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CLT

Charlotte 56 at Rice 23

RICE
2022 · Week 9 · Oct 29, 2022 · Rice Stadium
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Win probability · RICE
modelRICE aheadCLT aheadconfidence bandkey playRICE scoreCLT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:24 · Johnny Martin III run for 1 yd to the Rice 33
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+57.0+28.50−28.5−57.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 162Home team on offense−56.6Pregame prior+0.2Score differential−43.8Garbage-time factor−23.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−5.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−12.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 11:42: Chris Reynolds pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 15 yds for a TD — CLT win probability +6.3 pts (now 27%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 5:52: S. Byrd run for 4 yds for a TD, (A. Zita KICK) — CLT win probability +7.5 pts (now 35%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:12: C. Reynolds pass,to E. Spencer for 10 yds for a TD, (A. Zita KICK) — CLT win probability +10.1 pts (now 53%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 12:57: C. Reynolds pass,to E. Spencer for 21 yds for a TD, (A. Zita KICK) — CLT win probability +23.2 pts (now 73%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 7:17: C. Reynolds pass,to G. DuBose for 9 yds for a TD, (A. Zita KICK) — CLT win probability +21.2 pts (now 95%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
RICE made the numbers' call on 7 of 8CLT made the numbers' call on 3 of 7
  1. Q1 8:11CLT 4th & 12 at CLT 41, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.5%−0.2
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:11CLT 4th & 12 at CLT 41, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.5%−0.2
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.7%
    average punt
  3. Q2 8:22RICE 4th & 6 at CLT 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 78.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.9%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    78.1%
    80% to make
    Punt
    75.6%−2.5
    average punt
  4. Q2 1:18RICE 4th & 3 at CLT 32, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 69.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    69.4%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    68.8%−0.5
    51% to make
    Punt
    67.4%−2.0
    average punt
  5. Q3 11:58RICE 4th & 8 at RICE 27, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.4%−1.5
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.9%
    average punt
  6. Q3 11:58CLT 4th & 8 at CLT 42, up 18
    Numbers favored punt by 2.0 ptsWent for it · 69.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    68.5%−2.0
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    70.6%
    average punt
  7. Q3 5:05RICE 4th & 21 at RICE 14, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.2%−2.5
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.7%
    average punt
  8. Q3 3:38RICE 4th & 10 at RICE 37, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.5%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.6%
    average punt
  9. Q3 1:52CLT 4th & 4 at CLT 39, up 32
    Close callPunted · 97.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.0%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q4 14:54RICE 4th & 9 at RICE 13, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.1%
    average punt
  11. Q4 12:46CLT 4th & 5 at RICE 44, up 32
    Close callPunted · 98.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.9%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    98.8%−0.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    98.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:46RICE 4th & 12 at CLT 42, down 32
    Close callWent for it · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.7%−0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    0.7%−<0.1
    30% to make
    Punt
    0.7%
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:43CLT 4th & 1 at RICE 42, up 26
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    98.8%−0.5
    30% to make
    Punt
    98.9%−0.5
    average punt
  14. Q4 5:30RICE 4th & 3 at RICE 32, down 33
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:24CLT 4th & 2 at RICE 34, up 33
    Close callWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%
    47% to make
    Punt
    99.7%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
RICE made the numbers' call on 3 of 3CLT made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 10:32RICE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:59CLT Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:38RICE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 11:42CLT Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    20.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    20.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 5:52CLT Touchdown, up 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    29.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:12CLT Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    46.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 12:57CLT Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    60.1%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    60.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 7:17CLT Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 4:37CLT Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 9:43RICE Touchdown, down 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    1.1%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    1.3%
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 6:50CLT Touchdown, up 32 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
RICEDrive 1TD
10 plays · 82 yds · 4:2281% → 81%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
80.9%
Cameron Montgomery run for no gain to the Rice 18Similar
Q1 14:54
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+1
80.9%
Cameron Montgomery run for 1 yd to the Rice 19Similar
Q1 14:54
3RD & 9
OWN 19
+16
80.9%
TJ McMahon pass complete to Bradley Rozner for 16 yds to the Rice 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
80.9%
TJ McMahon pass incomplete to Jack BradleySimilar
Q1 14:54
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+4
80.9%
TJ McMahon pass complete to Jack Bradley for 4 yds to the Rice 39Similar
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+9
80.9%
TJ McMahon pass complete to Luke McCaffrey for 9 yds to the Charl 29Similar
Q1 14:54
2ND & 1
OPP 29
0
80.9%
TJ McMahon pass incomplete to Bradley RoznerSimilar
Q1 14:54
3RD & 1
OPP 29
+2
80.9%
Uriah West run for 2 yds to the Charl 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:32
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+27
81.2%
Luke McCaffrey 27 Yd pass from TJ McMahon (Christian VanSickle Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · -2 yds · 2:1220% → 19%
Q1 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
80.5%
Shadrick Byrd run for 2 yds to the Charl 45Similar
Q1 10:23
2ND & 8
OWN 45
-8
80.5%
Chris Reynolds sacked by Josh Pearcy for a loss of 8 yards to the Charl 37Similar
Q1 10:23
3RD & 16
OWN 37
+4
80.8%
Shadrick Byrd run for 4 yds to the Charl 41Similar
Q1 8:11
4TH & 12
OWN 41
0
80.9%
Bailey Rice punt for 54 yds , Sean Fresch returns for no gain to the Rice 5Similar
Q1 8:11
4TH & 12
OWN 41
0
80.9%
Bailey Rice punt for 54 yds , Sean Fresch returns for no gain to the Rice 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 3INT
4 plays · 11 yds · 1:1381% → 81%
Q1 8:11
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+7
80.7%
Uriah West run for 7 yds to the Rice 12Similar
Q1 8:11
2ND & 3
OWN 12
+4
80.8%
Uriah West run for 4 yds to the Rice 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
80.7%
TJ McMahon pass interceptedSimilar
Q1 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
80.7%
TJ McMahon pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 4TD
8 plays · 39 yds · 2:5920% → 24%
Q1 6:58
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+6
80.1%
Johnny Martin III run for 6 yds to the Rice 33Similar
Q1 6:58
2ND & 4
OPP 33
-11
79.8%
Chris Reynolds sacked by Quent Titre for a loss of 11 yards to the Rice 44Similar
Q1 6:58
3RD & 15
OPP 44
+15
80.6%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Grant DuBose for 15 yds to the Rice 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:58
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+10
79.8%
Shadrick Byrd run for 10 yds to the Rice 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:58
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
79.8%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Grant DuBoseSimilar
Q1 6:58
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+14
79.8%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Grant DuBose for 14 yds to the Rice 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
79.8%
Johnny Martin III run for 4 yds to the Rice 1Similar
Q1 3:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
76.4%
Johnny Martin III run for 1 yd for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 5TD
10 plays · 59 yds · 3:1778% → 81%
Q1 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
78.2%
Juma Otoviano run for 4 yds to the Rice 45Similar
Q1 3:55
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+8
78.4%
TJ McMahon run for 8 yds to the Charl 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:55
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
78.5%
TJ McMahon pass incomplete to Bradley RoznerSimilar
Q1 3:55
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+13
78.5%
TJ McMahon pass complete to Luke McCaffrey for 13 yds to the Charl 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:55
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-5
78.7%
PENALTY Rice False Start (Long,John) 5 yards from 49ers34 to 49ers39. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:55
1ST & 15
OPP 39
+4
78.2%
Cameron Montgomery run for 4 yds to the Charl 35Similar
Q1 3:55
2ND & 11
OPP 35
0
78.7%
TJ McMahon pass incomplete to Cameron MontgomerySimilar
Q1 0:38
3RD & 11
OPP 35
+35
80.8%
TJ McMahon pass complete to Bradley Rozner for 35 yds for a TD, (Christian VanSickle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 6TD
9 plays · 60 yds · 3:1821% → 27%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-3
79.5%
Chris Reynolds sacked by Trey Schuman for a loss of 3 yards to the Charl 37Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+16
78.5%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 16 yds to the Rice 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 13
OWN 37
+3
80.0%
Johnny Martin III run for 3 yds to the Charl 40Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 40
+15
80.0%
Shadrick Byrd run for 15 yds to the Rice 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
79.0%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to for 5 yds to the Rice 40Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 40
+9
78.9%
Chris Reynolds run for 9 yds to the Rice 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:42
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
72.6%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 15 yds for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 7FG
9 plays · 58 yds · 3:2076% → 76%
Q2 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
75.6%
TJ McMahon pass complete to Luke McCaffrey for 9 yds to the Rice 34Similar
Q2 11:42
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+8
76.4%
Cameron Montgomery run for 8 yds to the Rice 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+37
76.5%
Luke McCaffrey run for 37 yds to the Charl 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:42
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+2
77.3%
TJ McMahon run for 2 yds to the Charl 19Similar
Q2 11:42
2ND & 8
OPP 19
+2
77.3%
Cameron Montgomery run for 2 yds to the Charl 17Similar
Q2 11:42
3RD & 6
OPP 17
0
76.8%
TJ McMahon pass incomplete to Jack BradleySimilar
Q2 8:22
4TH & 6
OPP 17
+35
76.1%
Christian VanSickle 35 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 8TD
9 plays · 81 yds · 2:2625% → 35%
Q2 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+16
75.4%
Calvin Camp run for 16 yds to the Charl 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+44
75.0%
Calvin Camp run for 44 yds to the Rice 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:18
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
72.7%
Shadrick Byrd run for 3 yds to the Rice 22Similar
Q2 8:18
2ND & 7
OPP 22
0
72.7%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Elijah SpencerSimilar
Q2 8:18
3RD & 7
OPP 22
0
73.4%
PENALTY Rice Pass Interference (Fresch,Sean) 11 yard from Rice22 to Rice11, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
72.7%
Chris Reynolds run for 3 yds to the Rice 4Similar
Q2 5:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
65.2%
S. Byrd run for 4 yds for a TD, (A. Zita KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 9DOWNS
13 plays · 43 yds · 4:3468% → 68%
Q2 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
68.3%
Cameron Montgomery run for 4 yds to the Rice 29Similar
Q2 5:52
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+8
68.5%
TJ McMahon pass complete to Jack Bradley for 8 yds to the Rice 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
69.0%
Cameron Montgomery run for 3 yds to the Rice 40Similar
Q2 5:52
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+9
70.1%
TJ McMahon pass complete to Isaiah Esdale for 9 yds to the Rice 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+7
70.4%
Juma Otoviano run for 7 yds to the Charl 44Similar
Q2 5:52
2ND & 3
OPP 44
+5
70.8%
Juma Otoviano run for 5 yds to the Charl 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:52
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-2
70.8%
TJ McMahon sacked for a loss of 2 yards to the Charl 41Similar
Q2 5:52
2ND & 12
OPP 41
+4
70.5%
Juma Otoviano run for 4 yds to the Charl 37Similar
Q2 1:31
3RD & 8
OPP 37
+5
68.6%
Cameron Montgomery run for 5 yds to the Charl 32Similar
Q2 1:18
4TH & 3
OPP 32
0
67.5%
Cameron Montgomery run for no gain to the Charl 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 10TD
5 plays · 67 yds · 1:0636% → 53%
Q2 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+18
63.8%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Grant DuBose for 18 yds to the Rice 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:18
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+13
61.4%
Chris Reynolds run for 13 yds to the Rice 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:18
1ST & 20
OPP 46
+36
61.8%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Shadrick Byrd for 36 yds to the Rice 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
47.2%
C. Reynolds pass,to E. Spencer for 10 yds for a TD, (A. Zita KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 11END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0053% → 53%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
52.7%
Kneel down by Rice at Rice24 for loss of 1 yards.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 12TD
6 plays · 60 yds · 1:5449% → 73%
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+9
50.8%
Shadrick Byrd run for 9 yds to the Charl 49Similar
Q3 14:51
2ND & 1
OWN 49
+1
50.6%
Shadrick Byrd run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
50
+13
50.7%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Johnny Martin III for 13 yds to the Rice 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+16
50.7%
Johnny Martin III run for 16 yds to the Rice 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:57
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
27.4%
C. Reynolds pass,to E. Spencer for 21 yds for a TD, (A. Zita KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:5933% → 31%
Q3 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
32.8%
TJ McMahon pass complete to Dean Connors for 2 yds to the Rice 27Similar
Q3 12:57
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
32.7%
TJ McMahon pass incomplete to Jack BradleySimilar
Q3 12:57
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
32.4%
TJ McMahon pass incomplete to Bradley RoznerSimilar
Q3 11:58
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+16
30.9%
Conor Hunt punt for 49 yds , Grant DuBose returns for 16 yds to the Charl 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 14TD
8 plays · 60 yds · 4:4172% → 95%
Q3 11:58
1ST & 20
OWN 30
+2
28.2%
Shadrick Byrd run for 2 yds to the Charl 32Similar
Q3 11:58
2ND & 18
OWN 32
+1
28.3%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Shadrick Byrd for 1 yd to the Charl 33Similar
Q3 11:58
3RD & 17
OWN 33
+9
28.9%
Shadrick Byrd run for 9 yds to the Charl 42Similar
Q3 11:58
4TH & 8
OWN 42
+21
28.4%
Bailey Rice pass complete to Shadrick Byrd for 21 yds to the Rice 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:58
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
26.6%
Victor Tucker run for 3 yds to the Rice 40Similar
Q3 11:58
2ND & 23
50
+18
26.9%
Shadrick Byrd run for 18 yds to the Rice 32Similar
Q3 11:58
3RD & 5
OPP 32
+23
25.9%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 23 yds to the Rice 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
4.7%
C. Reynolds pass,to G. DuBose for 9 yds for a TD, (A. Zita KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · -11 yds · 2:124% → 3%
Q3 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
4.3%
PENALTY Rice Holding (Servin,Clay) 10 yards from Rice25 to Rice15. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:17
1ST & 20
OWN 15
-7
3.5%
PENALTY Rice Holding (Bradley,Jack) 7 yards from Rice15 to Rice08. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:17
1ST & 27
OWN 8
+1
3.5%
Juma Otoviano run for 1 yd to the Rice 9Similar
Q3 7:17
2ND & 26
OWN 9
+5
3.5%
TJ McMahon run for 5 yds to the Rice 14Similar
Q3 7:17
3RD & 21
OWN 14
0
3.5%
TJ McMahon pass incomplete to Luke McCaffreySimilar
Q3 5:05
4TH & 21
OWN 14
+15
2.7%
Conor Hunt punt for 41 yds for a 1ST down , Grant DuBose returns for 15 yds to the Rice 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 16TD
2 plays · 25 yds · 0:2897% → 98%
Q3 5:05
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
3.3%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 5 yds to the Rice 20Similar
Q3 4:37
2ND & 5
OPP 20
+20
2.3%
C. Reynolds pass,to V. Tucker for 20 yds for a TD, (A. Zita KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 12 yds · 0:593% → 2%
Q3 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
2.7%
TJ McMahon pass complete to Bradley Rozner for 12 yds to the Rice 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
2.7%
TJ McMahon pass incomplete to Boden GroenSimilar
Q3 4:37
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
2.7%
TJ McMahon pass incomplete to Isaiah EsdaleSimilar
Q3 4:37
3RD & 10
OWN 37
0
2.6%
TJ McMahon pass incomplete to Isaiah EsdaleSimilar
Q3 3:38
4TH & 10
OWN 37
+9
2.3%
Conor Hunt punt for 39 yds , Grant DuBose returns for 9 yds to the Charl 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:4698% → 98%
Q3 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
2.3%
Johnny Martin III run for 3 yds to the Charl 36Similar
Q3 3:38
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+3
2.3%
Calvin Camp run for 3 yds to the Charl 39Similar
Q3 3:38
3RD & 4
OWN 39
0
2.2%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Victor TuckerSimilar
Q3 1:52
4TH & 4
OWN 39
0
1.9%
Bailey Rice punt for 49 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:582% → 1%
Q3 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-8
2.3%
TJ McMahon sacked by Dez Morgan for a loss of 8 yards to the Rice 4Similar
Q3 1:52
2ND & 18
OWN 4
+2
2.2%
Uriah West run for 2 yds to the Rice 6Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 16
OWN 6
+7
0.9%
TJ McMahon pass complete to Isaiah Esdale for 7 yds to the Rice 13Similar
Q4 14:54
4TH & 9
OWN 13
0
0.9%
Conor Hunt punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Grant DuBose at the Rice 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 2:0899% → 99%
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
1.2%
Calvin Camp run for 1 yd to the Rice 48Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+4
1.2%
Calvin Camp run for 4 yds to the Rice 44Similar
Q4 14:54
3RD & 5
OPP 44
0
1.2%
Shadrick Byrd run for no gain to the Rice 44Similar
Q4 12:46
4TH & 5
OPP 44
0
1.0%
Bailey Rice punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 21TD
9 plays · 92 yds · 3:031% → 1%
Q4 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
0.6%
TJ McMahon pass incomplete to Boden GroenSimilar
Q4 12:46
2ND & 10
OWN 8
+26
0.6%
TJ McMahon run for 26 yds to the Rice 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+13
0.6%
TJ McMahon pass complete to Bradley Rozner for 13 yds to the Rice 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+13
0.7%
TJ McMahon run for 13 yds to the Charl 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:46
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
0.7%
TJ McMahon pass complete to Jack Bradley for 5 yds to the Charl 35Similar
Q4 12:46
2ND & 5
OPP 35
-7
0.7%
TJ McMahon sacked by Markees Watts for a loss of 7 yards to the Charl 42Similar
Q4 12:46
3RD & 12
OPP 42
0
0.6%
TJ McMahon pass incomplete to Bradley RoznerSimilar
Q4 12:46
4TH & 12
OPP 42
+13
0.6%
TJ McMahon pass complete to Boden Groen for 13 yds to the Charl 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:43
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+29
0.8%
T. McMahon pass,to B. Rozner for 29 yds for a TD, (Two-point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 22TD
8 plays · 51 yds · 2:5399% → 100%
Q4 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
0.8%
Shadrick Byrd run for 6 yds to the Rice 45Similar
Q4 9:43
2ND & 4
OPP 45
+3
0.8%
Calvin Camp run for 3 yds to the Rice 42Similar
Q4 9:43
3RD & 1
OPP 42
0
0.8%
Calvin Camp run for no gain to the Rice 42Similar
Q4 7:43
4TH & 1
OPP 42
+33
0.5%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 33 yds to the Rice 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
0.4%
Chris Reynolds run for no gain to the Rice 9Similar
Q4 6:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
0.3%
C. Camp run for 9 yds for a TD, (A. Zita KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:200% → 0%
Q4 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
0.2%
TJ McMahon pass complete to Jack Bradley for 6 yds to the Rice 31Similar
Q4 6:50
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
0.2%
TJ McMahon pass incomplete to Jack BradleySimilar
Q4 6:50
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+1
0.2%
TJ McMahon pass complete to Juma Otoviano for 1 yd to the Rice 32Similar
Q4 5:30
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
0.2%
Conor Hunt punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Grant DuBose at the Charl 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 24DOWNS
8 plays · 43 yds · 5:06100% → 100%
Q4 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+8
0.2%
Johnny Martin III run for 8 yds to the Charl 32Similar
Q4 5:30
2ND & 2
OWN 32
+7
0.2%
Micah Bell run for 7 yds to the Charl 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
0.2%
Johnny Martin III run for 4 yds to the Charl 43Similar
Q4 5:30
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+15
0.2%
James Foster run for 15 yds to the Rice 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:30
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
0.2%
Micah Bell run for 2 yds to the Rice 40Similar
Q4 5:30
2ND & 8
OPP 40
+4
0.2%
Hahsaun Wilson run for 4 yds to the Rice 36Similar
Q4 5:30
3RD & 4
OPP 36
+2
0.2%
Johnny Martin III run for 2 yds to the Rice 34Similar
Q4 0:24
4TH & 2
OPP 34
+1
0.1%
Johnny Martin III run for 1 yd to the Rice 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 25END OF 4TH QUARTER
1 play · 8 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+8
0.1%
Cameron Montgomery run for 8 yds to the Rice 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 12:57
C. Reynolds pass,to E. Spencer for 21 yds for a TD, (A. Zita KICK)
-23.2
TD · Q3 7:17
C. Reynolds pass,to G. DuBose for 9 yds for a TD, (A. Zita KICK)
-21.2
TD · Q2 0:12
C. Reynolds pass,to E. Spencer for 10 yds for a TD, (A. Zita KICK)
-10.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com