Try the model
UTEP

UTEP 30 at Rice 37

RICE
2022 · Week 10 · Nov 3, 2022 · Rice Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · RICE
modelRICE aheadUTEP aheadconfidence bandkey playRICE scoreUTEP score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGTDTDFGFGFGTDTDFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 8:39 · Joshua Sloan punt for 45 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout margin
+28.5+14.30−14.3−28.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 56Home team on offense+4.4Pregame prior+4.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.3Score differential+0.8Garbage-time factor−0.2Blowout margin+0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 3:04: Gavin Hardison pass complete to James Tupou for 7 yds for a TD, (Gavin Baechle KICK) — UTEP win probability +14.5 pts (now 49%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 1:23: TJ McMahon pass complete to Jack Bradley for 27 yds for a TD, (Christian VanSickle KICK) — RICE win probability +20.9 pts (now 84%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 11:17: Calvin Brownholtz 25 Yd Run (Gavin Baechle Kick) — UTEP win probability +28.0 pts (now 53%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 2:35: Gavin Baechle 32 yd FG GOOD — UTEP win probability +31.7 pts (now 51%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:25: Bradley Rozner 23 Yd pass from TJ McMahon (Christian VanSickle Kick) — RICE win probability +30.8 pts (now 98%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
RICE made the numbers' call on 4 of 5UTEP made the numbers' call on 4 of 7
  1. Q1 5:49RICE 4th & 12 at UTEP 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 57.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.8%−0.3
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    57.1%
    66% to make
    Punt
    55.6%−1.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:14UTEP 4th & 17 at UTEP 18, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.6%−1.3
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.9%
    average punt
  3. Q2 12:06UTEP 4th & 2 at RICE 29, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 38.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    38.0%−0.8
    58% to make
    Punt
    35.4%−3.3
    average punt
  4. Q2 8:39UTEP 4th & 7 at UTEP 19, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.5%−0.6
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.0%
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:16RICE 4th & 2 at UTEP 3, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 60.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.4%
    49% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    60.3%−<0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    55.0%−5.4
    average punt
  6. Q3 12:33RICE 4th & 5 at RICE 41, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.7%−1.0
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.7%
    average punt
  7. Q3 10:22UTEP 4th & 1 at UTEP 37, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.4 ptsPunted · 35.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.4%−2.4
    average punt
  8. Q3 8:18UTEP 4th & 12 at RICE 41, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.8%−0.9
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    34.9%−0.8
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    35.6%
    average punt
  9. Q3 6:01RICE 4th & 9 at RICE 7, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.3%−2.2
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.4%
    average punt
  10. Q3 3:55UTEP 4th & 8 at RICE 34, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 35.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.6%
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    35.5%−0.1
    47% to make
    Punt
    34.2%−1.4
    average punt
  11. Q4 6:52RICE 4th & 13 at UTEP 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 56.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.2%−6.2
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    55.4%
    75% to make
    Punt
    35.0%−20.3
    average punt
  12. Q4 2:35UTEP 4th & 8 at RICE 15, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 31.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.7%−13.3
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    35.9%
    83% to make
    Punt
    13.2%−22.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
RICE made the numbers' call on 4 of 4UTEP made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 11:41UTEP Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:33RICE Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:26RICE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 3:04UTEP Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 1:23RICE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 11:17UTEP Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.0%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.1%
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 0:25RICE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.2%−1.9
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UTEPDrive 1TD
9 plays · 78 yds · 3:1343% → 45%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
56.7%
Gavin Hardison pass incomplete to Reynaldo FloresSimilar
Q1 14:54
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+20
56.7%
Ronald Awatt run for 20 yds to the UTEP 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
56.7%
Ronald Awatt run for 1 yd to the UTEP 41Similar
Q1 14:54
2ND & 11
OWN 41
0
56.7%
Gavin Hardison pass incomplete to Deion HankinsSimilar
Q1 14:54
3RD & 11
OWN 41
+12
56.7%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Trent Thompson for 12 yds to the Rice 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+8
56.7%
Gavin Hardison run for 8 yds to the Rice 39Similar
Q1 14:54
2ND & 2
OPP 39
+37
56.7%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Tyrin Smith for 37 yds to the Rice 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
55.2%
Deion Hankins run for 2 yds for a TD, (Gavin Baechle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 2FG
14 plays · 50 yds · 5:5256% → 55%
Q1 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
55.7%
Cameron Montgomery run for 2 yds to the Rice 27Similar
Q1 11:41
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+5
55.7%
TJ McMahon pass complete to Boden Groen for 5 yds to the Rice 32Similar
Q1 11:41
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+4
55.6%
TJ McMahon pass complete to Luke McCaffrey for 4 yds to the Rice 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+20
55.7%
TJ McMahon pass complete to Bradley Rozner for 20 yds to the UTEP 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:41
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+9
56.0%
Cameron Montgomery run for 9 yds to the UTEP 35Similar
Q1 11:41
2ND & 1
OPP 35
+1
56.1%
Dean Connors run for 1 yd to the UTEP 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:41
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
56.1%
TJ McMahon pass complete to Bradley Rozner for 5 yds to the UTEP 29Similar
Q1 11:41
2ND & 5
OPP 29
+6
56.1%
Cameron Montgomery run for 6 yds to the UTEP 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:41
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+7
56.1%
TJ McMahon pass complete to Dean Connors for 7 yds to the UTEP 16Similar
Q1 11:41
2ND & 3
OPP 16
0
56.1%
TJ McMahon pass incomplete to Bradley RoznerSimilar
Q1 6:35
3RD & 3
OPP 16
-9
54.4%
TJ McMahon sacked by Cal Wallerstedt for a loss of 9 yards to the UTEP 25Similar
Q1 5:49
4TH & 12
OPP 25
+43
55.1%
Christian VanSickle 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 1:3545% → 44%
Q1 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
55.4%
Deion Hankins run for 2 yds to the UTEP 27Similar
Q1 5:49
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-9
55.3%
Gavin Hardison sacked by Myron Morrison for a loss of 9 yards to the UTEP 18Similar
Q1 5:49
3RD & 17
OWN 18
0
55.9%
Gavin Hardison pass incomplete to Tyrin SmithSimilar
Q1 4:14
4TH & 17
OWN 18
0
56.0%
Joshua Sloan punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Luke McCaffrey at the Rice 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 4TD
7 plays · 57 yds · 3:4156% → 60%
Q1 4:14
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
56.1%
TJ McMahon run for 3 yds to the Rice 40Similar
Q1 4:14
2ND & 13
OWN 40
+7
55.2%
TJ McMahon pass complete to Isaiah Esdale for 7 yds to the Rice 47Similar
Q1 4:14
3RD & 6
OWN 47
+26
55.8%
TJ McMahon pass complete to Bradley Rozner for 36 yds to the RICE 17 for a 1ST down RICE Penalty, Offensive Holding (Isaiah Esdale) to the UTEP 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:14
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+23
56.8%
TJ McMahon pass complete to Luke McCaffrey for 23 yds to the UTEP 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
56.8%
Uriah West run for 2 yds to the UTEP 2Similar
Q1 4:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
56.8%
Uriah West run for 1 yd to the UTEP 1Similar
Q1 0:33
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
59.6%
Uriah West run for 1 yd for a TD, (Christian VanSickle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 5FG
10 plays · 46 yds · 2:5441% → 44%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
58.6%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Tyrin Smith for 12 yds to the UTEP 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
58.0%
Gavin Hardison pass incomplete to Tyrin SmithSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+6
58.2%
Deion Hankins run for 6 yds to the UTEP 43Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 43
+20
57.3%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Kelly Akharaiyi for 20 yds to the Rice 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
56.9%
Ronald Awatt run for 4 yds to the Rice 33Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 33
0
56.1%
Gavin Hardison pass incomplete to Tyrin SmithSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 33
+4
57.1%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Tyrin Smith for 4 yds to the Rice 29Similar
Q2 12:06
4TH & 2
OPP 29
+46
55.6%
Gavin Baechle 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 6TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:4058% → 67%
Q2 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
57.6%
TJ McMahon run for 8 yds to the Rice 33Similar
Q2 12:06
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+34
58.7%
Cameron Montgomery run for 34 yds to the UTEP 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:06
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-15
60.1%
PENALTY Rice Personal Foul (Onianwa,Ethan) 15 yards from UTEP33 to UTEP48. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:06
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+46
59.6%
TJ McMahon pass complete to Bradley Rozner for 46 yds to the UTEP 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
66.5%
TJ McMahon run for 2 yds for a TD, (Christian VanSickle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:3735% → 33%
Q2 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+6
64.7%
Reynaldo Flores run for 6 yds to the UTEP 22Similar
Q2 10:16
2ND & 4
OWN 22
+3
64.4%
Tyrin Smith run for 3 yds to the UTEP 19Similar
Q2 10:16
3RD & 7
OWN 19
0
65.6%
Gavin Hardison pass incomplete to James TupouSimilar
Q2 8:39
4TH & 7
OWN 19
0
67.2%
Joshua Sloan punt for 45 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 8INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:4766% → 67%
Q2 8:39
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
66.2%
Cameron Montgomery run for no gain to the Rice 36Similar
Q2 7:52
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
66.9%
TJ McMahon pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 9TD
10 plays · 47 yds · 4:4836% → 49%
Q2 7:52
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+1
64.1%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Tyrin Smith for 1 yd to the Rice 46Similar
Q2 7:52
2ND & 9
OPP 46
+2
64.2%
Ronald Awatt run for 2 yds to the Rice 44Similar
Q2 7:52
3RD & 7
OPP 44
+11
64.5%
Gavin Hardison run for 11 yds to the Rice 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:52
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+6
63.1%
Deion Hankins run for 6 yds to the Rice 27Similar
Q2 7:52
2ND & 4
OPP 27
+1
62.7%
Ronald Awatt run for 1 yd to the Rice 26Similar
Q2 7:52
3RD & 3
OPP 26
+6
63.9%
Ronald Awatt run for 6 yds to the Rice 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:52
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+6
62.7%
Deion Hankins run for 6 yds to the Rice 14Similar
Q2 7:52
2ND & 4
OPP 14
+7
62.7%
Deion Hankins run for 7 yds to the Rice 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
50.9%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to James Tupou for 7 yds for a TD, (Gavin Baechle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 10FG
18 plays · 72 yds · 2:4860% → 63%
Q2 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
59.6%
Cameron Montgomery run for 4 yds to the Rice 29Similar
Q2 3:04
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
60.0%
Luke McCaffrey run for 2 yds to the Rice 31Similar
Q2 3:04
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+10
59.2%
TJ McMahon pass complete to Isaiah Esdale for 10 yds to the Rice 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+13
61.3%
TJ McMahon pass complete to Isaiah Esdale for 13 yds to the UTEP 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:04
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+18
62.4%
TJ McMahon run for 18 yds to the UTEP 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:04
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
63.5%
TJ McMahon pass incomplete to Luke McCaffreySimilar
Q2 3:04
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+4
63.3%
TJ McMahon pass complete to Jack Bradley for 4 yds to the UTEP 24Similar
Q2 0:55
3RD & 6
OPP 24
-5
60.7%
PENALTY Rice False Start (Baker,Shea) 5 yards from UTEP24 to UTEP29. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:55
3RD & 11
OPP 29
+18
60.1%
Luke McCaffrey run for 18 yds to the UTEP 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:48
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+8
61.8%
TJ McMahon pass complete to Isaiah Esdale for 8 yds to the UTEP 3Similar
Q2 0:48
2ND & 2
OPP 3
0
61.8%
TJ McMahon pass incomplete to Jerry Johnson IIISimilar
Q2 0:24
3RD & 2
OPP 3
0
60.4%
TJ McMahon pass incomplete to Luke McCaffreySimilar
Q2 0:16
4TH & 2
OPP 3
+21
63.0%
Christian VanSickle 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 11END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0033% → 33%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+1
66.7%
run for 1 yd to the UTEP 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 2:2762% → 62%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
61.5%
Cameron Montgomery run for 4 yds to the Rice 29Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+1
61.7%
Cameron Montgomery run for 1 yd to the Rice 28Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+8
60.2%
TJ McMahon pass complete to Luke McCaffrey for 8 yds to the Rice 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
62.3%
TJ McMahon pass incomplete to Luke McCaffreySimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+5
61.8%
Juma Otoviano run for 5 yds to the Rice 41Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 41
0
62.3%
TJ McMahon pass incomplete to Luke McCaffreySimilar
Q3 12:33
4TH & 5
OWN 41
0
61.8%
Conor Hunt punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UTEP 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 2:1139% → 37%
Q3 12:33
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
61.3%
Ronald Awatt run for no gain to the UTEP 28Similar
Q3 12:33
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+9
61.9%
Deion Hankins run for 9 yds to the UTEP 37Similar
Q3 12:33
3RD & 1
OWN 37
0
60.2%
Gavin Hardison run for no gain to the UTEP 37Similar
Q3 10:22
4TH & 1
OWN 37
+32
62.7%
Joshua Sloan punt for 56 yds , Luke McCaffrey returns for 32 yds to the Rice 39 Luke McCaffrey fumbled, recovered by UTEP Tristin TuialuuluuSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 2:0442% → 36%
Q3 10:22
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
58.4%
Ronald Awatt run for 3 yds to the Rice 42Similar
Q3 10:22
2ND & 13
OPP 42
+1
59.6%
Deion Hankins run for 1 yd to the Rice 41Similar
Q3 10:22
3RD & 12
OPP 41
0
60.4%
Gavin Hardison run for no gain to the Rice 41Similar
Q3 8:18
4TH & 12
OPP 41
0
64.2%
Joshua Sloan punt for 35 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 2:1765% → 63%
Q3 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+3
64.6%
Uriah West run for 3 yds to the Rice 3Similar
Q3 8:18
2ND & 13
OWN 3
+2
64.4%
TJ McMahon run for 2 yds to the Rice 5Similar
Q3 8:18
3RD & 11
OWN 5
+2
63.2%
TJ McMahon run for 2 yds to the Rice 7Similar
Q3 6:01
4TH & 9
OWN 7
0
63.1%
Conor Hunt punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Marcus Bellon at the Rice 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 16FG
7 plays · 13 yds · 2:0640% → 47%
Q3 6:01
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+1
59.7%
Gavin Hardison run for 1 yd to the Rice 46Similar
Q3 6:01
2ND & 9
OPP 46
0
59.7%
Gavin Hardison pass incomplete to Deion HankinsSimilar
Q3 6:01
3RD & 9
OPP 46
+10
61.0%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Tyrin Smith for 10 yds to the Rice 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:01
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
59.7%
Gavin Hardison pass incomplete to Reynaldo FloresSimilar
Q3 6:01
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+2
59.7%
Reynaldo Flores run for 2 yds to the Rice 34Similar
Q3 6:01
3RD & 8
OPP 34
0
60.1%
Gavin Hardison pass incomplete to Jostein ClarkeSimilar
Q3 3:55
4TH & 8
OPP 34
+51
53.5%
Gavin Baechle 51 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 17TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:3259% → 84%
Q3 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
58.8%
TJ McMahon pass complete to Luke McCaffrey for 8 yds to the Rice 33Similar
Q3 3:55
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+31
61.2%
Juma Otoviano run for 31 yds to the UTEP 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:55
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
63.3%
TJ McMahon pass incomplete to Isaiah EsdaleSimilar
Q3 3:55
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+4
63.3%
Juma Otoviano run for 4 yds to the UTEP 32Similar
Q3 3:55
3RD & 6
OPP 32
+5
63.3%
PENALTY UTEP Offside (Amaewhule,Praise) 5 yards from UTEP32 to UTEP27. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:23
3RD & 1
OPP 27
+27
84.2%
TJ McMahon pass complete to Jack Bradley for 27 yds for a TD, (Christian VanSickle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 18TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 5:0620% → 53%
Q3 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
79.9%
Gavin Hardison pass incomplete to Tyrin SmithSimilar
Q3 1:23
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
80.1%
Deion Hankins run for 3 yds to the UTEP 28Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+15
81.4%
Calvin Brownholtz pass complete to Tyrin Smith for 15 yds to the UTEP 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-5
79.3%
PENALTY UTEP False Start (Smith,Tyrin) 5 yards from UTEP43 to UTEP38. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 38
+3
80.5%
Calvin Brownholtz pass complete to James Tupou for 3 yds to the UTEP 41Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 41
+8
80.2%
Calvin Brownholtz run for 8 yds to the UTEP 49Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 49
+9
77.6%
Calvin Brownholtz pass complete to Reynaldo Flores for 9 yds to the Rice 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
77.0%
Calvin Brownholtz run for 2 yds to the Rice 40Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 40
0
77.1%
Calvin Brownholtz pass incomplete to Reynaldo FloresSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 40
+11
77.4%
Calvin Brownholtz pass complete to Reynaldo Flores for 11 yds to the Rice 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
75.2%
Calvin Brownholtz run for 4 yds to the Rice 25Similar
Q4 11:17
2ND & 6
OPP 25
+25
47.1%
Calvin Brownholtz 25 Yd Run (Gavin Baechle Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 19FG
10 plays · 46 yds · 4:1961% → 74%
Q4 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+8
61.1%
Juma Otoviano run for 8 yds to the Rice 42Similar
Q4 11:11
2ND & 2
OWN 42
+6
64.2%
TJ McMahon run for 6 yds to the Rice 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
64.5%
Kobie Campbell run for no gain to the Rice 48Similar
Q4 11:11
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+35
63.7%
TJ McMahon pass complete to Cameron Montgomery for 35 yds to the UTEP 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:11
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-8
67.6%
TJ McMahon sacked by Praise Amaewhule for a loss of 8 yards to the UTEP 25Similar
Q4 7:47
2ND & 18
OPP 25
+5
66.2%
TJ McMahon run for 5 yds to the UTEP 20Similar
Q4 7:47
3RD & 13
OPP 20
0
63.7%
TJ McMahon pass incomplete to Bradley RoznerSimilar
Q4 6:52
4TH & 13
OPP 20
+38
74.1%
Christian VanSickle 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 20FG
12 plays · 60 yds · 4:1727% → 51%
Q4 6:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
72.7%
Ronald Awatt run for 4 yds to the UTEP 29Similar
Q4 6:52
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+17
71.5%
Calvin Brownholtz run for 17 yds to the UTEP 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:52
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
68.3%
Calvin Brownholtz pass incomplete to Reynaldo FloresSimilar
Q4 6:52
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+1
70.0%
Calvin Brownholtz run for 1 yd to the UTEP 47Similar
Q4 4:44
3RD & 9
OWN 47
+36
82.5%
Calvin Brownholtz pass complete to Trent Thompson for 36 yds to the Rice 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:44
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
76.3%
Calvin Brownholtz run for 3 yds to the Rice 14Similar
Q4 4:44
2ND & 7
OPP 14
+4
76.3%
Calvin Brownholtz run for 4 yds to the Rice 10Similar
Q4 4:44
3RD & 3
OPP 10
0
79.2%
Calvin Brownholtz pass incomplete to Tyrin SmithSimilar
Q4 4:44
4TH & 3
OPP 10
-5
81.2%
PENALTY UTEP Delay Of Game 5 yards from Rice10 to Rice15. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:35
4TH & 8
OPP 15
+32
49.5%
Gavin Baechle 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 21TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 2:1061% → 98%
Q4 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
60.7%
TJ McMahon pass complete to Kobie Campbell for 13 yds to the Rice 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+13
63.3%
Juma Otoviano run for 13 yds to the UTEP 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:35
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-5
66.5%
PENALTY Rice False Start (Onianwa,Ethan) 5 yards from UTEP49 to Rice46. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:35
1ST & 15
OWN 46
-5
63.0%
PENALTY Rice False Start (Baker,Shea) 5 yards from Rice46 to Rice41. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:35
1ST & 20
OWN 41
0
62.0%
TJ McMahon pass incomplete to Bradley RoznerSimilar
Q4 2:35
2ND & 20
OWN 41
+12
61.2%
TJ McMahon pass complete to Bradley Rozner for 12 yds to the UTEP 47Similar
Q4 2:35
3RD & 8
OPP 47
+20
64.9%
TJ McMahon pass complete to Isaiah Esdale for 20 yds to the UTEP 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:38
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+4
69.2%
Juma Otoviano run for 4 yds to the UTEP 23Similar
Q4 0:25
2ND & 6
OPP 23
+23
98.3%
Bradley Rozner 23 Yd pass from TJ McMahon (Christian VanSickle Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 22END OF GAME
3 plays · -18 yds · 0:257% → 7%
Q4 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
93.2%
Calvin Brownholtz pass complete to Reynaldo Flores for 2 yds to the UTEP 23Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+16
93.3%
Calvin Brownholtz pass complete to Calvin Brownholtz for 16 yds to the UTEP 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q4 2:35
Gavin Baechle 32 yd FG GOOD
-31.7
TD · Q4 0:25
Bradley Rozner 23 Yd pass from TJ McMahon (Christian VanSickle Kick)
+30.8
TD · Q4 11:17
Calvin Brownholtz 25 Yd Run (Gavin Baechle Kick)
-28
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com