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MTSU

Middle Tennessee 24 at UTEP 13

UTEP
2022 · Week 9 · Oct 29, 2022 · Sun Bowl
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Win probability · UTEP
modelUTEP aheadMTSU aheadconfidence bandkey playUTEP scoreMTSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGFGTDTDTDFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 9:06 · Kyle Ulbrich punt for 60 yds , Marcus Bellon returns for no gain to the UTEP 14
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+40.5+20.30−20.3−40.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 64Home team on offense−4.9Pregame prior+4.5Garbage-time factor−1.5Score differential−1.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 2:17: Chase Cunningham pass complete to Jeremy Tate Jr. for 17 yds for a TD, (Zeke Rankin KICK) — MTSU win probability +6.9 pts (now 51%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:27: Gavin Hardison pass complete to Tyrin Smith for 4 yds for a TD, (Gavin Baechle KICK) — UTEP win probability +12.9 pts (now 63%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 6:41: Chase Cunningham pass complete to DJ England-Chisolm for 6 yds for a TD, (Zeke Rankin KICK) — MTSU win probability +21.1 pts (now 70%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 7:30: Gavin Baechle 47 yd FG GOOD — UTEP win probability +12.3 pts (now 39%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 7:20: Chase Cunningham pass complete to Jaylin Lane for 75 yds for a TD, (Zeke Rankin KICK) — MTSU win probability +32.0 pts (now 92%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UTEP made the numbers' call on 12 of 14MTSU made the numbers' call on 11 of 13
  1. Q1 12:14MTSU 4th & 5 at UTEP 7, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 41.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.9%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    41.9%
    91% to make
    Punt
    41.4%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:27UTEP 4th & 30 at UTEP 3, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.3%−0.4
    5% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:17MTSU 4th & 8 at UTEP 35, up 3
    Close callPunted · 42.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.3%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    42.3%−<0.1
    45% to make
    PuntTheir call
    42.2%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 8:17MTSU 4th & 8 at UTEP 35, up 3
    Close callPunted · 42.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.3%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    42.3%−<0.1
    45% to make
    PuntTheir call
    42.2%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 5:21UTEP 4th & 7 at UTEP 18, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.1%−0.3
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.4%
    average punt
  6. Q1 5:21UTEP 4th & 7 at UTEP 18, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.1%−0.3
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.4%
    average punt
  7. Q1 3:49MTSU 4th & 2 at UTEP 31, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 42.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    43.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    42.5%−0.5
    54% to make
    Punt
    42.1%−0.9
    average punt
  8. Q2 11:12UTEP 4th & 17 at MTSU 30, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 46.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.0%−1.0
    14% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    46.0%
    56% to make
    Punt
    45.3%−0.7
    average punt
  9. Q2 9:06MTSU 4th & 10 at MTSU 25, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.6%−1.2
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.9%
    average punt
  10. Q2 9:06MTSU 4th & 10 at MTSU 25, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.6%−1.2
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.9%
    average punt
  11. Q2 7:44UTEP 4th & 8 at UTEP 16, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.1%−1.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.4%
    average punt
  12. Q2 7:44UTEP 4th & 8 at UTEP 16, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.1%−1.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.4%
    average punt
  13. Q2 5:18UTEP 4th & 14 at UTEP 38, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.2%−1.8
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.0%
    average punt
  14. Q2 5:18UTEP 4th & 14 at UTEP 38, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.2%−1.8
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.0%
    average punt
  15. Q2 3:49MTSU 4th & 15 at MTSU 40, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.7%−2.0
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.6%
    average punt
  16. Q2 3:49MTSU 4th & 15 at MTSU 40, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.7%−2.0
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.6%
    average punt
  17. Q3 14:34UTEP 4th & 10 at UTEP 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.4%−2.2
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.6%
    average punt
  18. Q3 14:34UTEP 4th & 10 at UTEP 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.4%−2.2
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.6%
    average punt
  19. Q3 11:33MTSU 4th & 8 at MTSU 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.0%−0.8
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.9%
    average punt
  20. Q3 11:33MTSU 4th & 8 at MTSU 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.0%−0.8
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.9%
    average punt
  21. Q3 10:00MTSU 4th & 2 at UTEP 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 46.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    47.0%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    45.5%−1.5
    77% to make
    Punt
    35.9%−11.1
    average punt
  22. Q4 14:53UTEP 4th & 10 at MTSU 34, down 7
    Close callWent for it · 32.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    31.4%−0.6
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    31.9%
    47% to make
    Punt
    30.4%−1.6
    average punt
  23. Q4 14:53UTEP 4th & 10 at MTSU 34, down 7
    Close callWent for it · 32.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    31.4%−0.6
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    31.9%
    47% to make
    Punt
    30.4%−1.6
    average punt
  24. Q4 12:23MTSU 4th & 6 at MTSU 39, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.8%−0.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.2%
    average punt
  25. Q4 12:23MTSU 4th & 6 at MTSU 39, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.8%−0.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.2%
    average punt
  26. Q4 7:30UTEP 4th & 23 at MTSU 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 25.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.3%−4.7
    7% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    25.1%
    56% to make
    Punt
    21.5%−3.6
    average punt
  27. Q4 5:35UTEP 4th & 10 at UTEP 38, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.9%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UTEP made the numbers' call on 1 of 1MTSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 2:17MTSU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:27UTEP Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 6:41MTSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 7:20MTSU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.9%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.1%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MTSUDrive 1FG
11 plays · 68 yds · 2:4643% → 43%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
57.0%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to Izaiah Gathings for 13 yds to the MTnSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
57.0%
Joe Ervin run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 40Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+29
57.0%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to Jaylin Lane for 29 yds to the UTEP 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+7
57.0%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to Joe Ervin for 7 yds to the UTEP 24Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 24
+12
57.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun Cunningham,Chase pass incomplete short left to Ali,Yusuf broken up by Johnson,Ilijah PENALTY UTEP Pass Interference (Johnson,Ilijah) 12 yards from UTEP24 to UTEP12, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+5
57.0%
Darius Bracy run for 5 yds to the UTEP 7Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 7
0
57.0%
Chase Cunningham pass incomplete to Jaylin LaneSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 7
0
57.0%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to Yusuf Ali for no gain to the UTEP 7Similar
Q1 12:14
4TH & 5
OPP 7
+23
56.8%
Zeke Rankin 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · -20 yds · 1:4157% → 56%
Q1 12:08
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
56.9%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Trent Thompson for 5 yds to the UTEP 28Similar
Q1 12:08
2ND & 5
OWN 28
-8
56.9%
UTEP Penalty, Intentional Grounding (-8 Yards) to the UTEP 20Similar
Q1 12:08
3RD & 13
OWN 20
-17
56.7%
Gavin Hardison sacked by Marley Cook for a loss of 17 yards to the UTEP 3Similar
Q1 10:27
4TH & 30
OWN 3
+7
56.4%
Joshua Sloan punt for 44 yds , Jaylin Lane returns for 7 yds MIDDLE TENN Penalty, Offensive holding (Deidrick Stanley II) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 2:1044% → 43%
Q1 10:27
1ST & 10
50
0
56.4%
Frank Peasant run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 10:27
2ND & 10
50
0
56.4%
Chase Cunningham pass incomplete to Quaterrius TolbertSimilar
Q1 10:27
3RD & 10
50
+13
56.7%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to Elijah Metcalf for 13 yds to the UTEP 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:27
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
56.4%
Frank Peasant run for 3 yds to the UTEP 34Similar
Q1 10:27
2ND & 7
OPP 34
-1
56.2%
Chase Cunningham sacked by Cal Wallerstedt for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 35Similar
Q1 10:27
3RD & 8
OPP 35
0
56.5%
Chase Cunningham pass incomplete to Darius BracySimilar
Q1 8:17
4TH & 8
OPP 35
0
56.7%
Kyle Ulbrich punt for 33 ydsSimilar
Q1 8:17
4TH & 8
OPP 35
0
56.7%
Kyle Ulbrich punt for 33 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 4PUNT
9 plays · 16 yds · 2:5656% → 55%
Q1 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+5
56.3%
Deion Hankins run for 5 yds to the UTEP 7Similar
Q1 8:17
2ND & 5
OWN 7
+8
56.2%
Deion Hankins run for 8 yds to the UTEP 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
56.5%
Deion Hankins run for no gain to the UTEP 15Similar
Q1 6:14
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+3
55.8%
Ronald Awatt run for 3 yds to the UTEP 18Similar
Q1 6:14
3RD & 7
OWN 18
0
55.5%
Gavin Hardison pass incomplete to Trent ThompsonSimilar
Q1 5:21
4TH & 7
OWN 18
+21
54.9%
Joshua Sloan punt blocked by Parker Hughes blocked by Parker HughesSimilar
Q1 5:21
4TH & 7
OWN 18
+21
54.9%
Joshua Sloan punt blocked by Parker Hughes blocked by Parker HughesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 5TD
8 plays · 39 yds · 3:0445% → 51%
Q1 5:21
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+8
55.2%
Joe Ervin run for 8 yds to the UTEP 31Similar
Q1 5:21
2ND & 2
OPP 31
+1
54.7%
Joe Ervin run for 1 yd to the UTEP 30Similar
Q1 5:21
3RD & 1
OPP 30
+1
55.1%
Frank Peasant run for 1 yd to the UTEP 31Similar
Q1 3:49
4TH & 2
OPP 31
+2
55.5%
Jaylin Lane run for 2 yds to the UTEP 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:49
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+11
54.2%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to Yusuf Ali for 11 yds to the UTEP 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:49
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
54.2%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to Jaylin Lane for 1 yd to the UTEP 17Similar
Q1 2:17
2ND & 9
OPP 17
+17
48.7%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to Jeremy Tate Jr. for 17 yds for a TD, (Zeke Rankin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 6FG
15 plays · 49 yds · 5:5949% → 49%
Q1 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+16
49.2%
Deion Hankins run for 16 yds to the UTEP 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+11
49.7%
Ronald Awatt run for 11 yds to the UTEP 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+7
50.2%
Deion Hankins run for 7 yds to the MTnSt 45Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 3
OPP 45
+12
49.3%
Ronald Awatt run for 12 yds to the MTnSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
50.0%
Deion Hankins run for no gain to the MTnSt 33Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+5
49.9%
MIDDLE TENN Penalty, off-side (Richard Kinley) to the MTnSt 28Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 28
+4
50.0%
Ronald Awatt run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 24Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 24
+1
49.4%
Deion Hankins run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+2
50.0%
Ronald Awatt run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 21Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 21
0
50.0%
Gavin Hardison pass incomplete to Reynaldo FloresSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 21
-9
49.3%
Gavin Hardison sacked by Deidrick Stanley II for a loss of 9 yards to the MTnSt 30Similar
Q2 11:12
4TH & 17
OPP 30
+47
48.9%
Gavin Baechle 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 0 yds · 2:0651% → 51%
Q2 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
48.7%
Frank Peasant run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 29Similar
Q2 11:12
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-10
48.2%
Chase Cunningham sacked by Praise Amaewhule for a loss of 10 yards to the MTnSt 19Similar
Q2 11:12
3RD & 16
OWN 19
+6
49.8%
Frank Peasant run for 6 yds to the MTnSt 25Similar
Q2 9:06
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
49.2%
Kyle Ulbrich punt for 60 yds , Marcus Bellon returns for no gain to the UTEP 14Similar
Q2 9:06
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
49.2%
Kyle Ulbrich punt for 60 yds , Marcus Bellon returns for no gain to the UTEP 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:2247% → 46%
Q2 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+2
47.4%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Tyrin Smith for 2 yds to the UTEP 16Similar
Q2 9:06
2ND & 8
OWN 16
0
47.4%
Deion Hankins run for no gain to the UTEP 16Similar
Q2 9:06
3RD & 8
OWN 16
0
46.9%
Gavin Hardison pass incomplete to Reynaldo FloresSimilar
Q2 7:44
4TH & 8
OWN 16
+11
45.5%
Joshua Sloan punt for 49 yds , Jaylin Lane returns for 11 yds to the MTnSt 46Similar
Q2 7:44
4TH & 8
OWN 16
+11
45.5%
Joshua Sloan punt for 49 yds , Jaylin Lane returns for 11 yds to the MTnSt 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 9FUMBLE
5 plays · 12 yds · 0:5056% → 57%
Q2 7:44
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+10
43.8%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to Jaylin Lane for 10 yds to the UTEP 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:44
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
43.2%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to Darius Bracy for 2 yds to the UTEP 42Similar
Q2 6:54
2ND & 8
OPP 42
0
42.8%
Darius Bracy run for no gain to the UTEP 42 Darius Bracy fumbled, recovered by MTnSt Tevita TafunaSimilar
Q2 6:54
2ND & 8
OPP 42
0
42.8%
Darius Bracy run for no gain to the UTEP 42 Darius Bracy fumbled, recovered by MTnSt Tevita TafunaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:3650% → 47%
Q2 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
50.1%
Ronald Awatt run for 1 yd to the UTEP 41Similar
Q2 6:54
2ND & 11
OWN 41
0
49.2%
Gavin Hardison pass incomplete to Reynaldo FloresSimilar
Q2 6:54
3RD & 11
OWN 41
-3
48.4%
Gavin Hardison sacked for a loss of 3 yards to the UTEP 38Similar
Q2 5:18
4TH & 14
OWN 38
+3
47.4%
Joshua Sloan punt for 47 yds , Jaylin Lane returns for 3 yds to the MTnSt 18Similar
Q2 5:18
4TH & 14
OWN 38
+3
47.4%
Joshua Sloan punt for 47 yds , Jaylin Lane returns for 3 yds to the MTnSt 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 22 yds · 1:2955% → 55%
Q2 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+9
44.6%
Frank Peasant run for 9 yds to the MTnSt 27Similar
Q2 5:18
2ND & 1
OWN 27
+18
43.2%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to Jaylin Lane for 18 yds to the MTnSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
42.4%
Chase Cunningham pass incomplete to Izaiah GathingsSimilar
Q2 5:18
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+6
42.8%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to Yusuf Ali for 6 yds to the UTEP 49Similar
Q2 3:49
4TH & 15
OWN 40
0
45.0%
Kyle Ulbrich punt for 43 yds , Marcus Bellon returns for no gain to the UTEP 17Similar
Q2 3:49
4TH & 15
OWN 40
0
45.0%
Kyle Ulbrich punt for 43 yds , Marcus Bellon returns for no gain to the UTEP 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 12TD
14 plays · 83 yds · 3:2247% → 63%
Q2 3:49
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+9
47.4%
Deion Hankins run for 9 yds to the UTEP 26Similar
Q2 3:49
2ND & 1
OWN 26
+1
48.4%
Ronald Awatt run for 1 yd to the UTEP 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:49
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-10
47.6%
UTEP Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the UTEP 20Similar
Q2 3:49
1ST & 17
OWN 20
+7
47.3%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Deion Hankins for 7 yds to the UTEP 27Similar
Q2 3:49
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+14
47.2%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Kelly Akharaiyi for 14 yds to the UTEP 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:49
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
49.1%
Gavin Hardison pass incomplete to Tyrin SmithSimilar
Q2 3:49
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+25
48.2%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Tyrin Smith for 25 yds to the MTnSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:49
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
51.6%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Reynaldo Flores for 5 yds to the MTnSt 29Similar
Q2 3:49
2ND & 5
OPP 29
0
51.6%
Gavin Hardison pass incomplete to Reynaldo FloresSimilar
Q2 3:49
3RD & 5
OPP 29
+9
50.5%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Tyrin Smith for 9 yds to the MTnSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
51.5%
Gavin Hardison pass incomplete to Kelly AkharaiyiSimilar
Q2 3:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
51.5%
Ronald Awatt run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 4Similar
Q2 0:27
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
62.8%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Tyrin Smith for 4 yds for a TD, (Gavin Baechle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 13END OF HALF
7 plays · 31 yds · 0:1246% → 49%
Q2 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
54.2%
Chase Cunningham pass incomplete to Izaiah GathingsSimilar
Q2 0:27
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+11
54.5%
Frank Peasant run for 11 yds to the MTnSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
53.3%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to Izaiah Gathings for 9 yds to the MTnSt 45Similar
Q2 0:15
2ND & 1
OWN 45
0
50.7%
Chase Cunningham pass incomplete to Jeremy Tate Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 0 yds · 0:2658% → 56%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
58.2%
Gavin Hardison pass incomplete to Trent ThompsonSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
58.0%
Gavin Hardison pass incomplete to Tyrin SmithSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
56.6%
Gavin Hardison pass incomplete to Tyrin SmithSimilar
Q3 14:34
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
55.7%
Joshua Sloan punt for 60 yds , Jaylin Lane returns for no gain to the MTnSt 8Similar
Q3 14:34
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
55.7%
Joshua Sloan punt for 60 yds , Jaylin Lane returns for no gain to the MTnSt 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 15PUNT
8 plays · 39 yds · 3:0145% → 45%
Q3 14:34
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+25
55.1%
Frank Peasant run for 25 yds to the MTnSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:34
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
53.8%
Frank Peasant run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 35Similar
Q3 14:34
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+10
53.8%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to Frank Peasant for 10 yds to the MTnSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:34
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
52.1%
Darius Bracy run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 47Similar
Q3 14:34
2ND & 8
OWN 47
-6
51.8%
Chase Cunningham sacked by Cal Wallerstedt for a loss of 6 yards to the MTnSt 41Similar
Q3 14:34
3RD & 14
OWN 41
+6
54.7%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to Jeremy Tate Jr. for 6 yds to the MTnSt 47Similar
Q3 11:33
4TH & 8
OWN 47
0
55.3%
Kyle Ulbrich punt for 53 yds for a touchbackSimilar
Q3 11:33
4TH & 8
OWN 47
0
55.3%
Kyle Ulbrich punt for 53 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 16INT
7 plays · 15 yds · 1:3358% → 56%
Q3 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+14
57.6%
Gavin Hardison run for 14 yds to the UTEP 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
58.2%
Gavin Hardison pass incomplete to Zach FryarSimilar
Q3 10:51
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+1
57.4%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Tyrin Smith for 1 yd to the UTEP 35Similar
Q3 10:00
3RD & 9
OWN 35
0
56.0%
Gavin Hardison pass interceptedSimilar
Q3 10:00
3RD & 9
OWN 35
0
56.0%
Gavin Hardison pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 17TD
8 plays · 36 yds · 3:1949% → 70%
Q3 10:00
1ST & 20
OPP 46
+4
50.9%
Chase Cunningham run for 4 yds to the UTEP 42Similar
Q3 10:00
2ND & 16
OPP 42
+15
51.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun Cunningham,Chase pass incomplete short right to England-Chisolm,DJ broken up by Johnson,Ilijah PENALTY UTEP Pass Interference (Johnson,Ilijah) 15 yards from UTEP42 to UTEP27, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
47.8%
Frank Peasant run for 5 yds to the UTEP 22Similar
Q3 10:00
2ND & 5
OPP 22
+4
47.8%
Frank Peasant run for 4 yds to the UTEP 18Similar
Q3 10:00
3RD & 1
OPP 18
+1
49.3%
Frank Peasant run for 1 yd to the UTEP 19Similar
Q3 10:00
4TH & 2
OPP 19
+13
51.2%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to Jaylin Lane for 13 yds to the UTEP 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
30.0%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to DJ England-Chisolm for 6 yds for a TD, (Zeke Rankin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 18DOWNS
14 plays · 62 yds · 6:4234% → 27%
Q3 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+7
34.0%
Deion Hankins run for 7 yds to the UTEP 20Similar
Q3 6:35
2ND & 3
OWN 20
+2
34.3%
Deion Hankins run for 2 yds to the UTEP 22Similar
Q3 6:35
3RD & 1
OWN 22
+14
33.5%
Calvin Brownholtz pass complete to James Tupou for 14 yds to the UTEP 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
35.2%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Tyrin Smith for 7 yds to the UTEP 43Similar
Q3 6:35
2ND & 3
OWN 43
0
37.2%
Ronald Awatt run for no gain to the UTEP 43Similar
Q3 6:35
3RD & 3
OWN 43
+6
36.2%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Kelly Akharaiyi for 6 yds to the UTEP 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+17
37.4%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Tyrin Smith for 17 yds to the MTnSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:35
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
39.9%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Trent Thompson for 5 yds to the MTnSt 39Similar
Q3 6:35
2ND & 15
OPP 39
+12
36.3%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Tyrin Smith for 12 yds to the MTnSt 27Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 3
OPP 27
-7
30.9%
Gavin Hardison sacked by Jordan Ferguson for a loss of 7 yards to the MTnSt 34Similar
Q4 14:53
4TH & 10
OPP 34
+9
27.1%
Gavin Hardison run for 9 yds to the MTnSt 25Similar
Q4 14:53
4TH & 10
OPP 34
+9
27.1%
Gavin Hardison run for 9 yds to the MTnSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 2:3072% → 76%
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
28.2%
DJ England-Chisolm run for 5 yds to the MTnSt 30Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+5
27.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun Cunningham,Chase pass incomplete short left to England-Chisolm,DJ PENALTY UTEP Offside (Knight,Tyrice) 5 yards from MTSU30 to MTSU35, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
27.3%
Frank Peasant run for 6 yds to the MTnSt 41Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+2
26.1%
Frank Peasant run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 43Similar
Q4 14:53
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+1
26.4%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to Jaylin Lane for 1 yd to the MTnSt 44Similar
Q4 12:23
4TH & 6
OWN 39
0
24.3%
Kyle Ulbrich punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Marcus Bellon at the UTEP 11Similar
Q4 12:23
4TH & 6
OWN 39
0
24.3%
Kyle Ulbrich punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Marcus Bellon at the UTEP 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 20FG
15 plays · 59 yds · 4:5324% → 39%
Q4 12:23
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+14
23.6%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Tyrin Smith for 14 yds to the UTEP 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
23.9%
PENALTY UTEP False Start (Hubbard,Steven) 5 yards from UTEP25 to UTEP20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:23
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+13
23.6%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Reynaldo Flores for 13 yds to the UTEP 33Similar
Q4 12:23
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+1
25.9%
Deion Hankins run for 1 yd to the UTEP 34Similar
Q4 12:23
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+12
24.2%
Deion Hankins run for 12 yds to the UTEP 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:23
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+26
26.6%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Tyrin Smith for 26 yds to the MTnSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:08
1ST & 5
OPP 23
+6
28.7%
Ronald Awatt run for 6 yds to the MTnSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:08
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
28.7%
Ronald Awatt run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 15Similar
Q4 7:49
2ND & 8
OPP 15
-15
30.9%
Shotgun Hardison,Gavin pass complete deep right to Smith,Tyrin for 15 yards to the MTSU00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 07:49 PENALTY UTEP Pass Interference (Flores,Reynaldo) 15 yards from MTSU15 to MTSU30. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:49
2ND & 23
OPP 30
0
28.3%
Gavin Hardison pass incomplete to Kelly AkharaiyiSimilar
Q4 7:49
3RD & 23
OPP 30
0
26.2%
Gavin Hardison pass incomplete to Tyrin SmithSimilar
Q4 7:30
4TH & 23
OPP 30
+47
38.5%
Gavin Baechle 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 21TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 5:0349% → 8%
Q4 12:23
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+5
49.0%
Gavin Hardison pass incomplete to Tyrin Smith MIDDLE TENN Penalty, off-side (Quindarius Dunnigan) to the MTnSt 23Similar
Q4 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
8.4%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to Jaylin Lane for 75 yds for a TD, (Zeke Rankin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 22PUNT
8 plays · 13 yds · 1:4511% → 8%
Q4 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
10.5%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Reynaldo Flores for 13 yds to the UTEP 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
11.4%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Kelly Akharaiyi for 2 yds to the UTEP 40Similar
Q4 7:20
2ND & 8
OWN 40
-5
11.7%
PENALTY UTEP False Start (Klein,Elijah) 5 yards from UTEP40 to UTEP35. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:20
2ND & 13
OWN 35
0
10.2%
Gavin Hardison pass incomplete to Reynaldo FloresSimilar
Q4 7:20
3RD & 13
OWN 35
+3
10.1%
Gavin Hardison run for 3 yds to the UTEP 38Similar
Q4 5:35
4TH & 10
OWN 38
0
7.5%
Joshua Sloan punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Jaylin Lane at the MTnSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 23END OF GAME
12 plays · 44 yds · 5:3593% → 98%
Q4 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+13
6.8%
Frank Peasant run for 13 yds to the MTnSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+8
6.6%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to Frank Peasant for 8 yds to the MTnSt 36Similar
Q4 4:37
2ND & 2
OWN 36
+3
5.6%
Frank Peasant run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:31
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
5.4%
Frank Peasant run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 42Similar
Q4 4:31
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+2
5.5%
Frank Peasant run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 40Similar
Q4 4:31
3RD & 9
OWN 40
+10
5.9%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to Jeremy Tate Jr. for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:31
1ST & 10
50
+5
5.3%
Darius Bracy run for 5 yds to the UTEP 45Similar
Q4 4:31
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+2
5.1%
Frank Peasant run for 2 yds to the UTEP 43Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 3
OPP 43
+2
2.0%
Frank Peasant run for 2 yds to the UTEP 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 7:20
Chase Cunningham pass complete to Jaylin Lane for 75 yds for a TD, (Zeke Rankin KICK)
-32
TD · Q3 6:41
Chase Cunningham pass complete to DJ England-Chisolm for 6 yds for a TD, (Zeke Rankin KICK)
-21.1
TD · Q2 0:27
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Tyrin Smith for 4 yds for a TD, (Gavin Baechle KICK)
+12.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com