    23.6%−14.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 8:18UAB 4th & 6 at UTSA 12, down 14
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.7 ptsWent for it · 9.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.2%−1.7
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    9.9%
    86% to make
    Punt
    4.1%−5.8
    average punt
  13. Q4 1:15UTSA 4th & 10 at UTSA 30, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.8%−1.0
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.8%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UAB made the numbers' call on 4 of 4UTSA made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 6:32UTSA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 5:53UAB Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 5:23UAB Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 2:05UTSA Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.4%−0.3
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 8:23UTSA Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    88.6%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    88.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 4:39UAB Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    13.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    12.3%−0.9
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 0:15UAB Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.4%−7.8
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UABDrive 1PUNT
10 plays · 34 yds · 4:4743% → 45%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
43.4%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Trea Shropshire for 1 yd to the UAB 22Similar
Q1 14:55
2ND & 9
OWN 22
+6
43.4%
DeWayne McBride run for 6 yds to the UAB 28Similar
Q1 14:55
3RD & 3
OWN 28
+6
43.4%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Trea Shropshire for 6 yds to the UAB 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+23
43.4%
Jacob Zeno run for 23 yds to the TexSA 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+1
43.4%
DeWayne McBride run for 1 yd to the TexSA 42Similar
Q1 14:55
2ND & 9
OPP 42
+5
43.4%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 5 yds to the TexSA 37Similar
Q1 14:55
3RD & 4
OPP 37
-5
43.4%
PENALTY UAB False Start (Telfort,Kadeem) 5 yards from TSA37 to TSA42. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 14:55
3RD & 9
OPP 42
-3
43.4%
Jacob Zeno sacked by Trey Moore for a loss of 3 yards to the TexSA 45Similar
Q1 10:08
4TH & 12
OPP 45
0
44.6%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 2TD
9 plays · 99 yds · 3:3655% → 59%
Q1 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
44.7%
PENALTY TSA False Start (Franklin,Zakhari). NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
44.7%
Brenden Brady run for no gain to the TexSA 1Similar
Q1 10:08
2ND & 10
OWN 1
+2
44.8%
Frank Harris run for 2 yds to the TexSA 3Similar
Q1 10:08
3RD & 8
OWN 3
+10
45.0%
Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 10 yds to the TexSA 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+6
44.7%
Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 6 yds to the TexSA 19Similar
Q1 10:08
2ND & 4
OWN 19
+3
44.7%
Brenden Brady run for 3 yds to the TexSA 22Similar
Q1 10:08
3RD & 1
OWN 22
+4
44.8%
Brenden Brady run for 4 yds to the TexSA 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+54
44.6%
Frank Harris pass complete to Oscar Cardenas for 54 yds to the UAB 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:32
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
41.2%
Frank Harris pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 20 yds for a TD, (Jared Sackett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 3PUNT
10 plays · 33 yds · 5:0542% → 41%
Q1 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
42.3%
DeWayne McBride run for no gain to the UAB 20Similar
Q1 6:27
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+1
42.3%
DeWayne McBride run for 1 yd to the UAB 21Similar
Q1 6:27
3RD & 9
OWN 21
+19
42.0%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Samario Rudolph for 19 yds to the UAB 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+9
42.9%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Tejhaun Palmer for 9 yds to the UAB 49Similar
Q1 6:27
2ND & 1
OWN 49
+8
43.2%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Tejhaun Palmer for 8 yds to the TexSA 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:27
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
43.4%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to TJ Jones for no gain to the TexSA 43Similar
Q1 6:27
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+3
43.2%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 3 yds to the TexSA 40Similar
Q1 6:27
3RD & 7
OPP 40
-7
43.2%
Jacob Zeno sacked by Corey Mayfield Jr. for a loss of 7 yards to the TexSA 47 Jacob Zeno fumbled, recovered by UAB Jermaine Brown Jr. , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q1 1:22
4TH & 14
OPP 47
0
40.8%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 35 yds , Joshua Cephus returns for no gain to the TexSA 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 2:2859% → 58%
Q1 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+8
41.1%
Frank Harris pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 8 yds to the TexSA 20Similar
Q1 1:22
2ND & 2
OWN 20
+9
40.7%
Frank Harris pass complete to De'Corian Clark for 9 yds to the TexSA 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-6
40.4%
Frank Harris sacked by Drew Tuazama for a loss of 6 yards to the TexSA 23Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 16
OWN 23
0
40.9%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to Joshua CephusSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 16
OWN 23
+8
41.3%
Brenden Brady run for 8 yds to the TexSA 31Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 8
OWN 31
-5
41.4%
PENALTY TSA False Start (Marburger,Eddie Lee) 5 yards from TSA31 to TSA26. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:54
4TH & 13
OWN 26
0
41.6%
Lucas Dean punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 5INT
3 plays · 20 yds · 0:5841% → 42%
Q2 13:54
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+25
41.2%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Trea Shropshire for 25 yds to the TexSA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:54
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-5
42.8%
PENALTY UAB False Start (Trehern,Matthew) 5 yards from TSA41 to TSA46. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:56
1ST & 15
OPP 46
0
41.9%
Jacob Zeno pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 6FG
11 plays · 50 yds · 3:4061% → 63%
Q2 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+15
39.3%
Kevorian Barnes run for 15 yds to the UAB 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:56
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+7
38.8%
Kevorian Barnes run for 7 yds to the UAB 40Similar
Q2 12:56
2ND & 3
OPP 40
+7
38.7%
Frank Harris pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 7 yds to the UAB 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:56
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
38.6%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to Zakhari FranklinSimilar
Q2 12:56
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+9
38.7%
Kevorian Barnes run for 9 yds to the UAB 24Similar
Q2 11:11
3RD & 1
OPP 24
+5
39.0%
Kevorian Barnes run for 5 yds to the UAB 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:11
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
38.7%
Kevorian Barnes run for 5 yds to the UAB 14Similar
Q2 11:11
2ND & 5
OPP 14
+2
38.7%
Kevorian Barnes run for 2 yds to the UAB 12Similar
Q2 11:11
3RD & 3
OPP 12
0
39.0%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to Zakhari FranklinSimilar
Q2 9:16
4TH & 3
OPP 12
+29
37.3%
Jared Sackett 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 7FG
8 plays · 40 yds · 2:4364% → 67%
Q2 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+15
36.5%
Frank Harris pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 15 yds to the UAB 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:15
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
36.4%
Brenden Brady run for 4 yds to the UAB 35Similar
Q2 9:15
2ND & 6
OPP 35
+13
36.2%
Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 13 yds to the UAB 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:15
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+6
36.2%
Brenden Brady run for 6 yds to the UAB 16Similar
Q2 9:15
2ND & 4
OPP 16
+2
36.2%
Brenden Brady run for 2 yds to the UAB 14Similar
Q2 9:15
3RD & 2
OPP 14
0
36.6%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to Joshua CephusSimilar
Q2 6:32
4TH & 2
OPP 14
+31
32.7%
Jared Sackett 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 8TD
5 plays · 63 yds · 0:3434% → 41%
Q2 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-5
34.0%
PENALTY UAB False Start (Rykard,Will) 5 yards from UAB37 to UAB32. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:27
1ST & 15
OWN 32
0
33.4%
DeWayne McBride run for no gain to the UAB 32Similar
Q2 5:53
2ND & 15
OWN 32
+68
41.1%
DeWayne McBride run for 68 yds for a TD, (Matt Quinn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 9FG
8 plays · 37 yds · 3:2562% → 65%
Q2 5:46
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
38.5%
Trelon Smith run for 2 yds to the TexSA 37Similar
Q2 5:46
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+11
38.2%
Frank Harris pass complete to Dan Dishman for 11 yds to the TexSA 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:46
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+7
37.3%
Trelon Smith run for 7 yds to the UAB 45Similar
Q2 5:46
2ND & 3
OPP 45
+17
36.8%
Frank Harris pass complete to Oscar Cardenas for 17 yds to the UAB 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:46
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
36.5%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to Tykee Ogle-KelloggSimilar
Q2 5:46
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+4
36.6%
Kevorian Barnes run for 4 yds to the UAB 24Similar
Q2 5:46
3RD & 6
OPP 24
+4
36.9%
Frank Harris pass complete to Kevorian Barnes for 4 yds to the UAB 28Similar
Q2 2:21
4TH & 10
OPP 28
+46
34.9%
Jared Sackett 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 10FG
17 plays · 55 yds · 1:5036% → 38%
Q2 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+9
36.3%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Tejhaun Palmer for 9 yds to the UAB 42Similar
Q2 2:15
2ND & 1
OWN 42
+5
37.6%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Jermaine Brown Jr. for 5 yds to the UAB 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-5
35.6%
PENALTY UAB False Start (Rykard,Will) 5 yards from UAB47 to UAB42. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:44
1ST & 15
OWN 42
+4
34.4%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Jermaine Brown Jr. for 4 yds to the UAB 46Similar
Q2 1:44
2ND & 11
OWN 46
+5
34.8%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Jermaine Brown Jr. for 5 yds to the TexSA 49Similar
Q2 1:44
3RD & 6
OPP 49
0
35.6%
Jacob Zeno pass incomplete to Trea ShropshireSimilar
Q2 1:44
4TH & 6
OPP 49
+7
34.2%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Trea Shropshire for 7 yds to the TexSA 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:44
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
36.5%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Jermaine Brown Jr. for 3 yds to the TexSA 39Similar
Q2 1:44
2ND & 7
OPP 39
+27
36.5%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 27 yds to the TexSA 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:44
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
37.9%
Jacob Zeno run for no gain to the TexSA 12Similar
Q2 0:37
2ND & 10
OPP 12
0
36.6%
Jacob Zeno pass incomplete to Trea ShropshireSimilar
Q2 0:33
3RD & 10
OPP 12
0
34.1%
Jacob Zeno pass incomplete to Trea ShropshireSimilar
Q2 0:25
4TH & 10
OPP 12
+30
38.4%
Matt Quinn 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 11END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0064% → 64%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
35.6%
Kneel down by UTSA at TSA24 for loss of 1 yards.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 33 yds · 1:5763% → 64%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
36.7%
Frank Harris pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 10 yds to the TexSA 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
36.0%
Brenden Brady run for 6 yds to the TexSA 41Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+16
34.8%
Frank Harris run for 16 yds to the UAB 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
34.3%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to Tykee Ogle-KelloggSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+1
34.4%
Brenden Brady run for 1 yd to the UAB 42Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 42
0
34.8%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to Dan DishmanSimilar
Q3 13:03
4TH & 9
OPP 42
0
35.9%
Lucas Dean punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Starling Thomas V at the UAB 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 13TD
18 plays · 90 yds · 7:4039% → 63%
Q3 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+8
38.9%
DeWayne McBride run for 8 yds to the UAB 18Similar
Q3 13:03
2ND & 2
OWN 18
+11
39.4%
DeWayne McBride run for 11 yds to the UAB 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
39.5%
DeWayne McBride run for 2 yds to the UAB 27Similar
Q3 13:03
2ND & 12
OWN 27
0
39.0%
Jacob Zeno pass incomplete to Tejhaun PalmerSimilar
Q3 13:03
3RD & 12
OWN 27
+20
37.6%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Samario Rudolph for 20 yds to the UAB 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-10
42.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun Brown Jr.,Jermaine rush middle for 12 yards gain to the TSA41 (Robinson,Ken) PENALTY UAB Holding 10 yards from UAB47 to UAB37. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:03
1ST & 20
OWN 37
+12
39.3%
Jacob Zeno run for 12 yds to the UAB 49Similar
Q3 13:03
2ND & 8
OWN 49
-5
42.3%
PENALTY UAB False Start (Wells,Sidney) 5 yards from UAB49 to UAB44. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:03
2ND & 13
OWN 44
+44
40.2%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Tejhaun Palmer for 44 yds to the TexSA 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:03
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-5
44.2%
PENALTY UAB False Start (Wilson,Brady) 5 yards from TSA12 to TSA17. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:03
1ST & 15
OPP 17
0
44.1%
PENALTY UAB UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct offsetting TSA UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct offsetting. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:03
1ST & 15
OPP 17
+8
44.1%
Jacob Zeno run for 8 yds to the TexSA 9Similar
Q3 13:03
2ND & 7
OPP 9
+2
44.2%
Jacob Zeno run for 2 yds to the TexSA 11Similar
Q3 13:03
3RD & 9
OPP 11
+7
42.6%
Jacob Zeno run for 7 yds to the TexSA 4Similar
Q3 6:21
4TH & 2
OPP 4
+2
37.4%
DeWayne McBride run for 2 yds to the TexSA 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
41.4%
DeWayne McBride run for no gain to the TexSA 2Similar
Q3 5:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
62.8%
DeWayne McBride run for 2 yds for a TD, (Matt Quinn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 14TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:1844% → 73%
Q3 5:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
56.4%
Kevorian Barnes run for 18 yds to the TexSA 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:23
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
52.8%
Trelon Smith run for no gain to the TexSA 43Similar
Q3 5:23
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+5
53.9%
Frank Harris run for 5 yds to the TexSA 48Similar
Q3 5:23
3RD & 5
OWN 48
+42
52.7%
Frank Harris pass complete to Kevorian Barnes for 42 yds to the UAB 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
49.6%
Kevorian Barnes run for 3 yds to the UAB 7Similar
Q3 5:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
49.6%
Kevorian Barnes run for 6 yds to the UAB 1Similar
Q3 2:05
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
26.9%
Kevorian Barnes run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jared Sackett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 15DOWNS
12 plays · 49 yds · 5:2235% → 36%
Q3 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
34.6%
DeWayne McBride run for 2 yds to the UAB 30Similar
Q3 1:59
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+2
34.4%
DeWayne McBride run for 2 yds to the UAB 32Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 6
OWN 32
+6
33.1%
Jacob Zeno run for 6 yds to the UAB 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-5
35.7%
PENALTY UAB False Start (Richey,Eli) 5 yards from UAB38 to UAB33. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 33
-3
33.6%
UAB Penalty, Illegal Forward Pass (Jacob Zeno) to the UAB 30Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 18
OWN 30
+15
33.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun Zeno,Jacob pass incomplete short left to Damous,Bryce PENALTY TSA Roughing The Passer (Taylor,Dadrian) 15 yards from UAB30 to UAB45, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+26
37.2%
DeWayne McBride run for 26 yds to the TexSA 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+1
40.9%
Jacob Zeno run for 1 yd to the TexSA 30Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 30
+1
40.6%
Jacob Zeno run for 1 yd to the TexSA 29Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 29
+8
37.9%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Bryce Damous for 8 yds to the TexSA 21Similar
Q4 11:37
4TH & 2
OPP 21
+2
35.7%
DeWayne McBride run for 2 yds to the TexSA 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 16TD
10 plays · 77 yds · 3:1473% → 94%
Q4 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
27.2%
Frank Harris run for 3 yds to the TexSA 26Similar
Q4 11:37
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+10
26.1%
Frank Harris pass complete to Oscar Cardenas for 10 yds to the TexSA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
24.7%
Brenden Brady run for 2 yds to the TexSA 38Similar
Q4 11:37
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+4
23.9%
Frank Harris pass complete to Justin Rodriguez for 4 yds to the TexSA 34Similar
Q4 11:37
3RD & 12
OWN 34
+21
28.6%
Frank Harris pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 21 yds to the UAB 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:37
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+32
22.8%
Kevorian Barnes run for 32 yds to the UAB 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:37
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
21.7%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to Joshua CephusSimilar
Q4 11:37
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+1
21.7%
Kevorian Barnes run for 1 yd to the UAB 12Similar
Q4 8:23
3RD & 9
OPP 12
+12
5.8%
Zakhari Franklin 12 Yd pass from Frank Harris (Frank Harris Pass to Zakhari Franklin for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 17TD
11 plays · 77 yds · 3:397% → 29%
Q4 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+33
6.5%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Bryce Damous for 33 yds to the TexSA 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:18
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+15
7.5%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Trea Shropshire for 15 yds to the TexSA 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:18
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+13
8.4%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Jermaine Brown Jr. for 13 yds to the TexSA 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:18
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
8.4%
Jacob Zeno pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:18
2ND & 10
OPP 16
0
8.4%
Jacob Zeno pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:18
3RD & 10
OPP 16
+4
7.8%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Samario Rudolph for 4 yds to the TexSA 12Similar
Q4 8:18
4TH & 6
OPP 12
+11
7.7%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to TJ Jones for 11 yds to the TexSA 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
8.4%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for no gain to the TexSA 1Similar
Q4 4:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
29.1%
Jacob Zeno run for 1 yd for a TD, (Matt Quinn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 18PUNT
12 plays · 11 yds · 3:1887% → 93%
Q4 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-15
13.5%
PENALTY TSA UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Carpenter,Chris) 15 yards from TSA34 to TSA19. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
14.0%
Kevorian Barnes run for no gain to the TexSA 19Similar
Q4 4:33
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+4
14.3%
Kevorian Barnes run for 4 yds to the TexSA 23Similar
Q4 4:33
3RD & 6
OWN 23
+7
15.2%
Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 7 yds to the TexSA 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
13.5%
Kevorian Barnes run for 2 yds to the TexSA 32Similar
Q4 2:18
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+1
9.6%
Frank Harris run for 1 yd to the TexSA 31Similar
Q4 2:12
3RD & 9
OWN 31
+4
10.7%
Frank Harris run for 4 yds to the TexSA 35Similar
Q4 2:12
4TH & 5
OWN 35
-5
10.9%
PENALTY TSA False Start (Gardiner,Karch) 5 yards from TSA35 to TSA30. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:15
4TH & 10
OWN 30
0
6.6%
Lucas Dean punt for 70 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 19TD
8 plays · 80 yds · 1:0011% → 64%
Q4 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
11.1%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Tejhaun Palmer for 11 yds to the UAB 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+8
11.7%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 8 yds to the UAB 39Similar
Q4 1:15
2ND & 2
OWN 39
+13
13.7%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Tejhaun Palmer for 13 yds to the TexSA 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:15
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
14.3%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Tejhaun Palmer for 5 yds to the TexSA 43Similar
Q4 1:15
2ND & 5
OPP 43
0
17.2%
Jacob Zeno pass incomplete to Fred Farrier IISimilar
Q4 1:15
3RD & 5
OPP 43
+5
14.9%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Trea Shropshire for 5 yds to the TexSA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:15
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
14.9%
Jacob Zeno pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:15
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+38
64.2%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Trea Shropshire for 38 yds for a TD, (Matt Quinn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 20END OF GAME
3 plays · -1 yds · 0:1352% → 50%
Q4 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
48.3%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to Tykee Ogle-KelloggSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 28
-1
50.0%
Kneel down by UTSA at TSA27 for loss of 1 yards.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-50
TD · Q4 0:15
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Trea Shropshire for 38 yds for a TD, (Matt Quinn KICK)
+49.2
TD · Q3 2:05
Kevorian Barnes run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jared Sackett KICK)
-22.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com