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WKU

Western Kentucky 59 at Charlotte 7

CLT
2022 · Week 10 · Nov 5, 2022 · Jerry Richardson Stadium
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Win probability · CLT
modelCLT aheadWKU aheadconfidence bandkey playCLT scoreWKU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 6:50 · Chris Reynolds pass incomplete
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+59.0+29.50−29.5−59.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 60Home team on offense−26.3Score differential−17.3Pregame prior−19.6Garbage-time factor−5.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 11:55: Austin Reed pass complete to Daewood Davis for 7 yds for a TD, (Brayden Narveson KICK) — WKU win probability +0.9 pts (now 79%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 6:52: Austin Reed pass complete to Malachi Corley for 64 yds for a TD, (Brayden Narveson KICK) — WKU win probability +3.0 pts (now 83%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 13:00: Austin Reed pass complete to Joshua Simon for 17 yds for a TD, (Brayden Narveson KICK) — WKU win probability +2.2 pts (now 89%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 1:17: Austin Reed pass complete to Malachi Corley for 42 yds to the Charl 14 for a 1ST down — CLT win probability +2.4 pts (now 6%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 1:02: Joey Beljan 14 Yd pass from Austin Reed (Brayden Narveson Kick) — CLT win probability +1.9 pts (now 5%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CLT made the numbers' call on 5 of 8WKU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 8:43CLT 4th & 15 at CLT 43, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.3%−0.5
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:17WKU 4th & 10 at WKU 39, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.9%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.2%
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:53CLT 4th & 11 at CLT 46, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.5%−0.3
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.8%
    average punt
  4. Q2 6:50CLT 4th & 11 at WKU 22, down 28
    Close callWent for it · 7.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.2%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    7.3%
    72% to make
    Punt
    6.9%−0.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 1:39WKU 4th & 2 at CLT 2, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 95.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    94.9%−0.1
    94% to make
    Punt
    94.5%−0.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:17CLT 4th & 3 at CLT 9, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.4%−<0.1
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.4%
    average punt
  7. Q3 15:00CLT 4th & 1 at CLT 34, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.6%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 5:18CLT 4th & 18 at CLT 45, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%
    average punt
  9. Q3 2:21WKU 4th & 5 at CLT 34, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.0%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    99.0%−<0.1
    47% to make
    Punt
    98.9%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q4 13:17CLT 4th & 13 at WKU 46, down 35
    Close callWent for it · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.3%−0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    0.3%−0.1
    23% to make
    Punt
    0.4%
    average punt
  11. Q4 9:06WKU 4th & 4 at CLT 22, up 35
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.6%−<0.1
    72% to make
    Punt
    99.2%−0.4
    average punt
  12. Q4 3:27CLT 4th & 2 at WKU 34, down 45
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−<0.1
    47% to make
    Punt
    0.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CLT made the numbers' call on 1 of 1WKU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 14:32WKU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 11:55WKU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 6:52WKU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 13:00WKU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 10:32CLT Touchdown, down 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 9:58WKU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 7:50WKU Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 0:45WKU Touchdown, up 51 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WKUDrive 1TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:2879% → 79%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+29
21.3%
Malachi Corley run for 29 yds to the Charl 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:32
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+46
21.4%
Austin Reed pass complete to Jaylen Hall for 46 yds for a TD, (Brayden Narveson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 2INT
5 plays · 14 yds · 2:3321% → 22%
Q1 14:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
21.4%
Shadrick Byrd run for 3 yds to the Charl 28Similar
Q1 14:32
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+5
21.4%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 5 yds to the Charl 33Similar
Q1 14:32
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+5
21.4%
Johnny Martin III run for 5 yds to the Charl 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:32
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
21.4%
Johnny Martin III run for 1 yd to the Charl 39Similar
Q1 11:59
2ND & 9
OWN 39
0
22.1%
Chris Reynolds pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 3TD
1 play · 7 yds · 0:0079% → 79%
Q1 11:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
21.2%
Austin Reed pass complete to Daewood Davis for 7 yds for a TD, (Brayden Narveson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · -5 yds · 3:1222% → 21%
Q1 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-8
21.5%
Chris Reynolds sacked by Terrion Thompson and Mike Allen for a loss of 8 yards to the Charl 40Similar
Q1 11:55
2ND & 18
OWN 40
+5
21.3%
Shadrick Byrd run for 5 yds to the Charl 45Similar
Q1 11:55
3RD & 13
OWN 45
-5
21.3%
CHARLOTTE Penalty, Delay Of Game (Chris Reynolds) to the Charl 40Similar
Q1 11:55
3RD & 18
OWN 40
+5
21.3%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, Offsides (C.J. Jones) to the Charl 45Similar
Q1 11:55
3RD & 13
OWN 45
-5
21.3%
CHARLOTTE Penalty, False Start (Elijah Spencer) to the Charl 40Similar
Q1 11:55
3RD & 18
OWN 40
+3
21.3%
Shadrick Byrd run for 3 yds to the Charl 43Similar
Q1 8:43
4TH & 15
OWN 43
0
21.1%
punt for 55 yds, downed at the WKent 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 5TD
6 plays · 98 yds · 1:5179% → 83%
Q1 8:43
2ND & 9
OWN 2
+10
20.6%
Austin Reed pass complete to Malachi Corley for 10 yds to the WKent 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+13
20.6%
Austin Reed pass complete to Daewood Davis for 13 yds to the WKent 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
20.5%
Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 11 yds to the WKent 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
20.3%
Austin Reed pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
20.3%
Austin Reed pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:52
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+64
17.3%
Austin Reed pass complete to Malachi Corley for 64 yds for a TD, (Brayden Narveson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 6FUMBLE
6 plays · 34 yds · 3:1518% → 18%
Q1 6:52
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
17.9%
Johnny Martin III run for 3 yds to the Charl 30Similar
Q1 6:52
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+6
17.9%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Grant DuBose for 6 yds to the Charl 36Similar
Q1 6:52
3RD & 1
OWN 36
+2
18.3%
Johnny Martin III run for 2 yds to the Charl 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:52
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+11
18.2%
Shadrick Byrd run for 11 yds to the Charl 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:52
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
18.4%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Grant DuBose for 6 yds to the WKent 45Similar
Q1 3:37
2ND & 4
OPP 45
+6
17.6%
Chris Reynolds run for 6 yds to the WKent 39 Chris Reynolds fumbled, recovered by WKent Kaleb OliverSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:2085% → 84%
Q1 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
15.5%
Austin Reed pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:37
2ND & 10
OWN 39
0
15.6%
Austin Reed pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:37
3RD & 10
OWN 39
0
15.7%
Austin Reed pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:17
4TH & 10
OWN 39
0
15.8%
Tom Ellard punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Grant DuBose at the Charl 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 8PUNT
9 plays · 32 yds · 3:2417% → 15%
Q1 3:17
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+15
16.7%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 15 yds to the Charl 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:17
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
16.8%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 6 yds to the Charl 35Similar
Q1 3:17
2ND & 4
OWN 35
+12
17.0%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Grant DuBose for 12 yds to the Charl 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:17
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
17.4%
Shadrick Byrd run for 4 yds to the WKent 49Similar
Q1 3:17
2ND & 6
OPP 49
-15
17.4%
REYNOLDS, Chris pass to the left complete for 1 yard to THOMPSON, Taylor caught at the WKU48 and advanced to the WKU48 (STOUT, Upton). PENALTY CLT Pass Interference on TUCKER, Victor enforced 15 yards to the CLT36 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 3:17
2ND & 21
OWN 36
0
16.7%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:17
2ND & 21
OWN 36
0
16.7%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 21
OWN 36
+10
15.1%
Shadrick Byrd run for 10 yds to the Charl 46Similar
Q2 14:53
4TH & 11
OWN 46
0
15.3%
Bailey Rice punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Jaylen Hall at the WKent 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 9TD
6 plays · 92 yds · 1:5386% → 89%
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+37
13.6%
Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 37 yds to the WKent 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+22
13.3%
Austin Reed pass complete to Joey Beljan for 22 yds to the Charl 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+15
13.2%
QB Keeper REED, Austin rush up the middle for no gain to the CLT33 (MAZANGU, Barutti). PENALTY CLT Face mask on MAZANGU, Barutti enforced 15 yards from the CLT35 to the CLT20 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
13.1%
Austin Reed pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:53
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+1
13.2%
Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 1 yd to the Charl 17Similar
Q2 13:00
3RD & 9
OPP 17
+17
11.0%
Austin Reed pass complete to Joshua Simon for 17 yds for a TD, (Brayden Narveson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 10DOWNS
14 plays · 64 yds · 6:1010% → 6%
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+2
10.3%
Shadrick Byrd run for 2 yds to the Charl 16Similar
Q2 13:00
2ND & 8
OWN 16
+16
10.3%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Shadrick Byrd for 16 yds to the Charl 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
10.5%
Johnny Martin III run for 3 yds to the Charl 35Similar
Q2 13:00
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+9
10.5%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Eugene Minter Jr. for 9 yds to the Charl 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-8
10.9%
Chris Reynolds sacked by Lorenzo Hernandez for a loss of 8 yards to the Charl 36Similar
Q2 9:04
2ND & 18
OWN 36
+19
8.4%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Grant DuBose for 19 yds to the WKent 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:04
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
7.9%
Xavier Williams run for 6 yds to the WKent 39Similar
Q2 9:04
2ND & 4
OPP 39
+18
7.7%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Shadrick Byrd for 18 yds to the WKent 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:04
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
8.1%
Shadrick Byrd run for no gain to the WKent 21Similar
Q2 9:04
2ND & 10
OPP 21
0
8.0%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:58
3RD & 10
OPP 21
-1
6.9%
Chris Reynolds sacked by Virgil Marshall for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 22Similar
Q2 6:50
4TH & 11
OPP 22
0
5.5%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 11DOWNS
13 plays · 76 yds · 5:1193% → 94%
Q2 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
6.7%
Austin Reed pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:50
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+12
6.8%
Malachi Corley run for 12 yds to the WKent 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
6.7%
L.T. Sanders run for 1 yd to the WKent 35Similar
Q2 6:50
2ND & 9
OWN 35
0
6.8%
Austin Reed pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:50
3RD & 9
OWN 35
+14
7.0%
Austin Reed pass complete to Dalvin Smith for 14 yds to the WKent 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-6
6.5%
Austin Reed sacked by Markees Watts for a loss of 6 yards to the WKent 43Similar
Q2 6:50
2ND & 16
OWN 43
+22
6.6%
Austin Reed pass complete to Joey Beljan for 22 yds to the Charl 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:50
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+16
6.4%
Austin Reed pass complete to Daewood Davis for 16 yds to the Charl 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:50
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+13
6.2%
Austin Reed pass complete to Dalvin Smith for 13 yds to the Charl 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
6.1%
L.T. Sanders run for 2 yds to the Charl 4Similar
Q2 6:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
6.1%
Austin Reed pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:50
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
6.2%
Austin Reed pass complete to Joey Beljan for 2 yds to the Charl 2Similar
Q2 1:39
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
0
5.6%
Austin Reed pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 0:154% → 3%
Q2 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+6
4.1%
Shadrick Byrd run for 6 yds to the Charl 8Similar
Q2 1:32
2ND & 4
OWN 8
0
3.9%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:23
3RD & 4
OWN 8
+1
3.7%
Shadrick Byrd run for 1 yd to the Charl 9Similar
Q2 1:17
4TH & 3
OWN 9
0
3.3%
Bailey Rice punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Jaylen Hall at the WKent 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 13TD
1 play · 56 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q2 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+42
5.7%
Austin Reed pass complete to Malachi Corley for 42 yds to the Charl 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 14END OF HALF TD
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:023% → 3%
Q2 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
3.2%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:02
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+4
3.0%
Shadrick Byrd run for 4 yds to the Charl 24Similar
Q2 1:02
1ST & 0
OPP 0
+14
4.9%
Joey Beljan 14 Yd pass from Austin Reed (Brayden Narveson Kick)Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+1
2.9%
Shadrick Byrd run for 1 yd to the Charl 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 15TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:283% → 3%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
2.8%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 5 yds to the Charl 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
2.8%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Shadrick Byrd for 4 yds to the Charl 34Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
2.9%
Shadrick Byrd run for no gain to the Charl 34Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+7
2.8%
Shadrick Byrd run for 7 yds to the Charl 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+10
2.9%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 10 yds to the WKent 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+18
3.1%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Grant DuBose for 18 yds to the WKent 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+7
3.3%
Johnny Martin III run for 7 yds to the WKent 24Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 24
+10
3.2%
Johnny Martin III run for 10 yds to the WKent 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
3.3%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:32
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+14
3.0%
Elijah Spencer 14 Yd pass from Chris Reynolds (Antonio Zita Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 16TD
4 plays · 45 yds · 0:3498% → 98%
Q3 10:32
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+26
2.5%
Austin Reed pass complete to Malachi Corley for 26 yds to the Charl 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:32
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
2.4%
Austin Reed pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:32
2ND & 10
OPP 19
0
2.5%
Austin Reed pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:58
3RD & 10
OPP 19
+19
1.7%
Michael Mathison 19 Yd pass from Austin Reed (Brayden Narveson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 17PUNT
12 plays · 20 yds · 4:402% → 1%
Q3 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
1.6%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:58
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-10
1.6%
CHARLOTTE Penalty, Offensive Holding (Matt Rosso) to the Charl 19Similar
Q3 9:58
2ND & 16
OWN 19
0
1.6%
Chris Reynolds run for no gain to the Charl 19Similar
Q3 9:58
3RD & 16
OWN 19
+24
1.6%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Taylor Thompson for 24 yds to the Charl 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
1.7%
Shadrick Byrd run for 6 yds to the Charl 49Similar
Q3 9:58
2ND & 4
OWN 49
-5
1.7%
Nolan Groulx run for a loss of 5 yards to the Charl 44Similar
Q3 9:58
3RD & 9
OWN 44
+9
1.6%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Grant DuBose for 9 yds to the WKent 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:58
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-10
1.8%
REYNOLDS, Chris pass to the right incomplete intended for MARTIN III, Johnny thrown to the WKU47. PENALTY CLT Holding on HUGHES, Jaxon enforced 10 yards from the WKU47 to the CLT43 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 9:58
1ST & 20
OWN 43
+2
1.7%
Shadrick Byrd run for 2 yds to the Charl 45Similar
Q3 9:58
3RD & 18
OWN 45
-5
1.6%
CHARLOTTE Penalty, Illegal Forward Pass (Chris Reynolds) to the Charl 45Similar
Q3 9:58
2ND & 18
OWN 45
0
1.6%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:18
4TH & 18
OWN 45
0
1.0%
Bailey Rice punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Jaylen Hall at the WKent 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 18DOWNS
9 plays · 53 yds · 2:5799% → 99%
Q3 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+7
1.1%
Austin Reed pass complete to Malachi Corley for 7 yds to the WKent 24Similar
Q3 5:18
2ND & 3
OWN 24
+20
1.1%
Austin Reed pass complete to Daewood Davis for 20 yds to the WKent 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
1.0%
Austin Reed pass complete to Michael Mathison for 4 yds to the WKent 48Similar
Q3 5:18
2ND & 6
OWN 48
0
1.0%
Austin Reed pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:18
3RD & 6
OWN 48
+13
1.1%
Austin Reed pass complete to Malachi Corley for 13 yds to the Charl 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:18
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
1.0%
Austin Reed pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:18
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+5
1.0%
Austin Reed pass complete to Dalvin Smith for 5 yds to the Charl 34Similar
Q3 5:18
3RD & 5
OPP 34
0
1.0%
Austin Reed pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:21
4TH & 5
OPP 34
+4
1.0%
Austin Reed pass complete to Jakairi Moses for 4 yds to the Charl 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 19DOWNS
8 plays · 33 yds · 4:041% → 0%
Q3 2:21
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
0.6%
Johnny Martin III run for 5 yds to the Charl 35Similar
Q3 2:21
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+10
0.6%
Xavier Williams run for 10 yds to the Charl 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:21
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
0.7%
Shadrick Byrd run for no gain to the Charl 45Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+12
0.4%
Johnny Martin III run for 12 yds to the WKent 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
0.5%
Xavier Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 43
-10
0.4%
Xavier Williams sacked by JaQues Evans for a loss of 10 yards to the Charl 47Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 20
OWN 47
+7
0.4%
Shadrick Byrd run for 7 yds to the WKent 46Similar
Q4 13:17
4TH & 13
OPP 46
+9
0.3%
Xavier Williams pass complete to Eugene Minter Jr. for 9 yds to the WKent 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 20FG
9 plays · 41 yds · 4:11100% → 100%
Q4 13:17
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
0.5%
Jakairi Moses run for 5 yds to the WKent 42Similar
Q4 13:17
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+9
0.5%
Jakairi Moses run for 9 yds to the Charl 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:17
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+9
0.5%
Austin Reed pass complete to Michael Mathison for 9 yds to the Charl 40Similar
Q4 13:17
2ND & 1
OPP 40
+12
0.5%
Jakairi Moses run for 12 yds to the Charl 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:17
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
0.5%
Austin Reed pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:17
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+5
0.5%
Jakairi Moses run for 5 yds to the Charl 23Similar
Q4 9:11
3RD & 5
OPP 23
+1
0.3%
Jakairi Moses run for 1 yd to the Charl 22Similar
Q4 9:06
4TH & 4
OPP 22
+40
0.3%
Brayden Narveson 40 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 21INT TD
3 plays · 13 yds · 1:160% → 0%
Q4 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
0.2%
Xavier Williams run for 8 yds to the Charl 33Similar
Q4 9:06
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+5
0.2%
Johnny Martin III run for 5 yds to the Charl 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-42
0.2%
Anthony Brackenridge 42 Yd Interception Return (Brayden Narveson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 22DOWNS
11 plays · 41 yds · 4:230% → 0%
Q4 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
0.2%
Xavier Williams sacked by Jaden Hunter and C.J. Jones for a loss of 3 yards to the Charl 22Similar
Q4 7:50
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+3
0.2%
Johnny Martin III run for 3 yds to the Charl 25Similar
Q4 7:50
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+18
0.2%
Xavier Williams pass complete to Grant DuBose for 18 yds to the Charl 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
0.2%
Johnny Martin III run for 2 yds to the Charl 45Similar
Q4 7:50
2ND & 8
OWN 45
0
0.2%
Xavier Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:50
3RD & 8
OWN 45
+13
0.2%
Johnny Martin III run for 13 yds to the WKent 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:50
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
0.2%
Johnny Martin III run for 3 yds to the WKent 39Similar
Q4 7:50
2ND & 7
OPP 39
0
0.2%
Xavier Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:31
3RD & 7
OPP 39
+5
0.1%
Shadrick Byrd run for 5 yds to the WKent 34Similar
Q4 3:27
4TH & 2
OPP 34
0
0.1%
Xavier Williams pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 23TD
6 plays · 66 yds · 2:42100% → 100%
Q4 3:27
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+47
0.3%
Darius Ocean pass complete to Dalvin Smith for 47 yds to the Charl 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:27
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
0.3%
Jakairi Moses run for 5 yds to the Charl 14Similar
Q4 3:27
2ND & 5
OPP 14
+5
0.2%
Jakairi Moses run for 5 yds to the Charl 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
0.2%
Darius Ocean pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
0.2%
Jakairi Moses run for 4 yds to the Charl 5Similar
Q4 0:45
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
0.2%
Dalvin Smith 5 Yd pass from Darius Ocean (Brayden Narveson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 24END OF GAME
2 plays · 11 yds · 0:450% → 0%
Q4 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
0.1%
Johnny Martin III run for 5 yds to the Charl 30Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+6
0.0%
Johnny Martin III run for 6 yds to the Charl 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 6:52
Austin Reed pass complete to Malachi Corley for 64 yds for a TD, (Brayden Narveson KICK)
-3
TD · Q2 1:17
Austin Reed pass complete to Malachi Corley for 42 yds to the Charl 14 for a 1ST down
+2.4
TD · Q2 13:00
Austin Reed pass complete to Joshua Simon for 17 yds for a TD, (Brayden Narveson KICK)
-2.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com