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FIU

Florida International 14 at North Texas 52

UNT
2022 · Week 10 · Nov 5, 2022 · DATCU Stadium
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Win probability · UNT
modelUNT aheadFIU aheadconfidence bandkey playUNT scoreFIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 13:18 · Daton Montiel punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Roderic Burns at the NoTex 30
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+43.0+21.50−21.5−43.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 7Pregame prior+42.2Home team on offense+0.3Score differential+0.1Blowout margin+0.0Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 1:08: Austin Aune pass complete to Var'Keyes Gumms for 10 yds for a TD, (Ethan Mooney KICK) — UNT win probability +2.1 pts (now 96%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 12:47: Austin Aune pass complete to Jyaire Shorter for 57 yds for a TD, (Ethan Mooney KICK) — UNT win probability +1.0 pts (now 97%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 8:06: EJ Wilson Jr. run for 2 yds for a TD, (Chase Gabriel KICK) — FIU win probability +1.0 pts (now 3%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 3:44: Adrian Cole 4 Yd Interception Return (Chase Gabriel Kick) — FIU win probability +1.7 pts (now 3%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 1:13: Austin Aune pass complete to Jyaire Shorter for 35 yds for a TD, (Ethan Mooney KICK) — UNT win probability +2.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UNT made the numbers' call on 2 of 3FIU made the numbers' call on 10 of 11
  1. Q1 13:18FIU 4th & 7 at FIU 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.8%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:08FIU 4th & 6 at FIU 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.0%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:39FIU 4th & 8 at FIU 11, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.6%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.8%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:38UNT 4th & 8 at FIU 12, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 91.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.4%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.6%
    86% to make
    Punt
    90.5%−1.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:54FIU 4th & 7 at FIU 32, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.9%−0.3
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:14FIU 4th & 5 at FIU 40, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.5%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:22FIU 4th & 1 at FIU 34, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−<0.1
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:42FIU 4th & 5 at FIU 41, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:08UNT 4th & 4 at UNT 28, up 31
    Close callPunted · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.4%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:08FIU 4th & 2 at FIU 33, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:45FIU 4th & 4 at FIU 47, down 31
    Close callPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 4:45UNT 4th & 13 at UNT 29, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%−0.1
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  13. Q4 6:49FIU 4th & 8 at FIU 26, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 6:00FIU 4th & 2 at UNT 29, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−<0.1
    58% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UNT made the numbers' call on 7 of 7FIU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 14:10UNT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 11:10UNT Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 1:08UNT Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 12:47UNT Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 10:54UNT Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 8:06FIU Touchdown, down 32 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 3:44FIU Touchdown, down 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q2 1:13UNT Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 8:22UNT Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UNTDrive 1TD
3 plays · 77 yds · 0:4593% → 93%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+70
92.9%
Austin Aune pass complete to Jake Roberts for 70 yds to the FlaIn 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
92.9%
Austin Aune pass complete to Roderic Burns for 5 yds to the FlaIn 2Similar
Q1 14:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
92.8%
Ayo Adeyi run for 2 yds for a TD, (Ethan Mooney KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:527% → 7%
Q1 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
92.8%
Grayson James pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:10
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
92.8%
Lexington Joseph run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 28Similar
Q1 14:10
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
92.8%
Grayson James pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:18
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
92.7%
Daton Montiel punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Roderic Burns at the NoTex 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 3INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q1 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
92.6%
Austin Aune pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:027% → 8%
Q1 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
92.6%
Grayson James pass complete to Jalen Bracey for 3 yds to the FlaIn 31Similar
Q1 13:10
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+1
92.6%
Grayson James pass complete to Lexington Joseph for 1 yd to the FlaIn 32Similar
Q1 13:10
3RD & 6
OWN 32
0
92.6%
Grayson James pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:08
4TH & 6
OWN 32
0
92.5%
Daton Montiel punt for 34 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 5TD
3 plays · 66 yds · 0:5893% → 93%
Q1 12:08
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
92.5%
Ikaika Ragsdale run for 2 yds to the NoTex 36Similar
Q1 12:08
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+19
92.5%
Austin Aune pass complete to Roderic Burns for 19 yds to the FlaIn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:10
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+45
92.9%
Austin Aune pass complete to Jordan Smart for 45 yds for a TD, (Ethan Mooney KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:267% → 7%
Q1 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 9
-1
92.7%
EJ Wilson Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaIn 8Similar
Q1 11:05
2ND & 11
OWN 8
0
92.7%
Grayson James pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:05
3RD & 11
OWN 8
+3
92.8%
Grayson James pass complete to EJ Wilson Jr. for 3 yds to the FlaIn 11Similar
Q1 9:39
4TH & 8
OWN 11
0
92.7%
Daton Montiel punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Roderic Burns at the NoTex 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 7FG
9 plays · 46 yds · 3:0193% → 93%
Q1 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+33
92.9%
Ayo Adeyi run for 33 yds to the FlaIn 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:39
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
92.9%
Ayo Adeyi run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 23Similar
Q1 9:39
2ND & 8
OPP 23
+1
92.9%
Ikaika Ragsdale run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 22Similar
Q1 9:39
3RD & 7
OPP 22
+8
92.9%
Austin Aune pass complete to Ikaika Ragsdale for 8 yds to the FlaIn 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:39
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
92.9%
Austin Aune pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:47
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+2
93.0%
Ikaika Ragsdale run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 12Similar
Q1 6:47
3RD & 8
OPP 12
0
92.9%
Austin Aune pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:38
4TH & 8
OPP 12
+29
93.2%
Ethan Mooney 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 1:377% → 7%
Q1 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+5
93.1%
Grayson James pass complete to Jalen Bracey for 5 yds to the FlaIn 21Similar
Q1 6:31
2ND & 5
OWN 21
+8
93.1%
Tyrese Chambers run for 8 yds to the FlaIn 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
93.0%
Grayson James pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:31
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+3
93.1%
Grayson James pass complete to Ross Fournet for 3 yds to the FlaIn 32Similar
Q1 6:31
3RD & 7
OWN 32
0
93.1%
Grayson James pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:54
4TH & 7
OWN 32
0
93.1%
Daton Montiel punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Roderic Burns at the NoTex 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 9TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:4693% → 96%
Q1 4:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
93.2%
Ikaika Ragsdale run for 2 yds to the NoTex 27Similar
Q1 4:54
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+13
93.2%
Austin Aune pass complete to Ja'Mori Maclin for 13 yds to the NoTex 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:54
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
93.4%
Austin Aune run for no gain to the NoTex 40Similar
Q1 4:54
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+34
93.3%
Austin Aune pass complete to Ja'Mori Maclin for 34 yds to the FlaIn 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:54
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+5
93.4%
Ikaika Ragsdale run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 21Similar
Q1 4:54
2ND & 5
OPP 21
+2
93.4%
Ikaika Ragsdale run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 19Similar
Q1 4:54
3RD & 3
OPP 19
+7
93.4%
Ayo Adeyi run for 7 yds to the FlaIn 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:54
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
93.4%
Ayo Adeyi run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 10Similar
Q1 4:54
2ND & 8
OPP 10
0
93.4%
Stone Earle pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:08
3RD & 8
OPP 10
+10
95.5%
Austin Aune pass complete to Var'Keyes Gumms for 10 yds for a TD, (Ethan Mooney KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 1:545% → 4%
Q1 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
94.8%
Grayson James pass complete to Artez Hooker for 10 yds to the FlaIn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:22
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
94.7%
Grayson James pass complete to Artez Hooker for 1 yd to the FlaIn 36Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+1
94.8%
EJ Wilson Jr. run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 37Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+3
94.8%
Grayson James run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 40Similar
Q2 14:14
4TH & 5
OWN 40
0
95.0%
Daton Montiel punt for 43 yds , returns for no gain to the NoTex 17Similar
Q2 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+15
95.8%
AUNE, Austin pass to the left incomplete intended for SHORTER, Jyaire thrown to the UNT45. PENALTY FIU Pass Interference on MASSES, Hezekiah enforced 15 yards to the UNT32 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 11TD
5 plays · 83 yds · 1:2796% → 97%
Q2 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
95.9%
Austin Aune pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:14
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+5
95.8%
AUNE, Austin scrambles to the left for a gain of 4 yards to the UNT36 (BERNADEL, Gaethan), out of bounds. PENALTY Before the snap, FIU Illegal Substitution enforced 5 yards from the UNT32 to the UNT37. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 14:14
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+7
95.9%
Ayo Adeyi run for 7 yds to the NoTex 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-1
96.0%
Austin Aune pass complete to Roderic Burns for a loss of 1 yard to the NoTex 43Similar
Q2 12:47
2ND & 11
OWN 43
+57
97.1%
Austin Aune pass complete to Jyaire Shorter for 57 yds for a TD, (Ethan Mooney KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 12INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q2 12:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.1%
Grayson James pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 13TD
5 plays · 18 yds · 1:4297% → 97%
Q2 12:36
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+6
97.0%
Ayo Adeyi run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 12Similar
Q2 12:36
2ND & 4
OPP 12
+5
97.0%
Austin Aune pass complete to Var'Keyes Gumms for 5 yds to the FlaIn 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
97.0%
Ikaika Ragsdale run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 6Similar
Q2 12:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
97.0%
Austin Aune pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:54
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
97.4%
Austin Aune pass complete to Ikaika Ragsdale for 6 yds for a TD, (Ethan Mooney KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 14TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:482% → 3%
Q2 10:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
98.2%
Grayson James pass complete to Lexington Joseph for 2 yds to the FlaIn 27Similar
Q2 10:54
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
98.2%
Grayson James pass complete to Lexington Joseph for no gain to the FlaIn 27Similar
Q2 10:54
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+15
98.3%
Grayson James pass complete to Jett Law for 15 yds to the FlaIn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:54
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+10
98.1%
Lexington Joseph run for 10 yds to the NoTex 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:54
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
98.0%
Grayson James pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:54
2ND & 10
OPP 48
0
98.1%
Grayson James pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:54
3RD & 10
OPP 48
+39
98.1%
Grayson James pass complete to Rivaldo Fairweather for 39 yds to the NoTex 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+7
98.1%
EJ Wilson Jr. run for 7 yds to the NoTex 2Similar
Q2 8:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
97.1%
EJ Wilson Jr. run for 2 yds for a TD, (Chase Gabriel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 15FUMBLE TD
9 plays · -26 yds · 4:1798% → 97%
Q2 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
97.9%
Ikaika Ragsdale run for 3 yds to the NoTex 29Similar
Q2 8:01
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+8
97.9%
Austin Aune run for 8 yds to the NoTex 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+12
97.9%
Austin Aune pass complete to Damon Ward Jr. for 12 yds to the NoTex 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+23
98.0%
Austin Aune pass complete to Jordan Smart for 23 yds to the FlaIn 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:01
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
98.0%
Austin Aune pass complete to Jordan Smart for 4 yds to the FlaIn 24Similar
Q2 8:01
2ND & 6
OPP 24
+2
98.0%
Ikaika Ragsdale run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 22Similar
Q2 8:01
3RD & 4
OPP 22
+5
97.9%
Ikaika Ragsdale run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:51
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-5
98.8%
AUNE, Austin pass to the left complete for 17 yards to ROBERTS, Jake caught at the FIU0 and advanced to the FIU0, TOUCHDOWN UNT, score nullified by penalty, clock 03:51 (Play was confirmed after review). PENALTY UNT Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on NWAIWU, Febechi enforced 5 yards from the FIU17 to the FIU22 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 3:44
1ST & 15
OPP 22
-4
97.1%
Adrian Cole 4 Yd Interception Return (Chase Gabriel Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 16TD
6 plays · 85 yds · 2:1797% → 99%
Q2 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+5
97.0%
Ikaika Ragsdale run for 5 yds to the NoTex 20Similar
Q2 3:30
2ND & 5
OWN 20
+3
96.9%
BK Jackson run for 3 yds to the NoTex 23Similar
Q2 3:30
3RD & 2
OWN 23
+3
96.9%
BK Jackson run for 3 yds to the NoTex 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
97.0%
Austin Aune pass complete to Var'Keyes Gumms for 5 yds to the NoTex 31Similar
Q2 3:30
2ND & 5
OWN 31
+34
96.9%
Austin Aune pass complete to Roderic Burns for 34 yds to the FlaIn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:13
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+35
99.0%
Austin Aune pass complete to Jyaire Shorter for 35 yds for a TD, (Ethan Mooney KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:511% → 1%
Q2 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.0%
Grayson James pass complete to Lexington Joseph for 6 yds to the FlaIn 31Similar
Q2 1:13
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+2
98.9%
Grayson James pass complete to Lexington Joseph for 2 yds to the FlaIn 33Similar
Q2 0:31
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
99.0%
Grayson James pass complete to Tyrese Chambers for 1 yd to the FlaIn 34Similar
Q2 0:22
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
99.0%
Daton Montiel punt for 58 yds, downed at the NoTex 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 18END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
99.0%
[NH] Kneel down by AUNE, Austin at UNT7 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 2:181% → 1%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.2%
Grayson James pass complete to Artez Hooker for 4 yds to the FlaIn 29Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+7
99.1%
Grayson James pass complete to Artez Hooker for 7 yds to the FlaIn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
99.1%
Lexington Joseph run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 39Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 39
-5
99.1%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, False Start (Tyrese Chambers) to the FlaIn 34Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 34
+7
99.2%
Grayson James pass complete to Tyrese Chambers for 7 yds to the FlaIn 41Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 41
0
99.1%
Grayson James pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:42
4TH & 5
OWN 41
0
99.4%
Daton Montiel punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Roderic Burns at the NoTex 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:3499% → 99%
Q3 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-1
99.4%
Qualon Farrar run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoTex 21Similar
Q3 12:42
2ND & 11
OWN 21
+7
99.4%
Qualon Farrar run for 7 yds to the NoTex 28Similar
Q3 12:42
3RD & 4
OWN 28
0
99.4%
Austin Aune pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:08
4TH & 4
OWN 28
+3
99.4%
Bernardo Rodriguez punt for 50 yds , Tyrese Chambers returns for 3 yds to the FlaIn 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 21PUNT
8 plays · 22 yds · 3:231% → 0%
Q3 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.5%
Kejon Owens run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 28Similar
Q3 11:08
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
99.5%
Grayson James pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:08
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+5
99.5%
Grayson James run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 33Similar
Q3 11:08
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+8
99.5%
Grayson James pass complete to Artez Hooker for 8 yds to the FlaIn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
99.5%
Grayson James pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:08
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
99.5%
Kejon Owens run for no gain to the FlaIn 41Similar
Q3 11:08
3RD & 10
OWN 41
+6
99.5%
Grayson James run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 47Similar
Q3 7:45
4TH & 4
OWN 47
0
99.6%
Daton Montiel punt for 33 yds, downed at the NoTex 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · 9 yds · 3:00100% → 100%
Q3 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-3
99.7%
Austin Aune pass complete to Kaylon Horton for a loss of 3 yards to the NoTex 17Similar
Q3 7:45
2ND & 13
OWN 17
+9
99.7%
Stone Earle run for 9 yds to the NoTex 26Similar
Q3 7:45
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+6
99.7%
Austin Aune pass complete to Jordan Smart for 6 yds to the NoTex 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
99.7%
Austin Aune pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:45
2ND & 10
OWN 32
-2
99.7%
Austin Aune pass complete to Jordan Smart for a loss of 2 yards to the NoTex 30Similar
Q3 7:45
3RD & 12
OWN 30
-1
99.7%
Austin Aune pass complete to Ikaika Ragsdale for a loss of 1 yard to the NoTex 29Similar
Q3 4:45
4TH & 13
OWN 29
+8
99.7%
Bernardo Rodriguez punt for 52 yds , Tyrese Chambers returns for 8 yds to the FlaIn 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 23INT
8 plays · 41 yds · 1:560% → 0%
Q3 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
99.6%
Lexington Joseph run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 28Similar
Q3 4:45
2ND & 9
OWN 28
0
99.6%
Grayson James pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:45
3RD & 9
OWN 28
+13
99.6%
Grayson James pass complete to Tyrese Chambers for 13 yds to the FlaIn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
99.6%
Grayson James pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:45
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+4
99.6%
Lexington Joseph run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 45Similar
Q3 4:45
3RD & 6
OWN 45
+23
99.6%
Grayson James run for 23 yds to the NoTex 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:45
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
99.4%
Grayson James pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:49
2ND & 10
OPP 32
0
99.8%
Grayson James pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 24TD
19 plays · 97 yds · 9:27100% → 100%
Q3 2:49
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+4
99.7%
Stone Earle run for 4 yds to the NoTex 7Similar
Q3 2:49
2ND & 6
OWN 7
+4
99.7%
Stone Earle run for 4 yds to the NoTex 11Similar
Q3 2:49
3RD & 2
OWN 11
+4
99.7%
Stone Earle run for 4 yds to the NoTex 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:49
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+1
99.8%
Stone Earle run for 1 yd to the NoTex 16Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 9
OWN 16
-2
99.8%
Qualon Farrar run for a loss of 2 yards to the NoTex 14Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 14
+14
99.8%
Austin Aune pass complete to Var'Keyes Gumms for 14 yds to the NoTex 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+8
99.8%
Austin Aune pass complete to Ja'Mori Maclin for 8 yds to the NoTex 36Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 36
0
99.8%
Austin Aune pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 36
+8
99.8%
Austin Aune pass complete to Var'Keyes Gumms for 8 yds to the NoTex 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-5
99.8%
FARRAR, Qualon rush to the left for no gain to the UNT44 (NOBLES, Alex). PENALTY Before the snap, UNT False Start on NEVILLE, Latrell enforced 5 yards from the UNT44 to the UNT39. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 39
+12
99.8%
Austin Aune run for 12 yds to the FlaIn 49Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 49
+2
99.8%
Stone Earle run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 47Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 47
+2
99.8%
BK Jackson run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:37
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
99.9%
Qualon Farrar run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 44Similar
Q4 11:37
2ND & 9
OPP 44
+28
99.9%
Stone Earle run for 28 yds to the FlaIn 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:37
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+4
99.9%
Stone Earle run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 12Similar
Q4 11:37
2ND & 6
OPP 12
+2
99.9%
Stone Earle run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 10Similar
Q4 11:37
3RD & 4
OPP 10
+9
99.9%
BK Jackson run for 9 yds to the FlaIn 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
Stone Earle run for 1 yd for a TD, (Ethan Mooney KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:270% → 0%
Q4 8:16
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
99.9%
Kejon Owens run for no gain to the FlaIn 24Similar
Q4 8:16
2ND & 10
OWN 24
0
99.9%
Haden Carlson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:16
3RD & 10
OWN 24
+2
99.9%
Haden Carlson run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 26Similar
Q4 6:49
4TH & 8
OWN 26
0
99.9%
Jordan Doelling punt for 30 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 26FUMBLE
2 plays · 20 yds · 0:49100% → 100%
Q4 6:49
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
99.9%
Stone Earle run for 1 yd to the NoTex 45Similar
Q4 6:00
2ND & 9
OWN 45
+19
99.9%
Qualon Farrar run for 19 yds to the FlaIn 36 Qualon Farrar fumbled, recovered by FlaIn Kyan BrumfieldSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 27END OF GAME
10 plays · 48 yds · 6:000% → 0%
Q4 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
99.9%
Antonio Patterson run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 38Similar
Q4 6:00
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+13
99.9%
Antonio Patterson run for 13 yds to the NoTex 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
99.9%
Antonio Patterson run for 1 yd to the NoTex 48Similar
Q4 6:00
2ND & 9
OPP 48
-1
99.9%
Haden Carlson pass complete to Antonio Patterson for a loss of 1 yard to the NoTex 49Similar
Q4 6:00
3RD & 10
OPP 49
+12
99.9%
Haden Carlson pass complete to Jackson McDonald for 12 yds to the NoTex 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
99.9%
Antonio Patterson run for 2 yds to the NoTex 35Similar
Q4 6:00
2ND & 8
OPP 35
+2
99.9%
Antonio Patterson run for 2 yds to the NoTex 33Similar
Q4 6:00
3RD & 6
OPP 33
+4
99.9%
Haden Carlson pass complete to Jay Barry Jr. for 4 yds to the NoTex 29Similar
Q4 6:00
4TH & 2
OPP 29
+9
99.9%
Antonio Patterson run for 9 yds to the NoTex 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
100.0%
Antonio Patterson run for 4 yds to the NoTex 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 1:08
Austin Aune pass complete to Var'Keyes Gumms for 10 yds for a TD, (Ethan Mooney KICK)
+2.1
TD · Q2 1:13
Austin Aune pass complete to Jyaire Shorter for 35 yds for a TD, (Ethan Mooney KICK)
+2.1
TD · Q2 3:44
Adrian Cole 4 Yd Interception Return (Chase Gabriel Kick)
-1.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com