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UNT

North Texas 40 at Western Kentucky 13

WKU
2022 · Week 9 · Oct 29, 2022 · Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium
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Win probability · WKU
modelWKU aheadUNT aheadconfidence bandkey playWKU scoreUNT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGFGFGFGTDTDTDEnd of GameFG+4.6WKU 60.7%B.Narveson 32 yard field goal attemptis good, Center-J.Bowman,Holder-T.Ellard.AWAY 17 - HOME 13 · Q2 1:32
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 1:32 · B.Narveson 32 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-J.Bowman, Holder-T.Ellard.
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+56.5+28.30−28.3−56.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 85Pregame prior+11.9Home team on offense−1.3Score differential−0.9Garbage-time factor−0.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 8:48: A.Aune pass complete to NTX 44. Catch made by D.Ward at NTX 44. Gain of 56 yards. D.Ward for 56 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — UNT win probability +3.2 pts (now 34%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 1:32: B.Narveson 32 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-J.Bowman, Holder-T.Ellard. — WKU win probability +4.6 pts (now 61%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 0:02: E.Mooney 20 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-J.Hadley, Holder-B.Rodriguez. — UNT win probability +8.2 pts (now 53%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 14:37: A.Aune pass complete to WKY 5. Catch made by I.Ragsdale at WKY 5. Gain of 5 yards. I.Ragsdale for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — UNT win probability +14.2 pts (now 85%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 9:52: A.Adeyi rushed to WKY End Zone for 39 yards. A.Adeyi for 39 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — UNT win probability +6.1 pts (now 97%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WKU made the numbers' call on 8 of 9UNT made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 14:28WKU 4th & 12 at WKU 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.4%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:37WKU 4th & 8 at WKU 38, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.7%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:35UNT 4th & 7 at WKU 22, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 33.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.7%−0.2
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    32.9%
    72% to make
    Punt
    30.3%−2.5
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:51WKU 4th & 14 at UNT 26, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 64.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.4%−0.6
    18% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    64.0%
    64% to make
    Punt
    62.3%−1.8
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:34UNT 4th & 9 at WKU 38, up 7
    Close callPunted · 36.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.4%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    36.2%−0.2
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    36.2%−0.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:45WKU 4th & 23 at WKU 43, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.3%−2.7
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:38UNT 4th & 16 at UNT 28, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.0%−2.3
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.3%
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:32WKU 4th & 5 at UNT 14, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 56.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.3%−0.4
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    55.7%
    84% to make
    Punt
    48.3%−7.3
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:32UNT 4th & 4 at UNT 44, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.9%−0.3
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.1%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:02UNT 4th & 3 at WKU 3, up 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.5 ptsKicked a field goal · 42.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.8%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    41.4%−2.5
    93% to make
    Punt
    32.4%−11.5
    average punt
  11. Q3 12:48UNT 4th & 5 at UNT 44, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.6%−0.7
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.3%
    average punt
  12. Q3 7:57WKU 4th & 2 at UNT 40, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 49.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    49.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    45.5%−4.2
    34% to make
    Punt
    46.1%−3.6
    average punt
  13. Q3 4:47WKU 4th & 8 at UNT 11, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 46.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.0%−1.5
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    45.5%
    87% to make
    Punt
    31.8%−13.7
    average punt
  14. Q3 3:10UNT 4th & 6 at UNT 37, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.8%−0.8
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.6%
    average punt
  15. Q3 1:22WKU 4th & 5 at WKU 33, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.8%−1.8
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.6%
    average punt
  16. Q4 8:41WKU 4th & 8 at UNT 49, down 20
    Close callWent for it · 3.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.0%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WKU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1UNT made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 11:52UNT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    25.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    25.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:48UNT Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 5:55WKU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 9:52UNT Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.0%−0.5
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 2:50UNT Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WKUDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:2672% → 72%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
72.4%
A.Reed steps back to pass. A.Reed pass incomplete intended for M.Corley.Similar
Q1 14:53
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+2
72.4%
A.Reed pass complete to WKY 23. Catch made by D.Ervin-Poindexter at WKY 23. Gain of 2 yards. Tackled by Q.Whitlock at WKY 25.Similar
Q1 14:32
3RD & 12
OWN 25
0
72.3%
A.Reed steps back to pass. A.Reed pass incomplete intended for D.Davis.Similar
Q1 14:28
4TH & 12
OWN 25
+39
72.3%
T.Ellard punts 39 yards to NTX 36, Center-J.Bowman. Downed by A.Brackenridge.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 2TD
7 plays · 64 yds · 1:5528% → 29%
Q1 13:47
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+25
72.1%
A.Aune pass complete to NTX 36. Catch made by R.Burns at NTX 36. Gain of 25 yards. Tackled by WKY at WKY 39.Similar
Q1 13:32
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
72.0%
A.Adeyi rushed to WKY 35 for 4 yards. Tackled by WKY at WKY 35.Similar
Q1 13:13
2ND & 6
OPP 35
0
71.9%
A.Aune steps back to pass. A.Aune pass incomplete intended for J.Shorter.Similar
Q1 13:02
3RD & 6
OPP 35
+6
71.9%
I.Ragsdale rushed to WKY 29 for 6 yards. Tackled by J.Evans at WKY 29.Similar
Q1 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+1
71.7%
I.Ragsdale rushed to WKY 28 for 1 yards. Tackled by J.Jones; J.Evans at WKY 28.Similar
Q1 11:52
2ND & 9
OPP 28
+28
70.6%
A.Aune pass complete to WKY 28. Catch made by K.Horton at WKY 28. Gain of 28 yards. K.Horton for 28 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 3PUNT
10 plays · 13 yds · 2:0271% → 70%
Q1 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
70.8%
PENALTY on WKY-Q.Leslie, False Start, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q1 11:39
1ST & 15
OWN 20
0
70.7%
L.Sanders rushed to WKY 20 for 0 yards. Tackled by F.Vailea at WKY 20.Similar
Q1 11:05
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+5
70.5%
L.Sanders rushed to WKY 25 for 5 yards. Tackled by NTX at WKY 25.Similar
Q1 10:38
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+11
70.1%
A.Reed pass complete to WKY 25. Catch made by J.Hall at WKY 25. Gain of 11 yards. Tackled by R.Texada at WKY 36.Similar
Q1 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
70.2%
L.Sanders rushed to WKY 38 for 2 yards. Tackled by K.Wood; Q.Whitlock at WKY 38.Similar
Q1 9:56
2ND & 8
OWN 38
0
70.1%
A.Reed steps back to pass. A.Reed pass incomplete intended for D.Davis.Similar
Q1 9:42
3RD & 8
OWN 38
0
69.8%
A.Reed steps back to pass. A.Reed pass incomplete intended for D.Smith.Similar
Q1 9:37
4TH & 8
OWN 38
+47
69.6%
T.Ellard punts 47 yards to NTX 15, Center-J.Bowman. Downed by C.Jones.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 4TD
3 plays · 85 yds · 0:3430% → 34%
Q1 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+13
69.6%
A.Aune pass complete to NTX 15. Catch made by D.Ward at NTX 15. Gain of 13 yards. Tackled by WKY at NTX 28.Similar
Q1 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+16
69.2%
O.Adaway rushed to NTX 44 for 16 yards. Tackled by J.Evans; K.Simpkins at NTX 44.Similar
Q1 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+56
66.0%
A.Aune pass complete to NTX 44. Catch made by D.Ward at NTX 44. Gain of 56 yards. D.Ward for 56 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 5TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:2967% → 69%
Q1 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
66.8%
D.Ervin-Poindexter rushed to WKY 29 for 4 yards. Tackled by L.Nixon at WKY 29.Similar
Q1 7:50
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-1
66.4%
A.Reed pass complete to WKY 29. Catch made by D.Ervin-Poindexter at WKY 29. Gain of -1 yards. Tackled by T.Trieb at WKY 28.Similar
Q1 7:12
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+9
65.9%
A.Reed pass complete to WKY 28. Catch made by M.Mathison at WKY 28. Gain of 9 yards. Tackled by NTX at WKY 37.Similar
Q1 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
66.0%
D.Ervin-Poindexter rushed to WKY 43 for 6 yards. Tackled by NTX at WKY 43.Similar
Q1 6:42
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+52
66.1%
A.Reed pass complete to WKY 43. Catch made by J.Hall at WKY 43. Gain of 52 yards. Pushed out of bounds by L.Wilson at NTX 5.Similar
Q1 5:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
68.9%
A.Reed pass complete to NTX 5. Catch made by J.Simon at NTX 5. Gain of 5 yards. J.Simon for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 6FG
11 plays · 51 yds · 4:0233% → 37%
Q1 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
67.0%
A.Adeyi rushed to NTX 29 for 2 yards. Tackled by D.Shipp at NTX 29.Similar
Q1 5:12
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+3
66.7%
A.Adeyi rushed to NTX 32 for 3 yards. Tackled by D.Shipp at NTX 32.Similar
Q1 4:37
3RD & 5
OWN 32
+16
66.4%
A.Aune pass complete to NTX 32. Catch made by V.Gumms at NTX 32. Gain of 16 yards. Tackled by WKY at NTX 48.Similar
Q1 4:21
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
65.6%
A.Aune rushed to WKY 49 for 3 yards. Tackled by WKY at WKY 49.Similar
Q1 3:55
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+4
65.2%
O.Adaway rushed to WKY 45 for 4 yards. Tackled by WKY at WKY 45.Similar
Q1 3:35
3RD & 3
OPP 45
+10
65.1%
A.Aune pass complete to WKY 45. Catch made by J.Smart at WKY 45. Gain of 10 yards. Tackled by WKY at WKY 35.Similar
Q1 3:22
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+10
64.7%
J.Roberts rushed to WKY 25 for 10 yards. Tackled by WKY at WKY 25.Similar
Q1 2:58
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
64.3%
A.Aune pass complete to WKY 25. Catch made by J.Roberts at WKY 25. Gain of 1 yards. Tackled by WKY at WKY 24.Similar
Q1 2:19
2ND & 9
OPP 24
+2
63.7%
A.Adeyi rushed to WKY 22 for 2 yards. Tackled by T.Thompson at WKY 22.Similar
Q1 1:48
3RD & 7
OPP 22
0
63.5%
A.Aune steps back to pass. A.Aune pass incomplete intended for R.Burns.Similar
Q1 1:35
4TH & 7
OPP 22
+39
63.5%
E.Mooney 39 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-J.Hadley, Holder-B.Rodriguez.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 7FG
9 plays · 50 yds · 1:2863% → 63%
Q1 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+44
62.6%
A.Reed pass complete to WKY 25. Catch made by D.Davis at WKY 25. Gain of 44 yards. Tackled by NTX at NTX 31. PENALTY on NTX-NTX, Defensive Pass Interference, 15 yards, declined.Similar
Q1 1:11
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
64.3%
A.Reed steps back to pass. A.Reed pass incomplete intended for M.Corley.Similar
Q1 1:09
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+9
64.2%
D.Ervin-Poindexter rushed to NTX 22 for 9 yards. Tackled by NTX at NTX 22.Similar
Q1 0:54
3RD & 1
OPP 22
+1
63.4%
D.Ervin-Poindexter rushed to NTX 21 for 1 yards. Tackled by NTX at NTX 21.Similar
Q1 0:44
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
64.0%
A.Reed steps back to pass. A.Reed pass incomplete intended for M.Corley.Similar
Q1 0:08
2ND & 10
OPP 21
-4
63.6%
A.Reed pass complete to NTX 21. Catch made by M.Mathison at NTX 21. Gain of -4 yards. Tackled by NTX at NTX 25.Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 14
OPP 26
0
62.2%
A.Reed steps back to pass. A.Reed pass incomplete intended for D.Davis.Similar
Q2 14:51
4TH & 14
OPP 26
+43
63.1%
B.Narveson 43 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-J.Bowman, Holder-T.Ellard.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 8PUNT
10 plays · 47 yds · 3:1037% → 39%
Q2 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+5
63.3%
I.Ragsdale rushed to NTX 20 for 5 yards. Tackled by WKY at NTX 20.Similar
Q2 14:27
2ND & 5
OWN 20
+7
62.9%
A.Aune pass complete to NTX 20. Catch made by I.Ragsdale at NTX 20. Gain of 7 yards. Tackled by WKY at NTX 27.Similar
Q2 13:58
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
62.4%
I.Ragsdale rushed to NTX 31 for 4 yards. Tackled by WKY at NTX 31.Similar
Q2 13:33
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+19
61.9%
A.Aune pass complete to NTX 31. Catch made by D.Ward at NTX 31. Gain of 19 yards. Tackled by WKY at WKY 50.Similar
Q2 13:03
1ST & 10
OPP 0
+11
60.3%
O.Adaway rushed to WKY 39 for 11 yards. Tackled by WKY at WKY 39.Similar
Q2 12:29
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
60.2%
R.Burns rushed to WKY 36 for 3 yards. Tackled by WKY at WKY 36. PENALTY on NTX-J.Roberts, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, accepted.Similar
Q2 12:17
1ST & 17
OPP 46
+5
60.3%
PENALTY on WKY-B.Martin, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q2 12:17
2ND & 12
OPP 41
+3
60.0%
O.Adaway rushed to WKY 38 for 3 yards. Tackled by WKY at WKY 38.Similar
Q2 12:00
3RD & 9
OPP 38
0
60.1%
A.Aune steps back to pass. A.Aune pass incomplete intended for I.Ragsdale.Similar
Q2 11:34
4TH & 9
OPP 38
+28
60.8%
B.Rodriguez punts 28 yards to WKY 10, Center-J.Hadley. Fair catch by J.Hall.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 9PUNT
9 plays · 33 yds · 3:4261% → 57%
Q2 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+8
61.4%
A.Reed pass complete to WKY 10. Catch made by D.Davis at WKY 10. Gain of 8 yards. Tackled by S.Faulkner; K.Davis at WKY 18.Similar
Q2 11:00
2ND & 2
OWN 18
+5
61.4%
A.Reed pass complete to WKY 18. Catch made by D.Davis at WKY 18. Gain of 5 yards. Tackled by D.Gaddie at WKY 23.Similar
Q2 10:38
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+13
61.1%
A.Reed pass complete to WKY 23. Catch made by M.Corley at WKY 23. Gain of 13 yards. Tackled by S.Faulkner; K.Rausaw at WKY 36.Similar
Q2 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
61.4%
A.Reed pass complete to WKY 36. Catch made by D.Davis at WKY 36. Gain of 5 yards. Tackled by K.Wood at WKY 41.Similar
Q2 9:57
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+15
61.9%
A.Reed pass complete to WKY 41. Catch made by J.Hall at WKY 41. Gain of 15 yards. Tackled by NTX at NTX 44.Similar
Q2 9:46
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-7
62.4%
A.Reed steps back to pass. A.Reed sacked at WKY 49 for -7 yards (K.Johnson)Similar
Q2 8:59
2ND & 17
OWN 49
-10
60.2%
A.Reed steps back to pass. A.Reed sacked at WKY 39 for -10 yards (K.Johnson) A.Reed FUMBLES, forced by K.Johnson. Fumble RECOVERED by WKY-A.Reed at WKY 39. Tackled by NTX at WKY 39.Similar
Q2 8:01
3RD & 27
OWN 39
+4
57.6%
D.Ervin-Poindexter rushed to WKY 43 for 4 yards. Tackled by NTX at WKY 43.Similar
Q2 7:45
4TH & 23
OWN 43
+57
56.6%
T.Ellard punts 57 yards to NTX End Zone, Center-J.Bowman. Touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 2:4643% → 44%
Q2 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
56.8%
A.Adeyi rushed to NTX 24 for 4 yards. Tackled by WKY at NTX 24.Similar
Q2 7:06
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+10
56.1%
A.Aune pass complete to NTX 24. Catch made by J.Roberts at NTX 24. Gain of 10 yards. Tackled by WKY at NTX 34.Similar
Q2 6:43
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
55.4%
A.Adeyi rushed to NTX 37 for 3 yards. Tackled by WKY at NTX 37.Similar
Q2 6:10
2ND & 7
OWN 37
-2
54.4%
I.Ragsdale rushed to NTX 35 for -2 yards. Tackled by WKY at NTX 35.Similar
Q2 5:12
3RD & 9
OWN 35
-7
55.4%
A.Aune steps back to pass. A.Aune sacked at NTX 28 for -7 yards (J.Evans)Similar
Q2 4:38
4TH & 16
OWN 28
+47
56.4%
B.Rodriguez punts 47 yards to WKY 25, Center-J.Hadley. J.Hall returned punt from the WKY 25. Tackled by NTX at WKY 29. PENALTY on WKY-W.Ignont, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, accepted.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 11FG
10 plays · 71 yds · 2:5855% → 61%
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+13
55.2%
D.Ervin-Poindexter rushed to WKY 28 for 13 yards. Tackled by NTX at WKY 28. PENALTY on NTX-L.Nixon, Offensive Facemask, 15 yards, accepted.Similar
Q2 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
56.9%
A.Reed steps back to pass. A.Reed pass incomplete intended for M.Mathison.Similar
Q2 3:49
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+22
56.1%
A.Reed pass complete to WKY 43. Catch made by M.Corley at WKY 43. Gain of 22 yards. Pushed out of bounds by NTX at NTX 35.Similar
Q2 3:32
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+9
59.0%
L.Sanders rushed to NTX 26 for 9 yards. Tackled by NTX at NTX 26.Similar
Q2 3:09
2ND & 1
OPP 26
+7
58.8%
L.Sanders rushed to NTX 19 for 7 yards. Tackled by NTX at NTX 19.Similar
Q2 3:03
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
58.7%
L.Sanders rushed to NTX 13 for yards. Tackled by NTX at NTX 13. PENALTY on WKY-Q.Leslie, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q2 2:47
1ST & 20
OPP 29
+15
57.5%
A.Reed pass complete to NTX 29. Catch made by M.Corley at NTX 29. Gain of 15 yards. Tackled by D.Gaddie at NTX 14.Similar
Q2 2:07
2ND & 5
OPP 14
0
57.9%
A.Reed pass complete to NTX 14. Catch made by J.Beljan at NTX 14. Gain of 0 yards. Tackled by NTX at NTX 14.Similar
Q2 1:34
3RD & 5
OPP 14
0
56.1%
A.Reed steps back to pass. A.Reed pass incomplete intended for J.Hall.Similar
Q2 1:32
4TH & 5
OPP 14
0
60.7%
B.Narveson 32 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-J.Bowman, Holder-T.Ellard.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 0:5642% → 43%
Q2 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
57.7%
A.Aune pass complete to NTX 25. Catch made by D.Ward at NTX 25. Gain of 13 yards. Tackled by WKY at NTX 38.Similar
Q2 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
56.2%
A.Aune rushed to NTX 41 for yards. Tackled by WKY at NTX 41. PENALTY on NTX-G.Blair, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q2 1:04
1ST & 20
OWN 28
0
57.6%
A.Aune steps back to pass. A.Aune pass incomplete intended for R.Burns.Similar
Q2 1:01
2ND & 20
OWN 28
+13
58.0%
I.Ragsdale rushed to NTX 41 for 13 yards. Tackled by WKY at NTX 41.Similar
Q2 0:39
3RD & 7
OWN 41
+3
56.4%
I.Ragsdale rushed to NTX 44 for 3 yards. Tackled by WKY at NTX 44.Similar
Q2 0:32
4TH & 4
OWN 44
+43
57.3%
B.Rodriguez punts 43 yards to WKY 13, Center-J.Hadley. J.Hall MUFFS catch. Fumble RECOVERED by NTX-R.Burns at WKY 10. Tackled by WKY at NTX 44.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 13FG
7 plays · 7 yds · 0:2147% → 53%
Q2 0:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
52.7%
A.Aune steps back to pass. A.Aune pass incomplete intended for J.Roberts.Similar
Q2 0:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+8
52.7%
A.Aune pass complete to WKY 10. Catch made by J.Roberts at WKY 10. Gain of 8 yards. Tackled by WKY at WKY 2.Similar
Q2 0:11
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
53.6%
A.Aune rushed to WKY 3 for -1 yards. Tackled by WKY at WKY 3.Similar
Q2 0:02
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+20
47.3%
E.Mooney 20 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-J.Hadley, Holder-B.Rodriguez.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 14PUNT
9 plays · 19 yds · 2:1251% → 53%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
49.1%
O.Adaway rushed to NTX 26 for 1 yards. Tackled by WKY at NTX 26.Similar
Q3 14:33
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-1
49.0%
O.Adaway rushed to NTX 25 for -1 yards. Tackled by WKY at NTX 25.Similar
Q3 14:01
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+14
49.8%
A.Aune pass complete to NTX 25. Catch made by J.Roberts at NTX 25. Gain of 14 yards. Tackled by WKY at NTX 39.Similar
Q3 13:47
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
46.2%
A.Aune steps back to pass. A.Aune pass incomplete intended for D.Ward. PENALTY on NTX-NTX, Ineligible Downfield Pass, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q3 13:43
1ST & 15
OWN 34
+10
48.4%
A.Aune pass complete to NTX 34. Catch made by J.Shorter at NTX 34. Gain of 10 yards. Tackled by WKY at NTX 44.Similar
Q3 13:21
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+4
45.6%
I.Ragsdale rushed to NTX 48 for 4 yards. Tackled by WKY at NTX 48. PENALTY on WKY-M.Allen, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, offset. PENALTY on NTX-K.Moreka, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, offset. No Play.Similar
Q3 12:55
2ND & 5
OWN 44
0
45.3%
A.Aune steps back to pass. A.Aune pass incomplete intended for R.Burns.Similar
Q3 12:53
3RD & 5
OWN 44
0
45.7%
A.Aune steps back to pass. A.Aune pass incomplete intended for V.Gumms.Similar
Q3 12:48
4TH & 5
OWN 44
+50
47.4%
B.Rodriguez punts 50 yards to WKY 6, Center-J.Hadley. Downed by J.Smart.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 15MISSED FG
20 plays · 83 yds · 7:4148% → 45%
Q3 12:28
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+5
48.4%
A.Reed pass complete to WKY 6. Catch made by M.Corley at WKY 6. Gain of 5 yards. Pushed out of bounds by NTX at WKY 11.Similar
Q3 11:49
2ND & 5
OWN 11
+1
48.1%
A.Reed pass complete to WKY 11. Catch made by M.Corley at WKY 11. Gain of 1 yards. Tackled by NTX at WKY 12.Similar
Q3 11:27
3RD & 4
OWN 12
+12
46.5%
D.Ervin-Poindexter rushed to WKY 24 for 12 yards. Tackled by NTX at WKY 24.Similar
Q3 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
48.0%
A.Reed steps back to pass. A.Reed pass incomplete intended for M.Mathison.Similar
Q3 11:10
2ND & 10
OWN 24
0
47.8%
A.Reed steps back to pass. A.Reed pass incomplete intended for J.Hall.Similar
Q3 11:07
3RD & 10
OWN 24
+14
46.5%
A.Reed pass complete to WKY 24. Catch made by M.Mathison at WKY 24. Gain of 14 yards. Tackled by NTX at WKY 38.Similar
Q3 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
49.0%
D.Ervin-Poindexter rushed to WKY 41 for 3 yards. Tackled by NTX at WKY 41.Similar
Q3 10:13
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+5
49.9%
A.Reed pass complete to WKY 41. Catch made by J.Hall at WKY 41. Gain of 5 yards. Tackled by NTX at WKY 46.Similar
Q3 9:34
3RD & 2
OWN 46
+6
49.5%
A.Reed rushed to NTX 48 for 6 yards. Tackled by NTX at NTX 48.Similar
Q3 9:14
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
50.8%
A.Reed steps back to pass. A.Reed pass incomplete intended for M.Corley.Similar
Q3 9:07
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+4
50.1%
A.Reed pass complete to NTX 48. Catch made by J.Hall at NTX 48. Gain of 4 yards. Pushed out of bounds by NTX at NTX 44.Similar
Q3 8:25
3RD & 6
OPP 44
+4
49.9%
L.Sanders rushed to NTX 40 for 4 yards. Tackled by NTX at NTX 40.Similar
Q3 7:57
4TH & 2
OPP 40
+3
47.9%
A.Reed rushed to NTX 37 for 3 yards. Tackled by NTX at NTX 37.Similar
Q3 7:18
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+7
49.6%
A.Reed pass complete to NTX 37. Catch made by M.Corley at NTX 37. Gain of 7 yards. Pushed out of bounds by NTX at NTX 30.Similar
Q3 6:43
2ND & 3
OPP 30
+17
51.0%
A.Reed pass complete to NTX 30. Catch made by M.Corley at NTX 30. Gain of 17 yards. Tackled by NTX at NTX 13.Similar
Q3 6:26
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+1
50.7%
L.Sanders rushed to NTX 12 for 1 yards. Tackled by NTX at NTX 12.Similar
Q3 5:34
2ND & 9
OPP 12
+1
50.3%
A.Reed pass complete to NTX 12. Catch made by D.Davis at NTX 12. Gain of 1 yards. Tackled by NTX at NTX 11.Similar
Q3 4:53
3RD & 8
OPP 11
0
47.5%
A.Reed steps back to pass. A.Reed pass incomplete intended for D.Davis.Similar
Q3 4:47
4TH & 8
OPP 11
0
44.8%
B.Narveson 29 yard field goal attempt is no good, Center-J.Bowman, Holder-T.Ellard.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 17 yds · 1:1861% → 62%
Q3 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+13
39.2%
A.Adeyi rushed to NTX 33 for 13 yards. Tackled by WKY at NTX 33.Similar
Q3 4:03
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
37.5%
S.Earle rushed to NTX 36 for 3 yards. Tackled by WKY at NTX 36.Similar
Q3 3:34
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+1
35.7%
O.Adaway rushed to NTX 37 for 1 yards. Tackled by WKY at NTX 37.Similar
Q3 3:16
3RD & 6
OWN 37
0
36.2%
A.Aune steps back to pass. A.Aune pass incomplete intended for V.Gumms.Similar
Q3 3:10
4TH & 6
OWN 37
+35
38.0%
B.Rodriguez punts 35 yards to WKY 28, Center-J.Hadley. Fair catch by J.Hall.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:3242% → 39%
Q3 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
42.0%
L.Sanders rushed to WKY 31 for yards. Tackled by NTX at WKY 31. PENALTY on WKY-Q.Leslie, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q3 2:50
1ST & 20
OWN 18
+2
41.0%
L.Sanders rushed to WKY 20 for 2 yards. Tackled by NTX at WKY 20.Similar
Q3 2:20
2ND & 18
OWN 20
-2
40.6%
A.Reed pass complete to WKY 20. Catch made by D.Smith at WKY 20. Gain of -2 yards. Tackled by NTX at WKY 18.Similar
Q3 1:47
3RD & 20
OWN 18
+15
38.6%
L.Sanders rushed to WKY 33 for 15 yards. Tackled by NTX at WKY 33.Similar
Q3 1:22
4TH & 5
OWN 33
+41
38.7%
T.Ellard punts 41 yards to NTX 26, Center-J.Bowman. Fair catch by R.Burns.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 18TD
6 plays · 74 yds · 1:1565% → 85%
Q3 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+52
35.0%
A.Aune pass complete to NTX 26. Catch made by J.Maclin at NTX 26. Gain of 52 yards. Tackled by WKY at WKY 22.Similar
Q3 0:26
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
30.7%
A.Aune pass complete to WKY 22. Catch made by K.Horton at WKY 22. Gain of 0 yards. PENALTY on NTX-J.Maclin, Illegal Touch Pass, 0 yards, accepted.Similar
Q3 0:14
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+14
30.6%
A.Aune pass complete to WKY 22. Catch made by J.Roberts at WKY 22. Gain of 14 yards. Tackled by WKY at WKY 8.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
29.4%
A.Aune pass complete to WKY 8. Catch made by K.Horton at WKY 8. Gain of 3 yards. Tackled by WKY at WKY 5.Similar
Q4 14:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
15.2%
A.Aune pass complete to WKY 5. Catch made by I.Ragsdale at WKY 5. Gain of 5 yards. I.Ragsdale for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 19INT
12 plays · 50 yds · 1:5723% → 25%
Q4 14:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
22.7%
PENALTY on WKY-J.Beljan, Unnecessary Roughness / Offense, 13 yards, accepted.Similar
Q4 14:11
1ST & 23
OWN 12
+2
22.4%
D.Ervin-Poindexter rushed to WKY 14 for 2 yards. Tackled by NTX at WKY 14. PENALTY on WKY-J.Hall, Offensive Holding, 7 yards, accepted.Similar
Q4 14:04
1ST & 28
OWN 7
+2
21.8%
D.Ervin-Poindexter rushed to WKY 9 for 2 yards. Tackled by NTX at WKY 9.Similar
Q4 13:52
2ND & 26
OWN 9
+17
21.4%
A.Reed pass complete to WKY 9. Catch made by M.Corley at WKY 9. Gain of 17 yards. Tackled by NTX at WKY 26.Similar
Q4 13:26
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+39
20.9%
A.Reed pass complete to WKY 26. Catch made by M.Mathison at WKY 26. Gain of 39 yards. Tackled by NTX at NTX 35.Similar
Q4 13:07
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
26.2%
A.Reed steps back to pass. A.Reed pass incomplete intended for WKY.Similar
Q4 13:06
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+13
26.0%
M.Mathison rushed to NTX 14 for 13 yards. Tackled by NTX at NTX 14. PENALTY on WKY-D.Smith, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, accepted.Similar
Q4 12:35
2ND & 7
OPP 32
0
26.2%
A.Reed pass complete to NTX 32. Catch made by M.Corley at NTX 32. Gain of yards. Tackled by NTX at NTX 19. The Replay Official reviewed the pass completion and the play was overturned. A.Reed steps back to pass. A.Reed pass incomplete intended for M.Corley.Similar
Q4 12:29
3RD & 7
OPP 32
+7
23.9%
D.Ervin-Poindexter rushed to NTX 25 for 7 yards. Tackled by NTX at NTX 25.Similar
Q4 12:16
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
25.9%
A.Reed steps back to pass. A.Reed pass incomplete intended for D.Davis.Similar
Q4 12:14
2ND & 10
OPP 25
-11
25.3%
A.Reed pass INTERCEPTED at NTX 10. Intercepted by L.Wilson at NTX 10. Tackled by WKY at NTX 21.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 20TD
5 plays · 79 yds · 2:0287% → 97%
Q4 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+9
12.7%
A.Aune pass complete to NTX 21. Catch made by J.Maclin at NTX 21. Gain of 9 yards. Tackled by WKY at NTX 30.Similar
Q4 10:45
2ND & 1
OWN 30
+12
10.7%
S.Earle rushed to NTX 42 for 12 yards. Tackled by WKY at NTX 42.Similar
Q4 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
9.9%
S.Earle rushed to NTX 47 for 5 yards. Tackled by WKY at NTX 47.Similar
Q4 10:13
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+14
9.0%
S.Earle pass complete to NTX 47. Catch made by V.Gumms at NTX 47. Gain of 14 yards. Tackled by WKY at WKY 39.Similar
Q4 9:52
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+39
2.8%
A.Adeyi rushed to WKY End Zone for 39 yards. A.Adeyi for 39 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 21DOWNS
7 plays · 26 yds · 0:493% → 3%
Q4 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
3.3%
L.Sanders rushed to WKY 38 for 13 yards. Tackled by NTX at WKY 38.Similar
Q4 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
3.4%
A.Reed pass complete to WKY 38. Catch made by L.Sanders at WKY 38. Gain of 2 yards. Tackled by NTX at WKY 40.Similar
Q4 9:16
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+9
3.4%
A.Reed pass complete to WKY 40. Catch made by J.Hall at WKY 40. Gain of 9 yards. Tackled by NTX at WKY 49.Similar
Q4 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
3.4%
A.Reed steps back to pass. A.Reed pass incomplete intended for D.Davis.Similar
Q4 9:02
2ND & 10
OWN 49
0
3.4%
A.Reed steps back to pass. A.Reed pass incomplete intended for J.Hall.Similar
Q4 8:58
3RD & 10
OWN 49
+2
3.3%
A.Reed rushed to NTX 49 for 2 yards. Tackled by NTX at NTX 49.Similar
Q4 8:41
4TH & 8
OPP 49
0
3.2%
A.Reed steps back to pass. A.Reed pass incomplete intended for M.Corley.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 22TD
8 plays · 51 yds · 4:1598% → 100%
Q4 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+9
2.2%
I.Ragsdale rushed to WKY 42 for 9 yards. Tackled by WKY at WKY 42.Similar
Q4 6:46
2ND & 1
OPP 42
+7
1.9%
I.Ragsdale rushed to WKY 35 for 7 yards. Tackled by WKY at WKY 35.Similar
Q4 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
1.7%
A.Adeyi rushed to WKY 35 for 0 yards. Tackled by WKY at WKY 35.Similar
Q4 5:00
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+2
1.4%
A.Adeyi rushed to WKY 33 for 2 yards. Tackled by WKY at WKY 33.Similar
Q4 4:44
3RD & 8
OPP 33
+9
1.4%
S.Earle pass complete to WKY 33. Catch made by A.Adeyi at WKY 33. Gain of 9 yards. Tackled by WKY at WKY 24.Similar
Q4 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+4
1.3%
I.Ragsdale rushed to WKY 20 for 4 yards. Tackled by WKY at WKY 20.Similar
Q4 3:33
2ND & 6
OPP 20
+9
1.2%
A.Aune pass complete to WKY 20. Catch made by K.Horton at WKY 20. Gain of 9 yards. Tackled by WKY at WKY 11.Similar
Q4 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
0.2%
I.Ragsdale rushed to WKY End Zone for 11 yards. I.Ragsdale for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 23END OF GAME
3 plays · 18 yds · 0:480% → 0%
Q4 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
0.2%
L.Sanders rushed to WKY 28 for 8 yards. Tackled by NTX at WKY 28.Similar
Q4 1:31
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+7
0.2%
L.Sanders rushed to WKY 35 for 7 yards. Tackled by NTX at WKY 35.Similar
Q4 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
0.2%
L.Sanders rushed to WKY 38 for 3 yards. Tackled by NTX at WKY 38.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 14:37
A.Aune pass complete to WKY 5. Catch made by I.Ragsdale at WKY 5. Gain of 5 yards. I.Ragsdale for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
-14.2
FG · Q2 0:02
E.Mooney 20 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-J.Hadley, Holder-B.Rodriguez.
-8.2
TD · Q4 9:52
A.Adeyi rushed to WKY End Zone for 39 yards. A.Adeyi for 39 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
-6.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com