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Louisiana Tech 34 at Florida International 42

FIU
2022 · Week 9 · Oct 28, 2022 · FIU Stadium
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Win probability · FIU
modelFIU aheadLT aheadconfidence bandkey playFIU scoreLT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDFGTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · Kneel down by Louisiana Tech at LTU22 for loss of 2 yards.
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+22.0+11.00−11.0−22.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 7:19: Grayson James pass complete to Jalen Bracey for 16 yds for a TD, (Chase Gabriel KICK) — FIU win probability +8.4 pts (now 43%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  2. TD · Q2 6:41: Grayson James pass complete to Tyrese Chambers for 18 yds for a TD, (Chase Gabriel KICK) — FIU win probability +8.3 pts (now 51%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 13:01: Charvis Thornton run for 9 yds for a TD, (Jacob Barnes KICK) — LT win probability +30.2 pts (now 57%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 5:31: Jacob Barnes 32 yd FG GOOD — LT win probability +18.7 pts (now 76%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 0:16: Chase Gabriel 28 yd FG GOOD — FIU win probability +40.6 pts (now 62%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FIU made the numbers' call on 8 of 8LT made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 7:42FIU 4th & 10 at LT 44, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.8%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    34.7%−0.2
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    34.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:54LT 4th & 5 at FIU 19, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 65.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.5%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    65.6%
    77% to make
    Punt
    63.5%−2.1
    average punt
  3. Q2 12:03FIU 4th & 5 at FIU 30, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.9%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.0%
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:27LT 4th & 13 at LT 31, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.3%−1.5
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 5:02LT 4th & 9 at LT 26, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.1%−1.0
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:35FIU 4th & 8 at FIU 27, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.1%−1.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:00LT 4th & 11 at FIU 12, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 49.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.6%−1.2
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    49.8%
    86% to make
    Punt
    42.8%−7.0
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:00LT 4th & 11 at FIU 12, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 49.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.6%−1.2
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    49.8%
    86% to make
    Punt
    42.8%−7.0
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:11FIU 4th & 10 at LT 48, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.1%−1.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.5%
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:18LT 4th & 2 at LT 39, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 41.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    41.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    40.6%−1.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 4:25FIU 4th & 14 at LT 28, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 60.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.1%−3.0
    18% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    60.0%
    60% to make
    Punt
    51.0%−9.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 11:27FIU 4th & 3 at FIU 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.4%−0.4
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.8%
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:31LT 4th & 5 at FIU 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 52.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.5%−0.5
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    49.0%
    83% to make
    Punt
    25.5%−23.6
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:22FIU 4th & 5 at LT 47, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 35.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    28.0%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    22.4%−5.6
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:01LT 4th & 2 at FIU 45, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 5.0 ptsPunted · 79.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    71.6%−7.7
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    74.3%−5.0
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:16FIU 4th & 10 at LT 11, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 24.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.3%−26.2
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    45.5%
    87% to make
    Punt
    11.1%−34.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FIU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3LT made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 10:40LT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:46FIU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 13:18LT Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 7:19FIU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 6:41FIU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 13:01LT Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
LTDrive 1TD
23 plays · 75 yds · 4:2065% → 65%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
35.3%
Landry Lyddy pass complete to Cyrus Allen for 5 yds to the LaTch 30Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+8
35.3%
Landry Lyddy pass complete to Tre Harris for 8 yds to the LaTch 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
35.3%
Charvis Thornton run for 4 yds to the LaTch 42Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+7
35.3%
Landry Lyddy pass complete to Smoke Harris for 7 yds Smoke Harris fumbled, recovered by LaTch for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
35.3%
Charvis Thornton run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 49Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 49
+6
35.3%
Charvis Thornton run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 43Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 43
+41
35.3%
Landry Lyddy pass complete to Tre Harris for 41 yds to the FlaIn 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
35.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun Crosby,Marquis rush middle for 1 yard gain to the FIU01 (Hill,Demetrius; Bernadel,Gaethan) PENALTY FIU Offside (Hall,Dorian) 1 yard from FIU02 to FIU01. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
35.3%
PENALTY LTU False Start (Rossell,Biron) 5 yards from FIU01 to FIU06. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
35.3%
Solomon Lewis run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 1Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
35.3%
Landry Lyddy pass complete to Cyrus Allen for 5 yds to the LaTch 30Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+8
35.3%
Landry Lyddy pass complete to Tre Harris for 8 yds to the LaTch 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
35.3%
Charvis Thornton run for 4 yds to the LaTch 42Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+7
35.3%
Landry Lyddy pass complete to Smoke Harris for 7 yds Smoke Harris fumbled, recovered by LaTch for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
35.3%
Charvis Thornton run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 49Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 49
+6
35.3%
Charvis Thornton run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 43Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 43
+41
35.3%
Landry Lyddy pass complete to Tre Harris for 41 yds to the FlaIn 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
35.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun Crosby,Marquis rush middle for 1 yard gain to the FIU01 (Hill,Demetrius; Bernadel,Gaethan) PENALTY FIU Offside (Hall,Dorian) 1 yard from FIU02 to FIU01. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
35.3%
PENALTY LTU False Start (Rossell,Biron) 5 yards from FIU01 to FIU06. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
35.3%
Solomon Lewis run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 1Similar
Q1 10:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
35.0%
Landry Lyddy run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jacob Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 2PUNT
9 plays · 27 yds · 2:5236% → 35%
Q1 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
35.5%
Grayson James run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 30Similar
Q1 10:34
2ND & 9
OWN 30
+5
35.5%
Lexington Joseph run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 35Similar
Q1 10:34
3RD & 4
OWN 35
+5
35.5%
Grayson James pass complete to Rivaldo Fairweather for 5 yds to the FlaIn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+16
35.8%
Grayson James pass complete to Tyrese Chambers for 16 yds to the LaTch 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:34
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
36.0%
Grayson James run for no gain to the LaTch 44Similar
Q1 10:34
2ND & 10
OPP 44
0
35.9%
Lexington Joseph run for no gain to the LaTch 44Similar
Q1 10:34
3RD & 10
OPP 44
0
35.7%
Grayson James pass incomplete to Rivaldo FairweatherSimilar
Q1 7:42
4TH & 10
OPP 44
0
35.4%
Daton Montiel punt for 44 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 3FG
9 plays · 61 yds · 3:4865% → 66%
Q1 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+40
35.2%
Landry Lyddy pass complete to Cyrus Allen for 40 yds to the FlaIn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+40
35.2%
Landry Lyddy pass complete to Cyrus Allen for 40 yds to the FlaIn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:42
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
34.6%
Landry Lyddy pass complete to Charvis Thornton for no gain to the FlaIn 40Similar
Q1 7:42
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+6
34.6%
Charvis Thornton run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 34Similar
Q1 7:42
3RD & 4
OPP 34
+10
34.6%
Charvis Thornton run for 10 yds to the FlaIn 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:42
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+2
34.5%
Charvis Thornton run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 22Similar
Q1 7:42
2ND & 8
OPP 22
+3
34.5%
Landry Lyddy pass complete to Cyrus Allen for 3 yds to the FlaIn 19Similar
Q1 7:42
3RD & 5
OPP 19
0
34.6%
Landry Lyddy pass complete to Tre Harris for no gain to the FlaIn 19Similar
Q1 3:54
4TH & 5
OPP 19
+36
34.5%
Jacob Barnes 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 4TD
9 plays · 59 yds · 3:0036% → 41%
Q1 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
35.5%
Lexington Joseph run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 43Similar
Q1 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
35.5%
Lexington Joseph run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 43Similar
Q1 3:46
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+2
35.5%
Grayson James pass complete to Lexington Joseph for 2 yds to the FlaIn 45Similar
Q1 3:46
3RD & 6
OWN 45
+11
35.2%
Grayson James pass complete to Kris Mitchell for 11 yds to the LaTch 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:46
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+7
35.9%
Grayson James pass complete to Josiah Miamen for 7 yds to the LaTch 37Similar
Q1 3:46
2ND & 3
OPP 37
+1
36.0%
EJ Wilson Jr. run for 1 yd to the LaTch 36Similar
Q1 3:46
3RD & 2
OPP 36
+2
35.9%
EJ Wilson Jr. run for 2 yds to the LaTch 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:46
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+34
41.0%
Grayson James pass complete to Kris Mitchell for 34 yds for a TD, (Chase Gabriel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 5TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 2:2861% → 67%
Q1 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
38.8%
Landry Lyddy pass complete to Cyrus Allen for 7 yds to the LaTch 32Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+6
37.9%
Marquis Crosby run for 6 yds to the LaTch 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+6
37.9%
Marquis Crosby run for 6 yds to the LaTch 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+15
37.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun Lyddy,Landry pass incomplete short middle to Lewis,Solomon broken up by Manuel,Donovan PENALTY FIU Targeting (Hall,Dorian) 15 yards from LTU38 to FIU47, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
37.3%
Marquis Crosby run for no gain to the FlaIn 47Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+12
37.4%
Landry Lyddy pass complete to Kyle Maxwell for 12 yds to the FlaIn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+6
37.0%
Marquis Crosby run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 29Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 29
0
36.8%
Landry Lyddy pass incomplete to Kyle MaxwellSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 29
0
36.8%
Landry Lyddy pass incomplete to Kyle MaxwellSimilar
Q2 13:18
3RD & 4
OPP 29
+29
32.9%
Marquis Crosby run for 29 yds for a TD, (Jacob Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:1533% → 31%
Q2 13:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
32.5%
Grayson James pass incomplete to Lexington JosephSimilar
Q2 13:18
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-6
32.4%
Grayson James sacked by Jaiden Cole for a loss of 6 yards to the FlaIn 19 Grayson James fumbled, recovered by FlaIn Grayson James , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 13:18
3RD & 16
OWN 19
+11
31.7%
Grayson James pass complete to Lexington Joseph for 11 yds to the FlaIn 30Similar
Q2 12:03
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
31.3%
Daton Montiel punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Smoke Harris at the LaTch 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:3667% → 66%
Q2 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
33.2%
Landry Lyddy pass complete to Smoke Harris for 3 yds to the LaTch 31Similar
Q2 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
33.2%
Landry Lyddy pass complete to Smoke Harris for 3 yds to the LaTch 31Similar
Q2 12:03
2ND & 13
OWN 31
+7
33.7%
Landry Lyddy pass complete to Julien Lewis for 7 yds to the LaTch 38Similar
Q2 12:03
3RD & 6
OWN 38
-7
33.0%
Landry Lyddy sacked by Jordan Guerad for a loss of 7 yards to the LaTch 31Similar
Q2 10:27
4TH & 13
OWN 31
0
34.1%
Austin McCready punt for 17 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LaTch 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 8TD
9 plays · 48 yds · 3:0834% → 43%
Q2 10:27
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
33.6%
EJ Wilson Jr. run for 1 yd to the LaTch 47Similar
Q2 10:27
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
33.6%
EJ Wilson Jr. run for 1 yd to the LaTch 47Similar
Q2 10:27
2ND & 9
OPP 47
+8
33.6%
EJ Wilson Jr. run for 8 yds to the LaTch 39Similar
Q2 10:27
3RD & 1
OPP 39
+4
33.6%
EJ Wilson Jr. run for 4 yds to the LaTch 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:27
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
34.4%
Grayson James pass incomplete to Tyrese ChambersSimilar
Q2 10:27
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+2
34.4%
Grayson James pass complete to EJ Wilson Jr. for 2 yds to the LaTch 37Similar
Q2 10:27
3RD & 12
OPP 37
+15
32.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun James,Grayson pass incomplete short right to Miamen,Josiah PENALTY LTU Pass Interference (Morrison,Khiry) 15 yards from LTU37 to LTU22, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:27
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+6
34.4%
Grayson James run for 6 yds to the LaTch 16Similar
Q2 7:19
2ND & 4
OPP 16
+16
42.9%
Grayson James pass complete to Jalen Bracey for 16 yds for a TD, (Chase Gabriel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 9TD
4 plays · 29 yds · 0:3643% → 51%
Q2 7:17
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+11
42.9%
Grayson James pass complete to Jalen Bracey for 11 yds to the LaTch 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:17
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+11
42.9%
Grayson James pass complete to Jalen Bracey for 11 yds to the LaTch 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:41
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
51.3%
Grayson James pass complete to Tyrese Chambers for 18 yds for a TD, (Chase Gabriel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:3952% → 50%
Q2 6:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
47.7%
Charvis Thornton run for 1 yd to the LaTch 26Similar
Q2 6:41
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
47.7%
Landry Lyddy pass complete to Charvis Thornton for no gain to the LaTch 26Similar
Q2 6:41
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
48.6%
Landry Lyddy pass incomplete to Cyrus AllenSimilar
Q2 5:02
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
50.4%
Patrick Rea punt for 49 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FlaIn 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:2749% → 48%
Q2 5:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
49.4%
Grayson James pass complete to Jalen Bracey for no gain to the FlaIn 25Similar
Q2 5:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
49.4%
Grayson James pass complete to Jalen Bracey for no gain to the FlaIn 25Similar
Q2 5:02
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
49.2%
Grayson James pass complete to Kris Mitchell for 2 yds to the FlaIn 27Similar
Q2 5:02
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
48.1%
Grayson James pass incomplete to Tyrese ChambersSimilar
Q2 3:35
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
48.2%
Daton Montiel punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Smoke Harris at the LaTch 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 12MISSED FG
16 plays · 53 yds · 3:3551% → 45%
Q2 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+21
48.7%
Landry Lyddy pass complete to Smoke Harris for 21 yds to the FlaIn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+21
48.7%
Landry Lyddy pass complete to Smoke Harris for 21 yds to the FlaIn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:35
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
46.4%
Marquis Crosby run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 42Similar
Q2 3:35
2ND & 8
OPP 42
0
46.4%
Charvis Thornton run for no gain to the FlaIn 42Similar
Q2 3:35
3RD & 8
OPP 42
+31
46.8%
Landry Lyddy pass complete to Nate Jones for 31 yds Nate Jones fumbled, recovered by LaTch for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:35
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+4
45.2%
Marquis Crosby run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 7Similar
Q2 3:35
2ND & 6
OPP 7
+4
45.2%
Landry Lyddy pass complete to Julien Lewis for 4 yds to the FlaIn 11Similar
Q2 0:23
3RD & 10
OPP 11
+1
46.6%
Landry Lyddy pass complete to Marquis Crosby for 1 yd to the FlaIn 12Similar
Q2 0:23
3RD & 10
OPP 11
+1
46.6%
Landry Lyddy pass complete to Marquis Crosby for 1 yd to the FlaIn 12Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 11
OPP 12
+9
55.1%
Jacob Barnes 29 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Alex Nobles , Gaethan Bernadel return for 9 yds to the FlaIn 26Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 11
OPP 12
+9
55.1%
Jacob Barnes 29 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Alex Nobles , Gaethan Bernadel return for 9 yds to the FlaIn 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 13PUNT
15 plays · 44 yds · 5:4352% → 58%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+8
52.2%
Lexington Joseph run for 8 yds to the FlaIn 17Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 2
OWN 17
+2
52.6%
Lexington Joseph run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+8
52.2%
Lexington Joseph run for 8 yds to the FlaIn 17Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 2
OWN 17
+2
52.6%
Lexington Joseph run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
52.5%
Grayson James run for no gain to the FlaIn 19Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+8
52.3%
Grayson James pass complete to Tyrese Chambers for 8 yds to the FlaIn 27Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 2
OWN 27
+10
51.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun James,Grayson pass incomplete short left to Chambers,Tyrese PENALTY LTU Holding (Brooks,Myles) 10 yards from FIU27 to FIU37, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
53.6%
EJ Wilson Jr. run for no gain to the FlaIn 36Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+7
53.0%
Grayson James pass complete to Lexington Joseph for 7 yds to the FlaIn 43Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 3
OWN 43
+9
53.9%
Grayson James pass complete to Tyrese Chambers for 9 yds to the LaTch 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
55.5%
Grayson James run for 2 yds to the LaTch 46Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 8
OPP 46
-2
55.5%
Grayson James pass complete to Jalen Bracey for 8 yds to the LaTch 38 FLORIDA INTL Penalty, Offensive Holding (Kris Mitchell) to the LaTch 48Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 10
OPP 48
0
55.2%
Grayson James pass incomplete to Dean PattersonSimilar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 10
OPP 48
0
53.5%
Grayson James pass incomplete to Dean PattersonSimilar
Q3 9:11
4TH & 10
OPP 48
0
57.7%
Daton Montiel punt for 32 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 14DOWNS
7 plays · 22 yds · 2:5343% → 41%
Q3 9:11
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+9
57.1%
Marquis Crosby run for 9 yds to the LaTch 25Similar
Q3 9:11
2ND & 1
OWN 25
+6
55.6%
Marquis Crosby run for 6 yds to the LaTch 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:11
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-10
56.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun Lyddy,Landry pass complete short right to Thornton,Charvis for 2 yards to the LTU33 (Potts,Jamal) PENALTY LTU Holding (Jones,Nate) 10 yards from LTU31 to LTU21. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:11
1ST & 20
OWN 21
+3
57.4%
Landry Lyddy pass complete to Smoke Harris for 3 yds to the LaTch 24Similar
Q3 9:11
2ND & 17
OWN 24
0
57.7%
Landry Lyddy pass incomplete to Kyle MaxwellSimilar
Q3 9:11
3RD & 17
OWN 24
+15
58.9%
Landry Lyddy run for 15 yds to the LaTch 39Similar
Q3 6:18
4TH & 2
OWN 39
-1
59.2%
Landry Lyddy sacked for a loss of 1 yard to the LaTch 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 15FG
7 plays · 10 yds · 1:5364% → 69%
Q3 6:18
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+8
64.2%
Grayson James pass complete to Jalen Bracey for 8 yds to the LaTch 30Similar
Q3 6:18
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+8
64.2%
Grayson James pass complete to Jalen Bracey for 8 yds to the LaTch 30Similar
Q3 6:18
2ND & 2
OPP 30
+6
65.2%
Lexington Joseph run for 6 yds to the LaTch 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:18
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
65.2%
Grayson James pass incomplete to Kris MitchellSimilar
Q3 6:18
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+4
65.1%
Lexington Joseph run for 4 yds to the LaTch 28Similar
Q3 6:18
3RD & 14
OPP 28
0
61.5%
Grayson James pass incomplete to Kris MitchellSimilar
Q3 4:25
4TH & 14
OPP 28
+45
69.1%
Chase Gabriel 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 16TD
18 plays · 68 yds · 6:1834% → 57%
Q3 4:19
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
66.2%
Landry Lyddy pass complete to Smoke Harris for 5 yds to the LaTch 37Similar
Q3 4:19
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
66.2%
Landry Lyddy pass complete to Smoke Harris for 5 yds to the LaTch 37Similar
Q3 4:19
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+3
64.6%
Marquis Crosby run for 3 yds to the LaTch 40Similar
Q3 4:19
3RD & 2
OWN 40
+10
64.5%
Landry Lyddy pass complete to Smoke Harris for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:19
1ST & 10
50
+15
63.2%
Marquis Crosby run for 15 yds to the FlaIn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:19
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
61.4%
Marquis Crosby run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 33Similar
Q3 4:19
2ND & 8
OPP 33
+3
61.3%
Landry Lyddy pass complete to Nate Jones for 3 yds to the FlaIn 30Similar
Q3 4:19
3RD & 5
OPP 30
+4
62.9%
Greg Garner run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 26Similar
Q3 4:19
4TH & 1
OPP 26
+5
64.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun Garner,Greg rush left for 3 yards gain to the FIU23 (Hill,Demetrius) PENALTY FIU Offside (Guerad,Jordan) 5 yards from FIU26 to FIU21, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+8
65.1%
Landry Lyddy pass complete to Greg Garner for 8 yds to the FlaIn 13Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+8
65.1%
Landry Lyddy pass complete to Greg Garner for 8 yds to the FlaIn 13Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 13
+1
65.1%
Greg Garner run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 12Similar
Q4 14:19
3RD & 1
OPP 12
+1
70.1%
Marquis Crosby run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:19
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
68.0%
Marquis Crosby run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 9Similar
Q4 13:01
2ND & 8
OPP 9
+9
42.9%
Charvis Thornton run for 9 yds for a TD, (Jacob Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:3456% → 55%
Q4 13:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
55.6%
Grayson James pass complete to Tyrese Chambers for 5 yds to the FlaIn 30Similar
Q4 13:01
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
56.7%
EJ Wilson Jr. run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 32Similar
Q4 13:01
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
55.3%
Grayson James pass incomplete to Jalen BraceySimilar
Q4 11:27
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
55.0%
Daton Montiel punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Smoke Harris at the LaTch 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 18FG
16 plays · 52 yds · 5:5650% → 76%
Q4 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
49.8%
Landry Lyddy pass incomplete to Smoke HarrisSimilar
Q4 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
49.8%
Landry Lyddy pass incomplete to Smoke HarrisSimilar
Q4 11:27
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+5
50.5%
Charvis Thornton run for 5 yds to the LaTch 38Similar
Q4 11:27
3RD & 5
OWN 38
+5
48.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun Lyddy,Landry sacked for loss of 9 yards to the LTU29 (Peterson Jr.,Shaun) PENALTY FIU Offside (O'Neal,Travonte) 5 yards from LTU38 to LTU43, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
46.9%
Marquis Crosby run for no gain to the LaTch 43Similar
Q4 11:27
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+7
48.1%
Marquis Crosby run for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 11:27
3RD & 3
50
+6
45.7%
Charvis Thornton run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:27
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
44.9%
Charvis Thornton run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 42Similar
Q4 11:27
2ND & 8
OPP 42
-5
45.0%
PENALTY LTU False Start (White,Dakota) 5 yards from FIU42 to FIU47. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:14
2ND & 13
OPP 47
0
44.8%
Landry Lyddy pass incomplete to Cyrus AllenSimilar
Q4 7:14
3RD & 13
OPP 47
+27
47.0%
Landry Lyddy pass complete to Nate Jones for 27 yds to the FlaIn 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:14
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
40.1%
Landry Lyddy pass incomplete to Smoke HarrisSimilar
Q4 7:14
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+1
40.4%
Marquis Crosby run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 19Similar
Q4 7:14
3RD & 9
OPP 19
+4
42.7%
Landry Lyddy pass complete to Smoke Harris for 4 yds to the FlaIn 15Similar
Q4 5:31
4TH & 5
OPP 15
+32
24.0%
Jacob Barnes 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 19DOWNS
8 plays · 33 yds · 3:0438% → 37%
Q4 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+17
38.1%
Grayson James pass complete to Josiah Miamen for 17 yds to the FlaIn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
39.6%
Lexington Joseph run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 41Similar
Q4 5:26
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+7
42.5%
Grayson James pass complete to Lexington Joseph for 7 yds to the FlaIn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
43.2%
Grayson James pass incomplete to Tyrese ChambersSimilar
Q4 5:26
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+1
42.5%
run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 47 fumbled, recovered by FlaInSimilar
Q4 5:26
3RD & 11
OWN 47
+6
39.2%
Grayson James pass complete to Josiah Miamen for 6 yds to the LaTch 47Similar
Q4 2:22
4TH & 5
OPP 47
0
36.7%
Grayson James pass incomplete to Jalen BraceySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 8 yds · 0:2181% → 80%
Q4 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
18.6%
Marquis Crosby run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 49Similar
Q4 2:18
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+2
18.5%
Marquis Crosby run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 47Similar
Q4 2:14
3RD & 4
OPP 47
+2
19.0%
Landry Lyddy pass complete to Kyle Maxwell for 2 yds to the FlaIn 45Similar
Q4 2:01
4TH & 2
OPP 45
0
20.3%
Patrick Rea punt for 45 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 21FG
16 plays · 69 yds · 1:4540% → 62%
Q4 2:01
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
39.7%
Grayson James pass complete to EJ Wilson Jr. for 2 yds to the FlaIn 22Similar
Q4 2:01
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+17
39.1%
Grayson James pass complete to Tyrese Chambers for 17 yds to the FlaIn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:01
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
42.0%
Grayson James pass incomplete to Kris MitchellSimilar
Q4 2:01
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+19
41.6%
Grayson James pass complete to Rivaldo Fairweather for 19 yds to the LaTch 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:01
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-5
47.3%
PENALTY FIU False Start (Hobdy-Lee,Shamar) 5 yards from LTU42 to LTU47. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:01
1ST & 15
OPP 47
0
43.7%
Grayson James pass incomplete to Lexington JosephSimilar
Q4 2:01
2ND & 15
OPP 47
+22
43.3%
Grayson James pass complete to Rivaldo Fairweather for 22 yds to the LaTch 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:01
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-5
51.6%
PENALTY FIU False Start (Hobdy-Lee,Shamar) 5 yards from LTU25 to LTU30. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:01
1ST & 15
OPP 30
0
48.2%
Grayson James pass incomplete to Tyrese ChambersSimilar
Q4 2:01
2ND & 15
OPP 30
+8
46.3%
Grayson James pass complete to Rivaldo Fairweather for 8 yds to the LaTch 22Similar
Q4 2:01
3RD & 7
OPP 22
+11
48.4%
Grayson James pass complete to Rivaldo Fairweather for 11 yds to the LaTch 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:01
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
51.5%
Grayson James pass incomplete to Tyrese ChambersSimilar
Q4 2:01
2ND & 10
OPP 11
0
51.5%
Grayson James pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:01
3RD & 10
OPP 11
0
47.3%
Grayson James pass incomplete to Tyrese ChambersSimilar
Q4 0:16
4TH & 10
OPP 11
+28
61.5%
Chase Gabriel 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 22END OF 4TH QUARTER
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0046% → 46%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-2
54.1%
Kneel down by Louisiana Tech at LTU22 for loss of 2 yards.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+45.9
FG · Q4 0:16
Chase Gabriel 28 yd FG GOOD
+40.6
TD · Q4 13:01
Charvis Thornton run for 9 yds for a TD, (Jacob Barnes KICK)
-30.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com